FIRO

Firo · native · gru_s0

token id: #950
symbol: FIRO
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2023-11-23
predictions: 3,135

Track record at +1d

assessed

399

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

51.9%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0498

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0045

actual +0.0016

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.8476	0.84358	-0.47%	–	pending	–	–	0.84
2026-10-20	oos	0.8371	0.833864	-0.39%	0.8476	+1.25%	0.0189	✗	0.89
2026-10-19	oos	0.8963	0.892504	-0.42%	0.8371	-6.60%	0.0761	✓	0.90
2026-10-18	oos	0.9173	0.913165	-0.45%	0.8963	-2.29%	0.0168	✓	0.90
2026-10-17	oos	0.8812	0.878576	-0.30%	0.9173	+4.10%	0.0362	✗	0.90
2026-10-16	oos	0.922	0.918937	-0.33%	0.8812	-4.43%	0.0406	✓	0.90
2026-10-15	oos	0.9549	0.951232	-0.38%	0.922	-3.45%	0.0245	✓	0.88
2026-10-14	oos	0.93775	0.935123	-0.28%	0.9549	+1.83%	0.0149	✗	0.88
2026-10-13	oos	1.0017	0.997427	-0.43%	0.93775	-6.38%	0.0455	✓	0.87
2026-10-12	oos	1.0128	1.008	-0.47%	1.0017	-1.09%	0.0207	✓	0.88
2026-10-11	oos	0.9873	0.983299	-0.41%	1.0128	+2.58%	0.0503	✗	0.89
2026-10-10	oos	0.9798	0.975833	-0.40%	0.9873	+0.77%	0.0035	✓	0.89
2026-10-09	oos	0.9222	0.919768	-0.26%	0.9798	+6.25%	0.0593	✗	0.88
2026-10-08	oos	0.8936	0.892022	-0.18%	0.9222	+3.20%	0.0241	✗	0.88
2026-10-07	oos	0.99505	0.991273	-0.38%	0.8936	-10.20%	0.0876	✓	0.84
2026-10-06	oos	0.9847	0.982087	-0.27%	0.99505	+1.05%	0.0361	✗	0.86
2026-10-05	oos	1.0559	1.0524	-0.33%	0.9847	-6.75%	0.0645	✓	0.84
2026-10-04	oos	1.1169	1.1127	-0.38%	1.0559	-5.46%	0.0451	✓	0.83
2026-10-03	oos	1.0857	1.0813	-0.40%	1.1169	+2.87%	0.0154	✗	0.82
2026-10-02	oos	1.0794	1.0748	-0.42%	1.0857	+0.59%	0.0078	✗	0.82
2026-10-01	oos	1.0735	1.0696	-0.36%	1.0794	+0.54%	0.0124	✗	0.82
2026-09-30	oos	1.0859	1.082	-0.37%	1.0735	-1.15%	0.0204	✓	0.82
2026-09-29	oos	1.0804	1.0772	-0.30%	1.0859	+0.51%	0.0089	✗	0.80
2026-09-28	oos	1.2496	1.2434	-0.50%	1.0804	-13.54%	0.1422	✓	0.77
2026-09-27	oos	1.2486	1.2428	-0.46%	1.2496	+0.08%	0.0143	✗	0.74
2026-09-26	oos	1.2486	1.2433	-0.42%	1.2486	+0.00%	0.0039	✓	0.72
2026-09-25	oos	1.3131	1.3041	-0.68%	1.2486	-4.91%	0.0463	✓	0.72
2026-09-24	oos	1.2151	1.2101	-0.41%	1.3131	+8.06%	0.0842	✗	0.73
2026-09-23	oos	1.2796	1.2722	-0.58%	1.2151	-5.04%	0.0460	✓	0.73
2026-09-22	oos	1.3302	1.3197	-0.79%	1.2796	-3.80%	0.0158	✓	0.71
2026-09-21	oos	1.2501	1.2406	-0.76%	1.3302	+6.41%	0.0732	✗	0.75
2026-09-20	oos	1.1219	1.116	-0.52%	1.2501	+11.43%	0.0710	✗	0.65
2026-09-19	oos	1.217	1.2051	-0.98%	1.1219	-7.81%	0.0709	✓	0.64
2026-09-18	oos	1.199	1.1771	-1.83%	1.217	+1.50%	0.0306	✗	0.62
2026-09-17	oos	0.9257	0.919688	-0.65%	1.199	+29.52%	0.2509	✗	0.25
2026-09-16	oos	0.8081	0.806349	-0.22%	0.9257	+14.55%	0.1374	✗	0.24
2026-09-15	oos	0.8086	0.806202	-0.30%	0.8081	-0.06%	0.0004	✓	0.27
2026-09-14	oos	0.7633	0.762409	-0.12%	0.8086	+5.93%	0.0708	✗	0.36
2026-09-13	oos	0.7143	0.714715	+0.06%	0.7633	+6.86%	0.0600	✓	0.33
2026-09-12	oos	0.7453	0.745436	+0.02%	0.7143	-4.16%	0.0408	✗	0.32
2026-09-11	oos	0.7486	0.748782	+0.02%	0.7453	-0.44%	0.0049	✗	0.31
2026-09-10	oos	0.73085	0.73158	+0.10%	0.7486	+2.43%	0.0202	✓	0.32
2026-09-09	oos	0.77315	0.773601	+0.06%	0.73085	-5.47%	0.0506	✗	0.27
2026-09-08	oos	0.8507	0.849685	-0.12%	0.77315	-9.12%	0.0938	✓	0.27
2026-09-07	oos	0.8843	0.882078	-0.25%	0.8507	-3.80%	0.0341	✓	0.26
