8=======>

WARD

Warden · Base · gru_s0

token id
#545
symbol
WARD
variant
–
chain
Base
address
0xf09e4c8193f16019f0573f370f9a997b11f56638
cohort
datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar
2026-02-04
predictions
753
+1d+7d+30d

Track record at +30d

assessed
221
of 251 predictions shown
direction hit
81.9%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.5334
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.1205
actual -0.2476

History

as ofsplitanchor pxpred pxpred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90d
2026-10-21oos0.0027350.002653-3.01%–pending––1.01
2026-10-20oos0.002720.002649-2.59%–pending––1.02
2026-10-19oos0.0027250.002645-2.92%–pending––1.02
2026-10-18oos0.0030750.002958-3.82%–pending––1.01
2026-10-17oos0.0026950.002609-3.17%–pending––0.98
2026-10-16oos0.0026950.002618-2.87%–pending––0.98
2026-10-15oos0.0027450.002672-2.65%–pending––0.97
2026-10-14oos0.0027650.0027-2.35%–pending––0.97
2026-10-13oos0.0028350.002792-1.51%–pending––0.98
2026-10-12oos0.002750.002698-1.91%–pending––0.93
2026-10-11oos0.0028250.002785-1.40%–pending––0.78
2026-10-10oos0.002840.002793-1.66%–pending––0.78
2026-10-09oos0.002790.002751-1.40%–pending––0.79
2026-10-08oos0.0027450.002706-1.43%–pending––0.80
2026-10-07oos0.002890.002868-0.76%–pending––0.74
2026-10-06oos0.002940.002944+0.14%–pending––0.77
2026-10-05oos0.003250.003241-0.28%–pending––0.88
2026-10-04oos0.003130.003134+0.14%–pending––0.96
2026-10-03oos0.003030.003016-0.45%–pending––0.94
2026-10-02oos0.002930.002928-0.07%–pending––0.95
2026-10-01oos0.003010.002997-0.44%–pending––0.94
2026-09-30oos0.002960.002945-0.49%–pending––0.92
2026-09-29oos0.0029150.002924+0.32%–pending––0.97
2026-09-28oos0.0030.003009+0.30%–pending––0.91
2026-09-27oos0.003140.00315+0.32%–pending––0.92
2026-09-26oos0.003420.003422+0.07%–pending––0.96
2026-09-25oos0.0028950.002929+1.16%–pending––0.99
2026-09-24oos0.00280.002842+1.51%–pending––1.00
2026-09-23oos0.002840.002888+1.69%–pending––1.00
2026-09-22oos0.0029450.003023+2.63%–pending––0.97
2026-09-21oos0.0028950.002997+3.52%0.002735-5.53%0.0449✗1.01
2026-09-20oos0.002520.002555+1.40%0.00272+7.94%0.0439✓0.86
2026-09-19oos0.002630.002673+1.63%0.002725+3.61%0.0129✓0.87
2026-09-18oos0.0028950.002923+0.96%0.003075+6.22%0.0382✓0.90
2026-09-17oos0.002660.002642-0.69%0.002695+1.32%0.0332✓0.83
2026-09-16oos0.00240.00239-0.43%0.002695+12.29%0.0632✗0.84
2026-09-15oos0.0024550.002437-0.72%0.002745+11.81%0.0461✗0.88
2026-09-14oos0.0025450.002551+0.25%0.002765+8.64%0.0422✓0.90
2026-09-13oos0.002580.002568-0.47%0.002835+9.88%0.0302✗0.87
