DARK
Darkwoods · Robinhood · gru_s0
- token id
- #795
- symbol
- DARK
- variant
- –
- chain
- Robinhood
- address
- 0xdc45b71d7203c2e8baafc43a19bca0eb993bb54e
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2023-11-23
- predictions
- 456
Track record at +30d
assessed
87
of 152 predictions shown
direction hit
88.5%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.7854
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.1096
actual -0.8949
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.001307 | 0.001048 | -19.78% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.000949 | 0.000543561 | -42.72% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.001397 | 0.001121 | -19.74% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.001845 | 0.001627 | -11.81% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.002037 | 0.001818 | -10.73% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2025-08-04 | oos | 0.002796 | 0.002645 | -5.43% | – | pending | – | – | 3.62 |
| 2025-08-03 | oos | 0.00239 | 0.002279 | -4.64% | – | pending | – | – | 3.45 |
| 2025-08-02 | oos | 0.002305 | 0.002192 | -4.90% | – | pending | – | – | 3.43 |
| 2025-08-01 | oos | 0.002374 | 0.002251 | -5.17% | – | pending | – | – | 3.37 |
| 2025-07-31 | oos | 0.002516 | 0.002408 | -4.29% | – | pending | – | – | 3.55 |
| 2025-07-30 | oos | 0.002592 | 0.0025 | -3.56% | – | pending | – | – | 3.63 |
| 2025-07-29 | oos | 0.00286 | 0.002765 | -3.31% | – | pending | – | – | 3.37 |
| 2025-07-28 | oos | 0.003153 | 0.003055 | -3.11% | – | pending | – | – | 3.38 |
| 2025-07-27 | oos | 0.003054 | 0.002986 | -2.23% | – | pending | – | – | 3.44 |
| 2025-07-26 | oos | 0.002947 | 0.002863 | -2.86% | – | pending | – | – | 3.34 |
| 2025-07-25 | oos | 0.003035 | 0.002938 | -3.18% | – | pending | – | – | 3.37 |
| 2025-07-24 | oos | 0.003066 | 0.002974 | -3.01% | – | pending | – | – | 3.35 |
| 2025-07-23 | oos | 0.003233 | 0.003137 | -2.96% | – | pending | – | – | 3.29 |
| 2025-07-22 | oos | 0.003309 | 0.003219 | -2.73% | – | pending | – | – | 3.32 |
| 2025-07-21 | oos | 0.003192 | 0.003073 | -3.72% | – | pending | – | – | 3.32 |
| 2025-07-20 | oos | 0.002797 | 0.002679 | -4.22% | – | pending | – | – | 4.40 |
| 2025-07-19 | oos | 0.002741 | 0.002634 | -3.90% | – | pending | – | – | 4.02 |
| 2025-07-18 | oos | 0.002851 | 0.002741 | -3.85% | – | pending | – | – | 4.05 |
| 2025-07-17 | oos | 0.002938 | 0.002838 | -3.40% | – | pending | – | – | 4.07 |
| 2025-07-16 | oos | 0.002999 | 0.002889 | -3.68% | – | pending | – | – | 4.02 |
| 2025-07-15 | oos | 0.002946 | 0.002837 | -3.71% | – | pending | – | – | 4.02 |
| 2025-07-14 | oos | 0.002694 | 0.002617 | -2.86% | – | pending | – | – | 4.17 |
| 2025-07-13 | oos | 0.002897 | 0.002812 | -2.93% | – | pending | – | – | 4.18 |
| 2025-07-12 | oos | 0.003098 | 0.002974 | -4.01% | – | pending | – | – | 4.21 |
| 2025-07-11 | oos | 0.003358 | 0.003177 | -5.40% | – | pending | – | – | 4.20 |
| 2025-07-10 | oos | 0.003002 | 0.002823 | -5.97% | – | pending | – | – | 4.17 |
| 2025-07-09 | oos | 0.002724 | 0.002531 | -7.09% | – | pending | – | – | 4.22 |
