S

Sonic · native · gru_s0

token id: #120
symbol: S
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2025-06-24
predictions: 1,431

Track record at +1d

assessed

399

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

59.6%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0308

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0031

actual -0.0021

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.05664	0.056181	-0.81%	–	pending	–	–	1.37
2026-10-21	oos	0.055915	0.055518	-0.71%	0.05664	+1.30%	0.0168	✗	1.38
2026-10-20	oos	0.05751	0.057049	-0.80%	0.055915	-2.77%	0.0383	✓	1.40
2026-10-19	oos	0.05861	0.05804	-0.97%	0.05751	-1.88%	0.0280	✓	1.41
2026-10-18	oos	0.051685	0.051308	-0.73%	0.05861	+13.40%	0.1359	✗	1.40
2026-10-17	oos	0.052695	0.052284	-0.78%	0.051685	-1.92%	0.0223	✓	1.41
2026-10-16	oos	0.054935	0.054446	-0.89%	0.052695	-4.08%	0.0306	✓	1.40
2026-10-15	oos	0.055925	0.05533	-1.06%	0.054935	-1.77%	0.0034	✓	1.39
2026-10-14	oos	0.054155	0.053612	-1.00%	0.055925	+3.27%	0.0328	✗	1.38
2026-10-13	oos	0.057115	0.056289	-1.45%	0.054155	-5.18%	0.0131	✓	1.37
2026-10-12	oos	0.05647	0.05564	-1.47%	0.057115	+1.14%	0.0035	✓	1.38
2026-10-11	oos	0.06086	0.059231	-2.68%	0.05647	-7.21%	0.0178	✓	1.28
2026-10-10	oos	0.04728	0.046731	-1.16%	0.06086	+28.72%	0.2529	✗	1.22
2026-10-09	oos	0.043925	0.043398	-1.20%	0.04728	+7.64%	0.0803	✗	1.22
2026-10-08	oos	0.038495	0.038215	-0.73%	0.043925	+14.11%	0.1268	✗	1.20
2026-10-07	oos	0.040855	0.04057	-0.70%	0.038495	-5.78%	0.0299	✓	1.18
2026-10-06	oos	0.043535	0.043215	-0.74%	0.040855	-6.16%	0.0254	✓	1.15
2026-10-05	oos	0.043635	0.043275	-0.82%	0.043535	-0.23%	0.0088	✗	1.15
2026-10-04	oos	0.040785	0.040519	-0.65%	0.043635	+6.99%	0.0845	✗	1.19
2026-10-03	oos	0.043395	0.043016	-0.87%	0.040785	-6.01%	0.0785	✓	1.23
2026-10-02	oos	0.03797	0.037739	-0.61%	0.043395	+14.29%	0.1362	✗	1.23
2026-10-01	oos	0.03865	0.038407	-0.63%	0.03797	-1.76%	0.0065	✓	1.22
2026-09-30	oos	0.040745	0.040412	-0.82%	0.03865	-5.14%	0.0641	✓	1.27
2026-09-29	oos	0.037615	0.037393	-0.59%	0.040745	+8.32%	0.0871	✗	1.31
2026-09-28	oos	0.038825	0.03858	-0.63%	0.037615	-3.12%	0.0282	✓	1.30
2026-09-27	oos	0.04043	0.040152	-0.69%	0.038825	-3.97%	0.0178	✓	1.32
2026-09-26	oos	0.039945	0.039671	-0.69%	0.04043	+1.21%	0.0182	✗	1.32
2026-09-25	oos	0.04142	0.041094	-0.79%	0.039945	-3.56%	0.0333	✓	1.29
2026-09-24	oos	0.04092	0.040599	-0.78%	0.04142	+1.22%	0.0245	✗	1.28
2026-09-23	oos	0.04014	0.039822	-0.79%	0.04092	+1.94%	0.0271	✗	1.28
2026-09-22	oos	0.04336	0.04278	-1.34%	0.04014	-7.43%	0.0368	✓	1.26
2026-09-21	oos	0.039495	0.039126	-0.93%	0.04336	+9.79%	0.1090	✗	1.36
2026-09-20	oos	0.039995	0.039265	-1.83%	0.039495	-1.25%	0.0949	✓	1.55
2026-09-19	oos	0.033515	0.033218	-0.89%	0.039995	+19.33%	0.1871	✗	1.55
2026-09-18	oos	0.032415	0.032033	-1.18%	0.033515	+3.39%	0.0383	✗	1.55
2026-09-17	oos	0.027	0.026911	-0.33%	0.032415	+20.06%	0.1079	✗	1.36
2026-09-16	oos	0.025855	0.025804	-0.20%	0.027	+4.43%	0.0417	✗	1.34
2026-09-15	oos	0.02546	0.025418	-0.17%	0.025855	+1.55%	0.0075	✗	1.29
2026-09-14	oos	0.02675	0.0267	-0.19%	0.02546	-4.82%	0.0046	✓	1.27
2026-09-13	oos	0.026345	0.0263	-0.17%	0.02675	+1.54%	0.0057	✓	1.28
2026-09-12	oos	0.027485	0.027417	-0.25%	0.026345	-4.15%	0.0323	✓	1.27
2026-09-11	oos	0.02702	0.026969	-0.19%	0.027485	+1.72%	0.0180	✗	1.29
2026-09-10	oos	0.02649	0.026448	-0.16%	0.02702	+2.00%	0.0102	✗	1.28
2026-09-09	oos	0.02824	0.028189	-0.18%	0.02649	-6.20%	0.0338	✓	1.26
2026-09-08	oos	0.02972	0.02964	-0.27%	0.02824	-4.98%	0.0458	✓	1.25