2026-09-12oos0.00270.002681-0.69%0.00275+1.85%0.0252✓0.90
2026-09-11oos0.0027450.002733-0.44%0.002825+2.91%0.0335✓0.83
2026-09-10oos0.0026050.002608+0.13%0.00284+9.02%0.0129✓0.90
2026-09-09oos0.002860.002888+1.00%0.00279-2.45%0.0800✗0.85
2026-09-08oos0.002720.002742+0.82%0.002745+0.92%0.0327✗0.83
2026-09-07oos0.0026250.00266+1.32%0.00289+10.10%0.0410✓0.82
2026-09-06oos0.0026750.002733+2.16%0.00294+9.91%0.0184✓0.87
2026-09-05oos0.0027450.002815+2.54%0.00325+18.40%0.0804✓0.89
2026-09-04oos0.0026350.002695+2.26%0.00313+18.79%0.0814✓0.83
2026-09-03oos0.002880.002971+3.15%0.00303+5.21%0.0132✓0.79
2026-09-02oos0.002930.002943+0.43%0.00293+0.00%0.0874✗0.93
2026-09-01oos0.003210.003222+0.36%0.00301-6.23%0.1533✗0.93
2026-08-31oos0.0030250.003072+1.54%0.00296-2.15%0.0981✗0.99
2026-08-30oos0.002560.002586+1.01%0.002915+13.87%0.0283✓1.24
2026-08-29oos0.0025450.002577+1.26%0.003+17.88%0.0890✓0.97
2026-08-28oos0.0027850.00279+0.17%0.00314+12.75%0.0385✓0.98
2026-08-27oos0.002840.002891+1.80%0.00342+20.42%0.1191✓0.97
2026-08-26oos0.0026850.00274+2.05%0.002895+7.82%0.0023✓0.92
2026-08-25oos0.0027050.002763+2.14%0.0028+3.51%0.0532✗0.93
2026-08-24oos0.0028650.002926+2.14%0.00284-0.87%0.0903✗0.91
2026-08-23oos0.0030550.003093+1.24%0.002945-3.60%0.1520✗1.00
2026-08-22oos0.0029550.002986+1.04%0.002895-2.03%0.1452✗0.98
2026-08-21oos0.003040.003112+2.38%0.00252-17.11%0.2457✗0.97
2026-08-20oos0.003040.002965-2.46%0.00263-13.49%0.2289✓1.02
2026-08-19oos0.00310.002953-4.74%0.002895-6.61%0.2019✓1.18
2026-08-18oos0.003040.00279-8.23%0.00266-12.50%0.2634✓1.30
2026-08-17oos0.003230.002958-8.42%0.0024-25.70%0.4081✓1.20
2026-08-16oos0.003040.002772-8.82%0.002455-19.24%0.3339✓1.15
2026-08-15oos0.003080.002806-8.91%0.002545-17.37%0.3400✓1.13
2026-08-14oos0.0029250.002648-9.47%0.00258-11.79%0.2487✓1.12
2026-08-13oos0.0029250.002633-9.97%0.0027-7.69%0.2101✓1.19
2026-08-12oos0.003190.002874-9.89%0.002745-13.95%0.2310✓0.94
2026-08-11oos0.0029450.002633-10.58%0.002605-11.54%0.1469✓0.73
2026-08-10oos0.0034250.003072-10.30%0.00286-16.50%0.1135✓0.21
2026-08-09oos0.003040.002723-10.44%0.00272-10.53%0.0137✓0.07
2026-08-08oos0.003090.002756-10.80%0.002625-15.05%0.0495✓0.00
2026-08-07oos0.003310.002961-10.54%0.002675-19.18%0.1040✓0.01
2026-08-06oos0.0037250.003311-11.11%0.002745-26.31%0.2017✓0.07
2026-08-05oos0.004980.004234-14.98%0.002635-47.09%0.4835✓0.04
2026-08-04oos0.002990.002724-8.88%0.00288-3.68%0.0907✓-0.15
2026-08-03oos0.003180.002885-9.29%0.00293-7.86%0.0430✓-0.14
2026-08-02oos0.003290.002968-9.77%0.00321-2.43%0.1029✗-0.12
2026-08-01oos0.003250.002942-9.46%0.003025-6.92%0.0635✓-0.16
