ASSET

REAL · Ethereum · gru_s1

token id: #914
symbol: ASSET
variant: –
chain: Ethereum
address: 0x99e980265bf36516c442be982df1772a6ccb3233
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-04-30
predictions: 498

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +7d

assessed

159

of 166 predictions shown

direction hit

52.8%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1054

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0368

actual +0.0347

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.18042	0.178682	-0.96%	–	pending	–	–	0.02
2026-10-20	oos	0.18043	0.178758	-0.93%	–	pending	–	–	0.01
2026-10-19	oos	0.18359	0.181831	-0.96%	–	pending	–	–	0.01
2026-10-18	oos	0.184295	0.182441	-1.01%	–	pending	–	–	0.01
2026-10-17	oos	0.182895	0.180885	-1.10%	–	pending	–	–	0.02
2026-10-16	oos	0.178165	0.176452	-0.96%	–	pending	–	–	0.02
2026-10-15	oos	0.18215	0.180197	-1.07%	–	pending	–	–	0.02
2026-10-14	oos	0.18487	0.18265	-1.20%	0.18042	-2.41%	0.0125	✓	0.02
2026-10-13	oos	0.182	0.179925	-1.14%	0.18043	-0.86%	0.0028	✓	-0.02
2026-10-12	oos	0.1805	0.178271	-1.23%	0.18359	+1.71%	0.0294	✗	-0.02
2026-10-11	oos	0.18504	0.182744	-1.24%	0.184295	-0.40%	0.0082	✓	-0.01
2026-10-10	oos	0.18501	0.182602	-1.30%	0.182895	-1.14%	0.0015	✓	-0.01
2026-10-09	oos	0.182435	0.179904	-1.39%	0.178165	-2.34%	0.0098	✓	-0.00
2026-10-08	oos	0.1874	0.184531	-1.53%	0.18215	-2.80%	0.0130	✓	-0.00
2026-10-07	oos	0.185	0.182167	-1.53%	0.18487	-0.07%	0.0151	✓	0.02
2026-10-06	oos	0.19033	0.187493	-1.49%	0.182	-4.38%	0.0300	✓	-0.01
2026-10-05	oos	0.178	0.17544	-1.44%	0.1805	+1.40%	0.0295	✗	0.02
2026-10-04	oos	0.1936	0.190572	-1.56%	0.18504	-4.42%	0.0298	✓	-0.01
2026-10-03	oos	0.194695	0.190578	-2.11%	0.18501	-4.97%	0.0298	✓	-0.01
2026-10-02	oos	0.202175	0.198228	-1.95%	0.182435	-9.76%	0.0832	✓	-0.01
2026-10-01	oos	0.197955	0.193858	-2.07%	0.1874	-5.33%	0.0340	✓	-0.00
2026-09-30	oos	0.2008	0.195957	-2.41%	0.185	-7.87%	0.0575	✓	0.00
2026-09-29	oos	0.19782	0.192764	-2.56%	0.19033	-3.79%	0.0138	✓	0.05
2026-09-28	oos	0.195415	0.1902	-2.67%	0.178	-8.91%	0.0672	✓	0.03
2026-09-27	oos	0.2026	0.197552	-2.49%	0.1936	-4.44%	0.0181	✓	-0.09
2026-09-26	oos	0.22275	0.217949	-2.16%	0.194695	-12.59%	0.1124	✓	-0.10
2026-09-25	oos	0.22897	0.223835	-2.24%	0.202175	-11.70%	0.1013	✓	-0.10
2026-09-24	oos	0.23369	0.228754	-2.11%	0.197955	-15.29%	0.1441	✓	-0.10
