QUAI

Quai Network · native · gru_s0

token id: #972
symbol: QUAI
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-04-09
predictions: 561

Track record at +30d

assessed

157

of 187 predictions shown

direction hit

77.1%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.3416

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0264

actual -0.2561

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.00768	0.007411	-3.50%	–	pending	–	–	0.69
2026-10-20	oos	0.008005	0.007787	-2.73%	–	pending	–	–	0.67
2026-10-19	oos	0.00846	0.008171	-3.42%	–	pending	–	–	0.69
2026-10-18	oos	0.008665	0.008403	-3.02%	–	pending	–	–	0.68
2026-10-17	oos	0.008945	0.008653	-3.26%	–	pending	–	–	0.69
2026-10-16	oos	0.008945	0.008662	-3.16%	–	pending	–	–	0.69
2026-10-15	oos	0.00905	0.008816	-2.58%	–	pending	–	–	0.69
2026-10-14	oos	0.00887	0.008634	-2.67%	–	pending	–	–	0.69
2026-10-13	oos	0.00902	0.008901	-1.32%	–	pending	–	–	0.61
2026-10-12	oos	0.00913	0.00891	-2.41%	–	pending	–	–	0.64
2026-10-11	oos	0.009625	0.00945	-1.82%	–	pending	–	–	0.98
2026-10-10	oos	0.009735	0.009522	-2.19%	–	pending	–	–	1.13
2026-10-09	oos	0.00943	0.009267	-1.73%	–	pending	–	–	1.19
2026-10-08	oos	0.009405	0.009281	-1.32%	–	pending	–	–	0.99
2026-10-07	oos	0.00934	0.009311	-0.31%	–	pending	–	–	0.99
2026-10-06	oos	0.00993	0.009996	+0.66%	–	pending	–	–	0.99
2026-10-05	oos	0.010215	0.010267	+0.51%	–	pending	–	–	0.94
2026-10-04	oos	0.01106	0.011126	+0.59%	–	pending	–	–	0.93
2026-10-03	oos	0.011445	0.0114	-0.40%	–	pending	–	–	0.95
2026-10-02	oos	0.010955	0.010938	-0.15%	–	pending	–	–	0.96
2026-10-01	oos	0.01027	0.010345	+0.73%	–	pending	–	–	0.98
2026-09-30	oos	0.01042	0.010458	+0.36%	–	pending	–	–	1.01
2026-09-29	oos	0.010775	0.010867	+0.86%	–	pending	–	–	0.82
2026-09-28	oos	0.01136	0.011358	-0.02%	–	pending	–	–	1.02
2026-09-27	oos	0.01082	0.010926	+0.98%	–	pending	–	–	0.93
2026-09-26	oos	0.011225	0.011313	+0.79%	–	pending	–	–	0.90
2026-09-25	oos	0.01026	0.010419	+1.55%	–	pending	–	–	0.87
2026-09-24	oos	0.01001	0.010217	+2.07%	–	pending	–	–	0.88
2026-09-23	oos	0.01013	0.010366	+2.33%	–	pending	–	–	0.88
2026-09-22	oos	0.00994	0.010286	+3.48%	–	pending	–	–	0.96
2026-09-21	oos	0.009705	0.010069	+3.75%	0.00768	-20.87%	0.2257	✗	0.98
2026-09-20	oos	0.008555	0.008696	+1.65%	0.008005	-6.43%	0.1025	✗	0.91
2026-09-19	oos	0.00871	0.008847	+1.57%	0.00846	-2.87%	0.0514	✗	0.90
2026-09-18	oos	0.0087	0.008831	+1.51%	0.008665	-0.40%	0.0312	✗	0.88
2026-09-17	oos	0.00864	0.008507	-1.55%	0.008945	+3.53%	0.0084	✓	0.92
2026-09-16	oos	0.00867	0.008535	-1.56%	0.008945	+3.17%	0.0144	✓	0.90
2026-09-15	oos	0.008835	0.008646	-2.14%	0.00905	+2.43%	0.0227	✓	0.82
