S

Sonic · native · gru_s0

token id: #120
symbol: S
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2025-06-24
predictions: 1,428

Track record at +30d

assessed

370

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

74.1%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1511

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0325

actual -0.0705

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.056345	0.053073	-5.81%	–	pending	–	–	1.40
2026-10-20	oos	0.05751	0.054348	-5.50%	–	pending	–	–	1.40
2026-10-19	oos	0.05861	0.055091	-6.00%	–	pending	–	–	1.41
2026-10-18	oos	0.051685	0.048643	-5.89%	–	pending	–	–	1.40
2026-10-17	oos	0.052695	0.049443	-6.17%	–	pending	–	–	1.41
2026-10-16	oos	0.054935	0.0515	-6.25%	–	pending	–	–	1.40
2026-10-15	oos	0.055925	0.052295	-6.49%	–	pending	–	–	1.39
2026-10-14	oos	0.054155	0.050412	-6.91%	–	pending	–	–	1.38
2026-10-13	oos	0.057115	0.053392	-6.52%	–	pending	–	–	1.37
2026-10-12	oos	0.05647	0.052428	-7.16%	–	pending	–	–	1.38
2026-10-11	oos	0.06086	0.056082	-7.85%	–	pending	–	–	1.28
2026-10-10	oos	0.04728	0.044357	-6.18%	–	pending	–	–	1.22
2026-10-09	oos	0.043925	0.041226	-6.14%	–	pending	–	–	1.22
2026-10-08	oos	0.038495	0.036095	-6.24%	–	pending	–	–	1.20
2026-10-07	oos	0.040855	0.038835	-4.94%	–	pending	–	–	1.18
2026-10-06	oos	0.043535	0.041955	-3.63%	–	pending	–	–	1.15
2026-10-05	oos	0.043635	0.042149	-3.41%	–	pending	–	–	1.15
2026-10-04	oos	0.040785	0.039598	-2.91%	–	pending	–	–	1.19
2026-10-03	oos	0.043395	0.041688	-3.93%	–	pending	–	–	1.23
2026-10-02	oos	0.03797	0.036693	-3.36%	–	pending	–	–	1.23
2026-10-01	oos	0.03865	0.037494	-2.99%	–	pending	–	–	1.22
2026-09-30	oos	0.040745	0.03926	-3.64%	–	pending	–	–	1.27
2026-09-29	oos	0.037615	0.036322	-3.44%	–	pending	–	–	1.31
2026-09-28	oos	0.038825	0.037496	-3.42%	–	pending	–	–	1.30
2026-09-27	oos	0.04043	0.039098	-3.30%	–	pending	–	–	1.32
2026-09-26	oos	0.039945	0.038654	-3.23%	–	pending	–	–	1.32
2026-09-25	oos	0.04142	0.039936	-3.58%	–	pending	–	–	1.29
2026-09-24	oos	0.04092	0.039596	-3.23%	–	pending	–	–	1.28
2026-09-23	oos	0.04014	0.038962	-2.93%	–	pending	–	–	1.28
2026-09-22	oos	0.04336	0.042195	-2.69%	–	pending	–	–	1.26
2026-09-21	oos	0.039495	0.038785	-1.80%	0.056345	+42.66%	0.4360	✗	1.36
2026-09-20	oos	0.039995	0.038102	-4.73%	0.05751	+43.79%	0.3780	✗	1.55
2026-09-19	oos	0.033515	0.032568	-2.82%	0.05861	+74.88%	0.5761	✗	1.55
2026-09-18	oos	0.032415	0.031499	-2.83%	0.051685	+59.45%	0.4736	✗	1.55
2026-09-17	oos	0.027	0.02599	-3.74%	0.052695	+95.17%	0.6201	✗	1.36
2026-09-16	oos	0.025855	0.025019	-3.23%	0.054935	+112.47%	0.6954	✗	1.34
2026-09-15	oos	0.02546	0.024626	-3.27%	0.055925	+119.66%	0.7131	✗	1.29
2026-09-14	oos	0.02675	0.026153	-2.23%	0.054155	+102.45%	0.6738	✗	1.27
2026-09-13	oos	0.026345	0.025692	-2.48%	0.057115	+116.80%	0.6983	✗	1.28
2026-09-12	oos	0.027485	0.026769	-2.61%	0.05647	+105.46%	0.6749	✗	1.27
2026-09-11	oos	0.02702	0.026412	-2.25%	0.06086	+125.24%	0.7313	✗	1.29
2026-09-10	oos	0.02649	0.025867	-2.35%	0.04728	+78.48%	0.5007	✗	1.28
2026-09-09	oos	0.02824	0.027782	-1.62%	0.043925	+55.54%	0.3915	✗	1.26
2026-09-08	oos	0.02972	0.029164	-1.87%	0.038495	+29.53%	0.2269	✗	1.25
2026-09-07	oos	0.029985	0.029591	-1.31%	0.040855	+36.25%	0.2574	✗	1.26
2026-09-06	oos	0.03098	0.030791	-0.61%	0.043535	+40.53%	0.2715	✗	1.19
2026-09-05	oos	0.02983	0.029668	-0.54%	0.043635	+46.28%	0.3008	✗	1.19
2026-09-04	oos	0.02953	0.029461	-0.23%	0.040785	+38.11%	0.2304	✗	1.15
