META2

META2 · · gru_s0

token id: #464
symbol: META2
variant: –
chain
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-07-29
predictions: 228

Track record at +1d

assessed

75

of 76 predictions shown

direction hit

49.3%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.2146

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0504

actual -0.0115

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	17.7705	17.6861	-0.47%	–	pending	–	–	1.14
2026-10-20	oos	17.747	17.6492	-0.55%	17.7705	+0.13%	0.0102	✗	1.15
2026-10-19	oos	17.6365	17.5342	-0.58%	17.747	+0.63%	0.0031	✓	1.13
2026-10-18	oos	17.677	17.5662	-0.63%	17.6365	-0.23%	0.0064	✗	1.14
2026-10-17	oos	17.826	17.704	-0.68%	17.677	-0.84%	0.0102	✓	1.14
2026-10-16	oos	17.685	17.549	-0.77%	17.826	+0.80%	0.0173	✗	1.15
2026-10-15	oos	17.746	17.5872	-0.89%	17.685	-0.34%	0.0144	✗	1.17
2026-10-14	oos	17.73	17.5016	-1.29%	17.746	+0.09%	0.0060	✓	1.16
2026-10-13	oos	17.87	17.6178	-1.41%	17.73	-0.78%	0.0289	✗	1.21
2026-10-12	oos	17.954	17.5763	-2.10%	17.87	-0.47%	0.0031	✓	1.19
2026-10-11	oos	18.108	17.9579	-0.83%	17.954	-0.85%	0.0293	✗	1.26
2026-10-10	oos	18.116	17.9498	-0.92%	18.108	-0.04%	0.0028	✓	1.25
2026-10-09	oos	17.887	17.7081	-1.00%	18.116	+1.28%	0.0172	✗	1.25
2026-10-08	oos	17.869	17.679	-1.06%	17.887	+0.10%	0.0012	✓	1.24
2026-10-07	oos	18.1195	17.9115	-1.15%	17.869	-1.38%	0.0224	✗	1.29
2026-10-06	oos	18.1155	17.8459	-1.49%	18.1195	+0.02%	0.0525	✗	1.39
2026-10-05	oos	18.184	17.7985	-2.12%	18.1155	-0.38%	0.0211	✓	1.41
2026-10-04	oos	19.5035	19.3025	-1.03%	18.184	-6.77%	0.0473	✓	1.41
2026-10-03	oos	19.3245	19.1018	-1.15%	19.5035	+0.93%	0.0077	✓	1.38
2026-10-02	oos	19.312	19.0491	-1.36%	19.3245	+0.06%	0.0105	✓	1.39
2026-10-01	oos	19.4135	19.1353	-1.43%	19.312	-0.52%	0.0149	✗	1.41
2026-09-30	oos	19.34	19.0136	-1.69%	19.4135	+0.38%	0.0005	✓	1.39
2026-09-29	oos	18.7595	18.3905	-1.97%	19.34	+3.09%	0.0517	✗	1.41
2026-09-28	oos	18.4555	17.7881	-3.62%	18.7595	+1.65%	0.0501	✗	1.41
2026-09-27	oos	17.0955	16.7507	-2.02%	18.4555	+7.96%	0.1149	✗	1.51
2026-09-26	oos	16.5905	16.1956	-2.38%	17.0955	+3.04%	0.0533	✗	1.52
2026-09-25	oos	16.8735	16.4511	-2.50%	16.5905	-1.68%	0.0026	✓	1.52
2026-09-24	oos	17.1355	16.6827	-2.64%	16.8735	-1.53%	0.0167	✓	1.54
2026-09-23	oos	16.6685	16.1715	-2.98%	17.1355	+2.80%	0.0578	✗	1.56
2026-09-22	oos	16.7035	16.1615	-3.24%	16.6685	-0.21%	0.0664	✗	1.66
2026-09-21	oos	16.2785	15.6715	-3.73%	16.7035	+2.61%	0.0716	✗	1.71
2026-09-20	oos	14.9885	14.3414	-4.32%	16.2785	+8.61%	0.0252	✓	1.57
2026-09-19	oos	13.4385	12.698	-5.51%	14.9885	+11.53%	0.1673	✗	1.61
2026-09-18	oos	19.2555	18.6311	-3.24%	13.4385	-30.21%	0.3338	✓	1.61
2026-09-17	oos	19.2205	18.6357	-3.04%	19.2555	+0.18%	0.0607	✓	1.62