2026-09-06	oos	1.0139	1.0039	-0.99%	0.8843	-12.78%	0.1238	✓	0.19
2026-09-05	oos	0.88455	0.875555	-1.02%	1.0139	+14.62%	0.1456	✗	0.17
2026-09-04	oos	0.6999	0.700361	+0.07%	0.88455	+26.38%	0.2332	✓	0.13
2026-09-03	oos	0.6648	0.666024	+0.18%	0.6999	+5.28%	0.0529	✓	0.17
2026-09-02	oos	0.6575	0.658495	+0.15%	0.6648	+1.11%	0.0037	✗	0.27
2026-09-01	oos	0.6566	0.657676	+0.16%	0.6575	+0.14%	0.0001	✓	0.28
2026-08-31	oos	0.6867	0.687562	+0.13%	0.6566	-4.38%	0.0425	✗	0.24
2026-08-30	oos	0.6726	0.673537	+0.14%	0.6867	+2.10%	0.0161	✓	0.28
2026-08-29	oos	0.6713	0.672369	+0.16%	0.6726	+0.19%	0.0022	✓	0.26
2026-08-28	oos	0.6639	0.665032	+0.17%	0.6713	+1.11%	0.0081	✓	0.26
2026-08-27	oos	0.6748	0.675977	+0.17%	0.6639	-1.62%	0.0104	✗	0.25
2026-08-26	oos	0.6745	0.675656	+0.17%	0.6748	+0.04%	0.0052	✗	0.25
2026-08-25	oos	0.6911	0.691942	+0.12%	0.6745	-2.40%	0.0271	✗	0.25
2026-08-24	oos	0.676	0.677035	+0.15%	0.6911	+2.23%	0.0221	✓	0.26
2026-08-23	oos	0.7136	0.71399	+0.05%	0.676	-5.27%	0.0595	✗	0.30
2026-08-22	oos	0.7006	0.700822	+0.03%	0.7136	+1.86%	0.0155	✓	0.30
2026-08-21	oos	0.6643	0.665106	+0.12%	0.7006	+5.46%	0.0575	✓	0.33
2026-08-20	oos	0.6627	0.662881	+0.03%	0.6643	+0.24%	0.0233	✗	0.36
2026-08-19	oos	0.6468	0.646329	-0.07%	0.6627	+2.46%	0.0066	✗	0.35
2026-08-18	oos	0.6224	0.621145	-0.20%	0.6468	+3.92%	0.0199	✗	0.30
2026-08-17	oos	0.6235	0.622182	-0.21%	0.6224	-0.18%	0.0007	✓	0.33
2026-08-16	oos	0.6239	0.622277	-0.26%	0.6235	-0.06%	0.0067	✓	0.34
2026-08-15	oos	0.6215	0.62003	-0.24%	0.6239	+0.39%	0.0072	✗	0.33
2026-08-14	oos	0.629	0.627446	-0.25%	0.6215	-1.19%	0.0098	✓	0.36
2026-08-13	oos	0.6267	0.625223	-0.24%	0.629	+0.37%	0.0089	✗	0.40
2026-08-12	oos	0.6273	0.625807	-0.24%	0.6267	-0.10%	0.0013	✓	0.43
2026-08-11	oos	0.6415	0.639792	-0.27%	0.6273	-2.21%	0.0188	✓	0.49
2026-08-10	oos	0.6254	0.623977	-0.23%	0.6415	+2.57%	0.0310	✗	0.55
2026-08-09	oos	0.6305	0.629153	-0.21%	0.6254	-0.81%	0.0010	✓	0.48
2026-08-08	oos	0.6489	0.647312	-0.24%	0.6305	-2.84%	0.0259	✓	0.48
2026-08-07	oos	0.6318	0.630425	-0.22%	0.6489	+2.71%	0.0288	✗	0.48
2026-08-06	oos	0.6206	0.619247	-0.22%	0.6318	+1.80%	0.0155	✗	0.48
2026-08-05	oos	0.6237	0.622274	-0.23%	0.6206	-0.50%	0.0002	✓	0.48
2026-08-04	oos	0.6509	0.649012	-0.29%	0.6237	-4.18%	0.0439	✓	0.48
2026-08-03	oos	0.656	0.653888	-0.32%	0.6509	-0.78%	0.0095	✓	0.53
2026-08-02	oos	0.6586	0.656515	-0.32%	0.656	-0.39%	0.0005	✓	0.59
2026-08-01	oos	0.6603	0.658168	-0.32%	0.6586	-0.26%	0.0063	✓	0.60
2026-07-31	oos	0.6649	0.66252	-0.36%	0.6603	-0.69%	0.0028	✓	0.60
2026-07-30	oos	0.6688	0.667095	-0.25%	0.6649	-0.58%	0.0151	✗	0.62
2026-07-29	oos	0.6391	0.637972	-0.18%	0.6688	+4.65%	0.0393	✗	0.62
2026-07-28	oos	0.6317	0.630974	-0.11%	0.6391	+1.17%	0.0123	✗	0.62
2026-07-27	oos	0.6857	0.683557	-0.31%	0.6317	-7.88%	0.0804	✓	0.65
2026-07-26	oos	0.666	0.665667	-0.05%	0.6857	+2.96%	0.0466	✗	0.66
2026-07-25	oos	0.6855	0.684939	-0.08%	0.666	-2.84%	0.0397	✓	0.73
2026-07-24	oos	0.75	0.74639	-0.48%	0.6855	-8.60%	0.0878	✓	0.82
2026-07-23	oos	0.6247	0.625155	+0.07%	0.75	+20.06%	0.1958	✓	0.92
2026-07-22	oos	0.6896	0.689256	-0.05%	0.6247	-9.41%	0.0843	✓	0.89
2026-07-21	oos	0.651	0.651202	+0.03%	0.6896	+5.93%	0.0631	✓	0.90
2026-07-20	oos	0.6351	0.635285	+0.03%	0.651	+2.50%	0.0062	✓	0.92
2026-07-19	oos	0.6101	0.610543	+0.07%	0.6351	+4.10%	0.0320	✓	0.91
