ERG

Ergo · native · gru_s0

token id: #922
symbol: ERG
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2024-04-29
predictions: 2,667

Track record at +7d

assessed

393

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

59.5%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0628

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0108

actual -0.0072

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.31945	0.3131	-1.99%	–	pending	–	–	1.39
2026-10-20	oos	0.3475	0.340265	-2.08%	–	pending	–	–	1.36
2026-10-19	oos	0.32025	0.313705	-2.04%	–	pending	–	–	1.35
2026-10-18	oos	0.31585	0.309737	-1.94%	–	pending	–	–	1.34
2026-10-17	oos	0.32405	0.317364	-2.06%	–	pending	–	–	1.35
2026-10-16	oos	0.3098	0.303903	-1.90%	–	pending	–	–	1.35
2026-10-15	oos	0.3241	0.318089	-1.85%	–	pending	–	–	1.33
2026-10-14	oos	0.2956	0.290264	-1.81%	0.31945	+8.07%	0.0776	✗	1.33
2026-10-13	oos	0.311	0.306291	-1.51%	0.3475	+11.74%	0.1288	✗	1.30
2026-10-12	oos	0.3215	0.315669	-1.81%	0.32025	-0.39%	0.0129	✓	1.31
2026-10-11	oos	0.32625	0.321379	-1.49%	0.31585	-3.19%	0.0084	✓	1.28
2026-10-10	oos	0.3262	0.320582	-1.72%	0.32405	-0.66%	0.0349	✗	1.29
2026-10-09	oos	0.2942	0.289457	-1.61%	0.3098	+5.30%	0.0843	✗	1.29
2026-10-08	oos	0.3076	0.30197	-1.83%	0.3241	+5.36%	0.0639	✗	1.30
2026-10-07	oos	0.2978	0.293526	-1.44%	0.2956	-0.74%	0.0346	✗	1.33
2026-10-06	oos	0.32115	0.317869	-1.02%	0.311	-3.16%	0.0153	✗	1.28
2026-10-05	oos	0.3138	0.311051	-0.88%	0.3215	+2.45%	0.0940	✗	1.27
2026-10-04	oos	0.32445	0.321785	-0.82%	0.32625	+0.55%	0.0558	✗	1.26
2026-10-03	oos	0.3062	0.303134	-1.00%	0.3262	+6.53%	0.1007	✗	1.25
2026-10-02	oos	0.3255	0.321814	-1.13%	0.2942	-9.62%	0.0604	✓	1.25
2026-10-01	oos	0.32945	0.325924	-1.07%	0.3076	-6.63%	0.0106	✓	1.25
2026-09-30	oos	0.3314	0.32728	-1.24%	0.2978	-10.14%	0.0902	✓	1.26
2026-09-29	oos	0.3359	0.331657	-1.26%	0.32115	-4.39%	0.0603	✓	1.25
2026-09-28	oos	0.3236	0.319801	-1.17%	0.3138	-3.03%	0.0533	✓	1.27
2026-09-27	oos	0.3311	0.327523	-1.08%	0.32445	-2.01%	0.0403	✓	1.29
2026-09-26	oos	0.3278	0.32445	-1.02%	0.3062	-6.59%	0.0628	✓	1.29
2026-09-25	oos	0.33875	0.334926	-1.13%	0.3255	-3.91%	0.0348	✓	1.29
2026-09-24	oos	0.3396	0.335977	-1.07%	0.32945	-2.99%	0.0267	✓	1.29
2026-09-23	oos	0.3478	0.343438	-1.25%	0.3314	-4.72%	0.0231	✓	1.28
2026-09-22	oos	0.3403	0.337156	-0.92%	0.3359	-1.29%	0.0361	✗	1.32
2026-09-21	oos	0.32345	0.320998	-0.76%	0.3236	+0.05%	0.0565	✗	1.31
2026-09-20	oos	0.2769	0.274736	-0.78%	0.3311	+19.57%	0.1401	✗	1.17
2026-09-19	oos	0.28165	0.27949	-0.77%	0.3278	+16.39%	0.1147	✗	1.16
2026-09-18	oos	0.28615	0.283667	-0.87%	0.33875	+18.38%	0.1324	✗	1.16
2026-09-17	oos	0.2532	0.251039	-0.85%	0.3396	+34.12%	0.1959	✗	1.06
2026-09-16	oos	0.2491	0.247534	-0.63%	0.3478	+39.62%	0.2313	✗	1.06
2026-09-15	oos	0.24205	0.241174	-0.36%	0.3403	+40.59%	0.2053	✗	1.06
2026-09-14	oos	0.2686	0.267446	-0.43%	0.32345	+20.42%	0.0891	✗	0.99
2026-09-13	oos	0.2597	0.258895	-0.31%	0.2769	+6.62%	0.0127	✗	0.99
2026-09-12	oos	0.2606	0.260109	-0.19%	0.28165	+8.08%	0.0298	✗	0.99
2026-09-11	oos	0.2549	0.254942	+0.02%	0.28615	+12.26%	0.0694	✓	0.99
2026-09-10	oos	0.256	0.255915	-0.03%	0.2532	-1.09%	0.0082	✓	0.99
2026-09-09	oos	0.2494	0.250264	+0.35%	0.2491	-0.12%	0.0239	✓	1.03
2026-09-08	oos	0.2522	0.252946	+0.30%	0.24205	-4.02%	0.0053	✗	1.04
2026-09-07	oos	0.2215	0.223802	+1.04%	0.2686	+21.26%	0.1952	✓	1.09