| 2025-07-08 | oos | 0.002578 | 0.002377 | -7.80% | – | pending | – | – | 4.21 |
| 2025-07-07 | oos | 0.002644 | 0.002441 | -7.69% | – | pending | – | – | 4.21 |
| 2025-07-06 | oos | 0.002814 | 0.002568 | -8.76% | – | pending | – | – | 4.22 |
| 2025-07-05 | oos | 0.002657 | 0.002438 | -8.24% | 0.002796 | +5.25% | 0.1192 | ✓ | 4.21 |
| 2025-07-04 | oos | 0.002586 | 0.002356 | -8.88% | 0.00239 | -7.60% | 0.2204 | ✓ | 4.21 |
| 2025-07-03 | oos | 0.002754 | 0.002507 | -8.96% | 0.002305 | -16.30% | 0.1953 | ✓ | 4.24 |
| 2025-07-02 | oos | 0.002885 | 0.002599 | -9.91% | 0.002374 | -17.71% | 0.2572 | ✓ | 4.24 |
| 2025-07-01 | oos | 0.002573 | 0.002311 | -10.19% | 0.002516 | -2.22% | 0.2969 | ✓ | 4.21 |
| 2025-06-30 | oos | 0.003278 | 0.002844 | -13.24% | 0.002592 | -20.93% | 0.4823 | ✓ | 4.11 |
| 2025-06-29 | oos | 0.003167 | 0.00274 | -13.47% | 0.00286 | -9.69% | 0.3106 | ✓ | 4.19 |
| 2025-06-28 | oos | 0.002957 | 0.002576 | -12.90% | 0.003153 | +6.63% | 0.1942 | ✓ | 4.17 |
| 2025-06-27 | oos | 0.003523 | 0.003017 | -14.35% | 0.003054 | -13.31% | 0.4420 | ✓ | 4.16 |
| 2025-06-26 | oos | 0.004013 | 0.003379 | -15.81% | 0.002947 | -26.56% | 0.5406 | ✓ | 4.15 |
| 2025-06-25 | oos | 0.004036 | 0.003354 | -16.91% | 0.003035 | -24.80% | 0.4790 | ✓ | 4.17 |
| 2025-06-24 | oos | 0.004267 | 0.003494 | -18.12% | 0.003066 | -28.15% | 0.5883 | ✓ | 4.19 |
| 2025-06-23 | oos | 0.004368 | 0.003595 | -17.70% | 0.003233 | -25.98% | 0.6070 | ✓ | 4.19 |
| 2025-06-22 | oos | 0.004004 | 0.003425 | -14.45% | 0.003309 | -17.36% | 0.7730 | ✓ | 4.28 |
| 2025-06-21 | oos | 0.003983 | 0.003376 | -15.24% | 0.003192 | -19.86% | 0.6609 | ✓ | 4.34 |
| 2025-06-20 | oos | 0.004445 | 0.003654 | -17.79% | 0.002797 | -37.08% | 0.8176 | ✓ | 4.33 |
| 2025-06-19 | oos | 0.004911 | 0.003927 | -20.03% | 0.002741 | -44.19% | 0.8758 | ✓ | 4.33 |
| 2025-06-18 | oos | 0.005086 | 0.00403 | -20.75% | 0.002851 | -43.94% | 0.8569 | ✓ | 4.34 |
| 2025-06-17 | oos | 0.005041 | 0.004003 | -20.59% | 0.002938 | -41.72% | 0.8793 | ✓ | 4.34 |
| 2025-06-16 | oos | 0.005281 | 0.004058 | -23.16% | 0.002999 | -43.21% | 0.7698 | ✓ | 4.45 |
| 2025-06-15 | oos | 0.005917 | 0.004456 | -24.69% | 0.002946 | -50.21% | 0.9049 | ✓ | 4.50 |
| 2025-06-14 | oos | 0.006217 | 0.004643 | -25.31% | 0.002694 | -56.67% | 1.1200 | ✓ | 4.50 |
| 2025-06-13 | oos | 0.005012 | 0.004026 | -19.66% | 0.002897 | -42.20% | 0.8661 | ✓ | 4.64 |
| 2025-06-12 | oos | 0.005304 | 0.004219 | -20.46% | 0.003098 | -41.59% | 0.7978 | ✓ | 4.64 |
| 2025-06-11 | oos | 0.006633 | 0.004903 | -26.08% | 0.003358 | -49.37% | 0.7384 | ✓ | 4.57 |
| 2025-06-10 | oos | 0.005894 | 0.004568 | -22.50% | 0.003002 | -49.07% | 0.6635 | ✓ | 4.81 |
| 2025-06-09 | oos | 0.006098 | 0.004739 | -22.29% | 0.002724 | -55.33% | 0.5963 | ✓ | 4.82 |
| 2025-06-08 | oos | 0.005929 | 0.004801 | -19.03% | 0.002578 | -56.52% | 0.7716 | ✓ | 5.07 |
| 2025-06-07 | oos | 0.005997 | 0.004895 | -18.37% | 0.002644 | -55.91% | 0.7417 | ✓ | 5.07 |
| 2025-06-06 | oos | 0.005891 | 0.00491 | -16.66% | 0.002814 | -52.23% | 0.7853 | ✓ | 5.07 |