2026-09-14	oos	0.00871	0.00866	-0.58%	0.00887	+1.84%	0.0119	✓	0.85
2026-09-13	oos	0.008925	0.008833	-1.03%	0.00902	+1.06%	0.0487	✓	0.88
2026-09-12	oos	0.009815	0.009715	-1.02%	0.00913	-6.98%	0.1102	✓	0.85
2026-09-11	oos	0.01011	0.010016	-0.93%	0.009625	-4.80%	0.1067	✓	0.83
2026-09-10	oos	0.01064	0.010513	-1.19%	0.009735	-8.51%	0.1419	✓	0.81
2026-09-09	oos	0.011305	0.011306	+0.01%	0.00943	-16.59%	0.2231	✗	0.79
2026-09-08	oos	0.01114	0.011171	+0.28%	0.009405	-15.57%	0.2035	✗	0.78
2026-09-07	oos	0.012835	0.012893	+0.45%	0.00934	-27.23%	0.3610	✗	0.75
2026-09-06	oos	0.010785	0.011045	+2.42%	0.00993	-7.93%	0.1616	✗	0.88
2026-09-05	oos	0.01086	0.011133	+2.51%	0.010215	-5.94%	0.1487	✗	0.88
2026-09-04	oos	0.009735	0.010074	+3.48%	0.01106	+13.61%	0.0240	✓	0.84
2026-09-03	oos	0.00832	0.008701	+4.58%	0.011445	+37.56%	0.2330	✓	0.98
2026-09-02	oos	0.007485	0.007615	+1.73%	0.010955	+46.36%	0.2897	✓	0.83
2026-09-01	oos	0.00795	0.008115	+2.08%	0.01027	+29.18%	0.1590	✓	0.83
2026-08-31	oos	0.00855	0.00879	+2.81%	0.01042	+21.87%	0.1217	✓	0.79
2026-08-30	oos	0.00885	0.009077	+2.57%	0.010775	+21.75%	0.1178	✓	0.72
2026-08-29	oos	0.00897	0.009269	+3.33%	0.01136	+26.64%	0.1574	✓	0.71
2026-08-28	oos	0.00944	0.009755	+3.34%	0.01082	+14.62%	0.0454	✓	0.71
2026-08-27	oos	0.01052	0.01113	+5.80%	0.011225	+6.70%	0.0241	✓	0.65
2026-08-26	oos	0.010015	0.010561	+5.46%	0.01026	+2.45%	0.0678	✗	0.63
2026-08-25	oos	0.01113	0.01163	+4.49%	0.01001	-10.06%	0.1962	✗	0.64
2026-08-24	oos	0.011615	0.012087	+4.07%	0.01013	-12.79%	0.2203	✗	0.66
2026-08-23	oos	0.0117	0.012066	+3.13%	0.00994	-15.04%	0.2594	✗	0.63
2026-08-22	oos	0.01178	0.012072	+2.48%	0.009705	-17.61%	0.2920	✗	0.63
2026-08-21	oos	0.01197	0.012408	+3.66%	0.008555	-28.53%	0.3945	✗	0.64
2026-08-20	oos	0.01205	0.011975	-0.62%	0.00871	-27.72%	0.3908	✓	0.68
2026-08-19	oos	0.01204	0.011666	-3.11%	0.0087	-27.74%	0.4042	✓	0.72
2026-08-18	oos	0.01198	0.011202	-6.49%	0.00864	-27.88%	0.3929	✓	0.80
2026-08-17	oos	0.01165	0.010873	-6.67%	0.00867	-25.58%	0.3615	✓	0.81
2026-08-16	oos	0.01158	0.010683	-7.74%	0.008835	-23.70%	0.3413	✓	0.82
2026-08-15	oos	0.0113	0.01048	-7.26%	0.00871	-22.92%	0.3621	✓	0.82
2026-08-14	oos	0.0115	0.01063	-7.56%	0.008925	-22.39%	0.3371	✓	0.82
2026-08-13	oos	0.01156	0.010685	-7.57%	0.009815	-15.10%	0.2453	✓	0.81
2026-08-12	oos	0.01099	0.01019	-7.28%	0.01011	-8.01%	0.1607	✓	0.78
2026-08-11	oos	0.01114	0.010353	-7.07%	0.01064	-4.49%	0.1102	✓	0.74
2026-08-10	oos	0.0117	0.010914	-6.72%	0.011305	-3.38%	0.1096	✓	0.71
2026-08-09	oos	0.011925	0.011191	-6.15%	0.01114	-6.58%	0.1390	✓	0.71
2026-08-08	oos	0.01185	0.011089	-6.42%	0.012835	+8.31%	0.0074	✓	0.70
