CTR

Citrea · Base · gru_s0

token id: #590
symbol: CTR
variant: –
chain: Base
address: 0x11030f79109269d796fd0fb956d6244e502757f7
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-05-26
predictions: 420

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +1d

assessed

139

of 140 predictions shown

direction hit

54.7%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0406

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0045

actual -0.0012

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.018489	0.01827	-1.19%	–	pending	–	–	0.20
2026-10-20	oos	0.017857	0.01752	-1.89%	0.018489	+3.54%	0.0546	✗	0.26
2026-10-19	oos	0.017291	0.016686	-3.50%	0.017857	+3.28%	0.0645	✗	0.25
2026-10-18	oos	0.013308	0.013263	-0.34%	0.017291	+29.92%	0.2657	✗	0.27
2026-10-17	oos	0.013303	0.013256	-0.36%	0.013308	+0.04%	0.0019	✓	0.27
2026-10-16	oos	0.013935	0.013871	-0.46%	0.013303	-4.53%	0.0414	✓	0.27
2026-10-15	oos	0.013058	0.013015	-0.33%	0.013935	+6.72%	0.0706	✗	0.30
2026-10-14	oos	0.013763	0.013699	-0.47%	0.013058	-5.12%	0.0500	✓	0.31
2026-10-13	oos	0.014573	0.014461	-0.76%	0.013763	-5.55%	0.0440	✓	0.29
2026-10-12	oos	0.013765	0.013624	-1.02%	0.014573	+5.87%	0.0627	✗	0.28
2026-10-11	oos	0.012887	0.01284	-0.37%	0.013765	+6.81%	0.0775	✗	0.34
2026-10-10	oos	0.012848	0.012796	-0.40%	0.012887	+0.30%	0.0040	✓	0.33
2026-10-09	oos	0.012519	0.012478	-0.33%	0.012848	+2.62%	0.0277	✗	0.34
2026-10-08	oos	0.012738	0.012686	-0.41%	0.012519	-1.71%	0.0169	✓	0.36
2026-10-07	oos	0.012589	0.012549	-0.31%	0.012738	+1.18%	0.0225	✗	0.40
2026-10-06	oos	0.012659	0.012625	-0.27%	0.012589	-0.56%	0.0075	✗	0.39
2026-10-05	oos	0.012707	0.012673	-0.27%	0.012659	-0.38%	0.0001	✓	0.42
2026-10-04	oos	0.012899	0.012861	-0.29%	0.012707	-1.49%	0.0080	✓	0.47
2026-10-03	oos	0.012956	0.012886	-0.53%	0.012899	-0.44%	0.0087	✓	0.47
2026-10-02	oos	0.011884	0.011861	-0.20%	0.012956	+9.01%	0.0870	✗	0.47
2026-10-01	oos	0.012313	0.012281	-0.26%	0.011884	-3.48%	0.0309	✓	0.46
2026-09-30	oos	0.012909	0.01285	-0.45%	0.012313	-4.62%	0.0499	✓	0.47
2026-09-29	oos	0.012601	0.01255	-0.40%	0.012909	+2.45%	0.0286	✗	0.42
2026-09-28	oos	0.012023	0.011986	-0.31%	0.012601	+4.80%	0.0490	✗	0.45
2026-09-27	oos	0.012241	0.012193	-0.39%	0.012023	-1.78%	0.0086	✓	0.45
2026-09-26	oos	0.012434	0.012375	-0.48%	0.012241	-1.56%	0.0111	✓	0.47
2026-09-25	oos	0.011831	0.011796	-0.30%	0.012434	+5.10%	0.0510	✗	0.47
2026-09-24	oos	0.012256	0.012211	-0.37%	0.011831	-3.47%	0.0300	✓	0.45
2026-09-23	oos	0.01249	0.012401	-0.71%	0.012256	-1.87%	0.0118	✓	0.45