2026-09-06	oos	0.2646	0.265558	+0.36%	0.2597	-1.85%	0.0215	✓	0.97
2026-09-05	oos	0.2593	0.260671	+0.53%	0.2606	+0.50%	0.0314	✓	0.97
2026-09-04	oos	0.2538	0.255703	+0.75%	0.2549	+0.43%	0.0266	✓	0.95
2026-09-03	oos	0.2634	0.266026	+1.00%	0.256	-2.81%	0.0178	✓	0.94
2026-09-02	oos	0.26055	0.261908	+0.52%	0.2494	-4.28%	0.0616	✗	1.01
2026-09-01	oos	0.2516	0.25356	+0.78%	0.2522	+0.24%	0.0191	✗	1.02
2026-08-31	oos	0.2584	0.260645	+0.87%	0.2215	-14.28%	0.1697	✗	1.04
2026-08-30	oos	0.2469	0.24906	+0.87%	0.2646	+7.17%	0.0258	✓	1.03
2026-08-29	oos	0.2507	0.253088	+0.95%	0.2593	+3.43%	0.0038	✓	1.01
2026-08-28	oos	0.2563	0.258309	+0.78%	0.2538	-0.98%	0.0412	✗	1.01
2026-08-27	oos	0.2586	0.261594	+1.16%	0.2634	+1.86%	0.0058	✓	1.04
2026-08-26	oos	0.2625	0.264816	+0.88%	0.26055	-0.74%	0.0067	✓	1.05
2026-08-25	oos	0.2624	0.264504	+0.80%	0.2516	-4.12%	0.0348	✗	1.05
2026-08-24	oos	0.2673	0.269432	+0.80%	0.2584	-3.33%	0.0361	✗	1.07
2026-08-23	oos	0.2667	0.268356	+0.62%	0.2469	-7.42%	0.0825	✗	1.05
2026-08-22	oos	0.2709	0.271974	+0.40%	0.2507	-7.46%	0.0975	✗	1.06
2026-08-21	oos	0.2675	0.269021	+0.57%	0.2563	-4.19%	0.0418	✗	1.07
2026-08-20	oos	0.2429	0.242469	-0.18%	0.2586	+6.46%	0.0322	✓	1.02
2026-08-19	oos	0.2155	0.214571	-0.43%	0.2625	+21.81%	0.0856	✗	0.88
2026-08-18	oos	0.2014	0.198764	-1.31%	0.2624	+30.29%	0.1111	✗	0.86
2026-08-17	oos	0.2026	0.199911	-1.33%	0.2673	+31.93%	0.1160	✗	0.86
2026-08-16	oos	0.2051	0.201919	-1.55%	0.2667	+30.03%	0.0884	✗	0.89
2026-08-15	oos	0.2025	0.199534	-1.46%	0.2709	+33.78%	0.1266	✗	0.89
2026-08-14	oos	0.207	0.204045	-1.43%	0.2675	+29.23%	0.0753	✗	0.90
2026-08-13	oos	0.209	0.20618	-1.35%	0.2429	+16.22%	0.0360	✗	0.91
2026-08-12	oos	0.2159	0.212962	-1.36%	0.2155	-0.19%	0.0681	✓	0.90
2026-08-11	oos	0.2216	0.218579	-1.36%	0.2014	-9.12%	0.0977	✓	0.88
2026-08-10	oos	0.2382	0.234655	-1.49%	0.2026	-14.95%	0.1546	✓	0.87
2026-08-09	oos	0.2358	0.232566	-1.37%	0.2051	-13.02%	0.0975	✓	0.89
2026-08-08	oos	0.2388	0.235403	-1.42%	0.2025	-15.20%	0.1242	✓	0.89
2026-08-07	oos	0.2356	0.232286	-1.41%	0.207	-12.14%	0.0887	✓	0.89
2026-08-06	oos	0.2341	0.230537	-1.52%	0.209	-10.72%	0.0864	✓	0.88
2026-08-05	oos	0.2253	0.222181	-1.38%	0.2159	-4.17%	0.0121	✓	0.89
2026-08-04	oos	0.222	0.218783	-1.45%	0.2216	-0.18%	0.0200	✗	0.89
2026-08-03	oos	0.2162	0.213013	-1.47%	0.2382	+10.18%	0.1056	✗	0.88
2026-08-02	oos	0.2141	0.210972	-1.46%	0.2358	+10.14%	0.0923	✗	0.90
2026-08-01	oos	0.202	0.199147	-1.41%	0.2388	+18.22%	0.1522	✗	0.88
2026-07-31	oos	0.2046	0.20178	-1.38%	0.2356	+15.15%	0.1266	✗	0.88
2026-07-30	oos	0.2073	0.204938	-1.14%	0.2341	+12.93%	0.1393	✗	0.89
2026-07-29	oos	0.2084	0.205954	-1.17%	0.2253	+8.11%	0.0799	✗	0.89
2026-07-28	oos	0.2074	0.205172	-1.07%	0.222	+7.04%	0.0760	✗	0.89
2026-07-27	oos	0.2007	0.198836	-0.93%	0.2162	+7.72%	0.0869	✗	0.89
2026-07-26	oos	0.2085	0.206995	-0.72%	0.2141	+2.69%	0.0588	✗	0.87
2026-07-25	oos	0.2153	0.213815	-0.69%	0.202	-6.18%	0.0350	✓	0.90
2026-07-24	oos	0.2163	0.215016	-0.59%	0.2046	-5.41%	0.0320	✓	0.89
2026-07-23	oos	0.2203	0.219262	-0.47%	0.2073	-5.90%	0.0516	✓	0.89
2026-07-22	oos	0.2181	0.217355	-0.34%	0.2084	-4.45%	0.0116	✓	0.90
2026-07-21	oos	0.2235	0.222736	-0.34%	0.2074	-7.20%	0.0345	✓	0.90
2026-07-20	oos	0.2198	0.218942	-0.39%	0.2007	-8.69%	0.0659	✓	0.89
2026-07-19	oos	0.2206	0.219608	-0.45%	0.2085	-5.49%	0.0610	✓	0.89
2026-07-18	oos	0.2211	0.22005	-0.48%	0.2153	-2.62%	0.0151	✓	0.86
