DARK
Darkwoods · Robinhood · gru_s0
- token id
- #795
- symbol
- DARK
- variant
- –
- chain
- Robinhood
- address
- 0xdc45b71d7203c2e8baafc43a19bca0eb993bb54e
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2023-11-23
- predictions
- 459
Track record at +7d
assessed
133
of 153 predictions shown
direction hit
75.9%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.2162
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0260
actual -0.2049
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-22 | oos | 0.001118 | 0.000995031 | -11.00% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.001118 | 0.000982597 | -12.11% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.000949 | 0.000736859 | -22.35% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.001397 | 0.00128 | -8.37% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.001845 | 0.001762 | -4.46% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.002037 | 0.001957 | -3.94% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2025-08-04 | oos | 0.002796 | 0.002742 | -1.93% | – | pending | – | – | 3.62 |
| 2025-08-03 | oos | 0.00239 | 0.002359 | -1.26% | – | pending | – | – | 3.45 |
| 2025-08-02 | oos | 0.002305 | 0.002278 | -1.16% | – | pending | – | – | 3.43 |
| 2025-08-01 | oos | 0.002374 | 0.002342 | -1.36% | – | pending | – | – | 3.37 |
| 2025-07-31 | oos | 0.002516 | 0.002487 | -1.16% | – | pending | – | – | 3.55 |
| 2025-07-30 | oos | 0.002592 | 0.002568 | -0.91% | – | pending | – | – | 3.63 |
| 2025-07-29 | oos | 0.00286 | 0.002834 | -0.92% | – | pending | – | – | 3.37 |
| 2025-07-28 | oos | 0.003153 | 0.003122 | -0.99% | 0.002796 | -11.31% | 0.0226 | ✓ | 3.38 |
| 2025-07-27 | oos | 0.003054 | 0.003033 | -0.68% | 0.00239 | -21.76% | 0.0842 | ✓ | 3.44 |
| 2025-07-26 | oos | 0.002947 | 0.002923 | -0.82% | 0.002305 | -21.78% | 0.0801 | ✓ | 3.34 |
| 2025-07-25 | oos | 0.003035 | 0.003006 | -0.97% | 0.002374 | -21.78% | 0.1080 | ✓ | 3.37 |
| 2025-07-24 | oos | 0.003066 | 0.003037 | -0.94% | 0.002516 | -17.94% | 0.1128 | ✓ | 3.35 |
| 2025-07-23 | oos | 0.003233 | 0.0032 | -1.02% | 0.002592 | -19.83% | 0.1835 | ✓ | 3.29 |
| 2025-07-22 | oos | 0.003309 | 0.003275 | -1.04% | 0.00286 | -13.57% | 0.0771 | ✓ | 3.32 |
| 2025-07-21 | oos | 0.003192 | 0.003146 | -1.45% | 0.003153 | -1.22% | 0.0158 | ✓ | 3.32 |
| 2025-07-20 | oos | 0.002797 | 0.002756 | -1.47% | 0.003054 | +9.19% | 0.0227 | ✗ | 4.40 |
| 2025-07-19 | oos | 0.002741 | 0.002705 | -1.31% | 0.002947 | +7.52% | 0.0837 | ✗ | 4.02 |
| 2025-07-18 | oos | 0.002851 | 0.002813 | -1.34% | 0.003035 | +6.45% | 0.0894 | ✗ | 4.05 |
| 2025-07-17 | oos | 0.002938 | 0.002902 | -1.24% | 0.003066 | +4.36% | 0.0851 | ✗ | 4.07 |
| 2025-07-16 | oos | 0.002999 | 0.002956 | -1.44% | 0.003233 | +7.80% | 0.0852 | ✗ | 4.02 |
| 2025-07-15 | oos | 0.002946 | 0.002903 | -1.45% | 0.003309 | +12.32% | 0.0550 | ✗ | 4.02 |
| 2025-07-14 | oos | 0.002694 | 0.002667 | -1.01% | 0.003192 | +18.49% | 0.2655 | ✗ | 4.17 |
| 2025-07-13 | oos | 0.002897 | 0.002864 | -1.12% | 0.002797 | -3.45% | 0.0404 | ✗ | 4.18 |
| 2025-07-12 | oos | 0.003098 | 0.003048 | -1.62% | 0.002741 | -11.52% | 0.1219 | ✓ | 4.21 |
| 2025-07-11 | oos | 0.003358 | 0.003276 | -2.44% | 0.002851 | -15.10% | 0.1547 | ✓ | 4.20 |
