ERG

Ergo · native · gru_s0

token id: #922
symbol: ERG
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2024-04-29
predictions: 2,667

Track record at +1d

assessed

399

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

57.9%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0244

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0035

actual -0.0009

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.31945	0.317701	-0.55%	–	pending	–	–	1.39
2026-10-20	oos	0.3475	0.345033	-0.71%	0.31945	-8.07%	0.0731	✓	1.36
2026-10-19	oos	0.32025	0.318391	-0.58%	0.3475	+8.51%	0.0695	✗	1.35
2026-10-18	oos	0.31585	0.314096	-0.56%	0.32025	+1.39%	0.0222	✗	1.34
2026-10-17	oos	0.32405	0.321907	-0.66%	0.31585	-2.53%	0.0293	✓	1.35
2026-10-16	oos	0.3098	0.308143	-0.53%	0.32405	+4.60%	0.0523	✗	1.35
2026-10-15	oos	0.3241	0.322071	-0.63%	0.3098	-4.41%	0.0287	✓	1.33
2026-10-14	oos	0.2956	0.294264	-0.45%	0.3241	+9.64%	0.0875	✗	1.33
2026-10-13	oos	0.311	0.309643	-0.44%	0.2956	-4.95%	0.0222	✓	1.30
2026-10-12	oos	0.3215	0.319807	-0.53%	0.311	-3.27%	0.0496	✓	1.31
2026-10-11	oos	0.32625	0.324583	-0.51%	0.3215	-1.46%	0.0203	✗	1.28
2026-10-10	oos	0.3262	0.324031	-0.66%	0.32625	+0.02%	0.0051	✓	1.29
2026-10-09	oos	0.2942	0.29293	-0.43%	0.3262	+10.88%	0.1019	✗	1.29
2026-10-08	oos	0.3076	0.305795	-0.59%	0.2942	-4.36%	0.0521	✓	1.30
2026-10-07	oos	0.2978	0.296686	-0.37%	0.3076	+3.29%	0.0616	✗	1.33
2026-10-06	oos	0.32115	0.320002	-0.36%	0.2978	-7.27%	0.0375	✓	1.28
2026-10-05	oos	0.3138	0.312773	-0.33%	0.32115	+2.34%	0.0295	✗	1.27
2026-10-04	oos	0.32445	0.323103	-0.42%	0.3138	-3.28%	0.0181	✓	1.26
2026-10-03	oos	0.3062	0.30524	-0.31%	0.32445	+5.96%	0.0352	✗	1.25
2026-10-02	oos	0.3255	0.324134	-0.42%	0.3062	-5.93%	0.0604	✓	1.25
2026-10-01	oos	0.32945	0.328164	-0.39%	0.3255	-1.20%	0.0031	✓	1.25
2026-09-30	oos	0.3314	0.32991	-0.45%	0.32945	-0.59%	0.0207	✓	1.26
2026-09-29	oos	0.3359	0.334116	-0.53%	0.3314	-1.34%	0.0069	✓	1.25
2026-09-28	oos	0.3236	0.322072	-0.47%	0.3359	+3.80%	0.0393	✗	1.27
2026-09-27	oos	0.3311	0.329449	-0.50%	0.3236	-2.27%	0.0025	✓	1.29
2026-09-26	oos	0.3278	0.326376	-0.43%	0.3311	+1.01%	0.0137	✗	1.29
2026-09-25	oos	0.33875	0.336952	-0.53%	0.3278	-3.23%	0.0325	✓	1.29
2026-09-24	oos	0.3396	0.337716	-0.55%	0.33875	-0.25%	0.0075	✗	1.29
2026-09-23	oos	0.3478	0.345114	-0.77%	0.3396	-2.36%	0.0162	✓	1.28
2026-09-22	oos	0.3403	0.338008	-0.67%	0.3478	+2.20%	0.0568	✗	1.32
2026-09-21	oos	0.32345	0.320958	-0.77%	0.3403	+5.21%	0.0645	✗	1.31
2026-09-20	oos	0.2769	0.27574	-0.42%	0.32345	+16.81%	0.0840	✗	1.17
2026-09-19	oos	0.28165	0.280367	-0.46%	0.2769	-1.69%	0.0114	✓	1.16
2026-09-18	oos	0.28615	0.284548	-0.56%	0.28165	-1.57%	0.0154	✓	1.16
2026-09-17	oos	0.2532	0.252496	-0.28%	0.28615	+13.01%	0.0640	✗	1.06
2026-09-16	oos	0.2491	0.248574	-0.21%	0.2532	+1.65%	0.0156	✗	1.06
2026-09-15	oos	0.24205	0.241922	-0.05%	0.2491	+2.91%	0.0214	✗	1.06
2026-09-14	oos	0.2686	0.267774	-0.31%	0.24205	-9.88%	0.0677	✓	0.99
2026-09-13	oos	0.2597	0.259177	-0.20%	0.2686	+3.43%	0.0182	✗	0.99
2026-09-12	oos	0.2606	0.26009	-0.20%	0.2597	-0.35%	0.0045	✗	0.99
2026-09-11	oos	0.2549	0.254577	-0.13%	0.2606	+2.24%	0.0227	✗	0.99
2026-09-10	oos	0.256	0.255534	-0.18%	0.2549	-0.43%	0.0112	✓	0.99
2026-09-09	oos	0.2494	0.249134	-0.11%	0.256	+2.65%	0.0504	✗	1.03
2026-09-08	oos	0.2522	0.251733	-0.19%	0.2494	-1.11%	0.0071	✓	1.04
