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WARD

Warden · Base · gru_s0

token id
#545
symbol
WARD
variant
–
chain
Base
address
0xf09e4c8193f16019f0573f370f9a997b11f56638
cohort
datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar
2026-02-04
predictions
753
+1d+7d+30d

Track record at +1d

assessed
250
of 251 predictions shown
direction hit
62.0%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.0775
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0110
actual -0.0139

History

as ofsplitanchor pxpred pxpred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90d
2026-10-21oos0.0027350.002727-0.28%–pending––1.01
2026-10-20oos0.002720.002714-0.24%0.002735+0.55%0.0109✗1.02
2026-10-19oos0.0027250.002716-0.33%0.00272-0.18%0.0121✓1.02
2026-10-18oos0.0030750.003037-1.25%0.002725-11.38%0.1062✓1.01
2026-10-17oos0.0026950.002687-0.28%0.003075+14.10%0.1272✗0.98
2026-10-16oos0.0026950.002688-0.26%0.002695+0.00%0.0040✗0.98
2026-10-15oos0.0027450.002737-0.28%0.002695-1.82%0.0082✓0.97
2026-10-14oos0.0027650.002757-0.27%0.002745-0.72%0.0111✓0.97
2026-10-13oos0.0028350.00283-0.18%0.002765-2.47%0.0049✓0.98
2026-10-12oos0.002750.002745-0.18%0.002835+3.09%0.0169✗0.93
2026-10-11oos0.0028250.00282-0.16%0.00275-2.65%0.0071✓0.78
2026-10-10oos0.002840.002835-0.17%0.002825-0.53%0.0108✓0.78
2026-10-09oos0.002790.002787-0.11%0.00284+1.79%0.0154✗0.79
2026-10-08oos0.0027450.002743-0.09%0.00279+1.64%0.0088✗0.80
2026-10-07oos0.002890.002885-0.17%0.002745-5.02%0.0356✓0.74
2026-10-06oos0.002940.002938-0.07%0.00289-1.70%0.0043✗0.77
2026-10-05oos0.003250.003237-0.40%0.00294-9.54%0.0941✓0.88
2026-10-04oos0.003130.003124-0.18%0.00325+3.83%0.0479✗0.96
2026-10-03oos0.003030.003023-0.25%0.00313+3.30%0.0155✗0.94
2026-10-02oos0.002930.002917-0.44%0.00303+3.41%0.0353✗0.95
2026-10-01oos0.003010.003005-0.16%0.00293-2.66%0.0215✓0.94
2026-09-30oos0.002960.002956-0.14%0.00301+1.69%0.0040✗0.92
2026-09-29oos0.0029150.002913-0.07%0.00296+1.54%0.0170✗0.97
2026-09-28oos0.0030.002994-0.20%0.002915-2.83%0.0287✓0.91
2026-09-27oos0.003140.003132-0.24%0.003-4.46%0.0322✓0.92
2026-09-26oos0.003420.00339-0.87%0.00314-8.19%0.0772✓0.96
2026-09-25oos0.0028950.002891-0.15%0.00342+18.13%0.1644✗0.99
2026-09-24oos0.00280.002798-0.06%0.002895+3.39%0.0374✗1.00
2026-09-23oos0.002840.002837-0.10%0.0028-1.41%0.0132✓1.00
2026-09-22oos0.0029450.002939-0.19%0.00284-3.57%0.0138✓0.97
2026-09-21oos0.0028950.002885-0.36%0.002945+1.73%0.0254✗1.01
