ORBIO
Orbio.so · Robinhood · gru_s0
- token id
- #603
- symbol
- ORBIO
- variant
- –
- chain
- Robinhood
- address
- 0xaa07a0e9209e16ac99708c3ec70159c6ef3128a3
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2025-10-31
- predictions
- 282
Track record at +1d
assessed
92
of 94 predictions shown
direction hit
64.1%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.1551
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0207
actual -0.0290
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.042665 | 0.041548 | -2.62% | – | pending | – | – | 2.76 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.04217 | 0.040122 | -4.86% | 0.042665 | +1.17% | 0.0695 | ✗ | 2.75 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.02143 | 0.021224 | -0.96% | 0.04217 | +96.78% | 0.6556 | ✗ | 2.32 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.02085 | 0.020625 | -1.08% | 0.02143 | +2.78% | 0.0431 | ✗ | 2.32 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.02767 | 0.027628 | -0.15% | 0.02085 | -24.65% | 0.3002 | ✓ | 2.45 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.033189 | 0.033011 | -0.54% | 0.02767 | -16.63% | 0.1730 | ✓ | 2.41 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.029376 | 0.029309 | -0.23% | 0.033189 | +12.98% | 0.1431 | ✗ | 2.47 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.033658 | 0.033623 | -0.10% | 0.029376 | -12.72% | 0.1523 | ✓ | 2.53 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.036243 | 0.036005 | -0.66% | 0.033658 | -7.13% | 0.0217 | ✓ | 2.45 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.036532 | 0.036373 | -0.44% | 0.036243 | -0.79% | 0.0454 | ✓ | 2.53 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.053783 | 0.052977 | -1.50% | 0.036532 | -32.08% | 0.3266 | ✓ | 1.93 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.061248 | 0.060085 | -1.90% | 0.053783 | -12.19% | 0.1294 | ✓ | 2.02 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.059795 | 0.058168 | -2.72% | 0.061248 | +2.43% | 0.0426 | ✗ | 2.03 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.04242 | 0.04162 | -1.89% | 0.059795 | +40.96% | 0.3429 | ✗ | 1.88 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.050383 | 0.049074 | -2.60% | 0.04242 | -15.80% | 0.1148 | ✓ | 1.61 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.0534 | 0.051974 | -2.67% | 0.050383 | -5.65% | 0.0079 | ✓ | 1.45 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.067695 | 0.066541 | -1.70% | 0.0534 | -21.12% | 0.2167 | ✓ | 1.34 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.093694 | 0.092244 | -1.55% | 0.067695 | -27.75% | 0.3007 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.106073 | 0.10291 | -2.98% | 0.093694 | -11.67% | 0.1205 | ✓ | 1.29 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.077989 | 0.076681 | -1.68% | 0.106073 | +36.01% | 0.3208 | ✗ | 1.29 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.086255 | 0.084561 | -1.96% | 0.077989 | -9.58% | 0.0768 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.089951 | 0.087232 | -3.02% | 0.086255 | -4.11% | 0.0266 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.066876 | 0.065575 | -1.95% | 0.089951 | +34.50% | 0.3170 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.070965 | 0.069609 | -1.91% | 0.066876 | -5.76% | 0.0422 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.09187 | 0.089009 | -3.11% | 0.070965 | -22.75% | 0.2146 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.073202 | 0.071538 | -2.27% | 0.09187 | +25.50% | 0.2496 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.075834 | 0.073472 | -3.11% | 0.073202 | -3.47% | 0.0075 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.06129 | 0.059866 | -2.32% | 0.075834 | +23.73% | 0.2399 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.066113 | 0.064261 | -2.80% | 0.06129 | -7.30% | 0.0474 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.06097 | 0.059475 | -2.45% | 0.066113 | +8.43% | 0.1271 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.079604 | 0.075855 | -4.71% | 0.06097 | -23.41% | 0.2138 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.055348 | 0.053626 | -3.11% | 0.079604 | +43.83% | 0.3302 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.055756 | 0.053219 | -4.55% | 0.055348 | -0.73% | 0.0401 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.039451 | 0.038362 | -2.76% | 0.055756 | +41.33% | 0.3695 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.05045 | 0.047851 | -5.15% | 0.039451 | -21.80% | 0.2506 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.028547 | 0.027325 | -4.28% | 0.05045 | +76.73% | 0.6105 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.016078 | 0.015785 | -1.82% | 0.028547 | +77.56% | 0.5851 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.014214 | 0.014023 | -1.34% | 0.016078 | +13.11% | 0.1704 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.015351 | 0.015173 | -1.16% | 0.014214 | -7.41% | 0.0830 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.017236 | 0.017046 | -1.10% | 0.015351 | -10.93% | 0.0987 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.019674 | 0.019455 | -1.11% | 0.017236 | -12.39% | 0.1219 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-12-31 | oos | 0.000001625 | 0.000001382 | -14.93% | – | pending | – | – | 1.21 |
| 2025-12-30 | oos | 0.00000113 | 9.25e-7 | -18.10% | 0.000001625 | +43.81% | 0.5764 | ✗ | 1.31 |
| 2025-12-29 | oos | 7.70e-7 | 6.21e-7 | -19.40% | 0.00000113 | +46.75% | 0.5842 | ✗ | 1.02 |
| 2025-12-28 | oos | 0.000001475 | 0.000001205 | -18.28% | 7.70e-7 | -47.80% | 0.4400 | ✓ | 0.92 |
| 2025-12-27 | oos | 0.000010515 | 0.000010385 | -1.24% | 0.000001475 | -85.97% | 1.9527 | ✓ | 1.24 |
| 2025-12-26 | oos | 0.0000094 | 0.000009326 | -0.79% | 0.000010515 | +11.86% | 0.1131 | ✗ | 1.20 |
| 2025-12-25 | oos | 0.000010125 | 0.000010031 | -0.93% | 0.0000094 | -7.16% | 0.0667 | ✓ | 1.21 |
| 2025-12-24 | oos | 0.00001055 | 0.000010442 | -1.02% | 0.000010125 | -4.03% | 0.0248 | ✓ | 1.21 |
| 2025-12-23 | oos | 0.00001092 | 0.000010805 | -1.05% | 0.00001055 | -3.39% | 0.0264 | ✓ | 1.21 |
| 2025-12-22 | oos | 0.000011015 | 0.000010883 | -1.20% | 0.00001092 | -0.86% | 0.0190 | ✗ | 1.22 |
| 2025-12-21 | oos | 0.000011205 | 0.000011069 | -1.21% | 0.000011015 | -1.70% | 0.0038 | ✓ | 1.22 |
| 2025-12-20 | oos | 0.000012685 | 0.000012515 | -1.34% | 0.000011205 | -11.67% | 0.1151 | ✓ | 1.24 |
| 2025-12-19 | oos | 0.00001168 | 0.000011526 | -1.32% | 0.000012685 | +8.60% | 0.0926 | ✗ | 1.22 |
| 2025-12-18 | oos | 0.00000956 | 0.000009474 | -0.90% | 0.00001168 | +22.18% | 0.1805 | ✗ | 0.95 |
| 2025-12-17 | oos | 0.00001037 | 0.000010268 | -0.99% | 0.00000956 | -7.81% | 0.0632 | ✓ | 0.94 |
| 2025-12-16 | oos | 0.000011705 | 0.00001158 | -1.07% | 0.00001037 | -11.41% | 0.0932 | ✓ | 0.91 |
| 2025-12-15 | oos | 0.000011695 | 0.000011598 | -0.83% | 0.000011705 | +0.09% | 0.0055 | ✓ | 0.89 |
| 2025-12-14 | oos | 0.00001267 | 0.000012566 | -0.82% | 0.000011695 | -7.70% | 0.0543 | ✓ | 0.87 |
| 2025-12-13 | oos | 0.00001356 | 0.000013423 | -1.01% | 0.00001267 | -6.56% | 0.0375 | ✓ | 0.86 |
| 2025-12-12 | oos | 0.00001467 | 0.000014518 | -1.04% | 0.00001356 | -7.57% | 0.0680 | ✓ | 0.87 |
| 2025-12-11 | oos | 0.0000154 | 0.000015198 | -1.31% | 0.00001467 | -4.74% | 0.0136 | ✓ | 0.88 |
| 2025-12-10 | oos | 0.00001543 | 0.000015226 | -1.32% | 0.0000154 | -0.19% | 0.0066 | ✓ | 0.87 |
