DARK
Darkwoods · Robinhood · gru_s0
- token id
- #795
- symbol
- DARK
- variant
- –
- chain
- Robinhood
- address
- 0xdc45b71d7203c2e8baafc43a19bca0eb993bb54e
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2023-11-23
- predictions
- 456
Track record at +1d
assessed
149
of 152 predictions shown
direction hit
63.1%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.0997
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0057
actual -0.0378
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.001307 | 0.001278 | -2.21% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.000949 | 0.000901275 | -5.03% | 0.001307 | +37.72% | 0.3746 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.001397 | 0.001373 | -1.75% | 0.000949 | -32.07% | 0.3824 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.001845 | 0.001826 | -0.98% | 0.001397 | -24.26% | 0.2660 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.002037 | 0.002019 | -0.90% | 0.001845 | -9.45% | 0.0979 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-08-04 | oos | 0.002796 | 0.002778 | -0.68% | – | pending | – | – | 3.62 |
| 2025-08-03 | oos | 0.00239 | 0.002382 | -0.31% | 0.002796 | +17.03% | 0.1352 | ✗ | 3.45 |
| 2025-08-02 | oos | 0.002305 | 0.0023 | -0.21% | 0.00239 | +3.67% | 0.0126 | ✓ | 3.43 |
| 2025-08-01 | oos | 0.002374 | 0.002368 | -0.27% | 0.002305 | -2.91% | 0.0057 | ✓ | 3.37 |
| 2025-07-31 | oos | 0.002516 | 0.00251 | -0.24% | 0.002374 | -5.64% | 0.0222 | ✗ | 3.55 |
| 2025-07-30 | oos | 0.002592 | 0.002588 | -0.16% | 0.002516 | -2.93% | 0.0363 | ✗ | 3.63 |
| 2025-07-29 | oos | 0.00286 | 0.002854 | -0.22% | 0.002592 | -9.37% | 0.0932 | ✓ | 3.37 |
| 2025-07-28 | oos | 0.003153 | 0.003142 | -0.34% | 0.00286 | -9.29% | 0.0902 | ✓ | 3.38 |
| 2025-07-27 | oos | 0.003054 | 0.003046 | -0.26% | 0.003153 | +3.24% | 0.0749 | ✗ | 3.44 |
| 2025-07-26 | oos | 0.002947 | 0.00294 | -0.24% | 0.003054 | +3.63% | 0.0041 | ✓ | 3.34 |
| 2025-07-25 | oos | 0.003035 | 0.003026 | -0.29% | 0.002947 | -2.90% | 0.0361 | ✓ | 3.37 |
| 2025-07-24 | oos | 0.003066 | 0.003057 | -0.30% | 0.003035 | -1.01% | 0.0145 | ✗ | 3.35 |
| 2025-07-23 | oos | 0.003233 | 0.003221 | -0.38% | 0.003066 | -5.17% | 0.0377 | ✓ | 3.29 |
| 2025-07-22 | oos | 0.003309 | 0.003294 | -0.45% | 0.003233 | -2.30% | 0.0151 | ✗ | 3.32 |
| 2025-07-21 | oos | 0.003192 | 0.003173 | -0.61% | 0.003309 | +3.67% | 0.0305 | ✓ | 3.32 |
| 2025-07-20 | oos | 0.002797 | 0.002784 | -0.45% | 0.003192 | +14.12% | 0.1323 | ✗ | 4.40 |
| 2025-07-19 | oos | 0.002741 | 0.002731 | -0.36% | 0.002797 | +2.04% | 0.0444 | ✗ | 4.02 |
| 2025-07-18 | oos | 0.002851 | 0.00284 | -0.39% | 0.002741 | -3.86% | 0.0317 | ✓ | 4.05 |