2026-09-03	oos	0.02826	0.028497	+0.84%	0.043395	+53.56%	0.3703	✓	1.20
2026-09-02	oos	0.02658	0.026313	-1.01%	0.03797	+42.85%	0.2533	✗	1.27
2026-09-01	oos	0.02764	0.027393	-0.89%	0.03865	+39.83%	0.2260	✗	1.29
2026-08-31	oos	0.02777	0.027778	+0.03%	0.040745	+46.72%	0.3072	✓	1.23
2026-08-30	oos	0.02759	0.027586	-0.01%	0.037615	+36.34%	0.2193	✗	1.23
2026-08-29	oos	0.03037	0.030449	+0.26%	0.038825	+27.84%	0.1677	✓	1.17
2026-08-28	oos	0.02984	0.030078	+0.80%	0.04043	+35.49%	0.2007	✓	1.17
2026-08-27	oos	0.03047	0.031441	+3.19%	0.039945	+31.10%	0.1800	✓	1.18
2026-08-26	oos	0.03201	0.032996	+3.08%	0.04142	+29.40%	0.1526	✓	1.20
2026-08-25	oos	0.02739	0.028405	+3.70%	0.04092	+49.40%	0.2791	✓	1.19
2026-08-24	oos	0.028635	0.029703	+3.73%	0.04014	+40.18%	0.2222	✓	1.20
2026-08-23	oos	0.02816	0.029052	+3.17%	0.04336	+53.98%	0.2768	✓	1.20
2026-08-22	oos	0.02708	0.027975	+3.31%	0.039495	+45.85%	0.2060	✓	1.19
2026-08-21	oos	0.02856	0.02961	+3.68%	0.039995	+40.04%	0.2589	✓	1.17
2026-08-20	oos	0.02506	0.025217	+0.63%	0.033515	+33.74%	0.1699	✓	1.07
2026-08-19	oos	0.02324	0.022859	-1.64%	0.032415	+39.48%	0.1872	✗	1.05
2026-08-18	oos	0.021375	0.020431	-4.42%	0.027	+26.32%	0.1107	✗	1.01
2026-08-17	oos	0.02184	0.020866	-4.46%	0.025855	+18.38%	0.0442	✓	1.02
2026-08-16	oos	0.02196	0.020884	-4.90%	0.02546	+15.94%	0.0042	✓	1.05
2026-08-15	oos	0.02231	0.021225	-4.86%	0.02675	+19.90%	0.0058	✓	1.05
2026-08-14	oos	0.02206	0.021034	-4.65%	0.026345	+19.42%	0.0169	✓	1.05
2026-08-13	oos	0.02262	0.021637	-4.35%	0.027485	+21.51%	0.0319	✓	1.05
2026-08-12	oos	0.02238	0.021444	-4.18%	0.02702	+20.73%	0.0212	✓	1.07
2026-08-11	oos	0.023	0.022105	-3.89%	0.02649	+15.17%	0.0181	✓	1.07
2026-08-10	oos	0.02353	0.022666	-3.67%	0.02824	+20.02%	0.0019	✓	1.07
2026-08-09	oos	0.02351	0.022718	-3.37%	0.02972	+26.41%	0.0598	✗	1.10
2026-08-08	oos	0.02358	0.022763	-3.47%	0.029985	+27.16%	0.0583	✗	1.10
2026-08-07	oos	0.02169	0.020964	-3.35%	0.03098	+42.83%	0.1527	✗	1.11
2026-08-06	oos	0.0219	0.021143	-3.46%	0.02983	+36.21%	0.1031	✗	1.11
2026-08-05	oos	0.02193	0.021208	-3.29%	0.02953	+34.66%	0.0942	✗	1.13
2026-08-04	oos	0.02235	0.021568	-3.50%	0.02826	+26.44%	0.0026	✓	1.12
2026-08-03	oos	0.02253	0.021681	-3.77%	0.02658	+17.98%	0.0236	✓	1.15
2026-08-02	oos	0.02177	0.020935	-3.83%	0.02764	+26.96%	0.0492	✗	1.16
2026-08-01	oos	0.0214	0.020557	-3.94%	0.02777	+29.77%	0.0422	✗	1.15
2026-07-31	oos	0.02131	0.020479	-3.90%	0.02759	+29.47%	0.0540	✗	1.15
2026-07-30	oos	0.02149	0.020783	-3.29%	0.03037	+41.32%	0.1560	✗	1.18
2026-07-29	oos	0.02114	0.020467	-3.18%	0.02984	+41.15%	0.1458	✗	1.17
2026-07-28	oos	0.02166	0.021005	-3.03%	0.03047	+40.67%	0.1067	✗	1.16
2026-07-27	oos	0.02165	0.021041	-2.81%	0.03201	+47.85%	0.1697	✗	1.16
2026-07-26	oos	0.02341	0.022892	-2.21%	0.02739	+17.00%	0.0250	✓	1.11
2026-07-25	oos	0.02345	0.022989	-1.96%	0.028635	+22.11%	0.0112	✓	1.12
2026-07-24	oos	0.0234	0.023032	-1.57%	0.02816	+20.34%	0.0156	✓	1.12
2026-07-23	oos	0.02404	0.023772	-1.11%	0.02708	+12.65%	0.0594	✓	1.12
2026-07-22	oos	0.024615	0.024436	-0.73%	0.02856	+16.03%	0.0308	✓	1.10
2026-07-21	oos	0.02451	0.024381	-0.53%	0.02506	+2.24%	0.0753	✓	1.10
2026-07-20	oos	0.02515	0.024923	-0.90%	0.02324	-7.59%	0.1382	✓	1.12
2026-07-19	oos	0.02396	0.02371	-1.04%	0.021375	-10.79%	0.1037	✓	1.11
2026-07-18	oos	0.02426	0.024063	-0.81%	0.02184	-9.98%	0.0914	✓	1.12
2026-07-17	oos	0.02478	0.024539	-0.97%	0.02196	-11.38%	0.0921	✓	1.14
2026-07-16	oos	0.02491	0.024641	-1.08%	0.02231	-10.44%	0.0855	✓	1.17
2026-07-15	oos	0.02547	0.025267	-0.80%	0.02206	-13.39%	0.1040	✓	1.16
