QUAI

Quai Network · native · gru_s0

token id: #972
symbol: QUAI
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-04-09
predictions: 561

Track record at +7d

assessed

180

of 187 predictions shown

direction hit

75.6%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1522

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0083

actual -0.0673

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.00768	0.007601	-1.02%	–	pending	–	–	0.69
2026-10-20	oos	0.008005	0.007944	-0.76%	–	pending	–	–	0.67
2026-10-19	oos	0.00846	0.008375	-1.01%	–	pending	–	–	0.69
2026-10-18	oos	0.008665	0.008588	-0.88%	–	pending	–	–	0.68
2026-10-17	oos	0.008945	0.008856	-0.99%	–	pending	–	–	0.69
2026-10-16	oos	0.008945	0.008856	-0.99%	–	pending	–	–	0.69
2026-10-15	oos	0.00905	0.008982	-0.75%	–	pending	–	–	0.69
2026-10-14	oos	0.00887	0.008803	-0.75%	0.00768	-13.42%	0.1460	✓	0.69
2026-10-13	oos	0.00902	0.00897	-0.56%	0.008005	-11.25%	0.1126	✓	0.61
2026-10-12	oos	0.00913	0.009052	-0.85%	0.00846	-7.34%	0.0684	✓	0.64
2026-10-11	oos	0.009625	0.009576	-0.51%	0.008665	-9.97%	0.0802	✓	0.98
2026-10-10	oos	0.009735	0.009674	-0.62%	0.008945	-8.12%	0.0573	✓	1.13
2026-10-09	oos	0.00943	0.00939	-0.43%	0.008945	-5.14%	0.0334	✓	1.19
2026-10-08	oos	0.009405	0.009381	-0.26%	0.00905	-3.77%	0.0411	✓	0.99
2026-10-07	oos	0.00934	0.009345	+0.05%	0.00887	-5.03%	0.0316	✗	0.99
2026-10-06	oos	0.00993	0.009954	+0.24%	0.00902	-9.16%	0.0700	✗	0.99
2026-10-05	oos	0.010215	0.010235	+0.20%	0.00913	-10.62%	0.0694	✗	0.94
2026-10-04	oos	0.01106	0.01107	+0.09%	0.009625	-12.97%	0.1089	✗	0.93
2026-10-03	oos	0.011445	0.011409	-0.31%	0.009735	-14.94%	0.1379	✓	0.95
2026-10-02	oos	0.010955	0.010932	-0.21%	0.00943	-13.92%	0.1254	✓	0.96
2026-10-01	oos	0.01027	0.010285	+0.15%	0.009405	-8.42%	0.0525	✗	0.98
2026-09-30	oos	0.01042	0.01042	+0.00%	0.00934	-10.36%	0.1061	✗	1.01
2026-09-29	oos	0.010775	0.010764	-0.10%	0.00993	-7.84%	0.0991	✓	0.82
2026-09-28	oos	0.01136	0.011336	-0.21%	0.010215	-10.08%	0.1318	✓	1.02
2026-09-27	oos	0.01082	0.010832	+0.11%	0.01106	+2.22%	0.0014	✗	0.93
2026-09-26	oos	0.011225	0.011208	-0.15%	0.011445	+1.96%	0.0175	✗	0.90
2026-09-25	oos	0.01026	0.01029	+0.29%	0.010955	+6.77%	0.0584	✓	0.87
