ERG

Ergo · native · gru_s0

token id: #922
symbol: ERG
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2024-04-29
predictions: 2,670

Track record at +30d

assessed

370

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

39.7%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1015

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

+0.0079

actual -0.0221

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.3079	0.29746	-3.39%	–	pending	–	–	1.34
2026-10-21	oos	0.3086	0.299975	-2.79%	–	pending	–	–	1.34
2026-10-20	oos	0.3475	0.334436	-3.76%	–	pending	–	–	1.36
2026-10-19	oos	0.32025	0.308122	-3.79%	–	pending	–	–	1.35
2026-10-18	oos	0.31585	0.30444	-3.61%	–	pending	–	–	1.34
2026-10-17	oos	0.32405	0.310601	-4.15%	–	pending	–	–	1.35
2026-10-16	oos	0.3098	0.296191	-4.39%	–	pending	–	–	1.35
2026-10-15	oos	0.3241	0.309027	-4.65%	–	pending	–	–	1.33
2026-10-14	oos	0.2956	0.280368	-5.15%	–	pending	–	–	1.33
2026-10-13	oos	0.311	0.295545	-4.97%	–	pending	–	–	1.30
2026-10-12	oos	0.3215	0.302927	-5.78%	–	pending	–	–	1.31
2026-10-11	oos	0.32625	0.307991	-5.60%	–	pending	–	–	1.28
2026-10-10	oos	0.3262	0.30617	-6.14%	–	pending	–	–	1.29
2026-10-09	oos	0.2942	0.274532	-6.69%	–	pending	–	–	1.29
2026-10-08	oos	0.3076	0.286307	-6.92%	–	pending	–	–	1.30
2026-10-07	oos	0.2978	0.2771	-6.95%	–	pending	–	–	1.33
2026-10-06	oos	0.32115	0.301102	-6.24%	–	pending	–	–	1.28
2026-10-05	oos	0.3138	0.29443	-6.17%	–	pending	–	–	1.27
2026-10-04	oos	0.32445	0.305106	-5.96%	–	pending	–	–	1.26
2026-10-03	oos	0.3062	0.286312	-6.50%	–	pending	–	–	1.25
2026-10-02	oos	0.3255	0.304861	-6.34%	–	pending	–	–	1.25
2026-10-01	oos	0.32945	0.308975	-6.21%	–	pending	–	–	1.25
2026-09-30	oos	0.3314	0.310758	-6.23%	–	pending	–	–	1.26
2026-09-29	oos	0.3359	0.315466	-6.08%	–	pending	–	–	1.25
2026-09-28	oos	0.3236	0.304686	-5.84%	–	pending	–	–	1.27
2026-09-27	oos	0.3311	0.312397	-5.65%	–	pending	–	–	1.29
2026-09-26	oos	0.3278	0.309925	-5.45%	–	pending	–	–	1.29
2026-09-25	oos	0.33875	0.320379	-5.42%	–	pending	–	–	1.29
2026-09-24	oos	0.3396	0.321994	-5.18%	–	pending	–	–	1.29
2026-09-23	oos	0.3478	0.329527	-5.25%	–	pending	–	–	1.28
2026-09-22	oos	0.3403	0.324051	-4.77%	0.3079	-9.52%	0.0204	✓	1.32
2026-09-21	oos	0.32345	0.310275	-4.07%	0.3086	-4.59%	0.0341	✓	1.31
2026-09-20	oos	0.2769	0.268273	-3.12%	0.3475	+25.50%	0.2335	✗	1.17
2026-09-19	oos	0.28165	0.273007	-3.07%	0.32025	+13.70%	0.1510	✗	1.16
2026-09-18	oos	0.28615	0.277109	-3.16%	0.31585	+10.38%	0.1148	✗	1.16
2026-09-17	oos	0.2532	0.247322	-2.32%	0.32405	+27.98%	0.2025	✗	1.06
2026-09-16	oos	0.2491	0.24422	-1.96%	0.3098	+24.37%	0.1658	✗	1.06
2026-09-15	oos	0.24205	0.238118	-1.62%	0.3241	+33.90%	0.2205	✗	1.06
2026-09-14	oos	0.2686	0.263127	-2.04%	0.2956	+10.05%	0.0744	✗	0.99
2026-09-13	oos	0.2597	0.255061	-1.79%	0.311	+19.75%	0.1204	✗	0.99
2026-09-12	oos	0.2606	0.256548	-1.55%	0.3215	+23.37%	0.1697	✗	0.99
2026-09-11	oos	0.2549	0.252037	-1.12%	0.32625	+27.99%	0.1781	✗	0.99
2026-09-10	oos	0.256	0.252984	-1.18%	0.3262	+27.42%	0.1748	✗	0.99
2026-09-09	oos	0.2494	0.248948	-0.18%	0.2942	+17.96%	0.1125	✗	1.03
2026-09-08	oos	0.2522	0.252176	-0.01%	0.3076	+21.97%	0.1565	✗	1.04
2026-09-07	oos	0.2215	0.225219	+1.68%	0.2978	+34.45%	0.2231	✓	1.09
2026-09-06	oos	0.2646	0.266208	+0.61%	0.32115	+21.37%	0.1267	✓	0.97
2026-09-05	oos	0.2593	0.263874	+1.76%	0.3138	+21.02%	0.1040	✓	0.97
