FIRO

Firo · native · gru_s0

token id: #950
symbol: FIRO
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2023-11-23
predictions: 3,135

Track record at +30d

assessed

370

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

54.9%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.2982

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0483

actual +0.0425

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.8476	0.78808	-7.02%	–	pending	–	–	0.84
2026-10-20	oos	0.8371	0.781388	-6.66%	–	pending	–	–	0.89
2026-10-19	oos	0.8963	0.83619	-6.71%	–	pending	–	–	0.90
2026-10-18	oos	0.9173	0.858359	-6.43%	–	pending	–	–	0.90
2026-10-17	oos	0.8812	0.821294	-6.80%	–	pending	–	–	0.90
2026-10-16	oos	0.922	0.862014	-6.51%	–	pending	–	–	0.90
2026-10-15	oos	0.9549	0.89725	-6.04%	–	pending	–	–	0.88
2026-10-14	oos	0.93775	0.878967	-6.27%	–	pending	–	–	0.88
2026-10-13	oos	1.0017	0.947903	-5.37%	–	pending	–	–	0.87
2026-10-12	oos	1.0128	0.952287	-5.97%	–	pending	–	–	0.88
2026-10-11	oos	0.9873	0.937262	-5.07%	–	pending	–	–	0.89
2026-10-10	oos	0.9798	0.92772	-5.32%	–	pending	–	–	0.89
2026-10-09	oos	0.9222	0.872071	-5.44%	–	pending	–	–	0.88
2026-10-08	oos	0.8936	0.84182	-5.79%	–	pending	–	–	0.88
2026-10-07	oos	0.99505	0.946705	-4.86%	–	pending	–	–	0.84
2026-10-06	oos	0.9847	0.94713	-3.82%	–	pending	–	–	0.86
2026-10-05	oos	1.0559	1.0179	-3.60%	–	pending	–	–	0.84
2026-10-04	oos	1.1169	1.0801	-3.30%	–	pending	–	–	0.83
2026-10-03	oos	1.0857	1.045	-3.75%	–	pending	–	–	0.82
2026-10-02	oos	1.0794	1.0379	-3.84%	–	pending	–	–	0.82
2026-10-01	oos	1.0735	1.033	-3.77%	–	pending	–	–	0.82
2026-09-30	oos	1.0859	1.0406	-4.17%	–	pending	–	–	0.82
2026-09-29	oos	1.0804	1.0386	-3.87%	–	pending	–	–	0.80
2026-09-28	oos	1.2496	1.2032	-3.71%	–	pending	–	–	0.77
2026-09-27	oos	1.2486	1.2081	-3.24%	–	pending	–	–	0.74
2026-09-26	oos	1.2486	1.2114	-2.98%	–	pending	–	–	0.72
2026-09-25	oos	1.3131	1.2767	-2.77%	–	pending	–	–	0.72
2026-09-24	oos	1.2151	1.1944	-1.70%	–	pending	–	–	0.73
2026-09-23	oos	1.2796	1.2531	-2.07%	–	pending	–	–	0.73
2026-09-22	oos	1.3302	1.3057	-1.84%	–	pending	–	–	0.71
2026-09-21	oos	1.2501	1.2386	-0.92%	0.8476	-32.20%	0.3449	✓	0.75
2026-09-20	oos	1.1219	1.0968	-2.24%	0.8371	-25.39%	0.2844	✓	0.65
2026-09-19	oos	1.217	1.1834	-2.76%	0.8963	-26.35%	0.2826	✓	0.64
2026-09-18	oos	1.199	1.1613	-3.14%	0.9173	-23.49%	0.2445	✓	0.62
2026-09-17	oos	0.9257	0.899313	-2.85%	0.8812	-4.81%	0.0362	✓	0.25
2026-09-16	oos	0.8081	0.791342	-2.07%	0.922	+14.09%	0.1366	✗	0.24
2026-09-15	oos	0.8086	0.790355	-2.26%	0.9549	+18.09%	0.1669	✗	0.27
2026-09-14	oos	0.7633	0.757742	-0.73%	0.93775	+22.85%	0.1981	✗	0.36
2026-09-13	oos	0.7143	0.706757	-1.06%	1.0017	+40.24%	0.3231	✗	0.33
2026-09-12	oos	0.7453	0.739357	-0.80%	1.0128	+35.88%	0.2967	✗	0.32
2026-09-11	oos	0.7486	0.744169	-0.59%	0.9873	+31.89%	0.2574	✗	0.31
2026-09-10	oos	0.73085	0.726163	-0.64%	0.9798	+34.06%	0.2744	✗	0.32
2026-09-09	oos	0.77315	0.773821	+0.09%	0.9222	+19.28%	0.1608	✓	0.27
2026-09-08	oos	0.8507	0.847161	-0.42%	0.8936	+5.04%	0.0423	✗	0.27
2026-09-07	oos	0.8843	0.882136	-0.24%	0.99505	+12.52%	0.1068	✗	0.26
2026-09-06	oos	1.0139	1.0021	-1.16%	0.9847	-2.88%	0.0295	✓	0.19
2026-09-05	oos	0.88455	0.88624	+0.19%	1.0559	+19.38%	0.1629	✓	0.17
2026-09-04	oos	0.6999	0.713079	+1.88%	1.1169	+59.58%	0.4381	✓	0.13
2026-09-03	oos	0.6648	0.688489	+3.56%	1.0857	+63.31%	0.4485	✓	0.17
