PROLOGUE

Prologue · Robinhood · gru_s0

token id: #747
symbol: PROLOGUE
variant: –
chain: Robinhood
address: 0xb9972ca7188e511174947e3936a5315ac7073277
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-08-30
predictions: 132

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +1d

assessed

of 44 predictions shown

direction hit

58.1%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1127

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0095

actual -0.0441

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.001409	0.001238	-12.14%	–	pending	–	–	3.56
2026-10-20	oos	0.001988	0.001905	-4.20%	0.001409	-29.10%	0.2908	✓	3.49
2026-10-19	oos	0.003266	0.00324	-0.80%	0.001988	-39.13%	0.5399	✓	3.86
2026-10-18	oos	0.003638	0.003608	-0.82%	0.003266	-10.21%	0.0915	✓	3.84
2026-10-17	oos	0.003952	0.003923	-0.74%	0.003638	-7.96%	0.1052	✓	3.88
2026-10-16	oos	0.004829	0.004774	-1.15%	0.003952	-18.17%	0.1833	✓	3.85
2026-10-15	oos	0.005071	0.005009	-1.22%	0.004829	-4.76%	0.0072	✓	3.85
2026-10-14	oos	0.004854	0.004811	-0.89%	0.005071	+4.47%	0.0265	✗	3.84
2026-10-13	oos	0.004327	0.004309	-0.41%	0.004854	+12.18%	0.1950	✗	4.08
2026-10-12	oos	0.004935	0.004911	-0.49%	0.004327	-12.32%	0.1966	✓	4.25
2026-10-11	oos	0.005705	0.005637	-1.21%	0.004935	-13.50%	0.0348	✓	4.19
2026-10-10	oos	0.004834	0.004822	-0.23%	0.005705	+18.04%	0.1301	✗	4.13
2026-10-09	oos	0.004975	0.004967	-0.16%	0.004834	-2.84%	0.0455	✓	4.13
2026-10-08	oos	0.005437	0.005422	-0.29%	0.004975	-8.51%	0.1295	✓	4.20
2026-10-07	oos	0.005456	0.005432	-0.44%	0.005437	-0.33%	0.0840	✗	4.32
2026-10-06	oos	0.005941	0.005891	-0.86%	0.005456	-8.18%	0.0416	✗	4.41
2026-10-05	oos	0.005721	0.005675	-0.81%	0.005941	+3.85%	0.0567	✗	4.43
2026-10-04	oos	0.005961	0.005906	-0.93%	0.005721	-4.03%	0.0073	✓	4.44
2026-10-03	oos	0.005959	0.005904	-0.92%	0.005961	+0.04%	0.0839	✓	4.54
2026-10-02	oos	0.006944	0.006874	-1.01%	0.005959	-14.18%	0.1556	✓	4.54
2026-10-01	oos	0.007509	0.007434	-1.00%	0.006944	-7.52%	0.0498	✓	4.52
2026-09-30	oos	0.008083	0.007992	-1.13%	0.007509	-7.10%	0.1336	✓	4.65
2026-09-29	oos	0.007228	0.007147	-1.12%	0.008083	+11.82%	0.1276	✗	4.68
2026-09-28	oos	0.00827	0.008185	-1.02%	0.007228	-12.59%	0.1265	✓	1.00
2026-09-27	oos	0.00852	0.008444	-0.89%	0.00827	-2.93%	0.0089	✓	1.00
2026-09-26	oos	0.00893	0.008857	-0.83%	0.00852	-4.60%	0.0393	✓	1.00
2026-09-25	oos	0.010942	0.010827	-1.05%	0.00893	-18.38%	0.1964	✓	1.00
2026-09-24	oos	0.01306	0.012829	-1.77%	0.010942	-16.22%	0.1556	✓	1.00
2026-09-23	oos	0.011093	0.010953	-1.27%	0.01306	+17.73%	0.1759	✗	1.00
2026-09-22	oos	0.010161	0.010065	-0.95%	0.011093	+9.17%	0.1186	✗	1.00
2026-09-21	oos	0.010187	0.010079	-1.06%	0.010161	-0.26%	0.0127	✗	1.00
2026-09-20	oos	0.008994	0.008893	-1.13%	0.010187	+13.26%	0.0711	✗	1.00
2026-09-19	oos	0.008861	0.008768	-1.05%	0.008994	+1.50%	0.0263	✗	1.00
2026-09-18	oos	0.00998	0.009823	-1.56%	0.008861	-11.21%	0.1075	✓	1.00
2026-09-17	oos	0.008086	0.007998	-1.09%	0.00998	+23.42%	0.1638	✗	1.00
2026-09-16	oos	0.007527	0.007473	-0.72%	0.008086	+7.43%	0.0762	✗	1.00
2026-09-15	oos	0.00747	0.007428	-0.56%	0.007527	+0.76%	0.0058	✗	1.00
2026-09-14	oos	0.009209	0.009102	-1.16%	0.00747	-18.88%	0.1639	✓	1.00
2026-09-13	oos	0.007935	0.007884	-0.64%	0.009209	+16.06%	0.1376	✗	1.00
2026-09-12	oos	0.008396	0.008329	-0.79%	0.007935	-5.49%	0.0425	✓	1.00
2026-09-11	oos	0.008184	0.00811	-0.90%	0.008396	+2.59%	0.0339	✗	1.00
2026-09-10	oos	0.00674	0.006716	-0.36%	0.008184	+21.42%	0.1890	✗	1.00
2026-09-09	oos	0.007021	0.007	-0.31%	0.00674	-4.01%	0.0153	✓	1.00
2026-09-08	oos	0.009219	0.009171	-0.52%	0.007021	-23.84%	0.2650	✓	1.00