2026-09-04	oos	0.2538	0.261537	+3.05%	0.32445	+27.84%	0.1378	✓	0.95
2026-09-03	oos	0.2634	0.274929	+4.38%	0.3062	+16.25%	0.0684	✓	0.94
2026-09-02	oos	0.26055	0.269493	+3.43%	0.3255	+24.93%	0.0992	✓	1.01
2026-09-01	oos	0.2516	0.263117	+4.58%	0.32945	+30.94%	0.1314	✓	1.02
2026-08-31	oos	0.2584	0.272186	+5.33%	0.3314	+28.25%	0.1327	✓	1.04
2026-08-30	oos	0.2469	0.259628	+5.16%	0.3359	+36.05%	0.1815	✓	1.03
2026-08-29	oos	0.2507	0.26504	+5.72%	0.3236	+29.08%	0.1342	✓	1.01
2026-08-28	oos	0.2563	0.26987	+5.29%	0.3311	+29.18%	0.1217	✓	1.01
2026-08-27	oos	0.2586	0.277081	+7.15%	0.3278	+26.76%	0.1160	✓	1.04
2026-08-26	oos	0.2625	0.279105	+6.33%	0.33875	+29.05%	0.1287	✓	1.05
2026-08-25	oos	0.2624	0.278928	+6.30%	0.3396	+29.42%	0.1210	✓	1.05
2026-08-24	oos	0.2673	0.284973	+6.61%	0.3478	+30.12%	0.1288	✓	1.07
2026-08-23	oos	0.2667	0.283458	+6.28%	0.3403	+27.60%	0.0739	✓	1.05
2026-08-22	oos	0.2709	0.286564	+5.78%	0.32345	+19.40%	0.0021	✓	1.06
2026-08-21	oos	0.2675	0.287925	+7.64%	0.2769	+3.51%	0.0770	✗	1.07
2026-08-20	oos	0.2429	0.254501	+4.78%	0.28165	+15.95%	0.0074	✓	1.02
2026-08-19	oos	0.2155	0.22102	+2.56%	0.28615	+32.78%	0.1218	✓	0.88
2026-08-18	oos	0.2014	0.201048	-0.17%	0.2532	+25.72%	0.0881	✗	0.86
2026-08-17	oos	0.2026	0.202083	-0.26%	0.2491	+22.95%	0.0661	✗	0.86
2026-08-16	oos	0.2051	0.202902	-1.07%	0.24205	+18.02%	0.0116	✗	0.89
2026-08-15	oos	0.2025	0.200774	-0.85%	0.2686	+32.64%	0.0990	✗	0.89
2026-08-14	oos	0.207	0.205314	-0.81%	0.2597	+25.46%	0.0572	✗	0.90
2026-08-13	oos	0.209	0.207792	-0.58%	0.2606	+24.69%	0.0471	✗	0.91
2026-08-12	oos	0.2159	0.214431	-0.68%	0.2549	+18.06%	0.0043	✓	0.90
2026-08-11	oos	0.2216	0.219937	-0.75%	0.256	+15.52%	0.0129	✓	0.88
2026-08-10	oos	0.2382	0.235482	-1.14%	0.2494	+4.70%	0.1199	✓	0.87
2026-08-09	oos	0.2358	0.234247	-0.66%	0.2522	+6.96%	0.0965	✓	0.89
2026-08-08	oos	0.2388	0.236982	-0.76%	0.2215	-7.24%	0.2437	✓	0.89
2026-08-07	oos	0.2356	0.234027	-0.67%	0.2646	+12.31%	0.0663	✓	0.89
2026-08-06	oos	0.2341	0.231884	-0.95%	0.2593	+10.76%	0.0801	✓	0.88
2026-08-05	oos	0.2253	0.224048	-0.56%	0.2538	+12.65%	0.0618	✓	0.89
2026-08-04	oos	0.222	0.220291	-0.77%	0.2634	+18.65%	0.0331	✓	0.89
2026-08-03	oos	0.2162	0.214224	-0.91%	0.26055	+20.51%	0.0225	✗	0.88
2026-08-02	oos	0.2141	0.212246	-0.87%	0.2516	+17.52%	0.0085	✓	0.90
2026-08-01	oos	0.202	0.20017	-0.91%	0.2584	+27.92%	0.0588	✗	0.88
2026-07-31	oos	0.2046	0.202758	-0.90%	0.2469	+20.67%	0.0113	✗	0.88
2026-07-30	oos	0.2073	0.207386	+0.04%	0.2507	+20.94%	0.0213	✓	0.89
2026-07-29	oos	0.2084	0.207779	-0.30%	0.2563	+22.98%	0.0333	✗	0.89
2026-07-28	oos	0.2074	0.20722	-0.09%	0.2586	+24.69%	0.0172	✗	0.89
2026-07-27	oos	0.2007	0.201148	+0.22%	0.2625	+30.79%	0.0741	✓	0.89
2026-07-26	oos	0.2085	0.210766	+1.09%	0.2624	+25.85%	0.0583	✓	0.87
2026-07-25	oos	0.2153	0.217567	+1.05%	0.2673	+24.15%	0.0197	✓	0.90
2026-07-24	oos	0.2163	0.2193	+1.39%	0.2667	+23.30%	0.0234	✓	0.89
2026-07-23	oos	0.2203	0.224649	+1.97%	0.2709	+22.97%	0.0360	✓	0.89
2026-07-22	oos	0.2181	0.223818	+2.62%	0.2675	+22.65%	0.0247	✓	0.90
2026-07-21	oos	0.2235	0.229753	+2.80%	0.2429	+8.68%	0.0282	✗	0.90
2026-07-20	oos	0.2198	0.225628	+2.65%	0.2155	-1.96%	0.1002	✗	0.89
2026-07-19	oos	0.2206	0.226208	+2.54%	0.2014	-8.70%	0.1162	✗	0.89
2026-07-18	oos	0.2211	0.226878	+2.61%	0.2026	-8.37%	0.1089	✗	0.86
2026-07-17	oos	0.2211	0.226402	+2.40%	0.2051	-7.24%	0.0844	✗	0.86
