XPL

Plasma · native · gru_s0

token id: #75
symbol: XPL
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2025-12-02
predictions: 948

Track record at +7d

assessed

309

of 316 predictions shown

direction hit

57.3%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1028

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0157

actual -0.0047

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.082275	0.08007	-2.68%	–	pending	–	–	1.67
2026-10-21	oos	0.08196	0.079918	-2.49%	–	pending	–	–	1.63
2026-10-20	oos	0.078225	0.076369	-2.37%	–	pending	–	–	1.63
2026-10-19	oos	0.076335	0.074641	-2.22%	–	pending	–	–	1.62
2026-10-18	oos	0.07672	0.075079	-2.14%	–	pending	–	–	1.60
2026-10-17	oos	0.078665	0.077002	-2.11%	–	pending	–	–	1.61
2026-10-16	oos	0.08273	0.080774	-2.36%	–	pending	–	–	1.61
2026-10-15	oos	0.08569	0.083424	-2.64%	0.082275	-3.99%	0.0539	✓	1.59
2026-10-14	oos	0.08026	0.078421	-2.29%	0.08196	+2.12%	0.0029	✓	1.58
2026-10-13	oos	0.08266	0.080831	-2.21%	0.078225	-5.37%	0.0296	✓	1.60
2026-10-12	oos	0.08049	0.078516	-2.45%	0.076335	-5.16%	0.0300	✓	1.60
2026-10-11	oos	0.088405	0.086285	-2.40%	0.07672	-13.22%	0.0864	✓	1.54
2026-10-10	oos	0.08732	0.085059	-2.59%	0.078665	-9.91%	0.0501	✓	1.50
2026-10-09	oos	0.084615	0.08234	-2.69%	0.08273	-2.23%	0.0239	✓	1.50
2026-10-08	oos	0.08374	0.08131	-2.90%	0.08569	+2.33%	0.0446	✗	1.50
2026-10-07	oos	0.087595	0.085365	-2.55%	0.08026	-8.37%	0.0310	✓	1.48
2026-10-06	oos	0.0898	0.088034	-1.97%	0.08266	-7.95%	0.0194	✓	1.51
2026-10-05	oos	0.09481	0.092917	-2.00%	0.08049	-15.10%	0.0704	✓	1.53
2026-10-04	oos	0.096315	0.094574	-1.81%	0.088405	-8.21%	0.0156	✓	1.56
2026-10-03	oos	0.095655	0.093724	-2.02%	0.08732	-8.71%	0.0364	✓	1.57
2026-10-02	oos	0.09332	0.091582	-1.86%	0.084615	-9.33%	0.0422	✓	1.57
2026-10-01	oos	0.09615	0.094559	-1.66%	0.08374	-12.91%	0.0621	✓	1.57
2026-09-30	oos	0.09486	0.093086	-1.87%	0.087595	-7.66%	0.0554	✓	1.60
2026-09-29	oos	0.095765	0.093931	-1.92%	0.0898	-6.23%	0.0812	✓	1.61
2026-09-28	oos	0.09828	0.096372	-1.94%	0.09481	-3.53%	0.0601	✓	1.62
2026-09-27	oos	0.10609	0.103984	-1.99%	0.096315	-9.21%	0.1176	✓	1.71
2026-09-26	oos	0.111465	0.109082	-2.14%	0.095655	-14.18%	0.1380	✓	1.73
2026-09-25	oos	0.11463	0.111683	-2.57%	0.09332	-18.59%	0.1881	✓	1.74
2026-09-24	oos	0.11085	0.108258	-2.34%	0.09615	-13.26%	0.1282	✓	1.75
2026-09-23	oos	0.09	0.089244	-0.84%	0.09486	+5.40%	0.0783	✗	1.77
2026-09-22	oos	0.096375	0.095545	-0.86%	0.095765	-0.63%	0.0516	✗	1.63
2026-09-21	oos	0.09799	0.097132	-0.88%	0.09828	+0.30%	0.0696	✗	1.57
2026-09-20	oos	0.089235	0.08852	-0.80%	0.10609	+18.89%	0.1205	✗	1.52
2026-09-19	oos	0.092185	0.091362	-0.89%	0.111465	+20.91%	0.1413	✗	1.50
2026-09-18	oos	0.093815	0.092847	-1.03%	0.11463	+22.19%	0.1516	✗	1.52
