DRV

Derive · Ethereum · gru_s0

token id: #111
symbol: DRV
variant: –
chain: Ethereum
address: 0xb1d1eae60eea9525032a6dcb4c1ce336a1de71be
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-05-28
predictions: 417

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +30d

assessed

109

of 139 predictions shown

direction hit

42.2%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.4349

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0310

actual +0.3186

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.40159	0.367428	-8.51%	–	pending	–	–	1.41
2026-10-21	oos	0.402115	0.368938	-8.25%	–	pending	–	–	1.42
2026-10-20	oos	0.398745	0.364212	-8.66%	–	pending	–	–	1.43
2026-10-19	oos	0.39882	0.363611	-8.83%	–	pending	–	–	1.43
2026-10-18	oos	0.38187	0.345386	-9.55%	–	pending	–	–	1.41
2026-10-17	oos	0.403015	0.363633	-9.77%	–	pending	–	–	1.41
2026-10-16	oos	0.387205	0.345437	-10.79%	–	pending	–	–	1.42
2026-10-15	oos	0.41127	0.368064	-10.51%	–	pending	–	–	1.39
2026-10-14	oos	0.416385	0.377504	-9.34%	–	pending	–	–	1.39
2026-10-13	oos	0.450845	0.403312	-10.54%	–	pending	–	–	1.38
2026-10-12	oos	0.4408	0.390955	-11.31%	–	pending	–	–	1.40
2026-10-11	oos	0.49633	0.445565	-10.23%	–	pending	–	–	1.57
2026-10-10	oos	0.538615	0.483903	-10.16%	–	pending	–	–	1.61
2026-10-09	oos	0.515775	0.460788	-10.66%	–	pending	–	–	1.61
2026-10-08	oos	0.436745	0.388339	-11.08%	–	pending	–	–	1.57
2026-10-07	oos	0.373545	0.335287	-10.24%	–	pending	–	–	1.67
2026-10-06	oos	0.407595	0.368602	-9.57%	–	pending	–	–	1.63
2026-10-05	oos	0.41208	0.373795	-9.29%	–	pending	–	–	1.63
2026-10-04	oos	0.41695	0.379967	-8.87%	–	pending	–	–	1.63
2026-10-03	oos	0.38453	0.349218	-9.18%	–	pending	–	–	1.61
2026-10-02	oos	0.39644	0.361848	-8.73%	–	pending	–	–	1.62
2026-10-01	oos	0.395175	0.362433	-8.29%	–	pending	–	–	1.61
2026-09-30	oos	0.38983	0.357111	-8.39%	–	pending	–	–	1.60
2026-09-29	oos	0.381685	0.351121	-8.01%	–	pending	–	–	1.59
2026-09-28	oos	0.36952	0.340685	-7.80%	–	pending	–	–	1.54
2026-09-27	oos	0.43524	0.402836	-7.45%	–	pending	–	–	1.38
2026-09-26	oos	0.412955	0.383617	-7.10%	–	pending	–	–	1.39
2026-09-25	oos	0.44425	0.412525	-7.14%	–	pending	–	–	1.34
2026-09-24	oos	0.45364	0.422253	-6.92%	–	pending	–	–	1.33
2026-09-23	oos	0.48606	0.449761	-7.47%	–	pending	–	–	1.32
2026-09-22	oos	0.436315	0.408395	-6.40%	0.40159	-7.96%	0.0156	✓	1.39
2026-09-21	oos	0.4043	0.381062	-5.75%	0.402115	-0.54%	0.0966	✗	1.42
2026-09-20	oos	0.391515	0.365125	-6.74%	0.398745	+1.85%	0.0546	✓	1.55
