HMM

Thinking Cat · Robinhood · gru_s0

token id: #766
symbol: HMM
variant: –
chain: Robinhood
address: 0x7fe995a80075df3dc8ae11a9b82c7fe4202cd87f
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-08-12
predictions: 189

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +7d

assessed

of 63 predictions shown

direction hit

67.9%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.2566

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0544

actual -0.1307

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.007225	0.00686	-5.04%	–	pending	–	–	3.36
2026-10-21	oos	0.007181	0.006836	-4.80%	–	pending	–	–	3.36
2026-10-20	oos	0.006935	0.006613	-4.64%	–	pending	–	–	3.35
2026-10-19	oos	0.006911	0.006602	-4.48%	–	pending	–	–	3.35
2026-10-18	oos	0.007476	0.007105	-4.97%	–	pending	–	–	3.35
2026-10-17	oos	0.008448	0.007936	-6.06%	–	pending	–	–	3.36
2026-10-16	oos	0.008892	0.008301	-6.65%	–	pending	–	–	3.36
2026-10-15	oos	0.008617	0.008044	-6.65%	0.007225	-16.16%	0.1928	✓	3.39
2026-10-14	oos	0.009034	0.008402	-7.00%	0.007181	-20.52%	0.2579	✓	3.39
2026-10-13	oos	0.008849	0.008203	-7.30%	0.006935	-21.63%	0.1610	✓	3.48
2026-10-12	oos	0.008725	0.008095	-7.22%	0.006911	-20.79%	0.1622	✓	3.48
2026-10-11	oos	0.009124	0.008413	-7.79%	0.007476	-18.06%	0.0465	✓	3.55
2026-10-10	oos	0.010989	0.010041	-8.63%	0.008448	-23.13%	0.1062	✓	3.58
2026-10-09	oos	0.010006	0.009107	-8.98%	0.008892	-11.13%	0.0217	✓	3.58
2026-10-08	oos	0.008488	0.007785	-8.28%	0.008617	+1.52%	0.0829	✓	3.54
2026-10-07	oos	0.010855	0.009898	-8.82%	0.009034	-16.78%	0.0203	✓	3.43
2026-10-06	oos	0.012157	0.011115	-8.57%	0.008849	-27.22%	0.1287	✓	3.44
2026-10-05	oos	0.011895	0.010895	-8.41%	0.008725	-26.65%	0.0569	✓	3.45
2026-10-04	oos	0.013768	0.01261	-8.40%	0.009124	-33.73%	0.2103	✓	3.41
2026-10-03	oos	0.014797	0.013469	-8.97%	0.010989	-25.73%	0.1276	✓	3.47
2026-10-02	oos	0.013097	0.011929	-8.92%	0.010006	-23.60%	0.0940	✓	3.48
2026-10-01	oos	0.014907	0.013471	-9.63%	0.008488	-43.06%	0.3310	✓	3.45
2026-09-30	oos	0.011815	0.010776	-8.79%	0.010855	-8.13%	0.0187	✓	3.38
2026-09-29	oos	0.012816	0.011592	-9.55%	0.012157	-5.14%	0.0281	✓	3.37
2026-09-28	oos	0.010778	0.00993	-7.87%	0.011895	+10.37%	0.0886	✗	3.40
2026-09-27	oos	0.011668	0.010703	-8.27%	0.013768	+17.99%	0.1705	✗	3.39
2026-09-26	oos	0.014306	0.012917	-9.71%	0.014797	+3.43%	0.1229	✗	3.36
2026-09-25	oos	0.013554	0.012217	-9.86%	0.013097	-3.38%	0.0531	✓	3.36