2026-09-02	oos	0.6575	0.670932	+2.04%	1.0794	+64.16%	0.4518	✓	0.27
2026-09-01	oos	0.6566	0.671976	+2.34%	1.0735	+63.49%	0.4428	✓	0.28
2026-08-31	oos	0.6867	0.706621	+2.90%	1.0859	+58.14%	0.4148	✓	0.24
2026-08-30	oos	0.6726	0.690867	+2.72%	1.0804	+60.63%	0.4262	✓	0.28
2026-08-29	oos	0.6713	0.693477	+3.30%	1.2496	+86.15%	0.5723	✓	0.26
2026-08-28	oos	0.6639	0.68702	+3.48%	1.2486	+88.07%	0.5764	✓	0.26
2026-08-27	oos	0.6748	0.710363	+5.27%	1.2486	+85.03%	0.5515	✓	0.25
2026-08-26	oos	0.6745	0.705724	+4.63%	1.3131	+94.67%	0.6055	✓	0.25
2026-08-25	oos	0.6911	0.722754	+4.58%	1.2151	+75.82%	0.5018	✓	0.25
2026-08-24	oos	0.676	0.711318	+5.22%	1.2796	+89.29%	0.5697	✓	0.26
2026-08-23	oos	0.7136	0.743757	+4.23%	1.3302	+86.41%	0.5502	✓	0.30
2026-08-22	oos	0.7006	0.730072	+4.21%	1.2501	+78.43%	0.5029	✓	0.30
2026-08-21	oos	0.6643	0.699977	+5.37%	1.1219	+68.88%	0.4599	✓	0.33
2026-08-20	oos	0.6627	0.676209	+2.04%	1.217	+83.64%	0.5490	✓	0.36
2026-08-19	oos	0.6468	0.646129	-0.10%	1.199	+85.37%	0.5638	✗	0.35
2026-08-18	oos	0.6224	0.607461	-2.40%	0.9257	+48.73%	0.3719	✗	0.30
2026-08-17	oos	0.6235	0.608066	-2.48%	0.8081	+29.61%	0.2294	✗	0.33
2026-08-16	oos	0.6239	0.604762	-3.07%	0.8086	+29.60%	0.2285	✗	0.34
2026-08-15	oos	0.6215	0.603039	-2.97%	0.7633	+22.82%	0.1640	✗	0.33
2026-08-14	oos	0.629	0.610259	-2.98%	0.7143	+13.56%	0.0864	✗	0.36
2026-08-13	oos	0.6267	0.608398	-2.92%	0.7453	+18.92%	0.1231	✗	0.40
2026-08-12	oos	0.6273	0.609181	-2.89%	0.7486	+19.34%	0.1206	✗	0.43
2026-08-11	oos	0.6415	0.622701	-2.93%	0.73085	+13.93%	0.0697	✗	0.49
2026-08-10	oos	0.6254	0.607643	-2.84%	0.77315	+23.62%	0.1294	✗	0.55
2026-08-09	oos	0.6305	0.614621	-2.52%	0.8507	+34.92%	0.2341	✗	0.48
2026-08-08	oos	0.6489	0.632745	-2.49%	0.8843	+36.28%	0.2403	✗	0.48
2026-08-07	oos	0.6318	0.616254	-2.46%	1.0139	+60.48%	0.3944	✗	0.48
2026-08-06	oos	0.6206	0.604001	-2.67%	0.88455	+42.53%	0.2780	✗	0.48
2026-08-05	oos	0.6237	0.606971	-2.68%	0.6999	+12.22%	0.0422	✗	0.48
2026-08-04	oos	0.6509	0.630956	-3.06%	0.6648	+2.14%	0.0632	✓	0.48
2026-08-03	oos	0.656	0.633821	-3.38%	0.6575	+0.23%	0.0688	✓	0.53
2026-08-02	oos	0.6586	0.636543	-3.35%	0.6566	-0.30%	0.0857	✓	0.59
2026-08-01	oos	0.6603	0.637008	-3.53%	0.6867	+4.00%	0.0586	✓	0.60
2026-07-31	oos	0.6649	0.642849	-3.32%	0.6726	+1.16%	0.0811	✓	0.60
2026-07-30	oos	0.6688	0.65203	-2.51%	0.6713	+0.37%	0.0882	✓	0.62
2026-07-29	oos	0.6391	0.624543	-2.28%	0.6639	+3.88%	0.0606	✓	0.62
2026-07-28	oos	0.6317	0.620994	-1.69%	0.6748	+6.82%	0.0583	✓	0.62
2026-07-27	oos	0.6857	0.676068	-1.40%	0.6745	-1.63%	0.1420	✓	0.65
2026-07-26	oos	0.666	0.661309	-0.70%	0.6911	+3.77%	0.0780	✓	0.66
2026-07-25	oos	0.6855	0.68142	-0.60%	0.676	-1.39%	0.1573	✓	0.73
2026-07-24	oos	0.75	0.745142	-0.65%	0.7136	-4.85%	0.2014	✓	0.82
2026-07-23	oos	0.6247	0.62619	+0.24%	0.7006	+12.15%	0.0427	✗	0.92
2026-07-22	oos	0.6896	0.692864	+0.47%	0.6643	-3.67%	0.1935	✗	0.89
2026-07-21	oos	0.651	0.655738	+0.73%	0.6627	+1.80%	0.0731	✗	0.90
2026-07-20	oos	0.6351	0.637789	+0.42%	0.6468	+1.84%	0.0420	✗	0.92
2026-07-19	oos	0.6101	0.611655	+0.25%	0.6224	+2.02%	0.0174	✓	0.91
2026-07-18	oos	0.6132	0.614379	+0.19%	0.6235	+1.68%	0.0192	✓	0.90
2026-07-17	oos	0.6091	0.608588	-0.08%	0.6239	+2.43%	0.0398	✗	0.89
2026-07-16	oos	0.6314	0.630428	-0.15%	0.6215	-1.57%	0.0037	✓	0.89
2026-07-15	oos	0.6589	0.657548	-0.21%	0.629	-4.54%	0.0189	✓	0.93
