XPL

Plasma · native · gru_s0

token id: #75
symbol: XPL
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2025-12-02
predictions: 948

Track record at +30d

assessed

286

of 316 predictions shown

direction hit

59.4%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1872

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0402

actual -0.0190

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.082275	0.076502	-7.02%	–	pending	–	–	1.67
2026-10-21	oos	0.08196	0.076505	-6.66%	–	pending	–	–	1.63
2026-10-20	oos	0.078225	0.072604	-7.19%	–	pending	–	–	1.63
2026-10-19	oos	0.076335	0.070558	-7.57%	–	pending	–	–	1.62
2026-10-18	oos	0.07672	0.070991	-7.47%	–	pending	–	–	1.60
2026-10-17	oos	0.078665	0.072701	-7.58%	–	pending	–	–	1.61
2026-10-16	oos	0.08273	0.076402	-7.65%	–	pending	–	–	1.61
2026-10-15	oos	0.08569	0.079294	-7.46%	–	pending	–	–	1.59
2026-10-14	oos	0.08026	0.074028	-7.76%	–	pending	–	–	1.58
2026-10-13	oos	0.08266	0.077059	-6.78%	–	pending	–	–	1.60
2026-10-12	oos	0.08049	0.074238	-7.77%	–	pending	–	–	1.60
2026-10-11	oos	0.088405	0.082552	-6.62%	–	pending	–	–	1.54
2026-10-10	oos	0.08732	0.081116	-7.10%	–	pending	–	–	1.50
2026-10-09	oos	0.084615	0.078336	-7.42%	–	pending	–	–	1.50
2026-10-08	oos	0.08374	0.077065	-7.97%	–	pending	–	–	1.50
2026-10-07	oos	0.087595	0.081756	-6.67%	–	pending	–	–	1.48
2026-10-06	oos	0.0898	0.085425	-4.87%	–	pending	–	–	1.51
2026-10-05	oos	0.09481	0.09036	-4.69%	–	pending	–	–	1.53
2026-10-04	oos	0.096315	0.092434	-4.03%	–	pending	–	–	1.56
2026-10-03	oos	0.095655	0.091202	-4.66%	–	pending	–	–	1.57
2026-10-02	oos	0.09332	0.089464	-4.13%	–	pending	–	–	1.57
2026-10-01	oos	0.09615	0.092671	-3.62%	–	pending	–	–	1.57
2026-09-30	oos	0.09486	0.090551	-4.54%	–	pending	–	–	1.60
2026-09-29	oos	0.095765	0.091384	-4.57%	–	pending	–	–	1.61
2026-09-28	oos	0.09828	0.093721	-4.64%	–	pending	–	–	1.62
2026-09-27	oos	0.10609	0.101502	-4.32%	–	pending	–	–	1.71
2026-09-26	oos	0.111465	0.106641	-4.33%	–	pending	–	–	1.73
2026-09-25	oos	0.11463	0.109544	-4.44%	–	pending	–	–	1.74
2026-09-24	oos	0.11085	0.106407	-4.01%	–	pending	–	–	1.75
2026-09-23	oos	0.09	0.088536	-1.63%	–	pending	–	–	1.77
2026-09-22	oos	0.096375	0.095194	-1.23%	0.082275	-14.63%	0.1079	✓	1.63
2026-09-21	oos	0.09799	0.097176	-0.83%	0.08196	-16.36%	0.1231	✓	1.57
2026-09-20	oos	0.089235	0.087333	-2.13%	0.078225	-12.34%	0.1430	✓	1.52
2026-09-19	oos	0.092185	0.090097	-2.27%	0.076335	-17.19%	0.1769	✓	1.50
2026-09-18	oos	0.093815	0.091473	-2.50%	0.07672	-18.22%	0.1969	✓	1.52
2026-09-17	oos	0.08742	0.084012	-3.90%	0.078665	-10.01%	0.1623	✓	1.51
2026-09-16	oos	0.080975	0.078578	-2.96%	0.08273	+2.17%	0.0516	✓	1.52
2026-09-15	oos	0.08188	0.079392	-3.04%	0.08569	+4.65%	0.0562	✓	1.60