| 2025-06-05 | oos | 0.005238 | 0.004521 | -13.68% | 0.002657 | -49.27% | 0.8511 | ✓ | 5.02 |
| 2025-06-04 | oos | 0.00631 | 0.005322 | -15.66% | 0.002586 | -59.02% | 0.8779 | ✓ | 5.07 |
| 2025-06-03 | oos | 0.00767 | 0.00626 | -18.38% | 0.002754 | -64.09% | 1.0155 | ✓ | 5.00 |
| 2025-06-02 | oos | 0.007135 | 0.005979 | -16.20% | 0.002885 | -59.57% | 0.8701 | ✓ | 5.09 |
| 2025-06-01 | oos | 0.007398 | 0.006227 | -15.83% | 0.002573 | -65.22% | 0.8845 | ✓ | 5.09 |
| 2025-05-31 | oos | 0.006696 | 0.005798 | -13.41% | 0.003278 | -51.05% | 0.6908 | ✓ | 5.05 |
| 2025-05-30 | oos | 0.006587 | 0.005776 | -12.32% | 0.003167 | -51.92% | 0.8078 | ✓ | 5.05 |
| 2025-05-29 | oos | 0.007919 | 0.00691 | -12.74% | 0.002957 | -62.66% | 0.9321 | ✓ | 4.98 |
| 2025-05-28 | oos | 0.00946 | 0.008145 | -13.90% | 0.003523 | -62.76% | 0.8054 | ✓ | 4.96 |
| 2025-05-27 | oos | 0.010931 | 0.009375 | -14.24% | 0.004013 | -63.29% | 0.7596 | ✓ | 4.92 |
| 2025-05-26 | oos | 0.01142 | 0.009897 | -13.34% | 0.004036 | -64.66% | 0.8027 | ✓ | 4.95 |
| 2025-05-25 | oos | 0.011277 | 0.009839 | -12.75% | 0.004267 | -62.16% | 0.7013 | ✓ | 4.96 |
| 2025-05-24 | oos | 0.012084 | 0.010555 | -12.65% | 0.004368 | -63.85% | 0.7713 | ✓ | 4.99 |
| 2025-05-23 | oos | 0.012392 | 0.010888 | -12.14% | 0.004004 | -67.69% | 0.6970 | ✓ | 4.99 |
| 2025-05-22 | oos | 0.015393 | 0.014201 | -7.74% | 0.003983 | -74.12% | 0.8093 | ✓ | 5.16 |
| 2025-05-21 | oos | 0.012423 | 0.011373 | -8.46% | 0.004445 | -64.22% | 0.6400 | ✓ | 4.99 |
| 2025-05-20 | oos | 0.011758 | 0.010673 | -9.22% | 0.004911 | -58.23% | 0.6716 | ✓ | 5.01 |
| 2025-05-19 | oos | 0.012125 | 0.011015 | -9.15% | 0.005086 | -58.05% | 0.7394 | ✓ | 5.02 |
| 2025-05-18 | oos | 0.011663 | 0.010768 | -7.68% | 0.005041 | -56.78% | 0.6658 | ✓ | 5.22 |
| 2025-05-17 | oos | 0.011383 | 0.010346 | -9.11% | 0.005281 | -53.61% | 0.8619 | ✓ | 5.39 |
| 2025-05-16 | oos | 0.011643 | 0.010701 | -8.09% | 0.005917 | -49.18% | 0.6126 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-05-15 | oos | 0.012234 | 0.011371 | -7.05% | 0.006217 | -49.18% | 0.6198 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-05-14 | oos | 0.013635 | 0.012838 | -5.84% | 0.005012 | -63.24% | 0.9651 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-05-13 | oos | 0.016633 | 0.015932 | -4.22% | 0.005304 | -68.11% | 1.1150 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-05-12 | oos | 0.018853 | 0.017955 | -4.76% | 0.006633 | -64.82% | 1.0513 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-05-11 | oos | 0.017499 | 0.016859 | -3.66% | 0.005894 | -66.32% | 1.1084 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-05-10 | oos | 0.016775 | 0.016292 | -2.88% | 0.006098 | -63.65% | 1.0337 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-05-09 | oos | 0.01342 | 0.012794 | -4.66% | 0.005929 | -55.82% | 0.7959 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-05-08 | in | 0.015819 | 0.015334 | -3.06% | 0.005997 | -62.09% | 0.9615 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-05-07 | in | 0.011052 | 