DCR

Decred · native · gru_s0

token id: #518
symbol: DCR
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-05-22
predictions: 432

Track record at +7d

assessed

137

of 144 predictions shown

direction hit

73.7%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0639

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0035

actual -0.0084

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	15.295	15.1874	-0.70%	–	pending	–	–	0.75
2026-10-20	oos	14.749	14.6477	-0.69%	–	pending	–	–	0.76
2026-10-19	oos	14.512	14.4157	-0.66%	–	pending	–	–	0.76
2026-10-18	oos	14.454	14.3729	-0.56%	–	pending	–	–	0.75
2026-10-17	oos	14.407	14.3297	-0.54%	–	pending	–	–	0.75
2026-10-16	oos	14.749	14.6576	-0.62%	–	pending	–	–	0.74
2026-10-15	oos	15.122	15.0144	-0.71%	–	pending	–	–	0.74
2026-10-14	oos	16.153	15.9639	-1.17%	15.295	-5.31%	0.0650	✓	0.75
2026-10-13	oos	16.365	16.1967	-1.03%	14.749	-9.87%	0.0922	✓	0.75
2026-10-12	oos	16.3325	16.1499	-1.12%	14.512	-11.15%	0.1078	✓	0.76
2026-10-11	oos	16.686	16.5363	-0.90%	14.454	-13.38%	0.1180	✓	0.82
2026-10-10	oos	16.8915	16.7425	-0.88%	14.407	-14.71%	0.1355	✓	0.79
2026-10-09	oos	17.4845	17.3031	-1.04%	14.749	-15.65%	0.1497	✓	0.79
2026-10-08	oos	17.3785	17.1974	-1.04%	15.122	-12.98%	0.1327	✓	0.79
2026-10-07	oos	18.089	17.894	-1.08%	16.153	-10.70%	0.0864	✓	0.77
2026-10-06	oos	18.356	18.1871	-0.92%	16.365	-10.85%	0.0834	✓	0.77
2026-10-05	oos	18.533	18.3488	-0.99%	16.3325	-11.87%	0.0799	✓	0.76
2026-10-04	oos	18.355	18.2058	-0.81%	16.686	-9.09%	0.0615	✓	0.77
2026-10-03	oos	18.2965	18.1589	-0.75%	16.8915	-7.68%	0.0553	✓	0.78
2026-10-02	oos	18.255	18.1273	-0.70%	17.4845	-4.22%	0.0179	✓	0.78
2026-10-01	oos	18.171	18.0692	-0.56%	17.3785	-4.36%	0.0096	✓	0.77
2026-09-30	oos	18.434	18.3113	-0.67%	18.089	-1.87%	0.0096	✓	0.79
2026-09-29	oos	18.116	18.027	-0.49%	18.356	+1.32%	0.0003	✓	0.79
2026-09-28	oos	17.8165	17.7586	-0.33%	18.533	+4.02%	0.0213	✗	0.79
2026-09-27	oos	18.519	18.4189	-0.54%	18.355	-0.89%	0.0226	✓	0.80
2026-09-26	oos	18.273	18.1987	-0.41%	18.2965	+0.13%	0.0023	✓	0.80
2026-09-25	oos	17.7	17.6705	-0.17%	18.255	+3.14%	0.0286	✗	0.81
2026-09-24	oos	18.268	18.2153	-0.29%	18.171	-0.53%	0.0068	✓	0.80
2026-09-23	oos	18.275	18.222	-0.29%	18.434	+0.87%	0.0194	✗	0.80
2026-09-22	oos	18.729	18.6436	-0.46%	18.116	-3.27%	0.0029	✓	0.86
2026-09-21	oos	17.971	17.9438	-0.15%	17.8165	-0.86%	0.0217	✗	0.78
2026-09-20	oos	17.302	17.2396	-0.36%	18.519	+7.03%	0.0390	✗	0.82