2026-09-22	oos	0.01223	0.012182	-0.39%	0.01249	+2.13%	0.0346	✗	0.45
2026-09-21	oos	0.011974	0.011933	-0.34%	0.01223	+2.13%	0.0269	✗	0.52
2026-09-20	oos	0.011331	0.011294	-0.33%	0.011974	+5.67%	0.0280	✗	0.47
2026-09-19	oos	0.011508	0.011469	-0.34%	0.011331	-1.54%	0.0116	✓	0.48
2026-09-18	oos	0.011775	0.011725	-0.42%	0.011508	-2.26%	0.0209	✓	0.50
2026-09-17	oos	0.011548	0.011491	-0.49%	0.011775	+1.97%	0.0063	✓	0.53
2026-09-16	oos	0.011539	0.011479	-0.52%	0.011548	+0.08%	0.0045	✓	0.54
2026-09-15	oos	0.012138	0.011954	-1.51%	0.011539	-4.93%	0.0400	✓	0.63
2026-09-14	oos	0.010906	0.010854	-0.47%	0.012138	+11.30%	0.1370	✗	0.75
2026-09-13	oos	0.010455	0.010357	-0.94%	0.010906	+4.32%	0.0384	✗	0.75
2026-09-12	oos	0.00994	0.009921	-0.19%	0.010455	+5.18%	0.0569	✗	0.75
2026-09-11	oos	0.009771	0.009757	-0.15%	0.00994	+1.72%	0.0180	✗	0.75
2026-09-10	oos	0.009272	0.009268	-0.04%	0.009771	+5.39%	0.0465	✗	0.73
2026-09-09	oos	0.01026	0.010236	-0.23%	0.009272	-9.63%	0.0839	✓	0.67
2026-09-08	oos	0.010186	0.010167	-0.18%	0.01026	+0.73%	0.0106	✗	0.69
2026-09-07	oos	0.010375	0.010344	-0.29%	0.010186	-1.82%	0.0096	✓	0.72
2026-09-06	oos	0.00945	0.009451	+0.01%	0.010375	+9.78%	0.1044	✓	0.71
2026-09-05	oos	0.009865	0.009856	-0.09%	0.00945	-4.21%	0.0467	✓	0.72
2026-09-04	oos	0.009869	0.009863	-0.06%	0.009865	-0.04%	0.0012	✓	0.67
2026-09-03	oos	0.010077	0.01007	-0.07%	0.009869	-2.06%	0.0074	✓	0.65
2026-09-02	oos	0.010039	0.01002	-0.19%	0.010077	+0.38%	0.0404	✓	0.92
2026-09-01	oos	0.00967	0.009657	-0.13%	0.010039	+3.82%	0.0399	✗	0.93
2026-08-31	oos	0.009508	0.009503	-0.06%	0.00967	+1.70%	0.0308	✗	0.90
2026-08-30	oos	0.009343	0.009337	-0.06%	0.009508	+1.77%	0.0079	✗	0.89
2026-08-29	oos	0.009572	0.009559	-0.14%	0.009343	-2.40%	0.0165	✓	0.87
2026-08-28	oos	0.009431	0.009408	-0.24%	0.009572	+1.50%	0.0130	✗	0.86
2026-08-27	oos	0.009239	0.009232	-0.08%	0.009431	+2.08%	0.0490	✗	0.90
2026-08-26	oos	0.009325	0.009307	-0.19%	0.009239	-0.92%	0.0215	✓	0.90
2026-08-25	oos	0.008563	0.008557	-0.07%	0.009325	+8.91%	0.0806	✗	0.86
2026-08-24	oos	0.008554	0.00855	-0.05%	0.008563	+0.09%	0.0070	✗	0.96
2026-08-23	oos	0.007924	0.007929	+0.06%	0.008554	+7.96%	0.0610	✓	0.94
2026-08-22	oos	0.008046	0.008048	+0.03%	0.007924	-1.52%	0.0237	✗	0.94
2026-08-21	oos	0.00872	0.008716	-0.04%	0.008046	-7.73%	0.0651	✓	0.92
2026-08-20	oos	0.008193	0.008182	-0.14%	0.00872	+6.43%	0.0005	✓	0.90
2026-08-19	oos	0.008446	0.008416	-0.35%	0.008193	-3.00%	0.0797	✓	1.01
2026-08-18	oos	0.008435	0.008389	-0.54%	0.008446	+0.13%	0.0738	✓	1.17
2026-08-17	oos	0.008381	0.008338	-0.51%	0.008435	+0.64%	0.0079	✗	1.17