2026-07-18	oos	0.6132	0.61363	+0.07%	0.6101	-0.51%	0.0042	✗	0.90
2026-07-17	oos	0.6091	0.609543	+0.07%	0.6132	+0.67%	0.0066	✗	0.89
2026-07-16	oos	0.6314	0.631629	+0.04%	0.6091	-3.53%	0.0380	✗	0.89
2026-07-15	oos	0.6589	0.658921	+0.00%	0.6314	-4.17%	0.0289	✗	0.93
2026-07-14	oos	0.6501	0.650116	+0.00%	0.6589	+1.35%	0.0173	✓	0.92
2026-07-13	oos	0.636	0.635848	-0.02%	0.6501	+2.22%	0.0179	✓	0.93
2026-07-12	oos	0.6463	0.646062	-0.04%	0.636	-1.59%	0.0064	✗	0.94
2026-07-11	oos	0.6453	0.644965	-0.05%	0.6463	+0.15%	0.0025	✗	0.91
2026-07-10	oos	0.6517	0.651084	-0.09%	0.6453	-0.98%	0.0039	✓	0.91
2026-07-09	oos	0.6119	0.611651	-0.04%	0.6517	+6.50%	0.0500	✗	0.90
2026-07-08	oos	0.6209	0.620522	-0.06%	0.6119	-1.45%	0.0280	✓	0.93
2026-07-07	oos	0.6265	0.626123	-0.06%	0.6209	-0.89%	0.0078	✗	0.94
2026-07-06	oos	0.63	0.629622	-0.06%	0.6265	-0.56%	0.0050	✗	0.94
2026-07-05	oos	0.6357	0.635303	-0.06%	0.63	-0.90%	0.0146	✓	0.95
2026-07-04	oos	0.6459	0.645361	-0.08%	0.6357	-1.58%	0.0226	✓	0.95
2026-07-03	oos	0.6386	0.638198	-0.06%	0.6459	+1.14%	0.0038	✗	0.91
2026-07-02	oos	0.6473	0.646761	-0.08%	0.6386	-1.34%	0.0281	✓	0.92
2026-07-01	oos	0.6503	0.649811	-0.08%	0.6473	-0.46%	0.0275	✓	0.94
2026-06-30	oos	0.6606	0.659967	-0.10%	0.6503	-1.56%	0.0381	✓	0.96
2026-06-29	oos	0.642	0.641641	-0.06%	0.6606	+2.90%	0.0568	✗	1.00
2026-06-28	oos	0.6702	0.669495	-0.11%	0.642	-4.21%	0.0535	✓	1.01
2026-06-27	oos	0.6664	0.665616	-0.12%	0.6702	+0.57%	0.0145	✗	0.99
2026-06-26	oos	0.6523	0.651715	-0.09%	0.6664	+2.16%	0.0234	✗	0.99
2026-06-25	oos	0.6487	0.648208	-0.08%	0.6523	+0.55%	0.0013	✗	0.99
2026-06-24	oos	0.653	0.652391	-0.09%	0.6487	-0.66%	0.0153	✗	0.99
2026-06-23	oos	0.6854	0.684234	-0.17%	0.653	-4.73%	0.0187	✓	1.04
2026-06-22	oos	0.6992	0.697861	-0.19%	0.6854	-1.97%	0.0038	✗	1.06
2026-06-21	oos	0.7204	0.718734	-0.23%	0.6992	-2.94%	0.0397	✓	1.08
2026-06-20	oos	0.7058	0.704229	-0.22%	0.7204	+2.07%	0.0395	✗	1.08
2026-06-19	oos	0.7008	0.699382	-0.20%	0.7058	+0.71%	0.0039	✓	1.11
2026-06-18	oos	0.7193	0.717805	-0.21%	0.7008	-2.57%	0.0344	✓	1.10
2026-06-17	oos	0.7489	0.746888	-0.27%	0.7193	-3.95%	0.0107	✓	1.09
2026-06-16	oos	0.7709	0.768366	-0.33%	0.7489	-2.85%	0.0060	✓	1.09
2026-06-15	oos	0.7762	0.772931	-0.42%	0.7709	-0.68%	0.0078	✗	1.05
2026-06-14	oos	0.7691	0.766343	-0.36%	0.7762	+0.92%	0.0037	✗	1.05
2026-06-13	oos	0.7705	0.767723	-0.36%	0.7691	-0.18%	0.0194	✓	1.08
2026-06-12	oos	0.756	0.753374	-0.35%	0.7705	+1.92%	0.0074	✗	1.08
2026-06-11	oos	0.732	0.730004	-0.27%	0.756	+3.28%	0.0354	✗	1.08
2026-06-10	oos	0.7157	0.714818	-0.12%	0.732	+2.28%	0.0131	✓	1.09
2026-06-09	oos	0.7293	0.728306	-0.14%	0.7157	-1.86%	0.0132	✓	1.09
2026-06-08	oos	0.7329	0.731684	-0.17%	0.7293	-0.49%	0.0209	✗	1.10
2026-06-07	oos	0.7127	0.712135	-0.08%	0.7329	+2.83%	0.0327	✗	1.04
2026-06-06	oos	0.7402	0.74088	+0.09%	0.7127	-3.72%	0.0843	✗	1.15
2026-06-05	oos	0.7405	0.741612	+0.15%	0.7402	-0.04%	0.0015	✓	1.15
2026-06-04	oos	0.8074	0.807046	-0.04%	0.7405	-8.29%	0.0361	✓	1.12
2026-06-03	oos	0.875	0.873789	-0.14%	0.8074	-7.73%	0.0749	✓	1.14
2026-06-02	oos	0.874	0.872259	-0.20%	0.875	+0.11%	0.0485	✗	1.13
2026-06-01	oos	0.9156	0.911593	-0.44%	0.874	-4.54%	0.0279	✗	1.04
2026-05-31	oos	0.895	0.891076	-0.44%	0.9156	+2.30%	0.0616	✗	1.10
2026-05-30	oos	0.912	0.908451	-0.39%	0.895	-1.86%	0.0124	✓	0.93
2026-05-29	oos	0.9561	0.951952	-0.43%	0.912	-4.61%	0.0479	✓	0.91