2026-07-17	oos	0.2211	0.219831	-0.57%	0.2163	-2.17%	0.0187	✓	0.86
2026-07-16	oos	0.22	0.218653	-0.61%	0.2203	+0.14%	0.0096	✓	0.86
2026-07-15	oos	0.22	0.218693	-0.59%	0.2181	-0.86%	0.0210	✓	0.87
2026-07-14	oos	0.2129	0.211687	-0.57%	0.2235	+4.98%	0.0338	✗	0.88
2026-07-13	oos	0.2103	0.208748	-0.74%	0.2198	+4.52%	0.0091	✗	0.92
2026-07-12	oos	0.2215	0.219839	-0.75%	0.2206	-0.41%	0.0097	✓	0.90
2026-07-11	oos	0.2202	0.218493	-0.78%	0.2211	+0.41%	0.0018	✓	0.86
2026-07-10	oos	0.2189	0.217206	-0.77%	0.2211	+1.01%	0.0210	✗	0.87
2026-07-09	oos	0.2182	0.216348	-0.85%	0.22	+0.82%	0.0085	✓	0.88
2026-07-08	oos	0.2216	0.219514	-0.94%	0.22	-0.72%	0.0328	✓	0.90
2026-07-07	oos	0.2215	0.219484	-0.91%	0.2129	-3.88%	0.0539	✓	0.90
2026-07-06	oos	0.2231	0.221042	-0.92%	0.2103	-5.74%	0.0251	✓	0.90
2026-07-05	oos	0.2159	0.213923	-0.92%	0.2215	+2.59%	0.0327	✗	0.84
2026-07-04	oos	0.2129	0.2109	-0.94%	0.2202	+3.43%	0.0340	✗	0.84
2026-07-03	oos	0.2128	0.210681	-1.00%	0.2189	+2.87%	0.0172	✗	0.83
2026-07-02	oos	0.2079	0.205777	-1.02%	0.2182	+4.95%	0.0362	✗	0.83
2026-07-01	oos	0.2034	0.201284	-1.04%	0.2216	+8.95%	0.0654	✗	0.82
2026-06-30	oos	0.1904	0.188634	-0.93%	0.2215	+16.33%	0.0985	✗	0.79
2026-06-29	oos	0.2025	0.200416	-1.03%	0.2231	+10.17%	0.0603	✗	0.76
2026-06-28	oos	0.2027	0.200583	-1.04%	0.2159	+6.51%	0.0226	✗	0.76
2026-06-27	oos	0.2048	0.202592	-1.08%	0.2129	+3.96%	0.0104	✓	0.77
2026-06-26	oos	0.2051	0.20286	-1.09%	0.2128	+3.75%	0.0162	✗	0.77
2026-06-25	oos	0.2124	0.209944	-1.16%	0.2079	-2.12%	0.0326	✓	0.78
2026-06-24	oos	0.2201	0.217327	-1.26%	0.2034	-7.59%	0.0536	✓	0.75
2026-06-23	oos	0.2215	0.218583	-1.32%	0.1904	-14.04%	0.0871	✓	0.75
2026-06-22	oos	0.221	0.218035	-1.34%	0.2025	-8.37%	0.0276	✓	0.76
2026-06-21	oos	0.2177	0.214769	-1.35%	0.2027	-6.89%	0.0114	✓	0.76
2026-06-20	oos	0.2176	0.214594	-1.38%	0.2048	-5.88%	0.0066	✓	0.77
2026-06-19	oos	0.2143	0.211355	-1.37%	0.2051	-4.29%	0.0131	✓	0.77
2026-06-18	oos	0.2135	0.210576	-1.37%	0.2124	-0.52%	0.0478	✗	0.76
2026-06-17	oos	0.2198	0.216597	-1.46%	0.2201	+0.14%	0.0570	✗	0.74
2026-06-16	oos	0.2256	0.222169	-1.52%	0.2215	-1.82%	0.0319	✗	0.75
2026-06-15	oos	0.2333	0.22949	-1.63%	0.221	-5.27%	0.0105	✓	0.76
2026-06-14	oos	0.2264	0.222698	-1.64%	0.2177	-3.84%	0.0063	✓	0.76
2026-06-13	oos	0.2221	0.218491	-1.62%	0.2176	-2.03%	0.0016	✓	0.76
2026-06-12	oos	0.2221	0.21847	-1.63%	0.2143	-3.51%	0.0185	✓	0.77
2026-06-11	oos	0.2206	0.216903	-1.68%	0.2135	-3.22%	0.0075	✓	0.77
2026-06-10	oos	0.2103	0.207344	-1.41%	0.2198	+4.52%	0.0226	✗	0.75
2026-06-09	oos	0.2162	0.212969	-1.49%	0.2256	+4.35%	0.0115	✓	0.75
2026-06-08	oos	0.2124	0.209029	-1.59%	0.2333	+9.84%	0.0717	✗	0.77
2026-06-07	oos	0.2127	0.209299	-1.60%	0.2264	+6.44%	0.0502	✗	0.76
2026-06-06	oos	0.2096	0.207252	-1.12%	0.2221	+5.96%	0.0264	✗	0.75
2026-06-05	oos	0.2146	0.212177	-1.13%	0.2221	+3.49%	0.0161	✗	0.74
2026-06-04	oos	0.2273	0.223532	-1.66%	0.2206	-2.95%	0.0105	✓	0.71
2026-06-03	oos	0.2368	0.232748	-1.71%	0.2103	-11.19%	0.0744	✓	0.65
2026-06-02	oos	0.2532	0.247826	-2.12%	0.2162	-14.61%	0.0886	✓	0.62
2026-06-01	oos	0.2713	0.264543	-2.49%	0.2124	-21.71%	0.1616	✓	0.47
2026-05-31	oos	0.2757	0.269093	-2.40%	0.2127	-22.85%	0.1637	✓	0.48
2026-05-30	oos	0.2721	0.265637	-2.38%	0.2096	-22.97%	0.1550	✓	0.43
2026-05-29	oos	0.2634	0.257016	-2.42%	0.2146	-18.53%	0.1011	✓	0.43
2026-05-28	oos	0.2594	0.253222	-2.38%	0.2273	-12.37%	0.0456	✓	0.44