2026-09-17	oos	0.08742	0.086347	-1.23%	0.11085	+26.80%	0.0984	✗	1.51
2026-09-16	oos	0.080975	0.080538	-0.54%	0.09	+11.15%	0.0446	✓	1.52
2026-09-15	oos	0.08188	0.08138	-0.61%	0.096375	+17.70%	0.0407	✓	1.60
2026-09-14	oos	0.083915	0.083753	-0.19%	0.09799	+16.77%	0.0050	✗	1.49
2026-09-13	oos	0.077795	0.077903	+0.14%	0.089235	+14.71%	0.0559	✓	1.45
2026-09-12	oos	0.08006	0.080354	+0.37%	0.092185	+15.14%	0.0650	✓	1.44
2026-09-11	oos	0.08248	0.082918	+0.53%	0.093815	+13.74%	0.0564	✓	1.44
2026-09-10	oos	0.08409	0.084396	+0.36%	0.08742	+3.96%	0.0388	✓	1.46
2026-09-09	oos	0.089185	0.089748	+0.63%	0.080975	-9.21%	0.0630	✗	1.44
2026-09-08	oos	0.09834	0.098368	+0.03%	0.08188	-16.74%	0.1248	✗	1.58
2026-09-07	oos	0.09294	0.0934	+0.49%	0.083915	-9.71%	0.0883	✗	1.61
2026-09-06	oos	0.08958	0.090531	+1.06%	0.077795	-13.16%	0.0767	✗	1.66
2026-09-05	oos	0.09312	0.093899	+0.84%	0.08006	-14.02%	0.1050	✗	1.67
2026-09-04	oos	0.0932	0.094214	+1.09%	0.08248	-11.50%	0.0809	✗	1.66
2026-09-03	oos	0.09647	0.097933	+1.52%	0.08409	-12.83%	0.0529	✗	1.66
2026-09-02	oos	0.08328	0.083867	+0.70%	0.089185	+7.09%	0.0391	✓	1.78
2026-09-01	oos	0.08264	0.083322	+0.83%	0.09834	+19.00%	0.1415	✓	1.80
2026-08-31	oos	0.08387	0.084773	+1.08%	0.09294	+10.81%	0.0811	✓	1.61
2026-08-30	oos	0.08409	0.084692	+0.72%	0.08958	+6.53%	0.0034	✓	1.56
2026-08-29	oos	0.08687	0.087568	+0.80%	0.09312	+7.19%	0.0315	✓	1.48
2026-08-28	oos	0.084565	0.085233	+0.79%	0.0932	+10.21%	0.0548	✓	1.48
2026-08-27	oos	0.09021	0.091448	+1.37%	0.09647	+6.94%	0.0355	✓	1.47
2026-08-26	oos	0.08772	0.088658	+1.07%	0.08328	-5.06%	0.0302	✗	1.47
2026-08-25	oos	0.09047	0.091177	+0.78%	0.08264	-8.65%	0.0775	✗	1.44
2026-08-24	oos	0.09737	0.097951	+0.60%	0.08387	-13.86%	0.1476	✗	1.43
2026-08-23	oos	0.10164	0.101802	+0.16%	0.08409	-17.27%	0.1900	✗	1.43
2026-08-22	oos	0.09372	0.094006	+0.31%	0.08687	-7.31%	0.1006	✗	1.42
2026-08-21	oos	0.1016	0.10174	+0.14%	0.084565	-16.77%	0.1762	✗	1.40
2026-08-20	oos	0.08887	0.088342	-0.59%	0.09021	+1.51%	0.1051	✓	1.33
2026-08-19	oos	0.08041	0.079395	-1.26%	0.08772	+9.09%	0.0740	✓	1.32
2026-08-18	oos	0.07589	0.074118	-2.34%	0.09047	+19.21%	0.0741	✓	1.41
2026-08-17	oos	0.07608	0.074293	-2.35%	0.09737	+27.98%	0.0199	✓	1.43
2026-08-16	oos	0.074825	0.07283	-2.67%	0.10164	+35.84%	0.0241	✓	1.45
2026-08-15	oos	0.07584	0.073821	-2.66%	0.09372	+23.58%	0.0533	✓	1.45
2026-08-14	oos	0.07636	0.074214	-2.81%	0.1016	+33.05%	0.0042	✓	1.46
2026-08-13	oos	0.075355	0.073229	-2.82%	0.08887	+17.94%	0.0129	✓	1.47
2026-08-12	oos	0.07392	0.071783	-2.89%	0.08041	+8.78%	0.0197	✓	1.50
2026-08-11	oos	0.078525	0.076195	-2.97%	0.07589	-3.36%	0.0307	✓	1.49
2026-08-10	oos	0.07868	0.076263	-3.07%	0.07608	-3.30%	0.0155	✓	1.49
