TMX

TermMax · Ethereum · gru_s0

token id: #846
symbol: TMX
variant: –
chain: Ethereum
address: 0x3c2f61f2e27c865981d2e7aaf6b2cdf823030039
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-08-25
predictions: 147

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +1d

assessed

of 49 predictions shown

direction hit

54.2%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1088

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0083

actual -0.0513

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.00942	0.009366	-0.57%	–	pending	–	–	3.14
2026-10-20	oos	0.00918	0.009133	-0.51%	0.00942	+2.61%	0.0401	✗	3.16
2026-10-19	oos	0.00918	0.009131	-0.53%	0.00918	+0.00%	0.0367	✓	3.15
2026-10-18	oos	0.008945	0.008896	-0.55%	0.00918	+2.63%	0.0379	✗	3.16
2026-10-17	oos	0.008375	0.008334	-0.49%	0.008945	+6.81%	0.0468	✗	3.13
2026-10-16	oos	0.007985	0.007951	-0.42%	0.008375	+4.88%	0.0565	✗	3.14
2026-10-15	oos	0.00795	0.007924	-0.32%	0.007985	+0.44%	0.0319	✗	3.18
2026-10-14	oos	0.00869	0.008667	-0.27%	0.00795	-8.52%	0.1081	✓	3.20
2026-10-13	oos	0.010375	0.010341	-0.33%	0.00869	-16.24%	0.1155	✓	3.13
2026-10-12	oos	0.01041	0.010375	-0.33%	0.010375	-0.34%	0.0516	✓	3.13
2026-10-11	oos	0.01259	0.012489	-0.80%	0.01041	-17.32%	0.1109	✓	3.04
2026-10-10	oos	0.011045	0.010996	-0.44%	0.01259	+13.99%	0.1080	✗	2.97
2026-10-09	oos	0.010635	0.010601	-0.32%	0.011045	+3.86%	0.0280	✗	2.95
2026-10-08	oos	0.010685	0.010655	-0.28%	0.010635	-0.47%	0.0324	✓	2.94
2026-10-07	oos	0.01237	0.012302	-0.55%	0.010685	-13.62%	0.0852	✓	2.90
2026-10-06	oos	0.012635	0.012569	-0.52%	0.01237	-2.10%	0.0678	✗	3.12
2026-10-05	oos	0.014305	0.014169	-0.95%	0.012635	-11.67%	0.1070	✓	3.11
2026-10-04	oos	0.01564	0.015159	-3.07%	0.014305	-8.54%	0.0306	✓	3.11
2026-10-03	oos	0.011575	0.01151	-0.56%	0.01564	+35.12%	0.2501	✗	2.74
2026-10-02	oos	0.0112	0.011118	-0.73%	0.011575	+3.35%	0.0326	✗	2.74
2026-10-01	oos	0.01535	0.014672	-4.42%	0.0112	-27.04%	0.2593	✓	2.64
2026-09-30	oos	0.00878	0.008751	-0.33%	0.01535	+74.83%	0.5295	✗	2.12
2026-09-29	oos	0.008885	0.008843	-0.47%	0.00878	-1.18%	0.0051	✓	2.13
2026-09-28	oos	0.008805	0.008707	-1.12%	0.008885	+0.91%	0.0156	✗	2.13
2026-09-27	oos	0.01078	0.010727	-0.49%	0.008805	-18.32%	0.1730	✓	2.04
2026-09-26	oos	0.012155	0.012094	-0.50%	0.01078	-11.31%	0.1161	✓	2.04
2026-09-25	oos	0.011725	0.011547	-1.51%	0.012155	+3.67%	0.0435	✗	2.03
2026-09-24	oos	0.01571	0.015578	-0.84%	0.011725	-25.37%	0.2774	✓	1.95
2026-09-23	oos	0.01868	0.018487	-1.03%	0.01571	-15.90%	0.1628	✓	1.00
2026-09-22	oos	0.02111	0.020823	-1.36%	0.01868	-11.51%	0.0873	✓	1.00
2026-09-21	oos	0.02088	0.020605	-1.32%	0.02111	+1.10%	0.0288	✗	1.00
2026-09-20	oos	0.02122	0.020986	-1.10%	0.02088	-1.60%	0.0699	✓	1.00
2026-09-19	oos	0.02048	0.020259	-1.08%	0.02122	+3.61%	0.0473	✗	1.00
2026-09-18	oos	0.02102	0.020807	-1.01%	0.02048	-2.57%	0.0203	✓	1.00
2026-09-17	oos	0.022235	0.022129	-0.48%	0.02102	-5.46%	0.1090	✓	1.00
2026-09-16	oos	0.02379	0.023674	-0.49%	0.022235	-6.54%	0.0654	✓	1.00
2026-09-15	oos	0.026725	0.026601	-0.46%	0.02379	-10.98%	0.1191	✓	1.00
2026-09-14	oos	0.032755	0.032431	-0.99%	0.026725	-18.41%	0.1598	✓	1.00
2026-09-13	oos	0.02957	0.029267	-1.02%	0.032755	+10.77%	0.0948	✗	1.00
2026-09-12	oos	0.03304	0.032659	-1.15%	0.02957	-10.50%	0.0933	✓	1.00
2026-09-11	oos	0.03	0.029333	-2.22%	0.03304	+10.13%	0.1183	✗	1.00
2026-09-10	oos	0.030845	0.029967	-2.85%	0.03	-2.74%	0.0077	✓	1.00
2026-09-09	oos	0.036275	0.035786	-1.35%	0.030845	-14.97%	0.1260	✓	1.00
2026-09-08	oos	0.04783	0.047731	-0.21%	0.036275	-24.16%	0.2724	✓	1.00
2026-09-07	oos	0.055525	0.05557	+0.08%	0.04783	-13.86%	0.1418	✗	1.00
2026-09-06	oos	0.078715	0.078803	+0.11%	0.055525	-29.46%	0.3345	✗	1.00
2026-09-05	oos	0.094865	0.094871	+0.01%	0.078715	-17.02%	0.1930	✗	1.00
2026-09-04	oos	0.0947	0.094804	+0.11%	0.094865	+0.17%	0.0013	✗	1.00
2026-09-03	oos	0.11449	0.114508	+0.02%	0.0947	-17.29%	0.1702	✗	1.00