CTR

Citrea · Base · gru_s0

token id: #590
symbol: CTR
variant: –
chain: Base
address: 0x11030f79109269d796fd0fb956d6244e502757f7
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-05-26
predictions: 420

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +30d

assessed

110

of 140 predictions shown

direction hit

73.6%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1991

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0351

actual -0.0614

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.018489	0.017585	-4.89%	–	pending	–	–	0.20
2026-10-20	oos	0.017857	0.016954	-5.06%	–	pending	–	–	0.26
2026-10-19	oos	0.017291	0.016172	-6.47%	–	pending	–	–	0.25
2026-10-18	oos	0.013308	0.012844	-3.49%	–	pending	–	–	0.27
2026-10-17	oos	0.013303	0.012815	-3.67%	–	pending	–	–	0.27
2026-10-16	oos	0.013935	0.013361	-4.12%	–	pending	–	–	0.27
2026-10-15	oos	0.013058	0.012576	-3.69%	–	pending	–	–	0.30
2026-10-14	oos	0.013763	0.013197	-4.12%	–	pending	–	–	0.31
2026-10-13	oos	0.014573	0.013991	-3.99%	–	pending	–	–	0.29
2026-10-12	oos	0.013765	0.013194	-4.15%	–	pending	–	–	0.28
2026-10-11	oos	0.012887	0.012533	-2.74%	–	pending	–	–	0.34
2026-10-10	oos	0.012848	0.0125	-2.71%	–	pending	–	–	0.33
2026-10-09	oos	0.012519	0.012209	-2.48%	–	pending	–	–	0.34
2026-10-08	oos	0.012738	0.01239	-2.73%	–	pending	–	–	0.36
2026-10-07	oos	0.012589	0.012285	-2.41%	–	pending	–	–	0.40
2026-10-06	oos	0.012659	0.012447	-1.67%	–	pending	–	–	0.39
2026-10-05	oos	0.012707	0.012508	-1.56%	–	pending	–	–	0.42
2026-10-04	oos	0.012899	0.012763	-1.06%	–	pending	–	–	0.47
2026-10-03	oos	0.012956	0.012748	-1.61%	–	pending	–	–	0.47
2026-10-02	oos	0.011884	0.01172	-1.38%	–	pending	–	–	0.47
2026-10-01	oos	0.012313	0.012118	-1.58%	–	pending	–	–	0.46
2026-09-30	oos	0.012909	0.012587	-2.50%	–	pending	–	–	0.47
2026-09-29	oos	0.012601	0.012283	-2.52%	–	pending	–	–	0.42
2026-09-28	oos	0.012023	0.011764	-2.15%	–	pending	–	–	0.45
2026-09-27	oos	0.012241	0.012063	-1.46%	–	pending	–	–	0.45
2026-09-26	oos	0.012434	0.012226	-1.67%	–	pending	–	–	0.47
2026-09-25	oos	0.011831	0.011669	-1.37%	–	pending	–	–	0.47
2026-09-24	oos	0.012256	0.012126	-1.06%	–	pending	–	–	0.45
2026-09-23	oos	0.01249	0.012375	-0.92%	–	pending	–	–	0.45
2026-09-22	oos	0.01223	0.012195	-0.28%	–	pending	–	–	0.45
2026-09-21	oos	0.011974	0.01198	+0.05%	0.018489	+54.41%	0.4580	✓	0.52
2026-09-20	oos	0.011331	0.011146	-1.64%	0.017857	+57.59%	0.4611	✗	0.47
2026-09-19	oos	0.011508	0.011334	-1.52%	0.017291	+50.24%	0.4188	✗	0.48
