AVL

Avalon · Ethereum · gru_s1

token id: #696
symbol: AVL
variant: –
chain: Ethereum
address: 0x5c8d0c48810fd37a0a824d074ee290e64f7a8fa2
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-08-27
predictions: 144

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +7d

assessed

of 48 predictions shown

direction hit

53.7%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0616

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0216

actual -0.0043

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.021245	0.020698	-2.58%	–	pending	–	–	1.17
2026-10-21	oos	0.021361	0.020772	-2.75%	–	pending	–	–	1.17
2026-10-20	oos	0.019693	0.01927	-2.15%	–	pending	–	–	1.13
2026-10-19	oos	0.020678	0.020106	-2.77%	–	pending	–	–	1.17
2026-10-18	oos	0.019445	0.019011	-2.23%	–	pending	–	–	1.18
2026-10-17	oos	0.020546	0.020032	-2.51%	–	pending	–	–	1.20
2026-10-16	oos	0.022173	0.021443	-3.29%	–	pending	–	–	1.19
2026-10-15	oos	0.020543	0.019937	-2.95%	0.021245	+3.41%	0.0325	✗	1.23
2026-10-14	oos	0.018647	0.018329	-1.70%	0.021361	+14.55%	0.1174	✗	1.20
2026-10-13	oos	0.019376	0.01902	-1.84%	0.019693	+1.64%	0.0371	✗	1.19
2026-10-12	oos	0.018817	0.01851	-1.63%	0.020678	+9.89%	0.1094	✗	1.17
2026-10-11	oos	0.020663	0.020215	-2.17%	0.019445	-5.89%	0.0168	✓	1.09
2026-10-10	oos	0.022471	0.021789	-3.03%	0.020546	-8.56%	0.0376	✓	1.14
2026-10-09	oos	0.019944	0.019569	-1.88%	0.022173	+11.18%	0.1391	✗	1.11
2026-10-08	oos	0.019933	0.019558	-1.88%	0.020543	+3.06%	0.0433	✗	1.11
2026-10-07	oos	0.022334	0.021754	-2.60%	0.018647	-16.51%	0.1332	✓	1.01
2026-10-06	oos	0.02175	0.021247	-2.31%	0.019376	-10.92%	0.0600	✓	1.11
2026-10-05	oos	0.022515	0.021942	-2.55%	0.018817	-16.42%	0.1006	✓	1.11
2026-10-04	oos	0.022884	0.022292	-2.59%	0.020663	-9.71%	0.0391	✓	1.11
2026-10-03	oos	0.022833	0.022214	-2.71%	0.022471	-1.59%	0.0361	✗	1.13
2026-10-02	oos	0.022786	0.022169	-2.70%	0.019944	-12.47%	0.0794	✓	1.13
2026-10-01	oos	0.022953	0.022353	-2.61%	0.019933	-13.15%	0.0718	✓	1.13
2026-09-30	oos	0.023642	0.022955	-2.91%	0.022334	-5.53%	0.0235	✓	1.17
2026-09-29	oos	0.022532	0.021937	-2.64%	0.02175	-3.47%	0.0349	✓	1.17
2026-09-28	oos	0.021848	0.021294	-2.53%	0.022515	+3.05%	0.0240	✓	1.17
2026-09-27	oos	0.024924	0.024138	-3.16%	0.022884	-8.18%	0.0789	✓	1.07
2026-09-26	oos	0.025513	0.024659	-3.35%	0.022833	-10.50%	0.0810	✓	1.07
2026-09-25	oos	0.024789	0.023989	-3.23%	0.022786	-8.08%	0.0563	✓	1.00
2026-09-24	oos	0.024097	0.023365	-3.04%	0.022953	-4.75%	0.0233	✓	1.00
2026-09-23	oos	0.023279	0.022612	-2.86%	0.023642	+1.56%	0.0543	✗	1.00
2026-09-22	oos	0.024603	0.023887	-2.91%	0.022532	-8.42%	0.0283	✓	1.00
2026-09-21	oos	0.023323	0.022712	-2.62%	0.021848	-6.32%	0.0019	✓	1.00
2026-09-20	oos	0.021137	0.020509	-2.97%	0.024924	+17.92%	0.1551	✗	1.00
2026-09-19	oos	0.021371	0.020737	-2.96%	0.025513	+19.38%	0.1688	✗	1.00
2026-09-18	oos	0.0216	0.020952	-3.00%	0.024789	+14.76%	0.1291	✗	1.00
2026-09-17	oos	0.020413	0.019858	-2.72%	0.024097	+18.05%	0.0934	✗	1.00
2026-09-16	oos	0.020576	0.020032	-2.64%	0.023279	+13.14%	0.0475	✗	1.00
2026-09-15	oos	0.021305	0.020727	-2.71%	0.024603	+15.48%	0.0400	✗	1.00
2026-09-14	oos	0.020442	0.019971	-2.30%	0.023323	+14.09%	0.0529	✗	1.00
2026-09-13	oos	0.020262	0.019848	-2.05%	0.021137	+4.32%	0.0077	✓	1.00
2026-09-12	oos	0.021569	0.020997	-2.65%	0.021371	-0.92%	0.0325	✓	1.00
2026-09-11	oos	0.020448	0.020136	-1.52%	0.0216	+5.64%	0.0238	✗	1.00
2026-09-10	oos	0.018637	0.018607	-0.16%	0.020413	+9.53%	0.0951	✗	1.00
2026-09-09	oos	0.02012	0.020038	-0.41%	0.020576	+2.26%	0.0542	✗	1.00
2026-09-08	oos	0.020503	0.020511	+0.04%	0.021305	+3.91%	0.0752	✓	1.00
2026-09-07	oos	0.020774	0.020888	+0.55%	0.020442	-1.60%	0.0099	✗	1.00
2026-09-06	oos	0.020602	0.020839	+1.15%	0.020262	-1.65%	0.0170	✓	1.00
2026-09-05	oos	0.020591	0.020918	+1.59%	0.021569	+4.75%	0.0633	✓	1.00