DCR

Decred · native · gru_s0

token id: #518
symbol: DCR
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-05-22
predictions: 432

Track record at +30d

assessed

114

of 144 predictions shown

direction hit

55.3%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0987

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0123

actual +0.0156

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	14.773	14.171	-4.07%	–	pending	–	–	0.74
2026-10-20	oos	14.749	14.2456	-3.41%	–	pending	–	–	0.76
2026-10-19	oos	14.512	13.9654	-3.77%	–	pending	–	–	0.76
2026-10-18	oos	14.454	13.9299	-3.63%	–	pending	–	–	0.75
2026-10-17	oos	14.407	13.8824	-3.64%	–	pending	–	–	0.75
2026-10-16	oos	14.749	14.266	-3.27%	–	pending	–	–	0.74
2026-10-15	oos	15.122	14.7263	-2.62%	–	pending	–	–	0.74
2026-10-14	oos	16.153	15.6452	-3.14%	–	pending	–	–	0.75
2026-10-13	oos	16.365	15.9899	-2.29%	–	pending	–	–	0.75
2026-10-12	oos	16.3325	15.8832	-2.75%	–	pending	–	–	0.76
2026-10-11	oos	16.686	16.4304	-1.53%	–	pending	–	–	0.82
2026-10-10	oos	16.8915	16.5826	-1.83%	–	pending	–	–	0.79
2026-10-09	oos	17.4845	17.1352	-2.00%	–	pending	–	–	0.79
2026-10-08	oos	17.3785	17.0175	-2.08%	–	pending	–	–	0.79
2026-10-07	oos	18.089	17.757	-1.84%	–	pending	–	–	0.77
2026-10-06	oos	18.356	18.1361	-1.20%	–	pending	–	–	0.77
2026-10-05	oos	18.533	18.3287	-1.10%	–	pending	–	–	0.76
2026-10-04	oos	18.355	18.268	-0.47%	–	pending	–	–	0.77
2026-10-03	oos	18.2965	18.2125	-0.46%	–	pending	–	–	0.78
2026-10-02	oos	18.255	18.1812	-0.40%	–	pending	–	–	0.78
2026-10-01	oos	18.171	18.1842	+0.07%	–	pending	–	–	0.77
2026-09-30	oos	18.434	18.3772	-0.31%	–	pending	–	–	0.79
2026-09-29	oos	18.116	18.1637	+0.26%	–	pending	–	–	0.79
2026-09-28	oos	17.8165	17.9837	+0.94%	–	pending	–	–	0.79
2026-09-27	oos	18.519	18.732	+1.15%	–	pending	–	–	0.80
2026-09-26	oos	18.273	18.5392	+1.46%	–	pending	–	–	0.80
2026-09-25	oos	17.7	18.0148	+1.78%	–	pending	–	–	0.81
2026-09-24	oos	18.268	18.5499	+1.54%	–	pending	–	–	0.80
2026-09-23	oos	18.275	18.5168	+1.32%	–	pending	–	–	0.80
2026-09-22	oos	18.729	19.0215	+1.56%	–	pending	–	–	0.86
2026-09-21	oos	17.971	18.4192	+2.49%	14.773	-17.80%	0.1846	✗	0.78
2026-09-20	oos	17.302	17.3265	+0.14%	14.749	-14.76%	0.1788	✗	0.82
2026-09-19	oos	17.503	17.5632	+0.34%	14.512	-17.09%	0.1969	✗	0.82
2026-09-18	oos	17.739	17.7848	+0.26%	14.454	-18.52%	0.2189	✗	0.83
2026-09-17	oos	16.852	16.6198	-1.38%	14.407	-14.51%	0.1960	✓	0.83