2026-08-09	oos	0.07661	0.074484	-2.77%	0.074825	-2.33%	0.0527	✗	1.53
2026-08-08	oos	0.076085	0.074032	-2.70%	0.07584	-0.32%	0.0694	✗	1.53
2026-08-07	oos	0.075755	0.073763	-2.63%	0.07636	+0.80%	0.0801	✗	1.52
2026-08-06	oos	0.07508	0.073	-2.77%	0.075355	+0.37%	0.0516	✗	1.51
2026-08-05	oos	0.07497	0.072979	-2.66%	0.07392	-1.40%	0.0410	✗	1.51
2026-08-04	oos	0.077895	0.075713	-2.80%	0.078525	+0.81%	0.0486	✗	1.49
2026-08-03	oos	0.07758	0.075386	-2.83%	0.07868	+1.42%	0.0322	✗	1.51
2026-08-02	oos	0.076	0.073973	-2.67%	0.07661	+0.80%	0.0030	✓	1.52
2026-08-01	oos	0.07515	0.073149	-2.66%	0.076085	+1.24%	0.0111	✓	1.50
2026-07-31	oos	0.07355	0.071765	-2.43%	0.075755	+3.00%	0.0056	✓	1.50
2026-07-30	oos	0.07805	0.076432	-2.07%	0.07508	-3.81%	0.0074	✓	1.48
2026-07-29	oos	0.07715	0.075595	-2.02%	0.07497	-2.83%	0.0242	✓	1.45
2026-07-28	oos	0.08355	0.081755	-2.15%	0.077895	-6.77%	0.0530	✓	1.45
2026-07-27	oos	0.07885	0.077332	-1.92%	0.07758	-1.61%	0.0084	✓	1.44
2026-07-26	oos	0.08525	0.083939	-1.54%	0.076	-10.85%	0.0590	✓	1.41
2026-07-25	oos	0.08325	0.082108	-1.37%	0.07515	-9.73%	0.0545	✓	1.41
2026-07-24	oos	0.08465	0.083641	-1.19%	0.07355	-13.11%	0.1006	✓	1.41
2026-07-23	oos	0.08115	0.080584	-0.70%	0.07805	-3.82%	0.0247	✓	1.44
2026-07-22	oos	0.0849	0.084446	-0.53%	0.07715	-9.13%	0.0424	✓	1.42
2026-07-21	oos	0.08365	0.083465	-0.22%	0.08355	-0.12%	0.0595	✗	1.43
2026-07-20	oos	0.08505	0.084705	-0.41%	0.07885	-7.29%	0.0381	✓	1.42
2026-07-19	oos	0.0804	0.080183	-0.27%	0.08525	+6.03%	0.0471	✗	1.40
2026-07-18	oos	0.0827	0.08249	-0.25%	0.08325	+0.67%	0.0198	✗	1.37
2026-07-17	oos	0.0852	0.084895	-0.36%	0.08465	-0.65%	0.0071	✓	1.41
2026-07-16	oos	0.0864	0.086031	-0.43%	0.08115	-6.08%	0.0877	✓	1.47
2026-07-15	oos	0.092	0.091436	-0.61%	0.0849	-7.72%	0.1023	✓	1.34
2026-07-14	oos	0.0932	0.092564	-0.68%	0.08365	-10.25%	0.1327	✓	1.35
2026-07-13	oos	0.0895	0.088781	-0.80%	0.08505	-4.97%	0.1061	✓	1.37
2026-07-12	oos	0.08885	0.088247	-0.68%	0.0804	-9.51%	0.1136	✓	1.40
2026-07-11	oos	0.0909	0.090258	-0.71%	0.0827	-9.02%	0.1110	✓	1.48
2026-07-10	oos	0.09185	0.091181	-0.73%	0.0852	-7.24%	0.0623	✓	1.52
2026-07-09	oos	0.0954	0.094616	-0.82%	0.0864	-9.43%	0.1055	✓	1.56
2026-07-08	oos	0.0909	0.090259	-0.71%	0.092	+1.21%	0.0419	✓	1.56
2026-07-07	oos	0.0988	0.097971	-0.84%	0.0932	-5.67%	0.0895	✓	1.53
2026-07-06	oos	0.1092	0.107925	-1.17%	0.0895	-18.04%	0.1456	✓	1.51
2026-07-05	oos	0.10665	0.105373	-1.20%	0.08885	-16.69%	0.1743	✓	1.53
2026-07-04	oos	0.1066	0.105233	-1.28%	0.0909	-14.73%	0.1630	✓	1.53
2026-07-03	oos	0.1067	0.105231	-1.38%	0.09185	-13.92%	0.1749	✓	1.53
2026-07-02	oos	0.0951	0.094055	-1.10%	0.0954	+0.32%	0.0264	✓	1.50
2026-07-01	oos	0.0908	0.089908	-0.98%	0.0909	+0.11%	0.0444	✓	1.49