2026-07-14	oos	0.6501	0.648512	-0.24%	0.6267	-3.60%	0.0117	✓	0.92
2026-07-13	oos	0.636	0.630687	-0.84%	0.6273	-1.37%	0.0224	✓	0.93
2026-07-12	oos	0.6463	0.641045	-0.81%	0.6415	-0.74%	0.0038	✓	0.94
2026-07-11	oos	0.6453	0.639083	-0.96%	0.6254	-3.08%	0.0236	✓	0.91
2026-07-10	oos	0.6517	0.644548	-1.10%	0.6305	-3.25%	0.0322	✓	0.91
2026-07-09	oos	0.6119	0.604645	-1.19%	0.6489	+6.05%	0.0464	✗	0.90
2026-07-08	oos	0.6209	0.612557	-1.34%	0.6318	+1.76%	0.0081	✓	0.93
2026-07-07	oos	0.6265	0.618066	-1.35%	0.6206	-0.94%	0.0097	✓	0.94
2026-07-06	oos	0.63	0.621596	-1.33%	0.6237	-1.00%	0.0054	✓	0.94
2026-07-05	oos	0.6357	0.627173	-1.34%	0.6509	+2.39%	0.0302	✗	0.95
2026-07-04	oos	0.6459	0.63709	-1.36%	0.656	+1.56%	0.0235	✗	0.95
2026-07-03	oos	0.6386	0.629898	-1.36%	0.6586	+3.13%	0.0305	✗	0.91
2026-07-02	oos	0.6473	0.638369	-1.38%	0.6603	+2.01%	0.0148	✗	0.92
2026-07-01	oos	0.6503	0.640972	-1.43%	0.6649	+2.25%	0.0074	✓	0.94
2026-06-30	oos	0.6606	0.650689	-1.50%	0.6688	+1.24%	0.0693	✓	0.96
2026-06-29	oos	0.642	0.632356	-1.50%	0.6391	-0.45%	0.0498	✓	1.00
2026-06-28	oos	0.6702	0.659183	-1.64%	0.6317	-5.74%	0.1141	✓	1.01
2026-06-27	oos	0.6664	0.654711	-1.75%	0.6857	+2.90%	0.0142	✓	0.99
2026-06-26	oos	0.6523	0.640145	-1.86%	0.666	+2.10%	0.0450	✓	0.99
2026-06-25	oos	0.6487	0.636065	-1.95%	0.6855	+5.67%	0.0012	✓	0.99
2026-06-24	oos	0.653	0.638463	-2.23%	0.75	+14.85%	0.1120	✗	0.99
2026-06-23	oos	0.6854	0.667953	-2.55%	0.6247	-8.86%	0.1063	✓	1.04
2026-06-22	oos	0.6992	0.679593	-2.80%	0.6896	-1.37%	0.0202	✓	1.06
2026-06-21	oos	0.7204	0.699686	-2.88%	0.651	-9.63%	0.1266	✓	1.08
2026-06-20	oos	0.7058	0.684068	-3.08%	0.6351	-10.02%	0.0908	✓	1.08
2026-06-19	oos	0.7008	0.679023	-3.11%	0.6101	-12.94%	0.1279	✓	1.11
2026-06-18	oos	0.7193	0.696639	-3.15%	0.6132	-14.75%	0.1606	✓	1.10
2026-06-17	oos	0.7489	0.72311	-3.44%	0.6091	-18.67%	0.1622	✓	1.09
2026-06-16	oos	0.7709	0.742782	-3.65%	0.6314	-18.10%	0.1313	✓	1.09
2026-06-15	oos	0.7762	0.746428	-3.84%	0.6589	-15.11%	0.0998	✓	1.05
2026-06-14	oos	0.7691	0.73875	-3.95%	0.6501	-15.47%	0.1163	✓	1.05
2026-06-13	oos	0.7705	0.740032	-3.95%	0.636	-17.46%	0.1145	✓	1.08
2026-06-12	oos	0.756	0.72583	-3.99%	0.6463	-14.51%	0.1195	✓	1.08
2026-06-11	oos	0.732	0.701434	-4.18%	0.6453	-11.84%	0.0870	✓	1.08
2026-06-10	oos	0.7157	0.687639	-3.92%	0.6517	-8.94%	0.1001	✓	1.09
2026-06-09	oos	0.7293	0.698566	-4.21%	0.6119	-16.10%	0.1586	✓	1.09
2026-06-08	oos	0.7329	0.698329	-4.72%	0.6209	-15.28%	0.1031	✓	1.10
2026-06-07	oos	0.7127	0.677606	-4.92%	0.6265	-12.09%	0.0788	✓	1.04
2026-06-06	oos	0.7402	0.706266	-4.58%	0.63	-14.89%	0.1725	✓	1.15
2026-06-05	oos	0.7405	0.705026	-4.79%	0.6357	-14.15%	0.1505	✓	1.15
2026-06-04	oos	0.8074	0.762897	-5.51%	0.6459	-20.00%	0.1537	✓	1.12
2026-06-03	oos	0.875	0.824559	-5.76%	0.6386	-27.02%	0.2282	✓	1.14
2026-06-02	oos	0.874	0.818515	-6.35%	0.6473	-25.94%	0.1432	✓	1.13
2026-06-01	oos	0.9156	0.851741	-6.97%	0.6503	-28.98%	0.0900	✓	1.04
2026-05-31	oos	0.895	0.834475	-6.76%	0.6606	-26.19%	0.0188	✓	1.10
2026-05-30	oos	0.912	0.85091	-6.70%	0.642	-29.61%	0.0911	✓	0.93
2026-05-29	oos	0.9561	0.891625	-6.74%	0.6702	-29.90%	0.0950	✓	0.91
2026-05-28	oos	0.9597	0.895236	-6.72%	0.6664	-30.56%	0.1132	✓	0.89
2026-05-27	oos	0.9509	0.889215	-6.49%	0.6523	-31.40%	0.1368	✓	0.81
2026-05-26	oos	0.9861	0.929224	-5.77%	0.6487	-34.22%	0.1671	✓	0.80