2026-09-20oos0.002520.002521+0.03%0.002895+14.88%0.0828✓0.86
2026-09-19oos0.002630.00263-0.01%0.00252-4.18%0.0418✓0.87
2026-09-18oos0.0028950.002886-0.32%0.00263-9.15%0.0968✓0.90
2026-09-17oos0.002660.002653-0.26%0.002895+8.83%0.0392✗0.83
2026-09-16oos0.00240.002401+0.06%0.00266+10.83%0.1001✓0.84
2026-09-15oos0.0024550.002455-0.01%0.0024-2.24%0.0290✓0.88
2026-09-14oos0.0025450.002546+0.04%0.002455-3.54%0.0062✗0.90
2026-09-13oos0.002580.00258+0.01%0.002545-1.36%0.0293✗0.87
2026-09-12oos0.00270.002698-0.06%0.00258-4.44%0.0395✓0.90
2026-09-11oos0.0027450.002743-0.06%0.0027-1.64%0.0165✓0.83
2026-09-10oos0.0026050.002605-0.01%0.002745+5.37%0.0445✗0.90
2026-09-09oos0.002860.002843-0.60%0.002605-8.92%0.0681✓0.85
2026-09-08oos0.002720.002716-0.16%0.00286+5.15%0.0535✗0.83
2026-09-07oos0.0026250.002626+0.05%0.00272+3.62%0.0418✓0.82
2026-09-06oos0.0026750.002676+0.02%0.002625-1.87%0.0055✗0.87
2026-09-05oos0.0027450.002747+0.07%0.002675-2.55%0.0321✗0.89
2026-09-04oos0.0026350.002638+0.12%0.002745+4.17%0.0381✓0.83
2026-09-03oos0.002880.002881+0.05%0.002635-8.51%0.0739✗0.79
2026-09-02oos0.002930.002927-0.10%0.00288-1.71%0.0628✓0.93
2026-09-01oos0.003210.003193-0.52%0.00293-8.72%0.0849✓0.93
2026-08-31oos0.0030250.003003-0.71%0.00321+6.12%0.0813✗0.99
2026-08-30oos0.002560.002561+0.02%0.003025+18.16%0.1525✓1.24
2026-08-29oos0.0025450.002545-0.02%0.00256+0.59%0.0132✗0.97
2026-08-28oos0.0027850.002783-0.06%0.002545-8.62%0.0945✓0.98
2026-08-27oos0.002840.00284-0.01%0.002785-1.94%0.0105✗0.97
2026-08-26oos0.0026850.002686+0.04%0.00284+5.77%0.0413✓0.92
2026-08-25oos0.0027050.002705+0.01%0.002685-0.74%0.0134✗0.93
2026-08-24oos0.0028650.002866+0.03%0.002705-5.58%0.0525✗0.91
2026-08-23oos0.0030550.003054-0.04%0.002865-6.22%0.0797✓1.00
2026-08-22oos0.0029550.002954-0.03%0.003055+3.38%0.0251✗0.98
2026-08-21oos0.003040.003039-0.04%0.002955-2.80%0.0121✓0.97
2026-08-20oos0.003040.003027-0.43%0.00304+0.00%0.0674✓1.02
2026-08-19oos0.00310.003084-0.52%0.00304-1.94%0.0759✓1.18
2026-08-18oos0.003040.003014-0.84%0.0031+1.97%0.0618✓1.30
2026-08-17oos0.003230.003196-1.06%0.00304-5.88%0.0538✓1.20
2026-08-16oos0.003040.003012-0.91%0.00323+6.25%0.0401✗1.15
2026-08-15oos0.003080.003053-0.88%0.00304-1.30%0.0010✓1.13
2026-08-14oos0.0029250.0029-0.84%0.00308+5.30%0.0593✗1.12
2026-08-13oos0.0029250.002899-0.89%0.002925+0.00%0.0174✗1.19
2026-08-12oos0.003190.003158-1.00%0.002925-8.31%0.0769✓0.94
2026-08-11oos0.0029450.002919-0.90%0.00319+8.32%0.0903✗0.73