2026-08-16	oos	0.008785	0.008728	-0.65%	0.008381	-4.60%	0.0725	✓	1.24
2026-08-15	oos	0.008704	0.008653	-0.59%	0.008785	+0.93%	0.0188	✗	1.24
2026-08-14	oos	0.008496	0.008449	-0.55%	0.008704	+2.45%	0.0288	✗	1.24
2026-08-13	oos	0.008806	0.008745	-0.69%	0.008496	-3.51%	0.0201	✓	1.23
2026-08-12	oos	0.00827	0.00822	-0.60%	0.008806	+6.48%	0.0685	✗	1.23
2026-08-11	oos	0.00837	0.008282	-1.06%	0.00827	-1.19%	0.0009	✓	1.23
2026-08-10	oos	0.00778	0.007749	-0.39%	0.00837	+7.58%	0.0844	✗	1.24
2026-08-09	oos	0.0081	0.008065	-0.43%	0.00778	-3.95%	0.0181	✓	1.23
2026-08-08	oos	0.00833	0.008287	-0.52%	0.0081	-2.76%	0.0217	✓	1.23
2026-08-07	oos	0.00791	0.00787	-0.51%	0.00833	+5.31%	0.0565	✗	1.23
2026-08-06	oos	0.00782	0.007775	-0.58%	0.00791	+1.15%	0.0055	✓	1.22
2026-08-05	oos	0.0077	0.007657	-0.56%	0.00782	+1.56%	0.0275	✗	1.23
2026-08-04	oos	0.007285	0.007251	-0.46%	0.0077	+5.70%	0.0497	✗	1.20
2026-08-03	oos	0.007235	0.007201	-0.47%	0.007285	+0.69%	0.0006	✓	1.20
2026-08-02	oos	0.00739	0.007352	-0.51%	0.007235	-2.10%	0.0155	✓	1.20
2026-08-01	oos	0.00733	0.007295	-0.48%	0.00739	+0.82%	0.0010	✓	1.20
2026-07-31	oos	0.00747	0.007435	-0.47%	0.00733	-1.87%	0.0131	✓	1.20
2026-07-30	oos	0.00749	0.007454	-0.48%	0.00747	-0.27%	0.0392	✗	1.25
2026-07-29	oos	0.00744	0.007406	-0.45%	0.00749	+0.67%	0.0047	✓	1.24
2026-07-28	oos	0.007265	0.007238	-0.37%	0.00744	+2.41%	0.0266	✗	1.24
2026-07-27	oos	0.007205	0.007183	-0.31%	0.007265	+0.83%	0.0084	✗	1.24
2026-07-26	oos	0.007935	0.007907	-0.36%	0.007205	-9.20%	0.0627	✓	1.19
2026-07-25	oos	0.00816	0.008129	-0.38%	0.007935	-2.76%	0.0438	✓	1.21
2026-07-24	oos	0.00766	0.007638	-0.29%	0.00816	+6.53%	0.0622	✗	1.20
2026-07-23	oos	0.007535	0.007517	-0.24%	0.00766	+1.66%	0.0371	✗	1.22
2026-07-22	oos	0.008285	0.008263	-0.26%	0.007535	-9.05%	0.0736	✓	1.18
2026-07-21	oos	0.008235	0.008215	-0.24%	0.008285	+0.61%	0.0162	✗	1.19
2026-07-20	oos	0.00835	0.008326	-0.29%	0.008235	-1.38%	0.0350	✓	1.21
2026-07-19	oos	0.008165	0.008141	-0.30%	0.00835	+2.27%	0.0156	✗	1.20
2026-07-18	oos	0.00831	0.008275	-0.42%	0.008165	-1.74%	0.0112	✓	1.20
2026-07-17	oos	0.007805	0.007781	-0.31%	0.00831	+6.47%	0.0495	✗	1.16
2026-07-16	oos	0.00805	0.008024	-0.32%	0.007805	-3.04%	0.0299	✓	1.16
2026-07-15	oos	0.00832	0.00829	-0.36%	0.00805	-3.25%	0.0123	✓	1.16
2026-07-14	oos	0.008335	0.008303	-0.38%	0.00832	-0.18%	0.0069	✗	1.16
2026-07-13	oos	0.00812	0.008093	-0.33%	0.008335	+2.65%	0.0213	✓	1.18
2026-07-12	oos	0.00811	0.008081	-0.36%	0.00812	+0.12%	0.0335	✗	1.23
2026-07-11	oos	0.00844	0.008409	-0.36%	0.00811	-3.91%	0.0356	✓	1.23
