MOE

MOE · Mantle · gru_s0

token id: #827
symbol: MOE
variant: –
chain: Mantle
address: 0x4515a45337f461a11ff0fe8abf3c606ae5dc00c9
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2024-11-29
predictions: 402

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +1d

assessed

132

of 134 predictions shown

direction hit

62.9%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1024

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0193

actual -0.0278

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.000324	0.00031438	-2.97%	–	pending	–	–	1.00
2026-10-21	oos	0.0003162	0.00030624	-3.15%	0.000324	+2.47%	0.0541	✗	1.00
2026-10-20	oos	0.0003632	0.000353556	-2.66%	0.0003162	-12.94%	0.1247	✓	1.00
2026-10-19	oos	0.00035745	0.000347078	-2.90%	0.0003632	+1.61%	0.0320	✗	1.00
2026-10-18	oos	0.0004181	0.000406124	-2.86%	0.00035745	-14.51%	0.1256	✓	1.00
2026-10-17	oos	0.00043585	0.00042121	-3.36%	0.0004181	-4.07%	0.0151	✓	1.00
2026-10-16	oos	0.0004583	0.000438169	-4.39%	0.00043585	-4.90%	0.0039	✓	1.00
2026-10-15	oos	0.0004529	0.000423534	-6.48%	0.0004583	+1.19%	0.0865	✗	1.00
2026-10-14	oos	0.0004537	0.000416304	-8.24%	0.0004529	-0.18%	0.0774	✓	1.00
2026-10-13	oos	0.00055985	0.000515103	-7.99%	0.0004537	-18.96%	0.1083	✓	1.00
2026-10-12	oos	0.0006665	0.000613177	-8.00%	0.00055985	-16.00%	0.1075	✓	1.00
2026-10-11	oos	0.000703	0.000638654	-9.15%	0.0006665	-5.19%	0.0661	✓	1.00
2025-04-08	in	0.00031	0.000310407	+0.13%	–	pending	–	–	2.03
2025-04-07	in	0.000317	0.000317022	+0.01%	0.00031	-2.21%	0.0563	✓	2.12
2025-04-06	in	0.0003192	0.000319198	-0.00%	0.000317	-0.69%	0.0275	✓	2.11
2025-04-05	in	0.0003977	0.000396656	-0.26%	0.0003192	-19.74%	0.0822	✓	2.13
2025-04-04	in	0.0004024	0.000401502	-0.22%	0.0003977	-1.17%	0.0003	✓	2.14
2025-04-03	in	0.0003984	0.000396513	-0.47%	0.0004024	+1.00%	0.0028	✓	2.14
2025-04-02	in	0.000448	0.000447121	-0.20%	0.0003984	-11.07%	0.1336	✓	2.20
2025-04-01	in	0.0004932	0.000491839	-0.28%	0.000448	-9.16%	0.0197	✓	2.30
2025-03-31	in	0.0004862	0.000484881	-0.27%	0.0004932	+1.44%	0.0559	✓	2.32
2025-03-30	in	0.0004699	0.000468728	-0.25%	0.0004862	+3.47%	0.0323	✗	2.31
2025-03-29	in	0.0004657	0.000464559	-0.25%	0.0004699	+0.90%	0.0180	✗	2.28
2025-03-28	in	0.0005013	0.000499486	-0.36%	0.0004657	-7.10%	0.0205	✓	2.34
2025-03-27	in	0.0005423	0.000538978	-0.61%	0.0005013	-7.56%	0.0070	✗	2.40
2025-03-26	in	0.0005207	0.000512641	-1.55%	0.0005423	+4.15%	0.0486	✗	2.28
2025-03-25	in	0.0005439	0.000541107	-0.51%	0.0005207	-4.27%	0.0252	✓	2.30