2026-07-16	oos	0.22	0.225345	+2.43%	0.2025	-7.95%	0.0967	✗	0.86
2026-07-15	oos	0.22	0.225975	+2.72%	0.207	-5.91%	0.0639	✗	0.87
2026-07-14	oos	0.2129	0.21937	+3.04%	0.209	-1.83%	0.0270	✓	0.88
2026-07-13	oos	0.2103	0.215593	+2.52%	0.2159	+2.66%	0.0153	✓	0.92
2026-07-12	oos	0.2215	0.227216	+2.58%	0.2216	+0.05%	0.0221	✓	0.90
2026-07-11	oos	0.2202	0.226088	+2.67%	0.2382	+8.17%	0.0503	✓	0.86
2026-07-10	oos	0.2189	0.225101	+2.83%	0.2358	+7.72%	0.0367	✓	0.87
2026-07-09	oos	0.2182	0.224051	+2.68%	0.2388	+9.44%	0.0399	✓	0.88
2026-07-08	oos	0.2216	0.226974	+2.43%	0.2356	+6.32%	0.0002	✓	0.90
2026-07-07	oos	0.2215	0.227473	+2.70%	0.2341	+5.69%	0.0154	✓	0.90
2026-07-06	oos	0.2231	0.229387	+2.82%	0.2253	+0.99%	0.0264	✓	0.90
2026-07-05	oos	0.2159	0.222234	+2.93%	0.222	+2.83%	0.0072	✓	0.84
2026-07-04	oos	0.2129	0.219217	+2.97%	0.2162	+1.55%	0.0189	✓	0.84
2026-07-03	oos	0.2128	0.218911	+2.87%	0.2141	+0.61%	0.0351	✗	0.83
2026-07-02	oos	0.2079	0.213772	+2.82%	0.202	-2.84%	0.0737	✗	0.83
2026-07-01	oos	0.2034	0.208935	+2.72%	0.2046	+0.59%	0.0594	✗	0.82
2026-06-30	oos	0.1904	0.19607	+2.98%	0.2073	+8.88%	0.0237	✓	0.79
2026-06-29	oos	0.2025	0.208006	+2.72%	0.2084	+2.91%	0.0438	✗	0.76
2026-06-28	oos	0.2027	0.207967	+2.60%	0.2074	+2.32%	0.0569	✗	0.76
2026-06-27	oos	0.2048	0.209908	+2.49%	0.2007	-2.00%	0.0915	✗	0.77
2026-06-26	oos	0.2051	0.210101	+2.44%	0.2085	+1.66%	0.0732	✗	0.77
2026-06-25	oos	0.2124	0.216847	+2.09%	0.2153	+1.37%	0.0647	✗	0.78
2026-06-24	oos	0.2201	0.22417	+1.85%	0.2163	-1.73%	0.0729	✗	0.75
2026-06-23	oos	0.2215	0.225617	+1.86%	0.2203	-0.54%	0.0521	✗	0.75
2026-06-22	oos	0.221	0.225092	+1.85%	0.2181	-1.31%	0.0565	✗	0.76
2026-06-21	oos	0.2177	0.221774	+1.87%	0.2235	+2.66%	0.0305	✗	0.76
2026-06-20	oos	0.2176	0.221674	+1.87%	0.2198	+1.01%	0.0203	✗	0.77
2026-06-19	oos	0.2143	0.218385	+1.91%	0.2206	+2.94%	0.0043	✓	0.77
2026-06-18	oos	0.2135	0.21752	+1.88%	0.2211	+3.56%	0.0064	✓	0.76
2026-06-17	oos	0.2198	0.223452	+1.66%	0.2211	+0.59%	0.0042	✓	0.74
2026-06-16	oos	0.2256	0.228819	+1.43%	0.22	-2.48%	0.0178	✗	0.75
2026-06-15	oos	0.2333	0.235866	+1.10%	0.22	-5.70%	0.0515	✗	0.76
2026-06-14	oos	0.2264	0.228994	+1.15%	0.2129	-5.96%	0.0646	✗	0.76
2026-06-13	oos	0.2221	0.22453	+1.09%	0.2103	-5.31%	0.0395	✗	0.76
2026-06-12	oos	0.2221	0.224157	+0.93%	0.2215	-0.27%	0.0144	✗	0.77
2026-06-11	oos	0.2206	0.22218	+0.72%	0.2202	-0.18%	0.0115	✗	0.77
2026-06-10	oos	0.2103	0.212391	+0.99%	0.2189	+4.09%	0.0018	✓	0.75
2026-06-09	oos	0.2162	0.217286	+0.50%	0.2182	+0.93%	0.0136	✗	0.75
2026-06-08	oos	0.2124	0.212756	+0.17%	0.2216	+4.33%	0.0508	✓	0.77
2026-06-07	oos	0.2127	0.212346	-0.17%	0.2215	+4.14%	0.0420	✗	0.76
2026-06-06	oos	0.2096	0.209736	+0.07%	0.2231	+6.44%	0.0240	✓	0.75
2026-06-05	oos	0.2146	0.213853	-0.35%	0.2159	+0.61%	0.0206	✓	0.74
2026-06-04	oos	0.2273	0.224213	-1.36%	0.2129	-6.34%	0.0438	✓	0.71
2026-06-03	oos	0.2368	0.232559	-1.79%	0.2128	-10.14%	0.0731	✓	0.65
2026-06-02	oos	0.2532	0.246632	-2.59%	0.2079	-17.89%	0.1209	✓	0.62
2026-06-01	oos	0.2713	0.263599	-2.84%	0.2034	-25.03%	0.1776	✓	0.47
2026-05-31	oos	0.2757	0.269106	-2.39%	0.1904	-30.94%	0.2371	✓	0.48
2026-05-30	oos	0.2721	0.265714	-2.35%	0.2025	-25.58%	0.1849	✓	0.43
2026-05-29	oos	0.2634	0.25685	-2.49%	0.2027	-23.04%	0.1464	✓	0.43
2026-05-28	oos	0.2594	0.252885	-2.51%	0.2048	-21.05%	0.1210	✓	0.44
2026-05-27	oos	0.2701	0.264135	-2.21%	0.2051	-24.07%	0.1596	✓	0.44
