ASSET

REAL · Ethereum · gru_s1

token id: #914
symbol: ASSET
variant: –
chain: Ethereum
address: 0x99e980265bf36516c442be982df1772a6ccb3233
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-04-30
predictions: 498

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +1d

assessed

165

of 166 predictions shown

direction hit

55.2%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0359

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0083

actual +0.0055

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.18042	0.179992	-0.24%	–	pending	–	–	0.02
2026-10-20	oos	0.18043	0.18001	-0.23%	0.18042	-0.01%	0.0023	✓	0.01
2026-10-19	oos	0.18359	0.183145	-0.24%	0.18043	-1.72%	0.0151	✓	0.01
2026-10-18	oos	0.184295	0.183815	-0.26%	0.18359	-0.38%	0.0012	✓	0.01
2026-10-17	oos	0.182895	0.18237	-0.29%	0.184295	+0.77%	0.0104	✗	0.02
2026-10-16	oos	0.178165	0.177755	-0.23%	0.182895	+2.65%	0.0285	✗	0.02
2026-10-15	oos	0.18215	0.181706	-0.24%	0.178165	-2.19%	0.0196	✓	0.02
2026-10-14	oos	0.18487	0.184373	-0.27%	0.18215	-1.47%	0.0122	✓	0.02
2026-10-13	oos	0.182	0.181502	-0.27%	0.18487	+1.58%	0.0180	✗	-0.02
2026-10-12	oos	0.1805	0.179973	-0.29%	0.182	+0.83%	0.0115	✗	-0.02
2026-10-11	oos	0.18504	0.184551	-0.26%	0.1805	-2.45%	0.0225	✓	-0.01
2026-10-10	oos	0.18501	0.184532	-0.26%	0.18504	+0.02%	0.0028	✗	-0.01
2026-10-09	oos	0.182435	0.18189	-0.30%	0.18501	+1.41%	0.0170	✗	-0.00
2026-10-08	oos	0.1874	0.186845	-0.30%	0.182435	-2.65%	0.0239	✓	-0.00
2026-10-07	oos	0.185	0.184405	-0.32%	0.1874	+1.30%	0.0164	✗	0.02
2026-10-06	oos	0.19033	0.189725	-0.32%	0.185	-2.80%	0.0255	✓	-0.01
2026-10-05	oos	0.178	0.177547	-0.25%	0.19033	+6.93%	0.0696	✗	0.02
2026-10-04	oos	0.1936	0.19293	-0.35%	0.178	-8.06%	0.0806	✓	-0.01
2026-10-03	oos	0.194695	0.193532	-0.60%	0.1936	-0.56%	0.0005	✓	-0.01
2026-10-02	oos	0.202175	0.201334	-0.42%	0.194695	-3.70%	0.0335	✓	-0.01
2026-10-01	oos	0.197955	0.197132	-0.42%	0.202175	+2.13%	0.0252	✗	-0.00
2026-09-30	oos	0.2008	0.199904	-0.45%	0.197955	-1.42%	0.0098	✓	0.00
2026-09-29	oos	0.19782	0.196838	-0.50%	0.2008	+1.51%	0.0200	✗	0.05
2026-09-28	oos	0.195415	0.194494	-0.47%	0.19782	+1.23%	0.0169	✗	0.03
2026-09-27	oos	0.2026	0.201365	-0.61%	0.195415	-3.55%	0.0311	✓	-0.09
2026-09-26	oos	0.22275	0.221627	-0.50%	0.2026	-9.05%	0.0897	✓	-0.10
2026-09-25	oos	0.22897	0.227787	-0.52%	0.22275	-2.72%	0.0220	✓	-0.10
2026-09-24	oos	0.23369	0.232745	-0.40%	0.22897	-2.02%	0.0167	✓	-0.10
