KAIO

KAIO · Ethereum · gru_s0

token id: #324
symbol: KAIO
variant: –
chain: Ethereum
address: 0x00bac91fd8f5b4a0dc03c8021139b76f6549ee7e
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-05-06
predictions: 483

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +7d

assessed

154

of 161 predictions shown

direction hit

56.5%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1665

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0135

actual -0.0452

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.029719	0.028914	-2.71%	–	pending	–	–	0.01
2026-10-21	oos	0.029335	0.02857	-2.61%	–	pending	–	–	-0.00
2026-10-20	oos	0.030499	0.029662	-2.75%	–	pending	–	–	-0.00
2026-10-19	oos	0.029365	0.028541	-2.81%	–	pending	–	–	-0.01
2026-10-18	oos	0.029598	0.028779	-2.77%	–	pending	–	–	-0.09
2026-10-17	oos	0.034899	0.033877	-2.93%	–	pending	–	–	-0.08
2026-10-16	oos	0.036292	0.035025	-3.49%	–	pending	–	–	-0.08
2026-10-15	oos	0.03372	0.032448	-3.77%	0.029719	-11.86%	0.0858	✓	-0.08
2026-10-14	oos	0.031919	0.030762	-3.62%	0.029335	-8.09%	0.0451	✓	-0.08
2026-10-13	oos	0.028875	0.027971	-3.13%	0.030499	+5.63%	0.0865	✗	-0.01
2026-10-12	oos	0.027404	0.026521	-3.22%	0.029365	+7.16%	0.1019	✗	-0.01
2026-10-11	oos	0.025037	0.02437	-2.66%	0.029598	+18.22%	0.1961	✗	0.09
2026-10-10	oos	0.025012	0.024285	-2.91%	0.034899	+39.53%	0.3646	✗	0.11
2026-10-09	oos	0.025199	0.024412	-3.13%	0.036292	+44.02%	0.3979	✗	0.11
2026-10-08	oos	0.024821	0.023993	-3.34%	0.03372	+35.85%	0.3397	✗	0.11
2026-10-07	oos	0.020707	0.020243	-2.24%	0.031919	+54.14%	0.4601	✗	0.23
2026-10-06	oos	0.022712	0.022204	-2.24%	0.028875	+27.13%	0.2673	✗	0.16
2026-10-05	oos	0.026838	0.025872	-3.60%	0.027404	+2.11%	0.0652	✗	0.16
2026-10-04	oos	0.020323	0.019854	-2.31%	0.025037	+23.20%	0.2410	✗	0.27
2026-10-03	oos	0.019305	0.018916	-2.02%	0.025012	+29.56%	0.2849	✗	0.25
2026-10-02	oos	0.022008	0.021449	-2.54%	0.025199	+14.50%	0.1672	✗	0.26
2026-10-01	oos	0.021486	0.020999	-2.27%	0.024821	+15.52%	0.1769	✗	0.26
2026-09-30	oos	0.024146	0.023458	-2.85%	0.020707	-14.24%	0.1238	✓	0.27
2026-09-29	oos	0.026617	0.025683	-3.51%	0.022712	-14.67%	0.1285	✓	0.25
2026-09-28	oos	0.033197	0.03099	-6.65%	0.026838	-19.16%	0.1496	✓	0.21
2026-09-27	oos	0.014683	0.014401	-1.92%	0.020323	+38.41%	0.3289	✗	0.65
2026-09-26	oos	0.01501	0.014662	-2.32%	0.019305	+28.62%	0.2726	✗	0.65
