LONGXIA

? · · gru_s0

token id: #185
symbol: LONGXIA
variant: –
chain
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-08-27
predictions: 144

Track record at +7d

assessed

41

of 48 predictions shown

direction hit

70.7%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.6160

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0875

actual -0.1736

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.02106	0.020194	-4.11%	–	pending	–	–	1.35
2026-10-21	oos	0.021215	0.020453	-3.59%	–	pending	–	–	1.35
2026-10-20	oos	0.021195	0.02059	-2.86%	–	pending	–	–	1.35
2026-10-19	oos	0.020355	0.019956	-1.96%	–	pending	–	–	1.33
2026-10-18	oos	0.02088	0.020489	-1.87%	–	pending	–	–	1.33
2026-10-17	oos	0.02746	0.026786	-2.46%	–	pending	–	–	1.44
2026-10-16	oos	0.029085	0.028388	-2.40%	–	pending	–	–	1.44
2026-10-15	oos	0.029995	0.029265	-2.43%	0.02106	-29.79%	0.3650	✓	1.43
2026-10-14	oos	0.029625	0.02898	-2.18%	0.021215	-28.39%	0.3542	✓	1.43
2026-10-13	oos	0.04862	0.044915	-7.62%	0.021195	-56.41%	0.7492	✓	0.92
2026-10-12	oos	0.040295	0.038364	-4.79%	0.020355	-49.49%	0.6347	✓	0.77
2026-10-11	oos	0.04401	0.041271	-6.22%	0.02088	-52.56%	0.6680	✓	0.66
2026-10-10	oos	0.04627	0.043287	-6.45%	0.02746	-40.65%	0.4422	✓	0.69
2026-10-09	oos	0.046	0.043061	-6.39%	0.029085	-36.77%	0.3836	✓	0.69
2026-10-08	oos	0.05196	0.048184	-7.27%	0.029995	-42.27%	0.4781	✓	0.77
2026-10-07	oos	0.04116	0.038744	-5.87%	0.029625	-28.02%	0.2463	✓	1.07
2026-10-06	oos	0.06616	0.058779	-11.16%	0.04862	-26.51%	0.1826	✓	0.25
2026-10-05	oos	0.04544	0.041816	-7.98%	0.040295	-11.32%	0.0207	✓	0.34
2026-10-04	oos	0.04529	0.040619	-10.31%	0.04401	-2.83%	0.0915	✓	0.34
2026-10-03	oos	0.049945	0.044778	-10.34%	0.04627	-7.36%	0.0433	✓	0.48
2026-10-02	oos	0.03919	0.030699	-21.67%	0.046	+17.38%	0.4152	✗	0.46
2026-10-01	oos	0.110175	0.090839	-17.55%	0.05196	-52.84%	0.5558	✓	0.07
2026-09-30	oos	0.0359	0.02174	-39.44%	0.04116	+14.65%	0.6351	✗	-0.96
2026-09-29	oos	0.068975	0.062792	-8.96%	0.06616	-4.08%	0.0760	✓	-1.06
2026-09-28	oos	0.070225	0.061778	-12.03%	0.04544	-35.29%	0.2786	✓	-1.05
2026-09-27	oos	0.08775	0.078903	-10.08%	0.04529	-48.39%	0.5242	✓	-1.29
2026-09-26	oos	0.1038	0.094177	-9.27%	0.049945	-51.88%	0.6292	✓	-1.31
2026-09-25	oos	0.130175	0.118135	-9.25%	0.03919	-69.89%	1.1083	✓	1.00
2026-09-24	oos	0.10344	0.090932	-12.09%	0.110175	+6.51%	0.1865	✗	1.00
2026-09-23	oos	0.16812	0.153192	-8.88%	0.0359	-78.65%	1.4412	✓	1.00
2026-09-22	oos	0.139465	0.128604	-7.79%	0.068975	-50.54%	0.5928	✓	1.00
2026-09-21	oos	0.234285	0.218694	-6.65%	0.070225	-70.03%	1.0991	✓	1.00
2026-09-20	oos	0.238305	0.219905	-7.72%	0.08775	-63.18%	0.9586	✓	1.00
2026-09-19	oos	0.226335	0.208911	-7.70%	0.1038	-54.14%	0.7379	✓	1.00
2026-09-18	oos	0.22224	0.205511	-7.53%	0.130175	-41.43%	0.4956	✓	1.00
2026-09-17	oos	0.23069	0.211264	-8.42%	0.10344	-55.16%	0.8142	✓	1.00
2026-09-16	oos	0.21309	0.195277	-8.36%	0.16812	-21.10%	0.2524	✓	1.00
2026-09-15	oos	0.195995	0.178754	-8.80%	0.139465	-28.84%	0.3796	✓	1.00
2026-09-14	oos	0.16108	0.149993	-6.88%	0.234285	+45.45%	0.3437	✗	1.00
2026-09-13	oos	0.14472	0.135284	-6.52%	0.238305	+64.67%	0.5110	✗	1.00
2026-09-12	oos	0.154585	0.137659	-10.95%	0.226335	+46.41%	0.4471	✗	1.00
2026-09-11	oos	0.07052	0.068151	-3.36%	0.22224	+215.14%	1.1356	✗	1.00
2026-09-10	oos	0.03809	0.037351	-1.94%	0.23069	+505.64%	1.8232	✗	1.00
2026-09-09	oos	0.049155	0.048876	-0.57%	0.21309	+333.51%	1.5001	✗	1.00
2026-09-08	oos	0.05884	0.058681	-0.27%	0.195995	+233.10%	1.2432	✗	1.00
2026-09-07	oos	0.05455	0.054508	-0.08%	0.16108	+195.29%	1.0952	✗	1.00
2026-09-06	oos	0.0741	0.074134	+0.05%	0.14472	+95.30%	0.7140	✓	1.00
2026-09-05	oos	0.08774	0.087328	-0.47%	0.154585	+76.19%	0.6038	✗	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.