2026-07-14	oos	0.02549	0.025308	-0.71%	0.02262	-11.26%	0.0836	✓	1.18
2026-07-13	oos	0.02526	0.025	-1.03%	0.02238	-11.40%	0.1335	✓	1.25
2026-07-12	oos	0.02531	0.025075	-0.93%	0.023	-9.13%	0.0822	✓	1.27
2026-07-11	oos	0.025885	0.025636	-0.96%	0.02353	-9.10%	0.0885	✓	1.27
2026-07-10	oos	0.02603	0.025764	-1.02%	0.02351	-9.68%	0.1057	✓	1.27
2026-07-09	oos	0.025275	0.024998	-1.10%	0.02358	-6.71%	0.0924	✓	1.26
2026-07-08	oos	0.02502	0.024744	-1.10%	0.02169	-13.31%	0.1844	✓	1.26
2026-07-07	oos	0.02562	0.025298	-1.26%	0.0219	-14.52%	0.1629	✓	1.26
2026-07-06	oos	0.02665	0.026251	-1.50%	0.02193	-17.71%	0.1917	✓	1.27
2026-07-05	oos	0.02718	0.026721	-1.69%	0.02235	-17.77%	0.1883	✓	1.32
2026-07-04	oos	0.02669	0.02623	-1.72%	0.02253	-15.59%	0.1600	✓	1.32
2026-07-03	oos	0.02711	0.026616	-1.82%	0.02177	-19.70%	0.2210	✓	1.29
2026-07-02	oos	0.02489	0.024478	-1.66%	0.0214	-14.02%	0.1601	✓	1.25
2026-07-01	oos	0.02297	0.022586	-1.67%	0.02131	-7.23%	0.1146	✓	1.21
2026-06-30	oos	0.02269	0.022325	-1.61%	0.02149	-5.29%	0.1637	✓	1.25
2026-06-29	oos	0.02448	0.024026	-1.86%	0.02114	-13.64%	0.2013	✓	1.22
2026-06-28	oos	0.02413	0.023625	-2.09%	0.02166	-10.24%	0.1730	✓	1.21
2026-06-27	oos	0.02214	0.021634	-2.29%	0.02165	-2.21%	0.0743	✓	1.23
2026-06-26	oos	0.02018	0.019611	-2.82%	0.02341	+16.01%	0.0718	✗	1.24
2026-06-25	oos	0.02002	0.019449	-2.85%	0.02345	+17.13%	0.0956	✗	1.23
2026-06-24	oos	0.02089	0.020308	-2.79%	0.0234	+12.02%	0.0810	✗	1.22
2026-06-23	oos	0.02376	0.023118	-2.70%	0.02404	+1.18%	0.0038	✓	1.14
2026-06-22	oos	0.025055	0.024298	-3.02%	0.024615	-1.76%	0.0239	✓	1.12
2026-06-21	oos	0.02697	0.026147	-3.05%	0.02451	-9.12%	0.1229	✓	1.15
2026-06-20	oos	0.02794	0.027059	-3.15%	0.02515	-9.99%	0.0906	✓	1.14
2026-06-19	oos	0.03075	0.029701	-3.41%	0.02396	-22.08%	0.2369	✓	1.18
2026-06-18	oos	0.03279	0.031586	-3.67%	0.02426	-26.01%	0.2999	✓	1.20
2026-06-17	oos	0.03205	0.030838	-3.78%	0.02478	-22.68%	0.2081	✓	1.23
2026-06-16	oos	0.03216	0.030876	-3.99%	0.02491	-22.54%	0.1795	✓	1.24
2026-06-15	oos	0.03274	0.031378	-4.16%	0.02547	-22.21%	0.1783	✓	1.27
2026-06-14	oos	0.03225	0.030862	-4.30%	0.02549	-20.96%	0.1773	✓	1.27
2026-06-13	oos	0.03076	0.02947	-4.19%	0.02526	-17.88%	0.1103	✓	1.28
2026-06-12	oos	0.03053	0.029269	-4.13%	0.02531	-17.10%	0.1495	✓	1.31
2026-06-11	oos	0.03056	0.029269	-4.23%	0.025885	-15.30%	0.1272	✓	1.31
2026-06-10	oos	0.02939	0.028259	-3.85%	0.02603	-11.43%	0.1382	✓	1.31
2026-06-09	oos	0.03161	0.030238	-4.34%	0.025275	-20.04%	0.2105	✓	1.31
2026-06-08	oos	0.02988	0.028513	-4.58%	0.02502	-16.27%	0.1127	✓	1.36
2026-06-07	oos	0.02978	0.028361	-4.77%	0.02562	-13.97%	0.1021	✓	1.36
2026-06-06	oos	0.02949	0.028134	-4.60%	0.02665	-9.63%	0.1248	✓	1.40
2026-06-05	oos	0.02964	0.028145	-5.04%	0.02718	-8.30%	0.0916	✓	1.39
2026-06-04	oos	0.03336	0.031391	-5.90%	0.02669	-19.99%	0.1473	✓	1.32
2026-06-03	oos	0.03696	0.034578	-6.44%	0.02711	-26.65%	0.2120	✓	1.30
2026-06-02	oos	0.03707	0.03456	-6.77%	0.02489	-32.86%	0.2191	✓	1.35
2026-06-01	oos	0.04034	0.037606	-6.78%	0.02297	-43.06%	0.2717	✓	1.28
2026-05-31	oos	0.03982	0.037287	-6.36%	0.02269	-43.02%	0.1947	✓	1.32
2026-05-30	oos	0.04047	0.037808	-6.58%	0.02448	-39.51%	0.1734	✓	1.28
2026-05-29	oos	0.04032	0.037665	-6.58%	0.02413	-40.15%	0.1768	✓	1.28
2026-05-28	oos	0.04035	0.037813	-6.29%	0.02214	-45.13%	0.2755	✓	1.27
2026-05-27	oos	0.04289	0.040421	-5.76%	0.02018	-52.95%	0.4281	✓	1.25
2026-05-26	oos	0.04466	0.042376	-5.11%	0.02002	-55.17%	0.4518	✓	1.25