2026-08-10oos0.0034250.003383-1.23%0.002945-14.01%0.1374✓0.21
2026-08-09oos0.003040.003012-0.93%0.003425+12.66%0.1295✗0.07
2026-08-08oos0.003090.003062-0.92%0.00304-1.62%0.0071✓0.00
2026-08-07oos0.003310.003279-0.92%0.00309-6.65%0.0595✓0.01
2026-08-06oos0.0037250.003682-1.17%0.00331-11.14%0.1070✓0.07
2026-08-05oos0.004980.004735-4.92%0.003725-25.20%0.2397✓0.04
2026-08-04oos0.002990.002974-0.54%0.00498+66.56%0.5168✗-0.15
2026-08-03oos0.003180.00316-0.62%0.00299-5.97%0.0541✓-0.14
2026-08-02oos0.003290.003261-0.88%0.00318-3.34%0.0252✓-0.12
2026-08-01oos0.003250.00323-0.62%0.00329+1.23%0.0203✗-0.16
2026-07-31oos0.003130.003116-0.46%0.00325+3.83%0.0421✗-0.16
2026-07-30oos0.0032150.003193-0.68%0.00313-2.64%0.0256✓-0.19
2026-07-29oos0.003450.003429-0.61%0.003215-6.81%0.0615✓-0.23
2026-07-28oos0.003630.003608-0.60%0.00345-4.96%0.0447✓-0.24
2026-07-27oos0.003650.003628-0.59%0.00363-0.55%0.0010✓-0.22
2026-07-26oos0.003780.003754-0.69%0.00365-3.44%0.0347✓-0.26
2026-07-25oos0.0036950.003674-0.56%0.00378+2.30%0.0322✗-0.24
2026-07-24oos0.003690.003671-0.51%0.003695+0.14%0.0070✗-0.17
2026-07-23oos0.0038350.003814-0.56%0.00369-3.78%0.0362✓-0.22
2026-07-22oos0.0040.003974-0.65%0.003835-4.13%0.0393✓-0.23
2026-07-21oos0.003980.003953-0.67%0.004+0.50%0.0102✗-0.23
2026-07-20oos0.003880.003861-0.50%0.00398+2.58%0.0345✗-0.21
2026-07-19oos0.004110.004086-0.58%0.00388-5.60%0.0501✓-0.21
2026-07-18oos0.0040650.004042-0.56%0.00411+1.11%0.0163✗-0.20
2026-07-17oos0.0042150.004191-0.57%0.004065-3.56%0.0278✓-0.19
2026-07-16oos0.004320.004291-0.67%0.004215-2.43%0.0175✓-0.18
2026-07-15oos0.004530.004477-1.17%0.00432-4.64%0.0397✓-0.27
2026-07-14oos0.003690.003676-0.37%0.00453+22.76%0.2078✗-0.24
2026-07-13oos0.00410.004089-0.26%0.00369-10.00%0.0987✓-0.10
2026-07-12oos0.0042450.004225-0.47%0.0041-3.42%0.0329✓-0.13
2026-07-11oos0.0043550.004331-0.56%0.004245-2.53%0.0201✓-0.32
2026-07-10oos0.004720.00469-0.63%0.004355-7.73%0.0758✓-0.30
2026-07-09oos0.005330.005299-0.58%0.00472-11.44%0.1122✓-0.24
2026-07-08oos0.004920.004896-0.48%0.00533+8.33%0.0886✗-0.25
2026-07-07oos0.006240.006211-0.46%0.00492-21.15%0.2397✓-0.39
2026-07-06oos0.007430.007397-0.44%0.00624-16.02%0.1745✓-0.41
2026-07-05oos0.008110.008069-0.51%0.00743-8.38%0.0812✓-0.20
2026-07-04oos0.00780.007763-0.48%0.00811+3.97%0.0453✗-0.20
2026-07-03oos0.0082650.008222-0.52%0.0078-5.63%0.0508✓-0.20
2026-07-02oos0.008560.00851-0.58%0.008265-3.45%0.0262✓-0.18