2026-09-07	oos	0.029985	0.029911	-0.25%	0.02972	-0.88%	0.0039	✗	1.26
2026-09-06	oos	0.03098	0.030893	-0.28%	0.029985	-3.21%	0.0112	✓	1.19
2026-09-05	oos	0.02983	0.029762	-0.23%	0.03098	+3.86%	0.0326	✗	1.19
2026-09-04	oos	0.02953	0.029458	-0.25%	0.02983	+1.02%	0.0103	✗	1.15
2026-09-03	oos	0.02826	0.028234	-0.09%	0.02953	+4.49%	0.0686	✗	1.20
2026-09-02	oos	0.02658	0.026539	-0.15%	0.02826	+6.32%	0.0008	✓	1.27
2026-09-01	oos	0.02764	0.02759	-0.18%	0.02658	-3.84%	0.0358	✓	1.29
2026-08-31	oos	0.02777	0.027735	-0.13%	0.02764	-0.47%	0.0150	✗	1.23
2026-08-30	oos	0.02759	0.027556	-0.12%	0.02777	+0.65%	0.0064	✓	1.23
2026-08-29	oos	0.03037	0.030303	-0.22%	0.02759	-9.15%	0.0853	✓	1.17
2026-08-28	oos	0.02984	0.029777	-0.21%	0.03037	+1.78%	0.0138	✗	1.17
2026-08-27	oos	0.03047	0.030409	-0.20%	0.02984	-2.07%	0.0175	✗	1.18
2026-08-26	oos	0.03201	0.031865	-0.45%	0.03047	-4.81%	0.0636	✓	1.20
2026-08-25	oos	0.02739	0.027373	-0.06%	0.03201	+16.87%	0.1489	✗	1.19
2026-08-24	oos	0.028635	0.0286	-0.12%	0.02739	-4.35%	0.0363	✓	1.20
2026-08-23	oos	0.02816	0.028115	-0.16%	0.028635	+1.69%	0.0008	✓	1.20
2026-08-22	oos	0.02708	0.027036	-0.16%	0.02816	+3.99%	0.0304	✗	1.19
2026-08-21	oos	0.02856	0.028485	-0.26%	0.02708	-5.18%	0.0314	✓	1.17
2026-08-20	oos	0.02506	0.025005	-0.22%	0.02856	+13.97%	0.0575	✗	1.07
2026-08-19	oos	0.02324	0.023171	-0.30%	0.02506	+7.83%	0.0236	✗	1.05
2026-08-18	oos	0.021375	0.021291	-0.39%	0.02324	+8.73%	0.0177	✗	1.01
2026-08-17	oos	0.02184	0.021747	-0.43%	0.021375	-2.13%	0.0205	✓	1.02
2026-08-16	oos	0.02196	0.021855	-0.48%	0.02184	-0.55%	0.0278	✓	1.05
2026-08-15	oos	0.02231	0.022201	-0.49%	0.02196	-1.57%	0.0079	✓	1.05
2026-08-14	oos	0.02206	0.021965	-0.43%	0.02231	+1.13%	0.0149	✗	1.05
2026-08-13	oos	0.02262	0.022526	-0.41%	0.02206	-2.48%	0.0134	✓	1.05
2026-08-12	oos	0.02238	0.022298	-0.37%	0.02262	+1.07%	0.0141	✗	1.07
2026-08-11	oos	0.023	0.022914	-0.37%	0.02238	-2.70%	0.0216	✓	1.07
2026-08-10	oos	0.02353	0.023434	-0.41%	0.023	-2.25%	0.0123	✓	1.07
2026-08-09	oos	0.02351	0.023418	-0.39%	0.02353	+0.09%	0.0207	✗	1.10
2026-08-08	oos	0.02358	0.023476	-0.44%	0.02351	-0.30%	0.0025	✓	1.10
2026-08-07	oos	0.02169	0.021631	-0.27%	0.02358	+8.71%	0.0860	✗	1.11
2026-08-06	oos	0.0219	0.021837	-0.29%	0.02169	-0.96%	0.0175	✓	1.11
2026-08-05	oos	0.02193	0.021871	-0.27%	0.0219	-0.14%	0.0072	✗	1.13
2026-08-04	oos	0.02235	0.022276	-0.33%	0.02193	-1.88%	0.0253	✓	1.12
2026-08-03	oos	0.02253	0.022434	-0.43%	0.02235	-0.80%	0.0143	✓	1.15
2026-08-02	oos	0.02177	0.021699	-0.32%	0.02253	+3.49%	0.0382	✗	1.16
2026-08-01	oos	0.0214	0.02133	-0.33%	0.02177	+1.73%	0.0070	✗	1.15
2026-07-31	oos	0.02131	0.021242	-0.32%	0.0214	+0.42%	0.0085	✗	1.15
2026-07-30	oos	0.02149	0.021434	-0.26%	0.02131	-0.84%	0.0292	✗	1.18
2026-07-29	oos	0.02114	0.02109	-0.24%	0.02149	+1.66%	0.0037	✗	1.17
2026-07-28	oos	0.02166	0.021606	-0.25%	0.02114	-2.40%	0.0227	✓	1.16
2026-07-27	oos	0.02165	0.021599	-0.23%	0.02166	+0.05%	0.0000	✓	1.16
2026-07-26	oos	0.02341	0.023349	-0.26%	0.02165	-7.52%	0.0472	✓	1.11
2026-07-25	oos	0.02345	0.023391	-0.25%	0.02341	-0.17%	0.0173	✓	1.12
2026-07-24	oos	0.0234	0.023349	-0.22%	0.02345	+0.21%	0.0006	✓	1.12
2026-07-23	oos	0.02404	0.023991	-0.20%	0.0234	-2.66%	0.0082	✓	1.12
2026-07-22	oos	0.024615	0.024569	-0.19%	0.02404	-2.34%	0.0044	✓	1.10
2026-07-21	oos	0.02451	0.024471	-0.16%	0.024615	+0.43%	0.0130	✗	1.10
2026-07-20	oos	0.02515	0.025094	-0.22%	0.02451	-2.54%	0.0457	✓	1.12
2026-07-19	oos	0.02396	0.023916	-0.18%	0.02515	+4.97%	0.0412	✗	1.11
