AVL

Avalon · Ethereum · gru_s1

token id: #696
symbol: AVL
variant: –
chain: Ethereum
address: 0x5c8d0c48810fd37a0a824d074ee290e64f7a8fa2
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-08-27
predictions: 141

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +1d

assessed

of 47 predictions shown

direction hit

63.0%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0406

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0058

actual -0.0020

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.019479	0.019406	-0.38%	–	pending	–	–	1.13
2026-10-20	oos	0.019693	0.019615	-0.39%	0.019479	-1.08%	0.0037	✓	1.13
2026-10-19	oos	0.020678	0.020522	-0.76%	0.019693	-4.77%	0.0568	✓	1.17
2026-10-18	oos	0.019445	0.019347	-0.50%	0.020678	+6.34%	0.0690	✗	1.18
2026-10-17	oos	0.020546	0.020446	-0.49%	0.019445	-5.36%	0.0594	✓	1.20
2026-10-16	oos	0.022173	0.021962	-0.96%	0.020546	-7.34%	0.0649	✓	1.19
2026-10-15	oos	0.020543	0.020309	-1.14%	0.022173	+7.93%	0.0972	✗	1.23
2026-10-14	oos	0.018647	0.018582	-0.35%	0.020543	+10.17%	0.0922	✗	1.20
2026-10-13	oos	0.019376	0.019296	-0.41%	0.018647	-3.76%	0.0120	✓	1.19
2026-10-12	oos	0.018817	0.018749	-0.36%	0.019376	+2.97%	0.0135	✗	1.17
2026-10-11	oos	0.020663	0.020555	-0.52%	0.018817	-8.93%	0.0628	✓	1.09
2026-10-10	oos	0.022471	0.022253	-0.97%	0.020663	-8.05%	0.0846	✓	1.14
2026-10-09	oos	0.019944	0.019857	-0.44%	0.022471	+12.67%	0.1188	✗	1.11
2026-10-08	oos	0.019933	0.019852	-0.41%	0.019944	+0.05%	0.0069	✓	1.11
2026-10-07	oos	0.022334	0.02221	-0.55%	0.019933	-10.75%	0.0888	✓	1.01
2026-10-06	oos	0.02175	0.021635	-0.53%	0.022334	+2.68%	0.0617	✗	1.11
2026-10-05	oos	0.022515	0.022393	-0.54%	0.02175	-3.40%	0.0264	✓	1.11
2026-10-04	oos	0.022884	0.022761	-0.54%	0.022515	-1.61%	0.0011	✓	1.11
2026-10-03	oos	0.022833	0.022697	-0.60%	0.022884	+0.22%	0.0150	✓	1.13
2026-10-02	oos	0.022786	0.022661	-0.55%	0.022833	+0.21%	0.0044	✓	1.13
2026-10-01	oos	0.022953	0.022835	-0.51%	0.022786	-0.73%	0.0024	✓	1.13
2026-09-30	oos	0.023642	0.023502	-0.59%	0.022953	-2.92%	0.0416	✓	1.17
2026-09-29	oos	0.022532	0.022406	-0.56%	0.023642	+4.93%	0.0549	✗	1.17
2026-09-28	oos	0.021848	0.021738	-0.50%	0.022532	+3.13%	0.0333	✗	1.17
2026-09-27	oos	0.024924	0.024764	-0.64%	0.021848	-12.34%	0.1125	✓	1.07
2026-09-26	oos	0.025513	0.025327	-0.73%	0.024924	-2.31%	0.0166	✓	1.07
2026-09-25	oos	0.024789	0.024614	-0.70%	0.025513	+2.92%	0.0320	✗	1.00
2026-09-24	oos	0.024097	0.023925	-0.71%	0.024789	+2.87%	0.0389	✗	1.00
2026-09-23	oos	0.023279	0.023129	-0.65%	0.024097	+3.51%	0.0409	✗	1.00
2026-09-22	oos	0.024603	0.0244	-0.82%	0.023279	-5.38%	0.0257	✓	1.00
2026-09-21	oos	0.023323	0.023152	-0.73%	0.024603	+5.49%	0.0654	✗	1.00
2026-09-20	oos	0.021137	0.021007	-0.61%	0.023323	+10.34%	0.0398	✗	1.00
2026-09-19	oos	0.021371	0.02124	-0.61%	0.021137	-1.09%	0.0040	✓	1.00
2026-09-18	oos	0.0216	0.021461	-0.64%	0.021371	-1.06%	0.0087	✓	1.00
2026-09-17	oos	0.020413	0.020303	-0.54%	0.0216	+5.81%	0.0043	✓	1.00
2026-09-16	oos	0.020576	0.020462	-0.55%	0.020413	-0.79%	0.0051	✓	1.00
2026-09-15	oos	0.021305	0.02116	-0.68%	0.020576	-3.42%	0.0354	✓	1.00
2026-09-14	oos	0.020442	0.020339	-0.50%	0.021305	+4.22%	0.0801	✗	1.00
2026-09-13	oos	0.020262	0.020134	-0.63%	0.020442	+0.89%	0.0026	✓	1.00
2026-09-12	oos	0.021569	0.021303	-1.23%	0.020262	-6.06%	0.0441	✓	1.00
2026-09-11	oos	0.020448	0.020314	-0.66%	0.021569	+5.48%	0.0593	✗	1.00
2026-09-10	oos	0.018637	0.018575	-0.33%	0.020448	+9.71%	0.0873	✗	1.00
2026-09-09	oos	0.02012	0.020054	-0.33%	0.018637	-7.37%	0.0507	✓	1.00
2026-09-08	oos	0.020503	0.020442	-0.30%	0.02012	-1.87%	0.0138	✓	1.00
2026-09-07	oos	0.020774	0.020719	-0.27%	0.020503	-1.30%	0.0023	✓	1.00
2026-09-06	oos	0.020602	0.020558	-0.22%	0.020774	+0.83%	0.0261	✗	1.00
2026-09-05	oos	0.020591	0.020531	-0.29%	0.020602	+0.05%	0.0029	✓	1.00