MARSCOIN
MarsCoin · Binance Smart Chain · gru_s0
- token id
- #52
- symbol
- MARSCOIN
- variant
- –
- chain
- Binance Smart Chain
- address
- 0xfe189e97832da1573e4e4ff034f4ffc3a15c7777
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-09-04
- predictions
- 120
Track record at +7d
assessed
33
of 40 predictions shown
direction hit
63.6%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.1554
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0379
actual -0.0627
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-22 | oos | 0.08135 | 0.076685 | -5.73% | – | pending | – | – | 0.86 |
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.08115 | 0.07671 | -5.47% | – | pending | – | – | 0.85 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.07935 | 0.075552 | -4.79% | – | pending | – | – | 0.83 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.07795 | 0.074792 | -4.05% | – | pending | – | – | 0.80 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.07555 | 0.072925 | -3.47% | – | pending | – | – | 0.81 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.07685 | 0.074434 | -3.14% | – | pending | – | – | 0.81 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.07985 | 0.077274 | -3.23% | – | pending | – | – | 0.81 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.07715 | 0.074912 | -2.90% | 0.08135 | +5.44% | 0.0611 | ✗ | 0.85 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.08255 | 0.080002 | -3.09% | 0.08115 | -1.70% | 0.0116 | ✓ | 0.87 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.07945 | 0.077014 | -3.07% | 0.07935 | -0.13% | 0.0318 | ✗ | 0.98 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.08085 | 0.078618 | -2.76% | 0.07795 | -3.59% | 0.0097 | ✓ | 0.99 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.09555 | 0.091591 | -4.14% | 0.07555 | -20.93% | 0.1772 | ✓ | 0.76 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.09625 | 0.092247 | -4.16% | 0.07685 | -20.16% | 0.1685 | ✓ | 0.76 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.09325 | 0.089459 | -4.06% | 0.07985 | -14.37% | 0.1042 | ✓ | 0.74 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.09105 | 0.08736 | -4.05% | 0.07715 | -15.27% | 0.1280 | ✓ | 0.71 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.09505 | 0.090611 | -4.67% | 0.08255 | -13.15% | 0.0786 | ✓ | 0.70 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.10535 | 0.100762 | -4.35% | 0.07945 | -24.58% | 0.2219 | ✓ | 0.55 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.10525 | 0.100667 | -4.35% | 0.08085 | -23.18% | 0.1927 | ✓ | 0.55 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.10865 | 0.104179 | -4.11% | 0.09555 | -12.06% | 0.0682 | ✓ | 0.55 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.11095 | 0.105568 | -4.85% | 0.09625 | -13.25% | 0.0706 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.1074 | 0.101824 | -5.19% | 0.09325 | -13.18% | 0.0645 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.12765 | 0.121817 | -4.57% | 0.09105 | -28.67% | 0.2532 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.1371 | 0.129981 | -5.19% | 0.09505 | -30.67% | 0.3096 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.14065 | 0.133147 | -5.33% | 0.10535 | -25.10% | 0.2566 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.15785 | 0.146629 | -7.11% | 0.10525 | -33.32% | 0.3587 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.1233 | 0.118156 | -4.17% | 0.10865 | -11.88% | 0.1078 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.13445 | 0.128394 | -4.50% | 0.11095 | -17.48% | 0.1499 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.11835 | 0.11362 | -4.00% | 0.1074 | -9.25% | 0.0612 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.1152 | 0.110968 | -3.67% | 0.12765 | +10.81% | 0.1346 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.1364 | 0.130784 | -4.12% | 0.1371 | +0.51% | 0.0570 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.14165 | 0.135086 | -4.63% | 0.14065 | -0.71% | 0.0705 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.10195 | 0.099622 | -2.28% | 0.15785 | +54.83% | 0.4972 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.09225 | 0.089582 | -2.89% | 0.1233 | +33.66% | 0.2796 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.09905 | 0.096378 | -2.70% | 0.13445 | +35.74% | 0.2945 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.11315 | 0.10986 | -2.91% | 0.11835 | +4.60% | 0.0354 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.1172 | 0.11283 | -3.73% | 0.1152 | -1.71% | 0.0793 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.092 | 0.090687 | -1.43% | 0.1364 | +48.26% | 0.3055 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.08655 | 0.08558 | -1.12% | 0.14165 | +63.66% | 0.3725 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.09165 | 0.090501 | -1.25% | 0.10195 | +11.24% | 0.0168 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.09765 | 0.096574 | -1.10% | 0.09225 | -5.53% | 0.1010 | ✓ | 1.00 |