TMX
TermMax · Ethereum · gru_s0
- token id
- #846
- symbol
- TMX
- variant
- –
- chain
- Ethereum
- address
- 0x3c2f61f2e27c865981d2e7aaf6b2cdf823030039
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-08-25
- predictions
- 150
Track record at +7d
assessed
43
of 50 predictions shown
direction hit
74.4%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.3838
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0283
actual -0.3305
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-22 | oos | 0.01012 | 0.010037 | -0.82% | – | pending | – | – | 3.22 |
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.00992 | 0.009846 | -0.74% | – | pending | – | – | 3.21 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.00918 | 0.009119 | -0.66% | – | pending | – | – | 3.16 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.00918 | 0.00912 | -0.65% | – | pending | – | – | 3.15 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.008945 | 0.008882 | -0.71% | – | pending | – | – | 3.16 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.008375 | 0.008313 | -0.74% | – | pending | – | – | 3.13 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.007985 | 0.007919 | -0.82% | – | pending | – | – | 3.14 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.00795 | 0.007893 | -0.71% | 0.01012 | +27.30% | 0.1684 | ✗ | 3.18 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.00869 | 0.008655 | -0.40% | 0.00992 | +14.15% | 0.0415 | ✗ | 3.20 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.010375 | 0.010308 | -0.64% | 0.00918 | -11.52% | 0.1098 | ✓ | 3.13 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.01041 | 0.01035 | -0.58% | 0.00918 | -11.82% | 0.1236 | ✓ | 3.13 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.01259 | 0.012406 | -1.46% | 0.008945 | -28.95% | 0.2657 | ✓ | 3.04 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.011045 | 0.010949 | -0.87% | 0.008375 | -24.17% | 0.2127 | ✓ | 2.97 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.010635 | 0.01056 | -0.70% | 0.007985 | -24.92% | 0.2419 | ✓ | 2.95 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.010685 | 0.010623 | -0.58% | 0.00795 | -25.60% | 0.3053 | ✓ | 2.94 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.01237 | 0.012207 | -1.31% | 0.00869 | -29.75% | 0.2796 | ✓ | 2.90 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.012635 | 0.012438 | -1.56% | 0.010375 | -17.89% | 0.0912 | ✓ | 3.12 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.014305 | 0.013954 | -2.45% | 0.01041 | -27.23% | 0.1444 | ✓ | 3.11 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.01564 | 0.014999 | -4.10% | 0.01259 | -19.50% | 0.0718 | ✓ | 3.11 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.011575 | 0.011426 | -1.28% | 0.011045 | -4.58% | 0.0259 | ✗ | 2.74 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.0112 | 0.01105 | -1.33% | 0.010635 | -5.04% | 0.0259 | ✗ | 2.74 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.01535 | 0.014635 | -4.66% | 0.010685 | -30.39% | 0.2144 | ✓ | 2.64 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.00878 | 0.008626 | -1.75% | 0.01237 | +40.89% | 0.3676 | ✗ | 2.12 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.008885 | 0.008691 | -2.18% | 0.012635 | +42.21% | 0.3263 | ✗ | 2.13 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.008805 | 0.008524 | -3.19% | 0.014305 | +62.46% | 0.4600 | ✗ | 2.13 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.01078 | 0.010615 | -1.53% | 0.01564 | +45.08% | 0.3387 | ✗ | 2.04 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.012155 | 0.011971 | -1.52% | 0.011575 | -4.77% | 0.0414 | ✓ | 2.04 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.011725 | 0.011387 | -2.89% | 0.0112 | -4.48% | 0.0264 | ✓ | 2.03 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.01571 | 0.015217 | -3.14% | 0.01535 | -2.29% | 0.0020 | ✓ | 1.95 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.01868 | 0.017866 | -4.36% | 0.00878 | -53.00% | 0.7006 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.02111 | 0.01993 | -5.59% | 0.008885 | -57.91% | 0.7777 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.02088 | 0.019648 | -5.90% | 0.008805 | -57.83% | 0.7658 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.02122 | 0.020196 | -4.82% | 0.01078 | -49.20% | 0.6677 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.02048 | 0.019449 | -5.03% | 0.012155 | -40.65% | 0.5085 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.02102 | 0.020012 | -4.80% | 0.011725 | -44.22% | 0.5736 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.022235 | 0.021518 | -3.22% | 0.01571 | -29.35% | 0.4147 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.02379 | 0.022983 | -3.39% | 0.01868 | -21.48% | 0.3100 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.026725 | 0.025769 | -3.58% | 0.02111 | -21.01% | 0.3308 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.032755 | 0.031216 | -4.70% | 0.02088 | -36.25% | 0.5044 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.02957 | 0.02784 | -5.85% | 0.02122 | -28.24% | 0.3268 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.03304 | 0.031036 | -6.06% | 0.02048 | -38.01% | 0.4658 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.03 | 0.027482 | -8.39% | 0.02102 | -29.93% | 0.3145 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.030845 | 0.028172 | -8.67% | 0.022235 | -27.91% | 0.2342 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.036275 | 0.03459 | -4.64% | 0.02379 | -34.42% | 0.3466 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.04783 | 0.047021 | -1.69% | 0.026725 | -44.13% | 0.5278 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.055525 | 0.055333 | -0.35% | 0.032755 | -41.01% | 0.5127 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.078715 | 0.078795 | +0.10% | 0.02957 | -62.43% | 0.9350 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.094865 | 0.094821 | -0.05% | 0.03304 | -65.17% | 1.0216 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 0.0947 | 0.095071 | +0.39% | 0.03 | -68.32% | 1.1220 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 0.11449 | 0.115039 | +0.48% | 0.030845 | -73.06% | 1.2564 | ✗ | 1.00 |