DRV

Derive · Ethereum · gru_s0

token id: #111
symbol: DRV
variant: –
chain: Ethereum
address: 0xb1d1eae60eea9525032a6dcb4c1ce336a1de71be
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-05-28
predictions: 417

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +7d

assessed

132

of 139 predictions shown

direction hit

53.0%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1602

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0210

actual +0.0596

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.40159	0.386723	-3.70%	–	pending	–	–	1.41
2026-10-21	oos	0.402115	0.387631	-3.60%	–	pending	–	–	1.42
2026-10-20	oos	0.398745	0.383862	-3.73%	–	pending	–	–	1.43
2026-10-19	oos	0.39882	0.383754	-3.78%	–	pending	–	–	1.43
2026-10-18	oos	0.38187	0.366773	-3.95%	–	pending	–	–	1.41
2026-10-17	oos	0.403015	0.386165	-4.18%	–	pending	–	–	1.41
2026-10-16	oos	0.387205	0.36992	-4.46%	–	pending	–	–	1.42
2026-10-15	oos	0.41127	0.392804	-4.49%	0.40159	-2.35%	0.0128	✓	1.39
2026-10-14	oos	0.416385	0.400147	-3.90%	0.402115	-3.43%	0.0364	✓	1.39
2026-10-13	oos	0.450845	0.429688	-4.69%	0.398745	-11.56%	0.0720	✓	1.38
2026-10-12	oos	0.4408	0.419392	-4.86%	0.39882	-9.52%	0.0519	✓	1.40
2026-10-11	oos	0.49633	0.47367	-4.57%	0.38187	-23.06%	0.1838	✓	1.57
2026-10-10	oos	0.538615	0.512724	-4.81%	0.403015	-25.18%	0.2109	✓	1.61
2026-10-09	oos	0.515775	0.487587	-5.47%	0.387205	-24.93%	0.2101	✓	1.61
2026-10-08	oos	0.436745	0.412731	-5.50%	0.41127	-5.83%	0.0118	✓	1.57
2026-10-07	oos	0.373545	0.357504	-4.29%	0.416385	+11.47%	0.1871	✗	1.67
2026-10-06	oos	0.407595	0.390294	-4.24%	0.450845	+10.61%	0.1914	✗	1.63
2026-10-05	oos	0.41208	0.394914	-4.17%	0.4408	+6.97%	0.1878	✗	1.63
2026-10-04	oos	0.41695	0.400043	-4.05%	0.49633	+19.04%	0.2700	✗	1.63
2026-10-03	oos	0.38453	0.369268	-3.97%	0.538615	+40.07%	0.4127	✗	1.61
2026-10-02	oos	0.39644	0.381307	-3.82%	0.515775	+30.10%	0.3400	✗	1.62
2026-10-01	oos	0.395175	0.380519	-3.71%	0.436745	+10.52%	0.1988	✗	1.61
2026-09-30	oos	0.38983	0.375676	-3.63%	0.373545	-4.18%	0.0003	✓	1.60
2026-09-29	oos	0.381685	0.368452	-3.47%	0.407595	+6.79%	0.0651	✗	1.59
2026-09-28	oos	0.36952	0.357593	-3.23%	0.41208	+11.52%	0.1002	✗	1.54
2026-09-27	oos	0.43524	0.420129	-3.47%	0.41695	-4.20%	0.0407	✓	1.38
2026-09-26	oos	0.412955	0.399952	-3.15%	0.38453	-6.88%	0.0447	✓	1.39
2026-09-25	oos	0.44425	0.429559	-3.31%	0.39644	-10.76%	0.0868	✓	1.34
2026-09-24	oos	0.45364	0.438061	-3.43%	0.395175	-12.89%	0.1103	✓	1.33
2026-09-23	oos	0.48606	0.465352	-4.26%	0.38983	-19.80%	0.1641	✓	1.32