| 2025-12-09 | oos | 0.00001567 | 0.000015436 | -1.50% | 0.00001543 | -1.53% | 0.0058 | ✓ | 0.87 |
| 2025-12-08 | oos | 0.00001497 | 0.000014786 | -1.23% | 0.00001567 | +4.68% | 0.0403 | ✗ | 0.80 |
| 2025-12-07 | oos | 0.00001525 | 0.000015072 | -1.17% | 0.00001497 | -1.84% | 0.0090 | ✓ | 0.79 |
| 2025-12-06 | oos | 0.00001655 | 0.000016383 | -1.01% | 0.00001525 | -7.85% | 0.0822 | ✓ | 0.83 |
| 2025-12-05 | oos | 0.00001659 | 0.00001642 | -1.02% | 0.00001655 | -0.24% | 0.0086 | ✓ | 0.83 |
| 2025-12-04 | oos | 0.00001745 | 0.000017192 | -1.48% | 0.00001659 | -4.93% | 0.0102 | ✓ | 0.84 |
| 2025-12-03 | oos | 0.00001792 | 0.000017597 | -1.80% | 0.00001745 | -2.62% | 0.0041 | ✓ | 0.85 |
| 2025-12-02 | oos | 0.00001724 | 0.000016974 | -1.54% | 0.00001792 | +3.94% | 0.0362 | ✗ | 0.77 |
| 2025-12-01 | oos | 0.0000197 | 0.00001959 | -0.56% | 0.00001724 | -12.49% | 0.2000 | ✓ | 1.28 |
| 2025-11-30 | oos | 0.00002392 | 0.000023745 | -0.73% | 0.0000197 | -17.64% | 0.1396 | ✓ | 1.02 |
| 2025-11-29 | oos | 0.0000277 | 0.000027558 | -0.51% | 0.00002392 | -13.65% | 0.1365 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-28 | oos | 0.0000295 | 0.00002938 | -0.41% | 0.0000277 | -6.10% | 0.0581 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-27 | oos | 0.00003306 | 0.000032912 | -0.45% | 0.0000295 | -10.77% | 0.1049 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-26 | oos | 0.00003177 | 0.000031667 | -0.32% | 0.00003306 | +4.06% | 0.0337 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-25 | oos | 0.0000334 | 0.000033331 | -0.21% | 0.00003177 | -4.88% | 0.0833 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-24 | oos | 0.0000359 | 0.000035822 | -0.22% | 0.0000334 | -6.96% | 0.0593 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-23 | oos | 0.0000382 | 0.000038124 | -0.20% | 0.0000359 | -6.02% | 0.0768 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-22 | oos | 0.0000403 | 0.000040237 | -0.16% | 0.0000382 | -5.21% | 0.0767 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-21 | oos | 0.0000402 | 0.000040162 | -0.10% | 0.0000403 | +0.25% | 0.0080 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-20 | oos | 0.0000423 | 0.000042226 | -0.17% | 0.0000402 | -4.96% | 0.0321 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-19 | oos | 0.0000444 | 0.000044189 | -0.48% | 0.0000423 | -4.73% | 0.0117 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-18 | oos | 0.0000462 | 0.000045898 | -0.65% | 0.0000444 | -3.90% | 0.0174 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-17 | oos | 0.0000431 | 0.000042961 | -0.32% | 0.0000462 | +7.19% | 0.0639 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-16 | oos | 0.0000421 | 0.000041955 | -0.34% | 0.0000431 | +2.38% | 0.0493 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-15 | oos | 0.0000407 | 0.000040568 | -0.32% | 0.0000421 | +3.44% | 0.0514 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-14 | oos | 0.0000395 | 0.000039446 | -0.14% | 0.0000407 | +3.04% | 0.0203 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-13 | oos | 0.000041 | 0.000040668 | -0.81% | 0.0000395 | -3.66% | 0.0235 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-12 | oos | 0.0000422 | 0.000041722 | -1.13% | 0.000041 | -2.84% | 0.0027 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-11 | oos | 0.000037 | 0.000036557 | -1.20% | 0.0000422 | +14.05% | 0.1569 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-10 | oos | 0.0000469 | 0.00004655 | -0.75% | 0.000037 | -21.11% | 0.2012 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-09 | oos | 0.0000557 | 0.000055331 | -0.66% | 0.0000469 | -15.80% | 0.1775 | ✓ | 1.00 |