2026-09-07	oos	0.2215	0.221824	+0.15%	0.2522	+13.86%	0.1373	✓	1.09
2026-09-06	oos	0.2646	0.26422	-0.14%	0.2215	-16.29%	0.1612	✓	0.97
2026-09-05	oos	0.2593	0.259076	-0.09%	0.2646	+2.04%	0.0150	✗	0.97
2026-09-04	oos	0.2538	0.253757	-0.02%	0.2593	+2.17%	0.0198	✗	0.95
2026-09-03	oos	0.2634	0.263344	-0.02%	0.2538	-3.64%	0.0184	✓	0.94
2026-09-02	oos	0.26055	0.260367	-0.07%	0.2634	+1.09%	0.0387	✓	1.01
2026-09-01	oos	0.2516	0.251596	-0.00%	0.26055	+3.56%	0.0362	✗	1.02
2026-08-31	oos	0.2584	0.258244	-0.06%	0.2516	-2.63%	0.0105	✓	1.04
2026-08-30	oos	0.2469	0.246989	+0.04%	0.2584	+4.66%	0.0334	✓	1.03
2026-08-29	oos	0.2507	0.25077	+0.03%	0.2469	-1.52%	0.0082	✗	1.01
2026-08-28	oos	0.2563	0.256224	-0.03%	0.2507	-2.18%	0.0269	✓	1.01
2026-08-27	oos	0.2586	0.258564	-0.01%	0.2563	-0.89%	0.0231	✗	1.04
2026-08-26	oos	0.2625	0.262283	-0.08%	0.2586	-1.49%	0.0305	✓	1.05
2026-08-25	oos	0.2624	0.262089	-0.12%	0.2625	+0.04%	0.0051	✓	1.05
2026-08-24	oos	0.2673	0.266819	-0.18%	0.2624	-1.83%	0.0105	✓	1.07
2026-08-23	oos	0.2667	0.266018	-0.26%	0.2673	+0.22%	0.0120	✓	1.05
2026-08-22	oos	0.2709	0.269882	-0.38%	0.2667	-1.55%	0.0211	✓	1.06
2026-08-21	oos	0.2675	0.266004	-0.56%	0.2709	+1.27%	0.0357	✗	1.07
2026-08-20	oos	0.2429	0.24133	-0.65%	0.2675	+10.13%	0.0314	✗	1.02
2026-08-19	oos	0.2155	0.214952	-0.25%	0.2429	+12.71%	0.0762	✗	0.88
2026-08-18	oos	0.2014	0.200662	-0.37%	0.2155	+7.00%	0.0121	✗	0.86
2026-08-17	oos	0.2026	0.201866	-0.36%	0.2014	-0.59%	0.0050	✓	0.86
2026-08-16	oos	0.2051	0.204225	-0.43%	0.2026	-1.22%	0.0310	✓	0.89
2026-08-15	oos	0.2025	0.201756	-0.37%	0.2051	+1.28%	0.0190	✗	0.89
2026-08-14	oos	0.207	0.206251	-0.36%	0.2025	-2.17%	0.0190	✓	0.90
2026-08-13	oos	0.209	0.208318	-0.33%	0.207	-0.96%	0.0001	✓	0.91
2026-08-12	oos	0.2159	0.215157	-0.34%	0.209	-3.20%	0.0292	✓	0.90
2026-08-11	oos	0.2216	0.220828	-0.35%	0.2159	-2.57%	0.0209	✓	0.88
2026-08-10	oos	0.2382	0.237083	-0.47%	0.2216	-6.97%	0.0623	✓	0.87
2026-08-09	oos	0.2358	0.234794	-0.43%	0.2382	+1.02%	0.0274	✗	0.89
2026-08-08	oos	0.2388	0.23766	-0.48%	0.2358	-1.26%	0.0070	✓	0.89
2026-08-07	oos	0.2356	0.234478	-0.48%	0.2388	+1.36%	0.0180	✗	0.89
2026-08-06	oos	0.2341	0.23281	-0.55%	0.2356	+0.64%	0.0034	✓	0.88
2026-08-05	oos	0.2253	0.224266	-0.46%	0.2341	+3.91%	0.0475	✗	0.89
2026-08-04	oos	0.222	0.220932	-0.48%	0.2253	+1.49%	0.0119	✗	0.89
2026-08-03	oos	0.2162	0.215183	-0.47%	0.222	+2.68%	0.0231	✗	0.88
2026-08-02	oos	0.2141	0.213068	-0.48%	0.2162	+0.98%	0.0151	✗	0.90
2026-08-01	oos	0.202	0.201215	-0.39%	0.2141	+5.99%	0.0519	✗	0.88
2026-07-31	oos	0.2046	0.203824	-0.38%	0.202	-1.27%	0.0081	✓	0.88
2026-07-30	oos	0.2073	0.206647	-0.32%	0.2046	-1.30%	0.0164	✗	0.89
2026-07-29	oos	0.2084	0.207732	-0.32%	0.2073	-0.53%	0.0136	✓	0.89
2026-07-28	oos	0.2074	0.206802	-0.29%	0.2084	+0.48%	0.0070	✗	0.89
2026-07-27	oos	0.2007	0.200298	-0.20%	0.2074	+3.34%	0.0327	✗	0.89
2026-07-26	oos	0.2085	0.20818	-0.15%	0.2007	-3.74%	0.0143	✓	0.87
2026-07-25	oos	0.2153	0.214915	-0.18%	0.2085	-3.16%	0.0449	✓	0.90
2026-07-24	oos	0.2163	0.215961	-0.16%	0.2153	-0.46%	0.0060	✓	0.89
2026-07-23	oos	0.2203	0.219989	-0.14%	0.2163	-1.82%	0.0035	✓	0.89
2026-07-22	oos	0.2181	0.217917	-0.08%	0.2203	+1.01%	0.0251	✗	0.90
2026-07-21	oos	0.2235	0.223255	-0.11%	0.2181	-2.42%	0.0175	✓	0.90
2026-07-20	oos	0.2198	0.219548	-0.11%	0.2235	+1.68%	0.0002	✓	0.89
2026-07-19	oos	0.2206	0.220308	-0.13%	0.2198	-0.36%	0.0096	✓	0.89
