MOE

MOE · Mantle · gru_s0

token id: #827
symbol: MOE
variant: –
chain: Mantle
address: 0x4515a45337f461a11ff0fe8abf3c606ae5dc00c9
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2024-11-29
predictions: 402

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +7d

assessed

120

of 134 predictions shown

direction hit

65.8%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.3098

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0695

actual -0.1811

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.000324	0.00027507	-15.10%	–	pending	–	–	1.00
2026-10-21	oos	0.0003162	0.000265634	-15.99%	–	pending	–	–	1.00
2026-10-20	oos	0.0003632	0.00030993	-14.67%	–	pending	–	–	1.00
2026-10-19	oos	0.00035745	0.000299376	-16.25%	–	pending	–	–	1.00
2026-10-18	oos	0.0004181	0.000353832	-15.37%	–	pending	–	–	1.00
2026-10-17	oos	0.00043585	0.000363051	-16.70%	–	pending	–	–	1.00
2026-10-16	oos	0.0004583	0.000374531	-18.28%	–	pending	–	–	1.00
2026-10-15	oos	0.0004529	0.000360599	-20.38%	0.000324	-28.46%	0.1322	✓	1.00
2026-10-14	oos	0.0004537	0.000355515	-21.64%	0.0003162	-30.31%	0.1469	✓	1.00
2026-10-13	oos	0.00055985	0.000444645	-20.58%	0.0003632	-35.13%	0.2004	✓	1.00
2026-10-12	oos	0.0006665	0.000529845	-20.50%	0.00035745	-46.37%	0.3948	✓	1.00
2026-10-11	oos	0.000703	0.000561506	-20.13%	0.0004181	-40.53%	0.2747	✓	1.00
2025-04-08	in	0.00031	0.000308391	-0.52%	–	pending	–	–	2.03
2025-04-07	in	0.000317	0.000315019	-0.63%	–	pending	–	–	2.12
2025-04-06	in	0.0003192	0.000316974	-0.70%	–	pending	–	–	2.11
2025-04-05	in	0.0003977	0.000393298	-1.11%	–	pending	–	–	2.13
2025-04-04	in	0.0004024	0.000398176	-1.05%	–	pending	–	–	2.14
2025-04-03	in	0.0003984	0.000393548	-1.22%	–	pending	–	–	2.14
2025-04-02	in	0.000448	0.000442074	-1.32%	–	pending	–	–	2.20
2025-04-01	in	0.0004932	0.00048541	-1.58%	0.00031	-37.15%	0.1936	✓	2.30
2025-03-31	in	0.0004862	0.000478436	-1.60%	0.000317	-34.80%	0.3143	✓	2.32
2025-03-30	in	0.0004699	0.000462774	-1.52%	0.0003192	-32.07%	0.2561	✓	2.31
2025-03-29	in	0.0004657	0.000458509	-1.54%	0.0003977	-14.60%	0.1665	✓	2.28
2025-03-28	in	0.0005013	0.00049199	-1.86%	0.0004024	-19.73%	0.1865	✓	2.34
2025-03-27	in	0.0005423	0.000530048	-2.26%	0.0003984	-26.54%	0.1714	✓	2.40
2025-03-26	in	0.0005207	0.000506741	-2.68%	0.000448	-13.96%	0.0035	✓	2.28
2025-03-25	in	0.0005439	0.000531812	-2.22%	0.0004932	-9.32%	0.0153	✓	2.30
2025-03-24	in	0.0005511	0.000538655	-2.26%	0.0004862	-11.78%	0.0317	✗	2.29