2026-09-14	oos	0.083915	0.082663	-1.49%	0.08026	-4.36%	0.0926	✓	1.49
2026-09-13	oos	0.077795	0.076768	-1.32%	0.08266	+6.25%	0.0402	✓	1.45
2026-09-12	oos	0.08006	0.079854	-0.26%	0.08049	+0.54%	0.0734	✓	1.44
2026-09-11	oos	0.08248	0.08294	+0.56%	0.088405	+7.18%	0.0525	✗	1.44
2026-09-10	oos	0.08409	0.084394	+0.36%	0.08732	+3.84%	0.0830	✗	1.46
2026-09-09	oos	0.089185	0.090781	+1.79%	0.084615	-5.12%	0.1465	✗	1.44
2026-09-08	oos	0.09834	0.09894	+0.61%	0.08374	-14.85%	0.2307	✗	1.58
2026-09-07	oos	0.09294	0.09473	+1.93%	0.087595	-5.75%	0.1615	✗	1.61
2026-09-06	oos	0.08958	0.09288	+3.68%	0.0898	+0.25%	0.1381	✗	1.66
2026-09-05	oos	0.09312	0.096353	+3.47%	0.09481	+1.81%	0.1352	✗	1.67
2026-09-04	oos	0.0932	0.097568	+4.69%	0.096315	+3.34%	0.1492	✗	1.66
2026-09-03	oos	0.09647	0.10271	+6.47%	0.095655	-0.84%	0.1407	✗	1.66
2026-09-02	oos	0.08328	0.086005	+3.27%	0.09332	+12.06%	0.0769	✗	1.78
2026-09-01	oos	0.08264	0.085909	+3.96%	0.09615	+16.35%	0.0526	✗	1.80
2026-08-31	oos	0.08387	0.088024	+4.95%	0.09486	+13.10%	0.0247	✓	1.61
2026-08-30	oos	0.08409	0.087333	+3.86%	0.095765	+13.88%	0.0232	✓	1.56
2026-08-29	oos	0.08687	0.090763	+4.48%	0.09828	+13.13%	0.0162	✓	1.48
2026-08-28	oos	0.084565	0.088479	+4.63%	0.10609	+25.45%	0.0607	✓	1.48
2026-08-27	oos	0.09021	0.096865	+7.38%	0.111465	+23.56%	0.0665	✓	1.47
2026-08-26	oos	0.08772	0.093108	+6.14%	0.11463	+30.68%	0.1165	✓	1.47
2026-08-25	oos	0.09047	0.095177	+5.20%	0.11085	+22.53%	0.0489	✓	1.44
2026-08-24	oos	0.09737	0.102095	+4.85%	0.09	-7.57%	0.2207	✗	1.43
2026-08-23	oos	0.10164	0.105473	+3.77%	0.096375	-5.18%	0.2386	✗	1.43
2026-08-22	oos	0.09372	0.097848	+4.40%	0.09799	+4.56%	0.1648	✗	1.42
2026-08-21	oos	0.1016	0.106302	+4.63%	0.089235	-12.17%	0.2246	✗	1.40
2026-08-20	oos	0.08887	0.089623	+0.85%	0.092185	+3.73%	0.1136	✗	1.33
2026-08-19	oos	0.08041	0.078757	-2.06%	0.093815	+16.67%	0.0294	✓	1.32
2026-08-18	oos	0.07589	0.071774	-5.42%	0.08742	+15.19%	0.0366	✓	1.41
2026-08-17	oos	0.07608	0.071736	-5.71%	0.080975	+6.43%	0.1169	✓	1.43
2026-08-16	oos	0.074825	0.069975	-6.48%	0.08188	+9.43%	0.1114	✓	1.45
2026-08-15	oos	0.07584	0.07078	-6.67%	0.083915	+10.65%	0.1427	✓	1.45
2026-08-14	oos	0.07636	0.071075	-6.92%	0.077795	+1.88%	0.1993	✓	1.46
2026-08-13	oos	0.075355	0.070001	-7.11%	0.08006	+6.24%	0.1552	✓	1.47
2026-08-12	oos	0.07392	0.068475	-7.37%	0.08248	+11.58%	0.1091	✓	1.50
2026-08-11	oos	0.078525	0.072756	-7.35%	0.08409	+7.09%	0.1328	✓	1.49
2026-08-10	oos	0.07868	0.072875	-7.38%	0.089185	+13.35%	0.1004	✓	1.49
2026-08-09	oos	0.07661	0.071338	-6.88%	0.09834	+28.36%	0.0300	✓	1.53
2026-08-08	oos	0.076085	0.070902	-6.81%	0.09294	+22.15%	0.0321	✓	1.53
2026-08-07	oos	0.075755	0.070721	-6.64%	0.08958	+18.25%	0.0879	✓	1.52