2026-09-23	oos	0.24311	0.242089	-0.42%	0.23369	-3.87%	0.0353	✓	-0.10
2026-09-22	oos	0.238275	0.237361	-0.38%	0.24311	+2.03%	0.0224	✗	-0.07
2026-09-21	oos	0.24785	0.24681	-0.42%	0.238275	-3.86%	0.0359	✓	-0.15
2026-09-20	oos	0.24671	0.244908	-0.73%	0.24785	+0.46%	0.0213	✗	-0.14
2026-09-19	oos	0.23124	0.229761	-0.64%	0.24671	+6.69%	0.0710	✗	-0.14
2026-09-18	oos	0.23163	0.230165	-0.63%	0.23124	-0.17%	0.0053	✓	-0.14
2026-09-17	oos	0.23271	0.230845	-0.80%	0.23163	-0.46%	0.0118	✗	-0.15
2026-09-16	oos	0.2335	0.230944	-1.09%	0.23271	-0.34%	0.0080	✓	-0.15
2026-09-15	oos	0.24225	0.240172	-0.86%	0.2335	-3.61%	0.0275	✓	-0.09
2026-09-14	oos	0.24074	0.239154	-0.66%	0.24225	+0.63%	0.0102	✗	-0.08
2026-09-13	oos	0.240105	0.23801	-0.87%	0.24074	+0.26%	0.0127	✗	-0.08
2026-09-12	oos	0.2405	0.238126	-0.99%	0.240105	-0.16%	0.0078	✓	-0.07
2026-09-11	oos	0.24871	0.245978	-1.10%	0.2405	-3.30%	0.0225	✓	-0.07
2026-09-10	oos	0.25068	0.247822	-1.14%	0.24871	-0.79%	0.0043	✓	-0.08
2026-09-09	oos	0.24441	0.242939	-0.60%	0.25068	+2.57%	0.0299	✗	-0.06
2026-09-08	oos	0.245365	0.243924	-0.59%	0.24441	-0.39%	0.0020	✓	-0.00
2026-09-07	oos	0.24287	0.241511	-0.56%	0.245365	+1.03%	0.0158	✗	-0.00
2026-09-06	oos	0.245	0.243729	-0.52%	0.24287	-0.87%	0.0048	✓	-0.08
2026-09-05	oos	0.245875	0.244541	-0.54%	0.245	-0.36%	0.0025	✓	-0.09
2026-09-04	oos	0.252975	0.251664	-0.52%	0.245875	-2.81%	0.0231	✓	-0.07
2026-09-03	oos	0.26135	0.260139	-0.46%	0.252975	-3.20%	0.0298	✓	-0.09
2026-09-02	oos	0.25512	0.253678	-0.57%	0.26135	+2.44%	0.0322	✗	-0.05
2026-09-01	oos	0.26499	0.263184	-0.68%	0.25512	-3.72%	0.0312	✓	-0.08
2026-08-31	oos	0.252875	0.251099	-0.70%	0.26499	+4.79%	0.0519	✗	-0.13
2026-08-30	oos	0.259595	0.256877	-1.05%	0.252875	-2.59%	0.0127	✓	-0.26
2026-08-29	oos	0.24012	0.238981	-0.47%	0.259595	+8.11%	0.0811	✗	-0.22
2026-08-28	oos	0.233425	0.232352	-0.46%	0.24012	+2.87%	0.0340	✗	-0.22
2026-08-27	oos	0.24205	0.240976	-0.44%	0.233425	-3.56%	0.0398	✓	-0.26
2026-08-26	oos	0.2484	0.247275	-0.45%	0.24205	-2.56%	0.0175	✓	-0.25
2026-08-25	oos	0.24627	0.245194	-0.44%	0.2484	+0.86%	0.0145	✗	-0.24
2026-08-24	oos	0.25147	0.250358	-0.44%	0.24627	-2.07%	0.0181	✓	-0.29
2026-08-23	oos	0.25364	0.252461	-0.46%	0.25147	-0.86%	0.0002	✓	-0.26
2026-08-22	oos	0.258565	0.257328	-0.48%	0.25364	-1.90%	0.0122	✓	-0.25
2026-08-21	oos	0.253835	0.252905	-0.37%	0.258565	+1.86%	0.0179	✗	-0.26