2026-09-22	oos	0.436315	0.420759	-3.57%	0.381685	-12.52%	0.0555	✓	1.39
2026-09-21	oos	0.4043	0.390974	-3.30%	0.36952	-8.60%	0.0040	✓	1.42
2026-09-20	oos	0.391515	0.377011	-3.70%	0.43524	+11.17%	0.0820	✗	1.55
2026-09-19	oos	0.446505	0.419462	-6.06%	0.412955	-7.51%	0.0738	✓	1.51
2026-09-18	oos	0.29519	0.285511	-3.28%	0.44425	+50.50%	0.3824	✗	1.53
2026-09-17	oos	0.25509	0.246084	-3.53%	0.45364	+77.84%	0.4668	✗	1.45
2026-09-16	oos	0.24457	0.232585	-4.90%	0.48606	+98.74%	0.5888	✗	1.44
2026-09-15	oos	0.13705	0.135124	-1.41%	0.436315	+218.36%	0.9936	✗	1.36
2026-09-14	oos	0.140985	0.139717	-0.90%	0.4043	+186.77%	0.9215	✗	1.38
2026-09-13	oos	0.14356	0.141929	-1.14%	0.391515	+172.72%	0.9373	✗	1.40
2026-09-12	oos	0.14992	0.148477	-0.96%	0.446505	+197.83%	1.0313	✗	1.39
2026-09-11	oos	0.148505	0.147375	-0.76%	0.29519	+98.77%	0.6308	✗	1.38
2026-09-10	oos	0.147705	0.146544	-0.79%	0.25509	+72.70%	0.5576	✗	1.37
2026-09-09	oos	0.154095	0.153257	-0.54%	0.24457	+58.71%	0.5050	✗	1.36
2026-09-08	oos	0.16393	0.162661	-0.77%	0.13705	-16.40%	0.1208	✓	1.36
2026-09-07	oos	0.1575	0.156707	-0.50%	0.140985	-10.49%	0.0896	✓	1.39
2026-09-06	oos	0.16514	0.164423	-0.43%	0.14356	-13.07%	0.0729	✓	1.39
2026-09-05	oos	0.17224	0.170828	-0.82%	0.14992	-12.96%	0.0853	✓	1.38
2026-09-04	oos	0.14964	0.149477	-0.11%	0.148505	-0.76%	0.0394	✗	1.46
2026-09-03	oos	0.15856	0.158383	-0.11%	0.147705	-6.85%	0.0159	✗	1.43
2026-09-02	oos	0.14371	0.143065	-0.45%	0.154095	+7.23%	0.0553	✗	1.51
2026-09-01	oos	0.14284	0.142297	-0.38%	0.16393	+14.76%	0.1212	✗	1.51
2026-08-31	oos	0.153755	0.153063	-0.45%	0.1575	+2.44%	0.0201	✗	1.26
2026-08-30	oos	0.15632	0.155303	-0.65%	0.16514	+5.64%	0.0187	✗	1.26
2026-08-29	oos	0.1719	0.170293	-0.94%	0.17224	+0.20%	0.0105	✓	1.08
2026-08-28	oos	0.16944	0.167739	-1.00%	0.14964	-11.69%	0.1394	✓	1.08
2026-08-27	oos	0.17649	0.174842	-0.93%	0.15856	-10.16%	0.1108	✓	1.07
2026-08-26	oos	0.166915	0.165206	-1.02%	0.14371	-13.90%	0.1161	✓	1.06
2026-08-25	oos	0.14804	0.147092	-0.64%	0.14284	-3.51%	0.0142	✓	1.04
2026-08-24	oos	0.163815	0.161201	-1.60%	0.153755	-6.14%	0.0418	✓	1.03
2026-08-23	oos	0.13109	0.12999	-0.84%	0.15632	+19.25%	0.1852	✗	0.95
2026-08-22	oos	0.11334	0.112865	-0.42%	0.1719	+51.67%	0.4067	✗	0.92
2026-08-21	oos	0.11888	0.118116	-0.64%	0.16944	+42.53%	0.3665	✗	0.91
2026-08-20	oos	0.098475	0.097872	-0.61%	0.17649	+79.22%	0.5270	✗	0.66
2026-08-19	oos	0.09869	0.097388	-1.32%	0.166915	+69.13%	0.4436	✗	0.73
2026-08-18	oos	0.093475	0.091889	-1.70%	0.14804	+58.37%	0.3369	✗	0.72