2026-09-24	oos	0.01001	0.010052	+0.42%	0.01027	+2.60%	0.0166	✓	0.88
2026-09-23	oos	0.01013	0.010168	+0.38%	0.01042	+2.86%	0.0331	✓	0.88
2026-09-22	oos	0.00994	0.009997	+0.58%	0.010775	+8.40%	0.1038	✓	0.96
2026-09-21	oos	0.009705	0.009768	+0.64%	0.01136	+17.05%	0.1873	✓	0.98
2026-09-20	oos	0.008555	0.008593	+0.45%	0.01082	+26.48%	0.1942	✓	0.91
2026-09-19	oos	0.00871	0.008752	+0.48%	0.011225	+28.87%	0.2141	✓	0.90
2026-09-18	oos	0.0087	0.008737	+0.43%	0.01026	+17.93%	0.1265	✓	0.88
2026-09-17	oos	0.00864	0.008608	-0.37%	0.01001	+15.86%	0.0590	✗	0.92
2026-09-16	oos	0.00867	0.008644	-0.30%	0.01013	+16.84%	0.0659	✗	0.90
2026-09-15	oos	0.008835	0.008785	-0.56%	0.00994	+12.51%	0.0153	✗	0.82
2026-09-14	oos	0.00871	0.008707	-0.04%	0.009705	+11.42%	0.0220	✗	0.85
2026-09-13	oos	0.008925	0.008907	-0.20%	0.008555	-4.15%	0.0891	✓	0.88
2026-09-12	oos	0.009815	0.009797	-0.18%	0.00871	-11.26%	0.1604	✓	0.85
2026-09-11	oos	0.01011	0.010093	-0.17%	0.0087	-13.95%	0.1871	✓	0.83
2026-09-10	oos	0.01064	0.010608	-0.30%	0.00864	-18.80%	0.2032	✓	0.81
2026-09-09	oos	0.011305	0.011293	-0.11%	0.00867	-23.31%	0.2425	✓	0.79
2026-09-08	oos	0.01114	0.011132	-0.07%	0.008835	-20.69%	0.2023	✓	0.78
2026-09-07	oos	0.012835	0.012726	-0.85%	0.00871	-32.14%	0.3704	✓	0.75
2026-09-06	oos	0.010785	0.010833	+0.44%	0.008925	-17.25%	0.1541	✗	0.88
2026-09-05	oos	0.01086	0.010886	+0.24%	0.009815	-9.62%	0.0749	✗	0.88
2026-09-04	oos	0.009735	0.009781	+0.47%	0.01011	+3.85%	0.0596	✓	0.84
2026-09-03	oos	0.00832	0.008437	+1.40%	0.01064	+27.88%	0.2908	✓	0.98
2026-09-02	oos	0.007485	0.007552	+0.90%	0.011305	+51.04%	0.3929	✓	0.83
2026-09-01	oos	0.00795	0.008021	+0.89%	0.01114	+40.13%	0.3172	✓	0.83
2026-08-31	oos	0.00855	0.008636	+1.00%	0.012835	+50.12%	0.3910	✓	0.79
2026-08-30	oos	0.00885	0.008929	+0.89%	0.010785	+21.86%	0.1644	✓	0.72
2026-08-29	oos	0.00897	0.009063	+1.04%	0.01086	+21.07%	0.1665	✓	0.71
2026-08-28	oos	0.00944	0.009535	+1.01%	0.009735	+3.12%	0.0042	✓	0.71
2026-08-27	oos	0.01052	0.010671	+1.44%	0.00832	-20.91%	0.2568	✗	0.65
2026-08-26	oos	0.010015	0.010152	+1.36%	0.007485	-25.26%	0.2910	✗	0.63
2026-08-25	oos	0.01113	0.011246	+1.04%	0.00795	-28.57%	0.3375	✗	0.64
2026-08-24	oos	0.011615	0.011726	+0.96%	0.00855	-26.39%	0.3124	✗	0.66