2026-08-20	oos	0.2488	0.247791	-0.41%	0.253835	+2.02%	0.0467	✗	-0.32
2026-08-19	oos	0.251865	0.250706	-0.46%	0.2488	-1.22%	0.0097	✗	-0.33
2026-08-18	oos	0.257515	0.256168	-0.52%	0.251865	-2.19%	0.0052	✓	-0.32
2026-08-17	oos	0.263055	0.261618	-0.55%	0.257515	-2.11%	0.0147	✓	-0.34
2026-08-16	oos	0.261825	0.260498	-0.51%	0.263055	+0.47%	0.0189	✗	-0.36
2026-08-15	oos	0.26281	0.261542	-0.48%	0.261825	-0.37%	0.0000	✓	-0.36
2026-08-14	oos	0.26914	0.267804	-0.50%	0.26281	-2.35%	0.0186	✓	-0.34
2026-08-13	oos	0.26543	0.264199	-0.46%	0.26914	+1.40%	0.0156	✗	-0.42
2026-08-12	oos	0.257655	0.256649	-0.39%	0.26543	+3.02%	0.0338	✗	-0.62
2026-08-11	oos	0.26611	0.265068	-0.39%	0.257655	-3.18%	0.0294	✓	-0.53
2026-08-10	oos	0.258425	0.257586	-0.32%	0.26611	+2.97%	0.0300	✗	-0.43
2026-08-09	oos	0.258105	0.257331	-0.30%	0.258425	+0.12%	0.0034	✓	-0.53
2026-08-08	oos	0.262765	0.261954	-0.31%	0.258105	-1.77%	0.0153	✓	-0.55
2026-08-07	oos	0.2584	0.257621	-0.30%	0.262765	+1.69%	0.0199	✗	-0.60
2026-08-06	oos	0.2601	0.259349	-0.29%	0.2584	-0.65%	0.0019	✓	-0.58
2026-08-05	oos	0.26411	0.263277	-0.32%	0.2601	-1.52%	0.0151	✓	-0.57
2026-08-04	oos	0.25658	0.255795	-0.31%	0.26411	+2.93%	0.0366	✗	-0.53
2026-08-03	oos	0.267695	0.26674	-0.36%	0.25658	-4.15%	0.0344	✓	-0.48
2026-08-02	oos	0.266015	0.265031	-0.37%	0.267695	+0.63%	0.0097	✗	-0.51
2026-08-01	oos	0.258765	0.257836	-0.36%	0.266015	+2.80%	0.0364	✗	-0.44
2026-07-31	oos	0.26543	0.264319	-0.42%	0.258765	-2.51%	0.0217	✓	-0.45
2026-07-30	oos	0.26337	0.26222	-0.44%	0.26543	+0.78%	0.0017	✓	-0.47
2026-07-29	oos	0.27105	0.26967	-0.51%	0.26337	-2.83%	0.0210	✓	-0.21
2026-07-28	oos	0.27033	0.26914	-0.44%	0.27105	+0.27%	0.0072	✗	-0.20
2026-07-27	oos	0.27	0.268789	-0.45%	0.27033	+0.12%	0.0062	✗	-0.20
2026-07-26	oos	0.27424	0.272714	-0.56%	0.27	-1.55%	0.0159	✓	-0.23
2026-07-25	oos	0.285335	0.283646	-0.59%	0.27424	-3.89%	0.0305	✓	-0.20
2026-07-24	oos	0.27427	0.272734	-0.56%	0.285335	+4.03%	0.0458	✗	-0.20
2026-07-23	oos	0.28433	0.282418	-0.67%	0.27427	-3.54%	0.0327	✓	-0.23
2026-07-22	oos	0.27796	0.276324	-0.59%	0.28433	+2.29%	0.0250	✗	-0.23
2026-07-21	oos	0.28398	0.281983	-0.70%	0.27796	-2.12%	0.0159	✓	-0.23
2026-07-20	oos	0.28799	0.285685	-0.80%	0.28398	-1.39%	0.0018	✓	-0.21
2026-07-19	oos	0.27379	0.272156	-0.60%	0.28799	+5.19%	0.0584	✗	-0.23
2026-07-18	oos	0.281705	0.279989	-0.61%	0.27379	-2.81%	0.0228	✓	-0.23
2026-07-17	oos	0.28486	0.282879	-0.70%	0.281705	-1.11%	0.0012	✓	-0.21