2026-09-25	oos	0.013481	0.013288	-1.43%	0.022008	+63.25%	0.5014	✗	0.64
2026-09-24	oos	0.01323	0.013061	-1.28%	0.021486	+62.40%	0.4942	✗	0.65
2026-09-23	oos	0.01364	0.013461	-1.32%	0.024146	+77.02%	0.5907	✗	0.65
2026-09-22	oos	0.013553	0.01342	-0.98%	0.026617	+96.40%	0.7036	✗	0.62
2026-09-21	oos	0.01374	0.013614	-0.91%	0.033197	+141.61%	0.9153	✗	0.65
2026-09-20	oos	0.01351	0.013338	-1.28%	0.014683	+8.68%	0.0657	✗	0.76
2026-09-19	oos	0.013822	0.013648	-1.26%	0.01501	+8.60%	0.0661	✗	0.75
2026-09-18	oos	0.01351	0.013363	-1.09%	0.013481	-0.22%	0.0201	✓	0.74
2026-09-17	oos	0.013894	0.013682	-1.53%	0.01323	-4.78%	0.1211	✓	0.87
2026-09-16	oos	0.013951	0.013691	-1.86%	0.01364	-2.23%	0.0945	✓	0.88
2026-09-15	oos	0.013095	0.01301	-0.65%	0.013553	+3.49%	0.0792	✓	0.91
2026-09-14	oos	0.013015	0.012974	-0.31%	0.01374	+5.57%	0.0416	✓	0.97
2026-09-13	oos	0.013244	0.013223	-0.16%	0.01351	+2.01%	0.0323	✓	0.97
2026-09-12	oos	0.01399	0.013976	-0.10%	0.013822	-1.20%	0.0591	✓	0.96
2026-09-11	oos	0.013969	0.014009	+0.29%	0.01351	-3.28%	0.0795	✗	0.93
2026-09-10	oos	0.013893	0.013981	+0.64%	0.013894	+0.01%	0.0039	✓	0.94
2026-09-09	oos	0.013968	0.014142	+1.24%	0.013951	-0.12%	0.0130	✓	0.96
2026-09-08	oos	0.014179	0.01437	+1.35%	0.013095	-7.64%	0.0587	✗	0.92
2026-09-07	oos	0.014925	0.015116	+1.28%	0.013015	-12.80%	0.1391	✗	0.91
2026-09-06	oos	0.015738	0.015953	+1.36%	0.013244	-15.85%	0.1460	✗	0.89
2026-09-05	oos	0.015695	0.015915	+1.40%	0.01399	-10.86%	0.0995	✗	0.90
2026-09-04	oos	0.016369	0.016592	+1.36%	0.013969	-14.66%	0.1476	✗	0.78
2026-09-03	oos	0.016792	0.017056	+1.57%	0.013893	-17.26%	0.1618	✗	0.72
2026-09-02	oos	0.0174	0.017526	+0.72%	0.013968	-19.72%	0.2398	✗	1.03
2026-09-01	oos	0.017791	0.017946	+0.87%	0.014179	-20.31%	0.2497	✗	1.04
2026-08-31	oos	0.018144	0.018345	+1.11%	0.014925	-17.74%	0.2128	✗	0.96
2026-08-30	oos	0.017735	0.017932	+1.11%	0.015738	-11.26%	0.1658	✗	1.04
2026-08-29	oos	0.017556	0.017761	+1.17%	0.015695	-10.60%	0.1470	✗	1.15
2026-08-28	oos	0.017912	0.018121	+1.17%	0.016369	-8.61%	0.1291	✗	1.18
2026-08-27	oos	0.01779	0.018076	+1.60%	0.016792	-5.61%	0.0895	✗	1.29
2026-08-26	oos	0.017253	0.017515	+1.52%	0.0174	+0.85%	0.0215	✓	1.28
2026-08-25	oos	0.018184	0.018439	+1.40%	0.017791	-2.16%	0.0170	✗	1.30
2026-08-24	oos	0.018718	0.018983	+1.41%	0.018144	-3.07%	0.0381	✗	1.34
