HMM

Thinking Cat · Robinhood · gru_s0

token id: #766
symbol: HMM
variant: –
chain: Robinhood
address: 0x7fe995a80075df3dc8ae11a9b82c7fe4202cd87f
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-08-12
predictions: 186

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +1d

assessed

of 62 predictions shown

direction hit

57.4%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1384

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0089

actual -0.0145

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.00679	0.006751	-0.58%	–	pending	–	–	3.35
2026-10-20	oos	0.006935	0.006895	-0.58%	0.00679	-2.08%	0.0055	✓	3.35
2026-10-19	oos	0.006911	0.006882	-0.42%	0.006935	+0.35%	0.0371	✓	3.35
2026-10-18	oos	0.007476	0.007436	-0.54%	0.006911	-7.56%	0.0664	✓	3.35
2026-10-17	oos	0.008448	0.008378	-0.83%	0.007476	-11.50%	0.1396	✓	3.36
2026-10-16	oos	0.008892	0.008806	-0.97%	0.008448	-5.00%	0.0366	✓	3.36
2026-10-15	oos	0.008617	0.008541	-0.88%	0.008892	+3.20%	0.0661	✗	3.39
2026-10-14	oos	0.009034	0.008944	-1.00%	0.008617	-4.62%	0.0603	✓	3.39
2026-10-13	oos	0.008849	0.008758	-1.02%	0.009034	+2.10%	0.0959	✗	3.48
2026-10-12	oos	0.008725	0.00865	-0.86%	0.008849	+1.42%	0.0348	✓	3.48
2026-10-11	oos	0.009124	0.009033	-1.00%	0.008725	-4.37%	0.0483	✗	3.55
2026-10-10	oos	0.010989	0.010829	-1.46%	0.009124	-16.98%	0.2043	✓	3.58
2026-10-09	oos	0.010006	0.009865	-1.41%	0.010989	+9.83%	0.0922	✗	3.58
2026-10-08	oos	0.008488	0.008404	-0.99%	0.010006	+17.88%	0.1377	✗	3.54
2026-10-07	oos	0.010855	0.01071	-1.34%	0.008488	-21.81%	0.1668	✓	3.43
2026-10-06	oos	0.012157	0.01199	-1.38%	0.010855	-10.71%	0.0073	✓	3.44
2026-10-05	oos	0.011895	0.01174	-1.31%	0.012157	+2.20%	0.0434	✗	3.45
2026-10-04	oos	0.013768	0.013569	-1.44%	0.011895	-13.60%	0.1016	✓	3.41
2026-10-03	oos	0.014797	0.014527	-1.82%	0.013768	-6.95%	0.1252	✓	3.47
2026-10-02	oos	0.013097	0.012888	-1.59%	0.014797	+12.98%	0.1283	✗	3.48
2026-10-01	oos	0.014907	0.01458	-2.20%	0.013097	-12.15%	0.0933	✓	3.45
2026-09-30	oos	0.011815	0.011631	-1.56%	0.014907	+26.17%	0.1963	✗	3.38
2026-09-29	oos	0.012816	0.01255	-2.08%	0.011815	-7.81%	0.0570	✓	3.37
2026-09-28	oos	0.010778	0.010635	-1.32%	0.012816	+18.92%	0.1792	✗	3.40
2026-09-27	oos	0.011668	0.011495	-1.48%	0.010778	-7.63%	0.0238	✓	3.39
2026-09-26	oos	0.014306	0.014007	-2.09%	0.011668	-18.44%	0.1845	✓	3.36
2026-09-25	oos	0.013554	0.013222	-2.45%	0.014306	+5.55%	0.0659	✗	3.36