2026-08-06	oos	0.07508	0.069736	-7.12%	0.09312	+24.03%	0.0379	✓	1.51
2026-08-05	oos	0.07497	0.069844	-6.84%	0.0932	+24.32%	0.0289	✓	1.51
2026-08-04	oos	0.077895	0.072284	-7.20%	0.09647	+23.85%	0.0654	✓	1.49
2026-08-03	oos	0.07758	0.07171	-7.57%	0.08328	+7.35%	0.1488	✓	1.51
2026-08-02	oos	0.076	0.07035	-7.43%	0.08264	+8.74%	0.1405	✓	1.52
2026-08-01	oos	0.07515	0.069217	-7.90%	0.08387	+11.60%	0.1451	✓	1.50
2026-07-31	oos	0.07355	0.067862	-7.73%	0.08409	+14.33%	0.1037	✓	1.50
2026-07-30	oos	0.07805	0.073513	-5.81%	0.08687	+11.30%	0.1138	✓	1.48
2026-07-29	oos	0.07715	0.072564	-5.94%	0.084565	+9.61%	0.1331	✓	1.45
2026-07-28	oos	0.08355	0.078776	-5.71%	0.09021	+7.97%	0.1958	✓	1.45
2026-07-27	oos	0.07885	0.074435	-5.60%	0.08772	+11.25%	0.1472	✓	1.44
2026-07-26	oos	0.08525	0.081818	-4.03%	0.09047	+6.12%	0.1590	✓	1.41
2026-07-25	oos	0.08325	0.080143	-3.73%	0.09737	+16.96%	0.0959	✓	1.41
2026-07-24	oos	0.08465	0.082022	-3.10%	0.10164	+20.07%	0.0576	✓	1.41
2026-07-23	oos	0.08115	0.079651	-1.85%	0.09372	+15.49%	0.0806	✓	1.44
2026-07-22	oos	0.0849	0.083972	-1.09%	0.1016	+19.67%	0.0514	✓	1.42
2026-07-21	oos	0.08365	0.083638	-0.01%	0.08887	+6.24%	0.0723	✓	1.43
2026-07-20	oos	0.08505	0.084521	-0.62%	0.08041	-5.46%	0.1363	✓	1.42
2026-07-19	oos	0.0804	0.080034	-0.46%	0.07589	-5.61%	0.0532	✓	1.40
2026-07-18	oos	0.0827	0.082449	-0.30%	0.07608	-8.00%	0.0736	✓	1.37
2026-07-17	oos	0.0852	0.084597	-0.71%	0.074825	-12.18%	0.0993	✓	1.41
2026-07-16	oos	0.0864	0.085603	-0.92%	0.07584	-12.22%	0.1036	✓	1.47
2026-07-15	oos	0.092	0.090737	-1.37%	0.07636	-17.00%	0.1359	✓	1.34
2026-07-14	oos	0.0932	0.091823	-1.48%	0.075355	-19.15%	0.1647	✓	1.35
2026-07-13	oos	0.0895	0.087579	-2.15%	0.07392	-17.41%	0.1945	✓	1.37
2026-07-12	oos	0.08885	0.087386	-1.65%	0.078525	-11.62%	0.1023	✓	1.40
2026-07-11	oos	0.0909	0.08937	-1.68%	0.07868	-13.44%	0.1306	✓	1.48
2026-07-10	oos	0.09185	0.090265	-1.73%	0.07661	-16.59%	0.1811	✓	1.52
2026-07-09	oos	0.0954	0.093471	-2.02%	0.076085	-20.25%	0.2480	✓	1.56
2026-07-08	oos	0.0909	0.089271	-1.79%	0.075755	-16.66%	0.2294	✓	1.56
2026-07-07	oos	0.0988	0.09681	-2.01%	0.07508	-24.01%	0.2768	✓	1.53
2026-07-06	oos	0.1092	0.106249	-2.70%	0.07497	-31.35%	0.3628	✓	1.51
2026-07-05	oos	0.10665	0.103488	-2.96%	0.077895	-26.96%	0.2953	✓	1.53
2026-07-04	oos	0.1066	0.103224	-3.17%	0.07758	-27.22%	0.2948	✓	1.53
2026-07-03	oos	0.1067	0.103228	-3.25%	0.076	-28.77%	0.3300	✓	1.53
2026-07-02	oos	0.0951	0.092441	-2.80%	0.07515	-20.98%	0.2379	✓	1.50
2026-07-01	oos	0.0908	0.088378	-2.67%	0.07355	-19.00%	0.2530	✓	1.49
2026-06-30	oos	0.0866	0.084413	-2.53%	0.07805	-9.87%	0.2199	✓	1.41
2026-06-29	oos	0.1049	0.101187	-3.54%	0.07715	-26.45%	0.3485	✓	1.28
