MARSCOIN
MarsCoin · Binance Smart Chain · gru_s0
- token id
- #52
- symbol
- MARSCOIN
- variant
- –
- chain
- Binance Smart Chain
- address
- 0xfe189e97832da1573e4e4ff034f4ffc3a15c7777
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-09-04
- predictions
- 120
Track record at +1d
assessed
39
of 40 predictions shown
direction hit
56.4%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.0719
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0070
actual -0.0075
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-22 | oos | 0.08135 | 0.080634 | -0.88% | – | pending | – | – | 0.86 |
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.08115 | 0.080533 | -0.76% | 0.08135 | +0.25% | 0.0081 | ✗ | 0.85 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.07935 | 0.078883 | -0.59% | 0.08115 | +2.27% | 0.0176 | ✗ | 0.83 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.07795 | 0.07762 | -0.42% | 0.07935 | +1.80% | 0.0113 | ✗ | 0.80 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.07555 | 0.075362 | -0.25% | 0.07795 | +3.18% | 0.0354 | ✗ | 0.81 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.07685 | 0.076706 | -0.19% | 0.07555 | -1.69% | 0.0214 | ✓ | 0.81 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.07985 | 0.079643 | -0.26% | 0.07685 | -3.76% | 0.0345 | ✓ | 0.81 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.07715 | 0.077044 | -0.14% | 0.07985 | +3.50% | 0.0423 | ✗ | 0.85 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.08255 | 0.082282 | -0.32% | 0.07715 | -6.54% | 0.0703 | ✓ | 0.87 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.07945 | 0.079228 | -0.28% | 0.08255 | +3.90% | 0.0594 | ✗ | 0.98 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.08085 | 0.080664 | -0.23% | 0.07945 | -1.73% | 0.0316 | ✓ | 0.99 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.09555 | 0.094723 | -0.87% | 0.08085 | -15.38% | 0.1406 | ✓ | 0.76 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.09625 | 0.095391 | -0.89% | 0.09555 | -0.73% | 0.0053 | ✓ | 0.76 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.09325 | 0.092483 | -0.82% | 0.09625 | +3.22% | 0.0366 | ✗ | 0.74 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.09105 | 0.090369 | -0.75% | 0.09325 | +2.42% | 0.0240 | ✗ | 0.71 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.09505 | 0.094191 | -0.90% | 0.09105 | -4.21% | 0.0204 | ✓ | 0.70 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.10535 | 0.104363 | -0.94% | 0.09505 | -9.78% | 0.0789 | ✓ | 0.55 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.10525 | 0.104307 | -0.90% | 0.10535 | +0.10% | 0.0113 | ✗ | 0.55 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.10865 | 0.107768 | -0.81% | 0.10525 | -3.13% | 0.0188 | ✓ | 0.55 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.11095 | 0.109956 | -0.90% | 0.10865 | -2.07% | 0.0326 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.1074 | 0.106549 | -0.79% | 0.11095 | +3.31% | 0.0377 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.12765 | 0.126504 | -0.90% | 0.1074 | -15.86% | 0.1596 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.1371 | 0.13558 | -1.11% | 0.12765 | -6.89% | 0.0756 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.14065 | 0.138947 | -1.21% | 0.1371 | -2.52% | 0.0124 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.15785 | 0.154046 | -2.41% | 0.14065 | -10.90% | 0.0932 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.1233 | 0.122229 | -0.87% | 0.15785 | +28.02% | 0.2677 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.13445 | 0.1329 | -1.15% | 0.1233 | -8.29% | 0.0755 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.11835 | 0.117386 | -0.81% | 0.13445 | +13.60% | 0.1319 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.1152 | 0.114412 | -0.68% | 0.11835 | +2.73% | 0.0373 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.1364 | 0.134832 | -1.15% | 0.1152 | -15.54% | 0.1574 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.14165 | 0.139364 | -1.61% | 0.1364 | -3.71% | 0.0002 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.10195 | 0.101547 | -0.40% | 0.14165 | +38.94% | 0.3374 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.09225 | 0.091945 | -0.33% | 0.10195 | +10.51% | 0.0385 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.09905 | 0.098696 | -0.36% | 0.09225 | -6.87% | 0.0666 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.11315 | 0.112486 | -0.59% | 0.09905 | -12.46% | 0.1316 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.1172 | 0.116126 | -0.92% | 0.11315 | -3.46% | 0.0836 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.092 | 0.091794 | -0.22% | 0.1172 | +27.39% | 0.2417 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.08655 | 0.086407 | -0.17% | 0.092 | +6.30% | 0.0553 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.09165 | 0.091497 | -0.17% | 0.08655 | -5.56% | 0.0219 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.09765 | 0.09751 | -0.14% | 0.09165 | -6.14% | 0.0797 | ✓ | 1.00 |