| 2025-07-10 | oos | 0.003002 | 0.002925 | -2.57% | 0.002938 | -2.13% | 0.1105 | ✓ | 4.17 |
| 2025-07-09 | oos | 0.002724 | 0.00265 | -2.72% | 0.002999 | +10.10% | 0.1477 | ✓ | 4.22 |
| 2025-07-08 | oos | 0.002578 | 0.002505 | -2.83% | 0.002946 | +14.27% | 0.1657 | ✓ | 4.21 |
| 2025-07-07 | oos | 0.002644 | 0.002573 | -2.70% | 0.002694 | +1.89% | 0.3824 | ✓ | 4.21 |
| 2025-07-06 | oos | 0.002814 | 0.002719 | -3.37% | 0.002897 | +2.95% | 0.3033 | ✓ | 4.22 |
| 2025-07-05 | oos | 0.002657 | 0.00258 | -2.91% | 0.003098 | +16.60% | 0.1609 | ✓ | 4.21 |
| 2025-07-04 | oos | 0.002586 | 0.002511 | -2.89% | 0.003358 | +29.85% | 0.0660 | ✓ | 4.21 |
| 2025-07-03 | oos | 0.002754 | 0.002666 | -3.18% | 0.003002 | +9.01% | 0.1221 | ✓ | 4.24 |
| 2025-07-02 | oos | 0.002885 | 0.002781 | -3.62% | 0.002724 | -5.58% | 0.1129 | ✓ | 4.24 |
| 2025-07-01 | oos | 0.002573 | 0.002503 | -2.73% | 0.002578 | +0.19% | 0.0976 | ✓ | 4.21 |
| 2025-06-30 | oos | 0.003278 | 0.003111 | -5.08% | 0.002644 | -19.34% | 0.2046 | ✓ | 4.11 |
| 2025-06-29 | oos | 0.003167 | 0.003001 | -5.23% | 0.002814 | -11.15% | 0.0964 | ✓ | 4.19 |
| 2025-06-28 | oos | 0.002957 | 0.002831 | -4.25% | 0.002657 | -10.15% | 0.0981 | ✓ | 4.17 |
| 2025-06-27 | oos | 0.003523 | 0.003331 | -5.45% | 0.002586 | -26.60% | 0.2886 | ✓ | 4.16 |
| 2025-06-26 | oos | 0.004013 | 0.003752 | -6.51% | 0.002754 | -31.37% | 0.4088 | ✓ | 4.15 |
| 2025-06-25 | oos | 0.004036 | 0.003754 | -6.98% | 0.002885 | -28.52% | 0.3207 | ✓ | 4.17 |
| 2025-06-24 | oos | 0.004267 | 0.003941 | -7.64% | 0.002573 | -39.70% | 0.4094 | ✓ | 4.19 |
| 2025-06-23 | oos | 0.004368 | 0.004046 | -7.38% | 0.003278 | -24.95% | 0.2795 | ✓ | 4.19 |
| 2025-06-22 | oos | 0.004004 | 0.003813 | -4.77% | 0.003167 | -20.90% | 0.4877 | ✓ | 4.28 |
| 2025-06-21 | oos | 0.003983 | 0.003784 | -5.00% | 0.002957 | -25.76% | 0.4619 | ✓ | 4.34 |
| 2025-06-20 | oos | 0.004445 | 0.00415 | -6.65% | 0.003523 | -20.74% | 0.3199 | ✓ | 4.33 |
| 2025-06-19 | oos | 0.004911 | 0.004514 | -8.08% | 0.004013 | -18.29% | 0.2142 | ✓ | 4.33 |
| 2025-06-18 | oos | 0.005086 | 0.00466 | -8.37% | 0.004036 | -20.64% | 0.2454 | ✓ | 4.34 |
| 2025-06-17 | oos | 0.005041 | 0.004641 | -7.93% | 0.004267 | -15.35% | 0.1480 | ✓ | 4.34 |
| 2025-06-16 | oos | 0.005281 | 0.004788 | -9.34% | 0.004368 | -17.29% | 0.0316 | ✓ | 4.45 |
| 2025-06-15 | oos | 0.005917 | 0.005312 | -10.23% | 0.004004 | -32.33% | 0.0821 | ✓ | 4.50 |
| 2025-06-14 | oos | 0.006217 | 0.005551 | -10.71% | 0.003983 | -35.93% | 0.1887 | ✓ | 4.50 |
| 2025-06-13 | oos | 0.005012 | 0.004704 | -6.14% | 0.004445 | -11.31% | 0.0673 | ✗ | 4.64 |
| 2025-06-12 | oos | 0.005304 | 0.004962 | -6.46% | 0.004911 | -7.41% | 0.0360 | ✓ | 4.64 |
| 2025-06-11 | oos | 0.006633 | 0.005916 | -10.81% | 0.005086 | -23.32% | 0.0093 | ✓ | 4.57 |
| 2025-06-10 | oos | 0.005894 | 0.005411 | -8.19% | 0.005041 | -14.47% | 0.1848 | ✗ | 4.81 |
| 2025-06-09 | oos | 0.006098 | 0.005614 | -7.94% | 0.005281 | -13.40% | 0.0918 | ✗ | 4.82 |
| 2025-06-08 | oos | 0.005929 | 0.005638 | -4.90% | 0.005917 | -0.20% | 0.0571 | ✗ | 5.07 |
| 2025-06-07 | oos | 0.005997 | 0.005745 | -4.20% | 0.006217 | +3.67% | 0.0863 | ✗ | 5.07 |