2026-06-28	oos	0.0958	0.092891	-3.04%	0.08355	-12.79%	0.1960	✓	1.27
2026-06-27	oos	0.10085	0.097674	-3.15%	0.07885	-21.81%	0.2908	✓	1.26
2026-06-26	oos	0.1037	0.100125	-3.45%	0.08525	-17.79%	0.2686	✓	1.26
2026-06-25	oos	0.1049	0.100923	-3.79%	0.08325	-20.64%	0.2865	✓	1.27
2026-06-24	oos	0.092	0.089497	-2.72%	0.08465	-7.99%	0.1233	✓	1.36
2026-06-23	oos	0.0888	0.08668	-2.39%	0.08115	-8.61%	0.1201	✓	1.44
2026-06-22	oos	0.08485	0.083222	-1.92%	0.0849	+0.06%	0.0288	✓	1.48
2026-06-21	oos	0.0892	0.087263	-2.17%	0.08365	-6.22%	0.1185	✓	1.51
2026-06-20	oos	0.0943	0.091849	-2.60%	0.08505	-9.81%	0.0996	✓	1.48
2026-06-19	oos	0.1008	0.097516	-3.26%	0.0804	-20.24%	0.2214	✓	1.51
2026-06-18	oos	0.0978	0.094659	-3.21%	0.0827	-15.44%	0.1800	✓	1.50
2026-06-17	oos	0.1126	0.107148	-4.84%	0.0852	-24.33%	0.2171	✓	1.41
2026-06-16	oos	0.0913	0.088336	-3.25%	0.0864	-5.37%	0.0222	✓	1.55
2026-06-15	oos	0.09015	0.086987	-3.51%	0.092	+2.05%	0.0939	✗	1.59
2026-06-14	oos	0.0896	0.086177	-3.82%	0.0932	+4.02%	0.0959	✗	1.60
2026-06-13	oos	0.087	0.083566	-3.95%	0.0895	+2.87%	0.1259	✗	1.68
2026-06-12	oos	0.0826	0.07931	-3.98%	0.08885	+7.57%	0.1084	✗	1.63
2026-06-11	oos	0.0754	0.072758	-3.50%	0.0909	+20.56%	0.2173	✗	1.63
2026-06-10	oos	0.0612	0.059904	-2.12%	0.09185	+50.08%	0.3643	✗	1.48
2026-06-09	oos	0.0661	0.064405	-2.56%	0.0954	+44.33%	0.3575	✗	1.48
2026-06-08	oos	0.07	0.06774	-3.23%	0.0909	+29.86%	0.3135	✗	1.47
2026-06-07	oos	0.0693	0.066811	-3.59%	0.0988	+42.57%	0.3907	✗	1.51
2026-06-06	oos	0.0655	0.063451	-3.13%	0.1092	+66.72%	0.4706	✗	1.43
2026-06-05	oos	0.067	0.064693	-3.44%	0.10665	+59.18%	0.4415	✗	1.43
2026-06-04	oos	0.0844	0.079515	-5.79%	0.1066	+26.30%	0.3071	✗	1.23
2026-06-03	oos	0.0939	0.087074	-7.27%	0.1067	+13.63%	0.2361	✗	1.37
2026-06-02	oos	0.0862	0.079986	-7.21%	0.0951	+10.32%	0.2917	✗	1.47
2026-06-01	oos	0.093	0.084725	-8.90%	0.0908	-2.37%	0.3016	✗	1.34
2026-05-31	oos	0.0891	0.080939	-9.16%	0.0866	-2.81%	0.3869	✗	1.39
2026-05-30	oos	0.091	0.08238	-9.47%	0.1049	+15.27%	0.5279	✗	1.40
2026-05-29	oos	0.0887	0.080184	-9.60%	0.0958	+8.00%	0.4738	✗	1.41
2026-05-28	oos	0.0955	0.086108	-9.83%	0.10085	+5.60%	0.4518	✗	1.44
2026-05-27	oos	0.0851	0.077809	-8.57%	0.1037	+21.86%	0.6033	✗	1.48
2026-05-26	oos	0.0881	0.080948	-8.12%	0.1049	+19.07%	0.6162	✗	1.49
2026-05-25	oos	0.08605	0.079269	-7.88%	0.092	+6.91%	0.5379	✗	1.65
2026-05-24	oos	0.0813	0.0751	-7.63%	0.0888	+9.23%	0.5050	✗	1.64
2026-05-23	oos	0.0843	0.077634	-7.91%	0.08485	+0.65%	0.3763	✗	1.59
2026-05-22	oos	0.0822	0.075717	-7.89%	0.0892	+8.52%	0.4454	✗	1.60
2026-05-21	oos	0.0897	0.082246	-8.31%	0.0943	+5.13%	0.4321	✗	1.57
2026-05-20	oos	0.0872	0.080032	-8.22%	0.1008	+15.60%	0.5427	✗	1.57
2026-05-19	oos	0.08165	0.075452	-7.59%	0.0978	+19.78%	0.5700	✗	1.56