2026-08-23	oos	0.020346	0.020511	+0.81%	0.017735	-12.83%	0.1442	✗	1.43
2026-08-22	oos	0.0182	0.018398	+1.09%	0.017556	-3.54%	0.0681	✗	1.40
2026-08-21	oos	0.017552	0.017791	+1.36%	0.017912	+2.05%	0.0157	✓	1.43
2026-08-20	oos	0.017291	0.017374	+0.48%	0.01779	+2.89%	0.1234	✗	1.55
2026-08-19	oos	0.016853	0.016835	-0.11%	0.017253	+2.37%	0.1778	✓	1.54
2026-08-18	oos	0.015957	0.015834	-0.77%	0.018184	+13.96%	0.1803	✓	1.64
2026-08-17	oos	0.01766	0.017489	-0.97%	0.018718	+5.99%	0.2571	✓	1.60
2026-08-16	oos	0.01777	0.017566	-1.15%	0.020346	+14.50%	0.2016	✓	1.64
2026-08-15	oos	0.017905	0.017727	-0.99%	0.0182	+1.65%	0.3078	✓	1.66
2026-08-14	oos	0.017855	0.017698	-0.88%	0.017552	-1.70%	0.3706	✓	1.66
2026-08-13	oos	0.017485	0.017389	-0.55%	0.017291	-1.11%	0.2490	✓	1.73
2026-08-12	oos	0.01726	0.017178	-0.48%	0.016853	-2.36%	0.1588	✓	1.57
2026-08-11	oos	0.01843	0.018323	-0.58%	0.015957	-13.42%	0.1660	✓	1.55
2026-08-10	oos	0.018025	0.01795	-0.41%	0.01766	-2.02%	0.0305	✓	1.61
2026-08-09	oos	0.01724	0.017224	-0.10%	0.01777	+3.07%	0.0849	✗	1.70
2026-08-08	oos	0.017	0.016993	-0.04%	0.017905	+5.32%	0.1025	✗	1.70
2026-08-07	oos	0.01781	0.017779	-0.17%	0.017855	+0.25%	0.0556	✗	1.71
2026-08-06	oos	0.01824	0.018177	-0.35%	0.017485	-4.14%	0.0162	✓	1.72
2026-08-05	oos	0.018525	0.018429	-0.52%	0.01726	-6.83%	0.0339	✓	1.70
2026-08-04	oos	0.018385	0.018224	-0.88%	0.01843	+0.24%	0.0263	✗	1.85
2026-08-03	oos	0.01727	0.017127	-0.83%	0.018025	+4.37%	0.0383	✗	1.82
2026-08-02	oos	0.01601	0.015924	-0.54%	0.01724	+7.68%	0.0412	✗	1.82
2026-08-01	oos	0.014815	0.014761	-0.37%	0.017	+14.75%	0.0816	✗	1.78
2026-07-31	oos	0.015205	0.015149	-0.37%	0.01781	+17.13%	0.1043	✗	1.78
2026-07-30	oos	0.017	0.016882	-0.70%	0.01824	+7.29%	0.0897	✗	1.74
2026-07-29	oos	0.01538	0.015282	-0.64%	0.018525	+20.45%	0.1739	✗	1.69
2026-07-28	oos	0.01431	0.014185	-0.87%	0.018385	+28.48%	0.2540	✗	1.68
2026-07-27	oos	0.01352	0.013406	-0.84%	0.01727	+27.74%	0.2592	✗	1.66
2026-07-26	oos	0.0173	0.017006	-1.70%	0.01601	-7.46%	0.0170	✓	1.52
2026-07-25	oos	0.01305	0.012943	-0.82%	0.014815	+13.52%	0.1669	✗	1.32
2026-07-24	oos	0.014115	0.013993	-0.86%	0.015205	+7.72%	0.1094	✗	1.33
2026-07-23	oos	0.013615	0.013489	-0.93%	0.017	+24.86%	0.2383	✗	1.37
2026-07-22	oos	0.01306	0.012923	-1.05%	0.01538	+17.76%	0.2217	✗	1.41
2026-07-21	oos	0.013	0.012838	-1.24%	0.01431	+10.08%	0.1667	✗	1.42