2026-06-30	oos	0.0866	0.085856	-0.86%	0.0988	+14.09%	0.0296	✗	1.41
2026-06-29	oos	0.1049	0.103407	-1.42%	0.1092	+4.10%	0.0249	✓	1.28
2026-06-28	oos	0.0958	0.094715	-1.13%	0.10665	+11.33%	0.0339	✗	1.27
2026-06-27	oos	0.10085	0.099611	-1.23%	0.1066	+5.70%	0.0032	✓	1.26
2026-06-26	oos	0.1037	0.102225	-1.42%	0.1067	+2.89%	0.0091	✓	1.26
2026-06-25	oos	0.1049	0.103122	-1.69%	0.0951	-9.34%	0.1182	✓	1.27
2026-06-24	oos	0.092	0.091009	-1.08%	0.0908	-1.30%	0.0207	✗	1.36
2026-06-23	oos	0.0888	0.087943	-0.96%	0.0866	-2.48%	0.0824	✗	1.44
2026-06-22	oos	0.08485	0.084155	-0.82%	0.1049	+23.63%	0.3109	✗	1.48
2026-06-21	oos	0.0892	0.088372	-0.93%	0.0958	+7.40%	0.1731	✗	1.51
2026-06-20	oos	0.0943	0.093244	-1.12%	0.10085	+6.95%	0.1809	✗	1.48
2026-06-19	oos	0.1008	0.099345	-1.44%	0.1037	+2.88%	0.1279	✗	1.51
2026-06-18	oos	0.0978	0.096394	-1.44%	0.1049	+7.26%	0.1622	✗	1.50
2026-06-17	oos	0.1126	0.109614	-2.65%	0.092	-18.29%	0.0972	✓	1.41
2026-06-16	oos	0.0913	0.08986	-1.58%	0.0888	-2.74%	0.0602	✗	1.55
2026-06-15	oos	0.09015	0.088565	-1.76%	0.08485	-5.88%	0.0140	✓	1.59
2026-06-14	oos	0.0896	0.087995	-1.79%	0.0892	-0.45%	0.0749	✗	1.60
2026-06-13	oos	0.087	0.085346	-1.90%	0.0943	+8.39%	0.1052	✗	1.68
2026-06-12	oos	0.0826	0.080811	-2.17%	0.1008	+22.03%	0.2226	✗	1.63
2026-06-11	oos	0.0754	0.074067	-1.77%	0.0978	+29.71%	0.2956	✗	1.63
2026-06-10	oos	0.0612	0.060768	-0.71%	0.1126	+83.99%	0.5463	✗	1.48
2026-06-09	oos	0.0661	0.06552	-0.88%	0.0913	+38.12%	0.2401	✗	1.48
2026-06-08	oos	0.07	0.069172	-1.18%	0.09015	+28.79%	0.1917	✗	1.47
2026-06-07	oos	0.0693	0.068434	-1.25%	0.0896	+29.29%	0.2133	✗	1.51
2026-06-06	oos	0.0655	0.065002	-0.76%	0.087	+32.82%	0.2096	✗	1.43
2026-06-05	oos	0.067	0.066468	-0.79%	0.0826	+23.28%	0.1599	✗	1.43
2026-06-04	oos	0.0844	0.082633	-2.09%	0.0754	-10.66%	0.0869	✓	1.23
2026-06-03	oos	0.0939	0.090964	-3.13%	0.0612	-34.82%	0.3399	✓	1.37
2026-06-02	oos	0.0862	0.083899	-2.67%	0.0661	-23.32%	0.1246	✓	1.47
2026-06-01	oos	0.093	0.089492	-3.77%	0.07	-24.73%	0.0809	✓	1.34
2026-05-31	oos	0.0891	0.085794	-3.71%	0.0693	-22.22%	0.0037	✓	1.39
2026-05-30	oos	0.091	0.087402	-3.95%	0.0655	-28.02%	0.0182	✓	1.40
2026-05-29	oos	0.0887	0.085157	-3.99%	0.067	-24.46%	0.0196	✓	1.41
2026-05-28	oos	0.0955	0.091203	-4.50%	0.0844	-11.62%	0.1262	✗	1.44
2026-05-27	oos	0.0851	0.082308	-3.28%	0.0939	+10.34%	0.3516	✗	1.48
2026-05-26	oos	0.0881	0.08532	-3.16%	0.0862	-2.16%	0.2027	✗	1.49
2026-05-25	oos	0.08605	0.083455	-3.02%	0.093	+8.08%	0.2398	✗	1.65
2026-05-24	oos	0.0813	0.079096	-2.71%	0.0891	+9.59%	0.1931	✗	1.64
2026-05-23	oos	0.0843	0.081862	-2.89%	0.091	+7.95%	0.1666	✗	1.59
2026-05-22	oos	0.0822	0.080092	-2.56%	0.0887	+7.91%	0.1466	✗	1.60
2026-05-21	oos	0.0897	0.086854	-3.17%	0.0955	+6.47%	0.1786	✗	1.57