2026-08-23	oos	0.0117	0.011785	+0.72%	0.00885	-24.36%	0.2859	✗	0.63
2026-08-22	oos	0.01178	0.011848	+0.58%	0.00897	-23.85%	0.2879	✗	0.63
2026-08-21	oos	0.01197	0.012065	+0.80%	0.00944	-21.14%	0.2414	✗	0.64
2026-08-20	oos	0.01205	0.01201	-0.34%	0.01052	-12.70%	0.1968	✓	0.68
2026-08-19	oos	0.01204	0.011893	-1.22%	0.010015	-16.82%	0.2661	✓	0.72
2026-08-18	oos	0.01198	0.011662	-2.66%	0.01113	-7.10%	0.2024	✓	0.80
2026-08-17	oos	0.01165	0.011365	-2.45%	0.011615	-0.30%	0.1430	✓	0.81
2026-08-16	oos	0.01158	0.011254	-2.81%	0.0117	+1.04%	0.1355	✓	0.82
2026-08-15	oos	0.0113	0.011023	-2.45%	0.01178	+4.25%	0.0989	✓	0.82
2026-08-14	oos	0.0115	0.011201	-2.60%	0.01197	+4.09%	0.1119	✓	0.82
2026-08-13	oos	0.01156	0.011222	-2.93%	0.01205	+4.24%	0.0431	✓	0.81
2026-08-12	oos	0.01099	0.010724	-2.42%	0.01204	+9.55%	0.0469	✗	0.78
2026-08-11	oos	0.01114	0.010891	-2.23%	0.01198	+7.54%	0.0820	✗	0.74
2026-08-10	oos	0.0117	0.01144	-2.22%	0.01165	-0.43%	0.0119	✓	0.71
2026-08-09	oos	0.011925	0.011674	-2.11%	0.01158	-2.89%	0.0142	✓	0.71
2026-08-08	oos	0.01185	0.011586	-2.23%	0.0113	-4.64%	0.0043	✓	0.70
2026-08-07	oos	0.01186	0.011598	-2.21%	0.0115	-3.04%	0.0114	✓	0.66
2026-08-06	oos	0.01172	0.011441	-2.38%	0.01156	-1.37%	0.0190	✓	0.66
2026-08-05	oos	0.01149	0.011211	-2.43%	0.01099	-4.35%	0.0077	✓	0.66
2026-08-04	oos	0.011625	0.011331	-2.53%	0.01114	-4.17%	0.0118	✓	0.64
2026-08-03	oos	0.01136	0.011088	-2.39%	0.0117	+2.99%	0.0493	✗	0.63
2026-08-02	oos	0.01228	0.011981	-2.43%	0.011925	-2.89%	0.0179	✓	0.63
2026-08-01	oos	0.01225	0.011945	-2.49%	0.01185	-3.27%	0.0293	✓	0.64
2026-07-31	oos	0.0117	0.011429	-2.32%	0.01186	+1.37%	0.0166	✓	0.63
2026-07-30	oos	0.012245	0.012017	-1.86%	0.01172	-4.29%	0.0207	✓	0.61
2026-07-29	oos	0.01324	0.013027	-1.61%	0.01149	-13.22%	0.1322	✓	0.61
2026-07-28	oos	0.01399	0.013796	-1.39%	0.011625	-16.90%	0.1731	✓	0.60
2026-07-27	oos	0.014	0.01383	-1.21%	0.01136	-18.86%	0.1946	✓	0.59
2026-07-26	oos	0.0157	0.015535	-1.05%	0.01228	-21.78%	0.2201	✓	0.53
2026-07-25	oos	0.01522	0.015065	-1.02%	0.01225	-19.51%	0.1949	✓	0.49
2026-07-24	oos	0.01478	0.014651	-0.88%	0.0117	-20.84%	0.2155	✓	0.47
2026-07-23	oos	0.01689	0.016725	-0.98%	0.012245	-27.50%	0.3096	✓	0.42
2026-07-22	oos	0.01692	0.016778	-0.84%	0.01324	-21.75%	0.2221	✓	0.44