2025-03-24	in	0.0005511	0.000548311	-0.51%	0.0005439	-1.31%	0.0056	✓	2.29
2025-03-23	in	0.0005092	0.000506596	-0.51%	0.0005511	+8.23%	0.0475	✗	2.23
2025-03-22	in	0.0005002	0.000496842	-0.67%	0.0005092	+1.80%	0.0341	✓	2.23
2025-03-21	in	0.0004994	0.000495614	-0.76%	0.0005002	+0.16%	0.0146	✗	2.17
2025-03-20	in	0.00055	0.000544181	-1.06%	0.0004994	-9.20%	0.0828	✓	2.16
2025-03-19	in	0.000542	0.000537045	-0.91%	0.00055	+1.48%	0.0932	✗	2.20
2025-03-18	in	0.0004988	0.000495262	-0.71%	0.000542	+8.66%	0.0241	✓	2.32
2025-03-17	in	0.00051	0.00050583	-0.82%	0.0004988	-2.20%	0.0232	✗	2.36
2025-03-16	in	0.0005015	0.000497203	-0.86%	0.00051	+1.69%	0.0155	✓	2.35
2025-03-15	in	0.0005216	0.000515158	-1.23%	0.0005015	-3.85%	0.0253	✗	2.43
2025-03-14	in	0.0005378	0.000526884	-2.03%	0.0005216	-3.01%	0.0210	✓	2.48
2025-03-13	in	0.0004904	0.000487741	-0.54%	0.0005378	+9.67%	0.0108	✗	2.47
2025-03-12	in	0.0005142	0.00051011	-0.80%	0.0004904	-4.63%	0.0379	✗	2.46
2025-03-11	in	0.0005339	0.000529616	-0.80%	0.0005142	-3.69%	0.0516	✓	2.47
2025-03-10	in	0.0004858	0.000484798	-0.21%	0.0005339	+9.90%	0.0439	✓	2.59
2025-03-09	in	0.00057	0.000565456	-0.80%	0.0004858	-14.77%	0.0824	✓	2.56
2025-03-08	in	0.0005902	0.000582311	-1.34%	0.00057	-3.42%	0.1622	✗	2.78
2025-03-07	in	0.0006199	0.000610899	-1.45%	0.0005902	-4.79%	0.0164	✓	2.84
2025-03-06	in	0.0006305	0.000619745	-1.71%	0.0006199	-1.68%	0.1040	✗	2.89
2025-03-05	in	0.0006211	0.00060957	-1.86%	0.0006305	+1.51%	0.0553	✗	2.86
2025-03-04	in	0.0006649	0.000655742	-1.38%	0.0006211	-6.59%	0.1644	✓	2.92
2025-03-03	in	0.0006283	0.000623325	-0.79%	0.0006649	+5.83%	0.0308	✗	2.69
2025-03-02	in	0.0008278	0.000798174	-3.58%	0.0006283	-24.10%	0.0021	✓	2.68
2025-03-01	in	0.00068	0.000675952	-0.60%	0.0008278	+21.74%	0.0411	✓	2.66
2025-02-28	in	0.00071	0.000707804	-0.31%	0.00068	-4.23%	0.0968	✓	2.81
2025-02-27	in	0.0005911	0.000593292	+0.37%	0.00071	+20.12%	0.1906	✓	2.84
2025-02-26	in	0.000648	0.00064997	+0.30%	0.0005911	-8.78%	0.1123	✗	2.86
2025-02-25	in	0.0005906	0.000591958	+0.23%	0.000648	+9.72%	0.2553	✓	3.18
2025-02-24	in	0.0006898	0.000688602	-0.17%	0.0005906	-14.38%	0.0506	✓	3.17
2025-02-23	in	0.0007556	0.000748665	-0.92%	0.0006898	-8.71%	0.0852	✗	3.30
2025-02-22	in	0.00079	0.000782577	-0.94%	0.0007556	-4.35%	0.0243	✓	3.30
2025-02-21	in	0.000801	0.000794808	-0.77%	0.00079	-1.37%	0.0206	✓	3.30
2025-02-20	in	0.00082	0.000810507	-1.16%	0.000801	-2.32%	0.0636	✗	3.35
2025-02-19	in	0.00068	0.000677745	-0.33%	0.00082	+20.59%	0.1330	✗	3.27