2026-07-01oos0.007910.007865-0.57%0.00856+8.22%0.0907✗-0.24
2026-06-30oos0.00860.008542-0.67%0.00791-8.02%0.0730✓-0.16
2026-06-29oos0.009090.008973-1.29%0.0086-5.39%0.0484✓-0.21
2026-06-28oos0.007110.007073-0.52%0.00909+27.85%0.2541✗-0.28
2026-06-27oos0.007820.007773-0.60%0.00711-9.08%0.0916✓-0.31
2026-06-26oos0.00810.008046-0.67%0.00782-3.46%0.0288✓-0.30
2026-06-25oos0.0079950.007944-0.64%0.0081+1.31%0.0210✗-0.30
2026-06-24oos0.007880.00783-0.63%0.007995+1.46%0.0163✗-0.21
2026-06-23oos0.008610.008549-0.71%0.00788-8.48%0.0889✓-0.27
2026-06-22oos0.008990.008909-0.90%0.00861-4.23%0.0406✓-0.31
2026-06-21oos0.008690.008618-0.83%0.00899+3.45%0.0459✗-0.32
2026-06-20oos0.009530.009434-1.01%0.00869-8.81%0.0873✓-0.33
2026-06-19oos0.0091450.009064-0.88%0.00953+4.21%0.0539✗-0.33
2026-06-18oos0.008930.008853-0.86%0.009145+2.41%0.0353✗-0.31
2026-06-17oos0.009710.009616-0.96%0.00893-8.03%0.0830✓-0.36
2026-06-16oos0.010180.010058-1.19%0.00971-4.62%0.0412✓-0.33
2026-06-15oos0.009560.009423-1.43%0.01018+6.49%0.0745✗-0.27
2026-06-14oos0.00840.008319-0.97%0.00956+13.81%0.1418✗-0.32
2026-06-13oos0.009470.009318-1.60%0.0084-11.30%0.0990✓-0.24
2026-06-12oos0.007490.007427-0.84%0.00947+26.44%0.2476✗-0.33
2026-06-11oos0.00740.007344-0.76%0.00749+1.22%0.0196✗-0.33
2026-06-10oos0.007540.00749-0.67%0.0074-1.86%0.0011✓-0.32
2026-06-09oos0.006530.006516-0.22%0.00754+15.47%0.1448✗-0.31
2026-06-08oos0.00720.007166-0.48%0.00653-9.31%0.1013✓-0.38
2026-06-07oos0.007830.007787-0.55%0.0072-8.05%0.0801✓-0.47
2026-06-06oos0.008080.00806-0.25%0.00783-3.09%0.0101✓-0.48
2026-06-05oos0.007890.007884-0.07%0.00808+2.41%0.0232✗-0.43
2026-06-04oos0.008840.008807-0.37%0.00789-10.75%0.1350✓-0.56
2026-06-03oos0.009090.009063-0.29%0.00884-2.75%0.0263✓-0.37
2026-06-02oos0.009750.009702-0.49%0.00909-6.77%0.0770✓-0.30
2026-06-01oos0.012530.012159-2.96%0.00975-22.19%0.2998✓-1.17
2026-05-31oos0.0093850.009279-1.13%0.01253+33.51%0.2722✗-0.90
2026-05-30oos0.008910.008823-0.97%0.009385+5.33%0.0594✗-0.86
2026-05-29oos0.0110.010613-3.52%0.00891-19.00%0.1707✓-0.77
2026-05-28oos0.007290.007283-0.09%0.011+50.89%0.4109✗-0.70
2026-05-27oos0.0075250.007494-0.41%0.00729-3.12%0.0347✓-0.65
2026-05-26oos0.007670.007634-0.46%0.007525-1.89%0.0282✓-0.69
2026-05-25oos0.008930.008863-0.75%0.00767-14.11%0.1504✓-0.31
2026-05-24oos0.0099650.009885-0.80%0.00893-10.39%0.1007✓-0.27
2026-05-23oos0.010650.010583-0.63%0.009965-6.43%0.0597✓-0.12
2026-05-22oos0.0121750.012105-0.58%0.01065-12.53%0.1269✓-0.07