2025-03-23	in	0.0005092	0.000497702	-2.26%	0.0004699	-7.72%	0.0408	✗	2.23
2025-03-22	in	0.0005002	0.000486872	-2.66%	0.0004657	-6.90%	0.0114	✓	2.23
2025-03-21	in	0.0004994	0.000484397	-3.00%	0.0005013	+0.38%	0.0261	✓	2.17
2025-03-20	in	0.00055	0.000529277	-3.77%	0.0005423	-1.40%	0.0522	✓	2.16
2025-03-19	in	0.000542	0.000521278	-3.82%	0.0005207	-3.93%	0.0023	✓	2.20
2025-03-18	in	0.0004988	0.000482346	-3.30%	0.0005439	+9.04%	0.0088	✓	2.32
2025-03-17	in	0.00051	0.000491054	-3.71%	0.0005511	+8.06%	0.0187	✓	2.36
2025-03-16	in	0.0005015	0.000483073	-3.67%	0.0005092	+1.54%	0.0458	✓	2.35
2025-03-15	in	0.0005216	0.00049828	-4.47%	0.0005002	-4.10%	0.0183	✓	2.43
2025-03-14	in	0.0005378	0.000510661	-5.05%	0.0004994	-7.14%	0.0247	✓	2.48
2025-03-13	in	0.0004904	0.000476933	-2.75%	0.00055	+12.15%	0.0497	✗	2.47
2025-03-12	in	0.0005142	0.000497131	-3.32%	0.000542	+5.41%	0.0066	✓	2.46
2025-03-11	in	0.0005339	0.000517081	-3.15%	0.0004988	-6.57%	0.0296	✓	2.47
2025-03-10	in	0.0004858	0.00048001	-1.19%	0.00051	+4.98%	0.1138	✓	2.59
2025-03-09	in	0.00057	0.000555358	-2.57%	0.0005015	-12.02%	0.1605	✓	2.56
2025-03-08	in	0.0005902	0.000567772	-3.80%	0.0005216	-11.62%	0.0243	✓	2.78
2025-03-07	in	0.0006199	0.000596071	-3.84%	0.0005378	-13.24%	0.0106	✓	2.84
2025-03-06	in	0.0006305	0.000602978	-4.37%	0.0004904	-22.22%	0.0932	✗	2.89
2025-03-05	in	0.0006211	0.000594745	-4.24%	0.0005142	-17.21%	0.0822	✗	2.86
2025-03-04	in	0.0006649	0.000642995	-3.29%	0.0005339	-19.70%	0.0371	✓	2.92
2025-03-03	in	0.0006283	0.000614264	-2.23%	0.0004858	-22.68%	0.0140	✓	2.69
2025-03-02	in	0.0008278	0.000775326	-6.34%	0.00057	-31.14%	0.1095	✗	2.68
2025-03-01	in	0.00068	0.000667169	-1.89%	0.0005902	-13.21%	0.1284	✓	2.66
2025-02-28	in	0.00071	0.00070099	-1.27%	0.0006199	-12.69%	0.2036	✓	2.81
2025-02-27	in	0.0005911	0.000592874	+0.30%	0.0006305	+6.67%	0.1110	✗	2.84
2025-02-26	in	0.000648	0.000647948	-0.01%	0.0006211	-4.15%	0.2547	✓	2.86
2025-02-25	in	0.0005906	0.000590293	-0.05%	0.0006649	+12.58%	0.1673	✗	3.18
2025-02-24	in	0.0006898	0.000683009	-0.98%	0.0006283	-8.92%	0.1072	✗	3.17
2025-02-23	in	0.0007556	0.000736274	-2.56%	0.0008278	+9.56%	0.1864	✗	3.30
2025-02-22	in	0.00079	0.000770487	-2.47%	0.00068	-13.92%	0.2571	✗	3.30
2025-02-21	in	0.000801	0.000784528	-2.06%	0.00071	-11.36%	0.3343	✗	3.30
2025-02-20	in	0.00082	0.000798239	-2.65%	0.0005911	-27.91%	0.2026	✗	3.35
2025-02-19	in	0.00068	0.000669659	-1.52%	0.000648	-4.71%	0.4211	✗	3.27
2025-02-18	in	0.0006437	0.000639653	-0.63%	0.0005906	-8.25%	0.1686	✗	3.26