2026-05-25	oos	0.04606	0.043951	-4.58%	0.02089	-54.65%	0.4451	✓	1.26
2026-05-24	oos	0.04541	0.043262	-4.73%	0.02376	-47.68%	0.3389	✓	1.26
2026-05-23	oos	0.04681	0.04452	-4.89%	0.025055	-46.48%	0.3495	✓	1.24
2026-05-22	oos	0.04565	0.043236	-5.29%	0.02697	-40.92%	0.2517	✓	1.25
2026-05-21	oos	0.04834	0.046091	-4.65%	0.02794	-42.20%	0.2682	✓	1.23
2026-05-20	oos	0.04456	0.042614	-4.37%	0.03075	-30.99%	0.0805	✓	1.23
2026-05-19	oos	0.04363	0.041687	-4.45%	0.03279	-24.85%	0.0045	✓	1.23
2026-05-18	oos	0.04456	0.042632	-4.33%	0.03205	-28.07%	0.0627	✓	1.26
2026-05-17	oos	0.04397	0.042117	-4.21%	0.03216	-26.86%	0.0632	✓	1.25
2026-05-16	oos	0.045505	0.043717	-3.93%	0.03274	-28.05%	0.0848	✓	1.24
2026-05-15	oos	0.04681	0.045196	-3.45%	0.03225	-31.10%	0.1060	✓	1.25
2026-05-14	oos	0.04942	0.048163	-2.54%	0.03076	-37.76%	0.1586	✓	1.26
2026-05-13	oos	0.04843	0.046852	-3.26%	0.03053	-36.96%	0.1527	✓	1.24
2026-05-12	oos	0.050295	0.049211	-2.16%	0.03056	-39.24%	0.1847	✓	1.24
2026-05-11	oos	0.05302	0.052278	-1.40%	0.02939	-44.57%	0.2549	✓	1.13
2026-05-10	oos	0.055	0.054422	-1.05%	0.03161	-42.53%	0.2222	✓	1.12
2026-05-09	oos	0.05253	0.051601	-1.77%	0.02988	-43.12%	0.2730	✓	1.11
2026-05-08	oos	0.05402	0.052955	-1.97%	0.02978	-44.87%	0.3190	✓	1.09
2026-05-07	oos	0.048855	0.048129	-1.49%	0.02949	-39.64%	0.1905	✓	1.09
2026-05-06	oos	0.04883	0.04858	-0.51%	0.02964	-39.30%	0.1802	✓	1.09
2026-05-05	oos	0.04528	0.044866	-0.91%	0.03336	-26.33%	0.0576	✓	1.01
2026-05-04	oos	0.04434	0.043739	-1.36%	0.03696	-16.64%	0.0549	✗	1.01
2026-05-03	oos	0.0437	0.042831	-1.99%	0.03707	-15.17%	0.0216	✗	1.01
2026-05-02	oos	0.04378	0.04288	-2.06%	0.04034	-7.86%	0.0392	✗	1.02
2026-05-01	oos	0.04408	0.043231	-1.93%	0.03982	-9.66%	0.0192	✓	1.03
2026-04-30	oos	0.04319	0.041984	-2.79%	0.04047	-6.30%	0.0004	✓	1.10
2026-04-29	oos	0.045185	0.043789	-3.09%	0.04032	-10.77%	0.0473	✓	1.10
2026-04-28	oos	0.04602	0.044705	-2.86%	0.04035	-12.32%	0.0602	✓	1.13
2026-04-27	oos	0.04557	0.044502	-2.34%	0.04289	-5.88%	0.0087	✓	1.13
2026-04-26	oos	0.04674	0.046051	-1.47%	0.04466	-4.45%	0.0111	✓	1.13
2026-04-25	oos	0.04619	0.045357	-1.80%	0.04606	-0.28%	0.0213	✗	1.13
2026-04-24	oos	0.04634	0.045471	-1.88%	0.04541	-2.01%	0.0058	✓	1.14
2026-04-23	oos	0.04397	0.043385	-1.33%	0.04681	+6.46%	0.1002	✗	1.15
2026-04-22	oos	0.04344	0.042819	-1.43%	0.04565	+5.09%	0.1053	✗	1.15
2026-04-21	oos	0.04306	0.042037	-2.38%	0.04834	+12.26%	0.1218	✗	1.15
2026-04-20	oos	0.04319	0.042066	-2.60%	0.04456	+3.17%	0.0333	✗	1.16
2026-04-19	oos	0.041505	0.040098	-3.39%	0.04363	+5.12%	0.0390	✗	1.16
2026-04-18	oos	0.0428	0.041867	-2.18%	0.04456	+4.11%	0.0440	✗	1.16
2026-04-17	oos	0.04703	0.046015	-2.16%	0.04397	-6.51%	0.0501	✓	1.15
2026-04-16	oos	0.046245	0.044848	-3.02%	0.045505	-1.60%	0.0299	✓	1.16
2026-04-15	oos	0.04265	0.041395	-2.94%	0.04681	+9.75%	0.0598	✗	1.15
2026-04-14	oos	0.04094	0.039487	-3.55%	0.04942	+20.71%	0.1221	✗	1.15
2026-04-13	oos	0.042885	0.041436	-3.38%	0.04843	+12.93%	0.0841	✗	1.14
2026-04-12	oos	0.040445	0.038349	-5.18%	0.050295	+24.35%	0.1216	✗	1.16
2026-04-11	oos	0.04206	0.040327	-4.12%	0.05302	+26.06%	0.1440	✗	1.16
2026-04-10	oos	0.042265	0.040723	-3.65%	0.055	+30.13%	0.1629	✗	1.16
2026-04-09	oos	0.04152	0.039904	-3.89%	0.05253	+26.52%	0.1402	✗	1.16
2026-04-08	oos	0.04137	0.039732	-3.96%	0.05402	+30.58%	0.1676	✗	1.16
2026-04-07	oos	0.04404	0.04241	-3.70%	0.048855	+10.93%	0.0183	✓	1.15
2026-04-06	oos	0.04032	0.038364	-4.85%	0.04883	+21.11%	0.0503	✗	1.14