2026-05-18	oos	0.08375	0.077394	-7.59%	0.1126	+34.45%	0.6517	✗	1.56
2026-05-17	oos	0.0836	0.077385	-7.43%	0.0913	+9.21%	0.4255	✗	1.57
2026-05-16	oos	0.0867	0.080172	-7.53%	0.09015	+3.98%	0.3750	✗	1.57
2026-05-15	oos	0.089	0.082199	-7.64%	0.0896	+0.67%	0.3787	✗	1.58
2026-05-14	oos	0.09635	0.089131	-7.49%	0.087	-9.70%	0.3359	✗	1.57
2026-05-13	oos	0.0942	0.086545	-8.13%	0.0826	-12.31%	0.3013	✗	1.57
2026-05-12	oos	0.09605	0.088686	-7.67%	0.0754	-21.50%	0.1981	✗	1.53
2026-05-11	oos	0.1024	0.095015	-7.21%	0.0612	-40.23%	0.0178	✓	1.48
2026-05-10	oos	0.10735	0.099887	-6.95%	0.0661	-38.43%	0.0106	✓	1.47
2026-05-09	oos	0.1062	0.09816	-7.57%	0.07	-34.09%	0.0262	✓	1.48
2026-05-08	oos	0.1102	0.1013	-8.08%	0.0693	-37.11%	0.0312	✓	1.47
2026-05-07	oos	0.1066	0.098231	-7.85%	0.0655	-38.56%	0.0055	✓	1.46
2026-05-06	oos	0.10005	0.093404	-6.64%	0.067	-33.03%	0.0342	✓	1.27
2026-05-05	oos	0.09255	0.086663	-6.36%	0.0844	-8.81%	0.2703	✗	1.25
2026-05-04	oos	0.0884	0.082594	-6.57%	0.0939	+6.22%	0.3987	✗	1.23
2026-05-03	oos	0.0897	0.083139	-7.31%	0.0862	-3.90%	0.2416	✗	1.25
2026-05-02	oos	0.0906	0.084274	-6.98%	0.093	+2.65%	0.2215	✗	1.25
2026-05-01	oos	0.0911	0.084513	-7.23%	0.0891	-2.20%	0.1300	✗	1.26
2026-04-30	oos	0.0912	0.083738	-8.18%	0.091	-0.22%	0.1274	✗	1.31
2026-04-29	oos	0.09305	0.085329	-8.30%	0.0887	-4.67%	0.0808	✓	1.31
2026-04-28	oos	0.0961	0.088141	-8.28%	0.0955	-0.62%	0.1309	✗	1.35
2026-04-27	oos	0.0984	0.090917	-7.60%	0.0851	-13.52%	0.0117	✓	1.35
2026-04-26	oos	0.1007	0.094018	-6.64%	0.0881	-12.51%	0.0147	✓	1.37
2026-04-25	oos	0.10015	0.092693	-7.45%	0.08605	-14.08%	0.0672	✓	1.37
2026-04-24	oos	0.10005	0.092917	-7.13%	0.0813	-18.74%	0.1248	✓	1.39
2026-04-23	oos	0.10105	0.09489	-6.10%	0.0843	-16.58%	0.0891	✓	1.39
2026-04-22	oos	0.10175	0.096045	-5.61%	0.0822	-19.21%	0.1058	✓	1.39
2026-04-21	oos	0.1026	0.095487	-6.93%	0.0897	-12.57%	0.0843	✓	1.40
2026-04-20	oos	0.1046	0.097458	-6.83%	0.0872	-16.63%	0.1407	✓	1.40
2026-04-19	oos	0.10385	0.095132	-8.40%	0.08165	-21.38%	0.2089	✓	1.43
2026-04-18	oos	0.10935	0.102057	-6.67%	0.08375	-23.41%	0.2202	✓	1.43
2026-04-17	oos	0.1274	0.119766	-5.99%	0.0836	-34.38%	0.3651	✓	1.41
2026-04-16	oos	0.1408	0.13067	-7.19%	0.0867	-38.42%	0.4661	✓	1.45
2026-04-15	oos	0.13105	0.12203	-6.88%	0.089	-32.09%	0.3952	✓	1.45
2026-04-14	oos	0.134	0.124711	-6.93%	0.09635	-28.10%	0.3886	✓	1.47
2026-04-13	oos	0.14	0.13031	-6.92%	0.0942	-32.71%	0.4167	✓	1.46
2026-04-12	oos	0.12425	0.114358	-7.96%	0.09605	-22.70%	0.3586	✓	1.43
2026-04-11	oos	0.1367	0.127187	-6.96%	0.1024	-25.09%	0.3739	✓	1.41
2026-04-10	oos	0.13035	0.121453	-6.83%	0.10735	-17.64%	0.2903	✓	1.41
2026-04-09	oos	0.12315	0.114432	-7.08%	0.1062	-13.76%	0.2373	✓	1.40