2026-09-16	oos	15.686	15.5644	-0.78%	14.749	-5.97%	0.1103	✓	0.83
2026-09-15	oos	14.752	14.7096	-0.29%	15.122	+2.51%	0.0425	✓	0.85
2026-09-14	oos	16.692	16.777	+0.51%	16.153	-3.23%	0.0697	✗	0.75
2026-09-13	oos	16.3315	16.3504	+0.12%	16.365	+0.21%	0.0583	✗	0.75
2026-09-12	oos	16.0585	16.1977	+0.87%	16.3325	+1.71%	0.0341	✗	0.75
2026-09-11	oos	15.873	16.1262	+1.59%	16.686	+5.12%	0.0277	✗	0.77
2026-09-10	oos	15.558	15.787	+1.47%	16.8915	+8.57%	0.0062	✓	0.77
2026-09-09	oos	16.4795	16.9645	+2.94%	17.4845	+6.10%	0.0088	✓	0.74
2026-09-08	oos	17.3585	17.9938	+3.66%	17.3785	+0.12%	0.0644	✗	0.73
2026-09-07	oos	15.789	16.3888	+3.80%	18.089	+14.57%	0.0593	✓	0.77
2026-09-06	oos	16.599	17.3051	+4.25%	18.356	+10.58%	0.0119	✓	0.75
2026-09-05	oos	15.892	16.7178	+5.20%	18.533	+16.62%	0.0496	✓	0.75
2026-09-04	oos	15.5575	16.2765	+4.62%	18.355	+17.98%	0.0606	✓	0.72
2026-09-03	oos	14.294	15.0901	+5.57%	18.2965	+28.00%	0.1597	✓	0.79
2026-09-02	oos	13.9475	14.298	+2.51%	18.255	+30.88%	0.1667	✓	0.87
2026-09-01	oos	14.385	14.7615	+2.62%	18.171	+26.32%	0.1264	✓	0.89
2026-08-31	oos	14.5445	15.1422	+4.11%	18.434	+26.74%	0.1436	✓	0.86
2026-08-30	oos	14.067	14.5301	+3.29%	18.116	+28.78%	0.1575	✓	0.85
2026-08-29	oos	14.2525	14.8541	+4.22%	17.8165	+25.01%	0.1271	✓	0.85
2026-08-28	oos	14.129	14.7492	+4.39%	18.519	+31.07%	0.1585	✓	0.85
2026-08-27	oos	13.932	14.7554	+5.91%	18.273	+31.16%	0.1696	✓	0.88
2026-08-26	oos	13.851	14.5979	+5.39%	17.7	+27.79%	0.1378	✓	0.88
2026-08-25	oos	13.665	14.4394	+5.67%	18.268	+33.68%	0.1725	✓	0.87
2026-08-24	oos	13.851	14.7651	+6.60%	18.275	+31.94%	0.1561	✓	0.87
2026-08-23	oos	14.251	15.2062	+6.70%	18.729	+31.42%	0.1171	✓	0.88
2026-08-22	oos	13.985	14.9224	+6.70%	17.971	+28.50%	0.0831	✓	0.88
2026-08-21	oos	13.0055	13.9377	+7.17%	17.302	+33.04%	0.1837	✓	0.92
2026-08-20	oos	11.955	12.3563	+3.36%	17.503	+46.41%	0.2561	✓	0.86
2026-08-19	oos	11.9285	12.0045	+0.64%	17.739	+48.71%	0.2473	✓	0.93
2026-08-18	oos	11.7125	11.4665	-2.10%	16.852	+43.88%	0.2134	✗	1.04
2026-08-17	oos	12.0775	11.8053	-2.25%	15.686	+29.88%	0.1111	✗	1.04
2026-08-16	oos	11.9685	11.6229	-2.89%	14.752	+23.26%	0.0431	✗	1.06
2026-08-15	oos	12.037	11.7219	-2.62%	16.692	+38.67%	0.1256	✗	1.06
2026-08-14	oos	11.97	11.6626	-2.57%	16.3315	+36.44%	0.1270	✗	1.06
2026-08-13	oos	12.14	11.8451	-2.43%	16.0585	+32.28%	0.0960	✗	1.06
2026-08-12	oos	12.246	11.9518	-2.40%	15.873	+29.62%	0.0758	✗	1.06