2026-07-31oos0.003130.002857-8.72%0.00256-18.21%0.0754✓-0.16
2026-07-30oos0.0032150.002939-8.59%0.002545-20.84%0.1083✓-0.19
2026-07-29oos0.003450.003161-8.38%0.002785-19.28%0.0810✓-0.23
2026-07-28oos0.003630.003347-7.80%0.00284-21.76%0.1098✓-0.24
2026-07-27oos0.003650.00336-7.95%0.002685-26.44%0.1761✓-0.22
2026-07-26oos0.003780.003505-7.27%0.002705-28.44%0.2116✓-0.26
2026-07-25oos0.0036950.003426-7.29%0.002865-22.46%0.1297✓-0.24
2026-07-24oos0.003690.003438-6.84%0.003055-17.21%0.0847✓-0.17
2026-07-23oos0.0038350.00358-6.65%0.002955-22.95%0.1549✓-0.22
2026-07-22oos0.0040.003744-6.40%0.00304-24.00%0.1689✓-0.23
2026-07-21oos0.003980.003737-6.10%0.00304-23.62%0.1847✓-0.23
2026-07-20oos0.003880.003638-6.25%0.0031-20.10%0.1474✓-0.21
2026-07-19oos0.004110.003843-6.49%0.00304-26.03%0.2345✓-0.21
2026-07-18oos0.0040650.003802-6.46%0.00323-20.54%0.1641✓-0.20
2026-07-17oos0.0042150.003927-6.82%0.00304-27.88%0.2594✓-0.19
2026-07-16oos0.004320.004014-7.08%0.00308-28.70%0.2671✓-0.18
2026-07-15oos0.004530.004193-7.44%0.002925-35.43%0.3675✓-0.27
2026-07-14oos0.003690.003431-7.02%0.002925-20.73%0.1654✓-0.24
2026-07-13oos0.00410.003819-6.84%0.00319-22.20%0.1783✓-0.10
2026-07-12oos0.0042450.00393-7.42%0.002945-30.62%0.2889✓-0.13
2026-07-11oos0.0043550.004007-7.99%0.003425-21.35%0.1563✓-0.32
2026-07-10oos0.004720.004322-8.44%0.00304-35.59%0.3484✓-0.30
2026-07-09oos0.005330.00492-7.69%0.00309-42.03%0.4588✓-0.24
2026-07-08oos0.004920.004483-8.89%0.00331-32.72%0.2929✓-0.25
2026-07-07oos0.006240.005824-6.66%0.003725-40.30%0.4413✓-0.39
2026-07-06oos0.007430.007019-5.53%0.00498-32.97%0.3394✓-0.41
2026-07-05oos0.008110.007665-5.49%0.00299-63.13%0.9399✓-0.20
2026-07-04oos0.00780.007347-5.80%0.00318-59.23%0.8362✓-0.20
2026-07-03oos0.0082650.007782-5.84%0.00329-60.19%0.8578✓-0.20
2026-07-02oos0.008560.008052-5.93%0.00325-62.03%0.9035✓-0.18
2026-07-01oos0.007910.007397-6.49%0.00313-60.43%0.8488✓-0.24
2026-06-30oos0.00860.008036-6.56%0.003215-62.62%0.9000✓-0.16
2026-06-29oos0.009090.008455-6.98%0.00345-62.05%0.8835✓-0.21
2026-06-28oos0.007110.006594-7.25%0.00363-48.95%0.5768✓-0.28
2026-06-27oos0.007820.007273-6.99%0.00365-53.32%0.6709✓-0.31
2026-06-26oos0.00810.007505-7.35%0.00378-53.33%0.6604✓-0.30
2026-06-25oos0.0079950.007393-7.53%0.003695-53.78%0.6713✓-0.30
2026-06-24oos0.007880.007272-7.72%0.00369-53.17%0.6679✓-0.21
2026-06-23oos0.008610.007967-7.47%0.003835-55.46%0.7208✓-0.27
2026-06-22oos0.008990.008263-8.08%0.004-55.51%0.7152✓-0.31
2026-06-21oos0.008690.007971-8.27%0.00398-54.20%0.6785✓-0.32
2026-06-20oos0.009530.008733-8.36%0.00388-59.29%0.8062✓-0.33