2026-09-23	oos	0.24311	0.238218	-2.01%	0.2008	-17.40%	0.1719	✓	-0.10
2026-09-22	oos	0.238275	0.234206	-1.71%	0.19782	-16.98%	0.1710	✓	-0.07
2026-09-21	oos	0.24785	0.243714	-1.67%	0.195415	-21.16%	0.2263	✓	-0.15
2026-09-20	oos	0.24671	0.239717	-2.83%	0.2026	-17.88%	0.1624	✓	-0.14
2026-09-19	oos	0.23124	0.224744	-2.81%	0.22275	-3.67%	0.0036	✓	-0.14
2026-09-18	oos	0.23163	0.225092	-2.82%	0.22897	-1.15%	0.0227	✓	-0.14
2026-09-17	oos	0.23271	0.223713	-3.87%	0.23369	+0.42%	0.0582	✗	-0.15
2026-09-16	oos	0.2335	0.223585	-4.25%	0.24311	+4.12%	0.0991	✗	-0.15
2026-09-15	oos	0.24225	0.232805	-3.90%	0.238275	-1.64%	0.0356	✓	-0.09
2026-09-14	oos	0.24074	0.233094	-3.18%	0.24785	+2.95%	0.0694	✗	-0.08
2026-09-13	oos	0.240105	0.231274	-3.68%	0.24671	+2.75%	0.0688	✗	-0.08
2026-09-12	oos	0.2405	0.231569	-3.71%	0.23124	-3.85%	0.0023	✓	-0.07
2026-09-11	oos	0.24871	0.239303	-3.78%	0.23163	-6.87%	0.0292	✓	-0.07
2026-09-10	oos	0.25068	0.240952	-3.88%	0.23271	-7.17%	0.0350	✓	-0.08
2026-09-09	oos	0.24441	0.237506	-2.82%	0.2335	-4.46%	0.0188	✓	-0.06
2026-09-08	oos	0.245365	0.238652	-2.74%	0.24225	-1.27%	0.0149	✓	-0.00
2026-09-07	oos	0.24287	0.23659	-2.59%	0.24074	-0.88%	0.0174	✓	-0.00
2026-09-06	oos	0.245	0.239359	-2.30%	0.240105	-2.00%	0.0004	✓	-0.08
2026-09-05	oos	0.245875	0.239986	-2.40%	0.2405	-2.19%	0.0009	✓	-0.09
2026-09-04	oos	0.252975	0.247222	-2.27%	0.24871	-1.69%	0.0037	✓	-0.07
2026-09-03	oos	0.26135	0.256586	-1.82%	0.25068	-4.08%	0.0289	✓	-0.09
2026-09-02	oos	0.25512	0.249329	-2.27%	0.24441	-4.20%	0.0193	✓	-0.05
2026-09-01	oos	0.26499	0.258799	-2.34%	0.245365	-7.41%	0.0522	✓	-0.08
2026-08-31	oos	0.252875	0.247465	-2.14%	0.24287	-3.96%	0.0179	✓	-0.13
2026-08-30	oos	0.259595	0.252569	-2.71%	0.245	-5.62%	0.0215	✓	-0.26
2026-08-29	oos	0.24012	0.235888	-1.76%	0.245875	+2.40%	0.0459	✗	-0.22
2026-08-28	oos	0.233425	0.22945	-1.70%	0.252975	+8.38%	0.1027	✗	-0.22
2026-08-27	oos	0.24205	0.238571	-1.44%	0.26135	+7.97%	0.0944	✗	-0.26
2026-08-26	oos	0.2484	0.244783	-1.46%	0.25512	+2.71%	0.0359	✗	-0.25
2026-08-25	oos	0.24627	0.242649	-1.47%	0.26499	+7.60%	0.0845	✗	-0.24
2026-08-24	oos	0.25147	0.247942	-1.40%	0.252875	+0.56%	0.0182	✗	-0.29
2026-08-23	oos	0.25364	0.24983	-1.50%	0.259595	+2.35%	0.0381	✗	-0.26
2026-08-22	oos	0.258565	0.254906	-1.41%	0.24012	-7.13%	0.0559	✓	-0.25
2026-08-21	oos	0.253835	0.251216	-1.03%	0.233425	-8.04%	0.0751	✓	-0.26
2026-08-20	oos	0.2488	0.245239	-1.43%	0.24205	-2.71%	0.0174	✗	-0.32