2025-02-18	in	0.0006437	0.000644069	+0.06%	0.00068	+5.64%	0.0196	✓	3.26
2025-02-17	in	0.00069	0.000689819	-0.03%	0.0006437	-6.71%	0.0633	✓	3.25
2025-02-16	in	0.00074	0.000738919	-0.15%	0.00069	-6.76%	0.0570	✓	3.25
2025-02-15	in	0.00071	0.000702745	-1.02%	0.00074	+4.23%	0.1020	✗	3.30
2025-02-14	in	0.00081	0.00080718	-0.35%	0.00071	-12.35%	0.1313	✓	3.31
2025-02-13	in	0.00089	0.000889101	-0.10%	0.00081	-8.99%	0.1235	✓	3.33
2025-02-12	in	0.00109	0.001086	-0.37%	0.00089	-18.35%	0.1572	✓	3.28
2025-02-11	in	0.00141	0.001406	-0.26%	0.00109	-22.70%	0.3295	✓	3.46
2025-02-10	in	0.00137	0.001361	-0.68%	0.00141	+2.92%	0.0964	✗	3.52
2025-02-09	in	0.00155	0.001541	-0.55%	0.00137	-11.61%	0.1534	✓	3.55
2025-02-08	in	0.00157	0.00156	-0.61%	0.00155	-1.27%	0.0067	✓	3.55
2025-02-07	in	0.00147	0.00146	-0.68%	0.00157	+6.80%	0.0749	✗	3.56
2025-02-06	in	0.0016	0.001588	-0.78%	0.00147	-8.13%	0.0759	✓	3.56
2025-02-05	in	0.00144	0.00142	-1.39%	0.0016	+11.11%	0.1221	✗	3.56
2025-02-04	in	0.00134	0.001297	-3.23%	0.00144	+7.46%	0.1477	✗	3.61
2025-02-03	in	0.00176	0.001696	-3.62%	0.00134	-23.86%	0.1074	✓	3.49
2025-02-02	in	0.00141	0.00133	-5.68%	0.00176	+24.82%	0.1528	✗	3.35
2025-02-01	in	0.00172	0.001641	-4.62%	0.00141	-18.02%	0.0536	✓	3.29
2025-01-31	in	0.00205	0.001972	-3.81%	0.00172	-16.10%	0.0796	✓	3.24
2025-01-30	in	0.0024	0.002313	-3.63%	0.00205	-14.58%	0.0487	✓	3.20
2025-01-29	in	0.0025	0.002412	-3.51%	0.0024	-4.00%	0.0357	✓	3.21
2025-01-28	in	0.00234	0.002245	-4.07%	0.0025	+6.84%	0.0310	✓	3.20
2025-01-27	in	0.00272	0.00263	-3.30%	0.00234	-13.97%	0.0929	✓	3.17
2025-01-26	in	0.0031	0.003007	-2.99%	0.00272	-12.26%	0.0850	✓	3.15
2025-01-25	in	0.00411	0.004001	-2.65%	0.0031	-24.57%	0.1920	✓	3.02
2025-01-24	in	0.00459	0.004439	-3.29%	0.00411	-10.46%	0.0737	✓	3.01
2025-01-23	in	0.00502	0.004831	-3.77%	0.00459	-8.57%	0.0780	✓	3.03
2025-01-22	in	0.00639	0.00614	-3.92%	0.00502	-21.44%	0.2089	✓	3.04
2025-01-21	in	0.00663	0.006287	-5.17%	0.00639	-3.62%	0.0895	✗	3.09
2025-01-20	in	0.00488	0.004493	-7.94%	0.00663	+35.86%	0.2808	✗	2.81
2025-01-19	in	0.00512	0.004668	-8.84%	0.00488	-4.69%	0.0185	✓	2.83
2025-01-18	in	0.0073	0.006932	-5.04%	0.00512	-29.86%	0.2238	✓	2.53
2025-01-17	in	0.00945	0.009166	-3.01%	0.0073	-22.75%	0.2356	✓	2.55
2025-01-16	in	0.01091	0.010628	-2.58%	0.00945	-13.38%	0.2355	✓	2.92
2025-01-15	in	0.01372	0.013371	-2.54%	0.01091	-20.48%	0.1883	✓	2.87
2025-01-14	in	0.01037	0.010029	-3.29%	0.01372	+32.30%	0.2089	✗	2.59
