CTR

Citrea · Base · gru_s0

token id: #590
symbol: CTR
variant: –
chain: Base
address: 0x11030f79109269d796fd0fb956d6244e502757f7
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-05-26
predictions: 420

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +7d

assessed

133

of 140 predictions shown

direction hit

54.1%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0952

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0116

actual -0.0145

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.018489	0.018068	-2.28%	–	pending	–	–	0.20
2026-10-20	oos	0.017857	0.017337	-2.91%	–	pending	–	–	0.26
2026-10-19	oos	0.017291	0.016499	-4.58%	–	pending	–	–	0.25
2026-10-18	oos	0.013308	0.013163	-1.09%	–	pending	–	–	0.27
2026-10-17	oos	0.013303	0.01315	-1.16%	–	pending	–	–	0.27
2026-10-16	oos	0.013935	0.013742	-1.38%	–	pending	–	–	0.27
2026-10-15	oos	0.013058	0.012908	-1.15%	–	pending	–	–	0.30
2026-10-14	oos	0.013763	0.013571	-1.40%	0.018489	+34.34%	0.3050	✗	0.31
2026-10-13	oos	0.014573	0.014334	-1.63%	0.017857	+22.54%	0.2203	✗	0.29
2026-10-12	oos	0.013765	0.013509	-1.86%	0.017291	+25.61%	0.2465	✗	0.28
2026-10-11	oos	0.012887	0.012775	-0.87%	0.013308	+3.27%	0.0477	✗	0.34
2026-10-10	oos	0.012848	0.012735	-0.88%	0.013303	+3.55%	0.0499	✗	0.33
2026-10-09	oos	0.012519	0.012429	-0.73%	0.013935	+11.31%	0.1187	✗	0.34
2026-10-08	oos	0.012738	0.012626	-0.87%	0.013058	+2.52%	0.0317	✗	0.36
2026-10-07	oos	0.012589	0.012498	-0.72%	0.013763	+9.33%	0.1046	✗	0.40
2026-10-06	oos	0.012659	0.012594	-0.52%	0.014573	+15.12%	0.1572	✗	0.39
2026-10-05	oos	0.012707	0.012643	-0.50%	0.013765	+8.33%	0.1052	✗	0.42
2026-10-04	oos	0.012899	0.012847	-0.41%	0.012887	-0.09%	0.0186	✗	0.47
2026-10-03	oos	0.012956	0.012857	-0.76%	0.012848	-0.83%	0.0095	✗	0.47
2026-10-02	oos	0.011884	0.01184	-0.37%	0.012519	+5.34%	0.0667	✗	0.47
2026-10-01	oos	0.012313	0.012251	-0.50%	0.012738	+3.45%	0.0566	✗	0.46
2026-09-30	oos	0.012909	0.012789	-0.93%	0.012589	-2.48%	0.0143	✓	0.47
2026-09-29	oos	0.012601	0.012489	-0.88%	0.012659	+0.46%	0.0042	✓	0.42
2026-09-28	oos	0.012023	0.011937	-0.71%	0.012707	+5.69%	0.0502	✗	0.45
2026-09-27	oos	0.012241	0.012164	-0.63%	0.012899	+5.38%	0.0478	✗	0.45
2026-09-26	oos	0.012434	0.012341	-0.75%	0.012956	+4.19%	0.0468	✗	0.47
2026-09-25	oos	0.011831	0.011771	-0.50%	0.011884	+0.45%	0.0073	✗	0.47
2026-09-24	oos	0.012256	0.012194	-0.51%	0.012313	+0.46%	0.0072	✗	0.45
2026-09-23	oos	0.01249	0.012392	-0.79%	0.012909	+3.35%	0.0453	✗	0.45
2026-09-22	oos	0.01223	0.012189	-0.33%	0.012601	+3.03%	0.0469	✗	0.45