2026-07-18	oos	0.2211	0.220785	-0.14%	0.2206	-0.23%	0.0007	✓	0.86
2026-07-17	oos	0.2211	0.220711	-0.18%	0.2211	+0.00%	0.0104	✓	0.86
2026-07-16	oos	0.22	0.219597	-0.18%	0.2211	+0.50%	0.0052	✗	0.86
2026-07-15	oos	0.22	0.219605	-0.18%	0.22	+0.00%	0.0147	✗	0.87
2026-07-14	oos	0.2129	0.212605	-0.14%	0.22	+3.33%	0.0379	✗	0.88
2026-07-13	oos	0.2103	0.209931	-0.18%	0.2129	+1.24%	0.0253	✓	0.92
2026-07-12	oos	0.2215	0.221018	-0.22%	0.2103	-5.06%	0.0287	✓	0.90
2026-07-11	oos	0.2202	0.219709	-0.22%	0.2215	+0.59%	0.0086	✗	0.86
2026-07-10	oos	0.2189	0.21843	-0.21%	0.2202	+0.59%	0.0129	✗	0.87
2026-07-09	oos	0.2182	0.217682	-0.24%	0.2189	+0.32%	0.0076	✓	0.88
2026-07-08	oos	0.2216	0.220955	-0.29%	0.2182	-1.53%	0.0260	✓	0.90
2026-07-07	oos	0.2215	0.22087	-0.28%	0.2216	+0.05%	0.0189	✗	0.90
2026-07-06	oos	0.2231	0.222406	-0.31%	0.2215	-0.72%	0.0055	✗	0.90
2026-07-05	oos	0.2159	0.215295	-0.28%	0.2231	+3.33%	0.0301	✗	0.84
2026-07-04	oos	0.2129	0.212294	-0.28%	0.2159	+1.41%	0.0102	✗	0.84
2026-07-03	oos	0.2128	0.212123	-0.32%	0.2129	+0.05%	0.0038	✓	0.83
2026-07-02	oos	0.2079	0.20723	-0.32%	0.2128	+2.36%	0.0127	✗	0.83
2026-07-01	oos	0.2034	0.20273	-0.33%	0.2079	+2.21%	0.0045	✗	0.82
2026-06-30	oos	0.1904	0.189984	-0.22%	0.2034	+6.83%	0.0491	✗	0.79
2026-06-29	oos	0.2025	0.201923	-0.28%	0.1904	-5.98%	0.0378	✓	0.76
2026-06-28	oos	0.2027	0.202117	-0.29%	0.2025	-0.10%	0.0069	✓	0.76
2026-06-27	oos	0.2048	0.204202	-0.29%	0.2027	-1.03%	0.0015	✓	0.77
2026-06-26	oos	0.2051	0.204517	-0.28%	0.2048	-0.15%	0.0023	✓	0.77
2026-06-25	oos	0.2124	0.21171	-0.32%	0.2051	-3.44%	0.0356	✓	0.78
2026-06-24	oos	0.2201	0.21926	-0.38%	0.2124	-3.50%	0.0159	✓	0.75
2026-06-23	oos	0.2215	0.220597	-0.41%	0.2201	-0.63%	0.0179	✗	0.75
2026-06-22	oos	0.221	0.220124	-0.40%	0.2215	+0.23%	0.0219	✗	0.76
2026-06-21	oos	0.2177	0.216854	-0.39%	0.221	+1.52%	0.0104	✗	0.76
2026-06-20	oos	0.2176	0.216745	-0.39%	0.2177	+0.05%	0.0163	✗	0.77
2026-06-19	oos	0.2143	0.213496	-0.38%	0.2176	+1.54%	0.0101	✗	0.77
2026-06-18	oos	0.2135	0.212736	-0.36%	0.2143	+0.37%	0.0002	✓	0.76
2026-06-17	oos	0.2198	0.218923	-0.40%	0.2135	-2.87%	0.0068	✓	0.74
2026-06-16	oos	0.2256	0.224635	-0.43%	0.2198	-2.57%	0.0082	✓	0.75
2026-06-15	oos	0.2333	0.232096	-0.52%	0.2256	-3.30%	0.0208	✓	0.76
2026-06-14	oos	0.2264	0.225289	-0.49%	0.2333	+3.05%	0.0284	✗	0.76
2026-06-13	oos	0.2221	0.221069	-0.46%	0.2264	+1.94%	0.0089	✗	0.76
2026-06-12	oos	0.2221	0.221048	-0.47%	0.2221	+0.00%	0.0060	✓	0.77
2026-06-11	oos	0.2206	0.219518	-0.49%	0.2221	+0.68%	0.0120	✗	0.77
2026-06-10	oos	0.2103	0.209572	-0.35%	0.2206	+4.90%	0.0259	✗	0.75
2026-06-09	oos	0.2162	0.215377	-0.38%	0.2103	-2.73%	0.0210	✓	0.75
2026-06-08	oos	0.2124	0.211609	-0.37%	0.2162	+1.79%	0.0384	✗	0.77
2026-06-07	oos	0.2127	0.211948	-0.35%	0.2124	-0.14%	0.0050	✗	0.76
2026-06-06	oos	0.2096	0.209278	-0.15%	0.2127	+1.48%	0.0134	✓	0.75
2026-06-05	oos	0.2146	0.214322	-0.13%	0.2096	-2.33%	0.0201	✓	0.74
2026-06-04	oos	0.2273	0.226615	-0.30%	0.2146	-5.59%	0.0231	✓	0.71
2026-06-03	oos	0.2368	0.236065	-0.31%	0.2273	-4.01%	0.0354	✓	0.65
2026-06-02	oos	0.2532	0.252002	-0.47%	0.2368	-6.48%	0.0374	✓	0.62
2026-06-01	oos	0.2713	0.269477	-0.67%	0.2532	-6.67%	0.0305	✓	0.47
2026-05-31	oos	0.2757	0.273794	-0.69%	0.2713	-1.60%	0.0057	✓	0.48
2026-05-30	oos	0.2721	0.270268	-0.67%	0.2757	+1.32%	0.0210	✗	0.43
2026-05-29	oos	0.2634	0.261718	-0.64%	0.2721	+3.30%	0.0365	✗	0.43