2026-07-20	oos	0.01512	0.014978	-0.94%	0.01352	-10.58%	0.0660	✓	1.55
2026-07-19	oos	0.015995	0.015865	-0.81%	0.0173	+8.16%	0.0707	✗	1.56
2026-07-18	oos	0.01561	0.0155	-0.70%	0.01305	-16.40%	0.1600	✓	1.56
2026-07-17	oos	0.016175	0.016089	-0.53%	0.014115	-12.74%	0.1356	✓	1.58
2026-07-16	oos	0.01902	0.018923	-0.51%	0.013615	-28.42%	0.3611	✓	1.61
2026-07-15	oos	0.01949	0.019378	-0.57%	0.01306	-32.99%	0.4285	✓	1.62
2026-07-14	oos	0.02091	0.020756	-0.74%	0.013	-37.83%	0.5054	✓	1.62
2026-07-13	oos	0.020185	0.020052	-0.66%	0.01512	-25.09%	0.3578	✓	1.63
2026-07-12	oos	0.02075	0.020583	-0.80%	0.015995	-22.92%	0.2766	✓	1.66
2026-07-11	oos	0.02053	0.02037	-0.78%	0.01561	-23.96%	0.2925	✓	1.66
2026-07-10	oos	0.02095	0.020776	-0.83%	0.016175	-22.79%	0.2442	✓	1.66
2026-07-09	oos	0.020245	0.020102	-0.71%	0.01902	-6.05%	0.0706	✓	1.63
2026-07-08	oos	0.019995	0.019865	-0.65%	0.01949	-2.53%	0.0821	✓	1.61
2026-07-07	oos	0.021025	0.020841	-0.87%	0.02091	-0.55%	0.0387	✓	1.62
2026-07-06	oos	0.02209	0.021847	-1.10%	0.020185	-8.62%	0.0347	✓	1.62
2026-07-05	oos	0.02136	0.021123	-1.11%	0.02075	-2.86%	0.0217	✓	1.59
2026-07-04	oos	0.020275	0.020078	-0.97%	0.02053	+1.26%	0.0054	✓	1.55
2026-07-03	oos	0.02124	0.021026	-1.01%	0.02095	-1.37%	0.0436	✓	1.57
2026-07-02	oos	0.022865	0.022613	-1.10%	0.020245	-11.46%	0.1551	✓	1.64
2026-07-01	oos	0.02291	0.022682	-1.00%	0.019995	-12.72%	0.1880	✓	1.66
2026-06-30	oos	0.02383	0.023544	-1.20%	0.021025	-11.77%	0.2502	✓	1.74
2026-06-29	oos	0.026745	0.026334	-1.53%	0.02209	-17.41%	0.2805	✓	1.69
2026-06-28	oos	0.026145	0.025762	-1.47%	0.02136	-18.30%	0.2987	✓	1.67
2026-06-27	oos	0.025275	0.024914	-1.43%	0.020275	-19.78%	0.2918	✓	1.67
2026-06-26	oos	0.02648	0.026055	-1.61%	0.02124	-19.79%	0.2732	✓	1.68
2026-06-25	oos	0.02528	0.024905	-1.48%	0.022865	-9.55%	0.1336	✓	1.64
2026-06-24	oos	0.02414	0.023772	-1.52%	0.02291	-5.10%	0.0077	✓	1.73
2026-06-23	oos	0.02557	0.025102	-1.83%	0.02383	-6.80%	0.0673	✗	1.75
2026-06-22	oos	0.029675	0.029011	-2.24%	0.026745	-9.87%	0.0215	✓	1.68
2026-06-21	oos	0.03032	0.029617	-2.32%	0.026145	-13.77%	0.0209	✓	1.69
2026-06-20	oos	0.03034	0.029575	-2.52%	0.025275	-16.69%	0.0379	✓	1.73
2026-06-19	oos	0.02745	0.026858	-2.16%	0.02648	-3.53%	0.0766	✗	1.61
2026-06-18	oos	0.02631	0.025789	-1.98%	0.02528	-3.91%	0.0608	✗	1.56
