PROLOGUE
Prologue · Robinhood · gru_s0
- token id
- #747
- symbol
- PROLOGUE
- variant
- –
- chain
- Robinhood
- address
- 0xb9972ca7188e511174947e3936a5315ac7073277
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-08-30
- predictions
- 132
Track record at +7d
assessed
37
of 44 predictions shown
direction hit
67.6%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.2387
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0380
actual -0.1660
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.001409 | 0.000754917 | -46.44% | – | pending | – | – | 3.56 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.001988 | 0.001559 | -21.56% | – | pending | – | – | 3.49 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.003266 | 0.00309 | -5.40% | – | pending | – | – | 3.86 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.003638 | 0.003443 | -5.34% | – | pending | – | – | 3.84 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.003952 | 0.003753 | -5.03% | – | pending | – | – | 3.88 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.004829 | 0.004543 | -5.94% | – | pending | – | – | 3.85 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.005071 | 0.004761 | -6.12% | – | pending | – | – | 3.85 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.004854 | 0.004605 | -5.14% | 0.001409 | -70.96% | 1.2366 | ✓ | 3.84 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.004327 | 0.004157 | -3.94% | 0.001988 | -54.06% | 0.7295 | ✓ | 4.08 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.004935 | 0.004731 | -4.13% | 0.003266 | -33.82% | 0.3756 | ✓ | 4.25 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.005705 | 0.005389 | -5.55% | 0.003638 | -36.25% | 0.3084 | ✓ | 4.19 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.004834 | 0.004681 | -3.16% | 0.003952 | -18.24% | 0.0924 | ✓ | 4.13 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.004975 | 0.004829 | -2.93% | 0.004829 | -2.92% | 0.0527 | ✗ | 4.13 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.005437 | 0.005264 | -3.19% | 0.005071 | -6.74% | 0.0595 | ✓ | 4.20 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.005456 | 0.005264 | -3.51% | 0.004854 | -11.03% | 0.0085 | ✓ | 4.32 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.005941 | 0.005698 | -4.10% | 0.004327 | -27.17% | 0.1478 | ✓ | 4.41 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.005721 | 0.005484 | -4.14% | 0.004935 | -13.74% | 0.1066 | ✗ | 4.43 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.005961 | 0.00571 | -4.21% | 0.005705 | -4.29% | 0.1469 | ✗ | 4.44 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.005959 | 0.005676 | -4.75% | 0.004834 | -18.89% | 0.0615 | ✓ | 4.54 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.006944 | 0.006639 | -4.40% | 0.004975 | -28.36% | 0.1818 | ✓ | 4.54 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.007509 | 0.007198 | -4.14% | 0.005437 | -27.59% | 0.1092 | ✓ | 4.52 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.008083 | 0.007729 | -4.38% | 0.005456 | -32.51% | 0.3327 | ✓ | 4.65 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.007228 | 0.00686 | -5.10% | 0.005941 | -17.80% | 0.2489 | ✓ | 4.68 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.00827 | 0.007915 | -4.29% | 0.005721 | -30.82% | 0.3518 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.00852 | 0.008199 | -3.77% | 0.005961 | -30.03% | 0.3426 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.00893 | 0.008615 | -3.54% | 0.005959 | -33.27% | 0.3724 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.010942 | 0.010532 | -3.75% | 0.006944 | -36.54% | 0.4214 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.01306 | 0.012431 | -4.81% | 0.007509 | -42.50% | 0.5096 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.011093 | 0.010674 | -3.78% | 0.008083 | -27.13% | 0.2682 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.010161 | 0.009868 | -2.88% | 0.007228 | -28.86% | 0.2811 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.010187 | 0.009892 | -2.90% | 0.00827 | -18.82% | 0.1422 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.008994 | 0.008647 | -3.86% | 0.00852 | -5.27% | 0.0547 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.008861 | 0.008539 | -3.63% | 0.00893 | +0.78% | 0.0064 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.00998 | 0.009543 | -4.37% | 0.010942 | +9.64% | 0.0977 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.008086 | 0.007725 | -4.47% | 0.01306 | +61.51% | 0.4250 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.007527 | 0.007253 | -3.65% | 0.011093 | +47.38% | 0.3223 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.00747 | 0.007222 | -3.32% | 0.010161 | +36.02% | 0.2100 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.009209 | 0.008866 | -3.73% | 0.010187 | +10.62% | 0.0366 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.007935 | 0.007706 | -2.89% | 0.008994 | +13.35% | 0.0993 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.008396 | 0.008152 | -2.91% | 0.008861 | +5.54% | 0.0333 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.008184 | 0.007955 | -2.80% | 0.00998 | +21.94% | 0.1803 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.00674 | 0.006593 | -2.18% | 0.008086 | +19.97% | 0.2066 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.007021 | 0.0069 | -1.74% | 0.007527 | +7.20% | 0.1147 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.009219 | 0.009063 | -1.70% | 0.00747 | -18.97% | 0.1561 | ✓ | 1.00 |