2026-07-21	oos	0.017105	0.016961	-0.84%	0.01399	-18.21%	0.1745	✓	0.44
2026-07-20	oos	0.017445	0.017252	-1.11%	0.014	-19.75%	0.1975	✓	0.48
2026-07-19	oos	0.01711	0.016942	-0.98%	0.0157	-8.24%	0.0810	✓	0.48
2026-07-18	oos	0.018425	0.018202	-1.21%	0.01522	-17.39%	0.1756	✓	0.44
2026-07-17	oos	0.01856	0.01829	-1.46%	0.01478	-20.37%	0.2143	✓	0.42
2026-07-16	oos	0.02	0.019495	-2.53%	0.01689	-15.55%	0.1518	✓	0.42
2026-07-15	oos	0.017275	0.017032	-1.41%	0.01692	-2.05%	0.0176	✓	0.53
2026-07-14	oos	0.01913	0.018547	-3.05%	0.017105	-10.59%	0.0937	✓	0.55
2026-07-13	oos	0.01347	0.013334	-1.01%	0.017445	+29.51%	0.2668	✗	0.04
2026-07-12	oos	0.017125	0.016832	-1.71%	0.01711	-0.09%	0.0183	✗	-0.13
2026-07-11	oos	0.03125	0.028285	-9.49%	0.018425	-41.04%	0.4272	✓	-0.09
2026-07-10	oos	0.01315	0.013052	-0.75%	0.01856	+41.14%	0.3522	✗	0.03
2026-07-09	oos	0.01353	0.013406	-0.91%	0.02	+47.82%	0.3997	✗	0.04
2026-07-08	oos	0.01271	0.012587	-0.96%	0.017275	+35.92%	0.3180	✗	-0.04
2026-07-07	oos	0.011975	0.01191	-0.55%	0.01913	+59.75%	0.4740	✗	-0.00
2026-07-06	oos	0.01265	0.012566	-0.66%	0.01347	+6.48%	0.0690	✗	-0.02
2026-07-05	oos	0.012875	0.012777	-0.76%	0.017125	+33.01%	0.2929	✗	-0.01
2026-07-04	oos	0.012325	0.012241	-0.68%	0.03125	+153.55%	0.9376	✗	-0.03
2026-07-03	oos	0.01201	0.011915	-0.79%	0.01315	+9.49%	0.0997	✗	-0.04
2026-07-02	oos	0.01109	0.011032	-0.52%	0.01353	+22.00%	0.2067	✗	-0.10
2026-07-01	oos	0.01479	0.014374	-2.82%	0.01271	-14.06%	0.1283	✓	0.14
2026-06-30	oos	0.01018	0.010142	-0.38%	0.011975	+17.63%	0.1814	✗	-0.19
2026-06-29	oos	0.00911	0.009098	-0.14%	0.01265	+38.86%	0.3352	✗	-0.09
2026-06-28	oos	0.01023	0.010193	-0.36%	0.012875	+25.86%	0.2365	✗	-0.04
2026-06-27	oos	0.00951	0.0095	-0.11%	0.012325	+29.60%	0.2618	✗	-0.03
2026-06-26	oos	0.009675	0.009671	-0.04%	0.01201	+24.13%	0.2177	✗	-0.03
2026-06-25	oos	0.00951	0.009514	+0.04%	0.01109	+16.61%	0.1543	✓	-0.04
2026-06-24	oos	0.01045	0.010441	-0.09%	0.01479	+41.53%	0.3467	✗	-0.09
2026-06-23	oos	0.011	0.010978	-0.20%	0.01018	-7.45%	0.0837	✓	-0.12
2026-06-22	oos	0.01209	0.012044	-0.38%	0.00911	-24.65%	0.2900	✓	-0.18
2026-06-21	oos	0.012145	0.012099	-0.38%	0.01023	-15.77%	0.1789	✓	-0.18
2026-06-20	oos	0.0117	0.011663	-0.31%	0.00951	-18.72%	0.2150	✓	-0.16