2026-06-17	oos	0.02856	0.027891	-2.34%	0.02414	-15.48%	0.0589	✓	1.55
2026-06-16	oos	0.02937	0.028629	-2.52%	0.02557	-12.94%	0.0399	✓	1.58
2026-06-15	oos	0.02962	0.028849	-2.60%	0.029675	+0.19%	0.0851	✗	1.59
2026-06-14	oos	0.03074	0.029974	-2.49%	0.03032	-1.37%	0.0728	✗	1.60
2026-06-13	oos	0.032005	0.031252	-2.35%	0.03034	-5.20%	0.0243	✓	1.66
2026-06-12	oos	0.03101	0.030385	-2.02%	0.02745	-11.48%	0.1000	✓	1.60
2026-06-11	oos	0.03033	0.029783	-1.80%	0.02631	-13.25%	0.1070	✓	1.57
2026-06-10	oos	0.031025	0.030623	-1.29%	0.02856	-7.95%	0.1497	✓	1.68
2026-06-09	oos	0.03148	0.031096	-1.22%	0.02937	-6.70%	0.1602	✓	1.67
2026-06-08	oos	0.0324	0.03194	-1.42%	0.02962	-8.58%	0.1609	✓	1.72
2026-06-07	oos	0.03466	0.034073	-1.69%	0.03074	-11.31%	0.1673	✓	1.73
2026-06-06	oos	0.03785	0.037163	-1.82%	0.032005	-15.44%	0.2775	✓	2.24
2026-06-05	oos	0.02799	0.028295	+1.09%	0.03101	+10.79%	0.0097	✓	2.04
2026-06-04	oos	0.03417	0.034088	-0.24%	0.03033	-11.24%	0.1130	✓	1.00
2026-06-03	oos	0.03762	0.037453	-0.44%	0.031025	-17.53%	0.1470	✓	1.00
2026-06-02	oos	0.03679	0.036627	-0.44%	0.03148	-14.43%	0.0739	✓	1.00
2026-06-01	oos	0.04181	0.040835	-2.33%	0.0324	-22.51%	0.1084	✓	1.00
2026-05-31	oos	0.05	0.047721	-4.56%	0.03466	-30.68%	0.1694	✓	1.00
2026-05-30	oos	0.06753	0.060914	-9.80%	0.03785	-43.95%	0.2833	✓	1.00
2026-05-29	oos	0.03825	0.037448	-2.10%	0.02799	-26.82%	0.1070	✓	1.00
2026-05-28	oos	0.03677	0.035819	-2.59%	0.03417	-7.07%	0.0945	✗	1.00
2026-05-27	oos	0.03918	0.03793	-3.19%	0.03762	-3.98%	0.1406	✗	1.00
2026-05-26	oos	0.04436	0.04265	-3.86%	0.03679	-17.06%	0.0189	✓	1.00
2026-05-25	oos	0.051465	0.04918	-4.44%	0.04181	-18.76%	0.0824	✓	1.00
2026-05-24	oos	0.05471	0.052328	-4.35%	0.05	-8.61%	0.0003	✓	1.00
2026-05-23	oos	0.05338	0.051002	-4.45%	0.06753	+26.51%	0.3190	✗	1.00
2026-05-22	oos	0.056	0.053605	-4.28%	0.03825	-31.70%	0.3096	✓	1.00
2026-05-21	oos	0.053555	0.050618	-5.48%	0.03677	-31.34%	0.2662	✓	1.00
2026-05-20	oos	0.05371	0.05056	-5.86%	0.03918	-27.05%	0.2134	✓	1.00
2026-05-19	oos	0.062095	0.059392	-4.35%	0.04436	-28.56%	0.2795	✓	1.00
2026-05-18	oos	0.061165	0.05846	-4.42%	0.051465	-15.86%	0.1314	✓	1.00
2026-05-17	oos	0.07421	0.072092	-2.85%	0.05471	-26.28%	0.2703	✓	1.00
2026-05-16	oos	0.0765	0.074761	-2.27%	0.05338	-30.22%	0.3181	✓	1.00
2026-05-15	oos	0.09405	0.092631	-1.51%	0.056	-40.46%	0.4565	✓	1.00