2026-08-17	oos	0.095765	0.093865	-1.98%	0.163815	+71.06%	0.4094	✗	0.73
2026-08-16	oos	0.10351	0.099939	-3.45%	0.13109	+26.64%	0.0941	✗	0.83
2026-08-15	oos	0.092975	0.091455	-1.64%	0.11334	+21.90%	0.0462	✗	0.84
2026-08-14	oos	0.09274	0.091229	-1.63%	0.11888	+28.19%	0.0821	✗	0.84
2026-08-13	oos	0.09498	0.093434	-1.63%	0.098475	+3.68%	0.0647	✓	0.83
2026-08-12	oos	0.09864	0.096876	-1.79%	0.09869	+0.05%	0.0557	✓	0.84
2026-08-11	oos	0.097635	0.09593	-1.75%	0.093475	-4.26%	0.0409	✓	0.84
2026-08-10	oos	0.093365	0.091958	-1.51%	0.095765	+2.57%	0.0331	✗	0.84
2026-08-09	oos	0.09707	0.09547	-1.65%	0.10351	+6.63%	0.1070	✗	0.83
2026-08-08	oos	0.09736	0.095742	-1.66%	0.092975	-4.50%	0.0048	✓	0.83
2026-08-07	oos	0.096885	0.095305	-1.63%	0.09274	-4.28%	0.0024	✓	0.83
2026-08-06	oos	0.097805	0.096041	-1.80%	0.09498	-2.89%	0.0001	✓	0.84
2026-08-05	oos	0.100875	0.098974	-1.88%	0.09864	-2.22%	0.0121	✓	0.83
2026-08-04	oos	0.10167	0.099681	-1.96%	0.097635	-3.97%	0.0139	✓	0.84
2026-08-03	oos	0.09716	0.095447	-1.76%	0.093365	-3.91%	0.0278	✓	0.83
2026-08-02	oos	0.0997	0.097805	-1.90%	0.09707	-2.64%	0.0250	✓	0.83
2026-08-01	oos	0.105755	0.103311	-2.31%	0.09736	-7.94%	0.0886	✓	0.87
2026-07-31	oos	0.116685	0.112567	-3.53%	0.096885	-16.97%	0.1784	✓	0.88
2026-07-30	oos	0.094575	0.092774	-1.90%	0.097805	+3.42%	0.0608	✗	1.14
2026-07-29	oos	0.09668	0.094969	-1.77%	0.100875	+4.34%	0.0476	✗	1.16
2026-07-28	oos	0.10316	0.101324	-1.78%	0.10167	-1.44%	0.0003	✓	1.17
2026-07-27	oos	0.105835	0.10396	-1.77%	0.09716	-8.20%	0.0634	✓	1.18
2026-07-26	oos	0.114575	0.112602	-1.72%	0.0997	-12.98%	0.0896	✓	1.12
2026-07-25	oos	0.113675	0.111741	-1.70%	0.105755	-6.97%	0.0277	✓	1.14
2026-07-24	oos	0.11498	0.113153	-1.59%	0.116685	+1.48%	0.0534	✗	1.14
2026-07-23	oos	0.119115	0.117301	-1.52%	0.094575	-20.60%	0.2096	✓	1.13
2026-07-22	oos	0.121595	0.119883	-1.41%	0.09668	-20.49%	0.1774	✓	1.12
2026-07-21	oos	0.11994	0.118429	-1.26%	0.10316	-13.99%	0.0921	✓	1.12
2026-07-20	oos	0.123715	0.122016	-1.37%	0.105835	-14.45%	0.1144	✓	1.18
2026-07-19	oos	0.12307	0.121457	-1.31%	0.114575	-6.90%	0.0704	✓	1.19
2026-07-18	oos	0.1261	0.124459	-1.30%	0.113675	-9.85%	0.0814	✓	1.19
2026-07-17	oos	0.129925	0.128096	-1.41%	0.11498	-11.50%	0.1117	✓	1.24
2026-07-16	oos	0.135285	0.133225	-1.52%	0.119115	-11.95%	0.1368	✓	1.25
2026-07-15	oos	0.145845	0.143082	-1.89%	0.121595	-16.63%	0.1880	✓	1.21
2026-07-14	oos	0.1552	0.150647	-2.93%	0.11994	-22.72%	0.2559	✓	1.20
2026-07-13	oos	0.116895	0.115365	-1.31%	0.123715	+5.83%	0.0375	✗	0.70
