META2

META2 · · gru_s0

token id: #464
symbol: META2
variant: –
chain
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-07-29
predictions: 228

Track record at +7d

assessed

69

of 76 predictions shown

direction hit

47.8%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.5888

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.2008

actual -0.0583

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	17.7705	17.4962	-1.54%	–	pending	–	–	1.14
2026-10-20	oos	17.747	17.4259	-1.81%	–	pending	–	–	1.15
2026-10-19	oos	17.6365	17.3	-1.91%	–	pending	–	–	1.13
2026-10-18	oos	17.677	17.3131	-2.06%	–	pending	–	–	1.14
2026-10-17	oos	17.826	17.43	-2.22%	–	pending	–	–	1.14
2026-10-16	oos	17.685	17.2347	-2.55%	–	pending	–	–	1.15
2026-10-15	oos	17.746	17.2361	-2.87%	–	pending	–	–	1.17
2026-10-14	oos	17.73	17.1402	-3.33%	17.7705	+0.23%	0.0202	✓	1.16
2026-10-13	oos	17.87	17.2452	-3.50%	17.747	-0.69%	0.0311	✓	1.21
2026-10-12	oos	17.954	17.1488	-4.48%	17.6365	-1.77%	0.0266	✓	1.19
2026-10-11	oos	18.108	17.5609	-3.02%	17.677	-2.38%	0.0320	✗	1.26
2026-10-10	oos	18.116	17.5125	-3.33%	17.826	-1.60%	0.0410	✗	1.25
2026-10-09	oos	17.887	17.2242	-3.71%	17.685	-1.13%	0.0423	✗	1.25
2026-10-08	oos	17.869	17.1516	-4.01%	17.746	-0.69%	0.0275	✓	1.24
2026-10-07	oos	18.1195	17.3493	-4.25%	17.73	-2.15%	0.0485	✗	1.29
2026-10-06	oos	18.1155	17.2638	-4.70%	17.87	-1.36%	0.0747	✗	1.39
2026-10-05	oos	18.184	17.2271	-5.26%	17.954	-1.26%	0.1086	✗	1.41
2026-10-04	oos	19.5035	18.8087	-3.56%	18.108	-7.16%	0.0089	✓	1.41
2026-10-03	oos	19.3245	18.5387	-4.07%	18.116	-6.25%	0.0072	✓	1.38
2026-10-02	oos	19.312	18.3861	-4.79%	17.887	-7.38%	0.0050	✓	1.39
2026-10-01	oos	19.4135	18.4559	-4.93%	17.869	-7.96%	0.0210	✓	1.41
2026-09-30	oos	19.34	18.2255	-5.76%	18.1195	-6.31%	0.0012	✓	1.39
2026-09-29	oos	18.7595	17.5134	-6.64%	18.1155	-3.43%	0.0022	✓	1.41
2026-09-28	oos	18.4555	16.855	-8.67%	18.184	-1.47%	0.0376	✓	1.41
2026-09-27	oos	17.0955	15.7566	-7.83%	19.5035	+14.09%	0.1773	✗	1.51
2026-09-26	oos	16.5905	15.0184	-9.48%	19.3245	+16.48%	0.2462	✗	1.52
2026-09-25	oos	16.8735	15.2249	-9.77%	19.312	+14.45%	0.2304	✗	1.52
2026-09-24	oos	17.1355	15.4056	-10.10%	19.4135	+13.29%	0.2228	✗	1.54
2026-09-23	oos	16.6685	14.7416	-11.56%	19.34	+16.03%	0.2868	✗	1.56
2026-09-22	oos	16.7035	14.6367	-12.37%	18.7595	+12.31%	0.2983	✗	1.66
2026-09-21	oos	16.2785	13.9754	-14.15%	18.4555	+13.37%	0.3410	✗	1.71
2026-09-20	oos	14.9885	12.4019	-17.26%	17.0955	+14.06%	0.2585	✗	1.57
2026-09-19	oos	13.4385	10.3488	-22.99%	16.5905	+23.45%	0.4101	✗	1.61
2026-09-18	oos	19.2555	16.9493	-11.98%	16.8735	-12.37%	0.0672	✓	1.61
2026-09-17	oos	19.2205	17.003	-11.54%	17.1355	-10.85%	0.1546	✓	1.62
2026-09-16	oos	19.2405	16.8945	-12.19%	16.6685	-13.37%	0.1803	✓	1.63