2026-07-16	oos	0.27849	0.276388	-0.75%	0.28486	+2.29%	0.0306	✗	-0.21
2026-07-15	oos	0.252995	0.251739	-0.50%	0.27849	+10.08%	0.0984	✗	-0.18
2026-07-14	oos	0.26841	0.266921	-0.55%	0.252995	-5.74%	0.0544	✓	-0.18
2026-07-13	oos	0.26562	0.264088	-0.58%	0.26841	+1.05%	0.0241	✗	-0.18
2026-07-12	oos	0.26993	0.268268	-0.62%	0.26562	-1.60%	0.0150	✓	-0.22
2026-07-11	oos	0.27867	0.276393	-0.82%	0.26993	-3.14%	0.0238	✓	-0.21
2026-07-10	oos	0.27803	0.276159	-0.67%	0.27867	+0.23%	0.0079	✗	-0.21
2026-07-09	oos	0.27415	0.272324	-0.67%	0.27803	+1.42%	0.0239	✗	-0.21
2026-07-08	oos	0.28	0.277947	-0.73%	0.27415	-2.09%	0.0110	✓	-0.18
2026-07-07	oos	0.29089	0.288943	-0.67%	0.28	-3.74%	0.0353	✓	-0.22
2026-07-06	oos	0.28952	0.287526	-0.69%	0.29089	+0.47%	0.0092	✗	-0.23
2026-07-05	oos	0.29238	0.290395	-0.68%	0.28952	-0.98%	0.0016	✓	-0.22
2026-07-04	oos	0.29104	0.288977	-0.71%	0.29238	+0.46%	0.0133	✗	-0.21
2026-07-03	oos	0.29352	0.29102	-0.85%	0.29104	-0.84%	0.0018	✓	-0.19
2026-07-02	oos	0.292	0.289104	-0.99%	0.29352	+0.52%	0.0182	✗	-0.18
2026-07-01	oos	0.27333	0.27095	-0.87%	0.292	+6.83%	0.0809	✗	-0.24
2026-06-30	oos	0.280855	0.277965	-1.03%	0.27333	-2.68%	0.0123	✓	-0.19
2026-06-29	oos	0.24758	0.245197	-0.96%	0.280855	+13.44%	0.1337	✗	-0.08
2026-06-28	oos	0.25	0.248068	-0.77%	0.24758	-0.97%	0.0014	✓	-0.05
2026-06-27	oos	0.250875	0.248893	-0.79%	0.25	-0.35%	0.0040	✓	-0.06
2026-06-26	oos	0.25667	0.254552	-0.83%	0.250875	-2.26%	0.0146	✓	-0.05
2026-06-25	oos	0.258	0.255756	-0.87%	0.25667	-0.52%	0.0038	✓	-0.04
2026-06-24	oos	0.26441	0.260895	-1.33%	0.258	-2.42%	0.0128	✓	-0.08
2026-06-23	oos	0.243305	0.241203	-0.86%	0.26441	+8.67%	0.0915	✗	-0.02
2026-06-22	oos	0.25176	0.248211	-1.41%	0.243305	-3.36%	0.0213	✓	-0.07
2026-06-21	oos	0.25175	0.249568	-0.87%	0.25176	+0.00%	0.0093	✗	-0.05
2026-06-20	oos	0.24887	0.246766	-0.85%	0.25175	+1.16%	0.0191	✗	-0.06
2026-06-19	oos	0.245725	0.243699	-0.82%	0.24887	+1.28%	0.0215	✗	-0.05
2026-06-18	oos	0.25078	0.24845	-0.93%	0.245725	-2.02%	0.0109	✓	-0.01
2026-06-17	oos	0.265975	0.263279	-1.01%	0.25078	-5.71%	0.0514	✓	-0.11
2026-06-16	oos	0.27077	0.267886	-1.06%	0.265975	-1.77%	0.0099	✓	-0.15
2026-06-15	oos	0.27511	0.271879	-1.17%	0.27077	-1.58%	0.0058	✓	-0.17
2026-06-14	oos	0.274525	0.271498	-1.10%	0.27511	+0.21%	0.0145	✗	-0.15
2026-06-13	oos	0.27333	0.270047	-1.20%	0.274525	+0.44%	0.0188	✗	-0.12
