AVL
Avalon · Ethereum · gru_s1
- token id
- #696
- symbol
- AVL
- variant
- –
- chain
- Ethereum
- address
- 0x5c8d0c48810fd37a0a824d074ee290e64f7a8fa2
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-08-27
- predictions
- 144
Track record at +30d
assessed
18
of 48 predictions shown
direction hit
77.8%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.0464
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0717
actual -0.0621
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-22 | oos | 0.021245 | 0.019914 | -6.27% | – | pending | – | – | 1.17 |
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.021361 | 0.020025 | -6.25% | – | pending | – | – | 1.17 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.019693 | 0.018623 | -5.43% | – | pending | – | – | 1.13 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.020678 | 0.019318 | -6.58% | – | pending | – | – | 1.17 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.019445 | 0.018343 | -5.67% | – | pending | – | – | 1.18 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.020546 | 0.019154 | -6.78% | – | pending | – | – | 1.20 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.022173 | 0.020359 | -8.18% | – | pending | – | – | 1.19 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.020543 | 0.019148 | -6.79% | – | pending | – | – | 1.23 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.018647 | 0.017638 | -5.41% | – | pending | – | – | 1.20 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.019376 | 0.018341 | -5.34% | – | pending | – | – | 1.19 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.018817 | 0.017837 | -5.21% | – | pending | – | – | 1.17 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.020663 | 0.01943 | -5.96% | – | pending | – | – | 1.09 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.022471 | 0.020701 | -7.88% | – | pending | – | – | 1.14 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.019944 | 0.018759 | -5.94% | – | pending | – | – | 1.11 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.019933 | 0.018703 | -6.17% | – | pending | – | – | 1.11 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.022334 | 0.020646 | -7.56% | – | pending | – | – | 1.01 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.02175 | 0.020346 | -6.46% | – | pending | – | – | 1.11 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.022515 | 0.020917 | -7.10% | – | pending | – | – | 1.11 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.022884 | 0.021243 | -7.17% | – | pending | – | – | 1.11 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.022833 | 0.021125 | -7.48% | – | pending | – | – | 1.13 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.022786 | 0.021059 | -7.58% | – | pending | – | – | 1.13 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.022953 | 0.021299 | -7.20% | – | pending | – | – | 1.13 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.023642 | 0.021745 | -8.03% | – | pending | – | – | 1.17 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.022532 | 0.020903 | -7.23% | – | pending | – | – | 1.17 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.021848 | 0.020323 | -6.98% | – | pending | – | – | 1.17 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.024924 | 0.022815 | -8.46% | – | pending | – | – | 1.07 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.025513 | 0.023254 | -8.85% | – | pending | – | – | 1.07 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.024789 | 0.022669 | -8.55% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.024097 | 0.022197 | -7.89% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.023279 | 0.021541 | -7.46% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.024603 | 0.022858 | -7.09% | 0.021245 | -13.65% | 0.0499 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.023323 | 0.021827 | -6.41% | 0.021361 | -8.41% | 0.0085 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.021137 | 0.019396 | -8.24% | 0.019693 | -6.83% | 0.0065 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.021371 | 0.019629 | -8.15% | 0.020678 | -3.24% | 0.0447 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.0216 | 0.01983 | -8.19% | 0.019445 | -9.98% | 0.0335 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.020413 | 0.018672 | -8.53% | 0.020546 | +0.65% | 0.0318 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.020576 | 0.018826 | -8.51% | 0.022173 | +7.76% | 0.0957 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.021305 | 0.019427 | -8.81% | 0.020543 | -3.57% | 0.0271 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.020442 | 0.018828 | -7.89% | 0.018647 | -8.78% | 0.0521 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.020262 | 0.018687 | -7.78% | 0.019376 | -4.38% | 0.0427 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.021569 | 0.019771 | -8.34% | 0.018817 | -12.76% | 0.1058 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.020448 | 0.018898 | -7.58% | 0.020663 | +1.05% | 0.0088 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.018637 | 0.017394 | -6.67% | 0.022471 | +20.57% | 0.1761 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.02012 | 0.018867 | -6.23% | 0.019944 | -0.88% | 0.0025 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.020503 | 0.01939 | -5.43% | 0.019933 | -2.78% | 0.0129 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.020774 | 0.019849 | -4.45% | 0.022334 | +7.51% | 0.0664 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.020602 | 0.019933 | -3.25% | 0.02175 | +5.57% | 0.0245 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.020591 | 0.020039 | -2.69% | 0.022515 | +9.34% | 0.0450 | ✗ | 1.00 |