2026-05-20	oos	0.0872	0.084529	-3.06%	0.0851	-2.41%	0.0719	✗	1.57
2026-05-19	oos	0.08165	0.079729	-2.35%	0.0881	+7.90%	0.1190	✗	1.56
2026-05-18	oos	0.08375	0.081739	-2.40%	0.08605	+2.75%	0.0452	✗	1.56
2026-05-17	oos	0.0836	0.08166	-2.32%	0.0813	-2.75%	0.0044	✓	1.57
2026-05-16	oos	0.0867	0.084538	-2.49%	0.0843	-2.77%	0.0267	✗	1.57
2026-05-15	oos	0.089	0.086655	-2.64%	0.0822	-7.64%	0.0212	✓	1.58
2026-05-14	oos	0.09635	0.093623	-2.83%	0.0897	-6.90%	0.0270	✓	1.57
2026-05-13	oos	0.0942	0.091428	-2.94%	0.0872	-7.43%	0.0110	✓	1.57
2026-05-12	oos	0.09605	0.093367	-2.79%	0.08165	-14.99%	0.0619	✓	1.53
2026-05-11	oos	0.1024	0.099619	-2.72%	0.08375	-18.21%	0.0843	✓	1.48
2026-05-10	oos	0.10735	0.10447	-2.68%	0.0836	-22.12%	0.1343	✓	1.47
2026-05-09	oos	0.1062	0.1031	-2.92%	0.0867	-18.36%	0.1257	✓	1.48
2026-05-08	oos	0.1102	0.106452	-3.40%	0.089	-19.24%	0.1581	✓	1.47
2026-05-07	oos	0.1066	0.103252	-3.14%	0.09635	-9.62%	0.0887	✓	1.46
2026-05-06	oos	0.10005	0.097542	-2.51%	0.0942	-5.85%	0.0009	✓	1.27
2026-05-05	oos	0.09255	0.090502	-2.21%	0.09605	+3.78%	0.0661	✗	1.25
2026-05-04	oos	0.0884	0.086459	-2.20%	0.1024	+15.84%	0.1408	✗	1.23
2026-05-03	oos	0.0897	0.087454	-2.50%	0.10735	+19.68%	0.1483	✗	1.25
2026-05-02	oos	0.0906	0.08841	-2.42%	0.1062	+17.22%	0.1524	✗	1.25
2026-05-01	oos	0.0911	0.088775	-2.55%	0.1102	+20.97%	0.1852	✗	1.26
2026-04-30	oos	0.0912	0.088538	-2.92%	0.1066	+16.89%	0.1236	✗	1.31
2026-04-29	oos	0.09305	0.090206	-3.06%	0.10005	+7.52%	0.0085	✓	1.31
2026-04-28	oos	0.0961	0.09309	-3.13%	0.09255	-3.69%	0.0848	✓	1.35
2026-04-27	oos	0.0984	0.095514	-2.93%	0.0884	-10.16%	0.1203	✓	1.35
2026-04-26	oos	0.1007	0.098068	-2.61%	0.0897	-10.92%	0.0872	✓	1.37
2026-04-25	oos	0.10015	0.097154	-2.99%	0.0906	-9.54%	0.0880	✓	1.37
2026-04-24	oos	0.10005	0.097159	-2.89%	0.0911	-8.95%	0.0782	✓	1.39
2026-04-23	oos	0.10105	0.0985	-2.52%	0.0912	-9.75%	0.0416	✓	1.39
2026-04-22	oos	0.10175	0.099355	-2.35%	0.09305	-8.55%	0.0213	✓	1.39
2026-04-21	oos	0.1026	0.099715	-2.81%	0.0961	-6.34%	0.0364	✓	1.40
2026-04-20	oos	0.1046	0.10166	-2.81%	0.0984	-5.93%	0.0601	✓	1.40
2026-04-19	oos	0.10385	0.10041	-3.31%	0.1007	-3.03%	0.0883	✓	1.43
2026-04-18	oos	0.10935	0.106509	-2.60%	0.10015	-8.41%	0.0971	✓	1.43
2026-04-17	oos	0.1274	0.124268	-2.46%	0.10005	-21.47%	0.2234	✓	1.41
2026-04-16	oos	0.1408	0.136312	-3.19%	0.10105	-28.23%	0.3585	✓	1.45
2026-04-15	oos	0.13105	0.127449	-2.75%	0.10175	-22.36%	0.2891	✓	1.45
2026-04-14	oos	0.134	0.130189	-2.84%	0.1026	-23.43%	0.2805	✓	1.47
2026-04-13	oos	0.14	0.135684	-3.08%	0.1046	-25.29%	0.2878	✓	1.46
2026-04-12	oos	0.12425	0.12035	-3.14%	0.10385	-16.42%	0.2081	✓	1.43
2026-04-11	oos	0.1367	0.132627	-2.98%	0.10935	-20.01%	0.2431	✓	1.41
2026-04-10	oos	0.13035	0.126478	-2.97%	0.1274	-2.26%	0.0696	✓	1.41