| 2025-06-06 | oos | 0.005891 | 0.00573 | -2.73% | 0.005012 | -14.92% | 0.2166 | ✓ | 5.07 |
| 2025-06-05 | oos | 0.005238 | 0.005231 | -0.13% | 0.005304 | +1.26% | 0.1872 | ✓ | 5.02 |
| 2025-06-04 | oos | 0.00631 | 0.006193 | -1.85% | 0.006633 | +5.12% | 0.1176 | ✓ | 5.07 |
| 2025-06-03 | oos | 0.00767 | 0.007363 | -4.00% | 0.005894 | -23.16% | 0.4474 | ✓ | 5.00 |
| 2025-06-02 | oos | 0.007135 | 0.006965 | -2.38% | 0.006098 | -14.53% | 0.3398 | ✓ | 5.09 |
| 2025-06-01 | oos | 0.007398 | 0.007238 | -2.16% | 0.005929 | -19.86% | 0.2037 | ✓ | 5.09 |
| 2025-05-31 | oos | 0.006696 | 0.00668 | -0.24% | 0.005997 | -10.44% | 0.1546 | ✓ | 5.05 |
| 2025-05-30 | oos | 0.006587 | 0.006618 | +0.48% | 0.005891 | -10.57% | 0.1341 | ✗ | 5.05 |
| 2025-05-29 | oos | 0.007919 | 0.007872 | -0.59% | 0.005238 | -33.86% | 0.2148 | ✓ | 4.98 |
| 2025-05-28 | oos | 0.00946 | 0.009207 | -2.68% | 0.00631 | -33.30% | 0.2347 | ✓ | 4.96 |
| 2025-05-27 | oos | 0.010931 | 0.010482 | -4.10% | 0.00767 | -29.83% | 0.1503 | ✓ | 4.92 |
| 2025-05-26 | oos | 0.01142 | 0.010953 | -4.09% | 0.007135 | -37.52% | 0.2650 | ✓ | 4.95 |
| 2025-05-25 | oos | 0.011277 | 0.010862 | -3.68% | 0.007398 | -34.40% | 0.2292 | ✓ | 4.96 |
| 2025-05-24 | oos | 0.012084 | 0.011623 | -3.82% | 0.006696 | -44.59% | 0.4037 | ✓ | 4.99 |
| 2025-05-23 | oos | 0.012392 | 0.011933 | -3.70% | 0.006587 | -46.84% | 0.4386 | ✓ | 4.99 |
| 2025-05-22 | oos | 0.015393 | 0.014865 | -3.43% | 0.007919 | -48.55% | 0.3374 | ✓ | 5.16 |
| 2025-05-21 | oos | 0.012423 | 0.012104 | -2.56% | 0.00946 | -23.85% | 0.1601 | ✓ | 4.99 |
| 2025-05-20 | oos | 0.011758 | 0.01148 | -2.37% | 0.010931 | -7.03% | 0.1462 | ✓ | 5.01 |
| 2025-05-19 | oos | 0.012125 | 0.011833 | -2.41% | 0.01142 | -5.81% | 0.2151 | ✓ | 5.02 |
| 2025-05-18 | oos | 0.011663 | 0.011446 | -1.86% | 0.011277 | -3.31% | 0.1397 | ✓ | 5.22 |
| 2025-05-17 | oos | 0.011383 | 0.011158 | -1.98% | 0.012084 | +6.16% | 0.1570 | ✓ | 5.39 |
| 2025-05-16 | oos | 0.011643 | 0.011431 | -1.82% | 0.012392 | +6.43% | 0.0444 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-05-15 | oos | 0.012234 | 0.012029 | -1.68% | 0.015393 | +25.82% | 0.1729 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-05-14 | oos | 0.013635 | 0.013432 | -1.49% | 0.012423 | -8.89% | 0.1358 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-05-13 | oos | 0.016633 | 0.016402 | -1.39% | 0.011758 | -29.31% | 0.3590 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-05-12 | oos | 0.018853 | 0.018467 | -2.05% | 0.012125 | -35.69% | 0.4477 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-05-11 | oos | 0.017499 | 0.017224 | -1.57% | 0.011663 | -33.35% | 0.4121 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-05-10 | oos | 0.016775 | 0.016528 | -1.48% | 0.011383 | -32.14% | 0.3570 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-05-09 | in | 0.01342 | 0.013206 | -1.59% | 0.011643 | -13.24% | 0.1310 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-05-08 | in | 0.015819 | 0.015575 | -1.55% | 0.012234 | -22.66% | 0.2466 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-05-07 | in | 0.011052 | 0.010359 | -6.27% | 0.013635 | +23.37% | 0.2101 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-05-06 | in | 