2026-05-28	oos	0.9597	0.955695	-0.42%	0.9561	-0.38%	0.0022	✓	0.89
2026-05-27	oos	0.9509	0.947455	-0.36%	0.9597	+0.93%	0.0216	✗	0.81
2026-05-26	oos	0.9861	0.981616	-0.45%	0.9509	-3.57%	0.0156	✓	0.80
2026-05-25	oos	1.0307	1.0252	-0.53%	0.9861	-4.33%	0.0226	✓	0.87
2026-05-24	oos	1.0175	1.0113	-0.61%	1.0307	+1.30%	0.0159	✗	0.88
2026-05-23	oos	0.927	0.924041	-0.32%	1.0175	+9.76%	0.0926	✗	0.88
2026-05-22	oos	0.9386	0.935934	-0.28%	0.927	-1.24%	0.0238	✓	0.90
2026-05-21	oos	0.9575	0.954739	-0.29%	0.9386	-1.97%	0.0077	✗	0.90
2026-05-20	oos	1.0566	1.0514	-0.49%	0.9575	-9.38%	0.0944	✓	0.89
2026-05-19	oos	0.9715	0.968343	-0.32%	1.0566	+8.76%	0.0792	✗	0.87
2026-05-18	oos	0.9539	0.951412	-0.26%	0.9715	+1.85%	0.0229	✗	0.88
2026-05-17	oos	0.9369	0.934827	-0.22%	0.9539	+1.81%	0.0256	✗	0.90
2026-05-16	oos	1.0445	1.0423	-0.21%	0.9369	-10.30%	0.0987	✓	0.88
2026-05-15	oos	1.201	1.1971	-0.33%	1.0445	-13.03%	0.1262	✓	0.84
2026-05-14	oos	1.2687	1.2637	-0.40%	1.201	-5.34%	0.0304	✓	0.81
2026-05-13	oos	1.1912	1.1875	-0.31%	1.2687	+6.51%	0.0471	✗	0.85
2026-05-12	oos	1.3903	1.377	-0.96%	1.1912	-14.32%	0.1330	✓	0.80
2026-05-11	oos	1.1881	1.1837	-0.37%	1.3903	+17.02%	0.1745	✗	0.89
2026-05-10	oos	1.1859	1.182	-0.33%	1.1881	+0.19%	0.0104	✗	0.91
2026-05-09	oos	1.1651	1.161	-0.35%	1.1859	+1.79%	0.0039	✗	0.91
2026-05-08	oos	1.168	1.1628	-0.45%	1.1651	-0.25%	0.0031	✓	0.88
2026-05-07	oos	1.1705	1.1647	-0.49%	1.168	-0.21%	0.0007	✓	0.90
2026-05-06	oos	1.1673	1.158	-0.80%	1.1705	+0.27%	0.0304	✗	1.11
2026-05-05	oos	1.0047	1.0005	-0.42%	1.1673	+16.18%	0.1465	✗	1.18
2026-05-04	oos	0.9014	0.899803	-0.18%	1.0047	+11.46%	0.0952	✗	1.15
2026-05-03	oos	0.891	0.889317	-0.19%	0.9014	+1.17%	0.0052	✓	1.15
2026-05-02	oos	0.8907	0.888923	-0.20%	0.891	+0.03%	0.0041	✗	1.14
2026-05-01	oos	0.8571	0.855804	-0.15%	0.8907	+3.92%	0.0335	✗	1.14
2026-04-30	oos	0.829	0.827884	-0.13%	0.8571	+3.39%	0.0070	✗	1.11
2026-04-29	oos	0.821	0.819878	-0.14%	0.829	+0.97%	0.0030	✗	1.11
2026-04-28	oos	0.9136	0.910728	-0.31%	0.821	-10.14%	0.0953	✓	1.13
2026-04-27	oos	0.8744	0.872626	-0.20%	0.9136	+4.48%	0.0614	✗	1.14
2026-04-26	oos	0.9573	0.951678	-0.59%	0.8744	-8.66%	0.0660	✓	1.12
2026-04-25	oos	0.8181	0.816792	-0.16%	0.9573	+17.02%	0.1442	✗	1.11
2026-04-24	oos	0.7601	0.759952	-0.02%	0.8181	+7.63%	0.0710	✗	1.13
2026-04-23	oos	0.8087	0.808015	-0.08%	0.7601	-6.01%	0.0493	✓	1.12
2026-04-22	oos	0.8333	0.831911	-0.17%	0.8087	-2.95%	0.0293	✓	1.12
2026-04-21	oos	0.7887	0.787288	-0.18%	0.8333	+5.65%	0.0300	✗	1.11
2026-04-20	oos	0.7759	0.774793	-0.14%	0.7887	+1.65%	0.0108	✗	1.11
2026-04-19	oos	0.7667	0.765145	-0.20%	0.7759	+1.20%	0.0155	✓	1.08
2026-04-18	oos	0.7735	0.772291	-0.16%	0.7667	-0.88%	0.0203	✗	1.08
2026-04-17	oos	0.7731	0.771724	-0.18%	0.7735	+0.05%	0.0216	✗	1.09
2026-04-16	oos	0.7084	0.708036	-0.05%	0.7731	+9.13%	0.0608	✗	1.07
2026-04-15	oos	0.7505	0.74944	-0.14%	0.7084	-5.61%	0.0610	✓	1.07
2026-04-14	oos	0.7751	0.773309	-0.23%	0.7505	-3.17%	0.0394	✓	1.08
2026-04-13	oos	0.8106	0.807779	-0.35%	0.7751	-4.38%	0.0372	✓	1.13
2026-04-12	oos	0.7887	0.784887	-0.48%	0.8106	+2.78%	0.0261	✓	1.15
2026-04-11	oos	0.8128	0.807581	-0.64%	0.7887	-2.97%	0.0138	✗	1.16
2026-04-10	oos	0.6947	0.692741	-0.28%	0.8128	+17.00%	0.1584	✗	1.16
2026-04-09	oos	0.6567	0.65526	-0.22%	0.6947	+5.79%	0.0393	✗	1.15