2026-09-19	oos	0.446505	0.405522	-9.18%	0.39882	-10.68%	0.0279	✓	1.51
2026-09-18	oos	0.29519	0.28123	-4.73%	0.38187	+29.36%	0.2847	✗	1.53
2026-09-17	oos	0.25509	0.240806	-5.60%	0.403015	+57.99%	0.4226	✗	1.45
2026-09-16	oos	0.24457	0.228157	-6.71%	0.387205	+58.32%	0.4307	✗	1.44
2026-09-15	oos	0.13705	0.132372	-3.41%	0.41127	+200.09%	1.0208	✗	1.36
2026-09-14	oos	0.140985	0.138683	-1.63%	0.416385	+195.34%	1.0409	✗	1.38
2026-09-13	oos	0.14356	0.140035	-2.46%	0.450845	+214.05%	1.0587	✗	1.40
2026-09-12	oos	0.14992	0.147291	-1.75%	0.4408	+194.02%	1.0177	✗	1.39
2026-09-11	oos	0.148505	0.146926	-1.06%	0.49633	+234.22%	1.1065	✗	1.38
2026-09-10	oos	0.147705	0.145798	-1.29%	0.538615	+264.66%	1.1975	✗	1.37
2026-09-09	oos	0.154095	0.153741	-0.23%	0.515775	+234.71%	1.1384	✗	1.36
2026-09-08	oos	0.16393	0.162828	-0.67%	0.436745	+166.42%	0.9316	✗	1.36
2026-09-07	oos	0.1575	0.157425	-0.05%	0.373545	+137.17%	0.7926	✗	1.39
2026-09-06	oos	0.16514	0.166458	+0.80%	0.407595	+146.82%	0.8081	✓	1.39
2026-09-05	oos	0.17224	0.173757	+0.88%	0.41208	+139.25%	0.7646	✓	1.38
2026-09-04	oos	0.14964	0.15217	+1.69%	0.41695	+178.64%	0.8879	✓	1.46
2026-09-03	oos	0.15856	0.162408	+2.43%	0.38453	+142.51%	0.8020	✓	1.43
2026-09-02	oos	0.14371	0.144026	+0.22%	0.39644	+175.86%	0.8781	✓	1.51
2026-09-01	oos	0.14284	0.143549	+0.50%	0.395175	+176.66%	0.8737	✓	1.51
2026-08-31	oos	0.153755	0.15475	+0.65%	0.38983	+153.54%	0.8465	✓	1.26
2026-08-30	oos	0.15632	0.156524	+0.13%	0.381685	+144.17%	0.7978	✓	1.26
2026-08-29	oos	0.1719	0.171777	-0.07%	0.36952	+114.96%	0.6960	✗	1.08
2026-08-28	oos	0.16944	0.169674	+0.14%	0.43524	+156.87%	0.8536	✓	1.08
2026-08-27	oos	0.17649	0.178834	+1.33%	0.412955	+133.98%	0.7831	✓	1.07
2026-08-26	oos	0.166915	0.168875	+1.17%	0.44425	+166.15%	0.9015	✓	1.06
2026-08-25	oos	0.14804	0.150416	+1.61%	0.45364	+206.43%	1.0289	✓	1.04
2026-08-24	oos	0.163815	0.16367	-0.09%	0.48606	+196.71%	1.0207	✗	1.03
2026-08-23	oos	0.13109	0.132351	+0.96%	0.436315	+232.84%	1.0948	✓	0.95
2026-08-22	oos	0.11334	0.115658	+2.05%	0.4043	+256.71%	1.1439	✓	0.92
2026-08-21	oos	0.11888	0.121904	+2.54%	0.391515	+229.34%	1.1346	✓	0.91
2026-08-20	oos	0.098475	0.098865	+0.40%	0.446505	+353.42%	1.4373	✓	0.66
2026-08-19	oos	0.09869	0.096673	-2.04%	0.29519	+199.11%	1.0043	✗	0.73
2026-08-18	oos	0.093475	0.090056	-3.66%	0.25509	+172.90%	0.9215	✗	0.72
2026-08-17	oos	0.095765	0.091854	-4.08%	0.24457	+155.39%	0.8584	✗	0.73
2026-08-16	oos	0.10351	0.097414	-5.89%	0.13705	+32.40%	0.1875	✗	0.83