2026-05-25	oos	1.0307	0.977173	-5.19%	0.653	-36.64%	0.1962	✓	0.87
2026-05-24	oos	1.0175	0.964368	-5.22%	0.6854	-32.64%	0.1607	✓	0.88
2026-05-23	oos	0.927	0.878728	-5.21%	0.6992	-24.57%	0.0691	✓	0.88
2026-05-22	oos	0.9386	0.885815	-5.62%	0.7204	-23.25%	0.0485	✓	0.90
2026-05-21	oos	0.9575	0.912798	-4.67%	0.7058	-26.29%	0.0875	✓	0.90
2026-05-20	oos	1.0566	1.0054	-4.85%	0.7008	-33.67%	0.1833	✓	0.89
2026-05-19	oos	0.9715	0.921904	-5.11%	0.7193	-25.96%	0.0737	✓	0.87
2026-05-18	oos	0.9539	0.905687	-5.05%	0.7489	-21.49%	0.0348	✓	0.88
2026-05-17	oos	0.9369	0.894286	-4.55%	0.7709	-17.72%	0.0003	✓	0.90
2026-05-16	oos	1.0445	0.999883	-4.27%	0.7762	-25.69%	0.1093	✓	0.88
2026-05-15	oos	1.201	1.1551	-3.83%	0.7691	-35.96%	0.2517	✓	0.84
2026-05-14	oos	1.2687	1.2279	-3.22%	0.7705	-39.27%	0.2799	✓	0.81
2026-05-13	oos	1.1912	1.1505	-3.42%	0.756	-36.53%	0.2308	✓	0.85
2026-05-12	oos	1.3903	1.336	-3.90%	0.732	-47.35%	0.4131	✓	0.80
2026-05-11	oos	1.1881	1.1579	-2.55%	0.7157	-39.76%	0.2268	✓	0.89
2026-05-10	oos	1.1859	1.1615	-2.06%	0.7293	-38.50%	0.2050	✓	0.91
2026-05-09	oos	1.1651	1.1371	-2.41%	0.7329	-37.10%	0.2153	✓	0.91
2026-05-08	oos	1.168	1.1391	-2.47%	0.7127	-38.98%	0.2605	✓	0.88
2026-05-07	oos	1.1705	1.1408	-2.54%	0.7402	-36.76%	0.1857	✓	0.90
2026-05-06	oos	1.1673	1.1451	-1.91%	0.7405	-36.56%	0.1169	✓	1.11
2026-05-05	oos	1.0047	0.993795	-1.09%	0.8074	-19.64%	0.0731	✗	1.18
2026-05-04	oos	0.9014	0.892836	-0.95%	0.875	-2.93%	0.2328	✗	1.15
2026-05-03	oos	0.891	0.877346	-1.53%	0.874	-1.91%	0.1846	✗	1.15
2026-05-02	oos	0.8907	0.87798	-1.43%	0.9156	+2.80%	0.1543	✗	1.14
2026-05-01	oos	0.8571	0.845602	-1.34%	0.895	+4.42%	0.1266	✗	1.14
2026-04-30	oos	0.829	0.812713	-1.96%	0.912	+10.01%	0.1527	✗	1.11
2026-04-29	oos	0.821	0.804503	-2.01%	0.9561	+16.46%	0.2081	✗	1.11
2026-04-28	oos	0.9136	0.892742	-2.28%	0.9597	+5.05%	0.1145	✗	1.13
2026-04-27	oos	0.8744	0.861846	-1.44%	0.9509	+8.75%	0.1440	✗	1.14
2026-04-26	oos	0.9573	0.946679	-1.11%	0.9861	+3.01%	0.0819	✗	1.12
2026-04-25	oos	0.8181	0.812465	-0.69%	1.0307	+25.99%	0.2437	✗	1.11
2026-04-24	oos	0.7601	0.757923	-0.29%	1.0175	+33.86%	0.3016	✗	1.13
2026-04-23	oos	0.8087	0.809533	+0.10%	0.927	+14.63%	0.1592	✓	1.12
2026-04-22	oos	0.8333	0.832423	-0.11%	0.9386	+12.64%	0.1605	✗	1.12
2026-04-21	oos	0.7887	0.783338	-0.68%	0.9575	+21.40%	0.1834	✗	1.11
2026-04-20	oos	0.7759	0.768758	-0.92%	1.0566	+36.18%	0.2948	✗	1.11
2026-04-19	oos	0.7667	0.752533	-1.85%	0.9715	+26.71%	0.2131	✗	1.08
2026-04-18	oos	0.7735	0.766798	-0.87%	0.9539	+23.32%	0.2013	✗	1.08
2026-04-17	oos	0.7731	0.77303	-0.01%	0.9369	+21.19%	0.1879	✗	1.09
2026-04-16	oos	0.7084	0.703564	-0.68%	1.0445	+47.44%	0.3542	✗	1.07
2026-04-15	oos	0.7505	0.741948	-1.14%	1.201	+60.03%	0.4228	✗	1.07
2026-04-14	oos	0.7751	0.761053	-1.81%	1.2687	+63.68%	0.4153	✗	1.08
2026-04-13	oos	0.8106	0.794687	-1.96%	1.1912	+46.95%	0.3334	✗	1.13
2026-04-12	oos	0.7887	0.762344	-3.34%	1.3903	+76.28%	0.4531	✗	1.15
2026-04-11	oos	0.8128	0.79311	-2.42%	1.1881	+46.17%	0.2748	✗	1.16
2026-04-10	oos	0.6947	0.684134	-1.52%	1.1859	+70.71%	0.4122	✗	1.16
2026-04-09	oos	0.6567	0.644432	-1.87%	1.1651	+77.42%	0.4581	✗	1.15
2026-04-08	oos	0.6537	0.640949	-1.95%	1.168	+78.68%	0.4611	✗	1.15
2026-04-07	oos	0.6643	0.655042	-1.39%	1.1705	+76.20%	0.4574	✗	1.15
2026-04-06	oos	0.6347	0.615962	-2.95%	1.1673	+83.91%	0.4445	✗	1.16