2026-08-07	oos	0.01186	0.011109	-6.33%	0.010785	-9.06%	0.1712	✓	0.66
2026-08-06	oos	0.01172	0.010913	-6.89%	0.01086	-7.34%	0.1474	✓	0.66
2026-08-05	oos	0.01149	0.010702	-6.86%	0.009735	-15.27%	0.2324	✓	0.66
2026-08-04	oos	0.011625	0.010802	-7.08%	0.00832	-28.43%	0.4145	✓	0.64
2026-08-03	oos	0.01136	0.01054	-7.22%	0.007485	-34.11%	0.4670	✓	0.63
2026-08-02	oos	0.01228	0.011428	-6.94%	0.00795	-35.26%	0.4872	✓	0.63
2026-08-01	oos	0.01225	0.01137	-7.18%	0.00855	-30.20%	0.4278	✓	0.64
2026-07-31	oos	0.0117	0.010888	-6.94%	0.00885	-24.36%	0.3412	✓	0.63
2026-07-30	oos	0.012245	0.01158	-5.43%	0.00897	-26.75%	0.3719	✓	0.61
2026-07-29	oos	0.01324	0.012616	-4.71%	0.00944	-28.70%	0.4100	✓	0.61
2026-07-28	oos	0.01399	0.013383	-4.34%	0.01052	-24.80%	0.3782	✓	0.60
2026-07-27	oos	0.014	0.01345	-3.93%	0.010015	-28.46%	0.4231	✓	0.59
2026-07-26	oos	0.0157	0.015201	-3.18%	0.01113	-29.11%	0.4083	✓	0.53
2026-07-25	oos	0.01522	0.014761	-3.02%	0.011615	-23.69%	0.3414	✓	0.49
2026-07-24	oos	0.01478	0.014357	-2.86%	0.0117	-20.84%	0.2958	✓	0.47
2026-07-23	oos	0.01689	0.01639	-2.96%	0.01178	-30.25%	0.4019	✓	0.42
2026-07-22	oos	0.01692	0.016496	-2.51%	0.01197	-29.26%	0.3950	✓	0.44
2026-07-21	oos	0.017105	0.01672	-2.25%	0.01205	-29.55%	0.3687	✓	0.44
2026-07-20	oos	0.017445	0.016964	-2.76%	0.01204	-30.98%	0.3721	✓	0.48
2026-07-19	oos	0.01711	0.016605	-2.95%	0.01198	-29.98%	0.3264	✓	0.48
2026-07-18	oos	0.018425	0.017836	-3.19%	0.01165	-36.77%	0.4238	✓	0.44
2026-07-17	oos	0.01856	0.017894	-3.59%	0.01158	-37.61%	0.4281	✓	0.42
2026-07-16	oos	0.02	0.019087	-4.56%	0.0113	-43.50%	0.5192	✓	0.42
2026-07-15	oos	0.017275	0.0167	-3.33%	0.0115	-33.43%	0.3587	✓	0.53
2026-07-14	oos	0.01913	0.018227	-4.72%	0.01156	-39.57%	0.4419	✓	0.55
2026-07-13	oos	0.01347	0.013075	-2.93%	0.01099	-18.41%	0.1745	✓	0.04
2026-07-12	oos	0.017125	0.01644	-4.00%	0.01114	-34.95%	0.3896	✓	-0.13
2026-07-11	oos	0.03125	0.027138	-13.16%	0.0117	-62.56%	0.8411	✓	-0.09
2026-07-10	oos	0.01315	0.012871	-2.12%	0.011925	-9.32%	0.0767	✓	0.03
2026-07-09	oos	0.01353	0.013212	-2.35%	0.01185	-12.42%	0.1098	✓	0.04
2026-07-08	oos	0.01271	0.012443	-2.10%	0.01186	-6.69%	0.0464	✓	-0.04
2026-07-07	oos	0.011975	0.011767	-1.73%	0.01172	-2.13%	0.0040	✓	-0.00
2026-07-06	oos	0.01265	0.012413	-1.88%	0.01149	-9.17%	0.0771	✓	-0.02
2026-07-05	oos	0.012875	0.012615	-2.02%	0.011625	-9.71%	0.0816	✓	-0.01
2026-07-04	oos	0.012325	0.012106	-1.77%	0.01136	-7.83%	0.0635	✓	-0.03
2026-07-03	oos	0.01201	0.01181	-1.67%	0.01228	+2.25%	0.0397	✗	-0.04
2026-07-02	oos	0.01109	0.010931	-1.44%	0.01225	+10.46%	0.1160	✗	-0.10
2026-07-01	oos	0.01479	0.014172	-4.18%	0.0117	-20.89%	0.1983	✓	0.14