0.00931 | -15.76% | 0.005891 | -46.70% | 0.5306 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-05-06 | in | 0.01415 | 0.01299 | -8.20% | 0.005238 | -62.98% | 0.9559 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-05-05 | in | 0.015996 | 0.014708 | -8.05% | 0.00631 | -60.55% | 0.9468 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-05-04 | in | 0.017052 | 0.01575 | -7.64% | 0.00767 | -55.02% | 0.8316 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-05-03 | in | 0.01703 | 0.015854 | -6.91% | 0.007135 | -58.10% | 0.8981 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-05-02 | in | 0.023187 | 0.022416 | -3.33% | 0.007398 | -68.09% | 1.1952 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-05-01 | in | 0.0163 | 0.01497 | -8.16% | 0.006696 | -58.92% | 0.8853 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-04-30 | in | 0.02036 | 0.01916 | -5.89% | 0.006587 | -67.65% | 1.1672 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-04-29 | in | 0.024322 | 0.023299 | -4.21% | 0.007919 | -67.44% | 1.1924 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-04-28 | in | 0.025719 | 0.024801 | -3.57% | 0.00946 | -63.22% | 1.0899 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-04-27 | in | 0.030589 | 0.02935 | -4.05% | 0.010931 | -64.26% | 1.1379 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-04-26 | in | 0.03442 | 0.033015 | -4.08% | 0.01142 | -66.82% | 1.2068 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2024-01-16 | in | 0.000009 | 0.000005167 | -42.59% | – | pending | – | – | -1.27 |
| 2024-01-15 | in | 0.0000157 | 0.000014538 | -7.40% | – | pending | – | – | -1.09 |
| 2024-01-14 | in | 0.0000149 | 0.00001367 | -8.25% | – | pending | – | – | -1.13 |
| 2024-01-13 | in | 0.00001622 | 0.000014368 | -11.42% | – | pending | – | – | -1.21 |
| 2024-01-12 | in | 0.0000257 | 0.000022561 | -12.22% | – | pending | – | – | -1.23 |
| 2024-01-11 | in | 0.00002504 | 0.000023024 | -8.05% | – | pending | – | – | -1.41 |
| 2024-01-10 | in | 0.00002673 | 0.000025033 | -6.35% | – | pending | – | – | -1.44 |
| 2024-01-09 | in | 0.00003347 | 0.000032116 | -4.05% | – | pending | – | – | -1.38 |
| 2024-01-08 | in | 0.00002866 | 0.000027511 | -4.01% | – | pending | – | – | -1.26 |
| 2024-01-07 | in | 0.00002885 | 0.000026372 | -8.59% | – | pending | – | – | -1.51 |
| 2024-01-06 | in | 0.00003261 | 0.000030377 | -6.85% | – | pending | – | – | -1.54 |
| 2024-01-05 | in | 0.0000316 | 0.00002955 | -6.49% | – | pending | – | – | -1.52 |
| 2024-01-04 | in | 0.000032 | 0.000030102 | -5.93% | – | pending | – | – | -1.52 |
| 2024-01-03 | in | 0.00003349 | 0.000031234 | -6.74% | – | pending | – | – | -1.54 |
| 2024-01-02 | in | 0.0000337 | 0.000032534 | -3.46% | – | pending | – | – | -1.73 |
| 2024-01-01 | in | 0.00003166 | 0.000030247 | -4.46% | – | pending | – | – | -1.80 |
| 2023-12-31 | in | 0.00003167 | 0.000029585 | -6.58% | – | pending | – | – | -2.01 |
| 2023-12-30 | in | 0.00003168 | 0.000029693 | -6.27% | – | pending | – | – | -2.02 |
| 2023-12-29 | in | 0.00003798 | 0.000036417 | -4.12% | – | pending | – | – | -2.03 |