2026-05-28	oos	0.2594	0.257929	-0.57%	0.2634	+1.54%	0.0219	✗	0.44
2026-05-27	oos	0.2701	0.268639	-0.54%	0.2594	-3.96%	0.0303	✓	0.44
2026-05-26	oos	0.2839	0.282369	-0.54%	0.2701	-4.86%	0.0361	✓	0.42
2026-05-25	oos	0.2783	0.277116	-0.43%	0.2839	+2.01%	0.0351	✗	0.58
2026-05-24	oos	0.2851	0.283806	-0.45%	0.2783	-2.39%	0.0216	✓	0.57
2026-05-23	oos	0.2851	0.28382	-0.45%	0.2851	+0.00%	0.0023	✓	0.53
2026-05-22	oos	0.2834	0.282188	-0.43%	0.2851	+0.60%	0.0018	✓	0.53
2026-05-21	oos	0.2818	0.28085	-0.34%	0.2834	+0.57%	0.0241	✗	0.55
2026-05-20	oos	0.2889	0.287857	-0.36%	0.2818	-2.46%	0.0218	✓	0.54
2026-05-19	oos	0.2876	0.286587	-0.35%	0.2889	+0.45%	0.0032	✓	0.53
2026-05-18	oos	0.285	0.284163	-0.29%	0.2876	+0.91%	0.0133	✗	0.54
2026-05-17	oos	0.2835	0.28283	-0.24%	0.285	+0.53%	0.0109	✗	0.53
2026-05-16	oos	0.2893	0.288707	-0.20%	0.2835	-2.00%	0.0134	✓	0.53
2026-05-15	oos	0.3044	0.303655	-0.24%	0.2893	-4.96%	0.0416	✓	0.56
2026-05-14	oos	0.3073	0.306792	-0.17%	0.3044	-0.94%	0.0065	✗	0.57
2026-05-13	oos	0.3072	0.306536	-0.22%	0.3073	+0.03%	0.0104	✓	0.57
2026-05-12	oos	0.3097	0.30917	-0.17%	0.3072	-0.81%	0.0022	✗	0.57
2026-05-11	oos	0.322	0.321315	-0.21%	0.3097	-3.82%	0.0279	✓	0.58
2026-05-10	oos	0.312	0.311609	-0.13%	0.322	+3.21%	0.0362	✗	0.59
2026-05-09	oos	0.3089	0.308417	-0.16%	0.312	+1.00%	0.0004	✓	0.59
2026-05-08	oos	0.3094	0.308884	-0.17%	0.3089	-0.16%	0.0033	✓	0.58
2026-05-07	oos	0.3081	0.30764	-0.15%	0.3094	+0.42%	0.0044	✗	0.58
2026-05-06	oos	0.3159	0.315458	-0.14%	0.3081	-2.47%	0.0108	✓	0.72
2026-05-05	oos	0.3184	0.317813	-0.18%	0.3159	-0.79%	0.0097	✓	0.55
2026-05-04	oos	0.3008	0.300473	-0.11%	0.3184	+5.85%	0.0509	✗	0.54
2026-05-03	oos	0.2986	0.29821	-0.13%	0.3008	+0.74%	0.0002	✓	0.51
2026-05-02	oos	0.3012	0.300821	-0.13%	0.2986	-0.86%	0.0066	✓	0.52
2026-05-01	oos	0.3025	0.302079	-0.14%	0.3012	-0.43%	0.0059	✓	0.53
2026-04-30	oos	0.2967	0.296192	-0.17%	0.3025	+1.95%	0.0072	✗	0.55
2026-04-29	oos	0.297	0.29648	-0.18%	0.2967	-0.10%	0.0033	✓	0.56
2026-04-28	oos	0.3045	0.30396	-0.18%	0.297	-2.46%	0.0190	✓	0.56
2026-04-27	oos	0.3048	0.30445	-0.11%	0.3045	-0.10%	0.0078	✗	0.56
2026-04-26	oos	0.3118	0.31154	-0.08%	0.3048	-2.25%	0.0125	✓	0.56
2026-04-25	oos	0.317	0.316514	-0.15%	0.3118	-1.64%	0.0223	✓	0.56
2026-04-24	oos	0.3129	0.312488	-0.13%	0.317	+1.31%	0.0130	✗	0.56
2026-04-23	oos	0.3148	0.314504	-0.09%	0.3129	-0.60%	0.0007	✓	0.56
2026-04-22	oos	0.3196	0.319224	-0.12%	0.3148	-1.50%	0.0145	✓	0.56
2026-04-21	oos	0.3156	0.315043	-0.18%	0.3196	+1.27%	0.0010	✓	0.56
2026-04-20	oos	0.3163	0.315671	-0.20%	0.3156	-0.22%	0.0038	✓	0.56
2026-04-19	oos	0.3194	0.31841	-0.31%	0.3163	-0.97%	0.0224	✓	0.58
2026-04-18	oos	0.3251	0.324293	-0.25%	0.3194	-1.75%	0.0004	✓	0.58
2026-04-17	oos	0.3307	0.329944	-0.23%	0.3251	-1.69%	0.0045	✓	0.58
2026-04-16	oos	0.3227	0.321787	-0.28%	0.3307	+2.48%	0.0127	✗	0.58
2026-04-15	oos	0.3162	0.315315	-0.28%	0.3227	+2.06%	0.0206	✗	0.57
2026-04-14	oos	0.3113	0.310364	-0.30%	0.3162	+1.57%	0.0135	✗	0.58
2026-04-13	oos	0.3071	0.306237	-0.28%	0.3113	+1.37%	0.0185	✗	0.60
2026-04-12	oos	0.3009	0.299667	-0.41%	0.3071	+2.06%	0.0061	✓	0.60
2026-04-11	oos	0.3148	0.313528	-0.40%	0.3009	-4.42%	0.0219	✓	0.59
2026-04-10	oos	0.3055	0.304364	-0.37%	0.3148	+3.04%	0.0330	✗	0.59
2026-04-09	oos	0.2999	0.298697	-0.40%	0.3055	+1.87%	0.0128	✗	0.59
2026-04-08	oos	0.3008	0.299472	-0.44%	0.2999	-0.30%	0.0044	✓	0.59