2026-07-18	oos	0.02426	0.024223	-0.15%	0.02396	-1.24%	0.0089	✓	1.12
2026-07-17	oos	0.02478	0.024735	-0.18%	0.02426	-2.10%	0.0353	✓	1.14
2026-07-16	oos	0.02491	0.024864	-0.19%	0.02478	-0.52%	0.0056	✓	1.17
2026-07-15	oos	0.02547	0.025429	-0.16%	0.02491	-2.20%	0.0035	✓	1.16
2026-07-14	oos	0.02549	0.025453	-0.15%	0.02547	-0.08%	0.0056	✗	1.18
2026-07-13	oos	0.02526	0.025217	-0.17%	0.02549	+0.91%	0.0427	✓	1.25
2026-07-12	oos	0.02531	0.025273	-0.15%	0.02526	-0.20%	0.0293	✗	1.27
2026-07-11	oos	0.025885	0.025845	-0.15%	0.02531	-2.22%	0.0203	✓	1.27
2026-07-10	oos	0.02603	0.025989	-0.16%	0.025885	-0.56%	0.0030	✗	1.27
2026-07-09	oos	0.025275	0.025239	-0.14%	0.02603	+2.99%	0.0120	✗	1.26
2026-07-08	oos	0.02502	0.024989	-0.12%	0.025275	+1.02%	0.0075	✓	1.26
2026-07-07	oos	0.02562	0.025582	-0.15%	0.02502	-2.34%	0.0004	✓	1.26
2026-07-06	oos	0.02665	0.0266	-0.19%	0.02562	-3.86%	0.0240	✓	1.27
2026-07-05	oos	0.02718	0.027118	-0.23%	0.02665	-1.95%	0.0261	✓	1.32
2026-07-04	oos	0.02669	0.026629	-0.23%	0.02718	+1.84%	0.0101	✗	1.32
2026-07-03	oos	0.02711	0.027027	-0.30%	0.02669	-1.55%	0.0242	✓	1.29
2026-07-02	oos	0.02489	0.024833	-0.23%	0.02711	+8.92%	0.0668	✗	1.25
2026-07-01	oos	0.02297	0.022941	-0.13%	0.02489	+8.36%	0.0512	✗	1.21
2026-06-30	oos	0.02269	0.022667	-0.10%	0.02297	+1.23%	0.0170	✓	1.25
2026-06-29	oos	0.02448	0.024419	-0.25%	0.02269	-7.31%	0.0398	✓	1.22
2026-06-28	oos	0.02413	0.024048	-0.34%	0.02448	+1.45%	0.0038	✗	1.21
2026-06-27	oos	0.02214	0.022121	-0.09%	0.02413	+8.99%	0.0965	✗	1.23
2026-06-26	oos	0.02018	0.020199	+0.09%	0.02214	+9.71%	0.0932	✓	1.24
2026-06-25	oos	0.02002	0.02005	+0.15%	0.02018	+0.80%	0.0003	✓	1.23
2026-06-24	oos	0.02089	0.020922	+0.16%	0.02002	-4.16%	0.0181	✗	1.22
2026-06-23	oos	0.02376	0.023777	+0.07%	0.02089	-12.08%	0.0988	✗	1.14
2026-06-22	oos	0.025055	0.025064	+0.04%	0.02376	-5.17%	0.0303	✗	1.12
2026-06-21	oos	0.02697	0.02697	-0.00%	0.025055	-7.10%	0.0866	✓	1.15
2026-06-20	oos	0.02794	0.027936	-0.01%	0.02697	-3.47%	0.0176	✓	1.14
2026-06-19	oos	0.03075	0.030712	-0.12%	0.02794	-9.14%	0.1084	✓	1.18
2026-06-18	oos	0.03279	0.032717	-0.22%	0.03075	-6.22%	0.0733	✓	1.20
2026-06-17	oos	0.03205	0.03199	-0.19%	0.03279	+2.31%	0.0550	✗	1.23
2026-06-16	oos	0.03216	0.032099	-0.19%	0.03205	-0.34%	0.0207	✗	1.24
2026-06-15	oos	0.03274	0.032666	-0.23%	0.03216	-1.77%	0.0029	✓	1.27
2026-06-14	oos	0.03225	0.032179	-0.22%	0.03274	+1.52%	0.0063	✗	1.27
2026-06-13	oos	0.03076	0.030718	-0.14%	0.03225	+4.84%	0.0235	✗	1.28
2026-06-12	oos	0.03053	0.030502	-0.09%	0.03076	+0.75%	0.0098	✓	1.31
2026-06-11	oos	0.03056	0.030539	-0.07%	0.03053	-0.10%	0.0002	✓	1.31
2026-06-10	oos	0.02939	0.029403	+0.05%	0.03056	+3.98%	0.0058	✗	1.31
2026-06-09	oos	0.03161	0.031584	-0.08%	0.02939	-7.02%	0.0669	✓	1.31
2026-06-08	oos	0.02988	0.029899	+0.06%	0.03161	+5.79%	0.0857	✓	1.36
2026-06-07	oos	0.02978	0.029818	+0.13%	0.02988	+0.34%	0.0072	✓	1.36
2026-06-06	oos	0.02949	0.02957	+0.27%	0.02978	+0.98%	0.0482	✗	1.40
2026-06-05	oos	0.02964	0.029739	+0.33%	0.02949	-0.51%	0.0043	✗	1.39
2026-06-04	oos	0.03336	0.033373	+0.04%	0.02964	-11.15%	0.0599	✗	1.32
2026-06-03	oos	0.03696	0.036901	-0.16%	0.03336	-9.74%	0.0961	✓	1.30
2026-06-02	oos	0.03707	0.037003	-0.18%	0.03696	-0.30%	0.0530	✗	1.35
2026-06-01	oos	0.04034	0.040166	-0.43%	0.03707	-8.11%	0.0059	✗	1.28
2026-05-31	oos	0.03982	0.039666	-0.39%	0.04034	+1.31%	0.0580	✗	1.32
2026-05-30	oos	0.04047	0.040308	-0.40%	0.03982	-1.61%	0.0088	✓	1.28