| 2025-07-17 | oos | 0.002938 | 0.002926 | -0.40% | 0.002851 | -2.96% | 0.0168 | ✗ | 4.07 |
| 2025-07-16 | oos | 0.002999 | 0.002983 | -0.52% | 0.002938 | -2.03% | 0.0354 | ✓ | 4.02 |
| 2025-07-15 | oos | 0.002946 | 0.00293 | -0.53% | 0.002999 | +1.80% | 0.0075 | ✓ | 4.02 |
| 2025-07-14 | oos | 0.002694 | 0.002687 | -0.27% | 0.002946 | +9.35% | 0.1653 | ✗ | 4.17 |
| 2025-07-13 | oos | 0.002897 | 0.002886 | -0.37% | 0.002694 | -7.01% | 0.0946 | ✓ | 4.18 |
| 2025-07-12 | oos | 0.003098 | 0.00308 | -0.58% | 0.002897 | -6.49% | 0.1203 | ✓ | 4.21 |
| 2025-07-11 | oos | 0.003358 | 0.003324 | -1.01% | 0.003098 | -7.74% | 0.0665 | ✓ | 4.20 |
| 2025-07-10 | oos | 0.003002 | 0.002973 | -0.95% | 0.003358 | +11.86% | 0.0663 | ✗ | 4.17 |
| 2025-07-09 | oos | 0.002724 | 0.002702 | -0.82% | 0.003002 | +10.21% | 0.0708 | ✓ | 4.22 |
| 2025-07-08 | oos | 0.002578 | 0.002558 | -0.77% | 0.002724 | +5.66% | 0.0261 | ✓ | 4.21 |
| 2025-07-07 | oos | 0.002644 | 0.002626 | -0.70% | 0.002578 | -2.50% | 0.0450 | ✓ | 4.21 |
| 2025-07-06 | oos | 0.002814 | 0.002787 | -0.97% | 0.002644 | -6.04% | 0.0157 | ✓ | 4.22 |
| 2025-07-05 | oos | 0.002657 | 0.002637 | -0.77% | 0.002814 | +5.91% | 0.0276 | ✗ | 4.21 |
| 2025-07-04 | oos | 0.002586 | 0.00257 | -0.61% | 0.002657 | +2.75% | 0.0247 | ✗ | 4.21 |
| 2025-07-03 | oos | 0.002754 | 0.002734 | -0.74% | 0.002586 | -6.10% | 0.0069 | ✓ | 4.24 |
| 2025-07-02 | oos | 0.002885 | 0.00286 | -0.88% | 0.002754 | -4.54% | 0.0664 | ✓ | 4.24 |
| 2025-07-01 | oos | 0.002573 | 0.002565 | -0.32% | 0.002885 | +12.13% | 0.0068 | ✓ | 4.21 |
| 2025-06-30 | oos | 0.003278 | 0.00324 | -1.17% | 0.002573 | -21.51% | 0.1739 | ✓ | 4.11 |
| 2025-06-29 | oos | 0.003167 | 0.003126 | -1.29% | 0.003278 | +3.50% | 0.0945 | ✗ | 4.19 |
| 2025-06-28 | oos | 0.002957 | 0.002937 | -0.68% | 0.003167 | +7.10% | 0.0355 | ✗ | 4.17 |
| 2025-06-27 | oos | 0.003523 | 0.003485 | -1.09% | 0.002957 | -16.07% | 0.1735 | ✓ | 4.16 |
| 2025-06-26 | oos | 0.004013 | 0.003953 | -1.49% | 0.003523 | -12.21% | 0.1185 | ✓ | 4.15 |
| 2025-06-25 | oos | 0.004036 | 0.003974 | -1.54% | 0.004013 | -0.57% | 0.0242 | ✗ | 4.17 |
| 2025-06-24 | oos | 0.004267 | 0.004192 | -1.76% | 0.004036 | -5.41% | 0.0873 | ✓ | 4.19 |
| 2025-06-23 | oos | 0.004368 | 0.004292 | -1.73% | 0.004267 | -2.31% | 0.0345 | ✓ | 4.19 |
| 2025-06-22 | oos | 0.004004 | 0.003971 | -0.81% | 0.004368 | +9.09% | 0.0882 | ✓ | 4.28 |
| 2025-06-21 | oos | 0.003983 | 0.003952 | -0.77% | 0.004004 | +0.53% | 0.0627 | ✗ | 4.34 |
| 2025-06-20 | oos | 0.004445 | 0.004392 | -1.20% | 0.003983 | -10.39% | 0.0489 | ✓ | 4.33 |
| 2025-06-19 | oos | 0.004911 | 0.004832 | -1.60% | 0.004445 | -9.49% | 0.0271 | ✓ | 4.33 |