2026-04-07	oos	0.2992	0.297981	-0.41%	0.3008	+0.53%	0.0162	✗	0.59
2026-04-06	oos	0.2993	0.297683	-0.54%	0.2992	-0.03%	0.0215	✓	0.61
2026-04-05	oos	0.2963	0.294735	-0.53%	0.2993	+1.01%	0.0167	✗	0.61
2026-04-04	oos	0.2965	0.294824	-0.57%	0.2963	-0.07%	0.0105	✓	0.62
2026-04-03	oos	0.2858	0.284466	-0.47%	0.2965	+3.74%	0.0384	✗	0.62
2026-04-02	oos	0.2881	0.2868	-0.45%	0.2858	-0.80%	0.0041	✓	0.61
2026-04-01	oos	0.2941	0.292706	-0.47%	0.2881	-2.04%	0.0048	✓	0.62
2026-03-31	oos	0.2794	0.278416	-0.35%	0.2941	+5.26%	0.0558	✗	0.62
2026-03-30	oos	0.2749	0.274061	-0.31%	0.2794	+1.64%	0.0056	✗	0.62
2026-03-29	oos	0.2709	0.27025	-0.24%	0.2749	+1.48%	0.0097	✗	0.63
2026-03-28	oos	0.2802	0.279505	-0.25%	0.2709	-3.32%	0.0278	✓	0.63
2026-03-27	oos	0.2859	0.285181	-0.25%	0.2802	-1.99%	0.0173	✓	0.63
2026-03-26	oos	0.2899	0.28936	-0.19%	0.2859	-1.38%	0.0108	✗	0.64
2026-03-25	oos	0.2946	0.294267	-0.11%	0.2899	-1.60%	0.0082	✗	0.64
2026-03-24	oos	0.2932	0.292883	-0.11%	0.2946	+0.48%	0.0011	✓	0.64
2026-03-23	oos	0.2964	0.296102	-0.10%	0.2932	-1.08%	0.0068	✓	0.64
2026-03-22	oos	0.2855	0.285142	-0.13%	0.2964	+3.82%	0.0108	✗	0.64
2026-03-21	oos	0.2883	0.288068	-0.08%	0.2855	-0.97%	0.0010	✗	0.64
2026-03-20	oos	0.2895	0.289467	-0.01%	0.2883	-0.41%	0.0105	✗	0.64
2026-03-19	oos	0.2995	0.299408	-0.03%	0.2895	-3.34%	0.0390	✓	0.64
2026-03-18	oos	0.3148	0.314689	-0.04%	0.2995	-4.86%	0.0371	✓	0.66
2026-03-17	oos	0.3292	0.329074	-0.04%	0.3148	-4.37%	0.0201	✓	0.65
2026-03-16	oos	0.3351	0.334964	-0.04%	0.3292	-1.76%	0.0091	✓	0.65
2026-03-15	oos	0.3261	0.325901	-0.06%	0.3351	+2.76%	0.0099	✗	0.64
2026-03-14	oos	0.3161	0.31593	-0.05%	0.3261	+3.16%	0.0174	✗	0.65
2026-03-13	oos	0.3232	0.322902	-0.09%	0.3161	-2.20%	0.0239	✓	0.64
2026-03-12	oos	0.3165	0.316258	-0.08%	0.3232	+2.12%	0.0180	✗	0.64
2026-03-11	oos	0.3187	0.318413	-0.09%	0.3165	-0.69%	0.0090	✓	0.64
2026-03-10	oos	0.3219	0.321545	-0.11%	0.3187	-0.99%	0.0111	✓	0.64
2026-03-09	oos	0.3212	0.320746	-0.14%	0.3219	+0.22%	0.0106	✓	0.64
2026-03-08	oos	0.3212	0.320584	-0.19%	0.3212	+0.00%	0.0218	✓	0.65
2026-03-07	oos	0.3189	0.318384	-0.16%	0.3212	+0.72%	0.0214	✗	0.65
2026-03-06	oos	0.3199	0.319396	-0.16%	0.3189	-0.31%	0.0067	✗	0.65
2026-03-05	oos	0.3148	0.31448	-0.10%	0.3199	+1.62%	0.0442	✗	0.68
2026-03-04	oos	0.3237	0.323342	-0.11%	0.3148	-2.75%	0.0100	✓	0.67
2026-03-03	oos	0.3307	0.33013	-0.17%	0.3237	-2.12%	0.0643	✓	0.72
2026-03-02	oos	0.3376	0.336935	-0.20%	0.3307	-2.04%	0.0136	✓	0.71
2026-03-01	oos	0.3457	0.34477	-0.27%	0.3376	-2.34%	0.0560	✓	0.77
2026-02-28	oos	0.3555	0.35432	-0.33%	0.3457	-2.76%	0.0104	✓	0.79
2026-02-27	oos	0.3473	0.346185	-0.32%	0.3555	+2.36%	0.0135	✗	0.78
2026-02-26	oos	0.3555	0.354159	-0.38%	0.3473	-2.31%	0.0004	✓	0.78
2026-02-25	oos	0.3599	0.358085	-0.50%	0.3555	-1.22%	0.0014	✓	0.78
2026-02-24	oos	0.3165	0.315438	-0.34%	0.3599	+13.71%	0.0900	✗	0.70
2026-02-23	oos	0.2971	0.296424	-0.23%	0.3165	+6.53%	0.0715	✗	0.69
2026-02-22	oos	0.2942	0.293619	-0.20%	0.2971	+0.99%	0.0441	✗	0.71
2026-02-21	oos	0.3041	0.303429	-0.22%	0.2942	-3.26%	0.0274	✓	0.71
2026-02-20	oos	0.3051	0.304472	-0.21%	0.3041	-0.33%	0.0009	✓	0.76
2026-02-19	oos	0.3108	0.310183	-0.20%	0.3051	-1.83%	0.0279	✓	0.76
2026-02-18	oos	0.3208	0.320119	-0.21%	0.3108	-3.12%	0.0359	✓	0.76
2026-02-17	oos	0.3293	0.328499	-0.24%	0.3208	-2.58%	0.0118	✓	0.76
2026-02-16	oos	0.3295	0.328723	-0.24%	0.3293	-0.06%	0.0176	✗	0.78