2026-04-09	oos	0.12315	0.119592	-2.89%	0.1408	+14.33%	0.0992	✗	1.40
2026-04-08	oos	0.1247	0.120934	-3.02%	0.13105	+5.09%	0.0083	✓	1.40
2026-04-07	oos	0.1303	0.126134	-3.20%	0.134	+2.84%	0.0171	✓	1.40
2026-04-06	oos	0.1201	0.11603	-3.39%	0.14	+16.57%	0.0770	✗	1.42
2026-04-05	oos	0.12165	0.11758	-3.35%	0.12425	+2.14%	0.0196	✓	1.42
2026-04-04	oos	0.11735	0.113294	-3.46%	0.1367	+16.49%	0.0718	✗	1.40
2026-04-03	oos	0.1103	0.106578	-3.37%	0.13035	+18.18%	0.0812	✗	1.39
2026-04-02	oos	0.1191	0.113373	-4.81%	0.12315	+3.40%	0.0161	✓	1.40
2026-04-01	oos	0.106	0.102592	-3.21%	0.1247	+17.64%	0.1335	✗	1.44
2026-03-31	oos	0.09285	0.090513	-2.52%	0.1303	+40.33%	0.2880	✗	1.45
2026-03-30	oos	0.08835	0.086254	-2.37%	0.1201	+35.94%	0.2860	✗	1.44
2026-03-29	oos	0.0864	0.084531	-2.16%	0.12165	+40.80%	0.2987	✗	1.45
2026-03-28	oos	0.08865	0.086772	-2.12%	0.11735	+32.37%	0.2809	✗	1.44
2026-03-27	oos	0.08925	0.087505	-1.96%	0.1103	+23.59%	0.2184	✗	1.44
2026-03-26	oos	0.09365	0.092012	-1.75%	0.1191	+27.18%	0.2982	✗	1.45
2026-03-25	oos	0.1005	0.098995	-1.50%	0.106	+5.47%	0.1347	✗	1.45
2026-03-24	oos	0.0977	0.096408	-1.32%	0.09285	-4.96%	0.0106	✓	1.45
2026-03-23	oos	0.09655	0.095525	-1.06%	0.08835	-8.49%	0.0091	✓	1.45
2026-03-22	oos	0.09105	0.09011	-1.03%	0.0864	-5.11%	0.0012	✓	1.45
2026-03-21	oos	0.0927	0.091997	-0.76%	0.08865	-4.37%	0.0185	✗	1.45
2026-03-20	oos	0.09425	0.093891	-0.38%	0.08925	-5.31%	0.0370	✗	1.45
2026-03-19	oos	0.099	0.098669	-0.33%	0.09365	-5.40%	0.0280	✓	1.46
2026-03-18	oos	0.10845	0.108091	-0.33%	0.1005	-7.33%	0.0740	✓	1.46
2026-03-17	oos	0.11855	0.118147	-0.34%	0.0977	-17.59%	0.1216	✓	1.45
2026-03-16	oos	0.1238	0.123222	-0.47%	0.09655	-22.01%	0.1637	✓	1.46
2026-03-15	oos	0.10745	0.107307	-0.13%	0.09105	-15.26%	0.0642	✓	1.41
2026-03-14	oos	0.11025	0.109924	-0.30%	0.0927	-15.92%	0.1225	✓	1.45
2026-03-13	oos	0.10835	0.10805	-0.28%	0.09425	-13.01%	0.1275	✓	1.45
2026-03-12	oos	0.1065	0.10617	-0.31%	0.099	-7.04%	0.0573	✓	1.45
2026-03-11	oos	0.0996	0.099422	-0.18%	0.10845	+8.89%	0.0656	✗	1.46
2026-03-10	oos	0.09915	0.098917	-0.23%	0.11855	+19.57%	0.1009	✗	1.45
2026-03-09	oos	0.091	0.090901	-0.11%	0.1238	+36.04%	0.1795	✗	1.44
2026-03-08	oos	0.09305	0.092848	-0.22%	0.10745	+15.48%	0.0011	✓	1.49
2026-03-07	oos	0.0948	0.094612	-0.20%	0.11025	+16.30%	0.0675	✗	1.49
2026-03-06	oos	0.0987	0.098491	-0.21%	0.10835	+9.78%	0.0354	✗	1.47
2026-03-05	oos	0.11895	0.117996	-0.80%	0.1065	-10.47%	0.0954	✓	1.41
2026-03-04	oos	0.1142	0.113391	-0.71%	0.0996	-12.78%	0.0795	✓	1.45
2026-03-03	oos	0.1157	0.114454	-1.08%	0.09915	-14.30%	0.1795	✓	1.53
2026-03-02	oos	0.1046	0.103946	-0.62%	0.091	-13.00%	0.1241	✓	1.52
2026-03-01	oos	0.0976	0.097143	-0.47%	0.09305	-4.66%	0.0477	✓	1.52