2026-04-05	oos	0.04081	0.038864	-4.77%	0.04528	+10.95%	0.0283	✓	1.14
2026-04-04	oos	0.04169	0.03953	-5.18%	0.04434	+6.36%	0.0844	✓	1.16
2026-04-03	oos	0.04201	0.039878	-5.07%	0.0437	+4.02%	0.0969	✓	1.18
2026-04-02	oos	0.04181	0.039711	-5.02%	0.04378	+4.71%	0.0938	✓	1.18
2026-04-01	oos	0.04561	0.043435	-4.77%	0.04408	-3.35%	0.1474	✓	1.17
2026-03-31	oos	0.04091	0.039193	-4.20%	0.04319	+5.57%	0.0354	✓	1.18
2026-03-30	oos	0.04012	0.038422	-4.23%	0.045185	+12.62%	0.0118	✓	1.19
2026-03-29	oos	0.03984	0.038226	-4.05%	0.04602	+15.51%	0.0120	✓	1.19
2026-03-28	oos	0.04111	0.039608	-3.65%	0.04557	+10.85%	0.0432	✓	1.19
2026-03-27	oos	0.040245	0.038884	-3.38%	0.04674	+16.14%	0.0187	✓	1.19
2026-03-26	oos	0.04215	0.041161	-2.35%	0.04619	+9.58%	0.0300	✓	1.20
2026-03-25	oos	0.04345	0.042836	-1.41%	0.04634	+6.65%	0.0211	✓	1.20
2026-03-24	oos	0.04358	0.042962	-1.42%	0.04397	+0.89%	0.1026	✓	1.21
2026-03-23	oos	0.04382	0.043297	-1.19%	0.04344	-0.87%	0.1159	✓	1.21
2026-03-22	oos	0.04206	0.041227	-1.98%	0.04306	+2.38%	0.1003	✓	1.22
2026-03-21	oos	0.04309	0.042382	-1.64%	0.04319	+0.23%	0.0981	✓	1.22
2026-03-20	oos	0.04452	0.044047	-1.06%	0.041505	-6.77%	0.1154	✓	1.21
2026-03-19	oos	0.04455	0.044107	-0.99%	0.0428	-3.93%	0.1271	✓	1.21
2026-03-18	oos	0.045045	0.044861	-0.41%	0.04703	+4.41%	0.0497	✓	1.23
2026-03-17	oos	0.0492	0.049162	-0.08%	0.046245	-6.01%	0.0812	✓	1.21
2026-03-16	oos	0.04974	0.049822	+0.16%	0.04265	-14.25%	0.1546	✗	1.22
2026-03-15	oos	0.04646	0.046458	-0.00%	0.04094	-11.88%	0.1485	✓	1.20
2026-03-14	oos	0.04366	0.043499	-0.37%	0.042885	-1.78%	0.0670	✓	1.20
2026-03-13	oos	0.04252	0.042386	-0.32%	0.040445	-4.88%	0.0437	✓	1.20
2026-03-12	oos	0.042775	0.042527	-0.58%	0.04206	-1.67%	0.0537	✓	1.20
2026-03-11	oos	0.04183	0.04159	-0.57%	0.042265	+1.04%	0.0306	✓	1.20
2026-03-10	oos	0.04131	0.041145	-0.40%	0.04152	+0.51%	0.0219	✓	1.20
2026-03-09	oos	0.04007	0.039819	-0.63%	0.04137	+3.24%	0.0072	✓	1.19
2026-03-08	oos	0.038575	0.038142	-1.12%	0.04404	+14.17%	0.0406	✗	1.20
2026-03-07	oos	0.03863	0.038269	-0.93%	0.04032	+4.37%	0.0240	✗	1.21
2026-03-06	oos	0.03965	0.039344	-0.77%	0.04081	+2.93%	0.0209	✗	1.20
2026-03-05	oos	0.04146	0.041161	-0.72%	0.04169	+0.55%	0.0752	✗	1.20
2026-03-04	oos	0.04239	0.042042	-0.82%	0.04201	-0.90%	0.0984	✗	1.21
2026-03-03	oos	0.04104	0.0407	-0.83%	0.04181	+1.88%	0.0534	✗	1.24
2026-03-02	oos	0.0404	0.040068	-0.82%	0.04561	+12.90%	0.1426	✗	1.24
2026-03-01	oos	0.039275	0.038927	-0.89%	0.04091	+4.16%	0.0032	✓	1.27
2026-02-28	oos	0.04006	0.039742	-0.79%	0.04012	+0.15%	0.0139	✗	1.29
2026-02-27	oos	0.03994	0.039561	-0.95%	0.03984	-0.25%	0.0051	✓	1.29
2026-02-26	oos	0.04056	0.040163	-0.98%	0.04111	+1.36%	0.0460	✗	1.30
2026-02-25	oos	0.042635	0.042106	-1.24%	0.040245	-5.61%	0.0136	✓	1.29
2026-02-24	oos	0.03908	0.038687	-1.01%	0.04215	+7.86%	0.0047	✓	1.28
2026-02-23	oos	0.03971	0.039324	-0.97%	0.04345	+9.42%	0.0236	✓	1.25
2026-02-22	oos	0.04125	0.040722	-1.28%	0.04358	+5.65%	0.0144	✗	1.27
2026-02-21	oos	0.04306	0.04238	-1.58%	0.04382	+1.76%	0.0204	✓	1.28
2026-02-20	oos	0.04351	0.042781	-1.68%	0.04206	-3.33%	0.0144	✓	1.27
2026-02-19	oos	0.04279	0.042142	-1.51%	0.04309	+0.70%	0.0140	✓	1.27
2026-02-18	oos	0.04403	0.043297	-1.66%	0.04452	+1.11%	0.0486	✓	1.28
2026-02-17	oos	0.048645	0.047435	-2.49%	0.04455	-8.42%	0.1076	✓	1.26
2026-02-16	oos	0.04907	0.047626	-2.94%	0.045045	-8.20%	0.0987	✓	1.26
2026-02-15	oos	0.04802	0.046638	-2.88%	0.0492	+2.46%	0.0377	✓	1.26
2026-02-14	oos	0.05037	0.048589	-3.54%	0.04974	-1.25%	0.0658	✓	1.26
