KAIO

KAIO · Ethereum · gru_s0

token id: #324
symbol: KAIO
variant: –
chain: Ethereum
address: 0x00bac91fd8f5b4a0dc03c8021139b76f6549ee7e
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-05-06
predictions: 480

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +30d

assessed

130

of 160 predictions shown

direction hit

75.4%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.3826

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0645

actual -0.2225

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.030038	0.027677	-7.86%	–	pending	–	–	0.02
2026-10-20	oos	0.030499	0.028145	-7.72%	–	pending	–	–	-0.00
2026-10-19	oos	0.029365	0.027017	-8.00%	–	pending	–	–	-0.01
2026-10-18	oos	0.029598	0.027282	-7.83%	–	pending	–	–	-0.09
2026-10-17	oos	0.034899	0.032132	-7.93%	–	pending	–	–	-0.08
2026-10-16	oos	0.036292	0.03326	-8.36%	–	pending	–	–	-0.08
2026-10-15	oos	0.03372	0.030852	-8.51%	–	pending	–	–	-0.08
2026-10-14	oos	0.031919	0.029303	-8.19%	–	pending	–	–	-0.08
2026-10-13	oos	0.028875	0.026802	-7.18%	–	pending	–	–	-0.01
2026-10-12	oos	0.027404	0.025319	-7.61%	–	pending	–	–	-0.01
2026-10-11	oos	0.025037	0.023376	-6.63%	–	pending	–	–	0.09
2026-10-10	oos	0.025012	0.023304	-6.83%	–	pending	–	–	0.11
2026-10-09	oos	0.025199	0.023392	-7.17%	–	pending	–	–	0.11
2026-10-08	oos	0.024821	0.022902	-7.73%	–	pending	–	–	0.11
2026-10-07	oos	0.020707	0.019385	-6.38%	–	pending	–	–	0.23
2026-10-06	oos	0.022712	0.021559	-5.08%	–	pending	–	–	0.16
2026-10-05	oos	0.026838	0.025088	-6.52%	–	pending	–	–	0.16
2026-10-04	oos	0.020323	0.019474	-4.18%	–	pending	–	–	0.27
2026-10-03	oos	0.019305	0.018331	-5.05%	–	pending	–	–	0.25
2026-10-02	oos	0.022008	0.020841	-5.30%	–	pending	–	–	0.26
2026-10-01	oos	0.021486	0.020418	-4.97%	–	pending	–	–	0.26
2026-09-30	oos	0.024146	0.022659	-6.16%	–	pending	–	–	0.27
2026-09-29	oos	0.026617	0.024715	-7.14%	–	pending	–	–	0.25
2026-09-28	oos	0.033197	0.028712	-13.51%	–	pending	–	–	0.21
2026-09-27	oos	0.014683	0.013886	-5.43%	–	pending	–	–	0.65
2026-09-26	oos	0.01501	0.014096	-6.09%	–	pending	–	–	0.65
2026-09-25	oos	0.013481	0.012577	-6.70%	–	pending	–	–	0.64
2026-09-24	oos	0.01323	0.012315	-6.91%	–	pending	–	–	0.65
2026-09-23	oos	0.01364	0.012739	-6.61%	–	pending	–	–	0.65
2026-09-22	oos	0.013553	0.012842	-5.24%	–	pending	–	–	0.62
2026-09-21	oos	0.01374	0.013084	-4.77%	0.030038	+118.62%	0.8609	✗	0.65
2026-09-20	oos	0.01351	0.012418	-8.08%	0.030499	+125.75%	0.8820	✗	0.76
2026-09-19	oos	0.013822	0.012791	-7.46%	0.029365	+112.46%	0.8255	✗	0.75
2026-09-18	oos	0.01351	0.012484	-7.60%	0.029598	+119.08%	0.8530	✗	0.74
2026-09-17	oos	0.013894	0.012447	-10.42%	0.034899	+151.18%	0.9752	✗	0.87
2026-09-16	oos	0.013951	0.012515	-10.30%	0.036292	+160.14%	1.0046	✗	0.88
2026-09-15	oos	0.013095	0.011834	-9.63%	0.03372	+157.49%	0.9712	✗	0.91
2026-09-14	oos	0.013015	0.012121	-6.87%	0.031919	+145.24%	0.9272	✗	0.97