2026-06-19	oos	0.012535	0.012486	-0.39%	0.009675	-22.82%	0.2625	✓	-0.13
2026-06-18	oos	0.01336	0.013285	-0.56%	0.00951	-28.82%	0.3401	✓	-0.11
2026-06-17	oos	0.01238	0.01232	-0.48%	0.01045	-15.59%	0.1667	✓	-0.04
2026-06-16	oos	0.012045	0.011989	-0.47%	0.011	-8.68%	0.0866	✓	-0.01
2026-06-15	oos	0.01288	0.012806	-0.57%	0.01209	-6.13%	0.0586	✓	-0.03
2026-06-14	oos	0.0134	0.013324	-0.56%	0.012145	-9.37%	0.0934	✓	-0.02
2026-06-13	oos	0.013745	0.013681	-0.47%	0.0117	-14.88%	0.1565	✓	-0.01
2026-06-12	oos	0.01485	0.01477	-0.54%	0.012535	-15.59%	0.1640	✓	0.03
2026-06-11	oos	0.01551	0.015411	-0.64%	0.01336	-13.86%	0.1425	✓	0.03
2026-06-10	oos	0.015425	0.015362	-0.41%	0.01238	-19.74%	0.2161	✓	0.01
2026-06-09	oos	0.017045	0.016938	-0.63%	0.012045	-29.33%	0.3409	✓	0.00
2026-06-08	oos	0.01797	0.017793	-0.99%	0.01288	-28.32%	0.3214	✓	-0.03
2026-06-07	oos	0.01781	0.017656	-0.87%	0.0134	-24.76%	0.2746	✓	-0.03
2026-06-06	oos	0.01793	0.017842	-0.49%	0.013745	-23.34%	0.2584	✓	-0.04
2026-06-05	oos	0.01961	0.01947	-0.71%	0.01485	-24.27%	0.2691	✓	-0.04
2026-06-04	oos	0.01997	0.019765	-1.02%	0.01551	-22.33%	0.2427	✓	-0.07
2026-06-03	oos	0.02101	0.020753	-1.22%	0.015425	-26.58%	0.2995	✓	-0.07
2026-06-02	oos	0.02153	0.021218	-1.45%	0.017045	-20.83%	0.2272	✓	-0.11
2026-06-01	oos	0.02205	0.021613	-1.98%	0.01797	-18.50%	0.2105	✓	-0.21
2026-05-31	oos	0.022435	0.021979	-2.03%	0.01781	-20.62%	0.2475	✓	-0.25
2026-05-30	oos	0.02147	0.021019	-2.10%	0.01793	-16.49%	0.2043	✓	-0.24
2026-05-29	oos	0.02236	0.021878	-2.15%	0.01961	-12.30%	0.1507	✓	-0.22
2026-05-28	oos	0.0211	0.020627	-2.24%	0.01997	-5.36%	0.0624	✓	-0.21
2026-05-27	oos	0.02166	0.021182	-2.21%	0.02101	-3.00%	0.0422	✓	-0.23
2026-05-26	oos	0.023105	0.022616	-2.12%	0.02153	-6.82%	0.0913	✓	-0.33
2026-05-25	oos	0.02212	0.021675	-2.01%	0.02205	-0.32%	0.0032	✓	-0.25
2026-05-24	oos	0.023125	0.022695	-1.86%	0.022435	-2.98%	0.0228	✓	-0.25
2026-05-23	oos	0.02219	0.021778	-1.86%	0.02147	-3.24%	0.0242	✓	-0.26
2026-05-22	oos	0.024525	0.024107	-1.71%	0.02236	-8.83%	0.0796	✓	-0.16
2026-05-21	oos	0.02505	0.024711	-1.35%	0.0211	-15.77%	0.1689	✓	-0.20
2026-05-20	oos	0.02708	0.026707	-1.38%	0.02166	-20.01%	0.2182	✓	-0.21
2026-05-19	oos	0.026065	0.025619	-1.71%	0.023105	-11.36%	0.1062	✓	-0.24