2026-04-05	oos	0.6043	0.586769	-2.90%	1.0047	+66.26%	0.3532	✗	1.16
2026-04-04	oos	0.6245	0.604639	-3.18%	0.9014	+44.34%	0.1985	✗	1.17
2026-04-03	oos	0.6235	0.604139	-3.11%	0.891	+42.90%	0.2010	✗	1.17
2026-04-02	oos	0.6293	0.609765	-3.10%	0.8907	+41.54%	0.1884	✗	1.17
2026-04-01	oos	0.6221	0.604232	-2.87%	0.8571	+37.78%	0.1879	✗	1.17
2026-03-31	oos	0.6198	0.602872	-2.73%	0.829	+33.75%	0.1886	✗	1.16
2026-03-30	oos	0.6208	0.604196	-2.67%	0.821	+32.25%	0.1589	✗	1.17
2026-03-29	oos	0.6376	0.621384	-2.54%	0.9136	+43.29%	0.2168	✗	1.16
2026-03-28	oos	0.6315	0.617927	-2.15%	0.8744	+38.46%	0.1707	✗	1.15
2026-03-27	oos	0.6051	0.594217	-1.80%	0.9573	+58.21%	0.2820	✗	1.14
2026-03-26	oos	0.6183	0.611425	-1.11%	0.8181	+32.31%	0.1510	✗	1.15
2026-03-25	oos	0.6875	0.685407	-0.30%	0.7601	+10.56%	0.0102	✗	1.13
2026-03-24	oos	0.6465	0.644251	-0.35%	0.8087	+25.09%	0.1112	✗	1.11
2026-03-23	oos	0.6555	0.654239	-0.19%	0.8333	+27.12%	0.1323	✗	1.11
2026-03-22	oos	0.6279	0.622313	-0.89%	0.7887	+25.61%	0.1055	✗	1.11
2026-03-21	oos	0.6771	0.672962	-0.61%	0.7759	+14.59%	0.0361	✗	1.11
2026-03-20	oos	0.669	0.667366	-0.24%	0.7667	+14.60%	0.0874	✗	1.11
2026-03-19	oos	0.6529	0.650685	-0.34%	0.7735	+18.47%	0.0841	✗	1.11
2026-03-18	oos	0.6722	0.67153	-0.10%	0.7731	+15.01%	0.0548	✗	1.09
2026-03-17	oos	0.6644	0.66674	+0.35%	0.7084	+6.62%	0.0421	✓	1.12
2026-03-16	oos	0.6809	0.683734	+0.42%	0.7505	+10.22%	0.0939	✓	1.11
2026-03-15	oos	0.6459	0.646351	+0.07%	0.7751	+20.00%	0.1616	✓	1.09
2026-03-14	oos	0.6292	0.627423	-0.28%	0.8106	+28.83%	0.2083	✗	1.09
2026-03-13	oos	0.642	0.639886	-0.33%	0.7887	+22.85%	0.2120	✗	1.09
2026-03-12	oos	0.6526	0.649987	-0.40%	0.8128	+24.55%	0.1846	✗	1.09
2026-03-11	oos	0.612	0.606521	-0.90%	0.6947	+13.51%	0.0925	✗	1.11
2026-03-10	oos	0.6458	0.640943	-0.75%	0.6567	+1.69%	0.0043	✓	1.10
2026-03-09	oos	0.6859	0.680739	-0.75%	0.6537	-4.69%	0.0835	✓	1.13
2026-03-08	oos	0.6458	0.638265	-1.17%	0.6643	+2.86%	0.0576	✓	1.13
2026-03-07	oos	0.6502	0.643256	-1.07%	0.6347	-2.38%	0.0400	✓	1.13
2026-03-06	oos	0.7077	0.701928	-0.82%	0.6043	-14.61%	0.1645	✓	1.13
2026-03-05	oos	0.7517	0.746133	-0.74%	0.6245	-16.92%	0.1196	✓	1.12
2026-03-04	oos	0.7127	0.706131	-0.92%	0.6235	-12.52%	0.0313	✓	1.14
2026-03-03	oos	0.721	0.715019	-0.83%	0.6293	-12.72%	0.1025	✓	1.18
2026-03-02	oos	0.7801	0.773715	-0.82%	0.6221	-20.25%	0.2055	✓	1.20
2026-03-01	oos	0.8504	0.842046	-0.98%	0.6198	-27.12%	0.3519	✓	1.24
2026-02-28	oos	0.81	0.801877	-1.00%	0.6208	-23.36%	0.2518	✓	1.22
2026-02-27	oos	0.8276	0.81825	-1.13%	0.6376	-22.96%	0.2513	✓	1.23
2026-02-26	oos	0.7424	0.733237	-1.23%	0.6315	-14.94%	0.1272	✓	1.27
2026-02-25	oos	0.7725	0.762213	-1.33%	0.6051	-21.67%	0.1999	✓	1.27
2026-02-24	oos	0.692	0.683608	-1.21%	0.6183	-10.65%	0.1866	✓	1.22
2026-02-23	oos	0.7031	0.694917	-1.16%	0.6875	-2.22%	0.1289	✓	1.20
2026-02-22	oos	0.7356	0.725636	-1.35%	0.6465	-12.11%	0.1671	✓	1.22
2026-02-21	oos	0.7696	0.758581	-1.43%	0.6555	-14.83%	0.1991	✓	1.26
2026-02-20	oos	0.7956	0.784064	-1.45%	0.6279	-21.08%	0.2194	✓	1.34
2026-02-19	oos	0.8029	0.792445	-1.30%	0.6771	-15.67%	0.1959	✓	1.35
2026-02-18	oos	0.8113	0.80132	-1.23%	0.669	-17.54%	0.2630	✓	1.39
2026-02-17	oos	0.822	0.810546	-1.39%	0.6529	-20.57%	0.2681	✓	1.45
2026-02-16	oos	0.8702	0.854778	-1.77%	0.6722	-22.75%	0.2895	✓	1.44
2026-02-15	oos	0.9231	0.904521	-2.01%	0.6644	-28.03%	0.4104	✓	1.41