2026-06-19oos0.0091450.008365-8.52%0.00411-55.06%0.7046✓-0.33
2026-06-18oos0.008930.008125-9.01%0.004065-54.48%0.6834✓-0.31
2026-06-17oos0.009710.008843-8.93%0.004215-56.59%0.7441✓-0.36
2026-06-16oos0.010180.009228-9.36%0.00432-57.56%0.7684✓-0.33
2026-06-15oos0.009560.00864-9.62%0.00453-52.62%0.6523✓-0.27
2026-06-14oos0.00840.007575-9.82%0.00369-56.07%0.7227✓-0.32
2026-06-13oos0.009470.008476-10.50%0.0041-56.71%0.7345✓-0.24
2026-06-12oos0.007490.006719-10.29%0.004245-43.32%0.4582✓-0.33
2026-06-11oos0.00740.006646-10.19%0.004355-41.15%0.4216✓-0.33
2026-06-10oos0.007540.006786-9.99%0.00472-37.40%0.3494✓-0.32
2026-06-09oos0.006530.00588-9.95%0.00533-18.38%0.0907✓-0.31
2026-06-08oos0.00720.006453-10.38%0.00492-31.67%0.2762✓-0.38
2026-06-07oos0.007830.007021-10.34%0.00624-20.31%0.1177✓-0.47
2026-06-06oos0.008080.007281-9.89%0.00743-8.04%0.0443✓-0.48
2026-06-05oos0.007890.00709-10.13%0.00811+2.79%0.1518✗-0.43
2026-06-04oos0.008840.007905-10.58%0.0078-11.76%0.0197✓-0.56
2026-06-03oos0.009090.008115-10.72%0.008265-9.08%0.0095✓-0.37
2026-06-02oos0.009750.008598-11.82%0.00856-12.21%0.0282✓-0.30
2026-06-01oos0.012530.010793-13.86%0.00791-36.87%0.5136✓-1.17
2026-05-31oos0.0093850.008233-12.27%0.0086-8.36%0.1627✓-0.90
2026-05-30oos0.008910.007768-12.82%0.00909+2.02%0.0172✓-0.86
2026-05-29oos0.0110.009403-14.51%0.00711-35.36%0.4414✓-0.77
2026-05-28oos0.007290.006475-11.18%0.00782+7.27%0.0459✓-0.70
2026-05-27oos0.0075250.006661-11.48%0.0081+7.64%0.0565✓-0.65
2026-05-26oos0.007670.006793-11.44%0.007995+4.24%0.0008✓-0.69
2026-05-25oos0.008930.007963-10.83%0.00788-11.76%0.0850✓-0.31
2026-05-24oos0.0099650.008935-10.34%0.00861-13.60%0.0930✓-0.27
2026-05-23oos0.010650.009593-9.92%0.00899-15.59%0.0872✓-0.12
2026-05-22oos0.0121750.010976-9.85%0.00869-28.62%0.2465✓-0.07
2026-05-21oos0.013830.012521-9.46%0.00953-31.09%0.3035✓-0.16
2026-05-20oos0.013210.012013-9.06%0.009145-30.77%0.3005✓-0.14
2026-05-19oos0.0177050.016069-9.24%0.00893-49.56%0.6035✓-0.08
2026-05-18oos0.020550.018464-10.15%0.00971-52.75%0.6185✓0.14
2026-05-17oos0.017440.015762-9.62%0.01018-41.63%0.3877✓0.30
2026-05-16oos0.018220.016484-9.53%0.00956-47.53%0.4968✓0.29
2026-05-15oos0.022690.019976-11.96%0.0084-62.98%0.8223✓0.24
2026-05-14oos0.017190.015425-10.27%0.00947-44.91%0.3925✓0.42
2026-05-13oos0.021820.018298-16.14%0.00749-65.67%0.7976✓0.43
2026-05-12oos0.0067850.006233-8.13%0.0074+9.06%0.4386✗1.13
2026-05-11oos0.00440.004376-0.55%0.00754+71.36%0.9245✗1.33
2026-05-10oos0.002440.002591+6.20%0.00653+167.62%1.3512✓1.49
2026-05-09oos0.002430.002546+4.79%0.0072+196.30%1.4004✓1.47