2026-05-18	oos	0.02795	0.027585	-1.31%	0.02212	-20.86%	0.2197	✓	-0.26
2026-05-17	oos	0.02865	0.028299	-1.22%	0.023125	-19.28%	0.2035	✓	-0.28
2026-05-16	oos	0.028435	0.028136	-1.05%	0.02219	-21.96%	0.2425	✓	-0.27
2026-05-15	oos	0.028395	0.028147	-0.87%	0.024525	-13.63%	0.1502	✓	-0.27
2026-05-14	oos	0.02813	0.027984	-0.52%	0.02505	-10.95%	0.1218	✓	-0.25
2026-05-13	oos	0.02913	0.028886	-0.84%	0.02708	-7.04%	0.0691	✓	-0.20
2026-05-12	oos	0.02829	0.028129	-0.57%	0.026065	-7.86%	0.0829	✓	-0.14
2026-05-11	oos	0.02831	0.028223	-0.31%	0.02795	-1.27%	0.0180	✓	-0.14
2026-05-10	oos	0.02791	0.027885	-0.09%	0.02865	+2.65%	0.0200	✗	-0.12
2026-05-09	oos	0.02927	0.029164	-0.36%	0.028435	-2.85%	0.0269	✓	-0.05
2026-05-08	oos	0.02942	0.029283	-0.47%	0.028395	-3.48%	0.0166	✓	1.00
2026-05-07	oos	0.0303	0.030151	-0.49%	0.02813	-7.16%	0.0827	✓	1.00
2026-05-06	oos	0.03002	0.029973	-0.16%	0.02913	-2.96%	0.0018	✓	1.00
2026-05-05	oos	0.03032	0.030239	-0.27%	0.02829	-6.70%	0.0614	✓	1.00
2026-05-04	oos	0.03088	0.030729	-0.49%	0.02831	-8.32%	0.1052	✓	1.00
2026-05-03	oos	0.03038	0.030173	-0.68%	0.02791	-8.13%	0.1233	✓	1.00
2026-05-02	oos	0.03163	0.031439	-0.60%	0.02927	-7.46%	0.0963	✓	1.00
2026-05-01	oos	0.03198	0.031776	-0.64%	0.02942	-8.01%	0.1017	✓	1.00
2026-04-30	oos	0.0334	0.033047	-1.06%	0.0303	-9.28%	0.1341	✓	1.00
2026-04-29	oos	0.03484	0.034424	-1.19%	0.03002	-13.83%	0.2093	✓	1.00
2026-04-28	oos	0.03428	0.033914	-1.07%	0.03032	-11.55%	0.1704	✓	1.00
2026-04-27	oos	0.03521	0.034885	-0.92%	0.03088	-12.30%	0.1536	✓	1.00
2026-04-26	oos	0.03492	0.034696	-0.64%	0.03038	-13.00%	0.1314	✓	1.00
2026-04-25	oos	0.036055	0.035729	-0.91%	0.03163	-12.27%	0.1350	✓	1.00
2026-04-24	oos	0.03568	0.035359	-0.90%	0.03198	-10.37%	0.1104	✓	1.00
2026-04-23	oos	0.03717	0.036863	-0.83%	0.0334	-10.14%	0.0731	✓	1.00
2026-04-22	oos	0.03588	0.035614	-0.74%	0.03484	-2.90%	0.0099	✗	1.00
2026-04-21	oos	0.034745	0.034395	-1.01%	0.03428	-1.34%	0.0030	✓	1.00
2026-04-20	oos	0.03388	0.033536	-1.01%	0.03521	+3.93%	0.0291	✗	1.00
2026-04-19	oos	0.03534	0.034803	-1.52%	0.03492	-1.19%	0.0603	✓	1.00
2026-04-18	oos	0.03528	0.034853	-1.21%	0.036055	+2.20%	0.0089	✓	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.