2026-09-19	oos	17.503	17.4441	-0.34%	18.273	+4.40%	0.0151	✗	0.82
2026-09-18	oos	17.739	17.6631	-0.43%	17.7	-0.22%	0.0303	✓	0.83
2026-09-17	oos	16.852	16.7233	-0.76%	18.268	+8.40%	0.0051	✓	0.83
2026-09-16	oos	15.686	15.6336	-0.33%	18.275	+16.51%	0.0708	✗	0.83
2026-09-15	oos	14.752	14.7756	+0.16%	18.729	+26.96%	0.1261	✓	0.85
2026-09-14	oos	16.692	16.6953	+0.02%	17.971	+7.66%	0.0029	✗	0.75
2026-09-13	oos	16.3315	16.3396	+0.05%	17.302	+5.94%	0.0158	✓	0.75
2026-09-12	oos	16.0585	16.1203	+0.38%	17.503	+9.00%	0.0446	✓	0.75
2026-09-11	oos	15.873	15.9758	+0.65%	17.739	+11.76%	0.0691	✓	0.77
2026-09-10	oos	15.558	15.6805	+0.79%	16.852	+8.32%	0.0739	✓	0.77
2026-09-09	oos	16.4795	16.6389	+0.97%	15.686	-4.82%	0.0386	✗	0.74
2026-09-08	oos	17.3585	17.4741	+0.67%	14.752	-15.02%	0.1422	✗	0.73
2026-09-07	oos	15.789	16.008	+1.39%	16.692	+5.72%	0.0508	✓	0.77
2026-09-06	oos	16.599	16.7932	+1.17%	16.3315	-1.61%	0.0060	✓	0.75
2026-09-05	oos	15.892	16.086	+1.22%	16.0585	+1.05%	0.0228	✓	0.75
2026-09-04	oos	15.5575	15.7532	+1.26%	15.873	+2.03%	0.0304	✓	0.72
2026-09-03	oos	14.294	14.5686	+1.92%	15.558	+8.84%	0.1129	✓	0.79
2026-09-02	oos	13.9475	14.0758	+0.92%	16.4795	+18.15%	0.1467	✓	0.87
2026-09-01	oos	14.385	14.4887	+0.72%	17.3585	+20.67%	0.1688	✓	0.89
2026-08-31	oos	14.5445	14.6887	+0.99%	15.789	+8.56%	0.0664	✓	0.86
2026-08-30	oos	14.067	14.2072	+1.00%	16.599	+18.00%	0.1268	✓	0.85
2026-08-29	oos	14.2525	14.4124	+1.12%	15.892	+11.50%	0.0806	✓	0.85
2026-08-28	oos	14.129	14.2804	+1.07%	15.5575	+10.11%	0.0659	✓	0.85
2026-08-27	oos	13.932	14.1462	+1.54%	14.294	+2.60%	0.0004	✓	0.88
2026-08-26	oos	13.851	14.036	+1.34%	13.9475	+0.70%	0.0131	✓	0.88
2026-08-25	oos	13.665	13.8496	+1.35%	14.385	+5.27%	0.0505	✓	0.87
2026-08-24	oos	13.851	14.0476	+1.42%	14.5445	+5.01%	0.0394	✓	0.87
2026-08-23	oos	14.251	14.4227	+1.20%	14.067	-1.29%	0.0242	✗	0.88
2026-08-22	oos	13.985	14.1461	+1.15%	14.2525	+1.91%	0.0059	✓	0.88
2026-08-21	oos	13.0055	13.2144	+1.61%	14.129	+8.64%	0.0726	✓	0.92
2026-08-20	oos	11.955	12.0764	+1.02%	13.932	+16.54%	0.0611	✓	0.86
2026-08-19	oos	11.9285	11.9766	+0.40%	13.851	+16.12%	0.0237	✓	0.93
2026-08-18	oos	11.7125	11.6795	-0.28%	13.665	+16.67%	0.0438	✓	1.04
2026-08-17	oos	12.0775	12.0299	-0.39%	13.851	+14.68%	0.0702	✓	1.04
2026-08-16	oos	11.9685	11.9009	-0.56%	14.251	+19.07%	0.0446	✓	1.06
2026-08-15	oos	12.037	11.9771	-0.50%	13.985	+16.18%	0.0576	✓	1.06
2026-08-14	oos	11.97	11.9179	-0.44%	13.0055	+8.65%	0.1431	✓	1.06
2026-08-13	oos	12.14	12.089	-0.42%	11.955	-1.52%	0.1597	✓	1.06