2026-08-19	oos	0.251865	0.247319	-1.80%	0.2484	-1.38%	0.0479	✗	-0.33
2026-08-18	oos	0.257515	0.251865	-2.19%	0.24627	-4.37%	0.0398	✗	-0.32
2026-08-17	oos	0.263055	0.25715	-2.24%	0.25147	-4.40%	0.0476	✗	-0.34
2026-08-16	oos	0.261825	0.256449	-2.05%	0.25364	-3.13%	0.0645	✗	-0.36
2026-08-15	oos	0.26281	0.257796	-1.91%	0.258565	-1.62%	0.0764	✗	-0.36
2026-08-14	oos	0.26914	0.264021	-1.90%	0.253835	-5.69%	0.0340	✗	-0.34
2026-08-13	oos	0.26543	0.260852	-1.72%	0.2488	-6.27%	0.0114	✓	-0.42
2026-08-12	oos	0.257655	0.2539	-1.46%	0.251865	-2.25%	0.0473	✗	-0.62
2026-08-11	oos	0.26611	0.262036	-1.53%	0.257515	-3.23%	0.0080	✓	-0.53
2026-08-10	oos	0.258425	0.254912	-1.36%	0.263055	+1.79%	0.0353	✗	-0.43
2026-08-09	oos	0.258105	0.25463	-1.35%	0.261825	+1.44%	0.0113	✓	-0.53
2026-08-08	oos	0.262765	0.259001	-1.43%	0.26281	+0.02%	0.0017	✓	-0.55
2026-08-07	oos	0.2584	0.254531	-1.50%	0.26914	+4.16%	0.0379	✗	-0.60
2026-08-06	oos	0.2601	0.256324	-1.45%	0.26543	+2.05%	0.0273	✗	-0.58
2026-08-05	oos	0.26411	0.25994	-1.58%	0.257655	-2.44%	0.0195	✓	-0.57
2026-08-04	oos	0.25658	0.252246	-1.69%	0.26611	+3.71%	0.0492	✗	-0.53
2026-08-03	oos	0.267695	0.262785	-1.83%	0.258425	-3.46%	0.0134	✓	-0.48
2026-08-02	oos	0.266015	0.261272	-1.78%	0.258105	-2.97%	0.0015	✓	-0.51
2026-08-01	oos	0.258765	0.254174	-1.77%	0.262765	+1.55%	0.0481	✗	-0.44
2026-07-31	oos	0.26543	0.260233	-1.96%	0.2584	-2.65%	0.0075	✓	-0.45
2026-07-30	oos	0.26337	0.257841	-2.10%	0.2601	-1.24%	0.0054	✓	-0.47
2026-07-29	oos	0.27105	0.264633	-2.37%	0.26411	-2.56%	0.0003	✓	-0.21
2026-07-28	oos	0.27033	0.264071	-2.32%	0.25658	-5.09%	0.0281	✓	-0.20
2026-07-27	oos	0.27	0.263442	-2.43%	0.267695	-0.85%	0.0153	✓	-0.20
2026-07-26	oos	0.27424	0.267299	-2.53%	0.266015	-3.00%	0.0114	✓	-0.23
2026-07-25	oos	0.285335	0.27772	-2.67%	0.258765	-9.31%	0.0755	✓	-0.20
2026-07-24	oos	0.27427	0.266804	-2.72%	0.26543	-3.22%	0.0092	✓	-0.20
2026-07-23	oos	0.28433	0.276262	-2.84%	0.26337	-7.37%	0.0490	✓	-0.23
2026-07-22	oos	0.27796	0.270332	-2.74%	0.27105	-2.49%	0.0050	✓	-0.23
2026-07-21	oos	0.28398	0.27584	-2.87%	0.27033	-4.81%	0.0298	✓	-0.23
2026-07-20	oos	0.28799	0.279085	-3.09%	0.27	-6.25%	0.0381	✓	-0.21
2026-07-19	oos	0.27379	0.265956	-2.86%	0.27424	+0.16%	0.0330	✗	-0.23
2026-07-18	oos	0.281705	0.273583	-2.88%	0.285335	+1.29%	0.0403	✗	-0.23
2026-07-17	oos	0.28486	0.276237	-3.03%	0.27427	-3.72%	0.0065	✓	-0.21