2026-05-26	oos	0.2839	0.279076	-1.70%	0.2124	-25.18%	0.1736	✓	0.42
2026-05-25	oos	0.2783	0.275795	-0.90%	0.2201	-20.91%	0.0873	✓	0.58
2026-05-24	oos	0.2851	0.282114	-1.05%	0.2215	-22.31%	0.1251	✓	0.57
2026-05-23	oos	0.2851	0.281855	-1.14%	0.221	-22.48%	0.1479	✓	0.53
2026-05-22	oos	0.2834	0.278874	-1.60%	0.2177	-23.18%	0.1539	✓	0.53
2026-05-21	oos	0.2818	0.280119	-0.60%	0.2176	-22.78%	0.1496	✓	0.55
2026-05-20	oos	0.2889	0.286731	-0.75%	0.2143	-25.82%	0.1840	✓	0.54
2026-05-19	oos	0.2876	0.284724	-1.00%	0.2135	-25.76%	0.1817	✓	0.53
2026-05-18	oos	0.285	0.282682	-0.81%	0.2198	-22.88%	0.1560	✓	0.54
2026-05-17	oos	0.2835	0.282231	-0.45%	0.2256	-20.42%	0.1356	✓	0.53
2026-05-16	oos	0.2893	0.288995	-0.11%	0.2333	-19.36%	0.1268	✓	0.53
2026-05-15	oos	0.3044	0.304822	+0.14%	0.2264	-25.62%	0.1939	✗	0.56
2026-05-14	oos	0.3073	0.311286	+1.30%	0.2221	-27.73%	0.2074	✗	0.57
2026-05-13	oos	0.3072	0.308702	+0.49%	0.2221	-27.70%	0.2019	✗	0.57
2026-05-12	oos	0.3097	0.313273	+1.15%	0.2206	-28.77%	0.2158	✗	0.57
2026-05-11	oos	0.322	0.327068	+1.57%	0.2103	-34.69%	0.2754	✗	0.58
2026-05-10	oos	0.312	0.319132	+2.29%	0.2162	-30.71%	0.2204	✗	0.59
2026-05-09	oos	0.3089	0.314204	+1.72%	0.2124	-31.24%	0.2464	✗	0.59
2026-05-08	oos	0.3094	0.314298	+1.58%	0.2127	-31.25%	0.2523	✗	0.58
2026-05-07	oos	0.3081	0.313277	+1.68%	0.2096	-31.97%	0.2419	✗	0.58
2026-05-06	oos	0.3159	0.323783	+2.50%	0.2146	-32.07%	0.2031	✗	0.72
2026-05-05	oos	0.3184	0.325623	+2.27%	0.2273	-28.61%	0.2280	✗	0.55
2026-05-04	oos	0.3008	0.307813	+2.33%	0.2368	-21.28%	0.1441	✗	0.54
2026-05-03	oos	0.2986	0.303922	+1.78%	0.2532	-15.20%	0.0981	✗	0.51
2026-05-02	oos	0.3012	0.306893	+1.89%	0.2713	-9.93%	0.0721	✗	0.52
2026-05-01	oos	0.3025	0.307648	+1.70%	0.2757	-8.86%	0.0771	✗	0.53
2026-04-30	oos	0.2967	0.298992	+0.77%	0.2721	-8.29%	0.0755	✗	0.55
2026-04-29	oos	0.297	0.298648	+0.55%	0.2634	-11.31%	0.1078	✗	0.56
2026-04-28	oos	0.3045	0.307095	+0.85%	0.2594	-14.81%	0.1479	✗	0.56
2026-04-27	oos	0.3048	0.309848	+1.66%	0.2701	-11.38%	0.1148	✗	0.56
2026-04-26	oos	0.3118	0.319735	+2.54%	0.2839	-8.95%	0.0983	✗	0.56
2026-04-25	oos	0.317	0.322881	+1.86%	0.2783	-12.21%	0.1457	✗	0.56
2026-04-24	oos	0.3129	0.319202	+2.01%	0.2851	-8.88%	0.1095	✗	0.56
2026-04-23	oos	0.3148	0.323301	+2.70%	0.2851	-9.43%	0.1140	✗	0.56
2026-04-22	oos	0.3196	0.328065	+2.65%	0.2834	-11.33%	0.1263	✗	0.56
2026-04-21	oos	0.3156	0.320847	+1.66%	0.2818	-10.71%	0.1384	✗	0.56
2026-04-20	oos	0.3163	0.320873	+1.45%	0.2889	-8.66%	0.1167	✗	0.56
2026-04-19	oos	0.3194	0.320238	+0.26%	0.2876	-9.96%	0.1301	✗	0.58
2026-04-18	oos	0.3251	0.329657	+1.40%	0.285	-12.33%	0.1547	✗	0.58
2026-04-17	oos	0.3307	0.338459	+2.35%	0.2835	-14.27%	0.1795	✗	0.58
2026-04-16	oos	0.3227	0.327981	+1.64%	0.2893	-10.35%	0.1476	✗	0.58
2026-04-15	oos	0.3162	0.322025	+1.84%	0.3044	-3.73%	0.0878	✗	0.57
2026-04-14	oos	0.3113	0.316479	+1.66%	0.3073	-1.28%	0.0806	✗	0.58
2026-04-13	oos	0.3071	0.313233	+2.00%	0.3072	+0.03%	0.0571	✗	0.60
2026-04-12	oos	0.3009	0.300797	-0.03%	0.3097	+2.92%	0.0484	✓	0.60
2026-04-11	oos	0.3148	0.318436	+1.15%	0.322	+2.29%	0.0552	✗	0.59
2026-04-10	oos	0.3055	0.309737	+1.39%	0.312	+2.13%	0.0630	✗	0.59
2026-04-09	oos	0.2999	0.302407	+0.84%	0.3089	+3.00%	0.0473	✗	0.59
2026-04-08	oos	0.3008	0.302182	+0.46%	0.3094	+2.86%	0.0474	✗	0.59
2026-04-07	oos	0.2992	0.302198	+1.00%	0.3081	+2.97%	0.0437	✗	0.59