2026-09-24	oos	0.009953	0.009827	-1.27%	0.013554	+36.18%	0.3337	✗	3.50
2026-09-23	oos	0.009004	0.008932	-0.80%	0.009953	+10.54%	0.1079	✗	3.53
2026-09-22	oos	0.009465	0.009383	-0.86%	0.009004	-4.87%	0.0358	✗	3.61
2026-09-21	oos	0.012424	0.012222	-1.62%	0.009465	-23.81%	0.2395	✓	3.51
2026-09-20	oos	0.01087	0.010774	-0.88%	0.012424	+14.30%	0.0939	✓	3.65
2026-09-19	oos	0.011822	0.011712	-0.92%	0.01087	-8.05%	0.0714	✓	3.63
2026-09-18	oos	0.016224	0.015891	-2.05%	0.011822	-27.14%	0.3118	✓	3.61
2026-09-17	oos	0.011992	0.011965	-0.23%	0.016224	+35.29%	0.1163	✗	3.27
2026-09-16	oos	0.012992	0.012933	-0.45%	0.011992	-7.70%	0.0843	✓	3.26
2026-09-15	oos	0.011416	0.011431	+0.13%	0.012992	+13.81%	0.1040	✓	3.25
2026-09-14	oos	0.009685	0.009716	+0.31%	0.011416	+17.87%	0.2936	✓	3.93
2026-09-13	oos	0.008004	0.00805	+0.59%	0.009685	+21.02%	0.1172	✓	3.82
2026-09-12	oos	0.010047	0.010096	+0.49%	0.008004	-20.34%	0.2100	✗	3.71
2026-09-11	oos	0.01206	0.012079	+0.16%	0.010047	-16.69%	0.1868	✗	3.67
2026-09-10	oos	0.010417	0.010447	+0.29%	0.01206	+15.77%	0.1348	✓	1.00
2026-09-09	oos	0.0096	0.009589	-0.11%	0.010417	+8.51%	0.1053	✗	1.00
2026-09-08	oos	0.012026	0.012017	-0.07%	0.0096	-20.18%	0.2226	✓	1.00
2026-09-07	oos	0.012792	0.012778	-0.11%	0.012026	-5.99%	0.0525	✓	1.00
2026-09-06	oos	0.015676	0.01566	-0.11%	0.012792	-18.40%	0.1866	✓	1.00
2026-09-05	oos	0.022874	0.022714	-0.70%	0.015676	-31.46%	0.3772	✓	1.00
2026-09-04	oos	0.018372	0.018331	-0.22%	0.022874	+24.50%	0.2194	✗	1.00
2026-09-03	oos	0.024546	0.024349	-0.80%	0.018372	-25.15%	0.2619	✓	1.00
2026-09-02	oos	0.019138	0.019071	-0.35%	0.024546	+28.26%	0.2024	✗	1.00
2026-09-01	oos	0.021014	0.020918	-0.46%	0.019138	-8.93%	0.0878	✓	1.00
2026-08-31	oos	0.025262	0.025033	-0.91%	0.021014	-16.82%	0.1601	✓	1.00
2026-08-30	oos	0.026994	0.02649	-1.87%	0.025262	-6.42%	0.0590	✓	1.00
2026-08-29	oos	0.022167	0.021777	-1.76%	0.026994	+21.78%	0.2221	✗	1.00
2026-08-28	oos	0.014283	0.014264	-0.14%	0.022167	+55.20%	0.4358	✗	1.00
2026-08-27	oos	0.016661	0.016622	-0.23%	0.014283	-14.27%	0.1208	✓	1.00
2026-08-26	oos	0.02285	0.022567	-1.24%	0.016661	-27.09%	0.3191	✓	1.00
2026-08-25	oos	0.019711	0.019531	-0.91%	0.02285	+15.93%	0.1506	✗	1.00
2026-08-24	oos	0.018916	0.018722	-1.03%	0.019711	+4.20%	0.0573	✗	1.00
2026-08-23	oos	0.01615	0.016014	-0.84%	0.018916	+17.13%	0.1506	✗	1.00
2026-08-22	oos	0.013719	0.013649	-0.51%	0.01615	+17.72%	0.1595	✗	1.00
2026-08-21	oos	0.013329	0.013257	-0.54%	0.013719	+2.93%	0.0506	✗	1.00