| 2025-06-18 | oos | 0.005086 | 0.005003 | -1.64% | 0.004911 | -3.44% | 0.0085 | ✓ | 4.34 |
| 2025-06-17 | oos | 0.005041 | 0.00497 | -1.41% | 0.005086 | +0.89% | 0.0096 | ✓ | 4.34 |
| 2025-06-16 | oos | 0.005281 | 0.005191 | -1.71% | 0.005041 | -4.54% | 0.0660 | ✗ | 4.45 |
| 2025-06-15 | oos | 0.005917 | 0.005798 | -2.02% | 0.005281 | -10.75% | 0.1464 | ✓ | 4.50 |
| 2025-06-14 | oos | 0.006217 | 0.006066 | -2.44% | 0.005917 | -4.83% | 0.0305 | ✓ | 4.50 |
| 2025-06-13 | oos | 0.005012 | 0.004974 | -0.77% | 0.006217 | +24.04% | 0.2516 | ✗ | 4.64 |
| 2025-06-12 | oos | 0.005304 | 0.005262 | -0.79% | 0.005012 | -5.51% | 0.0659 | ✓ | 4.64 |
| 2025-06-11 | oos | 0.006633 | 0.006483 | -2.27% | 0.005304 | -20.04% | 0.0751 | ✓ | 4.57 |
| 2025-06-10 | oos | 0.005894 | 0.005813 | -1.37% | 0.006633 | +12.54% | 0.2036 | ✗ | 4.81 |
| 2025-06-09 | oos | 0.006098 | 0.006018 | -1.31% | 0.005894 | -3.35% | 0.0208 | ✓ | 4.82 |
| 2025-06-08 | oos | 0.005929 | 0.005905 | -0.41% | 0.006098 | +2.85% | 0.1797 | ✓ | 5.07 |
| 2025-06-07 | oos | 0.005997 | 0.005984 | -0.22% | 0.005929 | -1.13% | 0.0171 | ✓ | 5.07 |
| 2025-06-06 | oos | 0.005891 | 0.005899 | +0.14% | 0.005997 | +1.80% | 0.0425 | ✗ | 5.07 |
| 2025-06-05 | oos | 0.005238 | 0.005283 | +0.85% | 0.005891 | +12.47% | 0.0288 | ✗ | 5.02 |
| 2025-06-04 | oos | 0.00631 | 0.006337 | +0.42% | 0.005238 | -16.99% | 0.0339 | ✗ | 5.07 |
| 2025-06-03 | oos | 0.00767 | 0.007654 | -0.21% | 0.00631 | -17.73% | 0.1601 | ✓ | 5.00 |
| 2025-06-02 | oos | 0.007135 | 0.007152 | +0.24% | 0.00767 | +7.50% | 0.0919 | ✓ | 5.09 |
| 2025-06-01 | oos | 0.007398 | 0.007417 | +0.26% | 0.007135 | -3.56% | 0.0487 | ✗ | 5.09 |
| 2025-05-31 | oos | 0.006696 | 0.006747 | +0.76% | 0.007398 | +10.48% | 0.0416 | ✓ | 5.05 |
| 2025-05-30 | oos | 0.006587 | 0.006648 | +0.92% | 0.006696 | +1.65% | 0.0224 | ✗ | 5.05 |
| 2025-05-29 | oos | 0.007919 | 0.007967 | +0.60% | 0.006587 | -16.82% | 0.1169 | ✗ | 4.98 |
| 2025-05-28 | oos | 0.00946 | 0.009454 | -0.06% | 0.007919 | -16.29% | 0.0727 | ✓ | 4.96 |
| 2025-05-27 | oos | 0.010931 | 0.01086 | -0.65% | 0.00946 | -13.46% | 0.0854 | ✓ | 4.92 |
| 2025-05-26 | oos | 0.01142 | 0.011332 | -0.77% | 0.010931 | -4.28% | 0.0140 | ✓ | 4.95 |
| 2025-05-25 | oos | 0.011277 | 0.011207 | -0.62% | 0.01142 | +1.27% | 0.0000 | ✓ | 4.96 |
| 2025-05-24 | oos | 0.012084 | 0.011999 | -0.71% | 0.011277 | -6.68% | 0.1197 | ✓ | 4.99 |
| 2025-05-23 | oos | 0.012392 | 0.012303 | -0.72% | 0.012084 | -2.49% | 0.0395 | ✓ | 4.99 |
| 2025-05-22 | oos | 0.015393 | 0.015151 | -1.57% | 0.012392 | -19.50% | 0.0061 | ✓ | 5.16 |
| 2025-05-21 | oos | 0.012423 | 0.012334 | -0.71% | 0.015393 | +23.91% | 0.1302 | ✗ | 4.99 |
| 2025-05-20 | oos | 0.011758 | 0.011699 | -0.51% | 0.012423 | +5.66% | 0.0702 | ✓ | 5.01 |