2026-04-06	oos	0.2993	0.297142	-0.72%	0.3159	+5.55%	0.0416	✓	0.61
2026-04-05	oos	0.2963	0.294545	-0.59%	0.3184	+7.46%	0.0195	✓	0.61
2026-04-04	oos	0.2965	0.293481	-1.02%	0.3008	+1.45%	0.0810	✓	0.62
2026-04-03	oos	0.2858	0.283819	-0.69%	0.2986	+4.48%	0.0475	✓	0.62
2026-04-02	oos	0.2881	0.286851	-0.43%	0.3012	+4.55%	0.0508	✓	0.61
2026-04-01	oos	0.2941	0.294528	+0.15%	0.3025	+2.86%	0.0586	✗	0.62
2026-03-31	oos	0.2794	0.281517	+0.76%	0.2967	+6.19%	0.0170	✗	0.62
2026-03-30	oos	0.2749	0.277039	+0.78%	0.297	+8.04%	0.0094	✗	0.62
2026-03-29	oos	0.2709	0.273412	+0.93%	0.3045	+12.40%	0.0160	✓	0.63
2026-03-28	oos	0.2802	0.283679	+1.24%	0.3048	+8.78%	0.0248	✗	0.63
2026-03-27	oos	0.2859	0.28991	+1.40%	0.3118	+9.06%	0.0350	✗	0.63
2026-03-26	oos	0.2899	0.29661	+2.31%	0.317	+9.35%	0.0110	✓	0.64
2026-03-25	oos	0.2946	0.304283	+3.29%	0.3129	+6.21%	0.0252	✓	0.64
2026-03-24	oos	0.2932	0.302651	+3.22%	0.3148	+7.37%	0.0275	✓	0.64
2026-03-23	oos	0.2964	0.306684	+3.47%	0.3196	+7.83%	0.0219	✓	0.64
2026-03-22	oos	0.2855	0.293382	+2.76%	0.3156	+10.54%	0.0024	✓	0.64
2026-03-21	oos	0.2883	0.297562	+3.21%	0.3163	+9.71%	0.0003	✓	0.64
2026-03-20	oos	0.2895	0.300707	+3.87%	0.3194	+10.33%	0.0309	✓	0.64
2026-03-19	oos	0.2995	0.310816	+3.78%	0.3251	+8.55%	0.0066	✓	0.64
2026-03-18	oos	0.3148	0.327674	+4.09%	0.3307	+5.05%	0.0430	✗	0.66
2026-03-17	oos	0.3292	0.344691	+4.71%	0.3227	-1.97%	0.0767	✗	0.65
2026-03-16	oos	0.3351	0.351354	+4.85%	0.3162	-5.64%	0.1050	✗	0.65
2026-03-15	oos	0.3261	0.34172	+4.79%	0.3113	-4.54%	0.1050	✗	0.64
2026-03-14	oos	0.3161	0.330728	+4.63%	0.3071	-2.85%	0.1026	✗	0.65
2026-03-13	oos	0.3232	0.337652	+4.47%	0.3009	-6.90%	0.1135	✗	0.64
2026-03-12	oos	0.3165	0.330832	+4.53%	0.3148	-0.54%	0.0725	✗	0.64
2026-03-11	oos	0.3187	0.33278	+4.42%	0.3055	-4.14%	0.1106	✗	0.64
2026-03-10	oos	0.3219	0.33567	+4.28%	0.2999	-6.83%	0.1293	✗	0.64
2026-03-09	oos	0.3212	0.333951	+3.97%	0.3008	-6.35%	0.1290	✗	0.64
2026-03-08	oos	0.3212	0.33235	+3.47%	0.2992	-6.85%	0.1609	✗	0.65
2026-03-07	oos	0.3189	0.330795	+3.73%	0.2993	-6.15%	0.1153	✗	0.65
2026-03-06	oos	0.3199	0.332248	+3.86%	0.2963	-7.38%	0.1231	✗	0.65
2026-03-05	oos	0.3148	0.328601	+4.38%	0.2965	-5.81%	0.0675	✗	0.68
2026-03-04	oos	0.3237	0.33807	+4.44%	0.2858	-11.71%	0.1129	✗	0.67
2026-03-03	oos	0.3307	0.343	+3.72%	0.2881	-12.88%	0.1590	✗	0.72
2026-03-02	oos	0.3376	0.349626	+3.56%	0.2941	-12.89%	0.1655	✗	0.71
2026-03-01	oos	0.3457	0.355944	+2.96%	0.2794	-19.18%	0.2702	✗	0.77
2026-02-28	oos	0.3555	0.365258	+2.74%	0.2749	-22.67%	0.2815	✗	0.79
2026-02-27	oos	0.3473	0.356875	+2.76%	0.2709	-22.00%	0.2768	✗	0.78
2026-02-26	oos	0.3555	0.364619	+2.57%	0.2802	-21.18%	0.2497	✗	0.78
2026-02-25	oos	0.3599	0.368421	+2.37%	0.2859	-20.56%	0.2345	✗	0.78
2026-02-24	oos	0.3165	0.326365	+3.12%	0.2899	-8.40%	0.1683	✗	0.70
2026-02-23	oos	0.2971	0.307721	+3.57%	0.2946	-0.84%	0.1117	✗	0.69
2026-02-22	oos	0.2942	0.305211	+3.74%	0.2932	-0.34%	0.0703	✗	0.71
2026-02-21	oos	0.3041	0.3148	+3.52%	0.2964	-2.53%	0.0899	✗	0.71
2026-02-20	oos	0.3051	0.315702	+3.47%	0.2855	-6.42%	0.0990	✗	0.76
2026-02-19	oos	0.3108	0.321082	+3.31%	0.2883	-7.24%	0.1294	✗	0.76
2026-02-18	oos	0.3208	0.330488	+3.02%	0.2895	-9.76%	0.1779	✗	0.76
2026-02-17	oos	0.3293	0.338443	+2.78%	0.2995	-9.05%	0.1494	✗	0.76
2026-02-16	oos	0.3295	0.338437	+2.71%	0.3148	-4.46%	0.0988	✗	0.78
2026-02-15	oos	0.3322	0.340851	+2.60%	0.3292	-0.90%	0.0909	✗	0.78