2026-05-29	oos	0.04032	0.04018	-0.35%	0.04047	+0.37%	0.0002	✓	1.28
2026-05-28	oos	0.04035	0.040227	-0.30%	0.04032	-0.07%	0.0048	✗	1.27
2026-05-27	oos	0.04289	0.042719	-0.40%	0.04035	-5.92%	0.0435	✓	1.25
2026-05-26	oos	0.04466	0.044459	-0.45%	0.04289	-3.96%	0.0108	✓	1.25
2026-05-25	oos	0.04606	0.045841	-0.47%	0.04466	-3.04%	0.0026	✓	1.26
2026-05-24	oos	0.04541	0.045208	-0.45%	0.04606	+1.43%	0.0142	✗	1.26
2026-05-23	oos	0.04681	0.046574	-0.50%	0.04541	-2.99%	0.0306	✓	1.24
2026-05-22	oos	0.04565	0.04541	-0.53%	0.04681	+2.54%	0.0106	✗	1.25
2026-05-21	oos	0.04834	0.04804	-0.62%	0.04565	-5.56%	0.0171	✓	1.23
2026-05-20	oos	0.04456	0.04437	-0.43%	0.04834	+8.48%	0.0846	✗	1.23
2026-05-19	oos	0.04363	0.043457	-0.40%	0.04456	+2.13%	0.0138	✗	1.23
2026-05-18	oos	0.04456	0.044371	-0.43%	0.04363	-2.09%	0.0139	✓	1.26
2026-05-17	oos	0.04397	0.043807	-0.37%	0.04456	+1.34%	0.0246	✗	1.25
2026-05-16	oos	0.045505	0.045348	-0.35%	0.04397	-3.37%	0.0197	✓	1.24
2026-05-15	oos	0.04681	0.046668	-0.30%	0.045505	-2.79%	0.0101	✓	1.25
2026-05-14	oos	0.04942	0.049278	-0.29%	0.04681	-5.28%	0.0196	✓	1.26
2026-05-13	oos	0.04843	0.048287	-0.29%	0.04942	+2.04%	0.0046	✓	1.24
2026-05-12	oos	0.050295	0.050155	-0.28%	0.04843	-3.71%	0.0165	✓	1.24
2026-05-11	oos	0.05302	0.05285	-0.32%	0.050295	-5.14%	0.0323	✓	1.13
2026-05-10	oos	0.055	0.054757	-0.44%	0.05302	-3.60%	0.0258	✓	1.12
2026-05-09	oos	0.05253	0.05233	-0.38%	0.055	+4.70%	0.0287	✗	1.11
2026-05-08	oos	0.05402	0.053727	-0.54%	0.05253	-2.76%	0.0288	✓	1.09
2026-05-07	oos	0.048855	0.04868	-0.36%	0.05402	+10.57%	0.1016	✗	1.09
2026-05-06	oos	0.04883	0.04865	-0.37%	0.048855	+0.05%	0.0235	✗	1.09
2026-05-05	oos	0.04528	0.045182	-0.22%	0.04883	+7.84%	0.0711	✗	1.01
2026-05-04	oos	0.04434	0.044239	-0.23%	0.04528	+2.12%	0.0100	✗	1.01
2026-05-03	oos	0.0437	0.043587	-0.26%	0.04434	+1.46%	0.0006	✓	1.01
2026-05-02	oos	0.04378	0.043673	-0.25%	0.0437	-0.18%	0.0022	✓	1.02
2026-05-01	oos	0.04408	0.043983	-0.22%	0.04378	-0.68%	0.0105	✓	1.03
2026-04-30	oos	0.04319	0.04308	-0.25%	0.04408	+2.06%	0.0045	✓	1.10
2026-04-29	oos	0.045185	0.045021	-0.36%	0.04319	-4.42%	0.0495	✓	1.10
2026-04-28	oos	0.04602	0.045846	-0.38%	0.045185	-1.81%	0.0061	✓	1.13
2026-04-27	oos	0.04557	0.045437	-0.29%	0.04602	+0.99%	0.0282	✗	1.13
2026-04-26	oos	0.04674	0.046612	-0.27%	0.04557	-2.50%	0.0036	✓	1.13
2026-04-25	oos	0.04619	0.046047	-0.31%	0.04674	+1.19%	0.0001	✓	1.13
2026-04-24	oos	0.04634	0.046173	-0.36%	0.04619	-0.32%	0.0024	✓	1.14
2026-04-23	oos	0.04397	0.043868	-0.23%	0.04634	+5.39%	0.0669	✗	1.15
2026-04-22	oos	0.04344	0.043344	-0.22%	0.04397	+1.22%	0.0133	✗	1.15
2026-04-21	oos	0.04306	0.042939	-0.28%	0.04344	+0.88%	0.0161	✓	1.15
2026-04-20	oos	0.04319	0.04306	-0.30%	0.04306	-0.30%	0.0073	✓	1.16
2026-04-19	oos	0.041505	0.041381	-0.30%	0.04319	+4.06%	0.0111	✗	1.16
2026-04-18	oos	0.0428	0.042694	-0.25%	0.041505	-3.03%	0.0015	✓	1.16
2026-04-17	oos	0.04703	0.046844	-0.39%	0.0428	-8.99%	0.0697	✓	1.15
2026-04-16	oos	0.046245	0.045985	-0.56%	0.04703	+1.70%	0.0069	✓	1.16
2026-04-15	oos	0.04265	0.042513	-0.32%	0.046245	+8.43%	0.0791	✗	1.15
2026-04-14	oos	0.04094	0.040814	-0.31%	0.04265	+4.18%	0.0339	✗	1.15
2026-04-13	oos	0.042885	0.042737	-0.34%	0.04094	-4.54%	0.0389	✓	1.14
2026-04-12	oos	0.040445	0.040269	-0.43%	0.042885	+6.03%	0.0039	✓	1.16
2026-04-11	oos	0.04206	0.041905	-0.37%	0.040445	-3.84%	0.0021	✓	1.16
2026-04-10	oos	0.042265	0.042127	-0.33%	0.04206	-0.49%	0.0030	✓	1.16
2026-04-09	oos	0.04152	0.041385	-0.33%	0.042265	+1.79%	0.0018	✓	1.16
