LONGXIA

? · · gru_s0

token id: #185
symbol: LONGXIA
variant: –
chain
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-08-27
predictions: 144

Track record at +1d

assessed

47

of 48 predictions shown

direction hit

53.2%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.2302

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0197

actual -0.0320

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.02106	0.021019	-0.20%	–	pending	–	–	1.35
2026-10-21	oos	0.021215	0.021211	-0.02%	0.02106	-0.73%	0.0102	✓	1.35
2026-10-20	oos	0.021195	0.021231	+0.17%	0.021215	+0.09%	0.0184	✗	1.35
2026-10-19	oos	0.020355	0.020443	+0.43%	0.021195	+4.13%	0.0184	✓	1.33
2026-10-18	oos	0.02088	0.020975	+0.46%	0.020355	-2.51%	0.0273	✗	1.33
2026-10-17	oos	0.02746	0.027498	+0.14%	0.02088	-23.96%	0.2864	✗	1.44
2026-10-16	oos	0.029085	0.029124	+0.13%	0.02746	-5.59%	0.0567	✗	1.44
2026-10-15	oos	0.029995	0.030035	+0.13%	0.029085	-3.03%	0.0212	✗	1.43
2026-10-14	oos	0.029625	0.029699	+0.25%	0.029995	+1.25%	0.0002	✓	1.43
2026-10-13	oos	0.04862	0.047726	-1.84%	0.029625	-39.07%	0.4597	✓	0.92
2026-10-12	oos	0.040295	0.040007	-0.72%	0.04862	+20.66%	0.1823	✗	0.77
2026-10-11	oos	0.04401	0.043494	-1.17%	0.040295	-8.44%	0.0609	✓	0.66
2026-10-10	oos	0.04627	0.045718	-1.19%	0.04401	-4.88%	0.0445	✓	0.69
2026-10-09	oos	0.046	0.045515	-1.05%	0.04627	+0.59%	0.0134	✗	0.69
2026-10-08	oos	0.05196	0.051148	-1.56%	0.046	-11.47%	0.1141	✓	0.77
2026-10-07	oos	0.04116	0.040847	-0.76%	0.05196	+26.24%	0.2611	✗	1.07
2026-10-06	oos	0.06616	0.063842	-3.50%	0.04116	-37.79%	0.4323	✓	0.25
2026-10-05	oos	0.04544	0.044708	-1.61%	0.06616	+45.60%	0.3928	✗	0.34
2026-10-04	oos	0.04529	0.044323	-2.13%	0.04544	+0.33%	0.0279	✗	0.34
2026-10-03	oos	0.049945	0.048832	-2.23%	0.04529	-9.32%	0.0853	✓	0.48
2026-10-02	oos	0.03919	0.03744	-4.47%	0.049945	+27.44%	0.2869	✗	0.46
2026-10-01	oos	0.110175	0.099879	-9.35%	0.03919	-64.43%	0.9352	✓	0.07
2026-09-30	oos	0.0359	0.032463	-9.57%	0.110175	+206.89%	1.2367	✗	-0.96
2026-09-29	oos	0.068975	0.067879	-1.59%	0.0359	-47.95%	0.6380	✓	-1.06
2026-09-28	oos	0.070225	0.068697	-2.18%	0.068975	-1.78%	0.0063	✓	-1.05
2026-09-27	oos	0.08775	0.085995	-2.00%	0.070225	-19.97%	0.2181	✓	-1.29
2026-09-26	oos	0.1038	0.101837	-1.89%	0.08775	-15.46%	0.1482	✓	-1.31
2026-09-25	oos	0.130175	0.126546	-2.79%	0.1038	-20.26%	0.2020	✓	1.00
2026-09-24	oos	0.10344	0.100851	-2.50%	0.130175	+25.85%	0.2587	✗	1.00
2026-09-23	oos	0.16812	0.163268	-2.89%	0.10344	-38.47%	0.4565	✓	1.00
2026-09-22	oos	0.139465	0.137093	-1.70%	0.16812	+20.55%	0.2254	✗	1.00
2026-09-21	oos	0.234285	0.229315	-2.12%	0.139465	-40.47%	0.4927	✓	1.00
2026-09-20	oos	0.238305	0.232533	-2.42%	0.234285	-1.69%	0.0573	✓	1.00
2026-09-19	oos	0.226335	0.220756	-2.46%	0.238305	+5.29%	0.0774	✗	1.00
2026-09-18	oos	0.22224	0.217031	-2.34%	0.226335	+1.84%	0.0375	✗	1.00
2026-09-17	oos	0.23069	0.224268	-2.78%	0.22224	-3.66%	0.0667	✓	1.00
2026-09-16	oos	0.21309	0.20715	-2.79%	0.23069	+8.26%	0.1050	✗	1.00
2026-09-15	oos	0.195995	0.189396	-3.37%	0.21309	+8.72%	0.1105	✗	1.00
2026-09-14	oos	0.16108	0.156669	-2.74%	0.195995	+21.68%	0.2577	✗	1.00
2026-09-13	oos	0.14472	0.141014	-2.56%	0.16108	+11.30%	0.1153	✗	1.00
2026-09-12	oos	0.154585	0.144278	-6.67%	0.14472	-6.38%	0.0091	✓	1.00
2026-09-11	oos	0.07052	0.068829	-2.40%	0.154585	+119.21%	0.8084	✗	1.00
2026-09-10	oos	0.03809	0.038063	-0.07%	0.07052	+85.14%	0.6079	✗	1.00
2026-09-09	oos	0.049155	0.049136	-0.04%	0.03809	-22.51%	0.2321	✓	1.00
2026-09-08	oos	0.05884	0.058789	-0.09%	0.049155	-16.46%	0.1769	✓	1.00
2026-09-07	oos	0.05455	0.054578	+0.05%	0.05884	+7.86%	0.0834	✓	1.00
2026-09-06	oos	0.0741	0.073998	-0.14%	0.05455	-26.38%	0.2893	✓	1.00
2026-09-05	oos	0.08774	0.087241	-0.57%	0.0741	-15.55%	0.1696	✓	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.