2026-09-13	oos	0.013244	0.012357	-6.70%	0.028875	+118.02%	0.7719	✗	0.97
2026-09-12	oos	0.01399	0.013268	-5.16%	0.027404	+95.89%	0.6714	✗	0.96
2026-09-11	oos	0.013969	0.013378	-4.22%	0.025037	+79.24%	0.5517	✗	0.93
2026-09-10	oos	0.013893	0.013394	-3.59%	0.025012	+80.03%	0.5493	✗	0.94
2026-09-09	oos	0.013968	0.013825	-1.03%	0.025199	+80.41%	0.5496	✗	0.96
2026-09-08	oos	0.014179	0.01414	-0.27%	0.024821	+75.06%	0.5256	✗	0.92
2026-09-07	oos	0.014925	0.014973	+0.32%	0.020707	+38.74%	0.2775	✓	0.91
2026-09-06	oos	0.015738	0.015934	+1.25%	0.022712	+44.31%	0.2987	✓	0.89
2026-09-05	oos	0.015695	0.0159	+1.31%	0.026838	+71.00%	0.4593	✓	0.90
2026-09-04	oos	0.016369	0.016614	+1.50%	0.020323	+24.16%	0.1374	✓	0.78
2026-09-03	oos	0.016792	0.017212	+2.50%	0.019305	+14.97%	0.0845	✓	0.72
2026-09-02	oos	0.0174	0.017372	-0.16%	0.022008	+26.48%	0.1449	✗	1.03
2026-09-01	oos	0.017791	0.017891	+0.56%	0.021486	+20.77%	0.0873	✓	1.04
2026-08-31	oos	0.018144	0.018448	+1.68%	0.024146	+33.08%	0.2101	✓	0.96
2026-08-30	oos	0.017735	0.018039	+1.72%	0.026617	+50.08%	0.3117	✓	1.04
2026-08-29	oos	0.017556	0.017913	+2.03%	0.033197	+89.09%	0.5424	✓	1.15
2026-08-28	oos	0.017912	0.018293	+2.13%	0.014683	-18.02%	0.3160	✗	1.18
2026-08-27	oos	0.01779	0.018508	+4.04%	0.01501	-15.63%	0.2743	✗	1.29
2026-08-26	oos	0.017253	0.0179	+3.75%	0.013481	-21.86%	0.3629	✗	1.28
2026-08-25	oos	0.018184	0.018909	+3.98%	0.01323	-27.24%	0.4504	✗	1.30
2026-08-24	oos	0.018718	0.019583	+4.62%	0.01364	-27.13%	0.4502	✗	1.34
2026-08-23	oos	0.020346	0.021021	+3.32%	0.013553	-33.39%	0.5867	✗	1.43
2026-08-22	oos	0.0182	0.018782	+3.20%	0.01374	-24.51%	0.4760	✗	1.40
2026-08-21	oos	0.017552	0.018272	+4.10%	0.01351	-23.03%	0.3528	✗	1.43
2026-08-20	oos	0.017291	0.017426	+0.78%	0.013822	-20.07%	0.3972	✗	1.55
2026-08-19	oos	0.016853	0.016627	-1.34%	0.01351	-19.83%	0.4456	✓	1.54
2026-08-18	oos	0.015957	0.015356	-3.77%	0.013894	-12.93%	0.3725	✓	1.64
2026-08-17	oos	0.01766	0.016951	-4.01%	0.013951	-21.00%	0.4612	✓	1.60
2026-08-16	oos	0.01777	0.016954	-4.59%	0.013095	-26.31%	0.5609	✓	1.64
2026-08-15	oos	0.017905	0.017144	-4.25%	0.013015	-27.31%	0.6337	✓	1.66
2026-08-14	oos	0.017855	0.017131	-4.05%	0.013244	-25.82%	0.5870	✓	1.66
2026-08-13	oos	0.017485	0.016917	-3.25%	0.01399	-19.99%	0.5312	✓	1.73
2026-08-12	oos	0.01726	0.016721	-3.12%	0.013969	-19.07%	0.4897	✓	1.57
2026-08-11	oos	0.01843	0.017816	-3.33%	0.013893	-24.62%	0.5369	✓	1.55
2026-08-10	oos	0.018025	0.017514	-2.83%	0.013968	-22.51%	0.5523	✓	1.61
2026-08-09	oos	0.01724	0.016935	-1.77%	0.014179	-17.76%	0.5017	✓	1.70
2026-08-08	oos	0.017	0.016723	-1.63%	0.014925	-12.21%	0.4497	✓	1.70
2026-08-07	oos	0.01781	0.017458	-1.98%	0.015738	-11.63%	0.4694	✓	1.71
2026-08-06	oos	0.01824	0.017771	-2.57%	0.015695	-13.95%	0.4966	✓	1.72
2026-08-05	oos	0.018525	0.017941	-3.15%	0.016369	-11.64%	0.4484	✓	1.70