2026-02-14	oos	0.9424	0.919846	-2.39%	0.6809	-27.75%	0.3993	✓	1.40
2026-02-13	oos	0.9471	0.924937	-2.34%	0.6459	-31.80%	0.4359	✓	1.35
2026-02-12	oos	0.8499	0.838708	-1.32%	0.6292	-25.97%	0.3848	✓	1.33
2026-02-11	oos	0.8637	0.850674	-1.51%	0.642	-25.67%	0.3551	✓	1.30
2026-02-10	oos	0.9149	0.894945	-2.18%	0.6526	-28.67%	0.3475	✓	1.28
2026-02-09	oos	0.9577	0.930908	-2.80%	0.612	-36.10%	0.4214	✓	1.28
2026-02-08	oos	0.9885	0.957009	-3.19%	0.6458	-34.67%	0.3876	✓	1.26
2026-02-07	oos	1.0725	1.0322	-3.76%	0.6859	-36.05%	0.3928	✓	1.35
2026-02-06	oos	1.1406	1.086	-4.79%	0.6458	-43.38%	0.4260	✓	1.40
2026-02-05	oos	0.9324	0.908704	-2.54%	0.6502	-30.27%	0.4261	✓	1.33
2026-02-04	oos	1.1532	1.0865	-5.78%	0.7077	-38.63%	0.3332	✓	1.38
2026-02-03	oos	1.1517	1.0775	-6.44%	0.7517	-34.73%	0.2610	✓	1.52
2026-02-02	oos	1.208	1.1212	-7.18%	0.7127	-41.00%	0.3343	✓	1.50
2026-02-01	oos	1.2018	1.116	-7.14%	0.721	-40.01%	0.2882	✓	1.26
2026-01-31	oos	1.2276	1.1369	-7.39%	0.7801	-36.45%	0.1995	✓	1.33
2026-01-30	oos	1.2832	1.1853	-7.63%	0.8504	-33.73%	0.0186	✓	1.43
2026-01-29	oos	1.2912	1.189	-7.91%	0.81	-37.27%	0.0463	✓	1.45
2026-01-28	oos	1.4375	1.3308	-7.42%	0.8276	-42.43%	0.0433	✓	1.43
2026-01-27	oos	1.4171	1.3079	-7.71%	0.7424	-47.61%	0.1559	✓	1.48
2026-01-26	oos	1.5084	1.3964	-7.43%	0.7725	-48.79%	0.2113	✓	1.46
2026-01-25	oos	1.3886	1.2753	-8.16%	0.692	-50.17%	0.1707	✓	1.46
2026-01-24	oos	1.5632	1.4403	-7.86%	0.7031	-55.02%	0.2659	✓	1.41
2026-01-23	oos	1.6004	1.4708	-8.10%	0.7356	-54.04%	0.2904	✓	1.44
2026-01-22	oos	1.7155	1.5734	-8.28%	0.7696	-55.14%	0.3198	✓	1.44
2026-01-21	oos	1.705	1.5558	-8.75%	0.7956	-53.34%	0.2789	✓	1.43
2026-01-20	oos	1.7586	1.6002	-9.01%	0.8029	-54.34%	0.2697	✓	1.52
2026-01-19	oos	1.7548	1.5735	-10.33%	0.8113	-53.77%	0.1330	✓	1.60
2026-01-18	oos	1.6001	1.4258	-10.89%	0.822	-48.63%	0.0147	✓	1.64
2026-01-17	oos	1.7004	1.5155	-10.87%	0.8702	-48.82%	0.0178	✓	1.66
2026-01-16	oos	1.911	1.7084	-10.60%	0.9231	-51.70%	0.0830	✓	1.62
2026-01-15	oos	1.8505	1.654	-10.62%	0.9424	-49.07%	0.0567	✓	1.61
2026-01-14	oos	1.8977	1.6907	-10.91%	0.9471	-50.09%	0.0169	✓	1.64
2026-01-13	oos	1.4442	1.2629	-12.56%	0.8499	-41.15%	0.1706	✗	1.55
2026-01-12	oos	1.3797	1.1934	-13.50%	0.8637	-37.40%	0.1518	✗	1.54
2026-01-11	oos	1.2505	1.0733	-14.17%	0.9149	-26.84%	0.2719	✗	1.55
2026-01-10	oos	1.1019	0.940153	-14.68%	0.9577	-13.09%	0.4090	✗	1.54
2026-01-09	oos	1.155	0.978413	-15.29%	0.9885	-14.42%	0.3628	✗	1.39
2026-01-08	oos	1.1722	0.984427	-16.02%	1.0725	-8.51%	0.4204	✗	1.22
2026-01-07	oos	1.2265	1.0224	-16.64%	1.1406	-7.00%	0.3230	✗	0.83
2026-01-06	oos	1.3002	1.0762	-17.23%	0.9324	-28.29%	0.1605	✓	0.76
2026-01-05	oos	1.2657	1.038	-17.99%	1.1532	-8.89%	0.2940	✗	0.75
2026-01-04	oos	1.2551	1.0346	-17.57%	1.1517	-8.24%	0.2421	✗	0.71
2026-01-03	oos	1.2419	1.026	-17.39%	1.208	-2.73%	0.2642	✗	0.71
2026-01-02	oos	1.2407	1.0296	-17.01%	1.2018	-3.14%	0.2662	✗	0.71
2026-01-01	oos	1.3103	1.0972	-16.26%	1.2276	-6.31%	0.2017	✗	0.74
2025-12-31	oos	1.3419	1.1315	-15.68%	1.2832	-4.37%	0.1552	✓	0.74
2025-12-30	oos	1.3547	1.1337	-16.31%	1.2912	-4.69%	0.1657	✓	0.79
2025-12-29	oos	1.4501	1.2231	-15.65%	1.4375	-0.87%	0.1429	✓	0.80
2025-12-28	oos	1.2472	1.0756	-13.76%	1.4171	+13.62%	0.2643	✗	0.82
2025-12-27	oos	1.2406	1.0793	-13.00%	1.5084	+21.59%	0.3304	✗	0.86
2025-12-26	oos	1.2271	1.0793	-12.05%	1.3886	+13.16%	0.2590	✗	0.83