2026-02-15	oos	0.3322	0.331533	-0.20%	0.3295	-0.81%	0.0069	✓	0.78
2026-02-14	oos	0.3748	0.37337	-0.38%	0.3322	-11.37%	0.1059	✓	0.76
2026-02-13	oos	0.3708	0.369455	-0.36%	0.3748	+1.08%	0.0036	✓	0.76
2026-02-12	oos	0.3621	0.361136	-0.27%	0.3708	+2.40%	0.0031	✓	0.77
2026-02-11	oos	0.3606	0.359762	-0.23%	0.3621	+0.42%	0.0162	✗	0.79
2026-02-10	oos	0.3798	0.378503	-0.34%	0.3606	-5.06%	0.0277	✓	0.79
2026-02-09	oos	0.3844	0.38301	-0.36%	0.3798	-1.20%	0.0065	✗	0.80
2026-02-08	oos	0.3955	0.393863	-0.41%	0.3844	-2.81%	0.0223	✓	0.79
2026-02-07	oos	0.401	0.399308	-0.42%	0.3955	-1.37%	0.0213	✓	0.79
2026-02-06	oos	0.4073	0.404908	-0.59%	0.401	-1.55%	0.0047	✓	0.78
2026-02-05	oos	0.3562	0.357127	+0.26%	0.4073	+14.35%	0.0506	✓	0.70
2026-02-04	oos	0.3647	0.363778	-0.25%	0.3562	-2.33%	0.1305	✗	1.01
2026-02-03	oos	0.3649	0.363849	-0.29%	0.3647	-0.05%	0.0398	✗	1.04
2026-02-02	oos	0.3573	0.356334	-0.27%	0.3649	+2.13%	0.0690	✗	1.16
2026-02-01	oos	0.3458	0.345621	-0.05%	0.3573	+3.33%	0.0087	✗	1.08
2026-01-31	oos	0.3625	0.362117	-0.11%	0.3458	-4.61%	0.0214	✓	1.10
2026-01-30	oos	0.3901	0.388832	-0.33%	0.3625	-7.08%	0.0034	✗	1.10
2026-01-29	oos	0.4085	0.406985	-0.37%	0.3901	-4.50%	0.0372	✓	1.09
2026-01-28	oos	0.424	0.422241	-0.41%	0.4085	-3.66%	0.0268	✗	1.12
2026-01-27	oos	0.4317	0.429794	-0.44%	0.424	-1.78%	0.0141	✓	1.10
2026-01-26	oos	0.426	0.424229	-0.42%	0.4317	+1.34%	0.0069	✗	1.07
2026-01-25	oos	0.4285	0.426709	-0.42%	0.426	-0.58%	0.0232	✓	1.11
2026-01-24	oos	0.4337	0.431877	-0.42%	0.4285	-1.20%	0.0246	✗	1.13
2026-01-23	oos	0.4331	0.43134	-0.41%	0.4337	+0.14%	0.0106	✗	1.18
2026-01-22	oos	0.4377	0.435938	-0.40%	0.4331	-1.05%	0.0067	✓	1.18
2026-01-21	oos	0.449	0.446873	-0.47%	0.4377	-2.52%	0.0221	✓	1.19
2026-01-20	oos	0.4326	0.4308	-0.42%	0.449	+3.79%	0.0270	✗	1.21
2026-01-19	oos	0.4542	0.452441	-0.39%	0.4326	-4.76%	0.0127	✗	1.23
2026-01-18	oos	0.4629	0.461275	-0.35%	0.4542	-1.88%	0.0012	✓	1.24
2026-01-17	oos	0.474	0.472541	-0.31%	0.4629	-2.34%	0.0015	✓	1.22
2026-01-16	oos	0.4795	0.478078	-0.30%	0.474	-1.15%	0.0034	✓	1.25
2026-01-15	oos	0.4907	0.489094	-0.33%	0.4795	-2.28%	0.0187	✓	1.25
2026-01-14	oos	0.5107	0.508647	-0.40%	0.4907	-3.92%	0.0183	✓	1.24
2026-01-13	oos	0.4585	0.457302	-0.26%	0.5107	+11.38%	0.0907	✗	1.21
2026-01-12	oos	0.4475	0.445993	-0.34%	0.4585	+2.46%	0.0285	✓	1.25
2026-01-11	oos	0.4526	0.451098	-0.33%	0.4475	-1.13%	0.0124	✓	1.25
2026-01-10	oos	0.454	0.452552	-0.32%	0.4526	-0.31%	0.0068	✓	1.25
2026-01-09	oos	0.4606	0.459159	-0.31%	0.454	-1.43%	0.0092	✓	1.35
2026-01-08	oos	0.4526	0.451487	-0.25%	0.4606	+1.77%	0.0274	✗	1.32
2026-01-07	oos	0.4587	0.457699	-0.22%	0.4526	-1.33%	0.0073	✓	1.41
2026-01-06	oos	0.4844	0.483352	-0.22%	0.4587	-5.31%	0.0153	✓	1.40
2026-01-05	oos	0.4995	0.498205	-0.26%	0.4844	-3.02%	0.0259	✓	1.40
2026-01-04	oos	0.4915	0.490146	-0.28%	0.4995	+1.63%	0.0174	✓	1.42
2026-01-03	oos	0.4866	0.485263	-0.27%	0.4915	+1.01%	0.0012	✓	1.42
2026-01-02	oos	0.4923	0.49076	-0.31%	0.4866	-1.16%	0.0186	✓	1.42
2026-01-01	oos	0.4832	0.481687	-0.31%	0.4923	+1.88%	0.0024	✓	1.42
2025-12-31	oos	0.4664	0.465177	-0.26%	0.4832	+3.60%	0.0183	✗	1.40
2025-12-30	oos	0.4959	0.494089	-0.37%	0.4664	-5.95%	0.0434	✓	1.39
2025-12-29	oos	0.476	0.474385	-0.34%	0.4959	+4.18%	0.0240	✗	1.39
2025-12-28	oos	0.4782	0.47633	-0.39%	0.476	-0.46%	0.0115	✗	1.39
2025-12-27	oos	0.4315	0.430434	-0.25%	0.4782	+10.82%	0.1042	✗	1.35