2026-05-27	oos	0.2701	0.264279	-2.15%	0.2368	-12.33%	0.0449	✓	0.44
2026-05-26	oos	0.2839	0.278807	-1.79%	0.2532	-10.81%	0.0427	✓	0.42
2026-05-25	oos	0.2783	0.274475	-1.37%	0.2713	-2.52%	0.0351	✗	0.58
2026-05-24	oos	0.2851	0.281196	-1.37%	0.2757	-3.30%	0.0059	✓	0.57
2026-05-23	oos	0.2851	0.281244	-1.35%	0.2721	-4.56%	0.0129	✓	0.53
2026-05-22	oos	0.2834	0.279277	-1.45%	0.2634	-7.06%	0.0437	✓	0.53
2026-05-21	oos	0.2818	0.278946	-1.01%	0.2594	-7.95%	0.0435	✓	0.55
2026-05-20	oos	0.2889	0.285962	-1.02%	0.2701	-6.51%	0.0347	✓	0.54
2026-05-19	oos	0.2876	0.284577	-1.05%	0.2839	-1.29%	0.0042	✓	0.53
2026-05-18	oos	0.285	0.282383	-0.92%	0.2783	-2.35%	0.0167	✓	0.54
2026-05-17	oos	0.2835	0.28137	-0.75%	0.2851	+0.56%	0.0162	✗	0.53
2026-05-16	oos	0.2893	0.287462	-0.64%	0.2851	-1.45%	0.0018	✓	0.53
2026-05-15	oos	0.3044	0.302535	-0.61%	0.2834	-6.90%	0.0392	✓	0.56
2026-05-14	oos	0.3073	0.30655	-0.24%	0.2818	-8.30%	0.0590	✓	0.57
2026-05-13	oos	0.3072	0.305585	-0.53%	0.2889	-5.96%	0.0429	✓	0.57
2026-05-12	oos	0.3097	0.308706	-0.32%	0.2876	-7.14%	0.0438	✓	0.57
2026-05-11	oos	0.322	0.321267	-0.23%	0.285	-11.49%	0.0846	✓	0.58
2026-05-10	oos	0.312	0.311994	-0.00%	0.2835	-9.13%	0.0604	✓	0.59
2026-05-09	oos	0.3089	0.308295	-0.20%	0.2893	-6.35%	0.0446	✓	0.59
2026-05-08	oos	0.3094	0.308654	-0.24%	0.3044	-1.62%	0.0056	✓	0.58
2026-05-07	oos	0.3081	0.307485	-0.20%	0.3073	-0.26%	0.0084	✓	0.58
2026-05-06	oos	0.3159	0.316007	+0.03%	0.3072	-2.75%	0.0090	✗	0.72
2026-05-05	oos	0.3184	0.318224	-0.06%	0.3097	-2.73%	0.0242	✓	0.55
2026-05-04	oos	0.3008	0.300732	-0.02%	0.322	+7.05%	0.0559	✗	0.54
2026-05-03	oos	0.2986	0.298008	-0.20%	0.312	+4.49%	0.0226	✗	0.51
2026-05-02	oos	0.3012	0.300661	-0.18%	0.3089	+2.56%	0.0141	✗	0.52
2026-05-01	oos	0.3025	0.301777	-0.24%	0.3094	+2.28%	0.0119	✗	0.53
2026-04-30	oos	0.2967	0.295228	-0.50%	0.3081	+3.84%	0.0164	✗	0.55
2026-04-29	oos	0.297	0.295355	-0.55%	0.3159	+6.36%	0.0269	✗	0.56
2026-04-28	oos	0.3045	0.303032	-0.48%	0.3184	+4.56%	0.0169	✗	0.56
2026-04-27	oos	0.3048	0.304043	-0.25%	0.3008	-1.31%	0.0284	✓	0.56
2026-04-26	oos	0.3118	0.311717	-0.03%	0.2986	-4.23%	0.0422	✓	0.56
2026-04-25	oos	0.317	0.31619	-0.26%	0.3012	-4.98%	0.0559	✓	0.56
2026-04-24	oos	0.3129	0.312243	-0.21%	0.3025	-3.32%	0.0372	✓	0.56
2026-04-23	oos	0.3148	0.314734	-0.02%	0.2967	-5.75%	0.0448	✓	0.56
2026-04-22	oos	0.3196	0.319423	-0.06%	0.297	-7.07%	0.0550	✓	0.56
2026-04-21	oos	0.3156	0.31444	-0.37%	0.3045	-3.52%	0.0319	✓	0.56
2026-04-20	oos	0.3163	0.314845	-0.46%	0.3048	-3.64%	0.0434	✓	0.56
2026-04-19	oos	0.3194	0.316608	-0.87%	0.3118	-2.38%	0.0521	✓	0.58
2026-04-18	oos	0.3251	0.323321	-0.55%	0.317	-2.49%	0.0342	✓	0.58
2026-04-17	oos	0.3307	0.329589	-0.34%	0.3129	-5.38%	0.0547	✓	0.58
2026-04-16	oos	0.3227	0.320685	-0.62%	0.3148	-2.45%	0.0419	✓	0.58
2026-04-15	oos	0.3162	0.314217	-0.63%	0.3196	+1.08%	0.0083	✓	0.57
2026-04-14	oos	0.3113	0.308954	-0.75%	0.3156	+1.38%	0.0047	✓	0.58
2026-04-13	oos	0.3071	0.304953	-0.70%	0.3163	+3.00%	0.0253	✗	0.60
2026-04-12	oos	0.3009	0.296788	-1.37%	0.3194	+6.15%	0.0479	✗	0.60
2026-04-11	oos	0.3148	0.311547	-1.03%	0.3251	+3.27%	0.0214	✗	0.59
2026-04-10	oos	0.3055	0.302417	-1.01%	0.3307	+8.25%	0.0571	✗	0.59
2026-04-09	oos	0.2999	0.29626	-1.21%	0.3227	+7.60%	0.0585	✗	0.59
2026-04-08	oos	0.3008	0.296739	-1.35%	0.3162	+5.12%	0.0332	✗	0.59
2026-04-07	oos	0.2992	0.295566	-1.21%	0.3113	+4.04%	0.0335	✗	0.59