2026-08-12	oos	12.246	12.1875	-0.48%	11.9285	-2.59%	0.1153	✓	1.06
2026-08-11	oos	12.985	12.8963	-0.68%	11.7125	-9.80%	0.1152	✓	1.06
2026-08-10	oos	12.7835	12.7078	-0.59%	12.0775	-5.52%	0.0602	✓	1.06
2026-08-09	oos	12.952	12.8689	-0.64%	11.9685	-7.59%	0.0391	✓	1.06
2026-08-08	oos	12.798	12.7191	-0.62%	12.037	-5.95%	0.0238	✓	1.06
2026-08-07	oos	12.7525	12.6785	-0.58%	11.97	-6.14%	0.0257	✓	1.06
2026-08-06	oos	12.51	12.4386	-0.57%	12.14	-2.96%	0.0104	✓	1.06
2026-08-05	oos	12.977	12.8764	-0.77%	12.246	-5.63%	0.0306	✓	1.05
2026-08-04	oos	13.3845	13.2474	-1.02%	12.985	-2.98%	0.0113	✓	1.07
2026-08-03	oos	13.2705	13.1249	-1.10%	12.7835	-3.67%	0.0338	✓	1.07
2026-08-02	oos	13.2305	13.078	-1.15%	12.952	-2.10%	0.0321	✓	1.07
2026-08-01	oos	13.1025	12.9337	-1.29%	12.798	-2.32%	0.0465	✓	1.07
2026-07-31	oos	13.158	12.963	-1.48%	12.7525	-3.08%	0.0510	✓	1.07
2026-07-30	oos	13.606	13.4103	-1.44%	12.51	-8.06%	0.0620	✓	1.07
2026-07-29	oos	11.6495	11.5709	-0.68%	12.977	+11.40%	0.1039	✗	0.98
2026-07-28	oos	11.581	11.5173	-0.55%	13.3845	+15.57%	0.1471	✗	0.98
2026-07-27	oos	11.183	11.1576	-0.23%	13.2705	+18.67%	0.1769	✗	0.97
2026-07-26	oos	11.685	11.6849	-0.00%	13.2305	+13.23%	0.1517	✗	0.96
2026-07-25	oos	11.5805	11.6034	+0.20%	13.1025	+13.14%	0.1447	✓	0.96
2026-07-24	oos	11.5935	11.6373	+0.38%	13.158	+13.49%	0.1419	✓	0.96
2026-07-23	oos	11.9935	12.0475	+0.45%	13.606	+13.44%	0.1265	✓	0.95
2026-07-22	oos	12.47	12.5264	+0.45%	11.6495	-6.58%	0.0408	✗	0.94
2026-07-21	oos	12.5985	12.6603	+0.49%	11.581	-8.08%	0.0505	✗	0.94
2026-07-20	oos	12.729	12.772	+0.34%	11.183	-12.15%	0.1101	✗	0.97
2026-07-19	oos	12.72	12.7611	+0.32%	11.685	-8.14%	0.0979	✗	0.97
2026-07-18	oos	12.716	12.759	+0.34%	11.5805	-8.93%	0.0894	✗	0.97
2026-07-17	oos	12.584	12.6201	+0.29%	11.5935	-7.87%	0.0877	✗	0.97
2026-07-16	oos	13.336	13.3389	+0.02%	11.9935	-10.07%	0.1259	✗	0.98
2026-07-15	oos	13.502	13.491	-0.08%	12.47	-7.64%	0.0993	✓	0.98
2026-07-14	oos	13.764	13.7253	-0.28%	12.5985	-8.47%	0.1085	✓	0.98
2026-07-13	oos	12.513	12.4615	-0.41%	12.729	+1.73%	0.0187	✓	0.86
2026-07-12	oos	12.1975	12.1712	-0.22%	12.72	+4.28%	0.0308	✗	0.91
2026-07-11	oos	11.253	11.2561	+0.03%	12.716	+13.00%	0.1077	✓	0.90
2026-07-10	oos	11.16	11.1575	-0.02%	12.584	+12.76%	0.1236	✗	0.90
2026-07-09	oos	11.012	11.0052	-0.06%	13.336	+21.10%	0.1837	✗	0.90
2026-07-08	oos	10.971	10.9575	-0.12%	13.502	+23.07%	0.1737	✗	0.90
2026-07-07	oos	11.012	10.9905	-0.20%	13.764	+24.99%	0.2014	✗	0.91