2026-02-28	oos	0.1019	0.101241	-0.65%	0.0948	-6.97%	0.0723	✓	1.52
2026-02-27	oos	0.0917	0.091403	-0.32%	0.0987	+7.63%	0.0265	✗	1.50
2026-02-26	oos	0.0946	0.094189	-0.43%	0.11895	+25.74%	0.1597	✗	1.50
2026-02-25	oos	0.1034	0.102409	-0.96%	0.1142	+10.44%	0.0092	✓	1.50
2026-02-24	oos	0.0871	0.086915	-0.21%	0.1157	+32.84%	0.1947	✗	1.42
2026-02-23	oos	0.087	0.086799	-0.23%	0.1046	+20.23%	0.0972	✗	1.42
2026-02-22	oos	0.08955	0.089182	-0.41%	0.0976	+8.99%	0.1302	✗	1.44
2026-02-21	oos	0.0967	0.095999	-0.72%	0.1019	+5.38%	0.0807	✗	1.44
2026-02-20	oos	0.09515	0.094455	-0.73%	0.0917	-3.63%	0.0161	✗	1.44
2026-02-19	oos	0.09365	0.093002	-0.69%	0.0946	+1.01%	0.0059	✓	1.44
2026-02-18	oos	0.09235	0.091738	-0.66%	0.1034	+11.97%	0.0860	✗	1.44
2026-02-17	oos	0.0966	0.095728	-0.90%	0.0871	-9.83%	0.0203	✓	1.44
2026-02-16	oos	0.1022	0.100892	-1.28%	0.087	-14.87%	0.0575	✓	1.43
2026-02-15	oos	0.0962	0.09523	-1.01%	0.08955	-6.91%	0.0370	✓	1.42
2026-02-14	oos	0.1022	0.100776	-1.39%	0.0967	-5.38%	0.0036	✓	1.42
2026-02-13	oos	0.0973	0.096101	-1.23%	0.09515	-2.21%	0.0071	✓	1.41
2026-02-12	oos	0.09185	0.090997	-0.93%	0.09365	+1.96%	0.0126	✗	1.41
2026-02-11	oos	0.0816	0.081561	-0.05%	0.09235	+13.17%	0.1371	✗	1.42
2026-02-10	oos	0.08105	0.081035	-0.02%	0.0966	+19.19%	0.2040	✗	1.44
2026-02-09	oos	0.08365	0.083514	-0.16%	0.1022	+22.18%	0.2277	✗	1.44
2026-02-08	oos	0.0826	0.082706	+0.13%	0.0962	+16.46%	0.1820	✓	1.44
2026-02-07	oos	0.0838	0.084153	+0.42%	0.1022	+21.96%	0.1830	✓	1.45
2026-02-06	oos	0.08375	0.08427	+0.62%	0.0973	+16.18%	0.1797	✓	1.46
2026-02-05	oos	0.0789	0.081147	+2.85%	0.09185	+16.41%	0.0323	✓	1.73
2026-02-04	oos	0.09485	0.094937	+0.09%	0.0816	-13.97%	0.0357	✓	2.19
2026-02-03	oos	0.0951	0.09538	+0.29%	0.08105	-14.77%	0.0556	✓	2.30
2026-02-02	oos	0.10395	0.103632	-0.31%	0.08365	-19.53%	0.0516	✗	2.31
2026-02-01	oos	0.1013	0.102027	+0.72%	0.0826	-18.46%	0.0014	✓	2.33
2026-01-31	oos	0.1063	0.106898	+0.56%	0.0838	-21.17%	0.0544	✓	2.34
2026-01-30	oos	0.12285	0.12098	-1.52%	0.08375	-31.83%	0.0547	✗	2.40
2026-01-29	oos	0.1257	0.123603	-1.67%	0.0789	-37.23%	0.2634	✗	2.40
2026-01-28	oos	0.145	0.139966	-3.47%	0.09485	-34.59%	0.0826	✗	2.36
2026-01-27	oos	0.1384	0.133922	-3.24%	0.0951	-31.29%	0.0432	✗	2.36
2026-01-26	oos	0.12485	0.122425	-1.94%	0.10395	-16.74%	0.1003	✗	2.30
2026-01-25	oos	0.1186	0.117129	-1.24%	0.1013	-14.59%	0.1245	✗	2.28
2026-01-24	oos	0.1291	0.126278	-2.19%	0.1063	-17.66%	0.1080	✗	2.25
2026-01-23	oos	0.1244	0.121932	-1.98%	0.12285	-1.25%	0.1475	✗	2.26
2026-01-22	oos	0.12285	0.120412	-1.98%	0.1257	+2.32%	0.1719	✗	2.26
2026-01-21	oos	0.126	0.123287	-2.15%	0.145	+15.08%	0.1673	✗	2.27
2026-01-20	oos	0.1206	0.117901	-2.24%	0.1384	+14.76%	0.1399	✗	2.24