2025-12-25	oos	1.373	1.197	-12.82%	1.5632	+13.85%	0.2488	✗	0.84
2025-12-24	oos	1.2847	1.1337	-11.76%	1.6004	+24.57%	0.3270	✗	0.85
2025-12-23	oos	1.3175	1.1685	-11.31%	1.7155	+30.21%	0.3644	✗	0.85
2025-12-22	oos	1.3396	1.188	-11.32%	1.705	+27.28%	0.3537	✗	0.84
2025-12-21	oos	1.3321	1.187	-10.90%	1.7586	+32.02%	0.3962	✗	0.84
2025-12-20	oos	1.352	1.21	-10.50%	1.7548	+29.79%	0.3317	✗	0.85
2025-12-19	oos	1.3798	1.2401	-10.12%	1.6001	+15.97%	0.2025	✗	0.86
2025-12-18	oos	1.4117	1.2802	-9.31%	1.7004	+20.45%	0.1879	✗	0.90
2025-12-17	oos	1.5658	1.4132	-9.74%	1.911	+22.05%	0.2125	✗	0.87
2025-12-16	oos	1.5189	1.3724	-9.64%	1.8505	+21.83%	0.2259	✗	0.86
2025-12-15	oos	1.547	1.4029	-9.32%	1.8977	+22.67%	0.2004	✗	0.88
2025-12-14	oos	1.5612	1.411	-9.62%	1.4442	-7.49%	0.0437	✓	0.85
2025-12-13	oos	1.6587	1.491	-10.11%	1.3797	-16.82%	0.0861	✓	0.83
2025-12-12	oos	1.6998	1.5257	-10.24%	1.2505	-26.43%	0.2043	✓	0.83
2025-12-11	oos	1.9007	1.7045	-10.32%	1.1019	-42.03%	0.4178	✓	0.78
2025-12-10	oos	2.0681	1.8588	-10.12%	1.155	-44.15%	0.4627	✓	0.79
2025-12-09	oos	2.2147	1.9956	-9.89%	1.1722	-47.07%	0.5179	✓	0.78
2025-12-08	oos	2.0749	1.8542	-10.63%	1.2265	-40.89%	0.4186	✓	0.76
2025-12-07	oos	2.1585	1.9282	-10.67%	1.3002	-39.76%	0.4218	✓	0.77
2025-12-06	oos	2.1753	1.9346	-11.06%	1.2657	-41.81%	0.4626	✓	0.76
2025-12-05	oos	2.3701	2.1104	-10.96%	1.2551	-47.04%	0.5379	✓	0.77
2025-12-04	oos	2.4001	2.1423	-10.74%	1.2419	-48.26%	0.5327	✓	0.77
2025-12-03	oos	2.2141	1.9526	-11.81%	1.2407	-43.96%	0.4233	✓	0.79
2025-12-02	oos	2.0663	1.7887	-13.44%	1.3103	-36.59%	0.2891	✓	0.77
2025-12-01	oos	2.0424	1.7655	-13.56%	1.3419	-34.30%	0.2862	✓	0.85
2025-11-30	oos	2.0181	1.7242	-14.56%	1.3547	-32.87%	0.2211	✓	0.91
2025-11-29	oos	2.1995	1.8954	-13.83%	1.4501	-34.07%	0.2303	✓	0.90
2025-11-28	oos	2.2508	1.9325	-14.14%	1.2472	-44.59%	0.4073	✓	0.91
2025-11-27	oos	2.65	2.3462	-11.46%	1.2406	-53.18%	0.6023	✓	0.89
2025-11-26	oos	2.8145	2.4972	-11.27%	1.2271	-56.40%	0.6778	✓	0.92
2025-11-25	oos	2.8099	2.4604	-12.44%	1.373	-51.14%	0.5817	✓	0.95
2025-11-24	oos	3.1104	2.7439	-11.78%	1.2847	-58.70%	0.7520	✓	0.92
2025-11-23	oos	2.6466	2.2982	-13.16%	1.3175	-50.22%	0.5623	✓	0.82
2025-11-22	oos	2.0862	1.7565	-15.80%	1.3396	-35.79%	0.2981	✓	0.61
2025-11-21	oos	2.3982	2.0579	-14.19%	1.3321	-44.45%	0.4599	✓	0.61
2025-11-20	oos	2.928	2.5875	-11.63%	1.352	-53.83%	0.6600	✓	0.53
2025-11-19	oos	3.509	3.1552	-10.08%	1.3798	-60.68%	0.8177	✓	0.25
2025-11-18	oos	3.5056	3.1539	-10.03%	1.4117	-59.73%	0.7833	✓	0.25
2025-11-17	oos	4.2919	3.8031	-11.39%	1.5658	-63.52%	0.8679	✓	0.30
2025-11-16	oos	4.1796	3.681	-11.93%	1.5189	-63.66%	0.8619	✓	0.33
2025-11-15	oos	3.103	2.8088	-9.48%	1.547	-50.15%	0.5532	✓	0.43
2025-11-14	oos	2.8813	2.6113	-9.37%	1.5612	-45.82%	0.4858	✓	0.41
2025-11-13	oos	2.939	2.6874	-8.56%	1.6587	-43.56%	0.4445	✓	0.39
2025-11-12	oos	2.8393	2.6046	-8.26%	1.6998	-40.13%	0.3796	✓	0.40
2025-11-11	oos	3.1359	2.8514	-9.07%	1.9007	-39.39%	0.3673	✓	0.36
2025-11-10	oos	3.0174	2.7135	-10.07%	2.0681	-31.46%	0.2179	✓	0.38
2025-11-09	oos	2.1958	2.0244	-7.81%	2.2147	+0.86%	0.1214	✗	0.26
2025-11-08	oos	1.794	1.643	-8.42%	2.0749	+15.66%	0.2478	✗	0.12
2025-11-07	oos	1.7824	1.6312	-8.49%	2.1585	+21.10%	0.2958	✗	0.12
2025-11-06	oos	1.4682	1.3171	-10.29%	2.1753	+48.16%	0.5014	✗	-0.00
2025-11-05	oos	1.8578	1.7034	-8.31%	2.3701	+27.58%	0.3018	✗	-0.19