2026-02-13	oos	0.04599	0.044674	-2.86%	0.04646	+1.02%	0.0317	✓	1.25
2026-02-12	oos	0.04486	0.043858	-2.23%	0.04366	-2.67%	0.0966	✓	1.26
2026-02-11	oos	0.04543	0.044219	-2.67%	0.04252	-6.41%	0.1097	✓	1.24
2026-02-10	oos	0.040455	0.039476	-2.42%	0.042775	+5.73%	0.0484	✗	1.29
2026-02-09	oos	0.04113	0.039937	-2.90%	0.04183	+1.70%	0.0444	✗	1.28
2026-02-08	oos	0.0421	0.040811	-3.06%	0.04131	-1.88%	0.0180	✓	1.30
2026-02-07	oos	0.045525	0.043973	-3.41%	0.04007	-11.98%	0.0774	✓	1.31
2026-02-06	oos	0.047525	0.045635	-3.98%	0.038575	-18.83%	0.0829	✓	1.27
2026-02-05	oos	0.04218	0.040952	-2.91%	0.03863	-8.42%	0.1485	✓	1.31
2026-02-04	oos	0.04777	0.045558	-4.63%	0.03965	-17.00%	0.0181	✓	1.74
2026-02-03	oos	0.05052	0.048023	-4.94%	0.04146	-17.93%	0.0341	✓	1.73
2026-02-02	oos	0.052515	0.049754	-5.26%	0.04239	-19.28%	0.0227	✓	1.74
2026-02-01	oos	0.04984	0.047383	-4.93%	0.04104	-17.66%	0.0456	✓	1.60
2026-01-31	oos	0.05228	0.049738	-4.86%	0.0404	-22.72%	0.0133	✓	1.66
2026-01-30	oos	0.06154	0.058708	-4.60%	0.039275	-36.18%	0.0135	✓	1.58
2026-01-29	oos	0.061395	0.058714	-4.37%	0.04006	-34.75%	0.0131	✓	1.59
2026-01-28	oos	0.06854	0.066389	-3.14%	0.03994	-41.73%	0.0428	✓	1.54
2026-01-27	oos	0.06747	0.065348	-3.14%	0.04056	-39.88%	0.0430	✓	1.56
2026-01-26	oos	0.06747	0.065181	-3.39%	0.042635	-36.81%	0.0218	✓	1.54
2026-01-25	oos	0.06591	0.063545	-3.59%	0.03908	-40.71%	0.0205	✓	1.55
2026-01-24	oos	0.070225	0.067823	-3.42%	0.03971	-43.45%	0.0413	✓	1.54
2026-01-23	oos	0.07085	0.068462	-3.37%	0.04125	-41.78%	0.0728	✓	1.55
2026-01-22	oos	0.07213	0.069437	-3.73%	0.04306	-40.30%	0.0515	✓	1.55
2026-01-21	oos	0.07287	0.070277	-3.56%	0.04351	-40.29%	0.0549	✓	1.55
2026-01-20	oos	0.07088	0.068091	-3.93%	0.04279	-39.63%	0.0388	✓	1.54
2026-01-19	oos	0.07668	0.07416	-3.29%	0.04403	-42.58%	0.0102	✓	1.54
2026-01-18	oos	0.0772	0.074757	-3.16%	0.048645	-36.99%	0.0790	✗	1.55
2026-01-17	oos	0.08104	0.078306	-3.37%	0.04907	-39.45%	0.0259	✓	1.53
2026-01-16	oos	0.08223	0.079442	-3.39%	0.04802	-41.60%	0.0016	✓	1.53
2026-01-15	oos	0.08222	0.079357	-3.48%	0.05037	-38.74%	0.0269	✓	1.53
2026-01-14	oos	0.086885	0.084315	-2.96%	0.04599	-47.07%	0.0816	✓	1.53
2026-01-13	oos	0.08951	0.086466	-3.40%	0.04486	-49.88%	0.0894	✓	1.55
2026-01-12	oos	0.08172	0.07808	-4.45%	0.04543	-44.41%	0.0708	✓	1.53
2026-01-11	oos	0.08444	0.080767	-4.35%	0.040455	-52.09%	0.2618	✓	1.54
2026-01-10	oos	0.08494	0.081402	-4.17%	0.04113	-51.58%	0.2874	✓	1.56
2026-01-09	oos	0.08794	0.084646	-3.75%	0.0421	-52.13%	0.2929	✓	1.60
2026-01-08	oos	0.089465	0.086384	-3.44%	0.045525	-49.11%	0.2083	✓	1.58
2026-01-07	oos	0.09185	0.088775	-3.35%	0.047525	-48.26%	0.0805	✓	2.11
2026-01-06	oos	0.09761	0.094488	-3.20%	0.04218	-56.79%	0.0396	✗	2.11
2026-01-05	oos	0.097	0.09378	-3.32%	0.04777	-50.75%	0.1513	✓	2.08
2026-01-04	oos	0.09157	0.088267	-3.61%	0.05052	-44.83%	0.1767	✓	2.01
2026-01-03	oos	0.08263	0.07955	-3.73%	0.052515	-36.45%	0.1355	✓	1.98
2026-01-02	oos	0.08252	0.079289	-3.92%	0.04984	-39.60%	0.1541	✓	1.98
2026-01-01	oos	0.08058	0.077254	-4.13%	0.05228	-35.12%	0.1521	✓	1.97
2025-12-31	oos	0.07379	0.070654	-4.25%	0.06154	-16.60%	0.0615	✓	1.94
2025-12-30	oos	0.076875	0.073461	-4.44%	0.061395	-20.14%	0.0930	✓	1.92
2025-12-29	oos	0.0747	0.071266	-4.60%	0.06854	-8.25%	0.0846	✓	1.96
2025-12-28	oos	0.07763	0.073895	-4.81%	0.06747	-13.09%	0.1184	✓	1.96
2025-12-27	oos	0.0772	0.073337	-5.00%	0.06747	-12.60%	0.0931	✓	1.94
2025-12-26	oos	0.07268	0.069025	-5.03%	0.06591	-9.31%	0.0298	✓	1.93