2026-09-21	oos	0.011974	0.011948	-0.21%	0.012023	+0.41%	0.0255	✗	0.52
2026-09-20	oos	0.011331	0.011264	-0.60%	0.012241	+8.03%	0.0645	✗	0.47
2026-09-19	oos	0.011508	0.01144	-0.60%	0.012434	+8.05%	0.0649	✗	0.48
2026-09-18	oos	0.011775	0.011686	-0.76%	0.011831	+0.48%	0.0073	✓	0.50
2026-09-17	oos	0.011548	0.011409	-1.20%	0.012256	+6.13%	0.0183	✗	0.53
2026-09-16	oos	0.011539	0.011396	-1.24%	0.01249	+8.24%	0.0367	✗	0.54
2026-09-15	oos	0.012138	0.011861	-2.28%	0.01223	+0.75%	0.0523	✓	0.63
2026-09-14	oos	0.010906	0.010827	-0.72%	0.011974	+9.79%	0.0242	✗	0.75
2026-09-13	oos	0.010455	0.010339	-1.11%	0.011331	+8.39%	0.0504	✗	0.75
2026-09-12	oos	0.00994	0.009908	-0.31%	0.011508	+15.79%	0.1120	✗	0.75
2026-09-11	oos	0.009771	0.009752	-0.19%	0.011775	+20.51%	0.1536	✗	0.75
2026-09-10	oos	0.009272	0.009274	+0.03%	0.011548	+24.55%	0.2211	✓	0.73
2026-09-09	oos	0.01026	0.01024	-0.20%	0.011539	+12.47%	0.1380	✗	0.67
2026-09-08	oos	0.010186	0.010174	-0.11%	0.012138	+19.17%	0.2021	✗	0.69
2026-09-07	oos	0.010375	0.010367	-0.07%	0.010906	+5.12%	0.0591	✗	0.72
2026-09-06	oos	0.00945	0.00951	+0.64%	0.010455	+10.63%	0.1268	✓	0.71
2026-09-05	oos	0.009865	0.00991	+0.46%	0.00994	+0.76%	0.0266	✓	0.72
2026-09-04	oos	0.009869	0.009915	+0.47%	0.009771	-0.99%	0.0064	✓	0.67
2026-09-03	oos	0.010077	0.010148	+0.71%	0.009272	-7.99%	0.0515	✗	0.65
2026-09-02	oos	0.010039	0.010046	+0.07%	0.01026	+2.20%	0.0095	✓	0.92
2026-09-01	oos	0.00967	0.009693	+0.24%	0.010186	+5.33%	0.0370	✓	0.93
2026-08-31	oos	0.009508	0.009556	+0.49%	0.010375	+9.11%	0.0762	✓	0.90
2026-08-30	oos	0.009343	0.009383	+0.43%	0.00945	+1.15%	0.0232	✗	0.89
2026-08-29	oos	0.009572	0.009613	+0.42%	0.009865	+3.06%	0.0083	✓	0.87
2026-08-28	oos	0.009431	0.009465	+0.36%	0.009869	+4.64%	0.0218	✓	0.86
2026-08-27	oos	0.009239	0.009324	+0.92%	0.010077	+9.07%	0.0667	✓	0.90
2026-08-26	oos	0.009325	0.009395	+0.76%	0.010039	+7.66%	0.0861	✓	0.90
2026-08-25	oos	0.008563	0.00865	+1.02%	0.00967	+12.93%	0.1239	✓	0.86
2026-08-24	oos	0.008554	0.008646	+1.07%	0.009508	+11.15%	0.1002	✓	0.96
2026-08-23	oos	0.007924	0.008005	+1.03%	0.009343	+17.91%	0.1553	✓	0.94
2026-08-22	oos	0.008046	0.008125	+0.98%	0.009572	+18.97%	0.1497	✓	0.94
2026-08-21	oos	0.00872	0.0088	+0.91%	0.009431	+8.15%	0.0750	✓	0.92
2026-08-20	oos	0.008193	0.008191	-0.03%	0.009239	+12.77%	0.0351	✗	0.90
2026-08-19	oos	0.008446	0.008366	-0.95%	0.009325	+10.41%	0.0243	✓	1.01
2026-08-18	oos	0.008435	0.008282	-1.81%	0.008563	+1.51%	0.1931	✓	1.17
2026-08-17	oos	0.008381	0.008234	-1.75%	0.008554	+2.07%	0.1983	✓	1.17