2026-05-08oos0.002380.002473+3.91%0.00783+228.99%1.5160✓1.54
2026-05-07oos0.002270.002356+3.79%0.00808+255.95%1.6479✓1.52
2026-05-06oos0.002240.002333+4.14%0.00789+252.23%1.6765✓1.59
2026-05-05oos0.0023550.002426+3.02%0.00884+275.37%1.5231✓0.97
2026-05-04oos0.00230.002355+2.38%0.00909+295.22%1.5627✓0.96
2026-05-03oos0.002410.002409-0.04%0.00975+304.56%1.5565✗0.96
2026-05-02oos0.002480.00247-0.41%0.01253+405.24%1.7189✗0.97
2026-05-01oos0.002420.002412-0.34%0.009385+287.81%1.4178✗0.96
2026-04-30oos0.0026450.002592-2.02%0.00891+236.86%1.2682✗0.98
2026-04-29oos0.0027450.002683-2.27%0.011+300.73%1.4426✗0.98
2026-04-28oos0.002950.002875-2.56%0.00729+147.12%0.9673✗0.98
2026-04-27oos0.002920.002878-1.45%0.007525+157.71%1.0012✗0.99
2026-04-26oos0.003120.003024-3.06%0.00767+145.83%0.9672✗0.99
2026-04-25oos0.002750.00265-3.64%0.00893+224.73%1.2199✗0.97
2026-04-24oos0.003270.003115-4.74%0.009965+204.74%1.1690✗0.97
2026-04-23oos0.003360.003223-4.07%0.01065+216.96%1.2157✗0.97
2026-04-22oos0.0034450.003276-4.91%0.012175+253.41%1.3478✗0.97
2026-04-21oos0.003270.003043-6.94%0.01383+322.94%1.4991✗0.95
2026-04-20oos0.003560.003248-8.78%0.01321+271.07%1.3830✗0.96
2026-04-19oos0.0035450.003187-10.10%0.017705+399.44%1.6778✗0.95
2026-04-18oos0.0034750.003173-8.70%0.02055+491.37%1.8528✗0.98
2026-04-17oos0.003530.003242-8.17%0.01744+394.05%1.6787✗0.99
2026-04-16oos0.003840.003475-9.51%0.01822+374.48%1.6182✗1.01
2026-04-15oos0.0036050.00326-9.57%0.02269+529.40%1.8851✗1.01
2026-04-14oos0.003580.003156-11.84%0.01719+380.17%1.6060✗1.00
2026-04-13oos0.003540.003062-13.49%0.02182+516.38%1.9004✗1.00
2026-04-12oos0.0040150.003403-15.24%0.006785+68.99%0.5489✗1.10
2026-04-11oos0.0041150.003444-16.30%0.0044+6.93%0.1196✓1.12
2026-04-10oos0.0040450.003353-17.10%0.00244-39.68%0.4510✓1.12
2026-04-09oos0.003850.003162-17.88%0.00243-36.88%0.3914✓1.10
2026-04-08oos0.004030.00327-18.85%0.00238-40.94%0.4507✓1.10
2026-04-07oos0.0043550.00348-20.10%0.00227-47.88%0.5446✓1.10
2026-04-06oos0.0037850.003135-17.16%0.00224-40.82%0.5057✓1.01
2026-04-05oos0.004090.00335-18.09%0.002355-42.42%0.5129✓1.01
2026-04-04oos0.00420.00348-17.14%0.0023-45.24%0.5870✓1.01
2026-04-03oos0.0041250.003455-16.24%0.00241-41.58%0.5205✓1.00
2026-04-02oos0.0040950.003456-15.59%0.00248-39.44%0.4945✓1.00
2026-04-01oos0.004180.003502-16.23%0.00242-42.11%0.5099✓1.01
2026-03-31oos0.004240.003567-15.88%0.002645-37.62%0.4125✓1.01
2026-03-30oos0.00410.003539-13.68%0.002745-33.05%0.3796✓0.99
2026-03-29oos0.004090.003561-12.93%0.00295-27.87%0.3315✓0.98
2026-03-28oos0.004270.003686-13.68%0.00292-31.62%0.3843✓0.98
2026-03-27oos0.00450.003852-14.39%0.00312-30.67%0.3782✓0.98