2025-12-26	oos	0.4283	0.427277	-0.24%	0.4315	+0.75%	0.0019	✓	1.35
2025-12-25	oos	0.4313	0.43027	-0.24%	0.4283	-0.70%	0.0065	✓	1.35
2025-12-24	oos	0.4427	0.441533	-0.26%	0.4313	-2.58%	0.0167	✓	1.35
2025-12-23	oos	0.4458	0.444621	-0.26%	0.4427	-0.70%	0.0071	✓	1.35
2025-12-22	oos	0.4655	0.464124	-0.30%	0.4458	-4.23%	0.0230	✓	1.35
2025-12-21	oos	0.476	0.474492	-0.32%	0.4655	-2.21%	0.0179	✓	1.35
2025-12-20	oos	0.496	0.494009	-0.40%	0.476	-4.03%	0.0420	✓	1.37
2025-12-19	oos	0.4871	0.485065	-0.42%	0.496	+1.83%	0.0187	✗	1.37
2025-12-18	oos	0.4528	0.451272	-0.34%	0.4871	+7.58%	0.0357	✗	1.34
2025-12-17	oos	0.4629	0.46122	-0.36%	0.4528	-2.18%	0.0067	✓	1.34
2025-12-16	oos	0.4552	0.45372	-0.33%	0.4629	+1.69%	0.0458	✗	1.36
2025-12-15	oos	0.4505	0.449142	-0.30%	0.4552	+1.04%	0.0091	✓	1.37
2025-12-14	oos	0.4757	0.474111	-0.33%	0.4505	-5.30%	0.0240	✓	1.35
2025-12-13	oos	0.4768	0.475351	-0.30%	0.4757	-0.23%	0.0324	✗	1.36
2025-12-12	oos	0.4816	0.480173	-0.30%	0.4768	-1.00%	0.0067	✓	1.36
2025-12-11	oos	0.4952	0.493738	-0.30%	0.4816	-2.75%	0.0089	✗	1.36
2025-12-10	oos	0.5148	0.513044	-0.34%	0.4952	-3.81%	0.0429	✓	1.37
2025-12-09	oos	0.5209	0.519095	-0.35%	0.5148	-1.17%	0.0014	✓	1.37
2025-12-08	oos	0.5243	0.522374	-0.37%	0.5209	-0.65%	0.0334	✓	1.38
2025-12-07	oos	0.5344	0.532231	-0.41%	0.5243	-1.89%	0.0189	✓	1.38
2025-12-06	oos	0.5254	0.523257	-0.41%	0.5344	+1.71%	0.0036	✓	1.38
2025-12-05	oos	0.5042	0.502514	-0.33%	0.5254	+4.20%	0.0457	✗	1.38
2025-12-04	oos	0.51	0.50842	-0.31%	0.5042	-1.14%	0.0342	✗	1.41
2025-12-03	oos	0.5193	0.517741	-0.30%	0.51	-1.79%	0.0056	✗	1.41
2025-12-02	oos	0.5385	0.536409	-0.39%	0.5193	-3.57%	0.0660	✓	1.45
2025-12-01	oos	0.5006	0.499267	-0.27%	0.5385	+7.57%	0.0068	✓	1.46
2025-11-30	oos	0.5414	0.53956	-0.34%	0.5006	-7.54%	0.0079	✓	1.45
2025-11-29	oos	0.5481	0.54628	-0.33%	0.5414	-1.22%	0.0017	✓	1.44
2025-11-28	oos	0.5844	0.581881	-0.43%	0.5481	-6.21%	0.0586	✓	1.44
2025-11-27	oos	0.6029	0.599837	-0.51%	0.5844	-3.07%	0.0195	✓	1.44
2025-11-26	oos	0.6179	0.614147	-0.61%	0.6029	-2.43%	0.0318	✓	1.43
2025-11-25	oos	0.6249	0.620303	-0.74%	0.6179	-1.12%	0.0563	✓	1.48
2025-11-24	oos	0.6041	0.600054	-0.67%	0.6249	+3.44%	0.0566	✗	1.49
2025-11-23	oos	0.62	0.61382	-1.00%	0.6041	-2.56%	0.0412	✓	1.52
2025-11-22	oos	0.5308	0.527275	-0.66%	0.62	+16.80%	0.1260	✗	1.45
2025-11-21	oos	0.4518	0.451108	-0.15%	0.5308	+17.49%	0.1692	✗	1.44
2025-11-20	oos	0.4514	0.450825	-0.13%	0.4518	+0.09%	0.0272	✗	1.46
2025-11-19	oos	0.4723	0.470997	-0.28%	0.4514	-4.43%	0.0426	✗	1.54
2025-11-18	oos	0.5104	0.508249	-0.42%	0.4723	-7.46%	0.0493	✓	1.53
2025-11-17	oos	0.501	0.499273	-0.34%	0.5104	+1.88%	0.0086	✗	1.52
2025-11-16	oos	0.514	0.512062	-0.38%	0.501	-2.53%	0.0129	✗	1.55
2025-11-15	oos	0.5203	0.518433	-0.36%	0.514	-1.21%	0.0137	✗	1.55
2025-11-14	oos	0.5215	0.519807	-0.32%	0.5203	-0.23%	0.0161	✓	1.56
2025-11-13	oos	0.5679	0.565646	-0.40%	0.5215	-8.17%	0.0010	✓	1.56
2025-11-12	oos	0.597	0.594443	-0.43%	0.5679	-4.87%	0.0144	✓	1.55
2025-11-11	oos	0.6214	0.618463	-0.47%	0.597	-3.93%	0.0146	✓	1.55
2025-11-10	oos	0.6228	0.620048	-0.44%	0.6214	-0.22%	0.0472	✗	1.58
2025-11-09	oos	0.6417	0.638384	-0.52%	0.6228	-2.95%	0.0443	✓	1.60
2025-11-08	oos	0.6406	0.637097	-0.55%	0.6417	+0.17%	0.0307	✓	1.63
2025-11-07	oos	0.6439	0.640013	-0.60%	0.6406	-0.51%	0.0168	✗	1.63
2025-11-06	oos	0.6153	0.612033	-0.53%	0.6439	+4.65%	0.0192	✗	1.62