2026-04-08	oos	0.04137	0.041233	-0.33%	0.04152	+0.36%	0.0046	✓	1.16
2026-04-07	oos	0.04404	0.043856	-0.42%	0.04137	-6.06%	0.0451	✓	1.15
2026-04-06	oos	0.04032	0.040156	-0.41%	0.04404	+9.23%	0.0429	✗	1.14
2026-04-05	oos	0.04081	0.040642	-0.41%	0.04032	-1.20%	0.0055	✓	1.14
2026-04-04	oos	0.04169	0.041494	-0.47%	0.04081	-2.11%	0.0459	✓	1.16
2026-04-03	oos	0.04201	0.041816	-0.46%	0.04169	-0.76%	0.0088	✓	1.18
2026-04-02	oos	0.04181	0.041609	-0.48%	0.04201	+0.48%	0.0084	✗	1.18
2026-04-01	oos	0.04561	0.045297	-0.69%	0.04181	-8.33%	0.0590	✓	1.17
2026-03-31	oos	0.04091	0.040748	-0.40%	0.04561	+11.49%	0.1146	✗	1.18
2026-03-30	oos	0.04012	0.039972	-0.37%	0.04091	+1.97%	0.0029	✓	1.19
2026-03-29	oos	0.03984	0.039711	-0.32%	0.04012	+0.70%	0.0038	✓	1.19
2026-03-28	oos	0.04111	0.040983	-0.31%	0.03984	-3.09%	0.0217	✓	1.19
2026-03-27	oos	0.040245	0.040146	-0.25%	0.04111	+2.15%	0.0243	✗	1.19
2026-03-26	oos	0.04215	0.042063	-0.21%	0.040245	-4.52%	0.0014	✓	1.20
2026-03-25	oos	0.04345	0.043375	-0.17%	0.04215	-2.99%	0.0149	✗	1.20
2026-03-24	oos	0.04358	0.043505	-0.17%	0.04345	-0.30%	0.0143	✓	1.21
2026-03-23	oos	0.04382	0.043747	-0.17%	0.04358	-0.55%	0.0020	✗	1.21
2026-03-22	oos	0.04206	0.041989	-0.17%	0.04382	+4.18%	0.0105	✓	1.22
2026-03-21	oos	0.04309	0.043019	-0.16%	0.04206	-2.39%	0.0036	✓	1.22
2026-03-20	oos	0.04452	0.044454	-0.15%	0.04309	-3.21%	0.0036	✓	1.21
2026-03-19	oos	0.04455	0.044491	-0.13%	0.04452	-0.07%	0.0094	✓	1.21
2026-03-18	oos	0.045045	0.044998	-0.10%	0.04455	-1.10%	0.0131	✗	1.23
2026-03-17	oos	0.0492	0.049112	-0.18%	0.045045	-8.45%	0.0415	✓	1.21
2026-03-16	oos	0.04974	0.049623	-0.24%	0.0492	-1.09%	0.0071	✗	1.22
2026-03-15	oos	0.04646	0.046345	-0.25%	0.04974	+7.06%	0.0372	✗	1.20
2026-03-14	oos	0.04366	0.043621	-0.09%	0.04646	+6.41%	0.0365	✗	1.20
2026-03-13	oos	0.04252	0.042491	-0.07%	0.04366	+2.68%	0.0223	✗	1.20
2026-03-12	oos	0.042775	0.042739	-0.09%	0.04252	-0.60%	0.0121	✓	1.20
2026-03-11	oos	0.04183	0.041805	-0.06%	0.042775	+2.26%	0.0174	✗	1.20
2026-03-10	oos	0.04131	0.041291	-0.05%	0.04183	+1.26%	0.0087	✗	1.20
2026-03-09	oos	0.04007	0.040056	-0.04%	0.04131	+3.09%	0.0044	✗	1.19
2026-03-08	oos	0.038575	0.038571	-0.01%	0.04007	+3.88%	0.0057	✓	1.20
2026-03-07	oos	0.03863	0.038637	+0.02%	0.038575	-0.14%	0.0217	✓	1.21
2026-03-06	oos	0.03965	0.039658	+0.02%	0.03863	-2.57%	0.0113	✗	1.20
2026-03-05	oos	0.04146	0.041462	+0.00%	0.03965	-4.37%	0.0033	✓	1.20
2026-03-04	oos	0.04239	0.042387	-0.01%	0.04146	-2.19%	0.0081	✗	1.21
2026-03-03	oos	0.04104	0.041032	-0.02%	0.04239	+3.29%	0.0441	✓	1.24
2026-03-02	oos	0.0404	0.040403	+0.01%	0.04104	+1.58%	0.0246	✓	1.24
2026-03-01	oos	0.039275	0.039283	+0.02%	0.0404	+2.86%	0.0297	✗	1.27
2026-02-28	oos	0.04006	0.040062	+0.01%	0.039275	-1.96%	0.0034	✓	1.29
2026-02-27	oos	0.03994	0.039941	+0.00%	0.04006	+0.30%	0.0185	✗	1.29
2026-02-26	oos	0.04056	0.04056	+0.00%	0.03994	-1.53%	0.0163	✓	1.30
2026-02-25	oos	0.042635	0.042606	-0.07%	0.04056	-4.87%	0.0396	✓	1.29
2026-02-24	oos	0.03908	0.03909	+0.03%	0.042635	+9.10%	0.0108	✓	1.28
2026-02-23	oos	0.03971	0.039718	+0.02%	0.03908	-1.59%	0.0053	✗	1.25
2026-02-22	oos	0.04125	0.041247	-0.01%	0.03971	-3.73%	0.0194	✗	1.27
2026-02-21	oos	0.04306	0.043037	-0.05%	0.04125	-4.20%	0.0360	✓	1.28
2026-02-20	oos	0.04351	0.043483	-0.06%	0.04306	-1.03%	0.0092	✓	1.27
2026-02-19	oos	0.04279	0.042779	-0.03%	0.04351	+1.68%	0.0021	✓	1.27
2026-02-18	oos	0.04403	0.044007	-0.05%	0.04279	-2.82%	0.0387	✓	1.28
2026-02-17	oos	0.048645	0.04854	-0.21%	0.04403	-9.49%	0.0779	✓	1.26