2026-02-14	oos	0.3748	0.380238	+1.45%	0.3351	-10.59%	0.1803	✗	0.76
2026-02-13	oos	0.3708	0.376232	+1.46%	0.3261	-12.06%	0.1864	✗	0.76
2026-02-12	oos	0.3621	0.368016	+1.63%	0.3161	-12.70%	0.2080	✗	0.77
2026-02-11	oos	0.3606	0.366197	+1.55%	0.3232	-10.37%	0.1700	✗	0.79
2026-02-10	oos	0.3798	0.383214	+0.90%	0.3165	-16.67%	0.2109	✗	0.79
2026-02-09	oos	0.3844	0.38679	+0.62%	0.3187	-17.09%	0.1948	✗	0.80
2026-02-08	oos	0.3955	0.396165	+0.17%	0.3219	-18.61%	0.2040	✗	0.79
2026-02-07	oos	0.401	0.400283	-0.18%	0.3212	-19.90%	0.2108	✓	0.79
2026-02-06	oos	0.4073	0.404666	-0.65%	0.3212	-21.14%	0.1787	✓	0.78
2026-02-05	oos	0.3562	0.358334	+0.60%	0.3189	-10.47%	0.1644	✗	0.70
2026-02-04	oos	0.3647	0.363951	-0.21%	0.3199	-12.28%	0.0593	✓	1.01
2026-02-03	oos	0.3649	0.362803	-0.57%	0.3148	-13.73%	0.0739	✓	1.04
2026-02-02	oos	0.3573	0.354365	-0.82%	0.3237	-9.40%	0.0015	✓	1.16
2026-02-01	oos	0.3458	0.343627	-0.63%	0.3307	-4.37%	0.0887	✗	1.08
2026-01-31	oos	0.3625	0.358703	-1.05%	0.3376	-6.87%	0.0858	✗	1.10
2026-01-30	oos	0.3901	0.384977	-1.31%	0.3457	-11.38%	0.1618	✗	1.10
2026-01-29	oos	0.4085	0.402687	-1.42%	0.3555	-12.97%	0.1300	✗	1.09
2026-01-28	oos	0.424	0.421199	-0.66%	0.3473	-18.09%	0.1460	✗	1.12
2026-01-27	oos	0.4317	0.428528	-0.73%	0.3555	-17.65%	0.1190	✗	1.10
2026-01-26	oos	0.426	0.421838	-0.98%	0.3599	-15.52%	0.1215	✗	1.07
2026-01-25	oos	0.4285	0.422236	-1.46%	0.3165	-26.14%	0.0471	✗	1.11
2026-01-24	oos	0.4337	0.429168	-1.04%	0.2971	-31.50%	0.0044	✓	1.13
2026-01-23	oos	0.4331	0.428496	-1.06%	0.2942	-32.07%	0.0456	✓	1.18
2026-01-22	oos	0.4377	0.4331	-1.05%	0.3041	-30.52%	0.0296	✓	1.18
2026-01-21	oos	0.449	0.442678	-1.41%	0.3051	-32.05%	0.0478	✓	1.19
2026-01-20	oos	0.4326	0.424416	-1.89%	0.3108	-28.16%	0.0233	✗	1.21
2026-01-19	oos	0.4542	0.452541	-0.37%	0.3208	-29.37%	0.0625	✗	1.23
2026-01-18	oos	0.4629	0.464065	+0.25%	0.3293	-28.86%	0.0624	✓	1.24
2026-01-17	oos	0.474	0.478805	+1.01%	0.3295	-30.49%	0.0205	✓	1.22
2026-01-16	oos	0.4795	0.485587	+1.27%	0.3322	-30.72%	0.0292	✓	1.25
2026-01-15	oos	0.4907	0.496805	+1.24%	0.3748	-23.62%	0.1109	✓	1.25
2026-01-14	oos	0.5107	0.518966	+1.62%	0.3708	-27.39%	0.0891	✓	1.24
2026-01-13	oos	0.4585	0.466846	+1.82%	0.3621	-21.03%	0.1866	✓	1.21
2026-01-12	oos	0.4475	0.448523	+0.23%	0.3606	-19.42%	0.1660	✓	1.25
2026-01-11	oos	0.4526	0.453402	+0.18%	0.3798	-16.08%	0.1717	✓	1.25
2026-01-10	oos	0.454	0.454588	+0.13%	0.3844	-15.33%	0.1510	✓	1.25
2026-01-09	oos	0.4606	0.461675	+0.23%	0.3955	-14.13%	0.1877	✓	1.35
2026-01-08	oos	0.4526	0.455387	+0.62%	0.401	-11.40%	0.2336	✓	1.32
2026-01-07	oos	0.4587	0.462208	+0.76%	0.4073	-11.21%	0.2366	✓	1.41
2026-01-06	oos	0.4844	0.490575	+1.27%	0.3562	-26.47%	0.2423	✓	1.40
2026-01-05	oos	0.4995	0.505762	+1.25%	0.3647	-26.99%	0.0251	✓	1.40
2026-01-04	oos	0.4915	0.496559	+1.03%	0.3649	-25.76%	0.0388	✗	1.42
2026-01-03	oos	0.4866	0.491539	+1.02%	0.3573	-26.57%	0.1180	✗	1.42
2026-01-02	oos	0.4923	0.497311	+1.02%	0.3458	-29.76%	0.1402	✗	1.42
2026-01-01	oos	0.4832	0.488858	+1.17%	0.3625	-24.98%	0.1275	✗	1.42
2025-12-31	oos	0.4664	0.472886	+1.39%	0.3901	-16.36%	0.1372	✗	1.40
2025-12-30	oos	0.4959	0.502844	+1.40%	0.4085	-17.62%	0.1453	✗	1.39
2025-12-29	oos	0.476	0.483357	+1.55%	0.424	-10.92%	0.1633	✗	1.39
2025-12-28	oos	0.4782	0.486568	+1.75%	0.4317	-9.72%	0.1391	✗	1.39
2025-12-27	oos	0.4315	0.441039	+2.21%	0.426	-1.27%	0.0415	✗	1.35
