NOCK
Nockchain · Base · gru_s0
- token id
- #744
- symbol
- NOCK
- variant
- –
- chain
- Base
- address
- 0x9b5e262cf9bb04869ab40b19af91d2dc85761722
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-06-25
- predictions
- 333
Track record at +7d
assessed
104
of 111 predictions shown
direction hit
69.2%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.2389
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0177
actual -0.0266
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-22 | oos | 0.02273 | 0.021248 | -6.52% | – | pending | – | – | 1.59 |
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.02224 | 0.020707 | -6.89% | – | pending | – | – | 1.58 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.02115 | 0.01988 | -6.01% | – | pending | – | – | 1.51 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.01957 | 0.018652 | -4.69% | – | pending | – | – | 1.45 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.018735 | 0.017953 | -4.17% | – | pending | – | – | 1.34 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.01787 | 0.017301 | -3.18% | – | pending | – | – | 1.31 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.01995 | 0.019066 | -4.43% | – | pending | – | – | 1.30 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.01899 | 0.018425 | -2.97% | 0.02273 | +19.69% | 0.1771 | ✗ | 1.30 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.02035 | 0.019714 | -3.13% | 0.02224 | +9.29% | 0.0815 | ✗ | 1.31 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.02241 | 0.021517 | -3.99% | 0.02115 | -5.62% | 0.0146 | ✓ | 1.30 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.02193 | 0.021273 | -3.00% | 0.01957 | -10.76% | 0.0850 | ✓ | 1.31 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.024565 | 0.023579 | -4.01% | 0.018735 | -23.73% | 0.2003 | ✓ | 1.47 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.027275 | 0.026132 | -4.19% | 0.01787 | -34.48% | 0.3537 | ✓ | 1.42 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.02348 | 0.0229 | -2.47% | 0.01995 | -15.03% | 0.1199 | ✓ | 1.42 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.020085 | 0.020041 | -0.22% | 0.01899 | -5.45% | 0.0613 | ✓ | 1.41 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.023665 | 0.023176 | -2.07% | 0.02035 | -14.01% | 0.1029 | ✓ | 1.31 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.024845 | 0.024142 | -2.83% | 0.02241 | -9.80% | 0.0368 | ✓ | 1.30 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.025125 | 0.024417 | -2.82% | 0.02193 | -12.72% | 0.0427 | ✓ | 1.35 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.01995 | 0.01983 | -0.60% | 0.024565 | +23.13% | 0.2604 | ✗ | 1.39 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.01937 | 0.019415 | +0.23% | 0.027275 | +40.81% | 0.3701 | ✓ | 1.38 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.01954 | 0.019574 | +0.17% | 0.02348 | +20.16% | 0.2139 | ✓ | 1.36 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.020375 | 0.020271 | -0.51% | 0.020085 | -1.42% | 0.0426 | ✗ | 1.37 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.022815 | 0.022608 | -0.91% | 0.023665 | +3.73% | 0.0505 | ✗ | 1.41 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.024225 | 0.023974 | -1.04% | 0.024845 | +2.56% | 0.0026 | ✓ | 1.47 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.022935 | 0.022749 | -0.81% | 0.025125 | +9.55% | 0.0598 | ✗ | 1.46 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.02204 | 0.021701 | -1.54% | 0.01995 | -9.48% | 0.1217 | ✓ | 1.57 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.030865 | 0.030325 | -1.75% | 0.01937 | -37.24% | 0.4541 | ✓ | 1.53 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.031395 | 0.030855 | -1.72% | 0.01954 | -37.76% | 0.4645 | ✓ | 1.57 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.03092 | 0.0304 | -1.68% | 0.020375 | -34.10% | 0.4088 | ✓ | 1.57 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.0308 | 0.03034 | -1.49% | 0.022815 | -25.93% | 0.2697 | ✓ | 1.57 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.036775 | 0.036369 | -1.10% | 0.024225 | -34.13% | 0.3619 | ✓ | 1.47 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.04147 | 0.040901 | -1.37% | 0.022935 | -44.69% | 0.5250 | ✓ | 1.45 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.038625 | 0.03798 | -1.67% | 0.02204 | -42.94% | 0.6034 | ✓ | 1.48 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.043515 | 0.042719 | -1.83% | 0.030865 | -29.07% | 0.3814 | ✓ | 1.47 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.048125 | 0.046719 | -2.92% | 0.031395 | -34.76% | 0.4549 | ✓ | 1.47 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.0388 | 0.037906 | -2.30% | 0.03092 | -20.31% | 0.3270 | ✓ | 1.23 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.03942 | 0.038439 | -2.49% | 0.0308 | -21.87% | 0.3481 | ✓ | 1.23 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.036105 | 0.035368 | -2.04% | 0.036775 | +1.86% | 0.1213 | ✓ | 1.22 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.03963 | 0.038917 | -1.80% | 0.04147 | +4.64% | 0.0547 | ✓ | 1.16 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.051235 | 0.049704 | -2.99% | 0.038625 | -24.61% | 0.3238 | ✓ | 1.30 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.050925 | 0.048332 | -5.09% | 0.043515 | -14.55% | 0.1702 | ✓ | 1.30 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.03621 | 0.03532 | -2.46% | 0.048125 | +32.91% | 0.2475 | ✗ | 1.33 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.033195 | 0.03249 | -2.12% | 0.0388 | +16.89% | 0.1807 | ✗ | 1.32 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.030795 | 0.030342 | -1.47% | 0.03942 | +28.01% | 0.3011 | ✗ | 1.42 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.038595 | 0.037409 | -3.07% | 0.036105 | -6.45% | 0.0157 | ✓ | 1.37 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.03316 | 0.032332 | -2.50% | 0.03963 | +19.51% | 0.2204 | ✗ | 1.45 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.032875 | 0.031457 | -4.31% | 0.051235 | +55.85% | 0.5542 | ✗ | 1.47 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.0209 | 0.020788 | -0.54% | 0.050925 | +143.66% | 0.9429 | ✗ | 1.44 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 0.02251 | 0.022267 | -1.08% | 0.03621 | +60.86% | 0.5312 | ✗ | 1.43 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 0.01819 | 0.018218 | +0.15% | 0.033195 | +82.49% | 0.6995 | ✓ | 1.66 |
| 2026-09-02 | oos | 0.01672 | 0.016709 | -0.06% | 0.030795 | +84.18% | 0.5910 | ✗ | 1.63 |
| 2026-09-01 | oos | 0.0209 | 0.020601 | -1.43% | 0.038595 | +84.67% | 0.6065 | ✗ | 1.59 |
| 2026-08-31 | oos | 0.016965 | 0.016985 | +0.12% | 0.03316 | +95.46% | 0.6571 | ✓ | 1.78 |
| 2026-08-30 | oos | 0.01601 | 0.016014 | +0.02% | 0.032875 | +105.34% | 0.6596 | ✓ | 1.76 |
| 2026-08-29 | oos | 0.01545 | 0.015503 | +0.34% | 0.0209 | +35.28% | 0.2625 | ✓ | 1.79 |
| 2026-08-28 | oos | 0.014115 | 0.014197 | +0.58% | 0.02251 | +59.48% | 0.4192 | ✓ | 1.79 |
| 2026-08-27 | oos | 0.016785 | 0.016879 | +0.56% | 0.01819 | +8.37% | 0.0548 | ✓ | 1.64 |
| 2026-08-26 | oos | 0.01661 | 0.016684 | +0.45% | 0.01672 | +0.66% | 0.0381 | ✓ | 1.64 |
| 2026-08-25 | oos | 0.0199 | 0.019844 | -0.28% | 0.0209 | +5.03% | 0.0757 | ✗ | 1.65 |
| 2026-08-24 | oos | 0.01984 | 0.019799 | -0.21% | 0.016965 | -14.49% | 0.1456 | ✓ | 1.66 |
| 2026-08-23 | oos | 0.02078 | 0.0206 | -0.87% | 0.01601 | -22.95% | 0.2507 | ✓ | 1.69 |
| 2026-08-22 | oos | 0.0206 | 0.020328 | -1.32% | 0.01545 | -25.00% | 0.3001 | ✓ | 1.69 |
| 2026-08-21 | oos | 0.02013 | 0.019915 | -1.07% | 0.014115 | -29.88% | 0.3333 | ✓ | 1.75 |
| 2026-08-20 | oos | 0.017805 | 0.017338 | -2.62% | 0.016785 | -5.73% | 0.1928 | ✓ | 1.69 |
| 2026-08-19 | oos | 0.01454 | 0.014285 | -1.75% | 0.01661 | +14.24% | 0.0148 | ✓ | 1.26 |
| 2026-08-18 | oos | 0.01529 | 0.01475 | -3.53% | 0.0199 | +30.15% | 0.0919 | ✓ | 2.02 |
| 2026-08-17 | oos | 0.01648 | 0.015479 | -6.07% | 0.01984 | +20.39% | 0.1633 | ✓ | 2.03 |
| 2026-08-16 | oos | 0.00971 | 0.009512 | -2.04% | 0.02078 | +114.01% | 0.6097 | ✗ | 0.81 |
| 2026-08-15 | oos | 0.01037 | 0.010158 | -2.05% | 0.0206 | +98.65% | 0.5478 | ✗ | 0.79 |
| 2026-08-14 | oos | 0.009505 | 0.009286 | -2.31% | 0.02013 | +111.78% | 0.6001 | ✗ | 0.80 |
| 2026-08-13 | oos | 0.00902 | 0.008772 | -2.75% | 0.017805 | +97.39% | 0.5859 | ✗ | 0.87 |
| 2026-08-12 | oos | 0.011985 | 0.011745 | -2.01% | 0.01454 | +21.32% | 0.1390 | ✗ | 0.84 |