2026-02-16	oos	0.04907	0.048956	-0.23%	0.048645	-0.87%	0.0194	✗	1.26
2026-02-15	oos	0.04802	0.047927	-0.19%	0.04907	+2.19%	0.0224	✗	1.26
2026-02-14	oos	0.05037	0.050174	-0.39%	0.04802	-4.67%	0.0257	✓	1.26
2026-02-13	oos	0.04599	0.045945	-0.10%	0.05037	+9.52%	0.0744	✗	1.25
2026-02-12	oos	0.04486	0.044837	-0.05%	0.04599	+2.52%	0.0232	✓	1.26
2026-02-11	oos	0.04543	0.045393	-0.08%	0.04486	-1.25%	0.0034	✗	1.24
2026-02-10	oos	0.040455	0.040556	+0.25%	0.04543	+12.30%	0.1472	✓	1.29
2026-02-09	oos	0.04113	0.041248	+0.29%	0.040455	-1.64%	0.0046	✓	1.28
2026-02-08	oos	0.0421	0.042244	+0.34%	0.04113	-2.30%	0.0234	✗	1.30
2026-02-07	oos	0.045525	0.045649	+0.27%	0.0421	-7.52%	0.1004	✗	1.31
2026-02-06	oos	0.047525	0.047628	+0.22%	0.045525	-4.21%	0.0218	✗	1.27
2026-02-05	oos	0.04218	0.042555	+0.89%	0.047525	+12.67%	0.0419	✗	1.31
2026-02-04	oos	0.04777	0.047936	+0.35%	0.04218	-11.70%	0.1345	✓	1.74
2026-02-03	oos	0.05052	0.050646	+0.25%	0.04777	-5.44%	0.0036	✓	1.73
2026-02-02	oos	0.052515	0.052605	+0.17%	0.05052	-3.80%	0.0272	✓	1.74
2026-02-01	oos	0.04984	0.050056	+0.43%	0.052515	+5.37%	0.0114	✓	1.60
2026-01-31	oos	0.05228	0.052464	+0.35%	0.04984	-4.67%	0.0139	✗	1.66
2026-01-30	oos	0.06154	0.061459	-0.13%	0.05228	-15.05%	0.0557	✓	1.58
2026-01-29	oos	0.061395	0.061326	-0.11%	0.06154	+0.24%	0.0111	✗	1.59
2026-01-28	oos	0.06854	0.068399	-0.21%	0.061395	-10.42%	0.0258	✓	1.54
2026-01-27	oos	0.06747	0.067345	-0.18%	0.06854	+1.59%	0.0168	✗	1.56
2026-01-26	oos	0.06747	0.067337	-0.20%	0.06747	+0.00%	0.0131	✓	1.54
2026-01-25	oos	0.06591	0.065797	-0.17%	0.06747	+2.37%	0.0048	✓	1.55
2026-01-24	oos	0.070225	0.070067	-0.23%	0.06591	-6.14%	0.0170	✓	1.54
2026-01-23	oos	0.07085	0.070702	-0.21%	0.070225	-0.88%	0.0000	✓	1.55
2026-01-22	oos	0.07213	0.071956	-0.24%	0.07085	-1.77%	0.0157	✓	1.55
2026-01-21	oos	0.07287	0.072704	-0.23%	0.07213	-1.02%	0.0097	✓	1.55
2026-01-20	oos	0.07088	0.070735	-0.20%	0.07287	+2.81%	0.0115	✗	1.54
2026-01-19	oos	0.07668	0.076504	-0.23%	0.07088	-7.56%	0.0040	✓	1.54
2026-01-18	oos	0.0772	0.077031	-0.22%	0.07668	-0.67%	0.0133	✗	1.55
2026-01-17	oos	0.08104	0.080825	-0.27%	0.0772	-4.74%	0.0220	✓	1.53
2026-01-16	oos	0.08223	0.082015	-0.26%	0.08104	-1.45%	0.0056	✓	1.53
2026-01-15	oos	0.08222	0.082008	-0.26%	0.08223	+0.01%	0.0040	✗	1.53
2026-01-14	oos	0.086885	0.08666	-0.26%	0.08222	-5.37%	0.0309	✓	1.53
2026-01-13	oos	0.08951	0.089195	-0.35%	0.086885	-2.93%	0.0516	✓	1.55
2026-01-12	oos	0.08172	0.081429	-0.36%	0.08951	+9.53%	0.0258	✗	1.53
2026-01-11	oos	0.08444	0.084116	-0.38%	0.08172	-3.22%	0.0343	✓	1.54
2026-01-10	oos	0.08494	0.08461	-0.39%	0.08444	-0.59%	0.0106	✓	1.56
2026-01-09	oos	0.08794	0.087603	-0.38%	0.08494	-3.41%	0.0284	✓	1.60
2026-01-08	oos	0.089465	0.089112	-0.39%	0.08794	-1.70%	0.0043	✓	1.58
2026-01-07	oos	0.09185	0.091466	-0.42%	0.089465	-2.60%	0.0162	✓	2.11
2026-01-06	oos	0.09761	0.097118	-0.50%	0.09185	-5.90%	0.0000	✓	2.11
2026-01-05	oos	0.097	0.096433	-0.58%	0.09761	+0.63%	0.0154	✗	2.08
2026-01-04	oos	0.09157	0.090946	-0.68%	0.097	+5.93%	0.0130	✗	2.01
2026-01-03	oos	0.08263	0.082261	-0.45%	0.09157	+10.82%	0.0877	✗	1.98
2026-01-02	oos	0.08252	0.082139	-0.46%	0.08263	+0.13%	0.0081	✓	1.98
2026-01-01	oos	0.08058	0.0802	-0.47%	0.08252	+2.41%	0.0016	✓	1.97
2025-12-31	oos	0.07379	0.073529	-0.35%	0.08058	+9.20%	0.0642	✗	1.94
2025-12-30	oos	0.076875	0.076544	-0.43%	0.07379	-4.01%	0.0170	✓	1.92
2025-12-29	oos	0.0747	0.074412	-0.39%	0.076875	+2.91%	0.0038	✓	1.96
2025-12-28	oos	0.07763	0.077265	-0.47%	0.0747	-3.77%	0.0166	✓	1.96