2026-07-16	oos	0.27849	0.269931	-3.07%	0.28433	+2.10%	0.0562	✗	-0.21
2026-07-15	oos	0.252995	0.246288	-2.65%	0.27796	+9.87%	0.1247	✗	-0.18
2026-07-14	oos	0.26841	0.261317	-2.64%	0.28398	+5.80%	0.0874	✗	-0.18
2026-07-13	oos	0.26562	0.258291	-2.76%	0.28799	+8.42%	0.1173	✗	-0.18
2026-07-12	oos	0.26993	0.262411	-2.79%	0.27379	+1.43%	0.0456	✗	-0.22
2026-07-11	oos	0.27867	0.26995	-3.13%	0.281705	+1.09%	0.0460	✗	-0.21
2026-07-10	oos	0.27803	0.269963	-2.90%	0.28486	+2.46%	0.0529	✗	-0.21
2026-07-09	oos	0.27415	0.266041	-2.96%	0.27849	+1.58%	0.0477	✗	-0.21
2026-07-08	oos	0.28	0.270824	-3.28%	0.252995	-9.64%	0.0609	✓	-0.18
2026-07-07	oos	0.29089	0.281494	-3.23%	0.26841	-7.73%	0.0419	✓	-0.22
2026-07-06	oos	0.28952	0.279904	-3.32%	0.26562	-8.26%	0.0586	✓	-0.23
2026-07-05	oos	0.29238	0.282293	-3.45%	0.26993	-7.68%	0.0443	✓	-0.22
2026-07-04	oos	0.29104	0.280525	-3.61%	0.27867	-4.25%	0.0044	✓	-0.21
2026-07-03	oos	0.29352	0.281814	-3.99%	0.27803	-5.28%	0.0086	✓	-0.19
2026-07-02	oos	0.292	0.279691	-4.22%	0.27415	-6.11%	0.0151	✓	-0.18
2026-07-01	oos	0.27333	0.261856	-4.20%	0.28	+2.44%	0.0760	✗	-0.24
2026-06-30	oos	0.280855	0.268326	-4.46%	0.29089	+3.57%	0.0953	✗	-0.19
2026-06-29	oos	0.24758	0.23747	-4.08%	0.28952	+16.94%	0.2029	✗	-0.08
2026-06-28	oos	0.25	0.240231	-3.91%	0.29238	+16.95%	0.2000	✗	-0.05
2026-06-27	oos	0.250875	0.240701	-4.06%	0.29104	+16.01%	0.1929	✗	-0.06
2026-06-26	oos	0.25667	0.245832	-4.22%	0.29352	+14.36%	0.1794	✗	-0.05
2026-06-25	oos	0.258	0.246555	-4.44%	0.292	+13.18%	0.1703	✗	-0.04
2026-06-24	oos	0.26441	0.251058	-5.05%	0.27333	+3.37%	0.0836	✗	-0.08
2026-06-23	oos	0.243305	0.232468	-4.45%	0.280855	+15.43%	0.1881	✗	-0.02
2026-06-22	oos	0.25176	0.238857	-5.13%	0.24758	-1.66%	0.0318	✓	-0.07
2026-06-21	oos	0.25175	0.24075	-4.37%	0.25	-0.70%	0.0348	✓	-0.05
2026-06-20	oos	0.24887	0.237564	-4.54%	0.250875	+0.81%	0.0506	✗	-0.06
2026-06-19	oos	0.245725	0.234141	-4.71%	0.25667	+4.45%	0.0892	✗	-0.05
2026-06-18	oos	0.25078	0.238401	-4.94%	0.258	+2.88%	0.0782	✗	-0.01
2026-06-17	oos	0.265975	0.252179	-5.19%	0.26441	-0.59%	0.0411	✓	-0.11
2026-06-16	oos	0.27077	0.256237	-5.37%	0.243305	-10.14%	0.0588	✓	-0.15
2026-06-15	oos	0.27511	0.259738	-5.59%	0.25176	-8.49%	0.0373	✓	-0.17
2026-06-14	oos	0.274525	0.259128	-5.61%	0.25175	-8.30%	0.0347	✓	-0.15
2026-06-13	oos	0.27333	0.257291	-5.87%	0.24887	-8.95%	0.0337	✓	-0.12
2026-06-12	oos	0.282715	0.265068	-6.24%	0.245725	-13.08%	0.0758	✓	-0.05