2025-02-17	in	0.00069	0.000684578	-0.79%	0.0006898	-0.03%	0.1560	✗	3.25
2025-02-16	in	0.00074	0.000732281	-1.04%	0.0007556	+2.11%	0.0264	✗	3.25
2025-02-15	in	0.00071	0.000691245	-2.64%	0.00079	+11.27%	0.1681	✗	3.30
2025-02-14	in	0.00081	0.000802265	-0.95%	0.000801	-1.11%	0.0446	✗	3.31
2025-02-13	in	0.00089	0.000886802	-0.36%	0.00082	-7.87%	0.1371	✓	3.33
2025-02-12	in	0.00109	0.00108	-0.94%	0.00068	-37.61%	0.4209	✓	3.28
2025-02-11	in	0.00141	0.001391	-1.32%	0.0006437	-54.35%	0.7648	✓	3.46
2025-02-10	in	0.00137	0.001338	-2.36%	0.00069	-49.64%	0.6014	✓	3.52
2025-02-09	in	0.00155	0.001513	-2.38%	0.00074	-52.26%	0.7021	✓	3.55
2025-02-08	in	0.00157	0.001528	-2.67%	0.00071	-54.78%	0.8075	✓	3.55
2025-02-07	in	0.00147	0.001426	-2.99%	0.00081	-44.90%	0.6013	✓	3.56
2025-02-06	in	0.0016	0.001542	-3.61%	0.00089	-44.38%	0.5520	✓	3.56
2025-02-05	in	0.00144	0.001363	-5.34%	0.00109	-24.31%	0.2684	✓	3.56
2025-02-04	in	0.00134	0.001228	-8.35%	0.00141	+5.22%	0.2134	✗	3.61
2025-02-03	in	0.00176	0.001577	-10.40%	0.00137	-22.16%	0.0002	✓	3.49
2025-02-02	in	0.00141	0.001214	-13.88%	0.00155	+9.93%	0.2855	✗	3.35
2025-02-01	in	0.00172	0.001474	-14.30%	0.00157	-8.72%	0.2016	✗	3.29
2025-01-31	in	0.00205	0.00175	-14.64%	0.00147	-28.29%	0.0172	✓	3.24
2025-01-30	in	0.0024	0.002036	-15.18%	0.0016	-33.33%	0.0193	✓	3.20
2025-01-29	in	0.0025	0.002087	-16.54%	0.00144	-42.40%	0.1429	✓	3.21
2025-01-28	in	0.00234	0.001896	-19.00%	0.00134	-42.74%	0.2345	✓	3.20
2025-01-27	in	0.00272	0.002221	-18.36%	0.00176	-35.29%	0.2137	✓	3.17
2025-01-26	in	0.0031	0.002552	-17.69%	0.00141	-54.52%	0.4391	✓	3.15
2025-01-25	in	0.00411	0.003501	-14.81%	0.00172	-58.15%	0.5901	✓	3.02
2025-01-24	in	0.00459	0.003891	-15.24%	0.00205	-55.34%	0.5699	✓	3.01
2025-01-23	in	0.00502	0.004242	-15.49%	0.0024	-52.19%	0.5934	✓	3.03
2025-01-22	in	0.00639	0.005513	-13.72%	0.0025	-60.88%	0.7932	✓	3.04
2025-01-21	in	0.00663	0.005681	-14.31%	0.00234	-64.71%	0.7421	✓	3.09
2025-01-20	in	0.00488	0.003831	-21.50%	0.00272	-44.26%	0.3401	✓	2.81
2025-01-19	in	0.00512	0.003999	-21.90%	0.0031	-39.45%	0.2921	✓	2.83
2025-01-18	in	0.0073	0.006213	-14.89%	0.00411	-43.70%	0.4205	✓	2.53
2025-01-17	in	0.00945	0.008496	-10.09%	0.00459	-51.43%	0.6338	✓	2.55
2025-01-16	in	0.01091	0.009838	-9.82%	0.00502	-53.99%	0.7858	✓	2.92
2025-01-15	in	0.01372	0.012543	-8.58%	0.00639	-53.43%	0.7632	✓	2.87
2025-01-14	in	0.01037	0.009089	-12.35%	0.00663	-36.07%	0.5616	✓	2.59
2025-01-13	in	0.01316	0.01197	-9.04%	0.00488	-62.92%	1.1199	✓	2.86