2025-12-27	oos	0.0772	0.076809	-0.51%	0.07763	+0.56%	0.0091	✗	1.94
2025-12-26	oos	0.07268	0.072398	-0.39%	0.0772	+6.22%	0.0529	✗	1.93
2025-12-25	oos	0.0713	0.071051	-0.35%	0.07268	+1.94%	0.0199	✗	1.93
2025-12-24	oos	0.07579	0.075441	-0.46%	0.0713	-5.92%	0.0468	✓	1.94
2025-12-23	oos	0.07128	0.071055	-0.32%	0.07579	+6.33%	0.0605	✗	1.93
2025-12-22	oos	0.07369	0.073446	-0.33%	0.07128	-3.27%	0.0053	✓	1.92
2025-12-21	oos	0.075515	0.075278	-0.31%	0.07369	-2.42%	0.0195	✓	1.92
2025-12-20	oos	0.07844	0.078207	-0.30%	0.075515	-3.73%	0.0420	✓	1.96
2025-12-19	oos	0.07941	0.079205	-0.26%	0.07844	-1.22%	0.0148	✓	1.96
2025-12-18	oos	0.07469	0.074615	-0.10%	0.07941	+6.32%	0.0031	✗	1.95
2025-12-17	oos	0.07879	0.078673	-0.15%	0.07469	-5.20%	0.0349	✓	1.95
2025-12-16	oos	0.08329	0.083113	-0.21%	0.07879	-5.40%	0.0167	✓	1.95
2025-12-15	oos	0.08304	0.082889	-0.18%	0.08329	+0.30%	0.0274	✓	1.96
2025-12-14	oos	0.08731	0.08712	-0.22%	0.08304	-4.89%	0.0087	✓	1.95
2025-12-13	oos	0.0917	0.091501	-0.22%	0.08731	-4.79%	0.0012	✓	1.95
2025-12-12	oos	0.0907	0.090539	-0.18%	0.0917	+1.10%	0.0132	✗	1.95
2025-12-11	oos	0.09442	0.094256	-0.17%	0.0907	-3.94%	0.0102	✗	1.96
2025-12-10	oos	0.0953	0.095104	-0.21%	0.09442	-0.92%	0.0180	✓	1.97
2025-12-09	oos	0.09869	0.098455	-0.24%	0.0953	-3.43%	0.0186	✓	1.97
2025-12-08	oos	0.09609	0.095839	-0.26%	0.09869	+2.71%	0.0138	✓	1.94
2025-12-07	oos	0.09203	0.091837	-0.21%	0.09609	+4.41%	0.0399	✗	1.94
2025-12-06	oos	0.09565	0.095427	-0.23%	0.09203	-3.78%	0.0610	✓	1.96
2025-12-05	oos	0.09574	0.09555	-0.20%	0.09565	-0.09%	0.0027	✗	1.96
2025-12-04	oos	0.10124	0.101023	-0.21%	0.09574	-5.43%	0.0059	✗	1.97
2025-12-03	oos	0.10517	0.104932	-0.23%	0.10124	-3.74%	0.0070	✓	1.97
2025-12-02	oos	0.10324	0.102985	-0.25%	0.10517	+1.87%	0.0250	✓	1.98
2025-12-01	oos	0.09531	0.095119	-0.20%	0.10324	+8.32%	0.0322	✓	2.02
2025-11-30	oos	0.10465	0.104373	-0.27%	0.09531	-8.92%	0.0029	✗	2.03
2025-11-29	oos	0.10764	0.107375	-0.25%	0.10465	-2.78%	0.0155	✓	2.01
2025-11-28	oos	0.11083	0.11052	-0.28%	0.10764	-2.88%	0.0248	✓	2.01
2025-11-27	oos	0.11165	0.111326	-0.29%	0.11083	-0.73%	0.0047	✗	2.01
2025-11-26	oos	0.11204	0.111735	-0.27%	0.11165	-0.35%	0.0192	✓	1.98
2025-11-25	oos	0.11271	0.112379	-0.29%	0.11204	-0.59%	0.0761	✓	2.06
2025-11-24	oos	0.11139	0.111074	-0.28%	0.11271	+1.19%	0.0369	✗	2.07
2025-11-23	oos	0.10407	0.103895	-0.17%	0.11139	+7.03%	0.0353	✗	2.06
2025-11-22	oos	0.10432	0.104211	-0.10%	0.10407	-0.24%	0.0539	✓	2.12
2025-11-21	oos	0.10554	0.105444	-0.09%	0.10432	-1.16%	0.0011	✓	2.11
2025-11-20	oos	0.11425	0.114027	-0.20%	0.10554	-7.62%	0.0415	✓	2.09
2025-11-19	oos	0.1208	0.120446	-0.29%	0.11425	-5.42%	0.0687	✗	2.20
2025-11-18	oos	0.123815	0.123396	-0.34%	0.1208	-2.44%	0.0134	✗	2.20
2025-11-17	oos	0.11994	0.119624	-0.26%	0.123815	+3.23%	0.0149	✗	2.22
2025-11-16	oos	0.12583	0.125413	-0.33%	0.11994	-4.68%	0.0051	✗	2.22
2025-11-15	oos	0.13222	0.131702	-0.39%	0.12583	-4.83%	0.0138	✓	2.22
2025-11-14	oos	0.1312	0.13078	-0.32%	0.13222	+0.78%	0.0134	✓	2.22
2025-11-13	oos	0.13693	0.136326	-0.44%	0.1312	-4.18%	0.0852	✗	2.34
2025-11-12	oos	0.14172	0.14093	-0.56%	0.13693	-3.38%	0.0185	✗	2.35
2025-11-11	oos	0.14019	0.13957	-0.44%	0.14172	+1.09%	0.0467	✗	2.35
2025-11-10	oos	0.15163	0.150691	-0.62%	0.14019	-7.54%	0.0061	✓	2.33
2025-11-09	oos	0.15409	0.153099	-0.64%	0.15163	-1.60%	0.0383	✓	2.35
2025-11-08	oos	0.16684	0.164689	-1.29%	0.15409	-7.64%	0.1235	✓	2.45
2025-11-07	oos	0.16628	0.164187	-1.26%	0.16684	+0.34%	0.0394	✗	2.40