2026-04-08	oos	0.6537	0.652173	-0.23%	0.6567	+0.46%	0.0046	✓	1.15
2026-04-07	oos	0.6643	0.66273	-0.24%	0.6537	-1.60%	0.0004	✓	1.15
2026-04-06	oos	0.6347	0.632451	-0.35%	0.6643	+4.66%	0.0013	✓	1.16
2026-04-05	oos	0.6043	0.602854	-0.24%	0.6347	+5.03%	0.0540	✗	1.16
2026-04-04	oos	0.6245	0.622602	-0.30%	0.6043	-3.23%	0.0593	✓	1.17
2026-04-03	oos	0.6235	0.621818	-0.27%	0.6245	+0.16%	0.0015	✓	1.17
2026-04-02	oos	0.6293	0.627432	-0.30%	0.6235	-0.92%	0.0074	✓	1.17
2026-04-01	oos	0.6221	0.620552	-0.25%	0.6293	+1.16%	0.0351	✗	1.17
2026-03-31	oos	0.6198	0.618461	-0.22%	0.6221	+0.37%	0.0077	✗	1.16
2026-03-30	oos	0.6208	0.619532	-0.20%	0.6198	-0.16%	0.0252	✓	1.17
2026-03-29	oos	0.6376	0.636307	-0.20%	0.6208	-2.63%	0.0383	✓	1.16
2026-03-28	oos	0.6315	0.630438	-0.17%	0.6376	+0.97%	0.0176	✗	1.15
2026-03-27	oos	0.6051	0.604676	-0.07%	0.6315	+4.36%	0.0440	✗	1.14
2026-03-26	oos	0.6183	0.6181	-0.03%	0.6051	-2.13%	0.0200	✗	1.15
2026-03-25	oos	0.6875	0.686956	-0.08%	0.6183	-10.07%	0.0646	✓	1.13
2026-03-24	oos	0.6465	0.646419	-0.01%	0.6875	+6.34%	0.0495	✗	1.11
2026-03-23	oos	0.6555	0.655403	-0.01%	0.6465	-1.37%	0.0083	✓	1.11
2026-03-22	oos	0.6279	0.627851	-0.01%	0.6555	+4.40%	0.0055	✓	1.11
2026-03-21	oos	0.6771	0.676726	-0.06%	0.6279	-7.27%	0.0576	✓	1.11
2026-03-20	oos	0.669	0.668868	-0.02%	0.6771	+1.21%	0.0376	✗	1.11
2026-03-19	oos	0.6529	0.652726	-0.03%	0.669	+2.47%	0.0155	✗	1.11
2026-03-18	oos	0.6722	0.672076	-0.02%	0.6529	-2.87%	0.0085	✓	1.09
2026-03-17	oos	0.6644	0.664548	+0.02%	0.6722	+1.17%	0.0531	✓	1.12
2026-03-16	oos	0.6809	0.680929	+0.00%	0.6644	-2.42%	0.0104	✗	1.11
2026-03-15	oos	0.6459	0.645971	+0.01%	0.6809	+5.42%	0.0222	✓	1.09
2026-03-14	oos	0.6292	0.629281	+0.01%	0.6459	+2.65%	0.0020	✓	1.09
2026-03-13	oos	0.642	0.641965	-0.01%	0.6292	-1.99%	0.0245	✓	1.09
2026-03-12	oos	0.6526	0.652095	-0.08%	0.642	-1.62%	0.0220	✓	1.09
2026-03-11	oos	0.612	0.612075	+0.01%	0.6526	+6.63%	0.0590	✓	1.11
2026-03-10	oos	0.6458	0.645801	+0.00%	0.612	-5.23%	0.0577	✗	1.10
2026-03-09	oos	0.6859	0.68552	-0.06%	0.6458	-5.85%	0.0847	✓	1.13
2026-03-08	oos	0.6458	0.645771	-0.00%	0.6859	+6.21%	0.0188	✗	1.13
2026-03-07	oos	0.6502	0.650338	+0.02%	0.6458	-0.68%	0.0150	✓	1.13
2026-03-06	oos	0.7077	0.707669	-0.00%	0.6502	-8.12%	0.0706	✓	1.13
2026-03-05	oos	0.7517	0.751249	-0.06%	0.7077	-5.85%	0.0149	✓	1.12
2026-03-04	oos	0.7127	0.712598	-0.01%	0.7517	+5.47%	0.0818	✗	1.14
2026-03-03	oos	0.721	0.721102	+0.01%	0.7127	-1.15%	0.0846	✗	1.18
2026-03-02	oos	0.7801	0.779873	-0.03%	0.721	-7.58%	0.0698	✓	1.20
2026-03-01	oos	0.8504	0.849016	-0.16%	0.7801	-8.27%	0.1412	✓	1.24
2026-02-28	oos	0.81	0.809142	-0.11%	0.8504	+4.99%	0.0717	✗	1.22
2026-02-27	oos	0.8276	0.825785	-0.22%	0.81	-2.13%	0.0398	✓	1.23
2026-02-26	oos	0.7424	0.741887	-0.07%	0.8276	+11.48%	0.1403	✗	1.27
2026-02-25	oos	0.7725	0.771412	-0.14%	0.7424	-3.90%	0.0289	✓	1.27
2026-02-24	oos	0.692	0.692328	+0.05%	0.7725	+11.63%	0.0372	✓	1.22
2026-02-23	oos	0.7031	0.703583	+0.07%	0.692	-1.58%	0.0062	✗	1.20
2026-02-22	oos	0.7356	0.73568	+0.01%	0.7031	-4.42%	0.0100	✓	1.22
2026-02-21	oos	0.7696	0.769562	-0.00%	0.7356	-4.42%	0.0388	✓	1.26
2026-02-20	oos	0.7956	0.795526	-0.01%	0.7696	-3.27%	0.0326	✓	1.34
2026-02-19	oos	0.8029	0.803069	+0.02%	0.7956	-0.91%	0.0296	✗	1.35
2026-02-18	oos	0.8113	0.811755	+0.06%	0.8029	-1.04%	0.0224	✗	1.39
2026-02-17	oos	0.822	0.822537	+0.07%	0.8113	-1.30%	0.0090	✓	1.45