2025-12-26	oos	0.4283	0.43721	+2.08%	0.4285	+0.05%	0.0087	✓	1.35
2025-12-25	oos	0.4313	0.439619	+1.93%	0.4337	+0.56%	0.0428	✗	1.35
2025-12-24	oos	0.4427	0.450543	+1.77%	0.4331	-2.17%	0.0678	✗	1.35
2025-12-23	oos	0.4458	0.453057	+1.63%	0.4377	-1.82%	0.0655	✗	1.35
2025-12-22	oos	0.4655	0.472635	+1.53%	0.449	-3.54%	0.0635	✗	1.35
2025-12-21	oos	0.476	0.48272	+1.41%	0.4326	-9.12%	0.1046	✗	1.35
2025-12-20	oos	0.496	0.50174	+1.16%	0.4542	-8.43%	0.1636	✗	1.37
2025-12-19	oos	0.4871	0.493149	+1.24%	0.4629	-4.97%	0.1466	✗	1.37
2025-12-18	oos	0.4528	0.458706	+1.30%	0.474	+4.68%	0.1107	✗	1.34
2025-12-17	oos	0.4629	0.468663	+1.25%	0.4795	+3.59%	0.1142	✗	1.34
2025-12-16	oos	0.4552	0.461647	+1.42%	0.4907	+7.80%	0.0538	✗	1.36
2025-12-15	oos	0.4505	0.456136	+1.25%	0.5107	+13.36%	0.0442	✗	1.37
2025-12-14	oos	0.4757	0.481199	+1.16%	0.4585	-3.62%	0.1542	✗	1.35
2025-12-13	oos	0.4768	0.483254	+1.35%	0.4475	-6.15%	0.0908	✗	1.36
2025-12-12	oos	0.4816	0.488108	+1.35%	0.4526	-6.02%	0.0844	✗	1.36
2025-12-11	oos	0.4952	0.502724	+1.52%	0.454	-8.32%	0.0696	✗	1.36
2025-12-10	oos	0.5148	0.520887	+1.18%	0.4606	-10.53%	0.1002	✗	1.37
2025-12-09	oos	0.5209	0.526989	+1.17%	0.4526	-13.11%	0.1274	✗	1.37
2025-12-08	oos	0.5243	0.529457	+0.98%	0.4587	-12.51%	0.1529	✗	1.38
2025-12-07	oos	0.5344	0.539522	+0.96%	0.4844	-9.36%	0.1576	✗	1.38
2025-12-06	oos	0.5254	0.531062	+1.08%	0.4995	-4.93%	0.1307	✗	1.38
2025-12-05	oos	0.5042	0.511564	+1.46%	0.4915	-2.52%	0.0729	✗	1.38
2025-12-04	oos	0.51	0.518988	+1.76%	0.4866	-4.59%	0.0414	✗	1.41
2025-12-03	oos	0.5193	0.529246	+1.92%	0.4923	-5.20%	0.0187	✓	1.41
2025-12-02	oos	0.5385	0.546844	+1.55%	0.4832	-10.27%	0.0824	✗	1.45
2025-12-01	oos	0.5006	0.509039	+1.69%	0.4664	-6.83%	0.1078	✗	1.46
2025-11-30	oos	0.5414	0.549635	+1.52%	0.4959	-8.40%	0.0709	✗	1.45
2025-11-29	oos	0.5481	0.556213	+1.48%	0.476	-13.15%	0.0955	✗	1.44
2025-11-28	oos	0.5844	0.590068	+0.97%	0.4782	-18.17%	0.1614	✗	1.44
2025-11-27	oos	0.6029	0.606887	+0.66%	0.4315	-28.43%	0.2846	✗	1.44
2025-11-26	oos	0.6179	0.618945	+0.17%	0.4283	-30.68%	0.3171	✗	1.43
2025-11-25	oos	0.6249	0.621849	-0.49%	0.4313	-30.98%	0.3633	✓	1.48
2025-11-24	oos	0.6041	0.602035	-0.34%	0.4427	-26.72%	0.2963	✓	1.49
2025-11-23	oos	0.62	0.61392	-0.98%	0.4458	-28.10%	0.3308	✓	1.52
2025-11-22	oos	0.5308	0.53103	+0.04%	0.4655	-12.30%	0.1967	✗	1.45
2025-11-21	oos	0.4518	0.456339	+1.00%	0.476	+5.36%	0.0172	✗	1.44
2025-11-20	oos	0.4514	0.454845	+0.76%	0.496	+9.88%	0.0568	✓	1.46
2025-11-19	oos	0.4723	0.473619	+0.28%	0.4871	+3.13%	0.0858	✓	1.54
2025-11-18	oos	0.5104	0.509696	-0.14%	0.4528	-11.29%	0.0093	✗	1.53
2025-11-17	oos	0.501	0.499856	-0.23%	0.4629	-7.60%	0.0240	✗	1.52
2025-11-16	oos	0.514	0.511841	-0.42%	0.4552	-11.44%	0.0093	✓	1.55
2025-11-15	oos	0.5203	0.517981	-0.45%	0.4505	-13.42%	0.0165	✗	1.55
2025-11-14	oos	0.5215	0.519868	-0.31%	0.4757	-8.78%	0.0194	✗	1.56
2025-11-13	oos	0.5679	0.564718	-0.56%	0.4768	-16.04%	0.0152	✓	1.56
2025-11-12	oos	0.597	0.593074	-0.66%	0.4816	-19.33%	0.0241	✓	1.55
2025-11-11	oos	0.6214	0.616844	-0.73%	0.4952	-20.31%	0.0539	✓	1.55
2025-11-10	oos	0.6228	0.619655	-0.51%	0.5148	-17.34%	0.0381	✗	1.58
2025-11-09	oos	0.6417	0.636549	-0.80%	0.5209	-18.82%	0.0052	✓	1.60
2025-11-08	oos	0.6406	0.633807	-1.06%	0.5243	-18.15%	0.0069	✓	1.63
2025-11-07	oos	0.6439	0.636466	-1.15%	0.5344	-17.01%	0.0426	✗	1.63