2026-08-04	oos	0.018385	0.017569	-4.44%	0.016792	-8.67%	0.4857	✓	1.85
2026-08-03	oos	0.01727	0.016542	-4.21%	0.0174	+0.75%	0.3092	✓	1.82
2026-08-02	oos	0.01601	0.015468	-3.38%	0.017791	+11.12%	0.2195	✓	1.82
2026-08-01	oos	0.014815	0.01438	-2.94%	0.018144	+22.47%	0.1663	✓	1.78
2026-07-31	oos	0.015205	0.014747	-3.01%	0.017735	+16.64%	0.1922	✓	1.78
2026-07-30	oos	0.017	0.016388	-3.60%	0.017556	+3.27%	0.2617	✓	1.74
2026-07-29	oos	0.01538	0.014781	-3.89%	0.017912	+16.46%	0.1410	✓	1.69
2026-07-28	oos	0.01431	0.013695	-4.30%	0.01779	+24.32%	0.1220	✓	1.68
2026-07-27	oos	0.01352	0.012949	-4.22%	0.017253	+27.61%	0.0711	✓	1.66
2026-07-26	oos	0.0173	0.016347	-5.51%	0.018184	+5.11%	0.1721	✓	1.52
2026-07-25	oos	0.01305	0.012552	-3.82%	0.018718	+43.44%	0.1282	✗	1.32
2026-07-24	oos	0.014115	0.013539	-4.08%	0.020346	+44.14%	0.1502	✗	1.33
2026-07-23	oos	0.013615	0.013089	-3.87%	0.0182	+33.68%	0.0978	✗	1.37
2026-07-22	oos	0.01306	0.012587	-3.62%	0.017552	+34.40%	0.0922	✗	1.41
2026-07-21	oos	0.013	0.012481	-3.99%	0.017291	+33.01%	0.1936	✗	1.42
2026-07-20	oos	0.01512	0.014442	-4.48%	0.016853	+11.46%	0.0604	✗	1.55
2026-07-19	oos	0.015995	0.01526	-4.59%	0.015957	-0.24%	0.0446	✓	1.56
2026-07-18	oos	0.01561	0.01491	-4.48%	0.01766	+13.13%	0.1770	✗	1.56
2026-07-17	oos	0.016175	0.015439	-4.55%	0.01777	+9.86%	0.1670	✗	1.58
2026-07-16	oos	0.01902	0.018163	-4.50%	0.017905	-5.86%	0.0047	✓	1.61
2026-07-15	oos	0.01949	0.018603	-4.55%	0.017855	-8.39%	0.0031	✓	1.62
2026-07-14	oos	0.02091	0.019889	-4.88%	0.017485	-16.38%	0.0894	✓	1.62
2026-07-13	oos	0.020185	0.019154	-5.11%	0.01726	-14.49%	0.1339	✓	1.63
2026-07-12	oos	0.02075	0.019627	-5.41%	0.01843	-11.18%	0.0575	✓	1.66
2026-07-11	oos	0.02053	0.019386	-5.57%	0.018025	-12.20%	0.0764	✓	1.66
2026-07-10	oos	0.02095	0.019729	-5.83%	0.01724	-17.71%	0.1534	✓	1.66
2026-07-09	oos	0.020245	0.019038	-5.96%	0.017	-16.03%	0.1573	✓	1.63
2026-07-08	oos	0.019995	0.018758	-6.19%	0.01781	-10.93%	0.1192	✓	1.61
2026-07-07	oos	0.021025	0.019589	-6.83%	0.01824	-13.25%	0.0953	✓	1.62
2026-07-06	oos	0.02209	0.020438	-7.48%	0.018525	-16.14%	0.1134	✓	1.62
2026-07-05	oos	0.02136	0.019706	-7.75%	0.018385	-13.93%	0.0810	✓	1.59
2026-07-04	oos	0.020275	0.018689	-7.82%	0.01727	-14.82%	0.0883	✓	1.55
2026-07-03	oos	0.02124	0.019637	-7.55%	0.01601	-24.62%	0.2286	✓	1.57
2026-07-02	oos	0.022865	0.021249	-7.07%	0.014815	-35.21%	0.3945	✓	1.64
2026-07-01	oos	0.02291	0.021372	-6.71%	0.015205	-33.63%	0.4180	✓	1.66
2026-06-30	oos	0.02383	0.022232	-6.70%	0.017	-28.66%	0.4434	✓	1.74
2026-06-29	oos	0.026745	0.02495	-6.71%	0.01538	-42.49%	0.5858	✓	1.69
2026-06-28	oos	0.026145	0.024385	-6.73%	0.01431	-45.27%	0.6512	✓	1.67
2026-06-27	oos	0.025275	0.02352	-6.94%	0.01352	-46.51%	0.6554	✓	1.67
2026-06-26	oos	0.02648	0.024593	-7.13%	0.0173	-34.67%	0.4947	✓	1.68
2026-06-25	oos	0.02528	0.023437	-7.29%	0.01305	-48.38%	0.7069	✓	1.64