2026-04-06	oos	0.2993	0.294259	-1.68%	0.3071	+2.61%	0.0051	✓	0.61
2026-04-05	oos	0.2963	0.291409	-1.65%	0.3009	+1.55%	0.0167	✗	0.61
2026-04-04	oos	0.2965	0.291481	-1.69%	0.3148	+6.17%	0.0260	✗	0.62
2026-04-03	oos	0.2858	0.281512	-1.50%	0.3055	+6.89%	0.0287	✗	0.62
2026-04-02	oos	0.2881	0.284067	-1.40%	0.2999	+4.10%	0.0108	✓	0.61
2026-04-01	oos	0.2941	0.29022	-1.32%	0.3008	+2.28%	0.0095	✓	0.62
2026-03-31	oos	0.2794	0.276394	-1.08%	0.2992	+7.09%	0.0466	✗	0.62
2026-03-30	oos	0.2749	0.272252	-0.96%	0.2993	+8.88%	0.0753	✗	0.62
2026-03-29	oos	0.2709	0.268611	-0.84%	0.2963	+9.38%	0.0697	✗	0.63
2026-03-28	oos	0.2802	0.277934	-0.81%	0.2965	+5.82%	0.0555	✗	0.63
2026-03-27	oos	0.2859	0.283643	-0.79%	0.2858	-0.03%	0.0018	✓	0.63
2026-03-26	oos	0.2899	0.288201	-0.59%	0.2881	-0.62%	0.0173	✗	0.64
2026-03-25	oos	0.2946	0.293616	-0.33%	0.2941	-0.17%	0.0310	✗	0.64
2026-03-24	oos	0.2932	0.29218	-0.35%	0.2794	-4.71%	0.0233	✓	0.64
2026-03-23	oos	0.2964	0.295552	-0.29%	0.2749	-7.25%	0.0339	✓	0.64
2026-03-22	oos	0.2855	0.284094	-0.49%	0.2709	-5.11%	0.0295	✓	0.64
2026-03-21	oos	0.2883	0.287213	-0.38%	0.2802	-2.81%	0.0002	✓	0.64
2026-03-20	oos	0.2895	0.28891	-0.20%	0.2859	-1.24%	0.0282	✗	0.64
2026-03-19	oos	0.2995	0.298805	-0.23%	0.2899	-3.21%	0.0196	✓	0.64
2026-03-18	oos	0.3148	0.314307	-0.16%	0.2946	-6.42%	0.0653	✓	0.66
2026-03-17	oos	0.3292	0.329006	-0.06%	0.2932	-10.94%	0.0844	✓	0.65
2026-03-16	oos	0.3351	0.334837	-0.08%	0.2964	-11.55%	0.0863	✓	0.65
2026-03-15	oos	0.3261	0.325595	-0.15%	0.2855	-12.45%	0.0858	✓	0.64
2026-03-14	oos	0.3161	0.315356	-0.24%	0.2883	-8.79%	0.0683	✓	0.65
2026-03-13	oos	0.3232	0.322233	-0.30%	0.2895	-10.43%	0.1031	✓	0.64
2026-03-12	oos	0.3165	0.315484	-0.32%	0.2995	-5.37%	0.0464	✓	0.64
2026-03-11	oos	0.3187	0.317528	-0.37%	0.3148	-1.22%	0.0181	✓	0.64
2026-03-10	oos	0.3219	0.320549	-0.42%	0.3292	+2.27%	0.0088	✓	0.64
2026-03-09	oos	0.3212	0.319581	-0.50%	0.3351	+4.33%	0.0106	✓	0.64
2026-03-08	oos	0.3212	0.319199	-0.62%	0.3261	+1.53%	0.0427	✓	0.65
2026-03-07	oos	0.3189	0.317024	-0.59%	0.3161	-0.88%	0.0403	✓	0.65
2026-03-06	oos	0.3199	0.317999	-0.59%	0.3232	+1.03%	0.0105	✓	0.65
2026-03-05	oos	0.3148	0.313028	-0.56%	0.3165	+0.54%	0.0144	✗	0.68
2026-03-04	oos	0.3237	0.32179	-0.59%	0.3187	-1.54%	0.0136	✗	0.67
2026-03-03	oos	0.3307	0.328445	-0.68%	0.3219	-2.66%	0.0371	✓	0.72
2026-03-02	oos	0.3376	0.335111	-0.74%	0.3212	-4.86%	0.0383	✓	0.71
2026-03-01	oos	0.3457	0.34283	-0.83%	0.3212	-7.09%	0.0675	✓	0.77
2026-02-28	oos	0.3555	0.352231	-0.92%	0.3189	-10.30%	0.1028	✓	0.79
2026-02-27	oos	0.3473	0.344088	-0.92%	0.3199	-7.89%	0.0992	✓	0.78
2026-02-26	oos	0.3555	0.351863	-1.02%	0.3148	-11.45%	0.1497	✓	0.78
2026-02-25	oos	0.3599	0.3557	-1.17%	0.3237	-10.06%	0.1465	✓	0.78
2026-02-24	oos	0.3165	0.313574	-0.92%	0.3307	+4.49%	0.0078	✓	0.70
2026-02-23	oos	0.2971	0.29463	-0.83%	0.3376	+13.63%	0.0925	✗	0.69
2026-02-22	oos	0.2942	0.291548	-0.90%	0.3457	+17.51%	0.1902	✗	0.71
2026-02-21	oos	0.3041	0.301245	-0.94%	0.3555	+16.90%	0.1759	✗	0.71
2026-02-20	oos	0.3051	0.302227	-0.94%	0.3473	+13.83%	0.1631	✗	0.76
2026-02-19	oos	0.3108	0.307962	-0.91%	0.3555	+14.38%	0.1377	✗	0.76
2026-02-18	oos	0.3208	0.317845	-0.92%	0.3599	+12.19%	0.1064	✗	0.76
2026-02-17	oos	0.3293	0.325978	-1.01%	0.3165	-3.89%	0.0099	✓	0.76
2026-02-16	oos	0.3295	0.325937	-1.08%	0.2971	-9.83%	0.0434	✓	0.78