2026-06-11	oos	0.281995	0.262821	-6.80%	0.25078	-11.07%	0.0474	✓	-0.05
2026-06-10	oos	0.26464	0.247789	-6.37%	0.265975	+0.50%	0.0766	✗	-0.12
2026-06-09	oos	0.256955	0.239315	-6.87%	0.27077	+5.38%	0.1309	✗	-0.12
2026-06-08	oos	0.23368	0.220306	-5.72%	0.27511	+17.73%	0.2249	✗	-0.06
2026-06-07	oos	0.2178	0.20583	-5.50%	0.274525	+26.04%	0.2902	✗	-0.06
2026-06-06	oos	0.21444	0.203157	-5.26%	0.27333	+27.46%	0.2974	✗	-0.01
2026-06-05	oos	0.21939	0.206421	-5.91%	0.282715	+28.86%	0.3145	✗	0.00
2026-06-04	oos	0.23152	0.214312	-7.43%	0.281995	+21.80%	0.2734	✗	-0.29
2026-06-03	oos	0.1936	0.183714	-5.11%	0.26464	+36.69%	0.3525	✗	-0.30
2026-06-02	oos	0.18198	0.172196	-5.38%	0.256955	+41.20%	0.3818	✗	-0.24
2026-06-01	oos	0.16522	0.157221	-4.84%	0.23368	+41.44%	0.4281	✗	0.26
2026-05-31	oos	0.169535	0.160699	-5.21%	0.2178	+28.47%	0.3057	✗	0.01
2026-05-30	oos	0.17431	0.164737	-5.49%	0.21444	+23.02%	0.2628	✗	-0.00
2026-05-29	oos	0.177695	0.167427	-5.78%	0.21939	+23.46%	0.4544	✗	1.00
2026-05-28	oos	0.178315	0.167499	-6.07%	0.23152	+29.84%	0.4653	✗	1.00
2026-05-27	oos	0.180295	0.168495	-6.54%	0.1936	+7.38%	0.2877	✗	1.00
2026-05-26	oos	0.164055	0.152974	-6.75%	0.18198	+10.93%	0.3025	✗	1.00
2026-05-25	oos	0.17311	0.160383	-7.35%	0.16522	-4.56%	0.1097	✗	1.00
2026-05-24	oos	0.17411	0.160626	-7.74%	0.169535	-2.63%	0.0992	✗	1.00
2026-05-23	oos	0.18742	0.172233	-8.10%	0.17431	-6.99%	0.0503	✓	1.00
2026-05-22	oos	0.185295	0.169804	-8.36%	0.177695	-4.10%	0.0733	✓	1.00
2026-05-21	oos	0.181295	0.165257	-8.85%	0.178315	-1.64%	0.1295	✗	1.00
2026-05-20	oos	0.17322	0.158268	-8.63%	0.180295	+4.08%	0.1719	✗	1.00
2026-05-19	oos	0.18601	0.169735	-8.75%	0.164055	-11.80%	0.0217	✓	1.00
2026-05-18	oos	0.19024	0.171896	-9.64%	0.17311	-9.00%	0.0031	✓	1.00
2026-05-17	oos	0.17619	0.159515	-9.46%	0.17411	-1.18%	0.0931	✓	1.00
2026-05-16	oos	0.19502	0.171635	-11.99%	0.18742	-3.90%	0.1068	✓	1.00
2026-05-15	oos	0.15268	0.137604	-9.87%	0.185295	+21.36%	0.3444	✗	1.00
2026-05-14	oos	0.116155	0.108645	-6.47%	0.181295	+56.08%	0.5566	✗	1.00
2026-05-13	oos	0.10455	0.09891	-5.39%	0.17322	+65.68%	0.5835	✗	1.00
2026-05-12	oos	0.12761	0.11665	-8.59%	0.18601	+45.76%	0.5139	✗	1.00
2026-05-11	oos	0.10276	0.09748	-5.14%	0.19024	+85.13%	0.7289	✗	1.00
2026-05-10	oos	0.08032	0.077907	-3.00%	0.17619	+119.36%	0.8761	✗	1.00
2026-05-09	oos	0.08549	0.0826	-3.38%	0.19502	+128.12%	0.8912	✗	1.00