2026-07-12	oos	0.12333	0.121558	-1.44%	0.12307	-0.21%	0.0028	✓	0.65
2026-07-11	oos	0.12402	0.122164	-1.50%	0.1261	+1.68%	0.0213	✗	0.65
2026-07-10	oos	0.11772	0.115994	-1.47%	0.129925	+10.37%	0.1158	✗	0.66
2026-07-09	oos	0.11437	0.112819	-1.36%	0.135285	+18.29%	0.1755	✗	0.65
2026-07-08	oos	0.10905	0.107663	-1.27%	0.145845	+33.74%	0.2793	✗	0.62
2026-07-07	oos	0.11054	0.109139	-1.27%	0.1552	+40.40%	0.3362	✗	0.61
2026-07-06	oos	0.11365	0.112132	-1.34%	0.116895	+2.86%	0.0581	✗	0.60
2026-07-05	oos	0.11218	0.110694	-1.32%	0.12333	+9.94%	0.1066	✗	0.60
2026-07-04	oos	0.10767	0.106281	-1.29%	0.12402	+15.19%	0.1480	✗	0.58
2026-07-03	oos	0.11031	0.108675	-1.48%	0.11772	+6.72%	0.0643	✗	0.61
2026-07-02	oos	0.112105	0.110306	-1.60%	0.11437	+2.02%	0.0182	✗	0.66
2026-07-01	oos	0.10732	0.105321	-1.86%	0.10905	+1.61%	0.0111	✓	0.64
2026-06-30	oos	0.11361	0.110966	-2.33%	0.11054	-2.70%	0.0672	✓	0.80
2026-06-29	oos	0.10568	0.103689	-1.88%	0.11365	+7.54%	0.0352	✗	0.91
2026-06-28	oos	0.10167	0.099438	-2.20%	0.11218	+10.34%	0.0607	✗	0.90
2026-06-27	oos	0.08732	0.085966	-1.55%	0.10767	+23.31%	0.1787	✗	0.91
2026-06-26	oos	0.08296	0.08168	-1.54%	0.11031	+32.97%	0.2594	✗	1.00
2026-06-25	oos	0.08304	0.08175	-1.55%	0.112105	+35.00%	0.2864	✗	1.00
2026-06-24	oos	0.082775	0.081512	-1.53%	0.10732	+29.65%	0.2920	✗	1.00
2026-06-23	oos	0.08616	0.084887	-1.48%	0.11361	+31.86%	0.3595	✗	1.00
2026-06-22	oos	0.087275	0.086004	-1.46%	0.10568	+21.09%	0.2671	✗	1.00
2026-06-21	oos	0.090795	0.089435	-1.50%	0.10167	+11.98%	0.1896	✗	1.00
2026-06-20	oos	0.098535	0.09696	-1.60%	0.08732	-11.38%	0.0356	✓	1.00
2026-06-19	oos	0.09513	0.093638	-1.57%	0.08296	-12.79%	0.0648	✓	1.00
2026-06-18	oos	0.09407	0.092585	-1.58%	0.08304	-11.73%	0.0570	✓	1.00
2026-06-17	oos	0.09792	0.096345	-1.61%	0.082775	-15.47%	0.0966	✓	1.00
2026-06-16	oos	0.10043	0.098758	-1.67%	0.08616	-14.21%	0.0901	✓	1.00
2026-06-15	oos	0.102	0.10025	-1.72%	0.087275	-14.44%	0.1029	✓	1.00
2026-06-14	oos	0.10087	0.09908	-1.78%	0.090795	-9.99%	0.0490	✓	1.00
2026-06-13	oos	0.10077	0.098926	-1.83%	0.098535	-2.22%	0.0007	✓	1.00
2026-06-12	oos	0.10217	0.100257	-1.87%	0.09513	-6.89%	0.0515	✓	1.00
2026-06-11	oos	0.10434	0.102289	-1.97%	0.09407	-9.84%	0.0729	✓	1.00
2026-06-10	oos	0.0986	0.096764	-1.86%	0.09792	-0.69%	0.0358	✓	1.00
2026-06-09	oos	0.10506	0.10283	-2.12%	0.10043	-4.41%	0.0854	✓	1.00
2026-06-08	oos	0.11139	0.1084	-2.68%	0.102	-8.43%	0.1106	✓	1.00
2026-06-07	oos	0.10365	0.10129	-2.28%	0.10087	-2.68%	0.0414	✓	1.00
2026-06-06	oos	0.09153	0.089921	-1.76%	0.10077	+10.10%	0.0567	✗	1.00