2025-11-06	oos	0.12409	0.124159	+0.06%	0.16628	+34.00%	0.2482	✓	2.25
2025-11-05	oos	0.12541	0.125392	-0.01%	0.12409	-1.05%	0.0469	✗	2.28
2025-11-04	oos	0.12529	0.125432	+0.11%	0.12541	+0.10%	0.0550	✗	2.34
2025-11-03	oos	0.1221	0.122181	+0.07%	0.12529	+2.61%	0.1505	✓	2.56
2025-11-02	oos	0.14051	0.14024	-0.19%	0.1221	-13.10%	0.0458	✓	2.53
2025-11-01	oos	0.142825	0.142569	-0.18%	0.14051	-1.62%	0.0257	✓	2.54
2025-10-31	oos	0.137605	0.137466	-0.10%	0.142825	+3.79%	0.0268	✗	2.53
2025-10-30	oos	0.143925	0.143705	-0.15%	0.137605	-4.39%	0.0727	✓	2.56
2025-10-29	oos	0.15944	0.159069	-0.23%	0.143925	-9.73%	0.0605	✓	2.50
2025-10-28	oos	0.16166	0.161347	-0.19%	0.15944	-1.37%	0.0536	✗	2.54
2025-10-27	oos	0.16729	0.166926	-0.22%	0.16166	-3.37%	0.0056	✓	2.54
2025-10-26	oos	0.174865	0.174337	-0.30%	0.16729	-4.33%	0.0310	✓	2.54
2025-10-25	oos	0.16693	0.166463	-0.28%	0.174865	+4.75%	0.0160	✓	2.56
2025-10-24	oos	0.165915	0.16551	-0.24%	0.16693	+0.61%	0.0058	✓	2.55
2025-10-23	oos	0.16373	0.16332	-0.25%	0.165915	+1.33%	0.0056	✓	2.55
2025-10-22	oos	0.16071	0.160279	-0.27%	0.16373	+1.88%	0.0385	✓	2.57
2025-10-21	oos	0.165255	0.164693	-0.34%	0.16071	-2.75%	0.0060	✓	2.57
2025-10-20	oos	0.174005	0.173216	-0.45%	0.165255	-5.03%	0.0054	✗	2.60
2025-10-19	oos	0.1764	0.175577	-0.47%	0.174005	-1.36%	0.0533	✓	2.57
2025-10-18	oos	0.172865	0.172099	-0.44%	0.1764	+2.04%	0.0103	✓	2.57
2025-10-17	oos	0.171525	0.170826	-0.41%	0.172865	+0.78%	0.0061	✓	2.57
2025-10-16	oos	0.181	0.180138	-0.48%	0.171525	-5.23%	0.0075	✓	2.56
2025-10-15	oos	0.18851	0.187518	-0.53%	0.181	-3.98%	0.0259	✗	2.57
2025-10-14	oos	0.20075	0.199709	-0.52%	0.18851	-6.10%	0.0057	✓	2.57
2025-10-13	oos	0.21232	0.211127	-0.56%	0.20075	-5.45%	0.0005	✓	2.58
2025-10-12	oos	0.19667	0.195635	-0.53%	0.21232	+7.96%	0.0773	✗	2.53
2025-10-11	oos	0.17866	0.177825	-0.47%	0.19667	+10.08%	0.0052	✗	2.51
2025-10-10	oos	0.1768	0.176261	-0.30%	0.17866	+1.05%	0.0643	✗	2.56
2025-10-09	oos	0.27329	0.27261	-0.25%	0.1768	-35.31%	0.3056	✓	1.71
2025-10-08	oos	0.28482	0.284037	-0.28%	0.27329	-4.05%	0.0158	✓	1.71
2025-10-07	oos	0.297305	0.295949	-0.46%	0.28482	-4.20%	0.0664	✓	1.76
2025-10-06	oos	0.2814	0.28075	-0.23%	0.297305	+5.65%	0.1092	✗	1.92
2025-10-05	oos	0.27518	0.274529	-0.24%	0.2814	+2.26%	0.0062	✗	1.91
2025-10-04	oos	0.27814	0.277379	-0.27%	0.27518	-1.06%	0.0245	✓	1.92
2025-10-03	oos	0.28135	0.280442	-0.32%	0.27814	-1.14%	0.0104	✓	1.92
2025-10-02	oos	0.27842	0.277308	-0.40%	0.28135	+1.05%	0.0124	✓	1.93
2025-10-01	oos	0.28123	0.279469	-0.63%	0.27842	-1.00%	0.0362	✓	1.98
2025-09-30	oos	0.25245	0.25114	-0.52%	0.28123	+11.40%	0.0375	✗	1.92
2025-09-29	oos	0.24691	0.245814	-0.44%	0.25245	+2.24%	0.0317	✗	1.96
2025-09-28	oos	0.246095	0.244436	-0.67%	0.24691	+0.33%	0.0281	✓	2.00
2025-09-27	oos	0.236765	0.235859	-0.38%	0.246095	+3.94%	0.0030	✓	2.01
2025-09-26	oos	0.2391	0.238265	-0.35%	0.236765	-0.98%	0.0060	✓	2.02
2025-09-25	oos	0.2298	0.22913	-0.29%	0.2391	+4.05%	0.0304	✗	2.01
2025-09-24	oos	0.25036	0.249537	-0.33%	0.2298	-8.21%	0.0046	✓	2.01
2025-09-23	oos	0.255405	0.254526	-0.34%	0.25036	-1.98%	0.0405	✓	2.03
2025-09-22	oos	0.249745	0.248975	-0.31%	0.255405	+2.27%	0.0381	✗	1.97
2025-09-21	oos	0.285965	0.284881	-0.38%	0.249745	-12.67%	0.0901	✓	1.86
2025-09-20	oos	0.28919	0.288153	-0.36%	0.285965	-1.12%	0.0001	✓	1.86
2025-09-19	oos	0.296955	0.295755	-0.40%	0.28919	-2.61%	0.0234	✓	1.86
2025-09-18	oos	0.31025	0.308726	-0.49%	0.296955	-4.29%	0.0162	✓	1.85

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.