2026-04-08	oos	0.1247	0.115414	-7.45%	0.1102	-11.63%	0.2150	✓	1.40
2026-04-07	oos	0.1303	0.120562	-7.47%	0.1066	-18.19%	0.2722	✓	1.40
2026-04-06	oos	0.1201	0.110382	-8.09%	0.10005	-16.69%	0.3365	✓	1.42
2026-04-05	oos	0.12165	0.111905	-8.01%	0.09255	-23.92%	0.4161	✓	1.42
2026-04-04	oos	0.11735	0.107632	-8.28%	0.0884	-24.67%	0.4371	✓	1.40
2026-04-03	oos	0.1103	0.101337	-8.13%	0.0897	-18.68%	0.3443	✓	1.39
2026-04-02	oos	0.1191	0.107925	-9.38%	0.0906	-23.93%	0.4017	✓	1.40
2026-04-01	oos	0.106	0.097881	-7.66%	0.0911	-14.06%	0.2718	✓	1.44
2026-03-31	oos	0.09285	0.086429	-6.91%	0.0912	-1.78%	0.1086	✓	1.45
2026-03-30	oos	0.08835	0.082154	-7.01%	0.09305	+5.32%	0.0584	✓	1.44
2026-03-29	oos	0.0864	0.080597	-6.72%	0.0961	+11.23%	0.0350	✓	1.45
2026-03-28	oos	0.08865	0.082993	-6.38%	0.0984	+11.00%	0.0520	✓	1.44
2026-03-27	oos	0.08925	0.083941	-5.95%	0.1007	+12.83%	0.0639	✓	1.44
2026-03-26	oos	0.09365	0.088922	-5.05%	0.10015	+6.94%	0.0578	✓	1.45
2026-03-25	oos	0.1005	0.096373	-4.11%	0.10005	-0.45%	0.0827	✓	1.45
2026-03-24	oos	0.0977	0.094097	-3.69%	0.10105	+3.43%	0.0795	✓	1.45
2026-03-23	oos	0.09655	0.093725	-2.93%	0.10175	+5.39%	0.0605	✓	1.45
2026-03-22	oos	0.09105	0.088177	-3.16%	0.1026	+12.69%	0.0195	✓	1.45
2026-03-21	oos	0.0927	0.090642	-2.22%	0.1046	+12.84%	0.0040	✓	1.45
2026-03-20	oos	0.09425	0.093387	-0.92%	0.10385	+10.19%	0.0395	✗	1.45
2026-03-19	oos	0.099	0.098275	-0.73%	0.10935	+10.45%	0.0098	✓	1.46
2026-03-18	oos	0.10845	0.107875	-0.53%	0.1274	+17.47%	0.0507	✗	1.46
2026-03-17	oos	0.11855	0.118255	-0.25%	0.1408	+18.77%	0.1506	✗	1.45
2026-03-16	oos	0.1238	0.123346	-0.37%	0.13105	+5.86%	0.0616	✗	1.46
2026-03-15	oos	0.10745	0.107781	+0.31%	0.134	+24.71%	0.1918	✓	1.41
2026-03-14	oos	0.11025	0.11001	-0.22%	0.14	+26.98%	0.1772	✗	1.45
2026-03-13	oos	0.10835	0.108243	-0.10%	0.12425	+14.67%	0.1418	✗	1.45
2026-03-12	oos	0.1065	0.106285	-0.20%	0.1367	+28.36%	0.2002	✗	1.45
2026-03-11	oos	0.0996	0.099782	+0.18%	0.13035	+30.87%	0.2105	✓	1.46
2026-03-10	oos	0.09915	0.099215	+0.07%	0.12315	+24.21%	0.1785	✓	1.45
2026-03-09	oos	0.091	0.091218	+0.24%	0.1247	+37.03%	0.2580	✓	1.44
2026-03-08	oos	0.09305	0.092842	-0.22%	0.1303	+40.03%	0.2107	✗	1.49
2026-03-07	oos	0.0948	0.094724	-0.08%	0.1201	+26.69%	0.2025	✗	1.49
2026-03-06	oos	0.0987	0.098683	-0.02%	0.12165	+23.25%	0.1900	✗	1.47
2026-03-05	oos	0.11895	0.117136	-1.52%	0.11735	-1.35%	0.0752	✗	1.41
2026-03-04	oos	0.1142	0.11292	-1.12%	0.1103	-3.42%	0.0953	✗	1.45
2026-03-03	oos	0.1157	0.113521	-1.88%	0.1191	+2.94%	0.0806	✗	1.53
2026-03-02	oos	0.1046	0.103616	-0.94%	0.106	+1.34%	0.0388	✗	1.52
2026-03-01	oos	0.0976	0.096888	-0.73%	0.09285	-4.87%	0.0984	✓	1.52
2026-02-28	oos	0.1019	0.100809	-1.07%	0.08835	-13.30%	0.1267	✓	1.52