2026-08-15	oos	0.092975	0.089158	-4.11%	0.140985	+51.64%	0.2778	✗	0.84
2026-08-14	oos	0.09274	0.088905	-4.14%	0.14356	+54.80%	0.3130	✗	0.84
2026-08-13	oos	0.09498	0.09115	-4.03%	0.14992	+57.84%	0.3332	✗	0.83
2026-08-12	oos	0.09864	0.094413	-4.28%	0.148505	+50.55%	0.2883	✗	0.84
2026-08-11	oos	0.097635	0.093638	-4.09%	0.147705	+51.28%	0.3000	✗	0.84
2026-08-10	oos	0.093365	0.089896	-3.72%	0.154095	+65.05%	0.3678	✗	0.84
2026-08-09	oos	0.09707	0.093262	-3.92%	0.16393	+68.88%	0.4063	✗	0.83
2026-08-08	oos	0.09736	0.093531	-3.93%	0.1575	+61.77%	0.3574	✗	0.83
2026-08-07	oos	0.096885	0.093145	-3.86%	0.16514	+70.45%	0.3957	✗	0.83
2026-08-06	oos	0.097805	0.093525	-4.38%	0.17224	+76.11%	0.4289	✗	0.84
2026-08-05	oos	0.100875	0.096407	-4.43%	0.14964	+48.34%	0.2647	✗	0.83
2026-08-04	oos	0.10167	0.097071	-4.52%	0.15856	+55.96%	0.2901	✗	0.84
2026-08-03	oos	0.09716	0.092719	-4.57%	0.14371	+47.91%	0.2749	✗	0.83
2026-08-02	oos	0.0997	0.094764	-4.95%	0.14284	+43.27%	0.2460	✗	0.83
2026-08-01	oos	0.105755	0.099739	-5.69%	0.153755	+45.39%	0.2372	✗	0.87
2026-07-31	oos	0.116685	0.108807	-6.75%	0.15632	+33.97%	0.1763	✗	0.88
2026-07-30	oos	0.094575	0.089619	-5.24%	0.1719	+81.76%	0.4360	✗	1.14
2026-07-29	oos	0.09668	0.092026	-4.81%	0.16944	+75.26%	0.3811	✗	1.16
2026-07-28	oos	0.10316	0.098255	-4.75%	0.17649	+71.08%	0.3177	✗	1.17
2026-07-27	oos	0.105835	0.100921	-4.64%	0.166915	+57.71%	0.2492	✗	1.18
2026-07-26	oos	0.114575	0.109707	-4.25%	0.14804	+29.21%	0.0936	✗	1.12
2026-07-25	oos	0.113675	0.108873	-4.22%	0.163815	+44.11%	0.1749	✗	1.14
2026-07-24	oos	0.11498	0.110513	-3.88%	0.13109	+14.01%	0.0496	✓	1.14
2026-07-23	oos	0.119115	0.114825	-3.60%	0.11334	-4.85%	0.2038	✓	1.13
2026-07-22	oos	0.121595	0.117721	-3.19%	0.11888	-2.23%	0.1804	✓	1.12
2026-07-21	oos	0.11994	0.116664	-2.73%	0.098475	-17.90%	0.2740	✓	1.12
2026-07-20	oos	0.123715	0.11991	-3.08%	0.09869	-20.23%	0.2667	✓	1.18
2026-07-19	oos	0.12307	0.119462	-2.93%	0.093475	-24.05%	0.2453	✓	1.19
2026-07-18	oos	0.1261	0.122583	-2.79%	0.095765	-24.06%	0.2410	✓	1.19
2026-07-17	oos	0.129925	0.125881	-3.11%	0.10351	-20.33%	0.1750	✓	1.24
2026-07-16	oos	0.135285	0.130795	-3.32%	0.092975	-31.27%	0.3265	✓	1.25
2026-07-15	oos	0.145845	0.140622	-3.58%	0.09274	-36.41%	0.3833	✓	1.21
2026-07-14	oos	0.1552	0.148127	-4.56%	0.09498	-38.80%	0.4151	✓	1.20
2026-07-13	oos	0.116895	0.113577	-2.84%	0.09864	-15.62%	0.1538	✓	0.70
2026-07-12	oos	0.12333	0.119742	-2.91%	0.097635	-20.83%	0.2020	✓	0.65