2025-11-04	oos	1.8728	1.6969	-9.39%	2.4001	+28.16%	0.3286	✗	-0.19
2025-11-03	oos	1.5803	1.4523	-8.10%	2.2141	+40.11%	0.4279	✗	0.05
2025-11-02	oos	1.8033	1.6729	-7.23%	2.0663	+14.58%	0.1848	✗	-0.14
2025-11-01	oos	1.5727	1.4537	-7.56%	2.0424	+29.87%	0.3023	✗	-0.15
2025-10-31	oos	1.3608	1.2509	-8.08%	2.0181	+48.30%	0.4428	✗	-0.18
2025-10-30	oos	1.2619	1.1482	-9.01%	2.1995	+74.30%	0.6142	✗	-0.20
2025-10-29	oos	1.4833	1.3707	-7.59%	2.2508	+51.74%	0.4409	✗	-0.29
2025-10-28	oos	1.4321	1.3309	-7.07%	2.65	+85.04%	0.6353	✗	-0.25
2025-10-27	oos	1.7264	1.6065	-6.95%	2.8145	+63.03%	0.4855	✗	-0.32
2025-10-26	oos	1.5906	1.4836	-6.73%	2.8099	+76.66%	0.5532	✗	-0.32
2025-10-25	oos	1.4643	1.3591	-7.19%	3.1104	+112.42%	0.7427	✗	-0.36
2025-10-24	oos	1.4757	1.3647	-7.52%	2.6466	+79.35%	0.5648	✗	-0.40
2025-10-23	oos	1.4768	1.3615	-7.81%	2.0862	+41.26%	0.3231	✗	-0.39
2025-10-22	oos	1.2884	1.1839	-8.11%	2.3982	+86.14%	0.5847	✗	-0.52
2025-10-21	oos	1.2338	1.1378	-7.78%	2.928	+137.32%	0.8314	✗	-0.51
2025-10-20	oos	1.2969	1.2033	-7.22%	3.509	+170.57%	0.9682	✗	-0.54
2025-10-19	oos	1.1538	1.0678	-7.45%	3.5056	+203.83%	1.0939	✗	-0.61
2025-10-18	oos	1.2065	1.1156	-7.53%	4.2919	+255.73%	1.2595	✗	-0.58
2025-10-17	oos	1.2667	1.1715	-7.52%	4.1796	+229.96%	1.2030	✗	-0.56
2025-10-16	oos	1.4108	1.3067	-7.38%	3.103	+119.95%	0.7858	✗	-0.64
2025-10-15	oos	1.5306	1.4176	-7.39%	2.8813	+88.25%	0.5946	✗	-0.72
2025-10-14	oos	1.447	1.3496	-6.73%	2.939	+103.11%	0.6896	✗	-0.70
2025-10-13	oos	1.5624	1.4475	-7.36%	2.8393	+81.73%	0.5756	✗	-0.78
2025-10-12	oos	1.4058	1.3145	-6.49%	3.1359	+123.07%	0.7841	✗	-0.77
2025-10-11	oos	1.5112	1.3729	-9.15%	3.0174	+99.67%	0.7572	✗	-0.68
2025-10-10	oos	1.0842	1.0248	-5.48%	2.1958	+102.53%	0.7277	✗	-0.45
2025-10-09	oos	0.9355	0.908106	-2.93%	1.794	+91.77%	0.6815	✗	0.00
2025-10-08	oos	0.7801	0.766585	-1.73%	1.7824	+128.48%	0.8750	✗	0.18
2025-10-07	oos	0.7782	0.76158	-2.14%	1.4682	+88.67%	0.7018	✗	0.25
2025-10-06	oos	0.717	0.709512	-1.04%	1.8578	+159.11%	1.0299	✗	0.37
2025-10-05	oos	0.6989	0.689228	-1.38%	1.8728	+167.96%	1.0692	✗	0.35
2025-10-04	oos	0.7039	0.692346	-1.64%	1.5803	+124.51%	0.8734	✗	0.35
2025-10-03	oos	0.701	0.689162	-1.69%	1.8033	+157.25%	0.9965	✗	0.34
2025-10-02	oos	0.7127	0.697128	-2.18%	1.5727	+120.67%	0.8463	✗	0.36
2025-10-01	oos	0.6238	0.608083	-2.52%	1.3608	+118.15%	0.8258	✗	0.25
2025-09-30	oos	0.6189	0.597813	-3.41%	1.2619	+103.89%	0.7601	✗	0.25
2025-09-29	oos	0.6369	0.615242	-3.40%	1.4833	+132.89%	0.8904	✗	0.27
2025-09-28	oos	0.5722	0.547543	-4.31%	1.4321	+150.28%	0.9604	✗	0.18
2025-09-27	oos	0.5832	0.556032	-4.66%	1.7264	+196.02%	1.1257	✗	0.18
2025-09-26	oos	0.6207	0.593596	-4.37%	1.5906	+156.26%	0.9784	✗	0.17
2025-09-25	oos	0.5954	0.567355	-4.71%	1.4643	+145.94%	0.9445	✗	0.15
2025-09-24	oos	0.6084	0.584553	-3.92%	1.4757	+142.55%	0.9285	✗	0.12
2025-09-23	oos	0.6103	0.585263	-4.10%	1.4768	+141.98%	0.9278	✗	0.13
2025-09-22	oos	0.5926	0.56808	-4.14%	1.2884	+117.41%	0.8245	✗	0.12
2025-09-21	oos	0.6157	0.593914	-3.54%	1.2338	+100.39%	0.7357	✗	0.07
2025-09-20	oos	0.6	0.57879	-3.54%	1.2969	+116.15%	0.8252	✗	0.40
2025-09-19	oos	0.6327	0.61134	-3.38%	1.1538	+82.36%	0.6642	✗	0.46
2025-09-18	oos	0.5919	0.572088	-3.35%	1.2065	+103.84%	0.7919	✗	0.52
2025-09-17	oos	0.641	0.6203	-3.23%	1.2667	+97.61%	0.7589	✗	0.50

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.