2025-01-12	in	0.01678	0.015517	-7.53%	0.00512	-69.49%	1.3055	✓	2.87
2025-01-11	in	0.01601	0.014825	-7.40%	0.0073	-54.40%	0.9934	✓	2.87
2025-01-10	in	0.01991	0.018485	-7.15%	0.00945	-52.54%	0.9421	✓	2.86
2025-01-09	in	0.02065	0.019065	-7.68%	0.01091	-47.17%	0.7890	✓	2.99
2025-01-08	in	0.01796	0.016706	-6.98%	0.01372	-23.61%	0.3776	✓	3.23
2025-01-07	in	0.02282	0.021172	-7.22%	0.01037	-54.56%	0.7009	✓	3.06
2025-01-06	in	0.02644	0.024322	-8.01%	0.01316	-50.23%	0.3725	✓	3.06
2025-01-05	in	0.02288	0.02097	-8.35%	0.01678	-26.66%	0.1020	✓	3.04
2025-01-04	in	0.02024	0.018619	-8.01%	0.01601	-20.90%	0.0363	✓	3.03
2025-01-03	in	0.02086	0.018835	-9.71%	0.01991	-4.55%	0.1636	✗	3.03
2025-01-02	in	0.0165	0.014968	-9.28%	0.02065	+25.15%	0.4549	✗	2.90
2025-01-01	in	0.01285	0.011898	-7.41%	0.01796	+39.77%	0.3938	✗	2.62
2024-12-31	in	0.01281	0.011811	-7.80%	0.02282	+78.14%	0.5590	✗	2.64
2024-12-30	in	0.01329	0.012178	-8.37%	0.02644	+98.95%	0.5096	✗	2.68
2024-12-29	in	0.0112	0.010388	-7.25%	0.02288	+104.29%	0.6509	✗	2.78
2024-12-28	in	0.01553	0.013992	-9.91%	0.02024	+30.33%	0.3373	✗	1.00
2024-12-27	in	0.01222	0.011064	-9.46%	0.02086	+70.70%	0.5929	✗	1.00
2024-12-26	in	0.0079	0.007537	-4.59%	0.0165	+108.86%	0.7707	✗	1.00
2024-12-25	in	0.00906	0.008577	-5.33%	0.01285	+41.83%	0.4555	✗	1.00
2024-12-24	in	0.00997	0.0094	-5.71%	0.01281	+28.49%	0.3641	✗	1.00
2024-12-23	in	0.01	0.009392	-6.08%	0.01329	+32.90%	0.3700	✗	1.00
2024-12-22	in	0.0084	0.007968	-5.15%	0.0112	+33.33%	0.3567	✗	1.00
2024-12-21	in	0.00752	0.007085	-5.79%	0.01553	+106.52%	0.8067	✗	1.00
2024-12-20	in	0.00682	0.00632	-7.34%	0.01222	+79.18%	0.6969	✗	1.00
2024-12-19	in	0.00766	0.007227	-5.65%	0.0079	+3.13%	0.1067	✗	1.00
2024-12-18	in	0.01118	0.010781	-3.57%	0.00906	-18.96%	0.1659	✓	1.00
2024-12-17	in	0.01372	0.013338	-2.78%	0.00997	-27.33%	0.2174	✓	1.00
2024-12-16	in	0.01609	0.0154	-4.29%	0.01	-37.85%	0.3188	✓	1.00
2024-12-15	in	0.01238	0.012048	-2.68%	0.0084	-32.15%	0.2668	✓	1.00
2024-12-14	in	0.01074	0.010454	-2.67%	0.00752	-29.98%	0.2874	✓	1.00
2024-12-13	in	0.00983	0.009605	-2.29%	0.00682	-30.62%	0.3057	✓	1.00
2024-12-12	in	0.01099	0.010726	-2.41%	0.00766	-30.30%	0.3097	✓	1.00
2024-12-11	in	0.01188	0.011587	-2.47%	0.01118	-5.89%	0.0253	✓	1.00
2024-12-10	in	0.00939	0.009157	-2.48%	0.01372	+46.11%	0.3108	✗	1.00
2024-12-09	in	0.00936	0.009161	-2.13%	0.01609	+71.90%	0.4769	✗	1.00
2024-12-08	in	0.01153	0.011361	-1.47%	0.01238	+7.37%	0.0541	✗	1.00