2026-02-16	oos	0.8702	0.870256	+0.01%	0.822	-5.54%	0.0276	✗	1.44
2026-02-15	oos	0.9231	0.922596	-0.05%	0.8702	-5.73%	0.0598	✓	1.41
2026-02-14	oos	0.9424	0.941108	-0.14%	0.9231	-2.05%	0.0007	✓	1.40
2026-02-13	oos	0.9471	0.9461	-0.11%	0.9424	-0.50%	0.0230	✓	1.35
2026-02-12	oos	0.8499	0.852003	+0.25%	0.9471	+11.44%	0.0545	✓	1.33
2026-02-11	oos	0.8637	0.866099	+0.28%	0.8499	-1.60%	0.0030	✗	1.30
2026-02-10	oos	0.9149	0.916807	+0.21%	0.8637	-5.60%	0.0262	✗	1.28
2026-02-09	oos	0.9577	0.959306	+0.17%	0.9149	-4.47%	0.0234	✗	1.28
2026-02-08	oos	0.9885	0.990503	+0.20%	0.9577	-3.12%	0.0305	✗	1.26
2026-02-07	oos	1.0725	1.0744	+0.18%	0.9885	-7.83%	0.1033	✗	1.35
2026-02-06	oos	1.1406	1.1406	+0.00%	1.0725	-5.97%	0.0358	✗	1.40
2026-02-05	oos	0.9324	0.942462	+1.08%	1.1406	+22.33%	0.0364	✓	1.33
2026-02-04	oos	1.1532	1.1562	+0.26%	0.9324	-19.15%	0.0077	✗	1.38
2026-02-03	oos	1.1517	1.1547	+0.26%	1.1532	+0.13%	0.0531	✓	1.52
2026-02-02	oos	1.208	1.2075	-0.04%	1.1517	-4.66%	0.0112	✗	1.50
2026-02-01	oos	1.2018	1.2041	+0.19%	1.208	+0.52%	0.0254	✗	1.26
2026-01-31	oos	1.2276	1.2272	-0.03%	1.2018	-2.10%	0.0090	✗	1.33
2026-01-30	oos	1.2832	1.2765	-0.52%	1.2276	-4.33%	0.0566	✗	1.43
2026-01-29	oos	1.2912	1.2843	-0.53%	1.2832	-0.62%	0.0061	✗	1.45
2026-01-28	oos	1.4375	1.4275	-0.70%	1.2912	-10.18%	0.0240	✓	1.43
2026-01-27	oos	1.4171	1.4076	-0.67%	1.4375	+1.44%	0.0203	✗	1.48
2026-01-26	oos	1.5084	1.497	-0.76%	1.4171	-6.05%	0.0691	✓	1.46
2026-01-25	oos	1.3886	1.38	-0.62%	1.5084	+8.63%	0.0607	✗	1.46
2026-01-24	oos	1.5632	1.5517	-0.73%	1.3886	-11.17%	0.0707	✓	1.41
2026-01-23	oos	1.6004	1.5879	-0.78%	1.5632	-2.32%	0.0093	✓	1.44
2026-01-22	oos	1.7155	1.6995	-0.93%	1.6004	-6.71%	0.0603	✓	1.44
2026-01-21	oos	1.705	1.6892	-0.93%	1.7155	+0.62%	0.0139	✗	1.43
2026-01-20	oos	1.7586	1.7407	-1.02%	1.705	-3.05%	0.0387	✓	1.52
2026-01-19	oos	1.7548	1.7277	-1.54%	1.7586	+0.22%	0.0927	✗	1.60
2026-01-18	oos	1.6001	1.5814	-1.17%	1.7548	+9.67%	0.1229	✗	1.64
2026-01-17	oos	1.7004	1.68	-1.20%	1.6001	-5.90%	0.0227	✓	1.66
2026-01-16	oos	1.911	1.8763	-1.82%	1.7004	-11.02%	0.0917	✓	1.62
2026-01-15	oos	1.8505	1.8216	-1.56%	1.911	+3.27%	0.0493	✗	1.61
2026-01-14	oos	1.8977	1.8471	-2.67%	1.8505	-2.49%	0.0252	✓	1.64
2026-01-13	oos	1.4442	1.4189	-1.75%	1.8977	+31.40%	0.2654	✗	1.55
2026-01-12	oos	1.3797	1.3534	-1.91%	1.4442	+4.67%	0.0045	✓	1.54
2026-01-11	oos	1.2505	1.2281	-1.79%	1.3797	+10.33%	0.1110	✗	1.55
2026-01-10	oos	1.1019	1.0855	-1.49%	1.2505	+13.49%	0.1331	✗	1.54
2026-01-09	oos	1.155	1.1367	-1.58%	1.1019	-4.60%	0.0289	✓	1.39
2026-01-08	oos	1.1722	1.1528	-1.66%	1.155	-1.47%	0.0088	✓	1.22
2026-01-07	oos	1.2265	1.2051	-1.74%	1.1722	-4.43%	0.0254	✓	0.83
2026-01-06	oos	1.3002	1.274	-2.01%	1.2265	-5.67%	0.0180	✓	0.76
2026-01-05	oos	1.2657	1.24	-2.03%	1.3002	+2.73%	0.0486	✗	0.75
2026-01-04	oos	1.2551	1.2315	-1.88%	1.2657	+0.84%	0.0092	✓	0.71
2026-01-03	oos	1.2419	1.2201	-1.75%	1.2551	+1.06%	0.0212	✗	0.71
2026-01-02	oos	1.2407	1.2211	-1.58%	1.2419	+0.10%	0.0119	✓	0.71
2026-01-01	oos	1.3103	1.2908	-1.48%	1.2407	-5.31%	0.0497	✓	0.74
2025-12-31	oos	1.3419	1.3237	-1.36%	1.3103	-2.35%	0.0206	✓	0.74
2025-12-30	oos	1.3547	1.3358	-1.39%	1.3419	-0.94%	0.0127	✓	0.79
2025-12-29	oos	1.4501	1.4263	-1.64%	1.3547	-6.58%	0.0632	✓	0.80
2025-12-28	oos	1.2472	1.2371	-0.81%	1.4501	+16.27%	0.1660	✗	0.82