2026-09-18	oos	0.011775	0.011561	-1.82%	0.013308	+13.02%	0.1338	✗	0.50
2026-09-17	oos	0.011548	0.011156	-3.39%	0.013303	+15.20%	0.1420	✗	0.53
2026-09-16	oos	0.011539	0.011142	-3.44%	0.013935	+20.76%	0.1873	✗	0.54
2026-09-15	oos	0.012138	0.011636	-4.14%	0.013058	+7.58%	0.0629	✗	0.63
2026-09-14	oos	0.010906	0.010712	-1.78%	0.013763	+26.20%	0.2189	✗	0.75
2026-09-13	oos	0.010455	0.010264	-1.82%	0.014573	+39.39%	0.2915	✗	0.75
2026-09-12	oos	0.00994	0.009793	-1.48%	0.013765	+38.49%	0.2981	✗	0.75
2026-09-11	oos	0.009771	0.009658	-1.16%	0.012887	+31.89%	0.2280	✗	0.75
2026-09-10	oos	0.009272	0.009197	-0.80%	0.012848	+38.58%	0.2759	✗	0.73
2026-09-09	oos	0.01026	0.010189	-0.69%	0.012519	+22.02%	0.1705	✗	0.67
2026-09-08	oos	0.010186	0.010128	-0.57%	0.012738	+25.06%	0.2014	✗	0.69
2026-09-07	oos	0.010375	0.01038	+0.05%	0.012589	+21.34%	0.1557	✓	0.72
2026-09-06	oos	0.00945	0.009617	+1.76%	0.012659	+33.96%	0.2301	✓	0.71
2026-09-05	oos	0.009865	0.010011	+1.48%	0.012707	+28.81%	0.1868	✓	0.72
2026-09-04	oos	0.009869	0.010007	+1.40%	0.012899	+30.70%	0.1989	✓	0.67
2026-09-03	oos	0.010077	0.010342	+2.63%	0.012956	+28.57%	0.1981	✓	0.65
2026-09-02	oos	0.010039	0.01007	+0.31%	0.011884	+18.38%	0.0834	✓	0.92
2026-09-01	oos	0.00967	0.009749	+0.82%	0.012313	+27.33%	0.1478	✓	0.93
2026-08-31	oos	0.009508	0.009669	+1.68%	0.012909	+35.76%	0.2338	✓	0.90
2026-08-30	oos	0.009343	0.009478	+1.45%	0.012601	+34.87%	0.2185	✓	0.89
2026-08-29	oos	0.009572	0.00975	+1.86%	0.012023	+25.60%	0.1532	✓	0.87
2026-08-28	oos	0.009431	0.009624	+2.04%	0.012241	+29.80%	0.1704	✓	0.86
2026-08-27	oos	0.009239	0.009606	+3.97%	0.012434	+34.59%	0.2129	✓	0.90
2026-08-26	oos	0.009325	0.009683	+3.84%	0.011831	+26.87%	0.1441	✓	0.90
2026-08-25	oos	0.008563	0.008953	+4.56%	0.012256	+43.14%	0.2524	✓	0.86
2026-08-24	oos	0.008554	0.008961	+4.75%	0.01249	+46.01%	0.2684	✓	0.96
2026-08-23	oos	0.007924	0.008248	+4.09%	0.01223	+54.33%	0.2972	✓	0.94
2026-08-22	oos	0.008046	0.008378	+4.13%	0.011974	+48.82%	0.2476	✓	0.94
2026-08-21	oos	0.00872	0.00908	+4.12%	0.011331	+29.95%	0.1890	✓	0.92
2026-08-20	oos	0.008193	0.008217	+0.29%	0.011508	+40.47%	0.2409	✓	0.90
2026-08-19	oos	0.008446	0.008228	-2.58%	0.011775	+39.42%	0.2022	✗	1.01
2026-08-18	oos	0.008435	0.008017	-4.96%	0.011548	+36.91%	0.1714	✗	1.17
2026-08-17	oos	0.008381	0.007977	-4.82%	0.011539	+37.68%	0.1754	✗	1.17
2026-08-16	oos	0.008785	0.008313	-5.37%	0.012138	+38.17%	0.1497	✗	1.24
2026-08-15	oos	0.008704	0.00825	-5.22%	0.010906	+25.30%	0.0121	✓	1.24
