NOCK
Nockchain · Base · gru_s0
- token id
- #744
- symbol
- NOCK
- variant
- –
- chain
- Base
- address
- 0x9b5e262cf9bb04869ab40b19af91d2dc85761722
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-06-25
- predictions
- 330
Track record at +1d
assessed
109
of 110 predictions shown
direction hit
56.0%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.0965
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0069
actual -0.0059
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.021 | 0.020688 | -1.49% | – | pending | – | – | 1.58 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.02115 | 0.020817 | -1.57% | 0.021 | -0.71% | 0.0131 | ✓ | 1.51 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.01957 | 0.019383 | -0.95% | 0.02115 | +8.07% | 0.0679 | ✗ | 1.45 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.018735 | 0.018593 | -0.76% | 0.01957 | +4.46% | 0.0540 | ✗ | 1.34 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.01787 | 0.0178 | -0.39% | 0.018735 | +4.84% | 0.0412 | ✗ | 1.31 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.01995 | 0.019752 | -0.99% | 0.01787 | -10.43% | 0.0982 | ✓ | 1.30 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.01899 | 0.018935 | -0.29% | 0.01995 | +5.06% | 0.0622 | ✗ | 1.30 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.02035 | 0.020274 | -0.38% | 0.01899 | -6.68% | 0.0744 | ✓ | 1.31 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.02241 | 0.022261 | -0.67% | 0.02035 | -9.19% | 0.0655 | ✓ | 1.30 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.02193 | 0.02186 | -0.32% | 0.02241 | +2.19% | 0.0033 | ✗ | 1.31 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.024565 | 0.024398 | -0.68% | 0.02193 | -10.73% | 0.0722 | ✓ | 1.47 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.027275 | 0.027012 | -0.96% | 0.024565 | -9.94% | 0.1080 | ✓ | 1.42 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.02348 | 0.023415 | -0.28% | 0.027275 | +16.16% | 0.1463 | ✗ | 1.42 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.020085 | 0.020185 | +0.50% | 0.02348 | +16.90% | 0.1366 | ✓ | 1.41 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.023665 | 0.023638 | -0.11% | 0.020085 | -15.13% | 0.1377 | ✓ | 1.31 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.024845 | 0.024712 | -0.53% | 0.023665 | -4.75% | 0.0084 | ✓ | 1.30 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.025125 | 0.024938 | -0.74% | 0.024845 | -1.11% | 0.0004 | ✓ | 1.35 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.01995 | 0.019986 | +0.18% | 0.025125 | +25.94% | 0.2411 | ✓ | 1.39 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.01937 | 0.019463 | +0.48% | 0.01995 | +2.99% | 0.0037 | ✓ | 1.38 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.01954 | 0.01962 | +0.41% | 0.01937 | -0.87% | 0.0166 | ✗ | 1.36 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.020375 | 0.020409 | +0.17% | 0.01954 | -4.10% | 0.0380 | ✗ | 1.37 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.022815 | 0.022816 | +0.00% | 0.020375 | -10.69% | 0.1348 | ✗ | 1.41 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.024225 | 0.024195 | -0.12% | 0.022815 | -5.82% | 0.0573 | ✓ | 1.47 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.022935 | 0.022931 | -0.02% | 0.024225 | +5.62% | 0.0517 | ✗ | 1.46 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.02204 | 0.021998 | -0.19% | 0.022935 | +4.06% | 0.0605 | ✗ | 1.57 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.030865 | 0.030693 | -0.56% | 0.02204 | -28.59% | 0.3320 | ✓ | 1.53 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.031395 | 0.031213 | -0.58% | 0.030865 | -1.69% | 0.0173 | ✓ | 1.57 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.03092 | 0.030773 | -0.47% | 0.031395 | +1.54% | 0.0255 | ✗ | 1.57 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.0308 | 0.030687 | -0.37% | 0.03092 | +0.39% | 0.0074 | ✗ | 1.57 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.036775 | 0.036622 | -0.42% | 0.0308 | -16.25% | 0.1417 | ✓ | 1.47 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.04147 | 0.041141 | -0.79% | 0.036775 | -11.32% | 0.1055 | ✓ | 1.45 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.038625 | 0.038407 | -0.57% | 0.04147 | +7.37% | 0.0194 | ✓ | 1.48 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.043515 | 0.043159 | -0.82% | 0.038625 | -11.24% | 0.1096 | ✓ | 1.47 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.048125 | 0.047247 | -1.82% | 0.043515 | -9.58% | 0.0888 | ✓ | 1.47 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.0388 | 0.038477 | -0.83% | 0.048125 | +24.03% | 0.1528 | ✗ | 1.23 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.03942 | 0.039005 | -1.05% | 0.0388 | -1.57% | 0.0086 | ✓ | 1.23 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.036105 | 0.035883 | -0.61% | 0.03942 | +9.18% | 0.0850 | ✗ | 1.22 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.03963 | 0.039364 | -0.67% | 0.036105 | -8.89% | 0.0474 | ✓ | 1.16 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.051235 | 0.050421 | -1.59% | 0.03963 | -22.65% | 0.2638 | ✓ | 1.30 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.050925 | 0.04903 | -3.72% | 0.051235 | +0.61% | 0.0518 | ✗ | 1.30 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.03621 | 0.035714 | -1.37% | 0.050925 | +40.64% | 0.3539 | ✗ | 1.33 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.033195 | 0.032834 | -1.09% | 0.03621 | +9.08% | 0.0864 | ✗ | 1.32 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.030795 | 0.030593 | -0.66% | 0.033195 | +7.79% | 0.1137 | ✗ | 1.42 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.038595 | 0.037812 | -2.03% | 0.030795 | -20.21% | 0.2024 | ✓ | 1.37 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.03316 | 0.032605 | -1.68% | 0.038595 | +16.39% | 0.1805 | ✗ | 1.45 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.032875 | 0.031655 | -3.71% | 0.03316 | +0.87% | 0.0695 | ✗ | 1.47 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.0209 | 0.020795 | -0.50% | 0.032875 | +57.30% | 0.4489 | ✗ | 1.44 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 0.02251 | 0.022313 | -0.88% | 0.0209 | -7.15% | 0.0682 | ✓ | 1.43 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 0.01819 | 0.018132 | -0.32% | 0.02251 | +23.75% | 0.2491 | ✗ | 1.66 |