0.01415 | 0.013754 | -2.80% | 0.016633 | +17.55% | 0.1175 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-05-05 | in | 0.015996 | 0.015559 | -2.73% | 0.018853 | +17.86% | 0.1103 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-05-04 | in | 0.017052 | 0.016595 | -2.68% | 0.017499 | +2.62% | 0.0465 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-05-03 | in | 0.01703 | 0.016594 | -2.56% | 0.016775 | -1.50% | 0.0785 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-05-02 | in | 0.023187 | 0.022747 | -1.90% | 0.01342 | -42.12% | 0.5883 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-05-01 | in | 0.0163 | 0.01579 | -3.13% | 0.015819 | -2.95% | 0.0655 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-04-30 | in | 0.02036 | 0.019944 | -2.05% | 0.011052 | -45.72% | 0.6204 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-04-29 | in | 0.024322 | 0.023967 | -1.46% | 0.01415 | -41.82% | 0.5538 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-04-28 | in | 0.025719 | 0.0254 | -1.24% | 0.015996 | -37.80% | 0.4591 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-04-27 | in | 0.030589 | 0.030081 | -1.66% | 0.017052 | -44.25% | 0.5728 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-04-26 | in | 0.03442 | 0.033624 | -2.31% | 0.01703 | -50.52% | 0.6928 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2024-01-16 | in | 0.000009 | 0.000007212 | -19.87% | – | pending | – | – | -1.27 |
| 2024-01-15 | in | 0.0000157 | 0.000015864 | +1.05% | – | pending | – | – | -1.09 |
| 2024-01-14 | in | 0.0000149 | 0.000015149 | +1.67% | – | pending | – | – | -1.13 |
| 2024-01-13 | in | 0.00001622 | 0.000016165 | -0.34% | – | pending | – | – | -1.21 |
| 2024-01-12 | in | 0.0000257 | 0.000024894 | -3.13% | – | pending | – | – | -1.23 |
| 2024-01-11 | in | 0.00002504 | 0.00002439 | -2.60% | – | pending | – | – | -1.41 |
| 2024-01-10 | in | 0.00002673 | 0.000026148 | -2.18% | – | pending | – | – | -1.44 |
| 2024-01-09 | in | 0.00003347 | 0.000032971 | -1.49% | 0.000009 | -73.11% | 1.3913 | ✓ | -1.38 |
| 2024-01-08 | in | 0.00002866 | 0.000028314 | -1.21% | 0.0000157 | -45.22% | 0.7169 | ✓ | -1.26 |
| 2024-01-07 | in | 0.00002885 | 0.000028101 | -2.59% | 0.0000149 | -48.35% | 0.7140 | ✓ | -1.51 |
| 2024-01-06 | in | 0.00003261 | 0.00003186 | -2.30% | 0.00001622 | -50.26% | 0.7159 | ✓ | -1.54 |
| 2024-01-05 | in | 0.0000316 | 0.000030863 | -2.33% | 0.0000257 | -18.67% | 0.2326 | ✓ | -1.52 |
| 2024-01-04 | in | 0.000032 | 0.000031401 | -1.87% | 0.00002504 | -21.75% | 0.1540 | ✓ | -1.52 |
| 2024-01-03 | in | 0.00003349 | 0.000032781 | -2.12% | 0.00002673 | -20.19% | 0.0734 | ✓ | -1.54 |
| 2024-01-02 | in | 0.0000337 | 0.000033357 | -1.02% | 0.00003347 | -0.68% | 0.0472 | ✗ | -1.73 |
| 2024-01-01 | in | 0.00003166 | 0.000031287 | -1.18% | 0.00002866 | -9.48% | 0.0217 | ✗ | -1.80 |
| 2023-12-31 | in | 0.00003167 | 0.000031145 | -1.66% | 0.00002885 | -8.90% | 0.0011 | ✓ | -2.01 |
| 2023-12-30 | in | 0.00003168 | 0.000031204 | -1.50% | 0.00003261 | +2.94% | 0.1307 | ✗ | -2.02 |
| 2023-12-29 | in | 0.00003798 | 0.000037527 | -1.19% | 0.0000316 | -16.80% | 0.0720 | ✓ | -2.03 |
| 2023-12-28 | in | 0.0000381 | 0.00003776 | -0.89% | 0.000032 | -16.01% | 0.0893 | ✓ | -2.05 |