2026-08-14	oos	0.008496	0.008074	-4.96%	0.010455	+23.05%	0.0131	✓	1.24
2026-08-13	oos	0.008806	0.00837	-4.95%	0.00994	+12.88%	0.0713	✓	1.23
2026-08-12	oos	0.00827	0.007892	-4.57%	0.009771	+18.15%	0.0277	✓	1.23
2026-08-11	oos	0.00837	0.007978	-4.68%	0.009272	+10.77%	0.0780	✓	1.23
2026-08-10	oos	0.00778	0.007476	-3.91%	0.01026	+31.88%	0.0655	✗	1.24
2026-08-09	oos	0.0081	0.007796	-3.76%	0.010186	+25.75%	0.0329	✓	1.23
2026-08-08	oos	0.00833	0.007998	-3.99%	0.010375	+24.54%	0.0166	✓	1.23
2026-08-07	oos	0.00791	0.007565	-4.36%	0.00945	+19.47%	0.0396	✓	1.23
2026-08-06	oos	0.00782	0.007472	-4.45%	0.009865	+26.15%	0.0126	✓	1.22
2026-08-05	oos	0.0077	0.007357	-4.46%	0.009869	+28.17%	0.0366	✓	1.23
2026-08-04	oos	0.007285	0.006953	-4.56%	0.010077	+38.33%	0.0847	✗	1.20
2026-08-03	oos	0.007235	0.006902	-4.60%	0.010039	+38.76%	0.1379	✗	1.20
2026-08-02	oos	0.00739	0.007035	-4.81%	0.00967	+30.85%	0.0806	✗	1.20
2026-08-01	oos	0.00733	0.006972	-4.88%	0.009508	+29.72%	0.0413	✓	1.20
2026-07-31	oos	0.00747	0.007111	-4.80%	0.009343	+25.07%	0.0189	✓	1.20
2026-07-30	oos	0.00749	0.007149	-4.56%	0.009572	+27.80%	0.0556	✗	1.25
2026-07-29	oos	0.00744	0.007106	-4.49%	0.009431	+26.76%	0.0373	✓	1.24
2026-07-28	oos	0.007265	0.00697	-4.06%	0.009239	+27.17%	0.0021	✓	1.24
2026-07-27	oos	0.007205	0.006926	-3.88%	0.009325	+29.42%	0.0308	✓	1.24
2026-07-26	oos	0.007935	0.007662	-3.44%	0.008563	+7.91%	0.1069	✓	1.19
2026-07-25	oos	0.00816	0.007886	-3.36%	0.008554	+4.83%	0.1684	✓	1.21
2026-07-24	oos	0.00766	0.007425	-3.07%	0.007924	+3.45%	0.1658	✓	1.20
2026-07-23	oos	0.007535	0.007341	-2.58%	0.008046	+6.78%	0.1149	✓	1.22
2026-07-22	oos	0.008285	0.008081	-2.47%	0.00872	+5.25%	0.1251	✓	1.18
2026-07-21	oos	0.008235	0.008049	-2.26%	0.008193	-0.51%	0.0931	✓	1.19
2026-07-20	oos	0.00835	0.008142	-2.49%	0.008446	+1.15%	0.0371	✓	1.21
2026-07-19	oos	0.008165	0.007943	-2.72%	0.008435	+3.31%	0.0601	✗	1.20
2026-07-18	oos	0.00831	0.008073	-2.85%	0.008381	+0.85%	0.0434	✗	1.20
2026-07-17	oos	0.007805	0.007545	-3.33%	0.008785	+12.56%	0.1715	✗	1.16
2026-07-16	oos	0.00805	0.007754	-3.67%	0.008704	+8.12%	0.1293	✗	1.16
2026-07-15	oos	0.00832	0.007998	-3.87%	0.008496	+2.12%	0.0921	✗	1.16
2026-07-14	oos	0.008335	0.00799	-4.14%	0.008806	+5.64%	0.1255	✗	1.16
2026-07-13	oos	0.00812	0.007779	-4.20%	0.00827	+1.85%	0.0396	✓	1.18
2026-07-12	oos	0.00811	0.007739	-4.57%	0.00837	+3.21%	0.0823	✗	1.23
2026-07-11	oos	0.00844	0.008058	-4.53%	0.00778	-7.82%	0.0377	✓	1.23
2026-07-10	oos	0.00916	0.008759	-4.37%	0.0081	-11.57%	0.0919	✓	1.22