2025-12-25	oos	0.0713	0.067684	-5.07%	0.070225	-1.51%	0.0050	✓	1.93
2025-12-24	oos	0.07579	0.071745	-5.34%	0.07085	-6.52%	0.0534	✓	1.94
2025-12-23	oos	0.07128	0.067681	-5.05%	0.07213	+1.19%	0.0192	✓	1.93
2025-12-22	oos	0.07369	0.069794	-5.29%	0.07287	-1.11%	0.0257	✓	1.92
2025-12-21	oos	0.075515	0.07145	-5.38%	0.07088	-6.14%	0.0009	✓	1.92
2025-12-20	oos	0.07844	0.074156	-5.46%	0.07668	-2.24%	0.0583	✓	1.96
2025-12-19	oos	0.07941	0.075198	-5.30%	0.0772	-2.78%	0.0932	✓	1.96
2025-12-18	oos	0.07469	0.070798	-5.21%	0.08104	+8.50%	0.0735	✓	1.95
2025-12-17	oos	0.07879	0.074521	-5.42%	0.08223	+4.37%	0.1011	✓	1.95
2025-12-16	oos	0.08329	0.078837	-5.35%	0.08222	-1.28%	0.1222	✓	1.95
2025-12-15	oos	0.08304	0.078416	-5.57%	0.086885	+4.63%	0.1224	✓	1.96
2025-12-14	oos	0.08731	0.08267	-5.31%	0.08951	+2.52%	0.0741	✓	1.95
2025-12-13	oos	0.0917	0.087299	-4.80%	0.08172	-10.88%	0.0861	✓	1.95
2025-12-12	oos	0.0907	0.086495	-4.64%	0.08444	-6.90%	0.0369	✓	1.95
2025-12-11	oos	0.09442	0.09062	-4.02%	0.08494	-10.04%	0.0182	✓	1.96
2025-12-10	oos	0.0953	0.091398	-4.09%	0.08794	-7.72%	0.0057	✓	1.97
2025-12-09	oos	0.09869	0.094779	-3.96%	0.089465	-9.35%	0.0221	✓	1.97
2025-12-08	oos	0.09609	0.091907	-4.35%	0.09185	-4.41%	0.0140	✓	1.94
2025-12-07	oos	0.09203	0.087893	-4.50%	0.09761	+6.06%	0.0351	✓	1.94
2025-12-06	oos	0.09565	0.091148	-4.71%	0.097	+1.41%	0.0362	✓	1.96
2025-12-05	oos	0.09574	0.091273	-4.67%	0.09157	-4.36%	0.0433	✓	1.96
2025-12-04	oos	0.10124	0.096874	-4.31%	0.08263	-18.38%	0.1268	✓	1.97
2025-12-03	oos	0.10517	0.100791	-4.16%	0.08252	-21.54%	0.1250	✓	1.97
2025-12-02	oos	0.10324	0.098578	-4.52%	0.08058	-21.95%	0.1451	✓	1.98
2025-12-01	oos	0.09531	0.090552	-4.99%	0.07379	-22.58%	0.2329	✓	2.02
2025-11-30	oos	0.10465	0.099746	-4.69%	0.076875	-26.54%	0.2157	✓	2.03
2025-11-29	oos	0.10764	0.102752	-4.54%	0.0747	-30.60%	0.2348	✓	2.01
2025-11-28	oos	0.11083	0.105744	-4.59%	0.07763	-29.96%	0.2410	✓	2.01
2025-11-27	oos	0.11165	0.106414	-4.69%	0.0772	-30.86%	0.2420	✓	2.01
2025-11-26	oos	0.11204	0.106577	-4.88%	0.07268	-35.13%	0.3120	✓	1.98
2025-11-25	oos	0.11271	0.106757	-5.28%	0.0713	-36.74%	0.4000	✓	2.06
2025-11-24	oos	0.11139	0.105428	-5.35%	0.07579	-31.96%	0.3146	✓	2.07
2025-11-23	oos	0.10407	0.098332	-5.51%	0.07128	-31.51%	0.3364	✓	2.06
2025-11-22	oos	0.10432	0.098474	-5.60%	0.07369	-29.36%	0.3849	✓	2.12
2025-11-21	oos	0.10554	0.099566	-5.66%	0.075515	-28.45%	0.3633	✓	2.11
2025-11-20	oos	0.11425	0.107712	-5.72%	0.07844	-31.34%	0.3599	✓	2.09
2025-11-19	oos	0.1208	0.11421	-5.46%	0.07941	-34.26%	0.2810	✓	2.20
2025-11-18	oos	0.123815	0.116922	-5.57%	0.07469	-39.68%	0.2645	✓	2.20
2025-11-17	oos	0.11994	0.113273	-5.56%	0.07879	-34.31%	0.2164	✓	2.22
2025-11-16	oos	0.12583	0.118578	-5.76%	0.08329	-33.81%	0.1986	✓	2.22
2025-11-15	oos	0.13222	0.124385	-5.93%	0.08304	-37.20%	0.1816	✓	2.22
2025-11-14	oos	0.1312	0.123548	-5.83%	0.08731	-33.45%	0.1928	✓	2.22
2025-11-13	oos	0.13693	0.128539	-6.13%	0.0917	-33.03%	0.1063	✓	2.34
2025-11-12	oos	0.14172	0.133368	-5.89%	0.0907	-36.00%	0.1067	✓	2.35
2025-11-11	oos	0.14019	0.132065	-5.80%	0.09442	-32.65%	0.0842	✓	2.35
2025-11-10	oos	0.15163	0.144047	-5.00%	0.0953	-37.15%	0.0848	✓	2.33
2025-11-09	oos	0.15409	0.146056	-5.21%	0.09869	-35.95%	0.1055	✓	2.35
2025-11-08	oos	0.16684	0.156853	-5.99%	0.09609	-42.41%	0.1945	✓	2.45
2025-11-07	oos	0.16628	0.156324	-5.99%	0.09203	-44.65%	0.2098	✓	2.40
2025-11-06	oos	0.12409	0.116733	-5.93%	0.09565	-22.92%	0.0852	✗	2.25
2025-11-05	oos	0.12541	0.117802	-6.07%	0.09574	-23.66%	0.1362	✗	2.28