2025-11-06	oos	0.6153	0.608433	-1.12%	0.5254	-14.61%	0.0581	✗	1.62
2025-11-05	oos	0.6439	0.634733	-1.42%	0.5042	-21.70%	0.0130	✓	1.61
2025-11-04	oos	0.5716	0.565605	-1.05%	0.51	-10.78%	0.0453	✗	1.53
2025-11-03	oos	0.5617	0.555539	-1.10%	0.5193	-7.55%	0.1550	✗	1.70
2025-11-02	oos	0.6098	0.603197	-1.08%	0.5385	-11.69%	0.2092	✗	1.69
2025-11-01	oos	0.6287	0.621364	-1.17%	0.5006	-20.38%	0.1978	✗	1.70
2025-10-31	oos	0.6247	0.617559	-1.14%	0.5414	-13.33%	0.1963	✗	1.70
2025-10-30	oos	0.6303	0.623336	-1.10%	0.5481	-13.04%	0.1728	✗	1.71
2025-10-29	oos	0.609	0.602937	-1.00%	0.5844	-4.04%	0.3039	✗	1.75
2025-10-28	oos	0.603	0.598615	-0.73%	0.6029	-0.02%	0.3825	✗	1.77
2025-10-27	oos	0.69	0.686003	-0.58%	0.6179	-10.45%	0.2965	✗	1.73
2025-10-26	oos	0.7419	0.736378	-0.74%	0.6249	-15.77%	0.3029	✗	1.72
2025-10-25	oos	0.6788	0.670836	-1.17%	0.6041	-11.00%	0.2910	✗	1.68
2025-10-24	oos	0.6829	0.67462	-1.21%	0.62	-9.21%	0.3264	✗	1.67
2025-10-23	oos	0.6635	0.655632	-1.19%	0.5308	-20.00%	0.2257	✗	1.66
2025-10-22	oos	0.6152	0.607484	-1.25%	0.4518	-26.56%	0.0838	✗	1.62
2025-10-21	oos	0.6325	0.624455	-1.27%	0.4514	-28.63%	0.0388	✗	1.62
2025-10-20	oos	0.6661	0.658638	-1.12%	0.4723	-29.09%	0.0220	✓	1.64
2025-10-19	oos	0.6731	0.662388	-1.59%	0.5104	-24.17%	0.0044	✓	1.64
2025-10-18	oos	0.6227	0.612045	-1.71%	0.501	-19.54%	0.0428	✗	1.60
2025-10-17	oos	0.6126	0.601314	-1.84%	0.514	-16.10%	0.0382	✗	1.59
2025-10-16	oos	0.6252	0.614141	-1.77%	0.5203	-16.78%	0.0331	✗	1.60
2025-10-15	oos	0.6547	0.645126	-1.46%	0.5215	-20.35%	0.0376	✗	1.57
2025-10-14	oos	0.6761	0.668121	-1.18%	0.5679	-16.00%	0.0382	✗	1.58
2025-10-13	oos	0.6991	0.693191	-0.85%	0.597	-14.60%	0.0530	✗	1.61
2025-10-12	oos	0.7064	0.69962	-0.96%	0.6214	-12.03%	0.0612	✗	1.62
2025-10-11	oos	0.6166	0.602566	-2.28%	0.6228	+1.01%	0.1000	✗	1.52
2025-10-10	oos	0.5866	0.570759	-2.70%	0.6417	+9.39%	0.2401	✗	1.61
2025-10-09	oos	0.6817	0.68307	+0.20%	0.6406	-6.03%	0.1984	✓	1.51
2025-10-08	oos	0.7125	0.717114	+0.65%	0.6439	-9.63%	0.1543	✓	1.48
2025-10-07	oos	0.7047	0.703184	-0.22%	0.6153	-12.69%	0.1296	✗	1.45
2025-10-06	oos	0.736	0.748029	+1.63%	0.6439	-12.51%	0.1148	✓	1.45
2025-10-05	oos	0.7141	0.721434	+1.03%	0.5716	-19.96%	0.0495	✓	1.44
2025-10-04	oos	0.7215	0.724794	+0.46%	0.5617	-22.15%	0.0564	✗	1.43
2025-10-03	oos	0.7328	0.735008	+0.30%	0.6098	-16.78%	0.0409	✗	1.44
2025-10-02	oos	0.7458	0.742264	-0.47%	0.6287	-15.70%	0.0321	✓	1.46
2025-10-01	oos	0.728	0.716685	-1.55%	0.6247	-14.19%	0.0205	✓	1.46
2025-09-30	oos	0.6868	0.660305	-3.86%	0.6303	-8.23%	0.0285	✓	1.45
2025-09-29	oos	0.693	0.665252	-4.00%	0.609	-12.12%	0.0290	✓	1.54
2025-09-28	oos	0.7095	0.67931	-4.26%	0.603	-15.01%	0.1295	✓	1.64
2025-09-27	oos	0.6949	0.658652	-5.22%	0.69	-0.71%	0.0187	✓	1.66
2025-09-26	oos	0.6826	0.643823	-5.68%	0.7419	+8.69%	0.0702	✗	1.65
2025-09-25	oos	0.6951	0.658484	-5.27%	0.6788	-2.34%	0.0096	✓	1.68
2025-09-24	oos	0.7374	0.713123	-3.29%	0.6829	-7.39%	0.0084	✓	1.70
2025-09-23	oos	0.7157	0.688926	-3.74%	0.6635	-7.29%	0.0084	✓	1.70
2025-09-22	oos	0.7471	0.730005	-2.29%	0.6152	-17.65%	0.0883	✓	1.77
2025-09-21	oos	0.7844	0.779048	-0.68%	0.6325	-19.37%	0.0970	✓	1.80
2025-09-20	oos	0.8044	0.803698	-0.09%	0.6661	-17.19%	0.1094	✓	1.71
2025-09-19	oos	0.8018	0.802708	+0.11%	0.6731	-16.05%	0.0676	✗	1.74
2025-09-18	oos	0.813	0.819299	+0.77%	0.6227	-23.41%	0.1213	✗	1.73

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.