2026-08-16	oos	0.008785	0.008608	-2.02%	0.007924	-9.80%	0.3463	✓	1.24
2026-08-15	oos	0.008704	0.008538	-1.91%	0.008046	-7.56%	0.3085	✓	1.24
2026-08-14	oos	0.008496	0.008343	-1.80%	0.00872	+2.64%	0.2254	✓	1.24
2026-08-13	oos	0.008806	0.008637	-1.91%	0.008193	-6.96%	0.2262	✓	1.23
2026-08-12	oos	0.00827	0.008128	-1.72%	0.008446	+2.13%	0.0704	✓	1.23
2026-08-11	oos	0.00837	0.008193	-2.12%	0.008435	+0.78%	0.0072	✓	1.23
2026-08-10	oos	0.00778	0.007679	-1.29%	0.008381	+7.72%	0.0765	✗	1.24
2026-08-09	oos	0.0081	0.007996	-1.29%	0.008785	+8.46%	0.1330	✗	1.23
2026-08-08	oos	0.00833	0.00821	-1.44%	0.008704	+4.49%	0.0949	✗	1.23
2026-08-07	oos	0.00791	0.007785	-1.58%	0.008496	+7.41%	0.1241	✗	1.23
2026-08-06	oos	0.00782	0.00769	-1.66%	0.008806	+12.60%	0.1515	✗	1.22
2026-08-05	oos	0.0077	0.007574	-1.64%	0.00827	+7.40%	0.1108	✗	1.23
2026-08-04	oos	0.007285	0.00717	-1.57%	0.00837	+14.89%	0.1645	✗	1.20
2026-08-03	oos	0.007235	0.007121	-1.58%	0.00778	+7.53%	0.0802	✗	1.20
2026-08-02	oos	0.00739	0.007266	-1.68%	0.0081	+9.61%	0.0834	✗	1.20
2026-08-01	oos	0.00733	0.007209	-1.66%	0.00833	+13.64%	0.1044	✗	1.20
2026-07-31	oos	0.00747	0.007347	-1.65%	0.00791	+5.89%	0.0351	✗	1.20
2026-07-30	oos	0.00749	0.007366	-1.65%	0.00782	+4.41%	0.0685	✗	1.25
2026-07-29	oos	0.00744	0.007323	-1.58%	0.0077	+3.49%	0.0366	✗	1.24
2026-07-28	oos	0.007265	0.007166	-1.36%	0.007285	+0.28%	0.0125	✓	1.24
2026-07-27	oos	0.007205	0.007116	-1.23%	0.007235	+0.42%	0.0210	✗	1.24
2026-07-26	oos	0.007935	0.007843	-1.16%	0.00739	-6.87%	0.0256	✓	1.19
2026-07-25	oos	0.00816	0.008069	-1.12%	0.00733	-10.17%	0.0667	✓	1.21
2026-07-24	oos	0.00766	0.007587	-0.96%	0.00747	-2.48%	0.0082	✓	1.20
2026-07-23	oos	0.007535	0.007475	-0.80%	0.00749	-0.60%	0.0082	✗	1.22
2026-07-22	oos	0.008285	0.00822	-0.78%	0.00744	-10.20%	0.0598	✓	1.18
2026-07-21	oos	0.008235	0.008176	-0.72%	0.007265	-11.78%	0.0694	✓	1.19
2026-07-20	oos	0.00835	0.008282	-0.82%	0.007205	-13.71%	0.1107	✓	1.21
2026-07-19	oos	0.008165	0.008092	-0.89%	0.007935	-2.82%	0.0318	✓	1.20
2026-07-18	oos	0.00831	0.008223	-1.05%	0.00816	-1.81%	0.0017	✓	1.20
2026-07-17	oos	0.007805	0.007721	-1.07%	0.00766	-1.86%	0.0114	✓	1.16
2026-07-16	oos	0.00805	0.007955	-1.18%	0.007535	-6.40%	0.0773	✓	1.16
2026-07-15	oos	0.00832	0.008211	-1.31%	0.008285	-0.42%	0.0153	✓	1.16
2026-07-14	oos	0.008335	0.008214	-1.45%	0.008235	-1.20%	0.0245	✓	1.16
2026-07-13	oos	0.00812	0.008008	-1.38%	0.00835	+2.83%	0.0130	✓	1.18
2026-07-12	oos	0.00811	0.00798	-1.60%	0.008165	+0.68%	0.0049	✓	1.23
2026-07-11	oos	0.00844	0.008305	-1.60%	0.00831	-1.54%	0.0190	✓	1.23