| 2023-12-28 | in | 0.0000381 | 0.000036843 | -3.30% | – | pending | – | – | -2.05 |
| 2023-12-27 | in | 0.00002929 | 0.000027984 | -4.46% | – | pending | – | – | -1.70 |
| 2023-12-26 | in | 0.00003903 | 0.000038179 | -2.18% | – | pending | – | – | -1.43 |
| 2023-12-25 | in | 0.00004557 | 0.000045543 | -0.06% | – | pending | – | – | -1.79 |
| 2023-12-24 | in | 0.00005145 | 0.000051174 | -0.54% | – | pending | – | – | -1.73 |
| 2023-12-23 | in | 0.00004727 | 0.000047509 | +0.51% | – | pending | – | – | -1.65 |
| 2023-12-22 | in | 0.00003765 | 0.000037591 | -0.16% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-21 | in | 0.00004179 | 0.000042044 | +0.61% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-20 | in | 0.00004502 | 0.000045538 | +1.15% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-19 | in | 0.00005 | 0.000049957 | -0.09% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-18 | in | 0.000056 | 0.000056418 | +0.75% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-17 | in | 0.00005097 | 0.000050581 | -0.76% | 0.000009 | -82.34% | 1.7685 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-16 | in | 0.000045 | 0.000045048 | +0.11% | 0.0000157 | -65.11% | 1.0600 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-15 | in | 0.00004838 | 0.000048651 | +0.56% | 0.0000149 | -69.20% | 1.1777 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-14 | in | 0.00004328 | 0.000043329 | +0.11% | 0.00001622 | -62.52% | 0.9782 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-13 | in | 0.00004588 | 0.000045875 | -0.01% | 0.0000257 | -43.98% | 0.5768 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-12 | in | 0.00006089 | 0.000060532 | -0.59% | 0.00002504 | -58.88% | 0.9936 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-11 | in | 0.00006109 | 0.000060676 | -0.68% | 0.00002673 | -56.24% | 0.9436 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-10 | in | 0.00006163 | 0.000062829 | +1.94% | 0.00003347 | -45.69% | 0.6816 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-09 | in | 0.00005702 | 0.000058117 | +1.92% | 0.00002866 | -49.74% | 0.7791 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-08 | in | 0.00005751 | 0.000059422 | +3.33% | 0.00002885 | -49.83% | 0.7171 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-07 | in | 0.00006009 | 0.000061845 | +2.92% | 0.00003261 | -45.73% | 0.6563 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-06 | in | 0.0000579 | 0.000059667 | +3.05% | 0.0000316 | -45.42% | 0.6452 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-05 | in | 0.00005568 | 0.000057274 | +2.86% | 0.000032 | -42.53% | 0.5846 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-04 | in | 0.00006001 | 0.000060468 | +0.76% | 0.00003349 | -44.19% | 0.6115 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-03 | in | 0.00006997 | 0.000069539 | -0.62% | 0.0000337 | -51.84% | 0.8420 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-02 | in | 0.00006388 | 0.000063142 | -1.16% | 0.00003166 | -50.44% | 0.8038 | ✓ | 1.00 |