2025-12-27	oos	1.2406	1.2327	-0.64%	1.2472	+0.53%	0.0110	✗	0.86
2025-12-26	oos	1.2271	1.223	-0.33%	1.2406	+1.10%	0.0094	✗	0.83
2025-12-25	oos	1.373	1.3639	-0.66%	1.2271	-10.63%	0.1069	✓	0.84
2025-12-24	oos	1.2847	1.2805	-0.33%	1.373	+6.87%	0.0740	✗	0.85
2025-12-23	oos	1.3175	1.3145	-0.23%	1.2847	-2.49%	0.0247	✓	0.85
2025-12-22	oos	1.3396	1.3359	-0.28%	1.3175	-1.65%	0.0031	✓	0.84
2025-12-21	oos	1.3321	1.3301	-0.15%	1.3396	+0.56%	0.0079	✗	0.84
2025-12-20	oos	1.352	1.351	-0.07%	1.3321	-1.47%	0.0171	✓	0.85
2025-12-19	oos	1.3798	1.3795	-0.02%	1.352	-2.01%	0.0224	✓	0.86
2025-12-18	oos	1.4117	1.415	+0.23%	1.3798	-2.26%	0.0524	✗	0.90
2025-12-17	oos	1.5658	1.5641	-0.11%	1.4117	-9.84%	0.0949	✓	0.87
2025-12-16	oos	1.5189	1.5174	-0.10%	1.5658	+3.09%	0.0477	✗	0.86
2025-12-15	oos	1.547	1.5475	+0.03%	1.5189	-1.82%	0.0332	✗	0.88
2025-12-14	oos	1.5612	1.5593	-0.12%	1.547	-0.91%	0.0092	✗	0.85
2025-12-13	oos	1.6587	1.6509	-0.47%	1.5612	-5.88%	0.0366	✓	0.83
2025-12-12	oos	1.6998	1.691	-0.52%	1.6587	-2.42%	0.0191	✓	0.83
2025-12-11	oos	1.9007	1.8849	-0.83%	1.6998	-10.57%	0.0841	✓	0.78
2025-12-10	oos	2.0681	2.0491	-0.92%	1.9007	-8.09%	0.0795	✓	0.79
2025-12-09	oos	2.2147	2.1921	-1.02%	2.0681	-6.62%	0.0527	✓	0.78
2025-12-08	oos	2.0749	2.0555	-0.93%	2.2147	+6.74%	0.0577	✗	0.76
2025-12-07	oos	2.1585	2.1374	-0.98%	2.0749	-3.87%	0.0318	✓	0.77
2025-12-06	oos	2.1753	2.1545	-0.96%	2.1585	-0.77%	0.0078	✓	0.76
2025-12-05	oos	2.3701	2.3435	-1.12%	2.1753	-8.22%	0.0738	✓	0.77
2025-12-04	oos	2.4001	2.3705	-1.23%	2.3701	-1.25%	0.0230	✗	0.77
2025-12-03	oos	2.2141	2.184	-1.36%	2.4001	+8.40%	0.1060	✗	0.79
2025-12-02	oos	2.0663	2.0401	-1.27%	2.2141	+7.15%	0.0638	✗	0.77
2025-12-01	oos	2.0424	2.0205	-1.07%	2.0663	+1.17%	0.0257	✓	0.85
2025-11-30	oos	2.0181	1.9928	-1.26%	2.0424	+1.20%	0.0666	✗	0.91
2025-11-29	oos	2.1995	2.1712	-1.29%	2.0181	-8.25%	0.0686	✓	0.90
2025-11-28	oos	2.2508	2.2223	-1.27%	2.1995	-2.28%	0.0096	✓	0.91
2025-11-27	oos	2.65	2.6197	-1.14%	2.2508	-15.06%	0.1477	✓	0.89
2025-11-26	oos	2.8145	2.7805	-1.21%	2.65	-5.84%	0.0566	✓	0.92
2025-11-25	oos	2.8099	2.7767	-1.18%	2.8145	+0.16%	0.0200	✓	0.95
2025-11-24	oos	3.1104	3.0568	-1.72%	2.8099	-9.66%	0.0744	✓	0.92
2025-11-23	oos	2.6466	2.6107	-1.36%	3.1104	+17.52%	0.1614	✗	0.82
2025-11-22	oos	2.0862	2.0708	-0.74%	2.6466	+26.86%	0.2303	✗	0.61
2025-11-21	oos	2.3982	2.3819	-0.68%	2.0862	-13.01%	0.1298	✓	0.61
2025-11-20	oos	2.928	2.9088	-0.66%	2.3982	-18.09%	0.1839	✓	0.53
2025-11-19	oos	3.509	3.4729	-1.03%	2.928	-16.56%	0.1568	✓	0.25
2025-11-18	oos	3.5056	3.4728	-0.94%	3.509	+0.10%	0.0142	✗	0.25
2025-11-17	oos	4.2919	4.1999	-2.14%	3.5056	-18.32%	0.1833	✓	0.30
2025-11-16	oos	4.1796	4.0553	-2.97%	4.2919	+2.69%	0.0642	✗	0.33
2025-11-15	oos	3.103	3.0613	-1.35%	4.1796	+34.70%	0.3176	✗	0.43
2025-11-14	oos	2.8813	2.8502	-1.08%	3.103	+7.69%	0.0805	✗	0.41
2025-11-13	oos	2.939	2.9045	-1.18%	2.8813	-1.96%	0.0123	✗	0.39
2025-11-12	oos	2.8393	2.8058	-1.18%	2.939	+3.51%	0.0544	✗	0.40
2025-11-11	oos	3.1359	3.0753	-1.93%	2.8393	-9.46%	0.0751	✓	0.36
2025-11-10	oos	3.0174	2.9088	-3.60%	3.1359	+3.93%	0.0860	✗	0.38
2025-11-09	oos	2.1958	2.164	-1.45%	3.0174	+37.42%	0.3293	✗	0.26
2025-11-08	oos	1.794	1.778	-0.89%	2.1958	+22.40%	0.2083	✗	0.12
2025-11-07	oos	1.7824	1.7628	-1.10%	1.794	+0.65%	0.0187	✗	0.12
2025-11-06	oos	1.4682	1.458	-0.70%	1.7824	+21.40%	0.2010	✗	-0.00