2026-07-10	oos	0.00916	0.009012	-1.62%	0.007805	-14.79%	0.1393	✓	1.22
2026-07-09	oos	0.008405	0.008265	-1.67%	0.00805	-4.22%	0.0371	✓	1.15
2026-07-08	oos	0.008595	0.008461	-1.56%	0.00832	-3.20%	0.0626	✓	1.17
2026-07-07	oos	0.00918	0.009032	-1.61%	0.008335	-9.20%	0.1101	✓	1.15
2026-07-06	oos	0.01039	0.010224	-1.60%	0.00812	-21.85%	0.1997	✓	1.12
2026-07-05	oos	0.01091	0.010731	-1.64%	0.00811	-25.66%	0.2829	✓	1.14
2026-07-04	oos	0.01107	0.010884	-1.68%	0.00844	-23.76%	0.2667	✓	1.15
2026-07-03	oos	0.01067	0.01049	-1.68%	0.00916	-14.15%	0.1642	✓	1.12
2026-07-02	oos	0.01102	0.010838	-1.65%	0.008405	-23.73%	0.2862	✓	1.18
2026-07-01	oos	0.01197	0.01175	-1.84%	0.008595	-28.20%	0.3637	✓	1.37
2026-06-30	oos	0.01117	0.010991	-1.60%	0.00918	-17.82%	0.2817	✓	1.29
2026-06-29	oos	0.01143	0.011223	-1.81%	0.01039	-9.10%	0.1585	✓	1.31
2026-06-28	oos	0.010725	0.010537	-1.75%	0.01091	+1.72%	0.0485	✓	1.25
2026-06-27	oos	0.01078	0.010581	-1.85%	0.01107	+2.69%	0.0187	✓	1.25
2026-06-26	oos	0.01009	0.009901	-1.88%	0.01067	+5.75%	0.0250	✗	1.21
2026-06-25	oos	0.01044	0.010236	-1.95%	0.01102	+5.56%	0.0374	✗	1.24
2026-06-24	oos	0.0103	0.010091	-2.03%	0.01197	+16.21%	0.1877	✗	1.00
2026-06-23	oos	0.011325	0.01106	-2.34%	0.01117	-1.37%	0.0779	✗	1.00
2026-06-22	oos	0.01124	0.010945	-2.63%	0.01143	+1.69%	0.1044	✗	1.00
2026-06-21	oos	0.01069	0.010418	-2.54%	0.010725	+0.33%	0.0903	✗	1.00
2026-06-20	oos	0.01125	0.010941	-2.75%	0.01078	-4.18%	0.0543	✗	1.00
2026-06-19	oos	0.01065	0.010367	-2.66%	0.01009	-5.26%	0.0292	✗	1.00
2026-06-18	oos	0.010465	0.010194	-2.59%	0.01044	-0.24%	0.0757	✗	1.00
2026-06-17	oos	0.01182	0.011492	-2.78%	0.0103	-12.86%	0.0543	✓	1.00
2026-06-16	oos	0.01149	0.011133	-3.11%	0.011325	-1.44%	0.0635	✗	1.00
2026-06-15	oos	0.0121	0.011727	-3.08%	0.01124	-7.11%	0.0067	✓	1.00
2026-06-14	oos	0.01255	0.012173	-3.00%	0.01069	-14.82%	0.0916	✓	1.00
2026-06-13	oos	0.012475	0.012108	-2.94%	0.01125	-9.82%	0.0703	✓	1.00
2026-06-12	oos	0.012795	0.012437	-2.80%	0.01065	-16.76%	0.1541	✓	1.00
2026-06-11	oos	0.01296	0.012592	-2.84%	0.010465	-19.25%	0.1742	✓	1.00
2026-06-10	oos	0.0125	0.012195	-2.44%	0.01182	-5.44%	0.0789	✓	1.00
2026-06-09	oos	0.01515	0.014751	-2.63%	0.01149	-24.16%	0.3116	✓	1.00
2026-06-08	oos	0.01411	0.013786	-2.30%	0.0121	-14.25%	0.1801	✓	1.00
2026-06-07	oos	0.01453	0.014204	-2.24%	0.01255	-13.63%	0.1611	✓	1.00
2026-06-06	oos	0.01496	0.014717	-1.62%	0.012475	-16.61%	0.2225	✓	1.00
2026-06-05	oos	0.01366	0.013481	-1.31%	0.012795	-6.33%	0.0925	✓	1.00
2026-06-04	oos	0.01688	0.016579	-1.78%	0.01296	-23.22%	0.2424	✓	1.00