2026-06-30	oos	0.01018	0.010033	-1.44%	0.012245	+20.28%	0.2187	✗	-0.19
2026-06-29	oos	0.00911	0.009	-1.21%	0.01324	+45.33%	0.3914	✗	-0.09
2026-06-28	oos	0.01023	0.010092	-1.34%	0.01399	+36.75%	0.3297	✗	-0.04
2026-06-27	oos	0.00951	0.009389	-1.27%	0.014	+47.21%	0.4012	✗	-0.03
2026-06-26	oos	0.009675	0.009576	-1.02%	0.0157	+62.27%	0.4967	✗	-0.03
2026-06-25	oos	0.00951	0.009423	-0.91%	0.01522	+60.04%	0.4821	✗	-0.04
2026-06-24	oos	0.01045	0.010331	-1.14%	0.01478	+41.44%	0.3625	✗	-0.09
2026-06-23	oos	0.011	0.010863	-1.25%	0.01689	+53.55%	0.4460	✗	-0.12
2026-06-22	oos	0.01209	0.011908	-1.50%	0.01692	+39.95%	0.3571	✗	-0.18
2026-06-21	oos	0.012145	0.01195	-1.61%	0.017105	+40.84%	0.3679	✗	-0.18
2026-06-20	oos	0.0117	0.011537	-1.39%	0.017445	+49.10%	0.4159	✗	-0.16
2026-06-19	oos	0.012535	0.012347	-1.50%	0.01711	+36.50%	0.3287	✗	-0.13
2026-06-18	oos	0.01336	0.013117	-1.82%	0.018425	+37.91%	0.3432	✗	-0.11
2026-06-17	oos	0.01238	0.012163	-1.75%	0.01856	+49.92%	0.4223	✗	-0.04
2026-06-16	oos	0.012045	0.011857	-1.56%	0.02	+66.04%	0.5225	✗	-0.01
2026-06-15	oos	0.01288	0.01262	-2.02%	0.017275	+34.12%	0.3133	✗	-0.03
2026-06-14	oos	0.0134	0.013102	-2.22%	0.01913	+42.76%	0.3782	✗	-0.02
2026-06-13	oos	0.013745	0.013457	-2.10%	0.01347	-2.00%	0.0006	✓	-0.01
2026-06-12	oos	0.01485	0.014496	-2.38%	0.017125	+15.32%	0.1666	✗	0.03
2026-06-11	oos	0.01551	0.015101	-2.64%	0.03125	+101.48%	0.7272	✗	0.03
2026-06-10	oos	0.015425	0.015069	-2.31%	0.01315	-14.75%	0.1365	✓	0.01
2026-06-09	oos	0.017045	0.016526	-3.05%	0.01353	-20.62%	0.2000	✓	0.00
2026-06-08	oos	0.01797	0.017331	-3.56%	0.01271	-29.27%	0.3106	✓	-0.03
2026-06-07	oos	0.01781	0.017138	-3.77%	0.011975	-32.76%	0.3585	✓	-0.03
2026-06-06	oos	0.01793	0.017296	-3.53%	0.01265	-29.45%	0.3107	✓	-0.04
2026-06-05	oos	0.01961	0.018829	-3.98%	0.012875	-34.34%	0.3783	✓	-0.04
2026-06-04	oos	0.01997	0.019101	-4.35%	0.012325	-38.28%	0.4388	✓	-0.07
2026-06-03	oos	0.02101	0.020039	-4.62%	0.01201	-42.84%	0.5136	✓	-0.07
2026-06-02	oos	0.02153	0.02045	-5.02%	0.01109	-48.49%	0.6205	✓	-0.11
2026-06-01	oos	0.02205	0.020819	-5.58%	0.01479	-32.93%	0.3784	✓	-0.21
2026-05-31	oos	0.022435	0.021129	-5.82%	0.01018	-54.62%	0.7868	✓	-0.25
2026-05-30	oos	0.02147	0.020157	-6.11%	0.00911	-57.57%	0.8422	✓	-0.24
2026-05-29	oos	0.02236	0.020972	-6.21%	0.01023	-54.25%	0.7649	✓	-0.22
2026-05-28	oos	0.0211	0.019721	-6.53%	0.00951	-54.93%	0.7727	✓	-0.21
2026-05-27	oos	0.02166	0.020227	-6.62%	0.009675	-55.33%	0.7864	✓	-0.23
2026-05-26	oos	0.023105	0.02165	-6.30%	0.00951	-58.84%	0.9008	✓	-0.33
2026-05-25	oos	0.02212	0.02075	-6.19%	0.01045	-52.76%	0.7462	✓	-0.25
