ORBIO
Orbio.so · Robinhood · gru_s0
- token id
- #603
- symbol
- ORBIO
- variant
- –
- chain
- Robinhood
- address
- 0xaa07a0e9209e16ac99708c3ec70159c6ef3128a3
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2025-10-31
- predictions
- 282
Track record at +7d
assessed
80
of 94 predictions shown
direction hit
68.8%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.4425
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0600
actual -0.1949
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.042665 | 0.038976 | -8.65% | – | pending | – | – | 2.76 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.04217 | 0.03755 | -10.96% | – | pending | – | – | 2.75 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.02143 | 0.019847 | -7.39% | – | pending | – | – | 2.32 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.02085 | 0.018955 | -9.09% | – | pending | – | – | 2.32 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.02767 | 0.02656 | -4.01% | – | pending | – | – | 2.45 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.033189 | 0.031851 | -4.03% | – | pending | – | – | 2.41 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.029376 | 0.028036 | -4.56% | – | pending | – | – | 2.47 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.033658 | 0.032164 | -4.44% | 0.042665 | +26.76% | 0.2477 | ✗ | 2.53 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.036243 | 0.033851 | -6.60% | 0.04217 | +16.35% | 0.2246 | ✗ | 2.45 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.036532 | 0.034185 | -6.42% | 0.02143 | -41.34% | 0.4699 | ✓ | 2.53 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.053783 | 0.049462 | -8.04% | 0.02085 | -61.23% | 0.8250 | ✓ | 1.93 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.061248 | 0.056196 | -8.25% | 0.02767 | -54.82% | 0.6708 | ✓ | 2.02 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.059795 | 0.054079 | -9.56% | 0.033189 | -44.50% | 0.4624 | ✓ | 2.03 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.04242 | 0.03753 | -11.53% | 0.029376 | -30.75% | 0.2548 | ✓ | 1.88 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.050383 | 0.043857 | -12.95% | 0.033658 | -33.20% | 0.2313 | ✓ | 1.61 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.0534 | 0.046386 | -13.13% | 0.036243 | -32.13% | 0.2047 | ✓ | 1.45 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.067695 | 0.062165 | -8.17% | 0.036532 | -46.03% | 0.4677 | ✓ | 1.34 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.093694 | 0.088422 | -5.63% | 0.053783 | -42.60% | 0.4641 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.106073 | 0.098575 | -7.07% | 0.061248 | -42.26% | 0.4476 | ✓ | 1.29 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.077989 | 0.072854 | -6.58% | 0.059795 | -23.33% | 0.1672 | ✓ | 1.29 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.086255 | 0.080631 | -6.52% | 0.04242 | -50.82% | 0.6044 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.089951 | 0.083011 | -7.71% | 0.050383 | -43.99% | 0.4960 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.066876 | 0.061825 | -7.55% | 0.0534 | -20.15% | 0.1690 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.070965 | 0.065667 | -7.47% | 0.067695 | -4.61% | 0.0033 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.09187 | 0.084669 | -7.84% | 0.093694 | +1.99% | 0.0774 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.073202 | 0.067779 | -7.41% | 0.106073 | +44.90% | 0.4440 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.075834 | 0.069553 | -8.28% | 0.077989 | +2.84% | 0.1096 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.06129 | 0.056546 | -7.74% | 