| 2023-12-27 | in | 0.00002929 | 0.00002901 | -0.95% | 0.00003349 | +14.34% | 0.1195 | ✗ | -1.70 |
| 2023-12-26 | in | 0.00003903 | 0.000038855 | -0.45% | 0.0000337 | -13.66% | 0.0622 | ✓ | -1.43 |
| 2023-12-25 | in | 0.00004557 | 0.000045569 | -0.00% | 0.00003166 | -30.52% | 0.3385 | ✓ | -1.79 |
| 2023-12-24 | in | 0.00005145 | 0.000051239 | -0.41% | 0.00003167 | -38.45% | 0.5111 | ✓ | -1.73 |
| 2023-12-23 | in | 0.00004727 | 0.000047234 | -0.08% | 0.00003168 | -32.98% | 0.4604 | ✓ | -1.65 |
| 2023-12-22 | in | 0.00003765 | 0.000037705 | +0.15% | 0.00003798 | +0.88% | 0.0526 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-21 | in | 0.00004179 | 0.000041915 | +0.30% | 0.0000381 | -8.83% | 0.0655 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-20 | in | 0.00004502 | 0.000045198 | +0.40% | 0.00002929 | -34.94% | 0.4292 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-19 | in | 0.00005 | 0.000049987 | -0.03% | 0.00003903 | -21.94% | 0.2533 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-18 | in | 0.000056 | 0.000055995 | -0.01% | 0.00004557 | -18.62% | 0.2278 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-17 | in | 0.00005097 | 0.000050842 | -0.25% | 0.00005145 | +0.94% | 0.0278 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-16 | in | 0.000045 | 0.000045025 | +0.06% | 0.00004727 | +5.04% | 0.0140 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-15 | in | 0.00004838 | 0.000048148 | -0.48% | 0.00003765 | -22.18% | 0.2944 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-14 | in | 0.00004328 | 0.000043391 | +0.26% | 0.00004179 | -3.44% | 0.0571 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-13 | in | 0.00004588 | 0.000045993 | +0.25% | 0.00004502 | -1.87% | 0.0396 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-12 | in | 0.00006089 | 0.000060776 | -0.19% | 0.00005 | -17.88% | 0.2140 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-11 | in | 0.00006109 | 0.000060903 | -0.31% | 0.000056 | -8.33% | 0.1178 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-10 | in | 0.00006163 | 0.000061878 | +0.40% | 0.00005097 | -17.30% | 0.1365 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-09 | in | 0.00005702 | 0.000057279 | +0.45% | 0.000045 | -21.08% | 0.2067 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-08 | in | 0.00005751 | 0.000057949 | +0.76% | 0.00004838 | -15.88% | 0.1280 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-07 | in | 0.00006009 | 0.000060396 | +0.51% | 0.00004328 | -27.97% | 0.3274 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-06 | in | 0.0000579 | 0.000058251 | +0.61% | 0.00004588 | -20.76% | 0.2185 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-05 | in | 0.00005568 | 0.000056043 | +0.65% | 0.00006089 | +9.36% | 0.1439 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-04 | in | 0.00006001 | 0.000060077 | +0.11% | 0.00006109 | +1.80% | 0.0349 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-03 | in | 0.00006997 | 0.000069653 | -0.45% | 0.00006163 | -11.92% | 0.2134 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-02 | in | 0.00006388 | 0.000063562 | -0.50% | 0.00005702 | -10.74% | 0.2107 | ✓ | 1.00 |