2025-01-13	in	0.01316	0.012912	-1.89%	0.01037	-21.20%	0.2800	✓	2.86
2025-01-12	in	0.01678	0.016497	-1.69%	0.01316	-21.57%	0.2259	✓	2.87
2025-01-11	in	0.01601	0.015774	-1.47%	0.01678	+4.81%	0.0635	✗	2.87
2025-01-10	in	0.01991	0.019571	-1.70%	0.01601	-19.59%	0.1967	✓	2.86
2025-01-09	in	0.02065	0.020208	-2.14%	0.01991	-3.58%	0.0836	✓	2.99
2025-01-08	in	0.01796	0.017704	-1.43%	0.02065	+14.98%	0.2396	✗	3.23
2025-01-07	in	0.02282	0.022439	-1.67%	0.01796	-21.30%	0.1620	✓	3.06
2025-01-06	in	0.02644	0.025734	-2.67%	0.02282	-13.69%	0.0437	✗	3.06
2025-01-05	in	0.02288	0.022306	-2.51%	0.02644	+15.56%	0.0509	✗	3.04
2025-01-04	in	0.02024	0.019798	-2.19%	0.02288	+13.04%	0.1405	✗	3.03
2025-01-03	in	0.02086	0.02011	-3.59%	0.02024	-2.97%	0.0042	✓	3.03
2025-01-02	in	0.0165	0.015918	-3.53%	0.02086	+26.42%	0.2338	✗	2.90
2025-01-01	in	0.01285	0.012621	-1.78%	0.0165	+28.40%	0.1990	✗	2.62
2024-12-31	in	0.01281	0.01257	-1.87%	0.01285	+0.31%	0.0070	✓	2.64
2024-12-30	in	0.01329	0.013017	-2.05%	0.01281	-3.61%	0.0372	✓	2.68
2024-12-29	in	0.0112	0.011022	-1.59%	0.01329	+18.66%	0.2153	✗	2.78
2024-12-28	in	0.01553	0.015069	-2.97%	0.0112	-27.88%	0.2801	✓	1.00
2024-12-27	in	0.01222	0.011771	-3.68%	0.01553	+27.09%	0.2670	✗	1.00
2024-12-26	in	0.0079	0.007857	-0.55%	0.01222	+54.68%	0.4575	✗	1.00
2024-12-25	in	0.00906	0.008961	-1.09%	0.0079	-12.80%	0.0883	✓	1.00
2024-12-24	in	0.00997	0.009839	-1.31%	0.00906	-9.13%	0.0901	✓	1.00
2024-12-23	in	0.01	0.009882	-1.18%	0.00997	-0.30%	0.0307	✓	1.00
2024-12-22	in	0.0084	0.008349	-0.61%	0.01	+19.05%	0.1839	✗	1.00
2024-12-21	in	0.00752	0.007468	-0.70%	0.0084	+11.70%	0.1399	✗	1.00
2024-12-20	in	0.00682	0.006749	-1.04%	0.00752	+10.26%	0.1136	✗	1.00
2024-12-19	in	0.00766	0.007586	-0.96%	0.00682	-10.97%	0.1105	✓	1.00
2024-12-18	in	0.01118	0.011091	-0.80%	0.00766	-31.48%	0.3420	✓	1.00
2024-12-17	in	0.01372	0.013592	-0.93%	0.01118	-18.51%	0.1373	✓	1.00
2024-12-16	in	0.01609	0.015735	-2.20%	0.01372	-14.73%	0.1374	✓	1.00
2024-12-15	in	0.01238	0.012242	-1.11%	0.01609	+29.97%	0.2576	✗	1.00
2024-12-14	in	0.01074	0.010638	-0.95%	0.01238	+15.27%	0.1220	✗	1.00
2024-12-13	in	0.00983	0.009756	-0.76%	0.01074	+9.26%	0.0964	✗	1.00
2024-12-12	in	0.01099	0.010902	-0.80%	0.00983	-10.56%	0.1174	✓	1.00
2024-12-11	in	0.01188	0.011743	-1.16%	0.01099	-7.49%	0.0546	✓	1.00
2024-12-10	in	0.00939	0.00934	-0.53%	0.01188	+26.52%	0.1946	✗	1.00
2024-12-09	in	0.00936	0.009312	-0.52%	0.00939	+0.32%	0.0152	✗	1.00
2024-12-08	in	0.01153	0.01146	-0.61%	0.00936	-18.82%	0.1636	✓	1.00