| 2025-05-19 | oos | 0.012125 | 0.012057 | -0.56% | 0.011758 | -3.03% | 0.0850 | ✓ | 5.02 |
| 2025-05-18 | oos | 0.011663 | 0.011612 | -0.44% | 0.012125 | +3.96% | 0.0854 | ✗ | 5.22 |
| 2025-05-17 | oos | 0.011383 | 0.011348 | -0.31% | 0.011663 | +2.46% | 0.1429 | ✓ | 5.39 |
| 2025-05-16 | oos | 0.011643 | 0.011608 | -0.30% | 0.011383 | -2.23% | 0.0163 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-05-15 | oos | 0.012234 | 0.012197 | -0.30% | 0.011643 | -4.83% | 0.0437 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-05-14 | oos | 0.013635 | 0.013592 | -0.32% | 0.012234 | -10.28% | 0.1076 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-05-13 | oos | 0.016633 | 0.016545 | -0.53% | 0.013635 | -18.02% | 0.1878 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-05-12 | oos | 0.018853 | 0.018661 | -1.02% | 0.016633 | -11.78% | 0.1279 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-05-11 | oos | 0.017499 | 0.017352 | -0.84% | 0.018853 | +7.74% | 0.0959 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-05-10 | oos | 0.016775 | 0.016614 | -0.96% | 0.017499 | +4.32% | 0.0584 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-05-09 | oos | 0.01342 | 0.013342 | -0.58% | 0.016775 | +25.00% | 0.2114 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-05-08 | in | 0.015819 | 0.015666 | -0.96% | 0.01342 | -15.17% | 0.1522 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-05-07 | in | 0.011052 | 0.010902 | -1.36% | 0.015819 | +43.13% | 0.3104 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-05-06 | in | 0.01415 | 0.014056 | -0.67% | 0.011052 | -21.89% | 0.2427 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-05-05 | in | 0.015996 | 0.015889 | -0.67% | 0.01415 | -11.54% | 0.1379 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-05-04 | in | 0.017052 | 0.016938 | -0.67% | 0.015996 | -6.19% | 0.0621 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-05-03 | in | 0.01703 | 0.016922 | -0.63% | 0.017052 | +0.13% | 0.0244 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-05-02 | in | 0.023187 | 0.022917 | -1.17% | 0.01703 | -26.55% | 0.2858 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-05-01 | in | 0.0163 | 0.016194 | -0.65% | 0.023187 | +42.25% | 0.3548 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-04-30 | in | 0.02036 | 0.020273 | -0.43% | 0.0163 | -19.94% | 0.2427 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-04-29 | in | 0.024322 | 0.024232 | -0.37% | 0.02036 | -16.29% | 0.1732 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-04-28 | in | 0.025719 | 0.025639 | -0.31% | 0.024322 | -5.43% | 0.0446 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-04-27 | in | 0.030589 | 0.030398 | -0.63% | 0.025719 | -15.92% | 0.1805 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-04-26 | in | 0.03442 | 0.033956 | -1.35% | 0.030589 | -11.13% | 0.0950 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2024-01-16 | in | 0.000009 | 0.000008664 | -3.73% | – | pending | – | – | -1.27 |