2026-06-12	oos	0.282715	0.278987	-1.32%	0.27333	-3.32%	0.0197	✓	-0.05
2026-06-11	oos	0.281995	0.277243	-1.69%	0.282715	+0.26%	0.0195	✗	-0.05
2026-06-10	oos	0.26464	0.260637	-1.51%	0.281995	+6.56%	0.0828	✗	-0.12
2026-06-09	oos	0.256955	0.251957	-1.95%	0.26464	+2.99%	0.0486	✗	-0.12
2026-06-08	oos	0.23368	0.230642	-1.30%	0.256955	+9.96%	0.1068	✗	-0.06
2026-06-07	oos	0.2178	0.215158	-1.21%	0.23368	+7.29%	0.0824	✗	-0.06
2026-06-06	oos	0.21444	0.21191	-1.18%	0.2178	+1.57%	0.0279	✗	-0.01
2026-06-05	oos	0.21939	0.215996	-1.55%	0.21444	-2.26%	0.0072	✓	0.00
2026-06-04	oos	0.23152	0.225922	-2.42%	0.21939	-5.24%	0.0420	✓	-0.29
2026-06-03	oos	0.1936	0.19116	-1.26%	0.23152	+19.59%	0.1904	✗	-0.30
2026-06-02	oos	0.18198	0.179337	-1.45%	0.1936	+6.39%	0.0670	✗	-0.24
2026-06-01	oos	0.16522	0.163487	-1.05%	0.18198	+10.14%	0.1246	✗	0.26
2026-05-31	oos	0.169535	0.167643	-1.12%	0.16522	-2.55%	0.0142	✓	0.01
2026-05-30	oos	0.17431	0.172266	-1.17%	0.169535	-2.74%	0.0160	✓	-0.00
2026-05-29	oos	0.177695	0.175487	-1.24%	0.17431	-1.90%	0.0122	✓	1.00
2026-05-28	oos	0.178315	0.176037	-1.28%	0.177695	-0.35%	0.0114	✓	1.00
2026-05-27	oos	0.180295	0.177795	-1.39%	0.178315	-1.10%	0.0138	✓	1.00
2026-05-26	oos	0.164055	0.161927	-1.30%	0.180295	+9.90%	0.1276	✗	1.00
2026-05-25	oos	0.17311	0.170666	-1.41%	0.164055	-5.23%	0.0209	✓	1.00
2026-05-24	oos	0.17411	0.171439	-1.53%	0.17311	-0.57%	0.0062	✓	1.00
2026-05-23	oos	0.18742	0.184301	-1.66%	0.17411	-7.10%	0.0611	✓	1.00
2026-05-22	oos	0.185295	0.181961	-1.80%	0.18742	+1.15%	0.0137	✓	1.00
2026-05-21	oos	0.181295	0.177616	-2.03%	0.185295	+2.21%	0.0698	✗	1.00
2026-05-20	oos	0.17322	0.169821	-1.96%	0.181295	+4.66%	0.0645	✗	1.00
2026-05-19	oos	0.18601	0.182341	-1.97%	0.17322	-6.88%	0.0605	✓	1.00
2026-05-18	oos	0.19024	0.185295	-2.60%	0.18601	-2.22%	0.0061	✓	1.00
2026-05-17	oos	0.17619	0.171796	-2.49%	0.19024	+7.97%	0.1080	✗	1.00
2026-05-16	oos	0.19502	0.186777	-4.23%	0.17619	-9.66%	0.0494	✓	1.00
2026-05-15	oos	0.15268	0.147705	-3.26%	0.19502	+27.73%	0.2900	✗	1.00
2026-05-14	oos	0.116155	0.114135	-1.74%	0.15268	+31.45%	0.3162	✗	1.00
2026-05-13	oos	0.10455	0.10322	-1.27%	0.116155	+11.10%	0.0957	✗	1.00
2026-05-12	oos	0.12761	0.1236	-3.14%	0.10455	-18.07%	0.1524	✓	1.00
2026-05-11	oos	0.10276	0.101108	-1.61%	0.12761	+24.18%	0.2481	✗	1.00
2026-05-10	oos	0.08032	0.079722	-0.74%	0.10276	+27.94%	0.2596	✗	1.00
2026-05-09	oos	0.08549	0.084721	-0.90%	0.08032	-6.05%	0.0723	✓	1.00