2026-08-11	oos	12.985	12.6275	-2.75%	15.558	+19.82%	0.0119	✓	1.06
2026-08-10	oos	12.7835	12.4504	-2.61%	16.4795	+28.91%	0.0654	✗	1.06
2026-08-09	oos	12.952	12.6128	-2.62%	17.3585	+34.02%	0.1173	✗	1.06
2026-08-08	oos	12.798	12.468	-2.58%	15.789	+23.37%	0.0265	✗	1.06
2026-08-07	oos	12.7525	12.4512	-2.36%	16.599	+30.16%	0.0610	✗	1.06
2026-08-06	oos	12.51	12.2109	-2.39%	15.892	+27.03%	0.0345	✗	1.06
2026-08-05	oos	12.977	12.6364	-2.62%	15.5575	+19.89%	0.0128	✓	1.05
2026-08-04	oos	13.3845	12.95	-3.25%	14.294	+6.80%	0.1556	✓	1.07
2026-08-03	oos	13.2705	12.8025	-3.53%	13.9475	+5.10%	0.1252	✓	1.07
2026-08-02	oos	13.2305	12.7629	-3.53%	14.385	+8.73%	0.0918	✓	1.07
2026-08-01	oos	13.1025	12.623	-3.66%	14.5445	+11.01%	0.0984	✓	1.07
2026-07-31	oos	13.158	12.6834	-3.61%	14.067	+6.91%	0.1233	✓	1.07
2026-07-30	oos	13.606	13.2006	-2.98%	14.2525	+4.75%	0.1259	✓	1.07
2026-07-29	oos	11.6495	11.3583	-2.50%	14.129	+21.28%	0.0243	✓	0.98
2026-07-28	oos	11.581	11.3172	-2.28%	13.932	+20.30%	0.0169	✓	0.98
2026-07-27	oos	11.183	10.9413	-2.16%	13.851	+23.86%	0.0256	✗	0.97
2026-07-26	oos	11.685	11.5372	-1.27%	13.665	+16.94%	0.0072	✓	0.96
2026-07-25	oos	11.5805	11.4873	-0.81%	13.851	+19.61%	0.0109	✓	0.96
2026-07-24	oos	11.5935	11.5635	-0.26%	14.251	+22.92%	0.0231	✗	0.96
2026-07-23	oos	11.9935	11.9913	-0.02%	13.985	+16.60%	0.0078	✓	0.95
2026-07-22	oos	12.47	12.4857	+0.13%	13.0055	+4.29%	0.1193	✗	0.94
2026-07-21	oos	12.5985	12.6384	+0.32%	11.955	-5.11%	0.1434	✗	0.94
2026-07-20	oos	12.729	12.7004	-0.22%	11.9285	-6.29%	0.1215	✓	0.97
2026-07-19	oos	12.72	12.7009	-0.15%	11.7125	-7.92%	0.0810	✓	0.97
2026-07-18	oos	12.716	12.7427	+0.21%	12.0775	-5.02%	0.0488	✗	0.97
2026-07-17	oos	12.584	12.5683	-0.13%	11.9685	-4.89%	0.0327	✓	0.97
2026-07-16	oos	13.336	13.276	-0.45%	12.037	-9.74%	0.0863	✓	0.98
2026-07-15	oos	13.502	13.472	-0.22%	11.97	-11.35%	0.0914	✓	0.98
2026-07-14	oos	13.764	13.7072	-0.41%	12.14	-11.80%	0.0975	✓	0.98
2026-07-13	oos	12.513	12.4385	-0.60%	12.246	-2.13%	0.0313	✓	0.86
2026-07-12	oos	12.1975	12.1246	-0.60%	12.985	+6.46%	0.0715	✗	0.91
2026-07-11	oos	11.253	11.1448	-0.96%	12.7835	+13.60%	0.1352	✗	0.90
2026-07-10	oos	11.16	11.0089	-1.35%	12.952	+16.06%	0.1525	✗	0.90
2026-07-09	oos	11.012	10.8554	-1.42%	12.798	+16.22%	0.1404	✗	0.90
2026-07-08	oos	10.971	10.7985	-1.57%	12.7525	+16.24%	0.1288	✗	0.90
2026-07-07	oos	11.012	10.8224	-1.72%	12.51	+13.60%	0.1314	✗	0.91
2026-07-06	oos	11.216	10.9878	-2.03%	12.977	+15.70%	0.1579	✗	0.91