2026-07-09	oos	0.008405	0.008004	-4.77%	0.00833	-0.89%	0.0089	✓	1.15
2026-07-08	oos	0.008595	0.008195	-4.65%	0.00791	-7.97%	0.0844	✓	1.17
2026-07-07	oos	0.00918	0.008757	-4.61%	0.00782	-14.81%	0.1301	✓	1.15
2026-07-06	oos	0.01039	0.009903	-4.69%	0.0077	-25.89%	0.2620	✓	1.12
2026-07-05	oos	0.01091	0.010394	-4.73%	0.007285	-33.23%	0.3638	✓	1.14
2026-07-04	oos	0.01107	0.010535	-4.84%	0.007235	-34.64%	0.3827	✓	1.15
2026-07-03	oos	0.01067	0.010147	-4.90%	0.00739	-30.74%	0.3345	✓	1.12
2026-07-02	oos	0.01102	0.010491	-4.80%	0.00733	-33.48%	0.3828	✓	1.18
2026-07-01	oos	0.01197	0.011386	-4.88%	0.00747	-37.59%	0.4854	✓	1.37
2026-06-30	oos	0.01117	0.010642	-4.72%	0.00749	-32.95%	0.4811	✓	1.29
2026-06-29	oos	0.01143	0.010841	-5.15%	0.00744	-34.91%	0.4557	✓	1.31
2026-06-28	oos	0.010725	0.010168	-5.19%	0.007265	-32.26%	0.4246	✓	1.25
2026-06-27	oos	0.01078	0.010188	-5.49%	0.007205	-33.16%	0.4223	✓	1.25
2026-06-26	oos	0.01009	0.009513	-5.72%	0.007935	-21.36%	0.2848	✓	1.21
2026-06-25	oos	0.01044	0.009843	-5.72%	0.00816	-21.84%	0.2792	✓	1.24
2026-06-24	oos	0.0103	0.009666	-6.15%	0.00766	-25.63%	0.2822	✓	1.00
2026-06-23	oos	0.011325	0.010593	-6.47%	0.007535	-33.47%	0.3783	✓	1.00
2026-06-22	oos	0.01124	0.010459	-6.95%	0.008285	-26.29%	0.2658	✓	1.00
2026-06-21	oos	0.01069	0.009932	-7.09%	0.008235	-22.97%	0.2380	✓	1.00
2026-06-20	oos	0.01125	0.010432	-7.27%	0.00835	-25.78%	0.2379	✓	1.00
2026-06-19	oos	0.01065	0.009856	-7.46%	0.008165	-23.33%	0.2071	✓	1.00
2026-06-18	oos	0.010465	0.009679	-7.51%	0.00831	-20.59%	0.1825	✓	1.00
2026-06-17	oos	0.01182	0.010938	-7.46%	0.007805	-33.97%	0.3289	✓	1.00
2026-06-16	oos	0.01149	0.010558	-8.11%	0.00805	-29.94%	0.2427	✓	1.00
2026-06-15	oos	0.0121	0.011138	-7.95%	0.00832	-31.24%	0.2679	✓	1.00
2026-06-14	oos	0.01255	0.011571	-7.80%	0.008335	-33.59%	0.3170	✓	1.00
2026-06-13	oos	0.012475	0.011485	-7.93%	0.00812	-34.91%	0.3126	✓	1.00
2026-06-12	oos	0.012795	0.011799	-7.78%	0.00811	-36.62%	0.3781	✓	1.00
2026-06-11	oos	0.01296	0.011928	-7.96%	0.00844	-34.88%	0.3492	✓	1.00
2026-06-10	oos	0.0125	0.011513	-7.89%	0.00916	-26.72%	0.2714	✓	1.00
2026-06-09	oos	0.01515	0.014069	-7.14%	0.008405	-44.52%	0.5390	✓	1.00
2026-06-08	oos	0.01411	0.013071	-7.36%	0.008595	-39.09%	0.4061	✓	1.00
2026-06-07	oos	0.01453	0.013466	-7.32%	0.00918	-36.82%	0.3835	✓	1.00
2026-06-06	oos	0.01496	0.013938	-6.83%	0.01039	-30.55%	0.3443	✓	1.00
2026-06-05	oos	0.01366	0.012678	-7.19%	0.01091	-20.13%	0.1911	✓	1.00
2026-06-04	oos	0.01688	0.015739	-6.76%	0.01107	-34.42%	0.3405	✓	1.00