| 2024-01-15 | in | 0.0000157 | 0.000015829 | +0.82% | 0.000009 | -42.68% | 0.5483 | ✗ | -1.09 |
| 2024-01-14 | in | 0.0000149 | 0.000015059 | +1.07% | 0.0000157 | +5.37% | 0.0631 | ✓ | -1.13 |
| 2024-01-13 | in | 0.00001622 | 0.000016328 | +0.66% | 0.0000149 | -8.14% | 0.1243 | ✗ | -1.21 |
| 2024-01-12 | in | 0.0000257 | 0.000025605 | -0.37% | 0.00001622 | -36.89% | 0.4546 | ✓ | -1.23 |
| 2024-01-11 | in | 0.00002504 | 0.000024897 | -0.57% | 0.0000257 | +2.64% | 0.0813 | ✓ | -1.41 |
| 2024-01-10 | in | 0.00002673 | 0.000026565 | -0.62% | 0.00002504 | -6.32% | 0.0691 | ✓ | -1.44 |
| 2024-01-09 | in | 0.00003347 | 0.000033276 | -0.58% | 0.00002673 | -20.14% | 0.2029 | ✓ | -1.38 |
| 2024-01-08 | in | 0.00002866 | 0.000028575 | -0.30% | 0.00003347 | +16.78% | 0.1345 | ✗ | -1.26 |
| 2024-01-07 | in | 0.00002885 | 0.000028689 | -0.56% | 0.00002866 | -0.66% | 0.1003 | ✗ | -1.51 |
| 2024-01-06 | in | 0.00003261 | 0.000032388 | -0.68% | 0.00002885 | -11.53% | 0.1171 | ✓ | -1.54 |
| 2024-01-05 | in | 0.0000316 | 0.000031324 | -0.87% | 0.00003261 | +3.20% | 0.0335 | ✗ | -1.52 |
| 2024-01-04 | in | 0.000032 | 0.000031823 | -0.55% | 0.0000316 | -1.25% | 0.0073 | ✓ | -1.52 |
| 2024-01-03 | in | 0.00003349 | 0.000033288 | -0.60% | 0.000032 | -4.45% | 0.0075 | ✗ | -1.54 |
| 2024-01-02 | in | 0.0000337 | 0.000033583 | -0.35% | 0.00003349 | -0.62% | 0.0861 | ✓ | -1.73 |
| 2024-01-01 | in | 0.00003166 | 0.000031563 | -0.31% | 0.0000337 | +6.44% | 0.0958 | ✗ | -1.80 |
| 2023-12-31 | in | 0.00003167 | 0.000031565 | -0.33% | 0.00003166 | -0.03% | 0.0931 | ✗ | -2.01 |
| 2023-12-30 | in | 0.00003168 | 0.000031592 | -0.28% | 0.00003167 | -0.03% | 0.0095 | ✗ | -2.02 |
| 2023-12-29 | in | 0.00003798 | 0.000037822 | -0.42% | 0.00003168 | -16.59% | 0.1735 | ✓ | -2.03 |
| 2023-12-28 | in | 0.0000381 | 0.00003798 | -0.31% | 0.00003798 | -0.31% | 0.0251 | ✓ | -2.05 |
| 2023-12-27 | in | 0.00002929 | 0.000029261 | -0.10% | 0.0000381 | +30.08% | 0.2287 | ✗ | -1.70 |
| 2023-12-26 | in | 0.00003903 | 0.000038982 | -0.12% | 0.00002929 | -24.96% | 0.2540 | ✓ | -1.43 |
| 2023-12-25 | in | 0.00004557 | 0.000045518 | -0.11% | 0.00003903 | -14.35% | 0.1984 | ✓ | -1.79 |
| 2023-12-24 | in | 0.00005145 | 0.000051238 | -0.41% | 0.00004557 | -11.43% | 0.0946 | ✓ | -1.73 |
| 2023-12-23 | in | 0.00004727 | 0.000047118 | -0.32% | 0.00005145 | +8.84% | 0.0613 | ✗ | -1.65 |