| 2026-09-02 | oos | 0.01672 | 0.016691 | -0.17% | 0.01819 | +8.79% | 0.0048 | ✗ | 1.63 |
| 2026-09-01 | oos | 0.0209 | 0.020616 | -1.36% | 0.01672 | -20.00% | 0.2076 | ✓ | 1.59 |
| 2026-08-31 | oos | 0.016965 | 0.016916 | -0.29% | 0.0209 | +23.19% | 0.2380 | ✗ | 1.78 |
| 2026-08-30 | oos | 0.01601 | 0.015955 | -0.34% | 0.016965 | +5.97% | 0.0411 | ✗ | 1.76 |
| 2026-08-29 | oos | 0.01545 | 0.015433 | -0.11% | 0.01601 | +3.62% | 0.0498 | ✗ | 1.79 |
| 2026-08-28 | oos | 0.014115 | 0.014122 | +0.05% | 0.01545 | +9.46% | 0.0808 | ✓ | 1.79 |
| 2026-08-27 | oos | 0.016785 | 0.016762 | -0.14% | 0.014115 | -15.91% | 0.1214 | ✓ | 1.64 |
| 2026-08-26 | oos | 0.01661 | 0.016593 | -0.10% | 0.016785 | +1.05% | 0.0141 | ✓ | 1.64 |
| 2026-08-25 | oos | 0.0199 | 0.019775 | -0.63% | 0.01661 | -16.53% | 0.1849 | ✓ | 1.65 |
| 2026-08-24 | oos | 0.01984 | 0.019722 | -0.59% | 0.0199 | +0.30% | 0.0186 | ✗ | 1.66 |
| 2026-08-23 | oos | 0.02078 | 0.020581 | -0.96% | 0.01984 | -4.52% | 0.0637 | ✓ | 1.69 |
| 2026-08-22 | oos | 0.0206 | 0.02032 | -1.36% | 0.02078 | +0.87% | 0.0077 | ✓ | 1.69 |
| 2026-08-21 | oos | 0.02013 | 0.019867 | -1.31% | 0.0206 | +2.33% | 0.0649 | ✗ | 1.75 |
| 2026-08-20 | oos | 0.017805 | 0.017407 | -2.23% | 0.02013 | +13.06% | 0.0265 | ✗ | 1.69 |
| 2026-08-19 | oos | 0.01454 | 0.014413 | -0.88% | 0.017805 | +22.46% | 0.1456 | ✗ | 1.26 |
| 2026-08-18 | oos | 0.01529 | 0.014994 | -1.94% | 0.01454 | -4.91% | 0.1699 | ✓ | 2.02 |
| 2026-08-17 | oos | 0.01648 | 0.015774 | -4.28% | 0.01529 | -7.22% | 0.0376 | ✓ | 2.03 |
| 2026-08-16 | oos | 0.00971 | 0.009661 | -0.51% | 0.01648 | +69.72% | 0.5133 | ✗ | 0.81 |
| 2026-08-15 | oos | 0.01037 | 0.010309 | -0.58% | 0.00971 | -6.36% | 0.0576 | ✓ | 0.79 |
| 2026-08-14 | oos | 0.009505 | 0.009453 | -0.55% | 0.01037 | +9.10% | 0.0920 | ✗ | 0.80 |
| 2026-08-13 | oos | 0.00902 | 0.008972 | -0.54% | 0.009505 | +5.38% | 0.0639 | ✗ | 0.87 |
| 2026-08-12 | oos | 0.011985 | 0.011911 | -0.62% | 0.00902 | -24.74% | 0.2782 | ✓ | 0.84 |
| 2026-08-11 | oos | 0.01267 | 0.012553 | -0.92% | 0.011985 | -5.41% | 0.0448 | ✓ | 0.83 |
| 2026-08-10 | oos | 0.01093 | 0.010851 | -0.72% | 0.01267 | +15.92% | 0.1607 | ✗ | 0.96 |
| 2026-08-09 | oos | 0.009845 | 0.009778 | -0.68% | 0.01093 | +11.02% | 0.1289 | ✗ | 1.21 |
| 2026-08-08 | oos | 0.010245 | 0.010171 | -0.72% | 0.009845 | -3.90% | 0.0315 | ✓ | 1.20 |
| 2026-08-07 | oos | 0.010525 | 0.010411 | -1.09% | 0.010245 | -2.66% | 0.0163 | ✓ | 1.20 |
| 2026-08-06 | oos | 0.01052 | 0.010449 | -0.68% | 0.010525 | +0.05% | 0.0042 | ✓ | 1.19 |
| 2026-08-05 | oos | 0.011685 | 0.0116 | -0.73% | 0.01052 | -9.97% | 0.0918 | ✓ | 1.14 |
| 2026-08-04 | oos | 0.012345 | 0.012259 | -0.69% | 0.011685 | -5.35% | 0.0580 | ✓ | 1.16 |
| 2026-08-03 | oos | 0.011605 | 0.011527 | -0.67% | 0.012345 | +6.38% | 0.0585 | ✗ | 1.10 |
| 2026-08-02 | oos | 0.0113 | 0.011228 | -0.64% | 0.011605 | +2.70% | 0.0336 | ✗ | 1.11 |
| 2026-08-01 | oos | 0.01103 | 0.010966 | -0.58% | 0.0113 | +2.45% | 0.0176 | ✗ | 1.07 |