2026-02-27	oos	0.0917	0.091415	-0.31%	0.0864	-5.78%	0.0586	✓	1.50
2026-02-26	oos	0.0946	0.094131	-0.50%	0.08865	-6.29%	0.0338	✓	1.50
2026-02-25	oos	0.1034	0.101775	-1.57%	0.08925	-13.68%	0.0948	✓	1.50
2026-02-24	oos	0.0871	0.086951	-0.17%	0.09365	+7.52%	0.0261	✓	1.42
2026-02-23	oos	0.087	0.086843	-0.18%	0.1005	+15.52%	0.0067	✗	1.42
2026-02-22	oos	0.08955	0.088941	-0.68%	0.0977	+9.10%	0.0331	✗	1.44
2026-02-21	oos	0.0967	0.095245	-1.50%	0.09655	-0.16%	0.0470	✓	1.44
2026-02-20	oos	0.09515	0.093692	-1.53%	0.09105	-4.31%	0.0257	✓	1.44
2026-02-19	oos	0.09365	0.092299	-1.44%	0.0927	-1.01%	0.0368	✓	1.44
2026-02-18	oos	0.09235	0.091016	-1.44%	0.09425	+2.06%	0.0508	✓	1.44
2026-02-17	oos	0.0966	0.094634	-2.03%	0.099	+2.48%	0.0061	✓	1.44
2026-02-16	oos	0.1022	0.09931	-2.83%	0.10845	+6.12%	0.0393	✗	1.43
2026-02-15	oos	0.0962	0.093914	-2.38%	0.11855	+23.23%	0.1302	✗	1.42
2026-02-14	oos	0.1022	0.098945	-3.19%	0.1238	+21.14%	0.1240	✗	1.42
2026-02-13	oos	0.0973	0.094469	-2.91%	0.10745	+10.43%	0.0487	✗	1.41
2026-02-12	oos	0.09185	0.089686	-2.36%	0.11025	+20.03%	0.1037	✗	1.41
2026-02-11	oos	0.0816	0.080418	-1.45%	0.10835	+32.78%	0.2173	✗	1.42
2026-02-10	oos	0.08105	0.079586	-1.81%	0.1065	+31.40%	0.2556	✗	1.44
2026-02-09	oos	0.08365	0.081756	-2.26%	0.0996	+19.07%	0.1952	✗	1.44
2026-02-08	oos	0.0826	0.080755	-2.23%	0.09915	+20.04%	0.2118	✗	1.44
2026-02-07	oos	0.0838	0.081916	-2.25%	0.091	+8.59%	0.1223	✗	1.45
2026-02-06	oos	0.08375	0.081496	-2.69%	0.09305	+11.10%	0.2299	✗	1.46
2026-02-05	oos	0.0789	0.077504	-1.77%	0.0948	+20.15%	0.0826	✗	1.73
2026-02-04	oos	0.09485	0.090474	-4.61%	0.0987	+4.06%	0.2390	✗	2.19
2026-02-03	oos	0.0951	0.09012	-5.24%	0.11895	+25.08%	0.4274	✗	2.30
2026-02-02	oos	0.10395	0.097459	-6.24%	0.1142	+9.86%	0.3409	✗	2.31
2026-02-01	oos	0.1013	0.095212	-6.01%	0.1157	+14.22%	0.4701	✗	2.33
2026-01-31	oos	0.1063	0.099361	-6.53%	0.1046	-1.60%	0.3632	✗	2.34
2026-01-30	oos	0.12285	0.113152	-7.89%	0.0976	-20.55%	0.4423	✗	2.40
2026-01-29	oos	0.1257	0.115421	-8.18%	0.1019	-18.93%	0.4333	✗	2.40
2026-01-28	oos	0.145	0.13225	-8.79%	0.0917	-36.76%	0.3483	✗	2.36
2026-01-27	oos	0.1384	0.126707	-8.45%	0.0946	-31.65%	0.3625	✗	2.36
2026-01-26	oos	0.12485	0.115627	-7.39%	0.1034	-17.18%	0.4868	✗	2.30
2026-01-25	oos	0.1186	0.110193	-7.09%	0.0871	-26.56%	0.4500	✗	2.28
2026-01-24	oos	0.1291	0.119713	-7.27%	0.087	-32.61%	0.4027	✗	2.25
2026-01-23	oos	0.1244	0.115776	-6.93%	0.08955	-28.01%	0.3775	✗	2.26
2026-01-22	oos	0.12285	0.114378	-6.90%	0.0967	-21.29%	0.4547	✗	2.26
2026-01-21	oos	0.126	0.117238	-6.95%	0.09515	-24.48%	0.4110	✗	2.27
2026-01-20	oos	0.1206	0.11158	-7.48%	0.09365	-22.35%	0.4455	✗	2.24
2026-01-19	oos	0.1338	0.125187	-6.44%	0.09235	-30.98%	0.4531	✗	2.28