| 2026-08-11 | oos | 0.01267 | 0.012381 | -2.28% | 0.01529 | +20.68% | 0.1962 | ✗ | 0.83 |
| 2026-08-10 | oos | 0.01093 | 0.01068 | -2.28% | 0.01648 | +50.78% | 0.4253 | ✗ | 0.96 |
| 2026-08-09 | oos | 0.009845 | 0.009585 | -2.64% | 0.00971 | -1.37% | 0.0510 | ✗ | 1.21 |
| 2026-08-08 | oos | 0.010245 | 0.009978 | -2.61% | 0.01037 | +1.22% | 0.0741 | ✗ | 1.20 |
| 2026-08-07 | oos | 0.010525 | 0.010223 | -2.87% | 0.009505 | -9.69% | 0.0367 | ✓ | 1.20 |
| 2026-08-06 | oos | 0.01052 | 0.01026 | -2.47% | 0.00902 | -14.26% | 0.1131 | ✓ | 1.19 |
| 2026-08-05 | oos | 0.011685 | 0.011422 | -2.25% | 0.011985 | +2.57% | 0.0693 | ✗ | 1.14 |
| 2026-08-04 | oos | 0.012345 | 0.012084 | -2.12% | 0.01267 | +2.63% | 0.0568 | ✗ | 1.16 |
| 2026-08-03 | oos | 0.011605 | 0.011341 | -2.27% | 0.01093 | -5.82% | 0.0446 | ✓ | 1.10 |
| 2026-08-02 | oos | 0.0113 | 0.011026 | -2.42% | 0.009845 | -12.88% | 0.1367 | ✓ | 1.11 |
| 2026-08-01 | oos | 0.01103 | 0.010752 | -2.52% | 0.010245 | -7.12% | 0.0842 | ✓ | 1.07 |
| 2026-07-31 | oos | 0.012835 | 0.012585 | -1.95% | 0.010525 | -18.00% | 0.2123 | ✓ | 1.04 |
| 2026-07-30 | oos | 0.01223 | 0.011969 | -2.13% | 0.01052 | -13.98% | 0.1188 | ✓ | 1.45 |
| 2026-07-29 | oos | 0.012565 | 0.012317 | -1.97% | 0.011685 | -7.00% | 0.0689 | ✓ | 1.47 |
| 2026-07-28 | oos | 0.013 | 0.012763 | -1.82% | 0.012345 | -5.04% | 0.0380 | ✓ | 1.47 |
| 2026-07-27 | oos | 0.01546 | 0.015208 | -1.63% | 0.011605 | -24.94% | 0.2651 | ✓ | 1.48 |
| 2026-07-26 | oos | 0.01542 | 0.015197 | -1.45% | 0.0113 | -26.72% | 0.2467 | ✓ | 1.73 |
| 2026-07-25 | oos | 0.015505 | 0.01527 | -1.51% | 0.01103 | -28.86% | 0.2833 | ✓ | 1.74 |
| 2026-07-24 | oos | 0.01597 | 0.015727 | -1.52% | 0.012835 | -19.63% | 0.1834 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-23 | oos | 0.0161 | 0.015849 | -1.56% | 0.01223 | -24.04% | 0.2541 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-22 | oos | 0.014495 | 0.014225 | -1.86% | 0.012565 | -13.31% | 0.0904 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-21 | oos | 0.01253 | 0.01218 | -2.79% | 0.013 | +3.75% | 0.1061 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-20 | oos | 0.015555 | 0.015349 | -1.33% | 0.01546 | -0.61% | 0.0308 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-19 | oos | 0.01812 | 0.017913 | -1.14% | 0.01542 | -14.90% | 0.1600 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-18 | oos | 0.01853 | 0.018332 | -1.07% | 0.015505 | -16.32% | 0.1597 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-17 | oos | 0.01878 | 0.018576 | -1.09% | 0.01597 | -14.96% | 0.1541 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-16 | oos | 0.020335 | 0.020107 | -1.12% | 0.0161 | -20.83% | 0.2421 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-15 | oos | 0.022055 | 0.021796 | -1.18% | 0.014495 | -34.28% | 0.4289 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-14 | oos | 0.02333 | 0.022987 | -1.47% | 0.01253 | -46.29% | 0.6301 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-13 | oos | 0.01811 | 0.017836 | -1.52% | 0.015555 | -14.11% | 0.1831 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-12 | oos | 0.016905 | 0.016682 | -1.32% | 0.01812 | +7.19% | 0.0680 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-11 | oos | 0.01807 | 0.017859 | -1.17% | 0.01853 | +2.55% | 0.0210 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-10 | oos | 0.020035 | 0.019837 | -0.99% | 0.01878 | -6.26% | 0.0511 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-09 | oos | 0.02064 | 0.020417 | -1.08% | 0.020335 | -1.48% | 0.0134 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-08 | oos | 0.02032 | 0.020089 | -1.14% | 0.022055 | +8.54% | 0.0543 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-07 | oos | 0.02279 | 0.02254 | -1.10% | 0.02333 | +2.37% | 0.0085 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-06 | oos | 0.020825 | 0.020626 | -0.96% | 0.01811 | -13.04% | 0.1026 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-05 | oos | 0.02308 | 0.022833 | -1.07% | 0.016905 | -26.75% | 0.3030 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-04 | oos | 0.02652 | 0.026145 | -1.41% | 0.01807 | -31.86% | 0.3802 | ✓ | 1.00 |