2026-09-24	oos	0.009953	0.009289	-6.67%	0.014907	+49.77%	0.4539	✗	3.50
2026-09-23	oos	0.009004	0.008498	-5.62%	0.011815	+31.22%	0.3641	✗	3.53
2026-09-22	oos	0.009465	0.008932	-5.63%	0.012816	+35.41%	0.4700	✗	3.61
2026-09-21	oos	0.012424	0.011479	-7.60%	0.010778	-13.25%	0.0667	✓	3.51
2026-09-20	oos	0.01087	0.0103	-5.24%	0.011668	+7.35%	0.0207	✓	3.65
2026-09-19	oos	0.011822	0.01118	-5.42%	0.014306	+21.02%	0.1069	✗	3.63
2026-09-18	oos	0.016224	0.014884	-8.26%	0.013554	-16.46%	0.2343	✓	3.61
2026-09-17	oos	0.011992	0.01155	-3.68%	0.009953	-17.00%	0.4759	✓	3.27
2026-09-16	oos	0.012992	0.01242	-4.40%	0.009004	-30.70%	0.6565	✓	3.26
2026-09-15	oos	0.011416	0.01111	-2.68%	0.009465	-17.09%	0.5867	✓	3.25
2026-09-14	oos	0.009685	0.009477	-2.16%	0.012424	+28.27%	0.1310	✓	3.93
2026-09-13	oos	0.008004	0.00773	-3.42%	0.01087	+35.81%	0.1302	✗	3.82
2026-09-12	oos	0.010047	0.009793	-2.53%	0.011822	+17.66%	0.0022	✓	3.71
2026-09-11	oos	0.01206	0.011681	-3.14%	0.016224	+34.53%	0.1583	✗	3.67
2026-09-10	oos	0.010417	0.009922	-4.75%	0.011992	+15.13%	0.1920	✗	1.00
2026-09-09	oos	0.0096	0.008965	-6.61%	0.012992	+35.34%	0.3987	✗	1.00
2026-09-08	oos	0.012026	0.011511	-4.28%	0.011416	-5.07%	0.0289	✓	1.00
2026-09-07	oos	0.012792	0.01234	-3.53%	0.009685	-24.28%	0.2306	✓	1.00
2026-09-06	oos	0.015676	0.015323	-2.26%	0.008004	-48.95%	0.6044	✓	1.00
2026-09-05	oos	0.022874	0.022184	-3.01%	0.010047	-56.08%	0.7594	✓	1.00
2026-09-04	oos	0.018372	0.018002	-2.01%	0.01206	-34.36%	0.3692	✓	1.00
2026-09-03	oos	0.024546	0.023926	-2.53%	0.010417	-57.56%	0.7716	✓	1.00
2026-09-02	oos	0.019138	0.018706	-2.25%	0.0096	-49.84%	0.6797	✓	1.00
2026-09-01	oos	0.021014	0.020526	-2.32%	0.012026	-42.77%	0.5481	✓	1.00
2026-08-31	oos	0.025262	0.024539	-2.86%	0.012792	-49.36%	0.6582	✓	1.00
2026-08-30	oos	0.026994	0.025889	-4.09%	0.015676	-41.93%	0.5355	✓	1.00
2026-08-29	oos	0.022167	0.021517	-2.93%	0.022874	+3.19%	0.0409	✗	1.00
2026-08-28	oos	0.014283	0.014208	-0.52%	0.018372	+28.63%	0.2337	✗	1.00
2026-08-27	oos	0.016661	0.01661	-0.31%	0.024546	+47.33%	0.3783	✗	1.00
2026-08-26	oos	0.02285	0.022391	-2.01%	0.019138	-16.25%	0.1350	✓	1.00
2026-08-25	oos	0.019711	0.019439	-1.38%	0.021014	+6.61%	0.0924	✗	1.00
2026-08-24	oos	0.018916	0.018693	-1.18%	0.025262	+33.55%	0.3065	✗	1.00
2026-08-23	oos	0.01615	0.016025	-0.77%	0.026994	+67.15%	0.5223	✗	1.00
2026-08-22	oos	0.013719	0.013678	-0.30%	0.022167	+61.58%	0.4676	✗	1.00
2026-08-21	oos	0.013329	0.013335	+0.05%	0.014283	+7.16%	0.0749	✓	1.00