2025-11-04	oos	0.12529	0.117918	-5.88%	0.10124	-19.20%	0.0748	✗	2.34
2025-11-03	oos	0.1221	0.114933	-5.87%	0.10517	-13.87%	0.2473	✗	2.56
2025-11-02	oos	0.14051	0.13519	-3.79%	0.10324	-26.52%	0.2140	✗	2.53
2025-11-01	oos	0.142825	0.138093	-3.31%	0.09531	-33.27%	0.2461	✗	2.54
2025-10-31	oos	0.137605	0.13337	-3.08%	0.10465	-23.95%	0.2453	✗	2.53
2025-10-30	oos	0.143925	0.139556	-3.04%	0.10764	-25.21%	0.1915	✗	2.56
2025-10-29	oos	0.15944	0.155573	-2.43%	0.11083	-30.49%	0.1392	✗	2.50
2025-10-28	oos	0.16166	0.158918	-1.70%	0.11165	-30.94%	0.1862	✗	2.54
2025-10-27	oos	0.16729	0.16464	-1.58%	0.11204	-33.03%	0.2042	✗	2.54
2025-10-26	oos	0.174865	0.171082	-2.16%	0.11271	-35.54%	0.2710	✗	2.54
2025-10-25	oos	0.16693	0.162898	-2.42%	0.11139	-33.27%	0.2217	✗	2.56
2025-10-24	oos	0.165915	0.161885	-2.43%	0.10407	-37.28%	0.1863	✗	2.55
2025-10-23	oos	0.16373	0.159331	-2.69%	0.10432	-36.29%	0.2467	✗	2.55
2025-10-22	oos	0.16071	0.155712	-3.11%	0.10554	-34.33%	0.2152	✗	2.57
2025-10-21	oos	0.165255	0.1594	-3.54%	0.11425	-30.86%	0.2460	✗	2.57
2025-10-20	oos	0.174005	0.166611	-4.25%	0.1208	-30.58%	0.1720	✗	2.60
2025-10-19	oos	0.1764	0.168496	-4.48%	0.123815	-29.81%	0.0943	✗	2.57
2025-10-18	oos	0.172865	0.164764	-4.69%	0.11994	-30.62%	0.0733	✗	2.57
2025-10-17	oos	0.171525	0.163278	-4.81%	0.12583	-26.64%	0.0542	✗	2.57
2025-10-16	oos	0.181	0.171428	-5.29%	0.13222	-26.95%	0.0593	✗	2.56
2025-10-15	oos	0.18851	0.177788	-5.69%	0.1312	-30.40%	0.1058	✗	2.57
2025-10-14	oos	0.20075	0.190117	-5.30%	0.13693	-31.79%	0.0026	✓	2.57
2025-10-13	oos	0.21232	0.202043	-4.84%	0.14172	-33.25%	0.0297	✓	2.58
2025-10-12	oos	0.19667	0.186115	-5.37%	0.14019	-28.72%	0.0035	✓	2.53
2025-10-11	oos	0.17866	0.167168	-6.43%	0.15163	-15.13%	0.0133	✓	2.51
2025-10-10	oos	0.1768	0.163507	-7.52%	0.15409	-12.85%	0.1358	✗	2.56
2025-10-09	oos	0.27329	0.267183	-2.23%	0.16684	-38.95%	0.1731	✓	1.71
2025-10-08	oos	0.28482	0.280179	-1.63%	0.16628	-41.62%	0.2175	✓	1.71
2025-10-07	oos	0.297305	0.290728	-2.21%	0.12409	-58.26%	0.5321	✓	1.76
2025-10-06	oos	0.2814	0.27731	-1.45%	0.12541	-55.43%	0.4423	✓	1.92
2025-10-05	oos	0.27518	0.270858	-1.57%	0.12529	-54.47%	0.3947	✓	1.91
2025-10-04	oos	0.27814	0.272663	-1.97%	0.1221	-56.10%	0.5366	✓	1.92
2025-10-03	oos	0.28135	0.275654	-2.02%	0.14051	-50.06%	0.4796	✓	1.92
2025-10-02	oos	0.27842	0.271859	-2.36%	0.142825	-48.70%	0.4671	✓	1.93
2025-10-01	oos	0.28123	0.272442	-3.12%	0.137605	-51.07%	0.5253	✓	1.98
2025-09-30	oos	0.25245	0.242814	-3.82%	0.143925	-42.99%	0.4237	✓	1.92
2025-09-29	oos	0.24691	0.236444	-4.24%	0.15944	-35.43%	0.3185	✓	1.96
2025-09-28	oos	0.246095	0.233991	-4.92%	0.16166	-34.31%	0.3824	✓	2.00
2025-09-27	oos	0.236765	0.224309	-5.26%	0.16729	-29.34%	0.3723	✓	2.01
2025-09-26	oos	0.2391	0.226216	-5.39%	0.174865	-26.87%	0.3449	✓	2.02
2025-09-25	oos	0.2298	0.216653	-5.72%	0.16693	-27.36%	0.3087	✓	2.01
2025-09-24	oos	0.25036	0.236774	-5.43%	0.165915	-33.73%	0.3144	✓	2.01
2025-09-23	oos	0.255405	0.241132	-5.59%	0.16373	-35.89%	0.3523	✓	2.03
2025-09-22	oos	0.249745	0.235809	-5.58%	0.16071	-35.65%	0.2915	✓	1.97
2025-09-21	oos	0.285965	0.271616	-5.02%	0.165255	-42.21%	0.3818	✓	1.86
2025-09-20	oos	0.28919	0.275172	-4.85%	0.174005	-39.83%	0.3731	✓	1.86
2025-09-19	oos	0.296955	0.282214	-4.96%	0.1764	-40.60%	0.3537	✓	1.86
2025-09-18	oos	0.31025	0.295199	-4.85%	0.172865	-44.28%	0.3719	✓	1.85
2025-09-17	oos	0.30842	0.29237	-5.20%	0.171525	-44.39%	0.3672	✓	1.85

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.