2026-07-06	oos	11.216	11.1858	-0.27%	12.513	+11.56%	0.1372	✗	0.91
2026-07-05	oos	11.145	11.1122	-0.29%	12.1975	+9.44%	0.0910	✗	0.91
2026-07-04	oos	11.2845	11.2482	-0.32%	11.253	-0.28%	0.0095	✓	0.92
2026-07-03	oos	11.4835	11.4397	-0.38%	11.16	-2.82%	0.0484	✓	0.93
2026-07-02	oos	11.1825	11.1356	-0.42%	11.012	-1.52%	0.0359	✓	0.91
2026-07-01	oos	10.94	10.8925	-0.43%	10.971	+0.28%	0.0265	✓	0.90
2026-06-30	oos	10.729	10.6842	-0.42%	11.012	+2.64%	0.0406	✓	0.90
2026-06-29	oos	11.281	11.218	-0.56%	11.216	-0.58%	0.0541	✓	0.87
2026-06-28	oos	11.106	11.0417	-0.58%	11.145	+0.35%	0.0482	✓	0.86
2026-06-27	oos	11.4885	11.4105	-0.68%	11.2845	-1.78%	0.0551	✓	0.86
2026-06-26	oos	11.197	11.1121	-0.76%	11.4835	+2.56%	0.0020	✓	0.85
2026-06-25	oos	10.96	10.8543	-0.96%	11.1825	+2.03%	0.0054	✓	0.83
2026-06-24	oos	12.179	12.0369	-1.17%	10.94	-10.17%	0.0828	✓	0.75
2026-06-23	oos	11.177	11.0755	-0.91%	10.729	-4.01%	0.0300	✗	0.91
2026-06-22	oos	11.5125	11.4008	-0.97%	11.281	-2.01%	0.0446	✗	0.90
2026-06-21	oos	11.433	11.3186	-1.00%	11.106	-2.86%	0.0362	✗	0.90
2026-06-20	oos	11.873	11.7487	-1.05%	11.4885	-3.24%	0.0467	✗	1.00
2026-06-19	oos	11.617	11.4893	-1.10%	11.197	-3.62%	0.0305	✗	1.00
2026-06-18	oos	11.479	11.3496	-1.13%	10.96	-4.52%	0.0169	✗	1.00
2026-06-17	oos	12.04	11.9001	-1.16%	12.179	+1.15%	0.0784	✗	1.00
2026-06-16	oos	12.39	12.2411	-1.20%	11.177	-9.79%	0.0446	✓	1.00
2026-06-15	oos	12.67	12.5064	-1.29%	11.5125	-9.14%	0.0471	✓	1.00
2026-06-14	oos	12.812	12.6322	-1.40%	11.433	-10.76%	0.0614	✓	1.00
2026-06-13	oos	12.242	12.0602	-1.48%	11.873	-3.01%	0.0124	✓	1.00
2026-06-12	oos	12.032	11.8492	-1.52%	11.617	-3.45%	0.0188	✓	1.00
2026-06-11	oos	12.172	11.9857	-1.53%	11.479	-5.69%	0.0324	✓	1.00
2026-06-10	oos	11.832	11.6583	-1.47%	12.04	+1.76%	0.0154	✓	1.00
2026-06-09	oos	11.962	11.7834	-1.49%	12.39	+3.58%	0.0116	✓	1.00
2026-06-08	oos	12.271	12.0753	-1.60%	12.67	+3.25%	0.0016	✓	1.00
2026-06-07	oos	12.382	12.1762	-1.66%	12.812	+3.47%	0.0136	✓	1.00
2026-06-06	oos	12.29	12.121	-1.38%	12.242	-0.39%	0.0472	✓	1.00
2026-06-05	oos	12.102	11.9267	-1.45%	12.032	-0.58%	0.0315	✓	1.00
2026-06-04	oos	13.152	12.9417	-1.60%	12.172	-7.45%	0.0575	✓	1.00
2026-06-03	oos	14.506	14.2737	-1.60%	11.832	-18.43%	0.1463	✓	1.00
2026-06-02	oos	14.746	14.4714	-1.86%	11.962	-18.88%	0.1129	✓	1.00
2026-06-01	oos	15.614	15.3279	-1.83%	12.271	-21.41%	0.0995	✓	1.00
2026-05-31	oos	16.0015	15.7139	-1.80%	12.382	-22.62%	0.0879	✓	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.