2026-02-15	oos	0.3322	0.328674	-1.06%	0.2942	-11.44%	0.0974	✓	0.78
2026-02-14	oos	0.3748	0.369925	-1.30%	0.3041	-18.86%	0.1756	✓	0.76
2026-02-13	oos	0.3708	0.366172	-1.25%	0.3051	-17.72%	0.1732	✓	0.76
2026-02-12	oos	0.3621	0.358406	-1.02%	0.3108	-14.17%	0.1513	✓	0.77
2026-02-11	oos	0.3606	0.356926	-1.02%	0.3208	-11.04%	0.0995	✓	0.79
2026-02-10	oos	0.3798	0.375068	-1.25%	0.3293	-13.30%	0.1146	✓	0.79
2026-02-09	oos	0.3844	0.379301	-1.33%	0.3295	-14.28%	0.1265	✓	0.80
2026-02-08	oos	0.3955	0.38992	-1.41%	0.3322	-16.01%	0.1433	✓	0.79
2026-02-07	oos	0.401	0.395423	-1.39%	0.3748	-6.53%	0.0597	✓	0.79
2026-02-06	oos	0.4073	0.400769	-1.60%	0.3708	-8.96%	0.0584	✓	0.78
2026-02-05	oos	0.3562	0.357343	+0.32%	0.3621	+1.66%	0.0237	✗	0.70
2026-02-04	oos	0.3647	0.360429	-1.17%	0.3606	-1.12%	0.0863	✗	1.01
2026-02-03	oos	0.3649	0.360167	-1.30%	0.3798	+4.08%	0.1523	✗	1.04
2026-02-02	oos	0.3573	0.352622	-1.31%	0.3844	+7.58%	0.2203	✗	1.16
2026-02-01	oos	0.3458	0.342768	-0.88%	0.3955	+14.37%	0.2399	✗	1.08
2026-01-31	oos	0.3625	0.358915	-0.99%	0.401	+10.62%	0.2507	✗	1.10
2026-01-30	oos	0.3901	0.384831	-1.35%	0.4073	+4.41%	0.2497	✗	1.10
2026-01-29	oos	0.4085	0.402722	-1.41%	0.3562	-12.80%	0.2023	✗	1.09
2026-01-28	oos	0.424	0.417823	-1.46%	0.3647	-13.99%	0.0878	✗	1.12
2026-01-27	oos	0.4317	0.42533	-1.48%	0.3649	-15.47%	0.0269	✗	1.10
2026-01-26	oos	0.426	0.419743	-1.47%	0.3573	-16.13%	0.0375	✓	1.07
2026-01-25	oos	0.4285	0.42209	-1.50%	0.3458	-19.30%	0.0674	✓	1.11
2026-01-24	oos	0.4337	0.427219	-1.49%	0.3625	-16.42%	0.0232	✓	1.13
2026-01-23	oos	0.4331	0.426591	-1.50%	0.3901	-9.93%	0.0165	✓	1.18
2026-01-22	oos	0.4377	0.431141	-1.50%	0.4085	-6.67%	0.0131	✓	1.18
2026-01-21	oos	0.449	0.441643	-1.64%	0.424	-5.57%	0.0381	✓	1.19
2026-01-20	oos	0.4326	0.425226	-1.70%	0.4317	-0.21%	0.0041	✓	1.21
2026-01-19	oos	0.4542	0.447666	-1.44%	0.426	-6.21%	0.0088	✓	1.23
2026-01-18	oos	0.4629	0.457219	-1.23%	0.4285	-7.43%	0.0323	✗	1.24
2026-01-17	oos	0.474	0.469514	-0.95%	0.4337	-8.50%	0.0006	✓	1.22
2026-01-16	oos	0.4795	0.475297	-0.88%	0.4331	-9.68%	0.0117	✓	1.25
2026-01-15	oos	0.4907	0.4863	-0.90%	0.4377	-10.80%	0.0226	✓	1.25
2026-01-14	oos	0.5107	0.506436	-0.83%	0.449	-12.08%	0.0192	✓	1.24
2026-01-13	oos	0.4585	0.454958	-0.77%	0.4326	-5.65%	0.0426	✗	1.21
2026-01-12	oos	0.4475	0.441982	-1.23%	0.4542	+1.50%	0.0086	✓	1.25
2026-01-11	oos	0.4526	0.447054	-1.23%	0.4629	+2.28%	0.0027	✓	1.25
2026-01-10	oos	0.454	0.448487	-1.21%	0.474	+4.41%	0.0087	✓	1.25
2026-01-09	oos	0.4606	0.45521	-1.17%	0.4795	+4.10%	0.0206	✓	1.35
2026-01-08	oos	0.4526	0.447854	-1.05%	0.4907	+8.42%	0.0269	✗	1.32
2026-01-07	oos	0.4587	0.45416	-0.99%	0.5107	+11.34%	0.0324	✗	1.41
2026-01-06	oos	0.4844	0.480231	-0.86%	0.4585	-5.35%	0.0710	✓	1.40
2026-01-05	oos	0.4995	0.495139	-0.87%	0.4475	-10.41%	0.0606	✓	1.40
2026-01-04	oos	0.4915	0.486953	-0.93%	0.4526	-7.91%	0.0635	✓	1.42
2026-01-03	oos	0.4866	0.482054	-0.93%	0.454	-6.70%	0.0564	✓	1.42
2026-01-02	oos	0.4923	0.487587	-0.96%	0.4606	-6.44%	0.0657	✓	1.42
2026-01-01	oos	0.4832	0.47862	-0.95%	0.4526	-6.33%	0.0921	✓	1.42
2025-12-31	oos	0.4664	0.462178	-0.91%	0.4587	-1.65%	0.0667	✓	1.40
2025-12-30	oos	0.4959	0.491162	-0.96%	0.4844	-2.32%	0.0953	✓	1.39
2025-12-29	oos	0.476	0.471399	-0.97%	0.4995	+4.94%	0.0457	✓	1.39
2025-12-28	oos	0.4782	0.473399	-1.00%	0.4915	+2.78%	0.0184	✓	1.39
2025-12-27	oos	0.4315	0.427578	-0.91%	0.4866	+12.77%	0.0869	✗	1.35