2026-07-10	oos	0.00916	0.009116	-0.48%	0.00844	-7.86%	0.0702	✓	1.22
2026-07-09	oos	0.008405	0.008374	-0.37%	0.00916	+8.98%	0.0726	✗	1.15
2026-07-08	oos	0.008595	0.008567	-0.33%	0.008405	-2.21%	0.0366	✓	1.17
2026-07-07	oos	0.00918	0.009143	-0.40%	0.008595	-6.37%	0.0419	✓	1.15
2026-07-06	oos	0.01039	0.010346	-0.42%	0.00918	-11.65%	0.1077	✓	1.12
2026-07-05	oos	0.01091	0.010859	-0.47%	0.01039	-4.77%	0.0516	✓	1.14
2026-07-04	oos	0.01107	0.011015	-0.49%	0.01091	-1.45%	0.0187	✓	1.15
2026-07-03	oos	0.01067	0.010622	-0.45%	0.01107	+3.75%	0.0312	✗	1.12
2026-07-02	oos	0.01102	0.010969	-0.47%	0.01067	-3.18%	0.0473	✓	1.18
2026-07-01	oos	0.01197	0.011884	-0.72%	0.01102	-7.94%	0.1099	✓	1.37
2026-06-30	oos	0.01117	0.011109	-0.54%	0.01197	+7.16%	0.0433	✗	1.29
2026-06-29	oos	0.01143	0.01136	-0.61%	0.01117	-2.27%	0.0194	✗	1.31
2026-06-28	oos	0.010725	0.010667	-0.54%	0.01143	+6.57%	0.0548	✗	1.25
2026-06-27	oos	0.01078	0.010721	-0.55%	0.010725	-0.51%	0.0100	✗	1.25
2026-06-26	oos	0.01009	0.010043	-0.47%	0.01078	+6.84%	0.0722	✗	1.21
2026-06-25	oos	0.01044	0.010379	-0.58%	0.01009	-3.35%	0.0344	✓	1.24
2026-06-24	oos	0.0103	0.010251	-0.48%	0.01044	+1.36%	0.0395	✗	1.00
2026-06-23	oos	0.011325	0.011251	-0.65%	0.0103	-9.05%	0.0614	✓	1.00
2026-06-22	oos	0.01124	0.011156	-0.75%	0.011325	+0.76%	0.0357	✗	1.00
2026-06-21	oos	0.01069	0.010623	-0.62%	0.01124	+5.14%	0.0452	✗	1.00
2026-06-20	oos	0.01125	0.011163	-0.77%	0.01069	-4.98%	0.0278	✓	1.00
2026-06-19	oos	0.01065	0.010584	-0.62%	0.01125	+5.63%	0.0494	✗	1.00
2026-06-18	oos	0.010465	0.010407	-0.55%	0.01065	+1.77%	0.0136	✗	1.00
2026-06-17	oos	0.01182	0.011735	-0.72%	0.010465	-11.46%	0.0900	✓	1.00
2026-06-16	oos	0.01149	0.011404	-0.75%	0.01182	+2.87%	0.0538	✗	1.00
2026-06-15	oos	0.0121	0.012006	-0.78%	0.01149	-5.04%	0.0339	✓	1.00
2026-06-14	oos	0.01255	0.012451	-0.79%	0.0121	-3.59%	0.0373	✓	1.00
2026-06-13	oos	0.012475	0.012385	-0.72%	0.01255	+0.60%	0.0064	✓	1.00
2026-06-12	oos	0.012795	0.01271	-0.67%	0.012475	-2.50%	0.0326	✓	1.00
2026-06-11	oos	0.01296	0.012877	-0.64%	0.012795	-1.27%	0.0060	✓	1.00
2026-06-10	oos	0.0125	0.01245	-0.40%	0.01296	+3.68%	0.0063	✗	1.00
2026-06-09	oos	0.01515	0.015006	-0.95%	0.0125	-17.49%	0.1788	✓	1.00
2026-06-08	oos	0.01411	0.014045	-0.46%	0.01515	+7.37%	0.0978	✗	1.00
2026-06-07	oos	0.01453	0.014465	-0.45%	0.01411	-2.89%	0.0211	✓	1.00
2026-06-06	oos	0.01496	0.014917	-0.29%	0.01453	-2.87%	0.0658	✓	1.00
2026-06-05	oos	0.01366	0.013661	+0.00%	0.01496	+9.52%	0.0938	✓	1.00
2026-06-04	oos	0.01688	0.01682	-0.35%	0.01366	-19.08%	0.1637	✓	1.00