2026-03-26oos0.004830.003981-17.57%0.00275-43.06%0.4907✓0.99
2026-03-25oos0.004820.003824-20.66%0.00327-32.16%0.2432✓1.05
2026-03-24oos0.004920.003931-20.10%0.00336-31.71%0.2654✓1.04
2026-03-23oos0.005190.00412-20.62%0.003445-33.62%0.2815✓1.04
2026-03-22oos0.005110.004201-17.78%0.00327-36.01%0.3711✓1.02
2026-03-21oos0.005290.004261-19.45%0.00356-32.70%0.2788✓1.03
2026-03-20oos0.005440.004253-21.83%0.003545-34.83%0.2304✓1.05
2026-03-19oos0.00530.004116-22.34%0.003475-34.43%0.2523✓1.04
2026-03-18oos0.005910.004488-24.06%0.00353-40.27%0.3214✓1.03
2026-03-17oos0.006090.004433-27.21%0.00384-36.95%0.1613✓1.08
2026-03-16oos0.00590.004129-30.01%0.003605-38.90%0.1350✓1.10
2026-03-15oos0.005870.004108-30.02%0.00358-39.01%0.1574✓1.08
2026-03-14oos0.005840.004081-30.12%0.00354-39.38%0.1890✓1.06
2026-03-13oos0.005930.003998-32.58%0.004015-32.29%0.0071✓1.06
2026-03-12oos0.005840.003615-38.10%0.004115-29.54%0.0924✓1.05
2026-03-11oos0.005870.003287-44.01%0.004045-31.09%0.1671✓1.04
2026-03-10oos0.006180.003276-46.99%0.00385-37.70%0.1344✓1.04
2026-03-09oos0.00710.004432-37.57%0.00403-43.24%0.1361✓1.07
2026-03-08oos0.007380.005122-30.60%0.004355-40.99%0.2550✓1.08
2026-03-07oos0.008070.005063-37.26%0.003785-53.10%0.3162✓1.08
2026-03-06oos0.008660.004984-42.45%0.00409-52.77%0.2118✓1.08
2026-03-05oos0.010240.006366-37.84%0.0042-58.98%0.3638✓1.00
2026-03-04oos0.012950.009834-24.06%0.004125-68.15%0.7867✓1.00
2026-03-03oos0.016320.014047-13.93%0.004095-74.91%1.2113✓1.00
2026-03-02oos0.018640.015956-14.40%0.00418-77.58%1.3290✓1.00
2026-03-01oos0.018920.01651-12.74%0.00424-77.59%1.3960✓1.00
2026-02-28oos0.021070.017949-14.81%0.0041-80.54%1.4731✓1.00
2026-02-27oos0.019730.016841-14.64%0.00409-79.27%1.4168✓1.00
2026-02-26oos0.021360.017614-17.54%0.00427-80.01%1.3996✓1.00
2026-02-25oos0.019490.015823-18.81%0.0045-76.91%1.2330✓1.00
2026-02-24oos0.014960.012322-17.63%0.00483-67.71%1.0073✓1.00
2026-02-23oos0.01740.014462-16.88%0.00482-72.30%1.1971✓1.00
2026-02-22oos0.019720.015026-23.80%0.00492-75.05%1.1587✓1.00
2026-02-21oos0.020690.014857-28.19%0.00519-74.92%1.0938✓1.00
2026-02-20oos0.019840.012081-39.11%0.00511-74.24%0.8584✓1.00
2026-02-19oos0.018650.008919-52.18%0.00529-71.64%0.5509✓1.00
2026-02-18oos0.018040.006869-61.93%0.00544-69.84%0.2928✓1.00
2026-02-17oos0.031660.023131-26.94%0.0053-83.26%1.5091✓1.00
2026-02-16oos0.041390.033926-18.03%0.00591-85.72%1.7816✓1.00
2026-02-15oos0.044530.036899-17.14%0.00609-86.32%1.8736✓1.00
2026-02-14oos0.046550.038982-16.26%0.0059-87.33%1.9587✓1.00
2026-02-13oos0.048740.041001-15.88%0.00587-87.96%2.0005✓1.00