2026-07-05	oos	11.145	10.9082	-2.12%	13.3845	+20.09%	0.1979	✗	0.91
2026-07-04	oos	11.2845	11.0423	-2.15%	13.2705	+17.60%	0.1783	✗	0.92
2026-07-03	oos	11.4835	11.2308	-2.20%	13.2305	+15.21%	0.1494	✗	0.93
2026-07-02	oos	11.1825	10.9111	-2.43%	13.1025	+17.17%	0.1642	✗	0.91
2026-07-01	oos	10.94	10.653	-2.62%	13.158	+20.27%	0.1690	✗	0.90
2026-06-30	oos	10.729	10.4247	-2.84%	13.606	+26.82%	0.1759	✗	0.90
2026-06-29	oos	11.281	10.9523	-2.91%	11.6495	+3.27%	0.0092	✓	0.87
2026-06-28	oos	11.106	10.7664	-3.06%	11.581	+4.28%	0.0119	✓	0.86
2026-06-27	oos	11.4885	11.1296	-3.12%	11.183	-2.66%	0.0474	✓	0.86
2026-06-26	oos	11.197	10.8309	-3.27%	11.685	+4.36%	0.0036	✓	0.85
2026-06-25	oos	10.96	10.597	-3.31%	11.5805	+5.66%	0.0272	✓	0.83
2026-06-24	oos	12.179	11.7668	-3.38%	11.5935	-4.81%	0.0522	✓	0.75
2026-06-23	oos	11.177	10.7564	-3.76%	11.9935	+7.31%	0.0747	✗	0.91
2026-06-22	oos	11.5125	11.0674	-3.87%	12.47	+8.32%	0.0896	✗	0.90
2026-06-21	oos	11.433	10.974	-4.01%	12.5985	+10.19%	0.0926	✗	0.90
2026-06-20	oos	11.873	11.3846	-4.11%	12.729	+7.21%	0.0963	✗	1.00
2026-06-19	oos	11.617	11.1165	-4.31%	12.72	+9.49%	0.1159	✗	1.00
2026-06-18	oos	11.479	10.9779	-4.37%	12.716	+10.78%	0.1169	✗	1.00
2026-06-17	oos	12.04	11.493	-4.54%	12.584	+4.52%	0.0993	✗	1.00
2026-06-16	oos	12.39	11.8126	-4.66%	13.336	+7.64%	0.1498	✗	1.00
2026-06-15	oos	12.67	12.0714	-4.72%	13.502	+6.57%	0.1358	✗	1.00
2026-06-14	oos	12.812	12.1735	-4.98%	13.764	+7.43%	0.1338	✗	1.00
2026-06-13	oos	12.242	11.5791	-5.42%	12.513	+2.21%	0.1117	✗	1.00
2026-06-12	oos	12.032	11.3604	-5.58%	12.1975	+1.38%	0.0679	✗	1.00
2026-06-11	oos	12.172	11.4739	-5.74%	11.253	-7.55%	0.0227	✓	1.00
2026-06-10	oos	11.832	11.1733	-5.57%	11.16	-5.68%	0.0439	✓	1.00
2026-06-09	oos	11.962	11.272	-5.77%	11.012	-7.94%	0.0472	✓	1.00
2026-06-08	oos	12.271	11.5049	-6.24%	10.971	-10.59%	0.0343	✓	1.00
2026-06-07	oos	12.382	11.5915	-6.38%	11.012	-11.06%	0.0516	✓	1.00
2026-06-06	oos	12.29	11.5761	-5.81%	11.216	-8.74%	0.0821	✓	1.00
2026-06-05	oos	12.102	11.3589	-6.14%	11.145	-7.91%	0.0600	✓	1.00
2026-06-04	oos	13.152	12.2823	-6.61%	11.2845	-14.20%	0.0734	✓	1.00
2026-06-03	oos	14.506	13.6009	-6.24%	11.4835	-20.84%	0.1452	✓	1.00
2026-06-02	oos	14.746	13.79	-6.48%	11.1825	-24.17%	0.1288	✓	1.00
2026-06-01	oos	15.614	14.6172	-6.38%	10.94	-29.93%	0.1164	✓	1.00
2026-05-31	oos	16.0015	15.0086	-6.21%	10.729	-32.95%	0.1068	✓	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.