2026-05-24	oos	0.023125	0.021781	-5.81%	0.011	-52.43%	0.7345	✓	-0.25
2026-05-23	oos	0.02219	0.020801	-6.26%	0.01209	-45.52%	0.5898	✓	-0.26
2026-05-22	oos	0.024525	0.023055	-5.99%	0.012145	-50.48%	0.6687	✓	-0.16
2026-05-21	oos	0.02505	0.02388	-4.67%	0.0117	-53.29%	0.7519	✓	-0.20
2026-05-20	oos	0.02708	0.025888	-4.40%	0.012535	-53.71%	0.7671	✓	-0.21
2026-05-19	oos	0.026065	0.024777	-4.94%	0.01336	-48.74%	0.6654	✓	-0.24
2026-05-18	oos	0.02795	0.026666	-4.59%	0.01238	-55.71%	0.8138	✓	-0.26
2026-05-17	oos	0.02865	0.027443	-4.21%	0.012045	-57.96%	0.8693	✓	-0.28
2026-05-16	oos	0.028435	0.027384	-3.70%	0.01288	-54.70%	0.7984	✓	-0.27
2026-05-15	oos	0.028395	0.027511	-3.11%	0.0134	-52.81%	0.7686	✓	-0.27
2026-05-14	oos	0.02813	0.027572	-1.99%	0.013745	-51.14%	0.7531	✓	-0.25
2026-05-13	oos	0.02913	0.028281	-2.91%	0.01485	-49.02%	0.6882	✓	-0.20
2026-05-12	oos	0.02829	0.027688	-2.13%	0.01551	-45.17%	0.6129	✓	-0.14
2026-05-11	oos	0.02831	0.027916	-1.39%	0.015425	-45.51%	0.6324	✓	-0.14
2026-05-10	oos	0.02791	0.027719	-0.68%	0.017045	-38.93%	0.5199	✓	-0.12
2026-05-09	oos	0.02927	0.028869	-1.37%	0.01797	-38.61%	0.4863	✓	-0.05
2026-05-08	oos	0.02942	0.028955	-1.58%	0.01781	-39.46%	0.2495	✓	1.00
2026-05-07	oos	0.0303	0.029746	-1.83%	0.01793	-40.83%	0.2325	✓	1.00
2026-05-06	oos	0.03002	0.029797	-0.74%	0.01961	-34.68%	0.1299	✓	1.00
2026-05-05	oos	0.03032	0.030036	-0.94%	0.01997	-34.14%	0.1707	✓	1.00
2026-05-04	oos	0.03088	0.030333	-1.77%	0.02101	-31.96%	0.1466	✓	1.00
2026-05-03	oos	0.03038	0.029648	-2.41%	0.02153	-29.13%	0.1557	✓	1.00
2026-05-02	oos	0.03163	0.030972	-2.08%	0.02205	-30.29%	0.2415	✓	1.00
2026-05-01	oos	0.03198	0.031307	-2.10%	0.022435	-29.85%	0.2718	✓	1.00
2026-04-30	oos	0.0334	0.032422	-2.93%	0.02147	-35.72%	0.3784	✓	1.00
2026-04-29	oos	0.03484	0.03364	-3.44%	0.02236	-35.82%	0.3765	✓	1.00
2026-04-28	oos	0.03428	0.033228	-3.07%	0.0211	-38.45%	0.4167	✓	1.00
2026-04-27	oos	0.03521	0.034284	-2.63%	0.02166	-38.48%	0.4190	✓	1.00
2026-04-26	oos	0.03492	0.034291	-1.80%	0.023105	-33.83%	0.3580	✓	1.00
2026-04-25	oos	0.036055	0.035217	-2.32%	0.02212	-38.65%	0.4599	✓	1.00
2026-04-24	oos	0.03568	0.034843	-2.35%	0.023125	-35.19%	0.4037	✓	1.00
2026-04-23	oos	0.03717	0.036513	-1.77%	0.02219	-40.30%	0.4770	✓	1.00
2026-04-22	oos	0.03588	0.035289	-1.65%	0.024525	-31.65%	0.3279	✓	1.00
2026-04-21	oos	0.034745	0.033867	-2.53%	0.02505	-27.90%	0.3171	✓	1.00
2026-04-20	oos	0.03388	0.033003	-2.59%	0.02708	-20.07%	0.2188	✓	1.00
2026-04-19	oos	0.03534	0.033991	-3.82%	0.026065	-26.25%	0.3046	✓	1.00
2026-04-18	oos	0.03528	0.034375	-2.57%	0.02795	-20.78%	0.2227	✓	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.