2026-01-19	oos	0.1338	0.130624	-2.37%	0.12485	-6.69%	0.0636	✗	2.28
2026-01-18	oos	0.1314	0.128217	-2.42%	0.1186	-9.74%	0.1057	✗	2.34
2026-01-17	oos	0.1404	0.1376	-1.99%	0.1291	-8.05%	0.0873	✗	2.31
2026-01-16	oos	0.1447	0.142193	-1.73%	0.1244	-14.03%	0.0164	✓	2.30
2026-01-15	oos	0.1428	0.140422	-1.67%	0.12285	-13.97%	0.0189	✗	2.31
2026-01-14	oos	0.1618	0.159529	-1.40%	0.126	-22.13%	0.0582	✓	2.18
2026-01-13	oos	0.1617	0.159019	-1.66%	0.1206	-25.42%	0.1053	✓	2.22
2026-01-12	oos	0.1533	0.150122	-2.07%	0.1338	-12.72%	0.1516	✓	2.45
2026-01-11	oos	0.1645	0.161168	-2.03%	0.1314	-20.12%	0.2784	✓	2.48
2026-01-10	oos	0.161	0.157893	-1.93%	0.1404	-12.80%	0.2437	✓	2.47
2026-01-09	oos	0.1692	0.166176	-1.79%	0.1447	-14.48%	0.2706	✓	2.47
2026-01-08	oos	0.1651	0.162498	-1.58%	0.1428	-13.51%	0.2511	✓	2.49
2026-01-07	oos	0.1787	0.175919	-1.56%	0.1618	-9.46%	0.2326	✓	2.47
2026-01-06	oos	0.2092	0.205375	-1.83%	0.1617	-22.71%	0.2766	✓	2.14
2026-01-05	oos	0.1898	0.18709	-1.43%	0.1533	-19.23%	0.1364	✓	2.17
2026-01-04	oos	0.1926	0.189368	-1.68%	0.1645	-14.59%	0.1242	✓	2.43
2026-01-03	oos	0.1988	0.194979	-1.92%	0.161	-19.01%	0.1853	✓	2.51
2026-01-02	oos	0.1956	0.191411	-2.14%	0.1692	-13.50%	0.1389	✓	2.52
2026-01-01	oos	0.171	0.168043	-1.73%	0.1651	-3.45%	0.0761	✓	2.30
2025-12-31	oos	0.1612	0.158457	-1.70%	0.1787	+10.86%	0.0779	✗	1.00
2025-12-30	oos	0.1638	0.161069	-1.67%	0.2092	+27.72%	0.2030	✗	1.00
2025-12-29	oos	0.1582	0.155377	-1.78%	0.1898	+19.97%	0.1254	✗	1.00
2025-12-28	oos	0.1554	0.152598	-1.80%	0.1926	+23.94%	0.1925	✗	1.00
2025-12-27	oos	0.1531	0.150323	-1.81%	0.1988	+29.85%	0.2482	✗	1.00
2025-12-26	oos	0.13975	0.137314	-1.74%	0.1956	+39.96%	0.3238	✗	1.00
2025-12-25	oos	0.1332	0.130829	-1.78%	0.171	+28.38%	0.2500	✗	1.00
2025-12-24	oos	0.133	0.130578	-1.82%	0.1612	+21.20%	0.2119	✗	1.00
2025-12-23	oos	0.1299	0.127493	-1.85%	0.1638	+26.10%	0.2396	✗	1.00
2025-12-22	oos	0.1284	0.12608	-1.81%	0.1582	+23.21%	0.2434	✗	1.00
2025-12-21	oos	0.1293	0.126961	-1.81%	0.1554	+20.19%	0.2108	✗	1.00
2025-12-20	oos	0.137	0.134472	-1.85%	0.1531	+11.75%	0.1356	✗	1.00
2025-12-19	oos	0.1312	0.128566	-2.01%	0.13975	+6.52%	0.0925	✗	1.00
2025-12-18	oos	0.1193	0.116408	-2.42%	0.1332	+11.65%	0.1149	✗	1.00
2025-12-17	oos	0.12525	0.122614	-2.10%	0.133	+6.19%	0.0652	✗	1.00
2025-12-16	oos	0.13345	0.131081	-1.78%	0.1299	-2.66%	0.0042	✓	1.00
2025-12-15	oos	0.13525	0.132961	-1.69%	0.1284	-5.06%	0.0594	✓	1.00
2025-12-14	oos	0.15155	0.149202	-1.55%	0.1293	-14.68%	0.1485	✓	1.00
2025-12-13	oos	0.1562	0.153894	-1.48%	0.137	-12.29%	0.0947	✓	1.00
2025-12-12	oos	0.1484	0.146305	-1.41%	0.1312	-11.59%	0.0845	✓	1.00
2025-12-11	oos	0.16325	0.161118	-1.31%	0.1193	-26.92%	0.2209	✓	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.