2026-07-11	oos	0.12402	0.120241	-3.05%	0.093365	-24.72%	0.2544	✓	0.65
2026-07-10	oos	0.11772	0.114565	-2.68%	0.09707	-17.54%	0.1731	✓	0.66
2026-07-09	oos	0.11437	0.111184	-2.79%	0.09736	-14.87%	0.1504	✓	0.65
2026-07-08	oos	0.10905	0.106087	-2.72%	0.096885	-11.16%	0.1167	✓	0.62
2026-07-07	oos	0.11054	0.107789	-2.49%	0.097805	-11.52%	0.1063	✓	0.61
2026-07-06	oos	0.11365	0.110662	-2.63%	0.100875	-11.24%	0.0982	✓	0.60
2026-07-05	oos	0.11218	0.109135	-2.71%	0.10167	-9.37%	0.0753	✓	0.60
2026-07-04	oos	0.10767	0.104916	-2.56%	0.09716	-9.76%	0.0803	✓	0.58
2026-07-03	oos	0.11031	0.107102	-2.91%	0.0997	-9.62%	0.0812	✓	0.61
2026-07-02	oos	0.112105	0.108376	-3.33%	0.105755	-5.66%	0.0381	✓	0.66
2026-07-01	oos	0.10732	0.103465	-3.59%	0.116685	+8.73%	0.0906	✗	0.64
2026-06-30	oos	0.11361	0.10848	-4.52%	0.094575	-16.75%	0.2181	✓	0.80
2026-06-29	oos	0.10568	0.101578	-3.88%	0.09668	-8.52%	0.1044	✓	0.91
2026-06-28	oos	0.10167	0.097397	-4.20%	0.10316	+1.47%	0.0061	✓	0.90
2026-06-27	oos	0.08732	0.084076	-3.72%	0.105835	+21.20%	0.1751	✗	0.91
2026-06-26	oos	0.08296	0.079756	-3.86%	0.114575	+38.11%	0.2770	✗	1.00
2026-06-25	oos	0.08304	0.079779	-3.93%	0.113675	+36.89%	0.2800	✗	1.00
2026-06-24	oos	0.082775	0.079602	-3.83%	0.11498	+38.91%	0.3181	✗	1.00
2026-06-23	oos	0.08616	0.083089	-3.56%	0.119115	+38.25%	0.3225	✗	1.00
2026-06-22	oos	0.087275	0.084233	-3.49%	0.121595	+39.32%	0.3343	✗	1.00
2026-06-21	oos	0.090795	0.087599	-3.52%	0.11994	+32.10%	0.2636	✗	1.00
2026-06-20	oos	0.098535	0.095005	-3.58%	0.123715	+25.55%	0.2488	✗	1.00
2026-06-19	oos	0.09513	0.091731	-3.57%	0.12307	+29.37%	0.2751	✗	1.00
2026-06-18	oos	0.09407	0.090655	-3.63%	0.1261	+34.05%	0.3000	✗	1.00
2026-06-17	oos	0.09792	0.094438	-3.56%	0.129925	+32.68%	0.3276	✗	1.00
2026-06-16	oos	0.10043	0.096889	-3.53%	0.135285	+34.71%	0.3624	✗	1.00
2026-06-15	oos	0.102	0.098214	-3.71%	0.145845	+42.99%	0.4192	✗	1.00
2026-06-14	oos	0.10087	0.096992	-3.84%	0.1552	+53.86%	0.4811	✗	1.00
2026-06-13	oos	0.10077	0.096715	-4.02%	0.116895	+16.00%	0.2237	✗	1.00
2026-06-12	oos	0.10217	0.097953	-4.13%	0.12333	+20.71%	0.2272	✗	1.00
2026-06-11	oos	0.10434	0.099853	-4.30%	0.12402	+18.86%	0.2135	✗	1.00
2026-06-10	oos	0.0986	0.094332	-4.33%	0.11772	+19.39%	0.1788	✗	1.00
2026-06-09	oos	0.10506	0.10001	-4.81%	0.11437	+8.86%	0.1103	✗	1.00
2026-06-08	oos	0.11139	0.105244	-5.52%	0.10905	-2.10%	0.0487	✓	1.00
2026-06-07	oos	0.10365	0.098297	-5.16%	0.11054	+6.65%	0.1171	✗	1.00
2026-06-06	oos	0.09153	0.087045	-4.90%	0.11365	+24.17%	0.2162	✗	1.00