2025-12-26	oos	0.4283	0.424224	-0.95%	0.4923	+14.94%	0.1083	✗	1.35
2025-12-25	oos	0.4313	0.427006	-1.00%	0.4832	+12.03%	0.0996	✗	1.35
2025-12-24	oos	0.4427	0.438001	-1.06%	0.4664	+5.35%	0.0645	✗	1.35
2025-12-23	oos	0.4458	0.440846	-1.11%	0.4959	+11.24%	0.1028	✗	1.35
2025-12-22	oos	0.4655	0.460201	-1.14%	0.476	+2.26%	0.0560	✗	1.35
2025-12-21	oos	0.476	0.470383	-1.18%	0.4782	+0.46%	0.0282	✗	1.35
2025-12-20	oos	0.496	0.489674	-1.28%	0.4315	-13.00%	0.1185	✓	1.37
2025-12-19	oos	0.4871	0.480817	-1.29%	0.4283	-12.07%	0.1033	✓	1.37
2025-12-18	oos	0.4528	0.447025	-1.28%	0.4313	-4.75%	0.0624	✓	1.34
2025-12-17	oos	0.4629	0.456845	-1.31%	0.4427	-4.36%	0.0530	✓	1.34
2025-12-16	oos	0.4552	0.449343	-1.29%	0.4458	-2.07%	0.0013	✓	1.36
2025-12-15	oos	0.4505	0.444544	-1.32%	0.4655	+3.33%	0.0127	✓	1.37
2025-12-14	oos	0.4757	0.469395	-1.33%	0.476	+0.06%	0.0068	✓	1.35
2025-12-13	oos	0.4768	0.470586	-1.30%	0.496	+4.03%	0.0820	✗	1.36
2025-12-12	oos	0.4816	0.475257	-1.32%	0.4871	+1.14%	0.0579	✗	1.36
2025-12-11	oos	0.4952	0.488862	-1.28%	0.4528	-8.56%	0.0319	✗	1.36
2025-12-10	oos	0.5148	0.507862	-1.35%	0.4629	-10.08%	0.0030	✓	1.37
2025-12-09	oos	0.5209	0.513876	-1.35%	0.4552	-12.61%	0.0479	✓	1.37
2025-12-08	oos	0.5243	0.517069	-1.38%	0.4505	-14.08%	0.0719	✓	1.38
2025-12-07	oos	0.5344	0.526929	-1.40%	0.4757	-10.98%	0.0678	✓	1.38
2025-12-06	oos	0.5254	0.518038	-1.40%	0.4768	-9.25%	0.0981	✓	1.38
2025-12-05	oos	0.5042	0.497468	-1.34%	0.4816	-4.48%	0.0468	✓	1.38
2025-12-04	oos	0.51	0.503464	-1.28%	0.4952	-2.90%	0.0234	✓	1.41
2025-12-03	oos	0.5193	0.512852	-1.24%	0.5148	-0.87%	0.0253	✗	1.41
2025-12-02	oos	0.5385	0.531274	-1.34%	0.5209	-3.27%	0.0415	✓	1.45
2025-12-01	oos	0.5006	0.494385	-1.24%	0.5243	+4.73%	0.0132	✓	1.46
2025-11-30	oos	0.5414	0.534276	-1.32%	0.5344	-1.29%	0.0003	✓	1.45
2025-11-29	oos	0.5481	0.540862	-1.32%	0.5254	-4.14%	0.0040	✓	1.44
2025-11-28	oos	0.5844	0.575916	-1.45%	0.5042	-13.72%	0.1080	✓	1.44
2025-11-27	oos	0.6029	0.593515	-1.56%	0.51	-15.41%	0.1639	✓	1.44
2025-11-26	oos	0.6179	0.607279	-1.72%	0.5193	-15.96%	0.2029	✓	1.43
2025-11-25	oos	0.6249	0.612959	-1.91%	0.5385	-13.83%	0.1957	✓	1.48
2025-11-24	oos	0.6041	0.59291	-1.85%	0.5006	-17.13%	0.1353	✓	1.49
2025-11-23	oos	0.62	0.606281	-2.21%	0.5414	-12.68%	0.1742	✓	1.52
2025-11-22	oos	0.5308	0.522174	-1.63%	0.5481	+3.26%	0.0533	✓	1.45
2025-11-21	oos	0.4518	0.447884	-0.87%	0.5844	+29.35%	0.1702	✗	1.44
2025-11-20	oos	0.4514	0.447319	-0.90%	0.6029	+33.56%	0.2199	✗	1.46
2025-11-19	oos	0.4723	0.465938	-1.35%	0.6179	+30.83%	0.2991	✗	1.54
2025-11-18	oos	0.5104	0.502415	-1.56%	0.6249	+22.43%	0.3129	✗	1.53
2025-11-17	oos	0.501	0.493653	-1.47%	0.6041	+20.58%	0.2667	✗	1.52
2025-11-16	oos	0.514	0.505826	-1.59%	0.62	+20.62%	0.3301	✗	1.55
2025-11-15	oos	0.5203	0.511855	-1.62%	0.5308	+2.02%	0.2239	✗	1.55
2025-11-14	oos	0.5215	0.513481	-1.54%	0.4518	-13.37%	0.0362	✗	1.56
2025-11-13	oos	0.5679	0.558533	-1.65%	0.4514	-20.51%	0.0067	✓	1.56
2025-11-12	oos	0.597	0.587209	-1.64%	0.4723	-20.89%	0.0539	✓	1.55
2025-11-11	oos	0.6214	0.611185	-1.64%	0.5104	-17.86%	0.0206	✓	1.55
2025-11-10	oos	0.6228	0.612999	-1.57%	0.501	-19.56%	0.0206	✗	1.58
2025-11-09	oos	0.6417	0.631026	-1.66%	0.514	-19.90%	0.0355	✓	1.60
2025-11-08	oos	0.6406	0.629477	-1.74%	0.5203	-18.78%	0.0794	✓	1.63
2025-11-07	oos	0.6439	0.632333	-1.80%	0.5215	-19.01%	0.0477	✓	1.63
2025-11-06	oos	0.6153	0.604491	-1.76%	0.5679	-7.70%	0.0354	✓	1.62