2026-09-15	oos	19.2305	16.7846	-12.72%	16.7035	-13.14%	0.2167	✓	1.61
2026-09-14	oos	19.2555	16.363	-15.02%	16.2785	-15.46%	0.1968	✓	1.87
2026-09-13	oos	19.2505	16.2778	-15.44%	14.9885	-22.14%	0.1838	✓	1.83
2026-09-12	oos	19.2555	16.0085	-16.86%	13.4385	-30.21%	0.2695	✓	1.89
2026-09-11	oos	18.5185	14.9992	-19.00%	19.2555	+3.98%	0.1612	✓	1.91
2026-09-10	oos	18.4135	14.5958	-20.73%	19.2205	+4.38%	0.2799	✗	1.89
2026-09-09	oos	18.4385	13.7994	-25.16%	19.2405	+4.35%	0.3903	✗	2.09
2026-09-08	oos	18.5135	13.9356	-24.73%	19.2305	+3.87%	0.4012	✗	2.13
2026-09-07	oos	3.5085	1.6035	-54.30%	19.2555	+448.82%	2.5251	✗	3.39
2026-09-06	oos	3.5235	1.5816	-55.11%	19.2505	+446.35%	2.6625	✗	3.63
2026-09-05	oos	18.3785	13.8102	-24.86%	19.2555	+4.77%	0.4523	✗	3.67
2026-09-04	oos	4.0185	1.8368	-54.29%	18.5185	+360.83%	2.4370	✗	4.02
2026-09-03	oos	4.016	1.7932	-55.35%	18.4135	+358.50%	2.5919	✗	4.39
2026-09-02	oos	4.023	1.7095	-57.51%	18.4385	+358.33%	2.3219	✗	4.49
2026-09-01	oos	4.02	1.6557	-58.81%	18.5135	+360.53%	2.3527	✗	4.57
2026-08-31	oos	6.1035	2.6735	-56.20%	3.5085	-42.52%	0.2426	✓	4.35
2026-08-30	oos	40.783	38.7315	-5.03%	3.5235	-91.36%	2.5652	✓	4.96
2026-08-29	oos	41.1425	38.9635	-5.30%	18.3785	-55.33%	0.8546	✓	5.10
2026-08-28	oos	41.2285	38.8299	-5.82%	4.0185	-90.25%	2.3875	✓	5.11
2026-08-27	oos	40.7005	38.5278	-5.34%	4.016	-90.13%	2.2733	✓	1.00
2026-08-26	oos	27.5005	25.6472	-6.74%	4.023	-85.37%	1.8304	✓	1.00
2026-08-25	oos	40.6705	36.9631	-9.12%	4.02	-90.12%	2.2042	✓	1.00
2026-08-24	oos	38.8775	35.9211	-7.60%	6.1035	-84.30%	1.7671	✓	1.00
2026-08-23	oos	40.5615	36.9247	-8.97%	40.783	+0.55%	0.1002	✗	1.00
2026-08-22	oos	52.426	46.0192	-12.22%	41.1425	-21.52%	0.1272	✓	1.00
2026-08-21	oos	30.6335	28.5584	-6.77%	41.2285	+34.59%	0.3734	✗	1.00
2026-08-20	oos	30.768	27.9224	-9.25%	40.7005	+32.28%	0.2820	✗	1.00
2026-08-19	oos	30.7125	27.1577	-11.57%	27.5005	-10.46%	0.1188	✓	1.00
2026-08-18	oos	30.549	26.2177	-14.18%	40.6705	+33.13%	0.2451	✗	1.00
2026-08-17	oos	30.6105	25.2572	-17.49%	38.8775	+27.01%	0.2284	✗	1.00
2026-08-16	oos	30.5515	24.9322	-18.39%	40.5615	+32.76%	0.2740	✗	1.00
2026-08-15	oos	30.5745	24.6073	-19.52%	52.426	+71.47%	0.5553	✗	1.00
2026-08-14	oos	30.638	24.1744	-21.10%	30.6335	-0.01%	0.0187	✓	1.00
2026-08-13	oos	5.164	2.4762	-52.05%	30.768	+495.82%	2.3790	✗	1.00
2026-08-12	oos	30.695	26.8315	-12.59%	30.7125	+0.06%	0.0463	✓	1.00
2026-08-11	oos	30.7365	26.2982	-14.44%	30.549	-0.61%	0.1319	✓	1.00
2026-08-10	oos	30.9075	26.2757	-14.99%	30.6105	-0.96%	0.1439	✓	1.00
2026-08-09	oos	30.797	25.7848	-16.28%	30.5515	-0.80%	0.2011	✗	1.00
2026-08-08	oos	30.87	25.2457	-18.22%	30.5745	-0.96%	0.2211	✗	1.00
2026-08-07	oos	30.896	25.6939	-16.84%	30.638	-0.84%	0.2060	✗	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.