2026-05-21oos0.013830.013676-1.11%0.012175-11.97%0.1207✓-0.16
2026-05-20oos0.013210.01311-0.76%0.01383+4.69%0.0536✗-0.14
2026-05-19oos0.0177050.017556-0.84%0.01321-25.39%0.2837✓-0.08
2026-05-18oos0.020550.020052-2.42%0.017705-13.84%0.1242✓0.14
2026-05-17oos0.017440.017112-1.88%0.02055+17.83%0.1849✗0.30
2026-05-16oos0.018220.017887-1.83%0.01744-4.28%0.0227✓0.29
2026-05-15oos0.022690.021619-4.72%0.01822-19.70%0.1682✓0.24
2026-05-14oos0.017190.016629-3.27%0.02269+32.00%0.3213✗0.42
2026-05-13oos0.021820.020146-7.67%0.01719-21.22%0.1683✓0.43
2026-05-12oos0.0067850.006424-5.32%0.02182+221.59%1.2398✗1.13
2026-05-11oos0.00440.00424-3.64%0.006785+54.20%0.4906✗1.33
2026-05-10oos0.002440.002441+0.06%0.0044+80.33%0.5976✓1.49
2026-05-09oos0.002430.002431+0.05%0.00244+0.41%0.0242✗1.47
2026-05-08oos0.002380.002379-0.04%0.00243+2.10%0.0123✗1.54
2026-05-07oos0.002270.002273+0.12%0.00238+4.85%0.0427✓1.52
2026-05-06oos0.002240.002242+0.11%0.00227+1.34%0.0404✓1.59
2026-05-05oos0.0023550.002356+0.06%0.00224-4.88%0.0570✗0.97
2026-05-04oos0.00230.002301+0.02%0.002355+2.39%0.0108✓0.96
2026-05-03oos0.002410.002408-0.06%0.0023-4.56%0.0618✓0.96
2026-05-02oos0.002480.002476-0.16%0.00241-2.82%0.0255✓0.97
2026-05-01oos0.002420.002419-0.05%0.00248+2.48%0.0195✗0.96
2026-04-30oos0.0026450.00264-0.20%0.00242-8.51%0.1114✓0.98
2026-04-29oos0.0027450.002737-0.31%0.002645-3.64%0.0412✓0.98
2026-04-28oos0.002950.002942-0.28%0.002745-6.95%0.0619✓0.98
2026-04-27oos0.002920.002913-0.23%0.00295+1.03%0.0261✗0.99
2026-04-26oos0.003120.003096-0.76%0.00292-6.41%0.0420✓0.99
2026-04-25oos0.002750.002727-0.83%0.00312+13.45%0.1219✗0.97
2026-04-24oos0.003270.003251-0.57%0.00275-15.90%0.1698✓0.97
2026-04-23oos0.003360.003338-0.66%0.00327-2.68%0.0103✓0.97
2026-04-22oos0.0034450.003426-0.56%0.00336-2.47%0.0202✓0.97
2026-04-21oos0.003270.003245-0.78%0.003445+5.35%0.0371✗0.95
2026-04-20oos0.003560.003525-0.98%0.00327-8.15%0.0812✓0.96
2026-04-19oos0.0035450.0035-1.27%0.00356+0.42%0.0088✓0.95
2026-04-18oos0.0034750.003443-0.91%0.003545+2.01%0.0541✗0.98
2026-04-17oos0.003530.003491-1.09%0.003475-1.56%0.0129✗0.99
2026-04-16oos0.003840.003786-1.41%0.00353-8.07%0.0957✓1.01
2026-04-15oos0.0036050.003569-1.01%0.00384+6.52%0.0689✗1.01
2026-04-14oos0.003580.003535-1.25%0.003605+0.70%0.0107✓1.00
2026-04-13oos0.003540.003474-1.86%0.00358+1.13%0.0336✗1.00
2026-04-12oos0.0040150.003953-1.54%0.00354-11.83%0.1660✓1.10
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