MICRODUCK

microduck · Robinhood · gru_s0

token id: #784
symbol: MICRODUCK
variant: –
chain: Robinhood
address: 0xd5f1afea47b1a9eab414d2ee740cf1d6d039e725
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-08-29
predictions: 135

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +7d

assessed

of 45 predictions shown

direction hit

76.3%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.3357

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0829

actual -0.2993

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.001936	0.001734	-10.45%	–	pending	–	–	0.82
2026-10-20	oos	0.0018	0.001605	-10.84%	–	pending	–	–	0.84
2026-10-19	oos	0.001942	0.001735	-10.68%	–	pending	–	–	0.88
2026-10-18	oos	0.001786	0.0016	-10.41%	–	pending	–	–	0.90
2026-10-17	oos	0.002094	0.001873	-10.56%	–	pending	–	–	0.95
2026-10-16	oos	0.002361	0.002099	-11.11%	–	pending	–	–	0.94
2026-10-15	oos	0.002423	0.00214	-11.67%	–	pending	–	–	0.95
2026-10-14	oos	0.002253	0.002022	-10.27%	0.001936	-14.07%	0.0558	✓	0.91
2026-10-13	oos	0.002043	0.001859	-9.01%	0.0018	-11.92%	0.0303	✓	1.10
2026-10-12	oos	0.002155	0.001974	-8.36%	0.001942	-9.86%	0.0178	✓	1.12
2026-10-11	oos	0.001829	0.001715	-6.26%	0.001786	-2.38%	0.0707	✗	1.50
2026-10-10	oos	0.001829	0.001732	-5.28%	0.002094	+14.49%	0.2170	✗	1.47
2026-10-09	oos	0.001849	0.001761	-4.74%	0.002361	+27.75%	0.3122	✗	1.47
2026-10-08	oos	0.002105	0.002003	-4.84%	0.002423	+15.11%	0.1823	✗	1.52
2026-10-07	oos	0.002412	0.002253	-6.61%	0.002253	-6.59%	0.0303	✓	1.45
2026-10-06	oos	0.00238	0.002194	-7.81%	0.002043	-14.16%	0.0234	✓	1.66
2026-10-05	oos	0.002877	0.002576	-10.47%	0.002155	-25.11%	0.1012	✓	1.62
2026-10-04	oos	0.002327	0.002139	-8.08%	0.001829	-21.36%	0.0948	✓	1.84
2026-10-03	oos	0.001718	0.001547	-9.95%	0.001829	+6.46%	0.1984	✗	1.42
2026-10-02	oos	0.001685	0.001393	-17.33%	0.001849	+9.74%	0.3163	✗	1.41
2026-10-01	oos	0.001688	0.001223	-27.55%	0.002105	+24.70%	0.5980	✗	1.45
2026-09-30	oos	0.00239	0.002297	-3.87%	0.002412	+0.92%	0.0545	✗	1.73
2026-09-29	oos	0.003095	0.003019	-2.43%	0.00238	-23.09%	0.2758	✓	1.69
2026-09-28	oos	0.003635	0.003509	-3.49%	0.002877	-20.86%	0.2442	✓	1.69
2026-09-27	oos	0.00367	0.003514	-4.25%	0.002327	-36.61%	0.4363	✓	1.00
2026-09-26	oos	0.004564	0.004259	-6.69%	0.001718	-62.36%	0.9116	✓	1.00
2026-09-25	oos	0.004941	0.004559	-7.74%	0.001685	-65.91%	1.0005	✓	1.00
2026-09-24	oos	0.004495	0.00421	-6.34%	0.001688	-62.45%	0.9194	✓	1.00
2026-09-23	oos	0.004587	0.004283	-6.62%	0.00239	-47.90%	0.5736	✓	1.00
2026-09-22	oos	0.004842	0.004461	-7.87%	0.003095	-36.09%	0.3356	✓	1.00
2026-09-21	oos	0.005348	0.004861	-9.11%	0.003635	-32.02%	0.2535	✓	1.00
2026-09-20	oos	0.004465	0.004209	-5.74%	0.00367	-17.81%	0.1768	✓	1.00
2026-09-19	oos	0.004269	0.003952	-7.42%	0.004564	+6.91%	0.1055	✗	1.00
2026-09-18	oos	0.005603	0.005294	-5.52%	0.004941	-11.81%	0.1079	✓	1.00
2026-09-17	oos	0.005509	0.005343	-3.02%	0.004495	-18.41%	0.2729	✓	1.00
2026-09-16	oos	0.004344	0.003867	-10.97%	0.004587	+5.59%	0.0680	✓	1.00
2026-09-15	oos	0.005922	0.005751	-2.89%	0.004842	-18.24%	0.3034	✓	1.00
2026-09-14	oos	0.008547	0.008238	-3.62%	0.005348	-37.43%	0.5343	✓	1.00
2026-09-13	oos	0.006287	0.005749	-8.54%	0.004465	-28.97%	0.3080	✓	1.00
2026-09-12	oos	0.008404	0.007974	-5.12%	0.004269	-49.20%	0.6749	✓	1.00
2026-09-11	oos	0.006361	0.004776	-24.93%	0.005603	-11.92%	0.1134	✓	1.00
2026-09-10	oos	0.008453	0.007288	-13.79%	0.005509	-34.83%	0.2774	✓	1.00
2026-09-09	oos	0.010485	0.00962	-8.25%	0.004344	-58.57%	0.7674	✓	1.00
2026-09-08	oos	0.017855	0.01777	-0.48%	0.005922	-66.83%	1.0616	✓	1.00
2026-09-07	oos	0.018005	0.017952	-0.29%	0.008547	-52.53%	0.7305	✓	1.00