2025-11-05	oos	0.6439	0.631296	-1.96%	0.597	-7.28%	0.0208	✓	1.61
2025-11-04	oos	0.5716	0.561425	-1.78%	0.6214	+8.71%	0.0784	✗	1.53
2025-11-03	oos	0.5617	0.551229	-1.86%	0.6228	+10.88%	0.1313	✗	1.70
2025-11-02	oos	0.6098	0.598024	-1.93%	0.6417	+5.23%	0.1622	✗	1.69
2025-11-01	oos	0.6287	0.616188	-1.99%	0.6406	+1.89%	0.1633	✗	1.70
2025-10-31	oos	0.6247	0.612049	-2.03%	0.6439	+3.07%	0.1511	✗	1.70
2025-10-30	oos	0.6303	0.616961	-2.12%	0.6153	-2.38%	0.1120	✗	1.71
2025-10-29	oos	0.609	0.596164	-2.11%	0.6439	+5.73%	0.1782	✗	1.75
2025-10-28	oos	0.603	0.591336	-1.93%	0.5716	-5.21%	0.1550	✗	1.77
2025-10-27	oos	0.69	0.677224	-1.85%	0.5617	-18.59%	0.0690	✓	1.73
2025-10-26	oos	0.7419	0.72697	-2.01%	0.6098	-17.81%	0.1144	✓	1.72
2025-10-25	oos	0.6788	0.664731	-2.07%	0.6287	-7.38%	0.0312	✓	1.68
2025-10-24	oos	0.6829	0.668927	-2.05%	0.6247	-8.52%	0.0459	✓	1.67
2025-10-23	oos	0.6635	0.650091	-2.02%	0.6303	-5.00%	0.0034	✓	1.66
2025-10-22	oos	0.6152	0.603123	-1.96%	0.609	-1.01%	0.0267	✓	1.62
2025-10-21	oos	0.6325	0.621064	-1.81%	0.603	-4.66%	0.0959	✓	1.62
2025-10-20	oos	0.6661	0.654275	-1.78%	0.69	+3.59%	0.0019	✓	1.64
2025-10-19	oos	0.6731	0.660602	-1.86%	0.7419	+10.22%	0.0300	✗	1.64
2025-10-18	oos	0.6227	0.612618	-1.62%	0.6788	+9.01%	0.0374	✗	1.60
2025-10-17	oos	0.6126	0.60344	-1.50%	0.6829	+11.48%	0.0566	✗	1.59
2025-10-16	oos	0.6252	0.615918	-1.48%	0.6635	+6.13%	0.0463	✗	1.60
2025-10-15	oos	0.6547	0.644558	-1.55%	0.6152	-6.03%	0.0002	✓	1.57
2025-10-14	oos	0.6761	0.6653	-1.60%	0.6325	-6.45%	0.0168	✗	1.58
2025-10-13	oos	0.6991	0.687641	-1.64%	0.6661	-4.72%	0.0352	✗	1.61
2025-10-12	oos	0.7064	0.693813	-1.78%	0.6731	-4.71%	0.0625	✗	1.62
2025-10-11	oos	0.6166	0.60598	-1.72%	0.6227	+0.99%	0.0767	✗	1.52
2025-10-10	oos	0.5866	0.574956	-1.99%	0.6126	+4.43%	0.1593	✗	1.61
2025-10-09	oos	0.6817	0.672001	-1.42%	0.6252	-8.29%	0.1055	✗	1.51
2025-10-08	oos	0.7125	0.703138	-1.31%	0.6547	-8.11%	0.0869	✗	1.48
2025-10-07	oos	0.7047	0.693454	-1.60%	0.6761	-4.06%	0.0779	✗	1.45
2025-10-06	oos	0.736	0.729165	-0.93%	0.6991	-5.01%	0.0718	✗	1.45
2025-10-05	oos	0.7141	0.705672	-1.18%	0.7064	-1.08%	0.1028	✗	1.44
2025-10-04	oos	0.7215	0.711414	-1.40%	0.6166	-14.54%	0.0001	✓	1.43
2025-10-03	oos	0.7328	0.721961	-1.48%	0.5866	-19.95%	0.0934	✓	1.44
2025-10-02	oos	0.7458	0.732565	-1.77%	0.6817	-8.59%	0.0851	✓	1.46
2025-10-01	oos	0.728	0.712037	-2.19%	0.7125	-2.13%	0.0560	✓	1.46
2025-09-30	oos	0.6868	0.666608	-2.94%	0.7047	+2.61%	0.0346	✓	1.45
2025-09-29	oos	0.693	0.672217	-3.00%	0.736	+6.20%	0.0425	✓	1.54
2025-09-28	oos	0.7095	0.68794	-3.04%	0.7141	+0.65%	0.1204	✓	1.64
2025-09-27	oos	0.6949	0.672371	-3.24%	0.7215	+3.83%	0.1119	✓	1.66
2025-09-26	oos	0.6826	0.659547	-3.38%	0.7328	+7.35%	0.0748	✓	1.65
2025-09-25	oos	0.6951	0.672846	-3.20%	0.7458	+7.29%	0.0664	✓	1.68
2025-09-24	oos	0.7374	0.717793	-2.66%	0.728	-1.27%	0.0637	✓	1.70
2025-09-23	oos	0.7157	0.695643	-2.80%	0.6868	-4.04%	0.0437	✓	1.70
2025-09-22	oos	0.7471	0.729626	-2.34%	0.693	-7.24%	0.0769	✓	1.77
2025-09-21	oos	0.7844	0.770187	-1.81%	0.7095	-9.55%	0.0333	✓	1.80
2025-09-20	oos	0.8044	0.79155	-1.60%	0.6949	-13.61%	0.0381	✓	1.71
2025-09-19	oos	0.8018	0.789404	-1.55%	0.6826	-14.87%	0.0531	✓	1.74
2025-09-18	oos	0.813	0.801859	-1.37%	0.6951	-14.50%	0.0191	✓	1.73
2025-09-17	oos	0.778	0.76662	-1.46%	0.7374	-5.22%	0.0083	✓	1.73

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.