2025-11-05	oos	0.6439	0.639223	-0.73%	0.6153	-4.44%	0.0024	✓	1.61
2025-11-04	oos	0.5716	0.568725	-0.50%	0.6439	+12.65%	0.0883	✗	1.53
2025-11-03	oos	0.5617	0.55908	-0.47%	0.5716	+1.76%	0.1051	✗	1.70
2025-11-02	oos	0.6098	0.606544	-0.53%	0.5617	-7.89%	0.0149	✓	1.69
2025-11-01	oos	0.6287	0.625122	-0.57%	0.6098	-3.01%	0.0323	✓	1.70
2025-10-31	oos	0.6247	0.62123	-0.56%	0.6287	+0.64%	0.0042	✓	1.70
2025-10-30	oos	0.6303	0.626067	-0.67%	0.6247	-0.89%	0.0218	✓	1.71
2025-10-29	oos	0.609	0.60515	-0.63%	0.6303	+3.50%	0.0684	✗	1.75
2025-10-28	oos	0.603	0.60028	-0.45%	0.609	+1.00%	0.0600	✗	1.77
2025-10-27	oos	0.69	0.686046	-0.57%	0.603	-12.61%	0.1110	✓	1.73
2025-10-26	oos	0.7419	0.735922	-0.81%	0.69	-7.00%	0.0575	✓	1.72
2025-10-25	oos	0.6788	0.674114	-0.69%	0.7419	+9.30%	0.0529	✗	1.68
2025-10-24	oos	0.6829	0.67824	-0.68%	0.6788	-0.60%	0.0085	✓	1.67
2025-10-23	oos	0.6635	0.659158	-0.65%	0.6829	+2.92%	0.0215	✗	1.66
2025-10-22	oos	0.6152	0.611585	-0.59%	0.6635	+7.85%	0.0439	✗	1.62
2025-10-21	oos	0.6325	0.629249	-0.51%	0.6152	-2.74%	0.0110	✓	1.62
2025-10-20	oos	0.6661	0.662166	-0.59%	0.6325	-5.04%	0.0128	✓	1.64
2025-10-19	oos	0.6731	0.668602	-0.67%	0.6661	-1.04%	0.0320	✓	1.64
2025-10-18	oos	0.6227	0.619763	-0.47%	0.6731	+8.09%	0.0608	✗	1.60
2025-10-17	oos	0.6126	0.610229	-0.39%	0.6227	+1.65%	0.0091	✗	1.59
2025-10-16	oos	0.6252	0.622812	-0.38%	0.6126	-2.02%	0.0093	✗	1.60
2025-10-15	oos	0.6547	0.651666	-0.46%	0.6252	-4.51%	0.0040	✓	1.57
2025-10-14	oos	0.6761	0.672631	-0.51%	0.6547	-3.17%	0.0050	✓	1.58
2025-10-13	oos	0.6991	0.695139	-0.57%	0.6761	-3.29%	0.0033	✓	1.61
2025-10-12	oos	0.7064	0.701394	-0.71%	0.6991	-1.03%	0.0062	✓	1.62
2025-10-11	oos	0.6166	0.613863	-0.44%	0.7064	+14.56%	0.0827	✗	1.52
2025-10-10	oos	0.5866	0.584279	-0.40%	0.6166	+5.11%	0.0858	✗	1.61
2025-10-09	oos	0.6817	0.679243	-0.36%	0.5866	-13.95%	0.0343	✓	1.51
2025-10-08	oos	0.7125	0.709886	-0.37%	0.6817	-4.32%	0.0209	✓	1.48
2025-10-07	oos	0.7047	0.701814	-0.41%	0.7125	+1.11%	0.0080	✓	1.45
2025-10-06	oos	0.736	0.733747	-0.31%	0.7047	-4.25%	0.0013	✓	1.45
2025-10-05	oos	0.7141	0.711793	-0.32%	0.736	+3.07%	0.0196	✗	1.44
2025-10-04	oos	0.7215	0.718775	-0.38%	0.7141	-1.03%	0.0189	✓	1.43
2025-10-03	oos	0.7328	0.729768	-0.41%	0.7215	-1.54%	0.0130	✓	1.44
2025-10-02	oos	0.7458	0.741917	-0.52%	0.7328	-1.74%	0.0328	✓	1.46
2025-10-01	oos	0.728	0.723413	-0.63%	0.7458	+2.45%	0.0065	✗	1.46
2025-09-30	oos	0.6868	0.68169	-0.74%	0.728	+6.00%	0.0086	✗	1.45
2025-09-29	oos	0.693	0.68785	-0.74%	0.6868	-0.89%	0.0025	✓	1.54
2025-09-28	oos	0.7095	0.703765	-0.81%	0.693	-2.33%	0.0468	✓	1.64
2025-09-27	oos	0.6949	0.689169	-0.82%	0.7095	+2.10%	0.0085	✓	1.66
2025-09-26	oos	0.6826	0.677112	-0.80%	0.6949	+1.80%	0.0262	✗	1.65
2025-09-25	oos	0.6951	0.689703	-0.78%	0.6826	-1.80%	0.0205	✓	1.68
2025-09-24	oos	0.7374	0.732473	-0.67%	0.6951	-5.74%	0.0135	✗	1.70
2025-09-23	oos	0.7157	0.711148	-0.64%	0.7374	+3.03%	0.0161	✗	1.70
2025-09-22	oos	0.7471	0.74291	-0.56%	0.7157	-4.20%	0.0260	✓	1.77
2025-09-21	oos	0.7844	0.780613	-0.48%	0.7471	-4.76%	0.0037	✓	1.80
2025-09-20	oos	0.8044	0.80079	-0.45%	0.7844	-2.49%	0.0137	✓	1.71
2025-09-19	oos	0.8018	0.798382	-0.43%	0.8044	+0.32%	0.0066	✗	1.74
2025-09-18	oos	0.813	0.809644	-0.41%	0.8018	-1.38%	0.0115	✗	1.73
2025-09-17	oos	0.778	0.775145	-0.37%	0.813	+4.50%	0.0383	✗	1.73

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.