0.086255 | +40.73% | 0.4168 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.066113 | 0.060726 | -8.15% | 0.089951 | +36.06% | 0.4027 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.06097 | 0.056277 | -7.70% | 0.066876 | +9.69% | 0.2027 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.079604 | 0.071662 | -9.98% | 0.070965 | -10.85% | 0.0271 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.055348 | 0.050412 | -8.92% | 0.09187 | +65.99% | 0.5603 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.055756 | 0.049966 | -10.38% | 0.073202 | +31.29% | 0.3435 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.039451 | 0.036206 | -8.23% | 0.075834 | +92.22% | 0.7003 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.05045 | 0.044571 | -11.65% | 0.06129 | +21.49% | 0.2184 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.028547 | 0.025623 | -10.24% | 0.066113 | +131.59% | 0.8452 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.016078 | 0.014867 | -7.53% | 0.06097 | +279.23% | 1.2799 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.014214 | 0.013305 | -6.40% | 0.079604 | +460.04% | 1.6866 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.015351 | 0.014444 | -5.91% | 0.055348 | +260.55% | 1.2882 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.017236 | 0.016338 | -5.21% | 0.055756 | +223.50% | 1.1774 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.019674 | 0.018731 | -4.79% | 0.039451 | +100.52% | 0.6985 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-12-31 | oos | 0.000001625 | 7.69e-7 | -52.67% | – | pending | – | – | 1.21 |
| 2025-12-30 | oos | 0.00000113 | 4.47e-7 | -60.43% | – | pending | – | – | 1.31 |
| 2025-12-29 | oos | 7.70e-7 | 2.78e-7 | -63.91% | – | pending | – | – | 1.02 |
| 2025-12-28 | oos | 0.000001475 | 5.60e-7 | -62.06% | – | pending | – | – | 0.92 |
| 2025-12-27 | oos | 0.000010515 | 0.000009874 | -6.09% | – | pending | – | – | 1.24 |
| 2025-12-26 | oos | 0.0000094 | 0.000008897 | -5.35% | – | pending | – | – | 1.20 |
| 2025-12-25 | oos | 0.000010125 | 0.00000961 | -5.09% | – | pending | – | – | 1.21 |
| 2025-12-24 | oos | 0.00001055 | 0.00001002 | -5.03% | 0.000001625 | -84.60% | 1.8175 | ✓ | 1.21 |
| 2025-12-23 | oos | 0.00001092 | 0.000010389 | -4.86% | 0.00000113 | -89.65% | 2.2318 | ✓ | 1.21 |
| 2025-12-22 | oos | 0.000011015 | 0.000010436 | -5.26% | 7.70e-7 | -93.01% | 2.5866 | ✓ | 1.22 |
| 2025-12-21 | oos | 0.000011205 | 0.000010611 | -5.30% | 0.000001475 | -86.84% | 1.9628 | ✓ | 1.22 |
| 2025-12-20 | oos | 0.000012685 | 0.000012079 | -4.78% | 0.000010515 | -17.11% | 0.1314 | ✓ | 1.24 |
| 2025-12-19 | oos | 0.00001168 | 0.000011079 | -5.15% | 0.0000094 | -19.52% | 0.1533 | ✓ | 1.22 |
| 2025-12-18 | oos | 0.00000956 | 0.000009049 | -5.34% | 0.000010125 | +5.91% | 0.0935 | ✗ | 0.95 |
| 2025-12-17 | oos | 0.00001037 | 0.000009848 | -5.03% | 0.00001055 | +1.74% | 0.0536 | ✗ | 0.94 |
| 2025-12-16 | oos | 0.000011705 | 0.00001117 | -4.57% | 0.00001092 | -6.71% | 0.0183 | ✓ | 0.91 |
| 2025-12-15 | oos | 0.000011695 | 0.000011238 | -3.90% | 0.000011015 | -5.81% | 0.0418 | ✓ | 0.89 |
| 2025-12-14 | oos | 0.00001267 | 0.000012174 | -3.91% | 0.000011205 | -11.56% | 0.0876 | ✓ | 0.87 |
| 2025-12-13 | oos | 0.00001356 | 0.00001295 | -4.50% | 0.000012685 | -6.45% | 0.0020 | ✓ | 0.86 |
| 2025-12-12 | oos | 0.00001467 | 0.000014043 | -4.28% | 0.00001168 | -20.38% | 0.1628 | ✓ | 0.87 |
| 2025-12-11 | oos | 0.0000154 | 0.000014605 | -5.16% | 0.00000956 | -37.92% | 0.3539 | ✓ | 0.88 |
| 2025-12-10 | oos | 0.00001543 | 0.00001461 | -5.32% | 0.00001037 | -32.79% | 0.2861 | ✓ | 0.87 |
