BTW
Bitway · Ethereum · gru_s1
- token id
- #40
- symbol
- BTW
- variant
- –
- chain
- Ethereum
- address
- 0x3a63de3572c69a1307ff08394f3ee7702c16d25d
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-08-24
- predictions
- 150
Track record at +30d
assessed
20
of 50 predictions shown
direction hit
20.0%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
1.0865
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0443
actual +1.0422
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 2.1044 | 1.8125 | -13.87% | – | pending | – | – | -1.48 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 2.0432 | 1.7555 | -14.08% | – | pending | – | – | -1.48 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 1.9664 | 1.6849 | -14.31% | – | pending | – | – | -1.50 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 2.4152 | 2.0701 | -14.29% | – | pending | – | – | -1.54 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 2.4383 | 2.0936 | -14.13% | – | pending | – | – | -1.53 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 1.9279 | 1.6652 | -13.63% | – | pending | – | – | -1.51 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 1.8166 | 1.5628 | -13.97% | – | pending | – | – | -1.50 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 2.3803 | 2.0591 | -13.50% | – | pending | – | – | -1.40 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 2.0884 | 1.8151 | -13.09% | – | pending | – | – | -1.32 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 1.7495 | 1.5172 | -13.28% | – | pending | – | – | -1.47 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 1.6258 | 1.4131 | -13.08% | – | pending | – | – | -1.46 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 1.5842 | 1.3765 | -13.11% | – | pending | – | – | -1.46 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 1.5753 | 1.3699 | -13.03% | – | pending | – | – | -1.46 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 1.3928 | 1.2129 | -12.91% | – | pending | – | – | -1.52 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 1.2975 | 1.1326 | -12.71% | – | pending | – | – | -1.50 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 1.2135 | 1.0597 | -12.68% | – | pending | – | – | -1.50 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 1.2336 | 1.0793 | -12.52% | – | pending | – | – | -1.51 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 1.2458 | 1.0925 | -12.30% | – | pending | – | – | -1.55 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 1.0377 | 0.903659 | -12.92% | – | pending | – | – | -1.77 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 1.3815 | 1.2076 | -12.59% | – | pending | – | – | -1.75 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 1.4183 | 1.2421 | -12.42% | – | pending | – | – | -1.78 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 1.329 | 1.1656 | -12.29% | – | pending | – | – | -1.83 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 1.3887 | 1.2208 | -12.10% | – | pending | – | – | -1.85 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 1.1192 | 0.991436 | -11.42% | – | pending | – | – | -1.85 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 1.2207 | 1.082 | -11.36% | – | pending | – | – | -1.98 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 1.0015 | 0.892413 | -10.90% | – | pending | – | – | -1.96 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 1.3154 | 1.1681 | -11.20% | – | pending | – | – | -1.93 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.9544 | 0.860912 | -9.80% | – | pending | – | – | -1.82 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 1.0378 | 0.934084 | -9.99% | – | pending | – | – | -1.84 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.8978 | 0.820158 | -8.65% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.8007 | 0.743058 | -7.20% | 2.1044 | +162.82% | 1.0871 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.74705 | 0.682085 | -8.70% | 2.0432 | +173.50% | 1.0754 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.5903 | 0.547363 | -7.27% | 1.9664 | +233.12% | 1.2714 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.6302 | 0.581084 | -7.79% | 2.4152 | +283.24% | 1.4107 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.7199 | 0.651383 | -9.52% | 2.4383 | +238.69% | 1.2561 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.7502 | 0.679607 | -9.41% | 1.9279 | +156.98% | 0.9747 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.70505 | 0.644394 | -8.60% | 1.8166 | +157.66% | 0.9534 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.5826 | 0.55243 | -5.18% | 2.3803 | +308.57% | 1.4182 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.73445 | 0.676671 | -7.87% | 2.0884 | +184.34% | 1.0481 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.5503 | 0.524933 | -4.61% | 1.7495 | +217.93% | 1.1475 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.5088 | 0.488172 | -4.05% | 1.6258 | +219.53% | 1.1226 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.50005 | 0.481089 | -3.79% | 1.5842 | +216.81% | 1.1118 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.4511 | 0.439217 | -2.63% | 1.5753 | +249.20% | 1.2242 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.43775 | 0.428058 | -2.21% | 1.3928 | +218.17% | 1.1393 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.45105 | 0.447549 | -0.78% | 1.2975 | +187.67% | 1.0129 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.4474 | 0.449027 | +0.36% | 1.2135 | +171.23% | 0.9315 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.4522 | 0.454436 | +0.49% | 1.2336 | +172.81% | 0.9272 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 0.45655 | 0.461136 | +1.00% | 1.2458 | +172.87% | 0.9116 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 0.4544 | 0.470638 | +3.57% | 1.0377 | +128.37% | 0.7488 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-02 | oos | 0.4896 | 0.485513 | -0.83% | 1.3815 | +182.17% | 0.9567 | ✗ | 1.00 |