2026-01-18	oos	0.1314	0.122992	-6.40%	0.0966	-26.48%	0.5252	✗	2.34
2026-01-17	oos	0.1404	0.133282	-5.07%	0.1022	-27.21%	0.4796	✗	2.31
2026-01-16	oos	0.1447	0.138535	-4.26%	0.0962	-33.52%	0.3903	✗	2.30
2026-01-15	oos	0.1428	0.137044	-4.03%	0.1022	-28.43%	0.4319	✗	2.31
2026-01-14	oos	0.1618	0.156832	-3.07%	0.0973	-39.86%	0.2701	✗	2.18
2026-01-13	oos	0.1617	0.155497	-3.84%	0.09185	-43.20%	0.2852	✗	2.22
2026-01-12	oos	0.1533	0.145317	-5.21%	0.0816	-46.77%	0.1763	✗	2.45
2026-01-11	oos	0.1645	0.156214	-5.04%	0.08105	-50.73%	0.0337	✓	2.48
2026-01-10	oos	0.161	0.15315	-4.88%	0.08365	-48.04%	0.0232	✓	2.47
2026-01-09	oos	0.1692	0.161735	-4.41%	0.0826	-51.18%	0.0481	✓	2.47
2026-01-08	oos	0.1651	0.158698	-3.88%	0.0838	-49.24%	0.0432	✗	2.49
2026-01-07	oos	0.1787	0.172069	-3.71%	0.08375	-53.13%	0.0832	✓	2.47
2026-01-06	oos	0.2092	0.201592	-3.64%	0.0789	-62.28%	0.0828	✓	2.14
2026-01-05	oos	0.1898	0.184184	-2.96%	0.09485	-50.03%	0.1186	✓	2.17
2026-01-04	oos	0.1926	0.185601	-3.63%	0.0951	-50.62%	0.2074	✓	2.43
2026-01-03	oos	0.1988	0.190622	-4.11%	0.10395	-47.71%	0.2516	✓	2.51
2026-01-02	oos	0.1956	0.187465	-4.16%	0.1013	-48.21%	0.2205	✓	2.52
2026-01-01	oos	0.171	0.164684	-3.69%	0.1063	-37.84%	0.1606	✓	2.30
2025-12-31	oos	0.1612	0.155142	-3.76%	0.12285	-23.79%	0.1939	✓	1.00
2025-12-30	oos	0.1638	0.157676	-3.74%	0.1257	-23.26%	0.1817	✓	1.00
2025-12-29	oos	0.1582	0.152167	-3.81%	0.145	-8.34%	0.0715	✓	1.00
2025-12-28	oos	0.1554	0.149588	-3.74%	0.1384	-10.94%	0.0917	✓	1.00
2025-12-27	oos	0.1531	0.147062	-3.94%	0.12485	-18.45%	0.1688	✓	1.00
2025-12-26	oos	0.13975	0.133914	-4.18%	0.1186	-15.13%	0.1130	✓	1.00
2025-12-25	oos	0.1332	0.127321	-4.41%	0.1291	-3.08%	0.0078	✓	1.00
2025-12-24	oos	0.133	0.127131	-4.41%	0.1244	-6.47%	0.0428	✓	1.00
2025-12-23	oos	0.1299	0.123702	-4.77%	0.12285	-5.43%	0.0299	✓	1.00
2025-12-22	oos	0.1284	0.122405	-4.67%	0.126	-1.87%	0.0199	✓	1.00
2025-12-21	oos	0.1293	0.123238	-4.69%	0.1206	-6.73%	0.0179	✓	1.00
2025-12-20	oos	0.137	0.130772	-4.55%	0.1338	-2.34%	0.0240	✓	1.00
2025-12-19	oos	0.1312	0.124617	-5.02%	0.1314	+0.15%	0.0080	✓	1.00
2025-12-18	oos	0.1193	0.111348	-6.67%	0.1404	+17.69%	0.1248	✗	1.00
2025-12-17	oos	0.12525	0.117956	-5.82%	0.1447	+15.53%	0.1020	✗	1.00
2025-12-16	oos	0.13345	0.126956	-4.87%	0.1428	+7.01%	0.0332	✓	1.00
2025-12-15	oos	0.13525	0.128801	-4.77%	0.1618	+19.63%	0.1130	✗	1.00
2025-12-14	oos	0.15155	0.145313	-4.12%	0.1617	+6.70%	0.0282	✓	1.00
2025-12-13	oos	0.1562	0.150331	-3.76%	0.1533	-1.86%	0.0093	✓	1.00
2025-12-12	oos	0.1484	0.142672	-3.86%	0.1645	+10.85%	0.1358	✗	1.00
2025-12-11	oos	0.16325	0.157813	-3.33%	0.161	-1.38%	0.0437	✗	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.