| 2025-12-09 | oos | 0.00001567 | 0.00001474 | -5.94% | 0.000011705 | -25.30% | 0.1839 | ✓ | 0.87 |
| 2025-12-08 | oos | 0.00001497 | 0.000014127 | -5.63% | 0.000011695 | -21.88% | 0.1508 | ✓ | 0.80 |
| 2025-12-07 | oos | 0.00001525 | 0.000014364 | -5.81% | 0.00001267 | -16.92% | 0.1057 | ✓ | 0.79 |
| 2025-12-06 | oos | 0.00001655 | 0.000015722 | -5.01% | 0.00001356 | -18.07% | 0.1571 | ✓ | 0.83 |
| 2025-12-05 | oos | 0.00001659 | 0.000015682 | -5.47% | 0.00001467 | -11.57% | 0.0753 | ✓ | 0.83 |
| 2025-12-04 | oos | 0.00001745 | 0.000016174 | -7.31% | 0.0000154 | -11.75% | 0.0531 | ✓ | 0.84 |
| 2025-12-03 | oos | 0.00001792 | 0.000016362 | -8.70% | 0.00001543 | -13.90% | 0.0456 | ✓ | 0.85 |
| 2025-12-02 | oos | 0.00001724 | 0.0000157 | -8.93% | 0.00001567 | -9.11% | 0.0135 | ✓ | 0.77 |
| 2025-12-01 | oos | 0.0000197 | 0.000018792 | -4.61% | 0.00001497 | -24.01% | 0.2905 | ✓ | 1.28 |
| 2025-11-30 | oos | 0.00002392 | 0.000022874 | -4.37% | 0.00001525 | -36.25% | 0.4058 | ✓ | 1.02 |
| 2025-11-29 | oos | 0.0000277 | 0.000026911 | -2.85% | 0.00001655 | -40.25% | 0.4688 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-28 | oos | 0.0000295 | 0.000028792 | -2.40% | 0.00001659 | -43.76% | 0.5340 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-27 | oos | 0.00003306 | 0.000032385 | -2.04% | 0.00001745 | -47.22% | 0.6268 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-26 | oos | 0.00003177 | 0.000031147 | -1.96% | 0.00001792 | -43.59% | 0.5853 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-25 | oos | 0.0000334 | 0.000032925 | -1.42% | 0.00001724 | -48.38% | 0.6916 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-24 | oos | 0.0000359 | 0.00003538 | -1.45% | 0.0000197 | -45.13% | 0.5628 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-23 | oos | 0.0000382 | 0.000037696 | -1.32% | 0.00002392 | -37.38% | 0.4950 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-22 | oos | 0.0000403 | 0.000039838 | -1.15% | 0.0000277 | -31.27% | 0.4334 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-21 | oos | 0.0000402 | 0.000039748 | -1.12% | 0.0000295 | -26.62% | 0.3645 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-20 | oos | 0.0000423 | 0.000041706 | -1.41% | 0.00003306 | -21.84% | 0.2861 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-19 | oos | 0.0000444 | 0.000043335 | -2.40% | 0.00003177 | -28.45% | 0.2995 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-18 | oos | 0.0000462 | 0.000044901 | -2.81% | 0.0000334 | -27.71% | 0.2339 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-17 | oos | 0.0000431 | 0.000042157 | -2.19% | 0.0000359 | -16.71% | 0.1181 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-16 | oos | 0.0000421 | 0.000041065 | -2.46% | 0.0000382 | -9.26% | 0.0092 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-15 | oos | 0.0000407 | 0.000039604 | -2.69% | 0.0000403 | -0.98% | 0.1381 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-14 | oos | 0.0000395 | 0.00003858 | -2.33% | 0.0000402 | +1.77% | 0.1463 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-13 | oos | 0.000041 | 0.000039238 | -4.30% | 0.0000423 | +3.17% | 0.2159 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-12 | oos | 0.0000422 | 0.000040189 | -4.77% | 0.0000444 | +5.21% | 0.2052 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-11 | oos | 0.000037 | 0.000034591 | -6.51% | 0.0000462 | +24.86% | 0.3925 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-10 | oos | 0.0000469 | 0.000045172 | -3.68% | 0.0000431 | -8.10% | 0.0934 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-09 | oos | 0.0000557 | 0.00005411 | -2.85% | 0.0000421 | -24.42% | 0.1452 | ✓ | 1.00 |