| 2026-07-31 | oos | 0.012835 | 0.012768 | -0.52% | 0.01103 | -14.06% | 0.1453 | ✓ | 1.04 |
| 2026-07-30 | oos | 0.01223 | 0.012169 | -0.50% | 0.012835 | +4.95% | 0.0964 | ✗ | 1.45 |
| 2026-07-29 | oos | 0.012565 | 0.012505 | -0.48% | 0.01223 | -2.67% | 0.0411 | ✓ | 1.47 |
| 2026-07-28 | oos | 0.013 | 0.012944 | -0.43% | 0.012565 | -3.35% | 0.0308 | ✓ | 1.47 |
| 2026-07-27 | oos | 0.01546 | 0.015375 | -0.55% | 0.013 | -15.91% | 0.1713 | ✓ | 1.48 |
| 2026-07-26 | oos | 0.01542 | 0.015354 | -0.43% | 0.01546 | +0.26% | 0.0511 | ✗ | 1.73 |
| 2026-07-25 | oos | 0.015505 | 0.015438 | -0.43% | 0.01542 | -0.55% | 0.0293 | ✓ | 1.74 |
| 2026-07-24 | oos | 0.01597 | 0.015895 | -0.47% | 0.015505 | -2.91% | 0.0282 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-23 | oos | 0.0161 | 0.016001 | -0.61% | 0.01597 | -0.81% | 0.0130 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-22 | oos | 0.014495 | 0.014385 | -0.76% | 0.0161 | +11.07% | 0.1284 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-21 | oos | 0.01253 | 0.01246 | -0.56% | 0.014495 | +15.68% | 0.1578 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-20 | oos | 0.015555 | 0.01551 | -0.29% | 0.01253 | -19.45% | 0.2331 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-19 | oos | 0.01812 | 0.018065 | -0.30% | 0.015555 | -14.16% | 0.1578 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-18 | oos | 0.01853 | 0.018478 | -0.28% | 0.01812 | -2.21% | 0.0178 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-17 | oos | 0.01878 | 0.018727 | -0.28% | 0.01853 | -1.33% | 0.0246 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-16 | oos | 0.020335 | 0.020268 | -0.33% | 0.01878 | -7.65% | 0.0782 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-15 | oos | 0.022055 | 0.021957 | -0.44% | 0.020335 | -7.80% | 0.0620 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-14 | oos | 0.02333 | 0.023165 | -0.71% | 0.022055 | -5.47% | 0.0449 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-13 | oos | 0.01811 | 0.018015 | -0.52% | 0.02333 | +28.82% | 0.2157 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-12 | oos | 0.016905 | 0.016854 | -0.30% | 0.01811 | +7.13% | 0.0953 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-11 | oos | 0.01807 | 0.018021 | -0.27% | 0.016905 | -6.45% | 0.0634 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-10 | oos | 0.020035 | 0.019983 | -0.26% | 0.01807 | -9.81% | 0.0951 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-09 | oos | 0.02064 | 0.02058 | -0.29% | 0.020035 | -2.93% | 0.0418 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-08 | oos | 0.02032 | 0.020264 | -0.28% | 0.02064 | +1.57% | 0.0035 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-07 | oos | 0.02279 | 0.02271 | -0.35% | 0.02032 | -10.84% | 0.0939 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-06 | oos | 0.020825 | 0.020768 | -0.27% | 0.02279 | +9.44% | 0.1036 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-05 | oos | 0.02308 | 0.023007 | -0.32% | 0.020825 | -9.77% | 0.1062 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-04 | oos | 0.02652 | 0.026371 | -0.56% | 0.02308 | -12.97% | 0.1412 | ✓ | 1.00 |