2025-11-05	oos	1.8578	1.8405	-0.93%	1.4682	-20.97%	0.2308	✓	-0.19
2025-11-04	oos	1.8728	1.8387	-1.82%	1.8578	-0.80%	0.0147	✓	-0.19
2025-11-03	oos	1.5803	1.5684	-0.75%	1.8728	+18.51%	0.1797	✗	0.05
2025-11-02	oos	1.8033	1.7815	-1.21%	1.5803	-12.37%	0.1249	✓	-0.14
2025-11-01	oos	1.5727	1.5547	-1.14%	1.8033	+14.66%	0.1490	✗	-0.15
2025-10-31	oos	1.3608	1.35	-0.80%	1.5727	+15.57%	0.1535	✗	-0.18
2025-10-30	oos	1.2619	1.2531	-0.70%	1.3608	+7.84%	0.0848	✗	-0.20
2025-10-29	oos	1.4833	1.4719	-0.77%	1.2619	-14.93%	0.1585	✓	-0.29
2025-10-28	oos	1.4321	1.423	-0.64%	1.4833	+3.58%	0.0350	✗	-0.25
2025-10-27	oos	1.7264	1.7057	-1.20%	1.4321	-17.05%	0.1782	✓	-0.32
2025-10-26	oos	1.5906	1.575	-0.98%	1.7264	+8.54%	0.0905	✗	-0.32
2025-10-25	oos	1.4643	1.4521	-0.83%	1.5906	+8.63%	0.1004	✗	-0.36
2025-10-24	oos	1.4757	1.462	-0.93%	1.4643	-0.77%	0.0038	✓	-0.40
2025-10-23	oos	1.4768	1.4592	-1.19%	1.4757	-0.07%	0.0146	✗	-0.39
2025-10-22	oos	1.2884	1.2766	-0.91%	1.4768	+14.62%	0.1577	✗	-0.52
2025-10-21	oos	1.2338	1.2249	-0.72%	1.2884	+4.43%	0.0469	✗	-0.51
2025-10-20	oos	1.2969	1.2852	-0.90%	1.2338	-4.87%	0.0516	✓	-0.54
2025-10-19	oos	1.1538	1.1469	-0.59%	1.2969	+12.40%	0.1333	✗	-0.61
2025-10-18	oos	1.2065	1.1997	-0.57%	1.1538	-4.37%	0.0311	✓	-0.58
2025-10-17	oos	1.2667	1.2597	-0.55%	1.2065	-4.75%	0.0392	✓	-0.56
2025-10-16	oos	1.4108	1.3997	-0.78%	1.2667	-10.21%	0.1101	✓	-0.64
2025-10-15	oos	1.5306	1.5142	-1.07%	1.4108	-7.83%	0.0879	✓	-0.72
2025-10-14	oos	1.447	1.4338	-0.91%	1.5306	+5.78%	0.0512	✗	-0.70
2025-10-13	oos	1.5624	1.5358	-1.70%	1.447	-7.39%	0.0746	✓	-0.78
2025-10-12	oos	1.4058	1.3872	-1.32%	1.5624	+11.14%	0.1203	✗	-0.77
2025-10-11	oos	1.5112	1.4638	-3.14%	1.4058	-6.97%	0.0144	✓	-0.68
2025-10-10	oos	1.0842	1.0619	-2.05%	1.5112	+39.38%	0.3439	✗	-0.45
2025-10-09	oos	0.9355	0.926771	-0.93%	1.0842	+15.90%	0.1572	✗	0.00
2025-10-08	oos	0.7801	0.778027	-0.27%	0.9355	+19.92%	0.1867	✗	0.18
2025-10-07	oos	0.7782	0.775286	-0.37%	0.7801	+0.24%	0.0022	✓	0.25
2025-10-06	oos	0.717	0.715881	-0.16%	0.7782	+8.54%	0.0934	✗	0.37
2025-10-05	oos	0.6989	0.697996	-0.13%	0.717	+2.59%	0.0234	✗	0.35
2025-10-04	oos	0.7039	0.702705	-0.17%	0.6989	-0.71%	0.0084	✓	0.35
2025-10-03	oos	0.701	0.699526	-0.21%	0.7039	+0.41%	0.0058	✗	0.34
2025-10-02	oos	0.7127	0.709584	-0.44%	0.701	-1.64%	0.0172	✓	0.36
2025-10-01	oos	0.6238	0.622484	-0.21%	0.7127	+14.25%	0.1312	✗	0.25
2025-09-30	oos	0.6189	0.617254	-0.27%	0.6238	+0.79%	0.0006	✓	0.25
2025-09-29	oos	0.6369	0.634461	-0.38%	0.6189	-2.83%	0.0241	✓	0.27
2025-09-28	oos	0.5722	0.570528	-0.29%	0.6369	+11.31%	0.1067	✗	0.18
2025-09-27	oos	0.5832	0.581386	-0.31%	0.5722	-1.89%	0.0201	✓	0.18
2025-09-26	oos	0.6207	0.618325	-0.38%	0.5832	-6.04%	0.0585	✓	0.17
2025-09-25	oos	0.5954	0.593438	-0.33%	0.6207	+4.25%	0.0440	✗	0.15
2025-09-24	oos	0.6084	0.606657	-0.29%	0.5954	-2.14%	0.0142	✓	0.12
2025-09-23	oos	0.6103	0.608318	-0.32%	0.6084	-0.31%	0.0014	✓	0.13
2025-09-22	oos	0.5926	0.590981	-0.27%	0.6103	+2.99%	0.0329	✗	0.12
2025-09-21	oos	0.6157	0.61413	-0.25%	0.5926	-3.75%	0.0340	✓	0.07
2025-09-20	oos	0.6	0.598728	-0.21%	0.6157	+2.62%	0.0296	✗	0.40
2025-09-19	oos	0.6327	0.631147	-0.25%	0.6	-5.17%	0.0509	✓	0.46
2025-09-18	oos	0.5919	0.590893	-0.17%	0.6327	+6.89%	0.0747	✗	0.52
2025-09-17	oos	0.641	0.6397	-0.20%	0.5919	-7.66%	0.0804	✓	0.50

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.