| 2023-12-22 | in | 0.00003765 | 0.000037663 | +0.03% | 0.00004727 | +25.55% | 0.2338 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-21 | in | 0.00004179 | 0.000041804 | +0.03% | 0.00003765 | -9.91% | 0.1078 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-20 | in | 0.00004502 | 0.00004503 | +0.02% | 0.00004179 | -7.17% | 0.0793 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-19 | in | 0.00005 | 0.00004993 | -0.14% | 0.00004502 | -9.96% | 0.1363 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-18 | in | 0.000056 | 0.000055831 | -0.30% | 0.00005 | -10.71% | 0.1013 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-17 | in | 0.00005097 | 0.00005084 | -0.26% | 0.000056 | +9.87% | 0.0657 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-16 | in | 0.000045 | 0.000044934 | -0.15% | 0.00005097 | +13.27% | 0.1473 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-15 | in | 0.00004838 | 0.000047966 | -0.86% | 0.000045 | -6.99% | 0.0710 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-14 | in | 0.00004328 | 0.000043298 | +0.04% | 0.00004838 | +11.78% | 0.1367 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-13 | in | 0.00004588 | 0.000045918 | +0.08% | 0.00004328 | -5.67% | 0.0625 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-12 | in | 0.00006089 | 0.000060764 | -0.21% | 0.00004588 | -24.65% | 0.3144 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-11 | in | 0.00006109 | 0.000060904 | -0.30% | 0.00006089 | -0.33% | 0.0062 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-10 | in | 0.00006163 | 0.000061557 | -0.12% | 0.00006109 | -0.88% | 0.0527 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-09 | in | 0.00005702 | 0.000056996 | -0.04% | 0.00006163 | +8.08% | 0.0766 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-08 | in | 0.00005751 | 0.000057517 | +0.01% | 0.00005702 | -0.85% | 0.0020 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-07 | in | 0.00006009 | 0.000059989 | -0.17% | 0.00005751 | -4.29% | 0.0630 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-06 | in | 0.0000579 | 0.000057858 | -0.07% | 0.00006009 | +3.78% | 0.0490 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-05 | in | 0.00005568 | 0.000055703 | +0.04% | 0.0000579 | +3.99% | 0.0460 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-04 | in | 0.00006001 | 0.000059971 | -0.07% | 0.00005568 | -7.22% | 0.1230 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-03 | in | 0.00006997 | 0.000069708 | -0.38% | 0.00006001 | -14.23% | 0.1987 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-02 | in | 0.00006388 | 0.000063695 | -0.29% | 0.00006997 | +9.53% | 0.0812 | ✗ | 1.00 |