2026-06-24	oos	0.02414	0.022224	-7.94%	0.014115	-41.53%	0.5396	✓	1.73
2026-06-23	oos	0.02557	0.023448	-8.30%	0.013615	-46.75%	0.6097	✓	1.75
2026-06-22	oos	0.029675	0.027241	-8.20%	0.01306	-55.99%	0.7905	✓	1.68
2026-06-21	oos	0.03032	0.027808	-8.28%	0.013	-57.12%	0.8460	✓	1.69
2026-06-20	oos	0.03034	0.027776	-8.45%	0.01512	-50.16%	0.6346	✓	1.73
2026-06-19	oos	0.02745	0.025208	-8.17%	0.015995	-41.73%	0.4853	✓	1.61
2026-06-18	oos	0.02631	0.024181	-8.09%	0.01561	-40.67%	0.4844	✓	1.56
2026-06-17	oos	0.02856	0.026187	-8.31%	0.016175	-43.36%	0.4684	✓	1.55
2026-06-16	oos	0.02937	0.026836	-8.63%	0.01902	-35.24%	0.2992	✓	1.58
2026-06-15	oos	0.02962	0.026978	-8.92%	0.01949	-34.20%	0.2872	✓	1.59
2026-06-14	oos	0.03074	0.028041	-8.78%	0.02091	-31.98%	0.2759	✓	1.60
2026-06-13	oos	0.032005	0.029269	-8.55%	0.020185	-36.93%	0.3150	✓	1.66
2026-06-12	oos	0.03101	0.028401	-8.41%	0.02075	-33.09%	0.3190	✓	1.60
2026-06-11	oos	0.03033	0.027713	-8.63%	0.02053	-32.31%	0.3052	✓	1.57
2026-06-10	oos	0.031025	0.028538	-8.02%	0.02095	-32.47%	0.3808	✓	1.68
2026-06-09	oos	0.03148	0.028839	-8.39%	0.020245	-35.69%	0.3936	✓	1.67
2026-06-08	oos	0.0324	0.02936	-9.38%	0.019995	-38.29%	0.3615	✓	1.72
2026-06-07	oos	0.03466	0.031149	-10.13%	0.021025	-39.34%	0.3936	✓	1.73
2026-06-06	oos	0.03785	0.034075	-9.97%	0.02209	-41.64%	0.5466	✓	2.24
2026-06-05	oos	0.02799	0.025682	-8.24%	0.02136	-23.69%	0.2677	✓	2.04
2026-06-04	oos	0.03417	0.03105	-9.13%	0.020275	-40.66%	0.4149	✓	1.00
2026-06-03	oos	0.03762	0.034013	-9.59%	0.02124	-43.54%	0.4468	✓	1.00
2026-06-02	oos	0.03679	0.032558	-11.50%	0.022865	-37.85%	0.2726	✓	1.00
2026-06-01	oos	0.04181	0.0349	-16.53%	0.02291	-45.20%	0.2475	✓	1.00
2026-05-31	oos	0.05	0.038991	-22.02%	0.02383	-52.34%	0.2635	✓	1.00
2026-05-30	oos	0.06753	0.048243	-28.56%	0.026745	-60.40%	0.3860	✓	1.00
2026-05-29	oos	0.03825	0.032056	-16.19%	0.026145	-31.65%	0.0061	✓	1.00
2026-05-28	oos	0.03677	0.030975	-15.76%	0.025275	-31.26%	0.0008	✓	1.00
2026-05-27	oos	0.03918	0.03288	-16.08%	0.02648	-32.41%	0.0025	✓	1.00
2026-05-26	oos	0.04436	0.036981	-16.63%	0.02528	-43.01%	0.1413	✓	1.00
2026-05-25	oos	0.051465	0.042894	-16.65%	0.02414	-53.09%	0.3384	✓	1.00
2026-05-24	oos	0.05471	0.045898	-16.11%	0.02557	-53.26%	0.3790	✓	1.00
2026-05-23	oos	0.05338	0.04494	-15.81%	0.029675	-44.41%	0.2339	✓	1.00
2026-05-22	oos	0.056	0.047368	-15.41%	0.03032	-45.86%	0.2696	✓	1.00
2026-05-21	oos	0.053555	0.045322	-15.37%	0.03034	-43.35%	0.2128	✓	1.00
2026-05-20	oos	0.05371	0.04519	-15.86%	0.02745	-48.89%	0.2992	✓	1.00
2026-05-19	oos	0.062095	0.053676	-13.56%	0.02631	-57.63%	0.5134	✓	1.00
2026-05-18	oos	0.061165	0.052516	-14.14%	0.02856	-53.31%	0.4319	✓	1.00
2026-05-17	oos	0.07421	0.066337	-10.61%	0.02937	-60.42%	0.6495	✓	1.00
2026-05-16	oos	0.0765	0.069241	-9.49%	0.02962	-61.28%	0.6849	✓	1.00
2026-05-15	oos	0.09405	0.08777	-6.68%	0.03074	-67.32%	0.8642	✓	1.00