2026-09-16	oos	19.2405	18.6146	-3.25%	19.2205	-0.10%	0.0277	✓	1.63
2026-09-15	oos	19.2305	18.5776	-3.39%	19.2405	+0.05%	0.0231	✓	1.61
2026-09-14	oos	19.2555	18.4504	-4.18%	19.2305	-0.13%	0.1046	✗	1.87
2026-09-13	oos	19.2505	18.4237	-4.30%	19.2555	+0.03%	0.0116	✓	1.83
2026-09-12	oos	19.2555	18.3249	-4.83%	19.2505	-0.03%	0.0606	✗	1.89
2026-09-11	oos	18.5185	17.4997	-5.50%	19.2555	+3.98%	0.0943	✗	1.91
2026-09-10	oos	18.4135	17.2861	-6.12%	18.5185	+0.57%	0.0523	✓	1.89
2026-09-09	oos	18.4385	16.6866	-9.50%	18.4135	-0.14%	0.1457	✗	2.09
2026-09-08	oos	18.5135	17.0454	-7.93%	18.4385	-0.41%	0.0830	✗	2.13
2026-09-07	oos	3.5085	2.9606	-15.62%	18.5135	+427.68%	1.8608	✗	3.39
2026-09-06	oos	3.5235	2.9674	-15.78%	3.5085	-0.43%	0.2242	✗	3.63
2026-09-05	oos	18.3785	16.9214	-7.93%	3.5235	-80.83%	1.5924	✓	3.67
2026-09-04	oos	4.0185	3.3843	-15.78%	18.3785	+357.35%	1.6841	✗	4.02
2026-09-03	oos	4.016	3.3625	-16.27%	4.0185	+0.06%	0.2648	✗	4.39
2026-09-02	oos	4.023	3.3342	-17.12%	4.016	-0.17%	0.0381	✓	4.49
2026-09-01	oos	4.02	3.3131	-17.58%	4.023	+0.07%	0.1995	✗	4.57
2026-08-31	oos	6.1035	5.1001	-16.44%	4.02	-34.14%	0.1730	✓	4.35
2026-08-30	oos	40.783	39.9609	-2.02%	6.1035	-85.03%	1.9361	✓	4.96
2026-08-29	oos	41.1425	40.2374	-2.20%	40.783	-0.87%	0.0507	✗	5.10
2026-08-28	oos	41.2285	40.2155	-2.46%	41.1425	-0.21%	0.0031	✓	5.11
2026-08-27	oos	40.7005	39.7753	-2.27%	41.2285	+1.30%	0.0667	✗	1.00
2026-08-26	oos	27.5005	26.8939	-2.21%	40.7005	+48.00%	0.3987	✗	1.00
2026-08-25	oos	40.6705	38.7665	-4.68%	27.5005	-32.38%	0.3497	✓	1.00
2026-08-24	oos	38.8775	37.5588	-3.39%	40.6705	+4.61%	0.0854	✗	1.00
2026-08-23	oos	40.5615	38.8309	-4.27%	38.8775	-4.15%	0.0148	✓	1.00
2026-08-22	oos	52.426	48.8091	-6.90%	40.5615	-22.63%	0.1938	✓	1.00
2026-08-21	oos	30.6335	29.8307	-2.62%	52.426	+71.14%	0.5802	✗	1.00
2026-08-20	oos	30.768	29.7276	-3.38%	30.6335	-0.44%	0.0402	✓	1.00
2026-08-19	oos	30.7125	29.4685	-4.05%	30.768	+0.18%	0.0090	✓	1.00
2026-08-18	oos	30.549	29.2224	-4.34%	30.7125	+0.54%	0.0192	✓	1.00
2026-08-17	oos	30.6105	28.4944	-6.91%	30.549	-0.20%	0.0665	✓	1.00
2026-08-16	oos	30.5515	28.4046	-7.03%	30.6105	+0.19%	0.0490	✓	1.00
2026-08-15	oos	30.5745	28.2041	-7.75%	30.5515	-0.08%	0.0828	✗	1.00
2026-08-14	oos	30.638	27.577	-9.99%	30.5745	-0.21%	0.1025	✓	1.00
2026-08-13	oos	5.164	4.4288	-14.24%	30.638	+493.30%	1.9412	✗	1.00
2026-08-12	oos	30.695	29.574	-3.65%	5.164	-83.18%	1.7454	✓	1.00
2026-08-11	oos	30.7365	29.2103	-4.97%	30.695	-0.14%	0.0515	✗	1.00
2026-08-10	oos	30.9075	29.2937	-5.22%	30.7365	-0.55%	0.0540	✗	1.00
2026-08-09	oos	30.797	28.9332	-6.05%	30.9075	+0.36%	0.0806	✗	1.00
2026-08-08	oos	30.87	28.4914	-7.71%	30.797	-0.24%	0.0787	✓	1.00
2026-08-07	oos	30.896	29.2607	-5.29%	30.87	-0.08%	0.0533	✓	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.